The role of guarantee institutions - OECD & CEB webinar: Mobilising SME Finance for a Resilient, Sustainable and Inclusive Recovery - European ...

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The role of guarantee institutions - OECD & CEB webinar: Mobilising SME Finance for a Resilient, Sustainable and Inclusive Recovery - European ...
OECD & CEB webinar: Mobilising SME Finance for a
Resilient, Sustainable and Inclusive Recovery
The role of guarantee institutions
Felix HAAS VINÇON, European Association of Guarantee Institutions
The role of guarantee institutions - OECD & CEB webinar: Mobilising SME Finance for a Resilient, Sustainable and Inclusive Recovery - European ...
About AECM

 AT   aws                 DE VDB           PL BGK
      NÖBEG               GR HDB           PT BPF
 AZ   MCGF                   TMEDE         RO FGCR
 BE   Fonds Bruxellois    HU AVHGA            FNGCIMM
      PMV/z Waar-            Garantiqa        FRC
      borgen                 MVA           RU FSECA
      SOWALFIN            IE SBCI          RS GF Vojvodina
 BA   GF Srpska           IT Assoconfidi   SI SEF
 BG   NGF                    ISMEA            SRDF
      MGFSME              KX KCGF          ES CESGAR
 HR   HAMAG BICRO         LV ALTUM         CH NSGI
 CZ   CMZRB               LT Garfondas     TR KGF
 EE   KredEx                 INVEGA           TESKOMB
 FI   Finnvera            LU MC            UK BBB
 FR   Bpifrance              MPME
      EDC                 MT MDB
      SIAGI               NL RVO
      SOCAMA

Partners: REGAR, SME Finance Forum, EMGN
The role of guarantee institutions - OECD & CEB webinar: Mobilising SME Finance for a Resilient, Sustainable and Inclusive Recovery - European ...
Crisis consequences
Outstanding guarantee volume (in bEUR)                             Number of supported SMEs
                                                           330,3                                                5,2 m

                                                  +200%
                                                                                  4,0
                                                                                                     +81%
                                                                            3,6

               +27%                              115,0 110,3         +50%
                            73,9
                         70,9               74,9                                                               2,8
                     56,0                                            2,7                2,8                 2,6
29,2                                                                           2,4
                                                                            2,0
2000   2003   2006      2009       2012   2015      2018           2006    2009    2012       2015    2018

  ➢ SME support in the covid crisis – The role of Guarantee Institutions
  ➢ Statistical Yearbook 2020
                                                                                                                        3
Crisis consequences
Expected development of default rates in 2021

     69,2%                                      A number of viable firms
                                                are approaching situations
                                                of over-indebtedness
                                                → Intensity strongly
                                                depends on:
                   20,5%                        ▪ geography
                                                ▪ sector
                                 2,6%

    Increase    Remain stable   Decrease

                                                                             4
Viability assessment

▪ Portfolio guarantees:
     ➢ Assessment carried out by financing bank

▪ Individual guarantees:
     ➢ Case-by-case assessment
     ➢ Generally, no fixed set of criteria or thresholds
     ➢ Taking the individual situation of the company into account
     ➢ However, for many members: assessment bound by EU state aid rules

                                                                           5
Viability assessment

▪ Evaluation based on the following indicators (1/2):
    • 2019 balance sheet + audited profit/loss reports
         o Value of intangible and tangible assets
         o Size of current/short-term assets
         o Cash
         o Equity
         o liabilities and current/short term liabilities
         o liabilities to credit institutions
    • Equity/Debt ratio, repayment capacity, composition of debt
    • Performance/behaviour/rentability pre-covid, sales revenues, credit
        history
                                                                            6
Viability assessment

▪ Evaluation based on the following indicators (2/2):
    • Cashflow analysis and the perspectives for the business model
    • Attitude of shareholders and management, readiness to contribute
    • Soft factors and meeting the entrepreneur in person
    • Check how the company ensures a reduction of its costs to better
       survive the covid situation
     • In case of start-ups: assessment based on business concept, amount
       of capital needed, composition of entire financing, profitability
       forecast

→ Guarantee institutions take a more flexible approach than pre-covid
                                                                            7
Viability assessment

▪ In the case of restructuring, the following measures might be added:
   • Conversations with all parties involved to find a joint solution
   • Preventive measures in case of early warning signs
   • Personalised advice to companies on how to adapt their business model

▪ Involvement of AECM in a stakeholder roundtable of the European
  Commission to establish best practices for helping pandemic-hit
  businesses

▪ Joint Statement of AECM with SMEunited, Accountancy Europe and EBF:
      Call for Dialogue: Assessment of SMEs’ Post-COVID Financial Health

                                                                             8
Support of viable firms

▪ Choice of support instrument depends on individual situation of the
  company and on its project (emergency support or financing double
  transition, business transfer or…):

    1) Continued classical debt guarantee support
    2) Debt restructuring measures
    3) Leasing guarantees
    4) Involve equity or quasi-equity measures

    ➢ AECM Virtual Annual Event: Guarantees for economic recovery and to
      foster sustainable investments (22-24 September 2021)
                                                                           9
Support of viable firms

Type of products offered by AECM members

      92,3%
                        87,2%

                                                                        23,1%           23,1%
                                          10,3%          10,3%

  Guarantee on      Guarantee on       Guarantee on   Guarantee on   Direct equity   Direct quasi-
 debt for working      debt for           equity      quasi-equity                      equity
      capital     investment capital
                                                                                                     10
Wish list (non-exhaustive)

▪ Smart and cautious phase-out
    ➢ AECM position on the need to keep up enhanced guarantee support
▪ Support innovative solutions such as guarantees for equity
▪ Make InvestEU a success: fee structure, governance, reporting, sufficient
    financial resources etc.
▪   Prolongation of the state aid regime for European Guarantee Fund (EGF)
    and of the Temporary Framework (TF)
▪   Keep reporting obligations proportionate for SMEs and their financiers
▪   Basel: Full recognition of financial guarantees for capital relief
▪   …..
                                                                              11
Thanks for your attention !

                European Association of
                Guarantee Institutions
                Avenue d‘Auderghem 22-28 bte. 10
                B-1040 Brussels
                Phone: +32 2 640 51 77
                Mail:    info@aecm.eu
                Twitter: @AECMeurope
                LinkedIn: AECM
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