IN DEPTH - CHINA'S APPAREL MARKET PART 1: MARKET UPDATES AND REVIEW OF DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS - Fung Business ...
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E-commerce . Business Models . Innovations IN DEPTH – CHINA’S APPAREL MARKET PART 1: MARKET UPDATES AND REVIEW OF DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS December 2016 Teresa Lam, Tracy Chan Asia Distribution and Retail
IN THIS ISSUE KEY TAKEAWAYS P3 MARKET OVERVIEW P4 SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS P5 DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS P13 2
KEY TAKEAWAYS The apparel market in China has experienced By category, sportswear posted the strongest slower growth over recent years. Sales of sales growth in 2015, outperforming the apparel in China are expected to reach growth of womenswear, which remained the 1,788.2 billion yuan in 2016, increasing at a largest sub-sector of China’s apparel market slower rate of 4.2% yoy. in terms of sales in 2015. For sales channels, specialist retailers and Nevertheless, department stores have seen department stores have long been the two rapid sales share decline over the years. They major distribution channels for apparel and have lost share to the fast growing Internet footwear in China, taking up over a half of the retailing, which has become one of the most apparel distribution in the country. popular and influential sales channels for apparel in China. Multi-brand stores, featuring unique and contemporary fashions and bringing together talented designers locally and internationally, have also garnered increasing attention in China over recent years. 3
MARKET OVERVIEW - CHINA’S APPAREL MARKET TO SEE SLOWER SALES GROWTH Sales of apparel in China, 2011-2020 China’s apparel sales are expected to reach 1,788.2 billion yuan in 2016, 2,500.0 16.0% increasing at a slower rate of 4.2% yoy. 14.2% 2,119.2 14.0% We believe the slower sales growth is 2,032.4 1,947.8 attributable to: 2,000.0 1,865.7 1,788.2 12.0% 10.2% 1,716.7 1,622.8 1,527.9 • Economic slowdown in China 1,417.7 10.0% 1,500.0 • Weak consumer sentiment 1,286.4 7.8% 8.0% • Increasingly saturated 6.2% womenswear and menswear 1,000.0 5.8% markets 6.0% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% Despite the slowdown, the growth 500.0 4.3% 4.3% momentum of China’s apparel market is 2.0% expected to be sustained by increasing household income and the fast-growing 0.0 0.0% middle class. The apparel market is 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 projected to deliver steady growth over billion yuan yoy growth the next couple of years and reach 2,119.2 billion yuan by 2020. Source: Euromonitor International; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence Photo source: www.gegugu.com 4
SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS Sales of key sub-sectors of China’s apparel market, 2011-2015 By category, womenswear remained the largest sub- 900 16.0% 834.5 sector of China’s apparel 783.8 14.0% market in terms of sales in 800 729.9 2015. Nevertheless, the 676.8 12.0% 700 sector registered slowest 612.4 10.0% sales growth compared with 600 8.0% other key sectors. 491.9 billion yuan 500 452.9 470.3 6.0% 422.5 389.6 4.0% It is noteworthy that 400 sportswear continued to 2.0% deliver strongest sales 300 0.0% growth in 2015 compared 200 148.3 165.0 with other key sectors, 141.8 139.2 134.7 127.1 137.2 -2.0% 105.9 116.4 96.4 indicating the vast growth 100 -4.0% potential of the sportswear 0 -6.0% sector. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sales of womenswear Sales of menswear Sales of childrenswear Sales of sportswear yoy growth of womenswear yoy growth of menswear yoy growth of childrenswear yoy growth of sportswear Source: Euromonitor International; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 5
SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS - WOMENSWEAR: TO SEE SINGLE-DEGIT SALES GROWTH IN 2016 Sales of womenswear in China’s apparel market, 2011-2016 Womenswear remained the major 1000 16.0% contributor to total apparel sales in 14.9% 875.8 China, with sales taking up 48.6% of the 900 834.5 14.0% 783.8 total apparel sales in 2015. The sector is 800 729.9 676.8 12.0% expected to grow 4.9% yoy to 875.8 700 612.4 10.5% billion yuan in 2016. billion yuan 600 10.0% 7.8% 7.4% 500 6.5% 8.0% However, the womenswear sector has 400 6.0% witnessed continued sales slowdown 300 4.9% over the past few years due to increasing 4.0% 200 market saturation and stiffer 100 2.0% competition. 0 0.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e Since 2013, the womenswear sector has been experiencing single-digit growth, Sales of womenswear yoy growth of womenswear with sales growth slowing from 7.8% yoy in 2013 to 6.5% yoy in 2015. That said, some womenswear brands are still able to stand out in the competitive In 2015, womenswear made up 48.6% market and capture a larger market 48.6% of total apparel sales in China share through different strategic approaches, such as jumping onto the fast-fashion bandwagon and getting an accurate gauge on market positioning. Source: Euromonitor International; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 6
SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS - WOMENSWEAR : CASE STUDY OF LA CHAPELLE La Chapelle Offering fast-fashion items appealing to local tastes Local apparel brand La Chapelle has jumped on the fast-fashion bandwagon, rolling out new fashion items every week. With its deep understanding and knowledge about the taste and preference of Chinese consumers, La Chapelle is able to offer fast fashion products at low- enough prices yet acceptable quality. La Chapelle’s market share, 2011-2015* Market share Ranking (%) 2011 1.18 12 2012 1.18 12 2013 1.44 6 2014 1.44 6 2015 1.32 4 Photo source: http://www.lachapelle.cn/ Source: China National Commercial Information Center (CNCIC) *Note: CNCIC data only cover sales in major department stores in China. The actual overall market share of the brand mentioned may deviate from the CNCIC data. 7
SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS - WOMENSWEAR : CASE STUDY OF LA CHAPELLE (CONT’D) La Chapelle Selling products via both physical and online stores The company sells its products directly to end- customers through both online and offline stores. Bricks and Mortar As of 30 June, 2015, La Chapelle run approximately 7,147 self-managed retail stores, covering about 2,230 department stores and shopping malls across 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities in China. Online storefronts on Tmall and JD.com Tmall - https://lachapelle.world.tmall.com/ JD.com - http://lachapelle.jd.com/ Source: http://www.lachapelle.cn/ 8
SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS - WOMENSWEAR : CASE STUDY OF JNBY JNBY Accurate marketing position, catering to target customers JNBY, a local womenswear designer brand targeting 25-30 aged women fond of nature and healthy lifestyle, has won over its target customers through quality and pragmatic design. The use of quality natural fabric, such as cotton and flax fabric, combined with pragmatic fashion style have made JNBY stand out in the market. Selling products via both physical and online stores Well-received by its target customers, JNBY has set up about 1,300 self- managed and franchise stores in China and 12 other overseas markets, including North America, Russia, Europe and Southeast Asia. For online sales network, JNBY has opened online stores on 3rd party platforms: Tmall - https://jnby.world.tmall.com/ JD.com - http://mall.jd.com/index-71947.html Vip.com - http://brand.vip.com/JNBY/ JNBY’s market share, 2013-2015* Market share Ranking (%) 2013 0.2% 81 2014 0.29% 54 2015 0.38% 36 Source: CNCIC Photo source: Fung Business Intelligence *Note: CNCIC data only cover sales in major department stores in China. The actual overall market share of the brand mentioned may deviate from the CNCIC data. 9
SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS - MENSWEAR: TO CONTINUE SLOWER GROWTH IN 2016 Sales of menswear in China’s apparel market, 2011-2016 Menswear has the second largest 600 14.0% market share in China’s apparel market, 13.1% 505.5 470.3 491.9 12.0% just behind womenswear. In 2015, sales 500 452.9 422.5 of menswear represented 28.7% of the 389.6 10.0% total apparel sales in China. The sector is 400 8.4% billion yuan 7.2% 8.0% expected to grow 2.8% yoy to 505.5 300 billion yuan in 2016. 4.6% 6.0% 200 3.8% 4.0% However, akin to the womenswear 100 2.8% sector, the menswear sector has been 2.0% getting increasingly saturated and 0 0.0% mature and witnessed continued sales 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e slowdown over the past few years. Sales of menswear yoy growth of menswear Since 2012, the menswear sector has been experiencing single-digit growth, with sales growth slowing from 8.4% yoy in 2012 to 4.6% yoy in 2015. In 2015, menswear represented 28.7% of total apparel sales in China 28.7% Source: Euromonitor International; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 10
SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS - CHILDRENSWEAR: TWO-CHILD POLICY SHORES UP GROWTH MOMENTUM Sales of childrenswear in China’s apparel market, 2011-2016 160 16.0% Although childrenswear took up merely 145.5 8% share in China’s apparel market, 14.4% 137.2 140 127.1 14.0% stronger growth momentum is expected 116.4 for the sector following the full 120 105.9 12.0% 96.4 9.9% 9.9% implementation of two-child policy 9.2% billion yuan 100 10.0% starting January 2016. 7.9% 80 8.0% 6.0% 60 6.0% Some industry experts said upon the rollout of the two-child policy, China is 40 4.0% expected to have an extra 1.5 million 20 2.0% new-born babies per annum over the next couple of years. Considering the 0 0.0% expected baby boom, we believe baby 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e and toddler wear will be the main powerhouse for the childrenswear Sales of childrenswear yoy growth of childrenswear sector. Furthermore, rising household income in China is also expected to drive the growth of childrenswear sector. In 2015, childrenswear presented 8% According to CNCIC, the average retail of total apparel sales in China price of children’s clothing has posted a 8% CAGR of 19.4% between 2011-2015, representing an average yoy growth rate of 4.5%. Source: Euromonitor International; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 11
SALES OF KEY SUB-SECTORS - SPORTSWEAR: STRONGEST SALES GROWTH AMONG OTHER KEY SUB-SECTORS Sales of sportswear in China’s apparel market, 2011-2016 Sportwear registered sales growth of 11.3% 200 181.4 14.0% yoy in 2015, well above the total apparel sales 180 165.0 12.0% growth of 5.4% yoy. Sportswear also posted 160 148.3 the highest sales growth among all other key 141.8 139.2 11.3% 10.0% 8.6% 134.7 10.1% apparel sectors. 140 9.9% 8.0% billion yuan 120 6.0% The propelling growth in the sportswear 100 sector is mainly driven by the following 4.0% 80 factors: 2.0% 60 40 -1.8% 0.0% • Participation in exercises and sports -2.0% surges as Chinese consumers are 20 -3.2% shifting toward leisure and healthy 0 -4.0% recreation instead of basic living 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e necessities. Sales of sportswear yoy growth of sportswear • Greater attention to health-conscious lifestyle along with continued enhancement of people living standards • Government policies to promote In 2015, sportswear made up national health and sports participation serve a boost to the sports industry. 9.6% of total apparel sales in China 9.6% Recent policies include the “2016-2020 National Fitness Plan” released in June 2016, the “13th Five Year Plan for the Development of Sports Industry” in July 2016. Source: Euromonitor International; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 12
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS - SPECIALIST RETAILERS, DEPARTMENT STORES TAKE HOLD IN CHINA APPAREL DISTRIBUTION Specialist retailers and Market share (retail sales) by distribution channel for apparel and footwear in China, 2011-15 department stores took up over a half of apparel and footwear 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 distribution nationwide Store-based retailing 96.5 92.4 89.0 84.3 79.0 Specialist retailers and I. Grocery retailers 6.1 6.0 5.6 5.2 4.9 department stores have been the • Non-grocery retailers 52.9 49.6 47.1 45.6 44.7 two major distribution channels - Clothing and footwear specialist retailers 22.0 23.4 24.4 24.2 24.0 for apparel and footwear in China, - Leisure and personal goods specialist taking up over a half of the apparel retailers 18.1 17.5 17.4 17.4 17.9 distribution in the country. - Other non-grocery retailers 12.8 8.6 5.4 4.0 2.8 Clothing and footwear specialist • Mixed retailers 37.5 36.8 36.3 33.5 29.5 retailers and department stores had a share of 24.0% and 29.5% - Department stores 37.5 36.8 36.3 33.5 29.5 respectively in 2015. Non-store retailing 3.5 7.6 11.0 15.7 21.0 It is noteworthy that department II. Home shopping 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 stores have seen rapid sales share III. Internet retailing 3.4 7.5 10.9 15.6 20.8 decline over the years. They have lost share to the fast growing Total 100 100 100 100 100 Internet retailing. Source: Euromonitor International; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 13
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS - ONLINE RETAILING, ONE OF THE MOST POPULAR SALES CHANNELS FOR APPAREL Selected examples of foreign apparel brands entering China via Online retailing has become one of both online and offline channels , 2015-3Q16 the most popular and influential sales channels for apparel. Selected Ways of entering the China market examples of Online retailing accounted for 20.8% Physical stores/ Chinese- Third-party foreign apparel of the total retail sales of apparel counters language online online brands and footwear in 2015, up by 5.2 store marketplace ppts from 2014, and spiked from Superdry only 3.4% in 2011. Topman G-Cut Increasing number of foreign brands have forayed into the China Monte Milano market via establishing online and Alice McCALL offline presence at the same time. Naning9 Chaps Tom Tailor Topshop Roots 8seconds Source: News, Companies’ websites; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 14
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS - FOREIGN RETAILERS LEVERAGE ONLINE PLATFORMS TO TAP CHINA MARKET To ride on China’s e-commerce boom, a number of Online platforms set up by fast fashion retailers in China fashion players have established online presence to exert influence and reach out to more consumers. Fast fashion retailers – Uniqlo, GAP, Forever 21, Mango, Zara, C&A, Self-operated H&M, Hollister and New Look provide good illustrations of online store how foreign fast fashion brands use the online channel to tap the China market. Fast fashion brands’ foray into China’s e-commerce market, 2008-2014 Self-operated online store + online store on Tmall.com 2008 2011 2014 Self-operated 2010 2012 online store + online stores on Tmall.com and JD.com Source: Companies’ websites, Insite ; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 15
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS - TOP SELLING APPAREL BRANDS ON ALIBABA’S DOUBLE 11 ONLINE SHOPPING FESTIVAL Top five best-selling apparel brands by category on Tmall during the Singles' Day shopping festival, 2016 Womenswear Menswear Childrenswear Sportswear Top 1 Uniqlo GXG Balabala Nike During the Singles’ Day, the Top 2 largest online shopping festival Only Semir Pure Cotton Adidas which falls on 11 November in China, thousands of local and international apparel brands Top 3 participated in this years' Singles' Day shopping festival. They Bosideng Peacebird Yeehoo New Balance offered customers better deals with a hope to capture more customer traffic and generate Top 4 more sales revenue. Handu Jack Jones Goodbaby Li Ning Top 5 Ledin Uniqlo Gap Anta Source: Companies’ websites, Ebrun ; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence 16
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS - MULTI-BRAND STORES ARE GAINING TRACTION • Multi-brand stores, an emerging retail format in China, have also garnered increasing attention over recent years. • Featuring unique and contemporary fashions and bringing together talented designers locally and internationally, multi-brand boutiques appeal to the increasingly sophisticated Chinese customers, especially the fast-growing middle class, who are turning from high-profile luxury brands to affordable luxury brands and designer products with quality and personal style . • Targeting the rising middle-class and more affluent consumers, multi-brand stores are mainly located in key cities in China. 80 75 70 56 60 50 40 27 30 20 12 14 13 9 9 10 0 Source: Companies’ announcements, CMS; compiled by Fung Business Intelligence Photo source: Fung Business Intelligence 17
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS - MULTI-BRAND STORES ARE GAINING TRACTION (CONT’D) • The increasing number of internationally recognized fashion design and fashion buying courses in the country helps train up designers and fashion buyers; this also supports the rise of multi-brand stores. Photo: Beijing Institute of Fashion Techonology Park (BIFT PARK) It is one of the Zhongguancun Science City construction projects jointly developed by the People’s Government of Beijing Municipality and Beijing Institute of Fashion Techology in 2012. Regarded as a fashion hub in Beijing, it provides a knowledge-based and campus-like environment of 10,000 m2 to accommodate China’s emerging independent designers. It serves as a platform to promote fashion culture interaction and encourage innovation in the fashion industry. Photo source: Fung Business Intelligence 18
UPCOMING ISSUES Coming soon… Please stay tuned for our upcoming issues featuring the latest trends of China's apparel market and market share analysis of key apparel brands. Part 1: Market updates and review of distribution channels Part 2: Eight trends shaping the future growth of China’s apparel market Part 3: Performance of top apparel brands by category 19
Contacts Asia Distribution and Retail Teresa Lam Vice President Tel: (852) 2300 2466 Email: teresalam@fung1937.com Tracy Chan Senior Research Analyst Tel: (852) 2300 2480 Email: tracychansy@fung1937.com Fung Business Intelligence 10/F, LiFung Tower, 888 Cheung Sha Wan Road, © Copyright 2016 Fung Business Intelligence . All rights reserved. Kowloon, Hong Kong Though Fung Business Intelligence endeavours to have information presented in this Tel: (852) 2300 2470 document as accurate and updated as possible, it accepts no responsibility for any Fax: (852) 2635 1598 error, omission or misrepresentation. Fung Business Intelligence and/or its associates accept no responsibility for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that Email: fbicgroup@fung1937.com may arise from the use of information contained in this document. http://www.fbicgroup.com/
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