Unilever Full Year 2021 Results & Strategic Update - Alan Jope & Graeme Pitkethly
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Safe harbour statement This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including ‘forward-looking statements’ within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as ‘will’, ‘aim’, ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘intends’, ‘looks’, ‘believes’, ‘vision’, or the negative of these terms and other similar expressions of future performance or Trading Statement, and their negatives, are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and assumptions regarding anticipated developments and other factors affecting the Unilever Group (the ‘Group’). They are not historical facts, nor are they guarantees of future performance. Because these forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, there are important factors that could cause actual Trading Statement to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Among other risks and uncertainties, the material or principal factors which could cause actual Trading Statement to differ materially are: Unilever’s global brands not meeting consumer preferences; Unilever’s ability to innovate and remain competitive; Unilever’s investment choices in its portfolio management; the effect of climate change on Unilever’s business; Unilever’s ability to find sustainable solutions to its plastic packaging; significant changes or deterioration in customer relationships; the recruitment and retention of talented employees; disruptions in our supply chain and distribution; increases or volatility in the cost of raw materials and commodities; the production of safe and high quality products; secure and reliable IT infrastructure; execution of acquisitions, divestitures and business transformation projects; economic, social and political risks and natural disasters; financial risks; failure to meet high and ethical standards; and managing regulatory, tax and legal matters. A number of these risks have increased as a result of the current Covid-19 pandemic. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this document. Except as required by any applicable law or regulation, the Group expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Group’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Further details of potential risks and uncertainties affecting the Group are described in the Group’s filings with the London Stock Exchange, Euronext Amsterdam and the US Securities and Exchange Commission, including in the Unilever Annual Report and Accounts 2020. 2
Contents 2021 Overview Alan Jope 2021 Results Graeme Pitkethly Strategic Priorities Alan Jope 2022 Outlook Graeme Pitkethly 4
2021 Delivery Competitive Q4 Growth FY Growth Pricing Growth Growth Underlying Sales Growth Underlying Sales Growth 4.9% 4.1% 4.9% 4.5% 1.6% 53% % Business Winning MAT1 0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% Underlying Volume Growth Underlying Volume Growth FY'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 1Moving Annual Total / Last 52 weeks 5
2021 Delivery Margin Earnings Cash Underlying Operating Margin Underlying EPS Free Cash Flow 18.4% 5.5% €6.4bn -10bps 7.8% -€1.3bn vs 2020 Constant Underlying EPS vs 2020 6
Historical performance USG % 3.2% 2-year CAGR 4.5% 3.6% 3.2% 2.9% 2.8% 1.9% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 %Business Winning (MAT) UOM % 53% 53% 19.1% 51% 18.6% 18.5% 18.4% 44% 44% 17.7% 42% 16.4% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 USG: 2016-2018 restated due to treatment of hyperinflation 7 UOM: 2017 & 2018 restated due to treatment of IFRS16
2021 Performance summary Growth momentum building Stepped up pricing in inflationary environment Earnings growth Competitiveness maintained 8
4.5% 1.6% 2.9% Underlying Sales Growth FY USG FY UVG FY UPG USG 3.5% 5.7% 5.0% 2.5% 4.9% 2 year 2.8% 2.3% 3.4% 4.2% average • Step up in 2-year average growth through the year UPG • Continue to land pricing as 4.9% inflation increases UVG Flat • Some volume elasticity as a result Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 10
FY 2021: Turnover growth +3.4% A&D 1.3% (0.1)% USG 4.5% 1.4% (2.4)% 2.9% €53.9bn 1.6% €52.4bn €50.7bn FY 2020 UVG UPG Acquisitions Disposals FY 2021 Currency FY 2021 (Constant) (Current) 11
3.8% 0.8% 3.0% Beauty & Personal Care FY USG FY UVG FY UPG 4% 4% 0% Deodorant, Hair, Oral, Skin Care1 Q4 USG FY USG 2-yr CAGR • Pricing stepping-up across all categories • Social occasions return but remain below pre-Covid levels 3% (3)% 6% Skin Cleansing Q4 USG FY USG 2-yr CAGR • Prestige Beauty growth remains strong • Skin Cleansing +13% vs 20192 1Excludes Prestige 2Average 2020 fx 12 rates
5.6% 2.9% 2.7% Foods & Refreshment FY USG FY UVG FY UPG 0% 2% 6% In-Home Q4 USG FY USG 2-yr CAGR • In-Home growth against high base driven by strong core brands and innovation • Food Service recovery accelerating throughout the 21% 23% (4)% year (-9% vs 2019) 1 Out of Home Q4 USG FY USG 2-yr CAGR • Out of Home Ice Cream still impacted by travel restrictions (-9% vs 2019) 1 1Average 2020 fx 13 rates
3.9% 0.7% 3.1% Home Care FY USG FY UVG FY UPG 8% 6% 4% Laundry Q4 USG FY USG 2-yr CAGR • Significant pricing taken in H2 • Clean Future innovation landing across markets (5)% (4)% 6% Home & Hygiene Q4 USG FY USG 2-yr CAGR • Home & Hygiene lapping strong base (+13% vs 2019) 1 1Average 2020 fx 14 rates
Regional growth by quarter Asia / AMET / RUB Latin America €24bn TO €6bn TO 8.5% 11.9% 9.9% 8.7% 9.0% U SG 7.2% 5.7% 5.7% 5.8% 5.8% 2.3% 13.9% U PG 2.6% 2.7% 8.9% 4.3% 3.0% U VG 1.3% 0.1% - 4.8% Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 FY'21 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 FY'21 North America Europe €11bn TO €11bn TO U SG 7.1% 6.5% 4.3% 4.0% U PG 2.0% 3.4% 0.4% 1.1% 5.3% 0.8% 0.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% U VG 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% - 1.5% -2.3% -0.8% Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 FY'21 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 FY'21 15
FY 2021: Underlying operating margin (10)bps €7.0bn1 0.2% (1.2)% 0.9% Includes C ovid costs & mix +30bps unwind 18.5% 18.4% FY 2020 Gross Margin Brand & Marketing Overheads FY 2021 Investment 1BMI FY spend at constant fx rates 16
FY 2021: Underlying earnings per share C urrent underlying EPS +5.5% C onstant underlying EPS +7.8% 0.1% 0.5% 1.3% (1.8)% 0.9% (2.3)% 7.7% € 2.69 €2.68 € 2.67 € 2.66 € 2.64 € 2.64 € 2.61 € 2.62 € 2.48 € 2.48 FY 2020 Turnover & Finance cost Tax Minorities SBB Other FY 2021 Currency FY 2021 operational (Constant) (Current) performance 17
2021 vs multi-year financial framework Growth Profit Cash Underlying sales Profit growth ahead Sustained strong cash growth ahead of our of USG flow markets 3-5% USG 4.5% -10bps €6.4bn UOM Long term value creation Growing dividend though earnings growth 5.5% +3% 18
2021 vs other long term financial metrics Savings Restructuring Savings Restructuring Savings Restructuring ROIC Savings Restructuring Leverage Savings Restructuring investment investment investment investment Ambition €2bn €2bn Mid to 2.0x Per annum Over ‘21 and ‘22 high teens approx. 2021 €2bn €0.6bn 17.2% 2.2x 19
Performance summary Growth momentum building Stepped up pricing in inflationary environment Earnings growth Competitiveness maintained 20
Alan Jope Strategic Priorities 10th February 2022
Five clear strategic priorities 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Accelerate Purpose -led, Move Win with Lead in future-fit USA, India, portfolio into brands and channels of organisation China and high growth innovation the future & culture EMs spaces 22
Five clear strategic priorities 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Accelerate Purpose -led, Move Win with Lead in future-fit USA, India, portfolio into brands and channels of organisation China and high growth innovation the future & culture EMs spaces 23
1. Winning with our brands Product Bigger, better 13 €1bn brands superiority innovations 6.4% FY’21 USG 50% of TO 71% >€1bn of turnover tested incremental turnover winning vs competition through bigger, vs better innovations 47% in 2019 (2021) 24
Five clear strategic priorities 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Accelerate Purpose -led, Move Win with Lead in future-fit USA, India, portfolio into brands and channels of organisation China and high growth innovation the future & culture EMs spaces 25
2. Accelerating in USA, India and China €9.9bn €5.6bn €3.3bn FY’21 TO FY’21 TO FY’21 TO 13.4% 14.3% 7.7% 11.2% 7.7% 6.1% 6.9% 7.9% 3.7% USG% 4.2% 0.9% 2.0% 0% 0.2% -1.7% '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 >75% >55% 60% >65% %BW 20% (MAT) '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 26
Five clear strategic priorities 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Accelerate Purpose -led, Move Win with Lead in future-fit USA, India, portfolio into brands and channels of organisation China and high growth innovation the future & culture EMs spaces 27
3. Channels - eCommerce 44% eCom 2021 eCom USG Turnover contribution Omni USA 13% +31% +13% Pure play India +24% +200% + 2% eB2B China +91% +25% '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 28
Five clear strategic priorities 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Accelerate Purpose -led, Move Win with Lead in future-fit USA, India, portfolio into brands and channels of organisation China and high growth innovation the future & culture EMs spaces 29
4. A new, future-fit organisation Simpler, faster, more category focused Unilever Corporate Centre Business Groups Beauty & Personal Home Nutrition Ice Cream Wellbeing Care Care Unilever Business Operations 30
4. A new, future-fit organisation Corporate Centre Beauty & Home Personal Care Nutrition Ice Cream Wellbeing Care Hair Care Skin Cleansing Fabric Cleaning Scratch Cooking Ice Cream Skin Care Deodorant Fabric Enhancers Healthy Snacking Prestige Oral Care Home & Hygiene Functional Nutrition Vitamins Minerals & Dollar Shave Club Water & Air Plant-based Meat Supplements Elida Beauty UFS Geographic Geographic Geographic Geographic Geographic Business Units Business Units Business Units Business Units Business Units Business Operations 31
4. A new, future-fit organisation Jan 22 July 22 • Designed to further improve performance • €0.6 bn savings • 15% reduction in senior Go Live Reorganisation announced management positions • H1 reported on • 5% reduction in junior current 3 Divisions management positions • Q 3 onwards reported on 5 Business Groups 32
Five clear strategic priorities 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Accelerate Purpose -led, Move Win with Lead in future-fit USA, India, portfolio into brands and channels of organisation China and high growth innovation the future & culture EMs spaces 33
5. Portfolio change Acquisitions Disposals Portfolio rotation (‘17-’21 % of TO) €16bn capital invested €11bn proceeds in 29 acquisitions from 12 disposals since 2017 since 2017 17% 13% O ther 7% Functional O ther Pre stige Nutrition 2% 17% 43% Te a 98% 33% 93% Spreads BPC 65% 33% UL Peers avg 34
5. Portfolio change ‘21 USG contribution High teens ROIC maintained (bps contribution to ’21 USG from acquisitions throughout period of significant portfolio rotation and disposals since ‘17) 4.5% 19% 19% 0.4% 18% 18% 17% 0.7% 3.4% USG USG USG 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 excl. acquisitions & acquisitions disposals disposals (estimated) 35
5. Portfolio change Strong M&A track record in key growth categories (Performance and FY’21 TO of major recent acquisitions) 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 Blueair DSC C arver Q uala Sundial €230m €230m €310m €270m €300m 2015-21 Prestige Beauty 2020-21 €1bn Functional Nutrition €1.5bn 2021 36% (4)% 2% 2% 28% 24% 22% USG 36
5. Portfolio change Functional Prestige Beauty Bps contribution to Nutrition1 USG Q4 18% | FY 24% Unilever USG% USG Q4 27% | FY 22% #2 #1 60 70 Skincare brand Kids multivitamin in Sephora brand on Amazon (Tatcha) (SmartyPants) 40 40 #1 #1 10 Professional Hydration 0 skincare brand globally brand globally (Liquid IV) FY '19 FY '20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 (Dermalogica) 1Health Food Drinks + Vitamins, Minerals & Supplements 37
Key messages • Focused on maximising performance from existing portfolio • Exiting 2021 with momentum • Responding to unprecedented inflation with strong pricing • Organisational change will be an accelerant • Disciplined capital allocation will continue 38
Graeme Pitkethly 2022 Outlook 10th February 2022
Capital allocation Operational investment Portfolio reshape €3bn Returns to shareholders share buyback over 2022/2023 40
Unprecedented inflation, margin recovers Margin to be restored after 2022, with the majority coming back in 2023 G M (bps) (150) 100 (30) (160) 30 110 10 80 50 60 50 30 (55) (120) Includes Covid costs & mix UPG% 4.5 7.2% (90)bps headwind 4.4 4.8% 8.0% 7.0% 4.3 4.2 3.3% 2.9% 6.0% 4.1 4.0 1.6% 5.0% 4.0% 3.9 3.8 0.3% 3.6 3.0% 2.0% 3.7 3.6 1.0% 3.5 3.4 0.0% (1.0)% 3.3 3.2 (2.0)% 3.1 3.0 (3.0)% (4.0)% 2.9 2.8 (5.0)% (6.0)% 2.7 2.6 2.4 (7.0)% 2.5 2.4 (8.0)% (9.0)% NMI 1 2.3 2.2 (10.0)% (€bn) 2.1 2.0 (11.0)% (12.0)% 1.9 1.8 (13.0)% (14.0)% 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.3 (15.0)% 1.5 1.4 (16.0)% (17.0)% 1.3 1.2 (18.0)% 1.1 1.0 (19.0)% (20.0)% 0.9 0.8 0.6 (21.0)% (22.0)% 0.7 0.6 (23.0)% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 (24.0)% (25.0)% 0.3 0.2 (26.0)% 0.1 0.0 (27.0)% (28.0)% (0.1) (0.2) (29.0)% (30.0)% (0.3) (0.4) (31.0)% (0.5) (32.0)% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1 Net Material Inflation = market inflation post impacts of hedging, procurement actions, product reformulations and currency movements 41
Outlook 2022 Priorities 2022 Guidance C ontinuing growth momentum 4.5-6.5% price led growth Maintain competitive levels of spend in BMI, R&D and Managing inflationary pressure while investing for growth C apex • FY UOM 16-17%, down by 140-240bps Implementing new operating model • H1 more heavily impacted than H2 • Expect margin to be restored through 2023 and 2024 42
Unilever Full Year 2021 Results & Strategic Update Alan Jope & Graeme Pitkethly 10th February 2022
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