ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020

 
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ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
March 2021
ZEAL Network SE
Management Presentation

                                           QUARTERLY STATEMENT
                                           1 January – 31 March 2020

 September 2016, Management Presentation
ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
Content

1. Why invest in ZEAL
2. Company structure
3. Business model
4. Market potential
5. Regulation
6. Current development
7. Guidance 2020 + dividend policy
8. Appendix
ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
Five reasons to invest in ZEAL

  • No. 1 in online lotteries in Germany

  • Unique, cash generating business model

  • Outstanding customer loyalty

  • High growth opportunities in an underpenetrated market

  • Attractive dividend policy

                                                             3
ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
Company structure
ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
ZEAL Group with strong Germany segment

                 Lottery broker
                                                   ONCE
                                             Lottery partnerships/ventures
                                                 State lotteries/charities
                                                  External investments/
               German Lottery broker               Internal incubation
         Leading German online provider of
           state licensed lottery products

                                                                             5
ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
Business model
ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
Unique lottery brokerage business model

                            Customers                                                                                 Lottery operators 1)

                                                             Billings                                      Remitted Stakes

                                                                                                             Commissions

                                                           Prize money                                         Prize money

                                                                    ✓Established products
                                                                     ✓No jackpot risk
        1)   16 state lottery operators from German Association of State Lottery Companies (»Deutscher Lotto- und Totoblock, DLTB«)

                                                                                                                                             7
ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
Strong customer value proposition

      • Superior user experience
         – Available anywhere anytime (24/7)
         – Secure - no risk of losing the ticket
         – Automatic price notification and price collections
         – Strong web, mobile and apps experiences
         – Data driven recommendations and CRM

      • Best product portfolio

      • Trusted brands

      • Servicing all of Germany

                                                                8
ZEAL Network SE Management Presentation - March 2021 - QUARTERLY STATEMENT 1 January - 31 March 2020
Customers are very loyal and generate high long-term value
Billings per customer cohort in € (Lotto24 + Tipp24, quarterly)                                 Billings in €

                  The peaks representing high jackpots and corresponding
                  higher active user engagements.

     2013            2014           2015            2016            2017   2018   2019   2020     2021

                                                                                                                9
Market potential
Promising long-term potential

         Medium to long-term:                                                              Target:                                                                  ZEAL’s
         50% Online penetration                                                       Market share ~50%                                                       Long-term potential

                       Billings                                                                   Billings                                                                Billings
                       ~€9bn*                                                                     >€4bn                                                                   >€2bn

       * Source: Total German lottery market volume of €9.0bn in 2020A as per Goldmedia, including other lotteries such as Class Lotteries, Aktion Mensch and Deutsche Fernsehlotterie

                                                                                                                                                                                         11
Online market shares show strong growth momentum

  Online penetration by industries                                                                              Online lottery penetration by countries (2019)

  Online Music (2020)                                                                           74%                                                                      63%

  Online Banking (2019)                                                             61%                                                                     46%

                                                                                                                                                                                         Additional growth potential
  Online Holiday (2019)                                                           58%                                                          30%

                          Ø                                                             64%                       Ø                                         46%

  Online Lotto (2019)                       14%                                                                                    14%

  Source: statista, VIR Daten und Fakten 2020, press release BVMI, German Association of State Lottery       Source: La Fleur´s 2020 European Lottery Abstract (based on 2019 numbers)
  Companies (»Deutscher Lotto- und Totoblock, DLTB«), German Lottery Association (»Deutscher Lottoverband,
  DLV«)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12
Great market opportunity

        Customers                                                                                                           Billings

                                           51% 3)                                                                                                            51% 3)
                                    can imagine to                                                                                                    can imagine to
                                      play online                                                                                                       play online
       70.2m                                                                                                                                                                      €4.4bn
                         29.7m                              15.1m                                                   €9.0bn2)
      adults1)
                                                           potential                                                                                                              online
                         lottery                                                                                                             €1.0 bn2)
                                                          customers                                                                                                               billings
                        players1)

      Adults (>18 years) in Germany                                                                                  Total lottery market in Germany 2018
      Adults that play lotto occasionally or regularly                                                               14% online penetration 2019
      Potential customers in Germany                                                                                 Online market potential in Germany

            1) According to IfD Allensbach © Statista 2019, »Anzahl der Personen in Deutschland, die Lotto oder Toto spielen, nach Häufigkeit von 2015 bis 2019 (in Millionen)«
            2) According to According to Goldmedia Glücksspielmarkt Deutschland 2020
            3) According to own Brand Tracking November/December 2019
                                                                                                                                                                                             13
Favourable competitive landscape

                        High                    16 federal states

                                                         DLTB

         Financial Power/
         Access to Capital
                                                                       Lottoland

                                                                                   Secondary lottery
                               Other private online brokers

                        Low
                               Low                            Product/Online                    High

                                                                 Expertise
                                                                                                       14
Regulation
New German state treaty on games of chance (GlüStV) to come

                       • Valid until 30 June 2021
             Current   • No online casino and poker games
             GlüStV
              2012
                       • No expiry date (can be terminated no sooner than 2028)
                       • Includes a permit model for online games, sports betting,
                         online poker and a license model for online casino
              New
             GlüStV
                       • Requirement to strictly separate gaming formats on different
              2021       websites will be abolished

                       • Lotto24 broker license valid until June 2022
             Broker    • Limitation of new permit still open (5 or 7 years?)
             License   ➢ No significant impact on our business model

                                                                                        16
Price increase of Lotto 6aus49 from 23 September 2020

      • No payout after the 13th draw anymore but on reaching the
        €45 million mark

      • Price per field increases from €1.00 to €1.20

      • Additional increase of €0.10 at Tipp24.com combined with an
        own prize draw one time a month

      ➢ More attractive product due to rising stakes and faster growing
        jackpots that should also trigger a long-term positive revenue effect

                                                                                17
Guidance 2020 + dividend policy
Guidance 2020 raised again
   Comparative figures for 2019 are difficult to compare with those forecast for 2020 due to the Lotto24 takeover in May
   2019 and the business model change from a secondary lottery to an online lottery broker in Germany in October 2019.

                                                                                                                               2020                          2020                 2019 1)
                                                                                                                               NEW                            OLD                 Actual
                                      Billings (in €m)                                                                        610-630                    590-610                       466.7

                                      Revenue (in €m)                                                                            80-83                       76-79                     113.5

                                      Adjusted EBITDA (in €m)                                                                      8-10                        7-10                     29.4
                                                                                                                    Slightly above              Slightly above
                                      Gross margin (Germany segment, in %)                                                                                                              24.3
                                                                                                                                12                          12
                                                                                                                       Lower than                  Lower than
                                      CPL (Germany segment, in €)                                                                                                                      32.50
                                                                                                                     previous year               previous year

                                      New registered customers
                                                                                                                        Around 900                  Around 800                           274
                                      (Germany segment, in thousand) 2)

                                    1)     Including Lotto24 since 14 May 2019, secondary lottery business up to 15 October 2019 and Tipp24 brokerage business beginning with 15 October 2019.
                                    2)     Related to the Germany business of the ZEAL Group. 2019: incl. Lotto24 since 14 May 2019 and Tipp24 only since the business model change on 15 October 2019.
                                                                                                                                                                                                          19
 September 2016, Management Presentation
Dividend policy reiterated

                • Based on the continuing positive liquidity situation of the ZEAL Group in 2019
                  and the expected increasing profitability

                • €17.6 million paid out in dividends to shareholders in 2020 (2018: €8.4 million)

                • Corresponds to a dividend of €0.80 per share for 2019 (2018: €1.00)

                • Intention to increase the dividend annually – with the aim of reaching €1.00 per
                  share in 2022 (depending on the economic development)

                                                                                                     20
 September 2016, Management Presentation
Five reasons to invest in ZEAL

  • No. 1 in online lotteries in Germany

  • Unique, cash generating business model

  • Outstanding customer loyalty

  • High growth opportunities in an underpenetrated market

  • Attractive dividend policy

                                                             21
Questions

            Answers
Appendix
Disclaimer

                                  The information contained herein must not be relied upon for any purpose and may not be redistributed, reproduced, published, or passed on to any other
                                  person or used in whole or in part for any other purpose.
                                  This document contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the businesses, financial performance and results of the Companies and/or the
                                  industry in which the Companies operate. Such forward-looking statements, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Companies and statements
                                  from third parties, are uncertain and subject to risks. A multitude of factors can cause actual events to differ significantly from any anticipated development.
                                  The Companies do not guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors, nor do they accept any
                                  responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments.
                                  No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed upon, any information, including projections, estimates,
                                  targets and opinions contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and,
                                  accordingly, none of the Companies or any of their subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers, employees or advisors accepts any liability
                                  whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
                                  By accepting this presentation, you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of each
                                  of the Companies and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of
                                  each of the Companies' businesses.
                                  This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general
                                  information..
                                  This presentation is dated 02 March 2021. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions of any of the Companies with any of the
                                  recipients, shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of any of the Companies since such date.

                                                                                                                                                                                                     24
 September 2016, Management Presentation
Management Board

                                            Dr. Helmut Becker             Jonas Mattsson
                                            CEO since Sep 2015            CFO since Feb 2015
                                           Before:                       Before:
                                           • CMO of ZEAL                 • CFO of O3b Networks
                                           • Member of the Supervisory   • CFO of various entities of
                                             Board of ZEAL                 SES
                                           • CCO at XING AG
                                                                                                        25
 September 2016, Management Presentation
Historical development of ZEAL

 1999                                                                    19-Nov-2018                                      8-May-2020
 Founded                                                                 Announcement of                                  Remitted to the
                                                                         takeover offer for                               SDAX
                                          2009                           Lotto24 by ZEAL            14-May-2019
           2005                                                                                     Settlement of the
           IPO                            Change to secondary
                                          lottery business                                          Lotto24 acquisition

                                                              2014                31-Jan-2019
   2002
                                                              Renamed to        Publication of       October 2019
   Open Madrid
                                                  2012        ZEAL & move of      the offer to   Change of business
   office
                  2008                            Spin-off    HQ to London            Lotto24           model and
             Regulatory                           Lotto24                        shareholders            relocation
           change in DE
               GlüStV(1)

              (1)   Glücksspielstaatsvertrag = State Treaty

                                                                                                                                            26
Shareholder structure

                             Private
                             investors                                                                No. of shares:        22,396,070
                                        11,57
                                                                                                      Market cap:            ~ € 891m
                                                                                                      Year-opening price:      € 20.75
                                                                           33,89
                                                                                      Günther Group   Nov 12, 2020:            € 39.80

      Other
      institutional    26,32               November 2020
      investors

                           3,58
                                4,46                          20,18
              Jens Schumann
                          Marc Peters                                  Working Capital Group

                  Source: Information from notification of voting rights and company information

                                                                                                                                         27
Summary

                                          ➢ Strong nine months 2020

  9M                                         ➢ Billings up 42%
                                             ➢ Solid gross margin achieved
                                             ➢ Further investment in marketing

     2020                                    ➢ Full-year guidance for new registered customers
                                                already exceeded - again
                                          ➢ Guidance 2020 raised - again

September 2016, Management Presentation                                                          28
ZEAL Group figures 9M 2020

    Billings                     € 472m      Germany                       Other

    Revenue                      € 64m

    Adjusted EBITDA                € 7m       91%                         9%
                                               of                          of
    Employees
    EBIT                             165
                                  € 38m     Revenue                     Revenue

    Market Cap. September 2020
    Listed since 2005,           € 891m
    Part of German SDAX
                                             Online lottery     Primary lotteries with national
                                           brokerage business   permits, international services
                                                                     for lottery operators,
                                                                   investments in start-ups

                                                                                                  29
ZEAL: Consolidated Income Statement
and Balance Sheet in €k
                                                                                       30/09/20               30/09/19             Change in %

             Income Statement
                                Revenue                                                  87,023                93,178                       (31.5)
                                Total costs of operations                              (59,569)              (73,139)                       (18.6)
                                Adjusted EBITDA1)                                         6,903                28,253                       (75.6)
                                EBIT                                                      2,864                12,854                       (77.7)
                                Profit before taxes                                       5,595                12,815                       (56.3)
                                Net Profit                                                6,537                10,816                       (39.6)

                                                                                        30/09/20              31/12/19             Change in %
                                 Current assets                                          96,138               173,998                       (44.7)
             Balance Sheet

                                 Non-current assets                                     395,898               347,135                       +14.0
                                ASSETS                                                  492,036               521,133                        (5.6)
                                 Current liabilities                                     34,617                49,909                       (30.6)
                                 Non-current liabilities                                 62,997                65,499                        (3.8)
                                 Equity                                                 394,422               405,725                        (2.8)
                                 EQUITY & LIABILITIES                                   492,036               521,133                        (5.6)

                                1) Result   from operating activities before amortisation, depreciation and non-recurring income/expenses
                                                                                                                                                     30
ZEAL: Business Unit Segment Reporting
as of 30/09/20 in €k

                                                                          Germany                   Other            Total

              Revenue                                                         57,846                  6,019               63,865
              Other operating income                                            2,339                  (10)                  2,329
              Adjusted EBITDA1)                                                 5,235                 1,668                  6,903
              Depreciation/amortisation                                             –                     –               (7,695)
              EBIT                                                                  –                     –                  2,864
              Financial result                                                      –                     –                  2,873
              Share of loss from associates                                                                                  (142)

              EBT                                                                   –                     –                  5,595

              Income tax                                                            –                     –                   942
              Net Profit/loss                                                       –                     –                  6,537

              1) Result   from operating activities before amortisation, depreciation and non-recurring income/expenses

                                                                                                                                     31
ZEAL: KPIs

                                       Secondary lottery business                         Broker Business

                   Billings          Q3         Q4          Q1     Q2      Q3      Q4       Q1     Q2      Q3
                   (in €m)          2018       2018        2019   2019    2019    2019     2020   2020    2020
                                    67.8       77.7        67.4   112.0   153.3   134.0   140.0   174.4   157.3

                     ABPU            Q3         Q4          Q1     Q2      Q3      Q4       Q1     Q2      Q3
                     (in €)         2018       2018        2019   2019    2019    2019     2020   2020    2020
                                    58.0       60.4        57.5   60.5    57.3    48.4     49.5   54.5    54.9

                     MAU             Q3         Q4          Q1     Q2      Q3      Q4       Q1     Q2      Q3
                     (in k)         2018       2018        2019   2019    2019    2019     2020   2020    2020
                                     384        427        375*   365     917     925      942    1,065   954

             *Restated based on prior quarter correction

                                                                                                                  32
91% of at least €57m planned cost synergies already achieved
                                                                  May-2020
                                                                  Target of 80% of planned cost synergies
                                                                  after the first year of completing the
                                                                  Lotto24 takeover – 91% already achieved.
                                                                  • €33m related to the BMC
        19-Nov-2018
                                                                  • €20m related to additional cost savings
        Announcement of
        the takeover offer of                             2020
        Lotto24

                                                                     2021
                                  2018
                                                                                   May-2021
                                                    2019                           Target of 100% of planned cost
                                                                                   synergies after the second year of
                                                                                   completing the Lotto24 takeover –
                                                                                   expected to be achieved by May 2021
                                14-May-2019
                                Completion of the takeover of
                                Lotto24. Starting point for the
                                realisation of cost synergies
                                                                                                                         33
Reconciliation of Lotto24 cost base to ZEAL target cost structure 1)                                                                                                                1)
                                                                                                                                                   1)
 € million

            1)

    Cost base                 Volume                     Platform              New products /               Transitional                 Cost base          Cost base          Cost base
     Lotto24                  effects                  investments              functionality                  costs                     Germany          International       ZEAL Group
- Based on full year    - Increase of billings      - Stable, versatile and    - Improved product        - Reflecting transition,                       - Also revenue
  2018 numbers 2)         (depending on               state of the art           offering like IWG´s       e.g. technology cost                           contribution
                          jackpots) leads to          platform that can          and social lotteries,     until platform
- Adjusted for                                                                                                                                          - Expected to be
                          higher direct costs         quickly add new            leading to increase       unification & org
  inflation & cost                                                                                                                                        profit neutral in
                                                      products and               in billings & margin      restructuring
  increases             - Additional                                                                                                                      2020
                                                      functionalities                                      completed
                          marketing staff to                                   - Reflected in
- Including
                          manage higher             - Reflected in               personnel costs &       - Higher costs due to
  reclassification of
                          acquisition/                increased number of        other operating           2 stock-listed
  marketing cost into
                          marketing                   IT staff & other           expenses                  companies &
  direct costs
                          investment                  operating expenses                                   complexity

                         1) Operational costs excluding marketing expenses, amortisation, depreciation and non-recurring expenses
                         2) Annualized   Q4 2018 cost run rate would suggest a Lotto24 cost base of €24 million as starting point for comparison
                                                                                                                                                                                         34
Lotto24 cost base vs. ZEAL target cost structure related to the P&L 1) (incl. Marketing)
€ million

                                                                                                                                                           60
                                                                                      +6
                                                                                                                                      21

                                                                                                                                                           39
                  37                                                                  +6                                              14
                                            15

                                                                                                                                           2)
                                                                                      +4                                               8
                  22                         8
                                                                                      +7
                                             4
                                                                                                                                      17
                                            10

                                  Cost base Lotto24                                                                        Cost base Germany
                                                 Personnel expenses         Direct costs        Other costs        Marketing expenses

            1) Operational costs excluding    amortisation, depreciation and non-recurring expenses
            2) Including   costs of approx. €3 million, that were reflected in Lotto24 in other cost positions and therefor lead to an increase of % of billings (now approx. 1.4%)
                                                                                                                                                                                      35
Financial calendar 2021

             Publication of Annual Report 2020    25 March 2021

             Publication of Q1 Report               7 May 2021

             Annual General Meeting                 4 June 2021

             Publication of Half-Year Report      12 August 2021

             Publication of Q3 Report            11 November 2021

                                                                    36
Frank Hoffmann, CEFA
Senior Investor Relations Manager

ZEAL
Straßenbahnring 11
20251 Hamburg

T +49 (0)40 809 036 - 042
M +49 (0)175 267 3420

frank.hoffmann@zealnetwork.de
www.zealnetwork.de
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