Weekly Market Review - Investfunds
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Weekly Market Review May 31st, 2021 Highlights: • The most significant change to the US Treasury Yield Curve occurred in 30Y tenor with a respective value of -7bps. • The weakest EM country currency relative to the US dollar is TRY, with -1.69% performance. • The strongest EM country currency relative to the US dollar is BRL, with 2.63% performance. • The country with the highest default probability based on 5Y CDS is Argentina, with a respective value of 71.9%. • The most considerable year-to-date change in default probability based on 5Y CDS is 19p.p. in Argentina. News: • Oceanwide Holdings – The Chinese real estate developer/property distributor could not pay part of the redemptions for its 14.5% May 23rd 2021, USD 280 million bonds due to a liquidity issue. The company made it clear they would repay the remaining part of the payment by August 23, 2021, by selling some real estate projects onshore as well as some offsore assets. The matured bond was exchanged from 8.5% May 28th 2019,USD in 2019. • Singtel – The communication group posted weak results; net profit was down 49% to USD 418 million, revenue was down to USD 11.8 billion, a 5% decline for the financial year 2021. Performance was impacted due to the Covid-19 challenge and strucutural changes. The company announced a strategic reset through %g technology and level raging digital services to increase growth. The Singtel,3.25% June 2025 bond is currently quoted at 1.16% levels. • Westpac – This large Australian bank raised USD 2.75 billion by issuing dollar bonds. The bank sold 5-year and 10-year maturity bonds. These unsecured bonds were issued in 3 tranches.1.15% June 2026, Floating rate note June 2026, and 2.15% June 2031 for USD 1.45 billion, USD 500 million, and USD 1 billion, respectively. Fixed rate 5 and 10-year bonds were issued at around 41 bps and 60 bps levels over the US treasury. The floating rate bond was linked to SOFR, i.e the secured overnight financing rate. • New World Development – This Hong-Kong based company develops and invests in properties, providing contracting, property management, infrastructure, telecommunication services, department stores, hotels and restaurants, media technology, and transportation services. It raised USD 1.2 billion by issuing a perpetual bond with a coupon of 4.125% and a 7-year call option. Issuance spread was above 285 bps levels above US treasury. The company also launched a tender offer for a 5.75% perpetual fixed for life. Bonds proceeds will be used for tender offers and general corporate purposes. © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Largest High Yield Issues Amount, Issuer Rating End of Issue Country mln USD M/S/F Placement Kaisa Group Holdings, 11.65% China 300 B2/B/B 24.05.2021 1jun2026, USD Bausch Health Companies, Canada 1600 B2/B+/B 24.05.2021 4.875% 1jun2028, USD Antero Midstream Partners, USA 750 Ba3/BB-/– 24.05.2021 5.375% 15jun2029, USD Jinke Property, 6.85% China 325 B1/BB-/– 25.05.2021 28may2024, USD Akropolis Group, 2.875% Lithuania 610 –/BB+/BB+ 26.05.2021 2jun2026, EUR Aragvi Holding International, Moldova 450 –/B-/B 27.05.2021 8.45% 29apr2026, USD *High yield placements included with an outstanding amount of more than $200 million, taking place between 24.05.2021 and 28.05.2021 Sovereign Rating Сhanges on May 21-28 New Old Country Date Rating Outlook Rating Outlook Bahrain B+ Negative B+ Stable 28-05-2021 Belize SD CC Negative 24-05-2021 Vietnam BB Positive BB Stable 21-05-2021 © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Cbonds Country Sovereign Eurobonds Indices Eurobond sovereign indices measure T-spread, total yield and other indicators for the major issuing countries. They are calculated once every trading day (at close). © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Market Indices & US Treasury Yield Curve UST 2Y UST 10Y DOW NASDAQ S&P500 SOFR YTM YTM JONES COMPOSITE Last value 0.14 1.58 34529.45 4204.11 13748.74 0.01 Change -17.65% -3.07% 0.94% 1.16% 2.06% 0.00% *The change for all indices except SOFR is calculated as a difference between values at 21.05.2021 and 28.05.2021. For SOFR change calculated as a difference between values at 21.05.2021 and 27.05.2021. US stocks gained on a falling number of new claims for unemployment benefits, and economic data such as strong manufacturing PMI, yet market trading volume was thinner. This week the May jobs report will be published May which is a major event for US stocks. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 indexes rose by 0.94% and 1.16% WoW, respectively. The US treasury yield curve shifted parallelly down 1-7 bps as the FED indicated higher than expected inflationary pressure may be temporary. In April, US PCE core inflation rose 3.1% which is well above the inflation target of 2%. © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Currency Rate Indices Currency rate indices track US dollar dynamics relative to foreign currencies. They are calculated once every trading day (at close). © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
ICE and Interactive Default Probability Indices Default probability indices assess the risks on the Sovereign debt market for the respective country. They are calculated based on CDS for terms of between 3 months and 30 years and calculated once every trading day (at close). © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Weekly Knowledge Hub: Coronavirus Bonds Coronavirus Bonds - in a broad sense, these are bonds and Eurobonds that are issued for the purpose of financing the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic and its consequences. Issuers of such bonds are both governments of different levels (for example, securities of Guatemala, Ivory Coast, China, Madrid) and corporations (for example, issues Banco Bilbao (BBVA), Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego, Inter-American Investment Corporation). In a narrow sense, these are bonds that meet certain criteria related to the use of funds raised. Such criteria are illustrated below with the example of China (it is sufficient to meet one of the two criteria in this country): • At least 10% of the funds raised should be used to counteract the epidemiological situation related to COVID-19: production and sale of medical products, development of the relevant infrastructure, as well as a number of other purposes, while the remaining funds can be used at the issuer’s discretion: to cover operating expenses, return previously borrowed funds, etc.The issuer shall be located in one of the most unfavourable areas in terms of infection spread. Thus, for the Chinese domestic market, the main purpose of such issues is not (or is not necessarily) to finance the fight against the consequences of the epidemic, but they are associated with the need of the government to attract additional funds to fight the pandemic. China offers a simplified issuance procedure for Coronavirus Bonds which allows issuers to get funding for their purposes faster than in the case where companies issue ordinary bonds. Issuers of Coronavirus Bonds in China are both political banks (issue China Development Bank), medical organisations (issue Humanwell Healthcare Group) and issuers not related to government or medicine (issues Kunming Iron & Steel Holding, Shandong Hi-Speed Group). Read more about bond types in the Cbonds glossary Contact details: Dmitrii Larionov, Specialist of the International Debt Markets Department, d.larionov@cbonds.info Paresh Nemade, India Representative, tel: + 91 9221297616, pareshnemade@cbonds.info Cbonds subscription: pro@cbonds.info Telegram Twitter © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
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