Travel Recovery Trend Report - 2021 | Q4 - Expedia Media Solutions
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Maintaining Momentum When we last left off in 2021, we were adjusting to impacts from the Delta variant of COVID-19 but still seeing improvements, as highlighted in our Q3 2021 Travel Recovery Trend Report. Then in Q4 Omicron arrived. But throughout 2021 we saw promising trends across the industry, including consistent global search volumes in Q3 and Q4, and more international destinations appearing on regional top 10 destination lists. Plus, looking at 2021 as a whole, searches were up 70% compared to 2020. After nearly two years of the pandemic, consumers have learned how to travel under ever- changing circumstances, based on their comfort level and local government and health guidance. We anticipate that travelers will continue to adapt their travel behaviors and preferences as the landscape changes. Year-over-year progress is encouraging, and we remain confident in the power of travel and the resilience of both the industry and travelers. In this Q4 2021 report, we share a snapshot of the latest quarterly trends, gathered from more than 300 petabytes of exclusive Expedia Group first-party data and custom research. As we enter another year of the pandemic, we will continue to share data and insights on shifting traveler behaviors and attitudes around the world to help our partners, travel marketers, and the industry on the continued road to recovery. Connect with us for more specific data on your region and destination, and subscribe to our blog for more trends and regional insights. With that, let’s take a look at the leading trends from Q4 2021. JENNIFER Andre Global Vice President Expedia Group Media Solutions Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 2
Q4 Snapshot Appetite for Travel Continues to Grow Despite a bumpy quarter, there is still a tremendous appetite for travel compared to 2020. Global search volume in Q4 was flat quarter-over-quarter, but up over 70% year-over-year, indicating that travelers are still eager to get away. In APAC, search volumes were up nearly 35% over Q3, driven by additional vaccinated travel lanes and international border reopenings in several countries, including Australia. Search Windows Lengthen as Borders Reopen As more borders around the world reopened to international travelers in Q4, and travel shoppers booked ahead for the winter holiday season, global share of searches in the 31+ day search window grew 15% quarter-over-quarter, taking share primarily from the 0- to 21–day search window. Regionally, EMEA saw the greatest swing toward longer search windows, with the 31+ day search window increasing 30% over Q3. Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 3
Q4 Snapshot Consistent Demand for Long-Haul Destinations Building on a trend that started emerging in Q2, demand was sustained for destinations beyond travelers’ home regions, and big cities continued to be an attractive choice for travelers around the world. The number one booked destination for each region was consistent with Q3 standings, but APAC had four new destinations enter the top 10 in Q4 – more than any other region. Vacation Rentals Maintain Popularity In Q4, global lodging bookings (including both hotels and vacation rentals) were up more than 50% year-over-year. Looking at quarter-over- quarter demand globally, in Q4 there was a shift from hotels to vacation rentals, prompted in large part by the busy holiday travel season and vacation rentals’ continued popularity among friends and families traveling together. Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 4
Q4 Deep Dive Appetite for Travel Continues to Grow Evidence continues to build that travel shoppers are ready to see the world again. Compared to Q3, overall global search volume in Q4 remained relatively flat, but when compared to the same period in 2020, global search volume was up 70%. Our first-party data is further supported by recent insights from Expedia Group’s Traveler Value Index: 2022 Outlook, a global survey of 5,500 adults in eight countries: the U.S., Canada, Mexico, UK, France, Germany, Japan, and Australia. The survey found that 81% of travelers are planning to take a leisure trip in the next six months, with North American and European travelers showing the greatest propensity to travel for leisure during Q4 | 2021 Destinations Super-Regions | WoW Search % Change NORAM APAC EMEA LATAM Feb-21 Apr-21 Jun-21 Aug-21 Oct-21 Dec-21 Source: Expedia Group data, Q1-Q4 2021 Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 5
Q4 Deep Dive the same time (86%). Furthermore, 1 in 5 plan on taking three or more leisure trips – a powerful opportunity for travel marketers to convert eager and enthusiastic travelers. In APAC, search volumes were up nearly 35% over Q3, driven by additional travel green lanes and international border reopenings in various countries, including Australia, Singapore, and Fiji. Campaign Spotlight +25% week-over-week lift Unsurprisingly, given the in APAC international importance of tourism to its searches following economy, the Fijian tourist Australia’s announcement industry chose to accompany that it would reopen its its border reopening with borders to international marketing designed to entice travelers in November still-cautious travelers. As such, Fiji Airways’ “Welcome to Our Home” advertising campaign highlighted the enhanced safety measures the airline has taken to reassure travelers, while display advertising campaigns on Expedia Group sites targeted fully vaccinated Australian travelers looking for a getaway. Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 6
Q4 Deep Dive Global Search Demand Trends Insights from the Traveler Value As with prior quarters, week-over-week Index: 2022 Outlook revealed global searches spiked around major that more than 50% of cruise announcements and industry activity. travelers said border openings and government-led initiatives have a Australia’s Re-opening Gives Q4 strong impact on their likelihood to a Positive Start travel, illustrating just how influential Following Australia’s October 1 restrictions and changes are announcement that it would reopen on traveler decision-making. its borders to international travelers in November, global searches increased 5% This eagerness for travel is week-over-week. And during the week of complemented by an apparent October 11, APAC international searches resilience in the traveler mindset. saw a 25% lift week-over-week. We saw this in cancelation rates for lodging, which remained End to U.S. Border Restrictions Provides flat throughout Q4 despite the a Global Boost continued and unpredictable On November 8, the U.S. reopened its headwinds of the pandemic. borders to vaccinated travelers from 33 countries, including most of the EU, UK, India, Canada, China, and Brazil, resulting in a week-over-week lift in searches globally, and a 10% lift in searches by LATAM shoppers. Searches Spike at the End of December Global week-over-week searches spiked during the week of December 27, possibly due to travelers reacting to thousands of delayed or canceled flights. However, this heightened interest has been sustained into the first weeks of 2022, with global, NORAM, and EMEA search volumes even higher during the first two weeks of January compared to the last week of December 2021. Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 7
Q4 Deep Dive NORAM Search Demand Trends Cyber Monday Travel Deals Spurred experienced ups and downs Domestic Searches during the past two years, the During the week of November 29, year-over-year comparison following the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, indicates just how far cruising has NORAM saw a 10% week-over-week come compared to 2020. NORAM increase in domestic searches, likely cruise searches in Q4 2021 were up spurred by travel deals promoted during 50% year-over-year, and bookings Black Friday, Cyber Monday, and Travel were up more than 500%. Tuesday shopping events. U.S. Border Reopening Piques Interest for German Travelers Search volume for trips from Germany to the U.S. jumped more than 300% from October to December 2021, moving from the 43rd position to 13th among searches for Q4. NORAM Cruise Searches Spiked with Industry Updates and Announcements During the week of November 22, when multiple cruise lines announced restart plans, NORAM cruise searches increased 55% week-over-week. We saw a subsequent 20% week-over-week lift during the week of December 13, possibly due to the christening of two new cruise ships (Carnival Radiance and Enchanted Princess) and the announcement of Norwegian Cruise Line’s seasonal homeporting in Panama City. Although the cruise industry has Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 8
Q4 Deep Dive Search Windows Lengthen with Border Reopenings As borders around the world continued reopening to international travelers in Q4, we saw lengthening global search windows. 40% of global searches fell within the 31+ day search window, a 15% increase over Q3, taking share primarily from the 0- to 21–day search window. Loosened international travel restrictions enabled travelers to start dreaming about or planning trips further out, following the trends we saw in Q2 2021. Regionally, EMEA saw the greatest the 31+ day search window, while LATAM swing toward longer search was flat. windows in Q4, with the 31+ day search window increasing 30% over Domestic Search Window Q3. NORAM and APAC saw minor In Q4, 60% of global domestic searches shifts in search window share for fell within the 0- to 21–day search 2020-2021 Global Traveler Search Windows | Week over Week % Change 0-21 Days 22-30 Days 31-60 Days 61-90 Days Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Source: Expedia Group data, Q2 2020-Q4 2021 Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 9
Q4 Deep Dive Q4 | 2021 Super Region Search Window Domestic vs. International 0-21 Days 22-30 Days 31-60 Days 61-90 Days 91-180 Days 180+ Days Domestic International Domestic International Domestic International Domestic International APAC EMEA LATAM NORAM Source: Expedia Group data, Q4 2021 window, a slight decline quarter- experienced large share swings across over-quarter, as travelers searched most regions. When comparing the start for domestic trips further out. of Q4 to the end of Q4, the share of NORAM, EMEA and APAC all international searches in the 0- to 60– saw a lift in the 31+ day domestic day search window in APAC and LATAM search window, with all three increased 20% and 10% respectively, regions up more than 10% while EMEA saw a 10% decline for quarter-over-quarter. the same period and search window. NORAM international searches for the International Search Window same period were steady throughout More borders opened around the quarter. the world, resulting in changes to international search window share quarter-over-quarter and fluctuations throughout Q4. 40% of global international searches occurred in the 0- to 21–day 40% search window, a 10% percent of global decline from Q3, while share for searches fell the 31- to 90–day search window within the 31+ grew 20% quarter-over-quarter. day search window Throughout Q4, the 0- to 60–day international search window Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 10
Q4 Deep Dive Consistent Demand for Long-haul Destinations (with More to Come) The trend that we first identified in Q2, of travelers looking and booking destinations further afield—outside of their region of the world—continued into Q4. LATAM led this trend, to the extent that five out of the top 10 most in-demand destinations for travelers living there were located in other parts of the world. Plus, non-APAC destinations— Dubai and Honolulu—made up two of the four new entrants to the APAC top 10, with Sydney and Singapore also joining that list. In contrast, North America–based travelers continued to book closer to home, with Cancun being the Top 10 Booked Destinations | Q4 2021 *New Top 10 destination Seoul London Mexico City New York Tokyo Dubai New York Las Vegas Seogwipo New York Cancun Orlando APAC EMEA LATAM NORAM Sydney* Paris Rio de Janeiro Los Angeles New York Istanbul Sao Paulo Cancun Singapore* Copenhagen Paris Miami* Busan Stockholm Orlando* Chicago Dubai* Amsterdam* Playa del Carmen Honolulu Honolulu* Berlin Las Vegas Atlanta* London Barcelona Madrid San Francisco* Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 11
Q4 Deep Dive only destination outside the region making the top 10 list for NORAM bookers. However, this tendency looks likely to change in 2022: Expedia’s 2022 Travel Trends Report found that 68% of Americans are planning to go big on their next trip, and many are eyeing intercontinental destinations like Rome, Bali, London, and Campaign Spotlight Paris in 2022. Another enduring trend is the renewed attraction of big cities. As previously, New York featured in The destination marketing the top 10 list in terms of bookings organization, VisitScotland, from all regions, while all of the provides a good example of how new entrants to the chart for North travel marketers have adapted American bookings were major to the gradual re-opening of cities, namely Miami, Atlanta, international travel. VisitScotland and San Francisco. was able to widen the targeting of its range of creative advertising campaigns—from a domestic focus to one including selected high-value international travelers (notably those from the U.S., 68% Canada, France, and Germany)— at the right time thanks to insights of Americans provided by Expedia Group are planning to Media Solutions’ real-time search go big on their and booking data. This well- next trip, and timed change of targeting has many are eyeing seen VisitScotland’s campaigns intercontinental generate successful returns, such destinations as a Return on Ad Spend (ROAS) of 50 to 1 for U.S. travelers. For more information, check out this blog post. Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 12
Q4 Deep Dive Strong Room Night Demand Growth This quarter, among the top 25 global destinations, Paris, Dubai, Mexico City, Tokyo, and Madrid all saw double-digit growth in hotel bookings quarter-over- quarter, with Dubai moving from the 18th position in Q3 to the 6th position in Q4, driven by a 40% increase in room night bookings quarter-over-quarter. During the same period, Tokyo moved from 41st to 24th, Mexico City moved from 23rd to 17th, and Paris moved from 12th to 5th. In APAC, and despite COVID starting to spread more widely in Australia than previously in the pandemic, Melbourne and Sydney moved up the rankings throughout Q4. Melbourne moved from 26th position to 7th, driven by a more than 100% increase in room night bookings between October and December, while Sydney saw double- digit increases in bookings during the same period, moving from 22nd to 8th. To find out more about these trends in more detail, follow the Expedia Group Media Solutions blog, where we’ll be posting analyses for specific regions and industries. Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 13
Q4 Deep Dive Vacation Rentals Maintain Popularity In Q4, global lodging bookings— for hotels and vacation rentals combined—were up more than 50% year-over-year. Comparing bookings in Q3 and Q4, there was a shift in share from hotels to vacation rentals – no doubt prompted by the busy holiday travel season and continued popularity of vacation rentals among friends and family groups. LATAM had a particularly strong quarter for vacation rental bookings, which were up more than 100% quarter-over-quarter. survey fielded by Vrbo in the U.S. found The average length of stay for that 60% of families said they plan to vacation rentals in Q4 increased book future vacations earlier than they slightly to 5.4 days, up from the 5.2 did in pre-pandemic times. days seen throughout Q2 and Q3. In EMEA, the average vacation Vacation Rental Destination Trends rental length of stay surpassed the Domestic travel continues to dominate one-week mark, at 7.1 days. the vacation rental space, with most top destinations reflecting the According to the 2022 Vrbo respective regions. Destinations within Trend Report, booking activity Australia, France, and Brazil largely on Vrbo in 2021 occurred on made up the top 10 Vrbo booked average 2-3 months earlier than destinations list in APAC, EMEA, and usual for several major travel LATAM, respectively, with a few seasons, including summer and international destinations making the the holidays, and this behavior is list. Kissimmee, Florida, was at the top expected to continue this year. A of the list for EMEA bookers. Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 14
Q4 Deep Dive As the season shifted from fall to winter in the northern hemisphere, American travelers sought warm The average weather getaways and beachfront length of stay for destinations in Florida, Hawaii, and vacation rentals South Carolina—consistent with in Q4 increased Q3—but destinations in Hawaii slightly to 5.4 days, up from the 5.2 days moved up the rankings in Q4 seen throughout claiming the 3rd and 4th spots on Q2 and Q3. the list. Only two new destinations appeared on the top 10 list in Q4. Breckenridge, a popular ski resort town in Colorado, took the 8th position, followed by Naples, Florida, in 9th. Top 10 Vrbo Booked Destinations | Q4 2021 *New Top 10 destination Cowes, Australia Paris, France Rye, Australia Kissimmee, Florida Surfers Paradise, Australia Bourg-Saint-Maurice, France APAC EMEA Noosa Heads, Australia Playa Blanca, Spain Nelson Bay, Australia Gérardmer, France Dunsborough, Australia Morzine, France Port Macquarie, Australia London, UK Culburra Beach, Australia Davenport, Florida Byron Bay, Australia Les Belleville, France Sorrento, Australia Porto-Vecchio, France Ubatuba, Brazil Kissimmee, Florida Guarujá, Brazil Panama City Beach, Florida São Paulo, Brazil Lahaina, Hawaii LATAM NORAM Praia Grande, Brazil Kihei, Hawaii Bertioga, Brazil Gulf Shores, Alabama Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Sevierville, Tennessee São Sebastião, Brazil Hilton Head Island, South Cabo Frio, Brazil Carolina Florianópolis, Brazil Breckenridge, Colorado* Caraguatatuba, Brazil Naples, Florida* Destin, Florida Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 15
Looking Forward Sustainability Focus for Destinations and Lodging Providers We tracked travelers’ growing preference for sustainable travel throughout 2021, and awareness on this topic looks set to continue increasing in 2022. As we saw in the Traveler Value Index: 2022 Outlook, 59% of shoppers remain willing to pay more for sustainable travel options, while half will take overtourism into account when selecting a vacation destination. But this trend is not specific to destination decisions. The sustainability credentials of lodging providers are also gaining attention from travelers. Data from post-stay reviews collected from Expedia Group brands shows terms related to sustainability and eco-friendliness being mentioned twice as often in January 2022 as they were in January 2021. According to this reviews-based data, the top five most prominent sustainability-related amenities are: 1. Electric car charging stations 2. Solar energy 3. Recycling 4. Elimination of single-use plastics 5. Eco-friendly (LED) lighting Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 16
Big Opportunities for Small(er) redemptions applied to more bookings Destinations last year than in 2019. Data from the 2022 Vrbo Trend Report revealed that vacation Additionally, costs related to points rental demand in secondary redemption may be offset by greater cities in the U.S.—like Cincinnati, booking values for accommodation Ohio, and Niagara Falls, New providers. Expedia’s loyalty program, York—doubled year-over-year, Expedia Rewards, consistently sees and 49% of respondents in the average booking values up to 13% higher Travel Value Index: 2022 Outlook from members compared to bookings survey said they would choose from non-members. a less crowded destination in an effort to adapt their travel plans Growth in loyalty program membership around the pandemic. Looking also points to a big year ahead. As an ahead to 2022, these trends may example, 140% more travelers joined trickle down to other regions Expedia Rewards in December 2021 and traveler groups, creating versus December 2019. an opportunity for emerging destinations outside of major metro areas to target travelers looking for a mix of outdoor recreation and urban cityscapes. Important Year for Loyalty Programs Another notable finding in the Traveler Value Index: 2022 Outlook was that 40% of travelers intend to use loyalty points for trips this year. Hotels.com Rewards, the Hotels.com loyalty program, started seeing this trend emerge in 2021, with Ready For more specifics on our traveler data and insights, and how we can to get help with recovery, reach out to your Expedia Group Media Solutions started? representative or Contact Us on our website. Expedia Group™ Media Solutions 17
Expedia Group Media Solutions is a global travel advertising platform that connects marketers with hundreds of millions of travelers across the Expedia Group brands. With our exclusive access to 300 petabytes of Expedia Group traveler search and booking data, we offer advertisers actionable insights, sophisticated targeting, and full-funnel results reporting. Our suite of solutions includes display, sponsored listings, audience extension, co-op campaigns, and custom creative campaigns – all designed for our branded sites globally to add value to our travel shoppers and deliver on the objectives of our advertising partners. We bring more than 20 years of travel and media experience to help our advertising partners inspire, engage, and convert travelers for meaningful results. For more information, visit www.advertising.expedia.com. LEARN MORE ABOUT US: FOLLOW US ON: OUR ADVERTISING SOLUTIONS LINKEDIN advertising.expedia.com linkedin.com/company/expedia-group- media-solutions/ DISCOVER MORE INSIGHTS TWITTER advertising.expedia.com/blog twitter.com/expediamedia 2021 Expedia, Inc. All rights reserved.
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