ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
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March 2021 ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January – 31 March 2020 September 2016, Management Presentation
Content 1. Why invest in ZEAL 2. Company structure 3. Business model 4. Market potential 5. Regulation 6. Current development 7. Guidance 2020 + dividend policy 8. Appendix
Five reasons to invest in ZEAL • No. 1 in online lotteries in Germany • Unique, cash generating business model • Outstanding customer loyalty • High growth opportunities in an underpenetrated market • Attractive dividend policy 3
ZEAL Group with strong Germany segment Lottery broker ONCE Lottery partnerships/ventures State lotteries/charities External investments/ German Lottery broker Internal incubation Leading German online provider of state licensed lottery products 5
Unique lottery brokerage business model Customers Lottery operators 1) Billings Remitted Stakes Commissions Prize money Prize money ✓Established products ✓No jackpot risk 1) 16 state lottery operators from German Association of State Lottery Companies (»Deutscher Lotto- und Totoblock, DLTB«) 7
Strong customer value proposition • Superior user experience – Available anywhere anytime (24/7) – Secure - no risk of losing the ticket – Automatic price notification and price collections – Strong web, mobile and apps experiences – Data driven recommendations and CRM • Best product portfolio • Trusted brands • Servicing all of Germany 8
Customers are very loyal and generate high long-term value Billings per customer cohort in € (Lotto24 + Tipp24, quarterly) Billings in € The peaks representing high jackpots and corresponding higher active user engagements. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 9
Market potential
Promising long-term potential Medium to long-term: Target: ZEAL’s 50% Online penetration Market share ~50% Long-term potential Billings Billings Billings ~€9bn* >€4bn >€2bn * Source: Total German lottery market volume of €9.0bn in 2020A as per Goldmedia, including other lotteries such as Class Lotteries, Aktion Mensch and Deutsche Fernsehlotterie 11
Online market shares show strong growth momentum Online penetration by industries Online lottery penetration by countries (2019) Online Music (2020) 74% 63% Online Banking (2019) 61% 46% Additional growth potential Online Holiday (2019) 58% 30% Ø 64% Ø 46% Online Lotto (2019) 14% 14% Source: statista, VIR Daten und Fakten 2020, press release BVMI, German Association of State Lottery Source: La Fleur´s 2020 European Lottery Abstract (based on 2019 numbers) Companies (»Deutscher Lotto- und Totoblock, DLTB«), German Lottery Association (»Deutscher Lottoverband, DLV«) 12
Great market opportunity Customers Billings 51% 3) 51% 3) can imagine to can imagine to play online play online 70.2m €4.4bn 29.7m 15.1m €9.0bn2) adults1) potential online lottery €1.0 bn2) customers billings players1) Adults (>18 years) in Germany Total lottery market in Germany 2018 Adults that play lotto occasionally or regularly 14% online penetration 2019 Potential customers in Germany Online market potential in Germany 1) According to IfD Allensbach © Statista 2019, »Anzahl der Personen in Deutschland, die Lotto oder Toto spielen, nach Häufigkeit von 2015 bis 2019 (in Millionen)« 2) According to According to Goldmedia Glücksspielmarkt Deutschland 2020 3) According to own Brand Tracking November/December 2019 13
Favourable competitive landscape High 16 federal states DLTB Financial Power/ Access to Capital Lottoland Secondary lottery Other private online brokers Low Low Product/Online High Expertise 14
Regulation
New German state treaty on games of chance (GlüStV) to come • Valid until 30 June 2021 Current • No online casino and poker games GlüStV 2012 • No expiry date (can be terminated no sooner than 2028) • Includes a permit model for online games, sports betting, online poker and a license model for online casino New GlüStV • Requirement to strictly separate gaming formats on different 2021 websites will be abolished • Lotto24 broker license valid until June 2022 Broker • Limitation of new permit still open (5 or 7 years?) License ➢ No significant impact on our business model 16
Price increase of Lotto 6aus49 from 23 September 2020 • No payout after the 13th draw anymore but on reaching the €45 million mark • Price per field increases from €1.00 to €1.20 • Additional increase of €0.10 at Tipp24.com combined with an own prize draw one time a month ➢ More attractive product due to rising stakes and faster growing jackpots that should also trigger a long-term positive revenue effect 17
Guidance 2020 + dividend policy
Guidance 2020 raised again Comparative figures for 2019 are difficult to compare with those forecast for 2020 due to the Lotto24 takeover in May 2019 and the business model change from a secondary lottery to an online lottery broker in Germany in October 2019. 2020 2020 2019 1) NEW OLD Actual Billings (in €m) 610-630 590-610 466.7 Revenue (in €m) 80-83 76-79 113.5 Adjusted EBITDA (in €m) 8-10 7-10 29.4 Slightly above Slightly above Gross margin (Germany segment, in %) 24.3 12 12 Lower than Lower than CPL (Germany segment, in €) 32.50 previous year previous year New registered customers Around 900 Around 800 274 (Germany segment, in thousand) 2) 1) Including Lotto24 since 14 May 2019, secondary lottery business up to 15 October 2019 and Tipp24 brokerage business beginning with 15 October 2019. 2) Related to the Germany business of the ZEAL Group. 2019: incl. Lotto24 since 14 May 2019 and Tipp24 only since the business model change on 15 October 2019. 19 September 2016, Management Presentation
Dividend policy reiterated • Based on the continuing positive liquidity situation of the ZEAL Group in 2019 and the expected increasing profitability • €17.6 million paid out in dividends to shareholders in 2020 (2018: €8.4 million) • Corresponds to a dividend of €0.80 per share for 2019 (2018: €1.00) • Intention to increase the dividend annually – with the aim of reaching €1.00 per share in 2022 (depending on the economic development) 20 September 2016, Management Presentation
Five reasons to invest in ZEAL • No. 1 in online lotteries in Germany • Unique, cash generating business model • Outstanding customer loyalty • High growth opportunities in an underpenetrated market • Attractive dividend policy 21
Questions Answers
Appendix
Disclaimer The information contained herein must not be relied upon for any purpose and may not be redistributed, reproduced, published, or passed on to any other person or used in whole or in part for any other purpose. This document contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the businesses, financial performance and results of the Companies and/or the industry in which the Companies operate. Such forward-looking statements, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Companies and statements from third parties, are uncertain and subject to risks. A multitude of factors can cause actual events to differ significantly from any anticipated development. The Companies do not guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors, nor do they accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed upon, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, none of the Companies or any of their subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers, employees or advisors accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document. By accepting this presentation, you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of each of the Companies and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of each of the Companies' businesses. This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general information.. This presentation is dated 02 March 2021. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions of any of the Companies with any of the recipients, shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of any of the Companies since such date. 24 September 2016, Management Presentation
Management Board Dr. Helmut Becker Jonas Mattsson CEO since Sep 2015 CFO since Feb 2015 Before: Before: • CMO of ZEAL • CFO of O3b Networks • Member of the Supervisory • CFO of various entities of Board of ZEAL SES • CCO at XING AG 25 September 2016, Management Presentation
Historical development of ZEAL 1999 19-Nov-2018 8-May-2020 Founded Announcement of Remitted to the takeover offer for SDAX 2009 Lotto24 by ZEAL 14-May-2019 2005 Settlement of the IPO Change to secondary lottery business Lotto24 acquisition 2014 31-Jan-2019 2002 Renamed to Publication of October 2019 Open Madrid 2012 ZEAL & move of the offer to Change of business office 2008 Spin-off HQ to London Lotto24 model and Regulatory Lotto24 shareholders relocation change in DE GlüStV(1) (1) Glücksspielstaatsvertrag = State Treaty 26
Shareholder structure Private investors No. of shares: 22,396,070 11,57 Market cap: ~ € 891m Year-opening price: € 20.75 33,89 Günther Group Nov 12, 2020: € 39.80 Other institutional 26,32 November 2020 investors 3,58 4,46 20,18 Jens Schumann Marc Peters Working Capital Group Source: Information from notification of voting rights and company information 27
Summary ➢ Strong nine months 2020 9M ➢ Billings up 42% ➢ Solid gross margin achieved ➢ Further investment in marketing 2020 ➢ Full-year guidance for new registered customers already exceeded - again ➢ Guidance 2020 raised - again September 2016, Management Presentation 28
ZEAL Group figures 9M 2020 Billings € 472m Germany Other Revenue € 64m Adjusted EBITDA € 7m 91% 9% of of Employees EBIT 165 € 38m Revenue Revenue Market Cap. September 2020 Listed since 2005, € 891m Part of German SDAX Online lottery Primary lotteries with national brokerage business permits, international services for lottery operators, investments in start-ups 29
ZEAL: Consolidated Income Statement and Balance Sheet in €k 30/09/20 30/09/19 Change in % Income Statement Revenue 87,023 93,178 (31.5) Total costs of operations (59,569) (73,139) (18.6) Adjusted EBITDA1) 6,903 28,253 (75.6) EBIT 2,864 12,854 (77.7) Profit before taxes 5,595 12,815 (56.3) Net Profit 6,537 10,816 (39.6) 30/09/20 31/12/19 Change in % Current assets 96,138 173,998 (44.7) Balance Sheet Non-current assets 395,898 347,135 +14.0 ASSETS 492,036 521,133 (5.6) Current liabilities 34,617 49,909 (30.6) Non-current liabilities 62,997 65,499 (3.8) Equity 394,422 405,725 (2.8) EQUITY & LIABILITIES 492,036 521,133 (5.6) 1) Result from operating activities before amortisation, depreciation and non-recurring income/expenses 30
ZEAL: Business Unit Segment Reporting as of 30/09/20 in €k Germany Other Total Revenue 57,846 6,019 63,865 Other operating income 2,339 (10) 2,329 Adjusted EBITDA1) 5,235 1,668 6,903 Depreciation/amortisation – – (7,695) EBIT – – 2,864 Financial result – – 2,873 Share of loss from associates (142) EBT – – 5,595 Income tax – – 942 Net Profit/loss – – 6,537 1) Result from operating activities before amortisation, depreciation and non-recurring income/expenses 31
ZEAL: KPIs Secondary lottery business Broker Business Billings Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 (in €m) 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 67.8 77.7 67.4 112.0 153.3 134.0 140.0 174.4 157.3 ABPU Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 (in €) 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 58.0 60.4 57.5 60.5 57.3 48.4 49.5 54.5 54.9 MAU Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 (in k) 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 384 427 375* 365 917 925 942 1,065 954 *Restated based on prior quarter correction 32
91% of at least €57m planned cost synergies already achieved May-2020 Target of 80% of planned cost synergies after the first year of completing the Lotto24 takeover – 91% already achieved. • €33m related to the BMC 19-Nov-2018 • €20m related to additional cost savings Announcement of the takeover offer of 2020 Lotto24 2021 2018 May-2021 2019 Target of 100% of planned cost synergies after the second year of completing the Lotto24 takeover – expected to be achieved by May 2021 14-May-2019 Completion of the takeover of Lotto24. Starting point for the realisation of cost synergies 33
Reconciliation of Lotto24 cost base to ZEAL target cost structure 1) 1) 1) € million 1) Cost base Volume Platform New products / Transitional Cost base Cost base Cost base Lotto24 effects investments functionality costs Germany International ZEAL Group - Based on full year - Increase of billings - Stable, versatile and - Improved product - Reflecting transition, - Also revenue 2018 numbers 2) (depending on state of the art offering like IWG´s e.g. technology cost contribution jackpots) leads to platform that can and social lotteries, until platform - Adjusted for - Expected to be higher direct costs quickly add new leading to increase unification & org inflation & cost profit neutral in products and in billings & margin restructuring increases - Additional 2020 functionalities completed marketing staff to - Reflected in - Including manage higher - Reflected in personnel costs & - Higher costs due to reclassification of acquisition/ increased number of other operating 2 stock-listed marketing cost into marketing IT staff & other expenses companies & direct costs investment operating expenses complexity 1) Operational costs excluding marketing expenses, amortisation, depreciation and non-recurring expenses 2) Annualized Q4 2018 cost run rate would suggest a Lotto24 cost base of €24 million as starting point for comparison 34
Lotto24 cost base vs. ZEAL target cost structure related to the P&L 1) (incl. Marketing) € million 60 +6 21 39 37 +6 14 15 2) +4 8 22 8 +7 4 17 10 Cost base Lotto24 Cost base Germany Personnel expenses Direct costs Other costs Marketing expenses 1) Operational costs excluding amortisation, depreciation and non-recurring expenses 2) Including costs of approx. €3 million, that were reflected in Lotto24 in other cost positions and therefor lead to an increase of % of billings (now approx. 1.4%) 35
Financial calendar 2021 Publication of Annual Report 2020 25 March 2021 Publication of Q1 Report 7 May 2021 Annual General Meeting 4 June 2021 Publication of Half-Year Report 12 August 2021 Publication of Q3 Report 11 November 2021 36
Frank Hoffmann, CEFA Senior Investor Relations Manager ZEAL Straßenbahnring 11 20251 Hamburg T +49 (0)40 809 036 - 042 M +49 (0)175 267 3420 frank.hoffmann@zealnetwork.de www.zealnetwork.de
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