The View From the Top - Mark Cuban talks adapting to a COVID-19 world, diversity and inclusion, and more - Meridian Compensation Partners

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The View From the Top - Mark Cuban talks adapting to a COVID-19 world, diversity and inclusion, and more - Meridian Compensation Partners
An Equilar publication
                                       Issue 34, Fall 2020

        The View
        From the Top
        Mark Cuban talks adapting
        to a COVID-19 world,
        diversity and inclusion,
        and more
                                                                                  FEATURING
                                                                                  CEO Pay by U.S. President &
                                                                                  Interview with Shellye Archambeau

Critical governance issues post-pandemic                     The rising role of General Counsel
Demystifying data science for board members                  Setting incentives in uncertain times
How CEO pay ratios affect Say on Pay                         Executive equity awards and the pandemic
The View From the Top - Mark Cuban talks adapting to a COVID-19 world, diversity and inclusion, and more - Meridian Compensation Partners
28   PERFORMANCE REVIEW   examining incentive design

       Redefining Success
                           Incentive design
                           and goal-setting in
                           uncertain times

                           By Ryan C. Harvey and
                           Ron Rosenthal

                           MERIDIAN COMPENSATION
                           PARTNERS, LLC

                                                       PM Images/gettyimges.com
The View From the Top - Mark Cuban talks adapting to a COVID-19 world, diversity and inclusion, and more - Meridian Compensation Partners
29

T
                    o state the obvious, 2020 has      approach was commonly used in the Great Recession in 2009 and may be
                    been an unprecedented year.        a helpful approach if there is limited confidence in 2021 target setting. (See
                    The impact of the COVID-19         Figures 1 and 2.)
                    pandemic and the resulting           While a 12-month performance period has long been the standard
                    economic shock has led many        approach for most annual incentive plans, if uncertainty is particularly
                    compensation committees to         high in 2021, companies could also consider the use of two semi-annual
                    wrestle with the treatment of      or four quarterly performance periods. Under this approach, the target
2020 annual incentives, given the dramatic change      bonus opportunity is allocated amongst each performance period. Goals
in business conditions since the first quarter of      are established at the beginning of each period, and the payout earned is
the year. Depending on the industry and unique         determined following the end of each period (and either paid currently
circumstances of the company, we are likely to see     or “banked” and paid following the end of the full year). The compensation
a wide spectrum of approaches adopted—from             committee would have an opportunity to consider changes in the economic
companies that leave 2020 incentives unchanged         environment and business expectations when setting targets for subsequent
to companies that modify incentive plan goals to       performance periods, allowing for a more dynamic goal-setting process.
reflect the new business conditions.                     Dividing an annual incentive into shorter performance periods adds some
  As companies prepare for 2021, developing            complexity to the plan design, increases the need for frequent participant
appropriate incentive compensation arrangements        communication and no longer ties the annual incentive to achievement of
and performance goals becomes the next major           the annual budget/operating plan. However, in a highly volatile economic
challenge. Even in an ordinary year, establishing      environment, this approach can help avoid setting performance goals that
incentive plan goals is often challenging. However,    the board and management
2021 could be one of the more challenging years        later find to be regrettable      Figure 1
in recent memory for setting performance targets       based on changing                 Typical Performance Curve
given the uncertain economic and political             business conditions.
                                                                                                                        200
environment. Companies must continue to balance          Companies could
                                                                                         Payout (Percent of Target Bonus)

the motivation and competitiveness of incentives       also review the type
with setting appropriate goals that align with         and weighting of
investor expectations and hold executives              performance metrics                                              150
accountable for performance. In the balance of         for 2021. While financial
this article, we will explore alternative approaches   metrics such as earnings
to annual and long-term incentive (LTI) plan           growth, revenue and cash                                         100
design and goal setting that companies can explore     flow typically receive
to address this increased uncertainty in 2021.         substantial weighting
                                                       in annual incentives to
                                                                                                                            50
Annual Incentive Considerations                        drive achievement of                                                      80       90        100        110       120
When addressing the difficulty of goal setting         key financial objectives,
                                                                                                                                 Performance (Percent of Target Goal)
in an uncertain environment, the first strategy        companies could consider
to consider is adjusting the slope of the              moderately decreasing the
                                                                                          Figure 2
“performance curve.” The performance curve is          weighting of such metrics
                                                                                         “Flattened” Performance Curve
simply the relationship between the performance        for 2021 to lower the risk of
goals and the corresponding incentive payout.          setting financial targets in                                     200
                                                                                         Payout (Percent of Target Bonus)

   By flattening the performance curve, a company      a period of limited visibility.
can reduce the sensitivity of incentive payouts to     Instead, companies could
business performance. This should generally apply      consider increasing the
                                                                                                                        150
to both the “upside” (achievement above target)        weighting of (or including)
and the “downside” (performance below target).         strategic, operational
A flatter performance curve reduces the likelihood     and/or ESG metrics to
                                                                                                                        100
of being “out of the money” and, similarly, reduces    drive achievement of key
the likelihood of a maximum payout if conditions       initiatives and increase
improve quicker than expected. Additionally, the       the weighting on measures
incremental change in payouts for performance          that are likely to be more                                           50
above/below target will be reduced due to the          within management’s                                                       80       90        100        110       120

flatter slope of the performance curve. This           control in 2021.                                                          Performance (Percent of Target Goal)
The View From the Top - Mark Cuban talks adapting to a COVID-19 world, diversity and inclusion, and more - Meridian Compensation Partners
30       PERFORMANCE REVIEW                            examining incentive design

Long-term Incentive Considerations
For the last decade, the majority of senior executives’ LTI opportunity

                                                                                 CONTRIBUTORS
at many companies was granted in the form of performance shares or
similar arrangements, in response to investors’ preference for strong
alignment of pay and performance. However, for companies with
significant business uncertainty in 2021 that have traditionally tied
vesting of performance shares to attainment of financial targets, the
first question that needs to be considered is whether performance shares
                                                                                                 RYAN HARVEY           RON ROSENTHAL
should be awarded in 2021. Most performance share arrangements have
                                                                                                 Partner               Lead Consultant
a three-year performance period, which only further exacerbates the                              MERIDIAN              MERIDIAN
goal-setting difficulties. While in most cases the performance/alignment                         COMPENSATION          COMPENSATION
benefits of continuing to grant performance shares will outweigh the                             PARTNERS, LLC         PARTNERS, LLC
goal-setting challenges, some companies may consider reducing the
weighting of, or eliminating, performance shares for 2021 annual grants
and re-allocating the target opportunity to either time-vested stock options               prevalence of market share metrics or even
and/or restricted share units.                                                            relative financial metrics, if companies are
  For the majority of companies that choose to maintain the use of                         willing to use unadjusted GAAP results.
performance shares in 2021, some of the same considerations discussed                           Most performance share arrangements
previously for annual incentive plans will apply to performance share goal                measure performance over three years.
setting. For example, companies could consider flattening the performance                  Measuring performance over a multi-year period
curve to address uncertainty.                                                              will continue to be the ideal. However, another
  Additionally, a company might consider the use of relative metrics,                      approach that can address uncertainty is to use
where appropriate. Measuring performance relative to other companies                      three one-year performance periods. A goal-setting
eliminates the challenge of setting an absolute goal. However, incorporating               approach for such a design that can be particularly
a relative metric requires the availability of comparable peer companies                  effective is to set three annual growth goals with
with similar business dynamics. It also requires companies to identify a                  each year’s growth calculated based on the prior
metric that is easily comparable across companies without adjustments.                    year’s actual performance. All three annual growth
Total shareholder return (TSR) is the most widely used relative metric, and               targets are set at the beginning of the three-year
we may see increased use of TSR as a metric in 2021.                                                                     period. However, each
Where appropriate, we may also see an increase in the                                                                    year’s performance

                                                                       2020 has truly been                               is measured
Figure 3                                                                                                                 independently based
Payout Scale for Illustrative Arrangement in Figure 4                  an “unprecedented”                                on its growth over

                                                                       year, and 2021 is                                 the prior year. This
                         THRESHOLD       TARGET        MAXIMUM                                                           allows for some
                                                                       shaping up to be                                  opportunity to earn
  Annual EPS Growth             5%        10%            15%

  Payout (% of Target)          50%       100%          200%
                                                                       nearly as challenging.                            an incentive even if
                                                                                                                         performance for one
                                                                                                                         of the years is well
Figure 4                                                                                   below expectations. Likewise, if a single year is
Hypothetical Performance and Payout                                                        well above expected performance, the following
                                                                                          year’s growth is measured from that strong year,
                                                                                          thereby increasing the required performance in
                         BASELINE        YEAR 1          YEAR 2         YEAR 3
                                                                                          the following year. (See Figures 3 and 4.)
        Target EPS          -             $3.85           $4.33          $4.62                  2020 has truly been an “unprecedented” year,
                                  +10%          +10%            +10%
        Actual EPS        $3.50          $3.94            $4.20          $4.80             and 2021 is shaping up to be nearly as challenging
                                                                                          for establishing reasonable performance targets.
     Actual Growth          -            12.50%          6.60%          14.30%
                                                                                           Companies’ approach to incentive compensation
    Annual Earned           -            150%             66%            186%              arrangements may require some unconventional
                                                                                          thinking in 2021, but should also remain true to
       Final 3-Year
                                         134%            134%            134%              strong governance and performance principles that
 Payout (averaged)
                                                                                           have guided past design, whenever possible.
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