The Path Forward Community Broadband Assessment for Middlesex County Virginia - January 2017
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Topics • Community Profile • Current Reported Coverage • Broadband Demand • Local Assets • Review of local policies & fees • Broadband Needs • Next Steps 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 2
Before We Begin Positive impacts of broadband on household income: • gaining 4 Mbps of broadband increases household income by $2,100 per year • re-employment 25 percent faster than traditional searches • higher employment rates in rural counties Positive impacts of broadband on healthcare • enables solutions that help manage chronic diseases, like diabetes and obesity. • connecting health and broadband sectors is a path to a more connected, healthier locality. Reasons for positive impacts • boosts personal productivity, • enables more flexible work arrangements • enables home-based businesses as a replacement, or complement to an ordinary job. • enables people to be more informed, • better educated and socially and culturally enriched – fueling a faster career path. • improves access to health and care Source: The Appalachian Regional Commission (ARC) Broadband Planning Primer Toolkit https://www.arc.gov/images/programs/telecom/ARCBroadbandPlanningPrimerToolkit.pdf Connect2HealthFCC: https://www.fcc.gov.edgekey.net/health/maps 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 3
Remember the Broadband Economics? Profit/Sustainability = Revenue - CapEx + OpEx How do we make the math work for sustainability & future upgrades? How do we entice the private sector to invest? INCREASE REVENUES LOWER COSTS Adoption and Demand Local Assets/Infrastructure What you have that might be shared Population Density Policies & Fees Reduce or eliminate fees for partners Streamline permitting Community Anchor Institutions Funding Options Residents, businesses, government Public & Private Investments facilities, healthcare *Red indicates variables local governments can affect 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 4
Broadband Perspective COMMUNITY PROFILE SOURCE: HTTPS://WWW.CENSUS.GOV/ACS/WWW/DATA/DATA-TABLES-AND-TOOLS/DATA- PROFILES/2014/ 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 5
Middlesex Household Income Total Occupied Households: 4,432 Median household income: $54,452 Less than $10,000 to $15,000 to $25,000 to $35,000 to $50,000 to $75,000 to $100,000 to $150,000 to $200,000 or $10,000 $14,999 $24,999 $34,999 $49,999 $74,999 $99,999 $149,999 $199,999 more Take Away: Up to 30% may have affordability challenges 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 6
Middlesex Age and Population Total Population:10,817 Median Age: 51.5 19 and under 18% 65 and 20 to 64 older 55% 27% Take away: • Majority of population considered technology adopters. • 27% may be slow to adopt. • Largest population group; 65-74 Under 5 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 85 years and years years years years years years years years years years years over 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 7
Middlesex Populations with Special Needs With a disability 16% Middlesex survey respondents reporting a disability Yes Without a 7% disability 84% No 93% Take Away: 16% may be slow to adopt technology or need special equipment 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 8
Middlesex Educational Attainment Profile Graduate or Less than 9th grade 9th to 12th grade, no professional degree 2% diploma 10% 8% Bachelor's degree 18% High school graduate (includes equivalency) 30% Associate's degree 6% Some college, no degree 26% Take Away 10% of the population may be slow to adopt and/or less likely to subscribe to new services. From survey: 5% that report no Internet at home cite reason as digital literacy issues. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 9
Middlesex Households with K-12 Children Households with one or more people under 18 years 22% From Survey: Does your child have Internet Households access outside of school without school Don't Know aged children 3% 78% Yes No 42% 55% Take Away: 22% of households need broadband at home to support K-12 education. More than half of survey respondents report their school aged children have no Internet at home. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 10
Middlesex Households with K-12 Children Connection Types Don't know Dial-up telephone line 2% 1% Satellite 10% Cellular Cable TV modem 14% 37% Fixed Wireless 17% DSL 19% Take away: 25% of household with K12 students have inadequate connection types. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 11
Educational Related Online Activities (From Middlesex Survey) Parents that Access School Websites Respondents that use the Internet for school work or job training activities No 4% No Yes 42% Yes 58% 96% Take away: 58% of survey respondents report using the Internet for school or job training activities. Most parents use the Internet to access their child’s school website 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 12
Middlesex Housing Total housing units: 7,188 Occupied housing units: 4,432 Vacant or Seasonal housing units Occupied 38% housing units 62% Renter- occupied 17% Owner- occupied Take away: >1/3 of housing units are vacant or 83% represent seasonal/weekend homes *a vacant unit may be one which is entirely occupied by persons who have a usual residence elsewhere. Source: https://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/definitions.pdf 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 13
Middlesex Population Density Population generally low population density across the county, with concentrations of low-moderate density in the northern half of the county. Survey Response Locations: Home Home Business Business 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 14
FCC Provider Reported Data REPORTED CURRENT COVERAGE 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 15
Important note about FCC reported coverage All facilities-based broadband providers* are required to file data with the FCC twice a year (Form 477) on where they offer Internet access service at speeds exceeding 200 kbps in at least one direction. Fixed providers file lists of census blocks in which they can or do offer service to at least one location, … Mobile providers file maps of their coverage areas for each broadband technology (e.g., EV-DO, HSPA, LTE). Block-Level Deployment and Competition A provider that reports deployment of a particular technology and bandwidth in a particular census block may not necessarily offer that particular service everywhere in the census block. Accordingly, a list of providers deployed in a census block does not necessarily reflect the number of choices available to any particular household or business location in that block, and the number of such providers in the census block does not purport to measure competition. Source: Source: https://www.fcc.gov/general/broadband-deployment-data-fcc-form-477 *A Facilities-based Broadband Provider is an entity that provides broadband services over facilities it owns, provisions and/or equips. Take away – 2015 data Coverage maps are overstated ! 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 16
Middlesex DSL Coverage Verizon 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 17
Middlesex Cable Coverage Metrocast 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 18
Fiber Service Lightower 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 19
Fixed Wireless Virginia Broadband, KQVA.Net 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 20
FCC Coverage Statistics FCC Consumer Fixed BB Stats • >= 4 Mbps 96.9%* • = 10 Mbps 91.4% • >= 25 Mbps 88% Source: FCC 477 data *Percent of total households Recall: A provider that reports deployment of a particular technology and bandwidth in a particular census block may not necessarily offer that particular service everywhere in the census block. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 21
Public Safety FirstNet and No-LTE FirstNet 1x1 mile grids. Proposed terrestrial coverage Proposed non-terrestrial coverage No LTE Coverage Optional *VDEM coordinating FirstNet 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 22
Connect America Phase II CAFII Eligible Blocks (Preliminary) Potential Funding Available $108,174.93 annually, ~$650K over 6 years 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 23
CAFII & Demand Primary CAFII Areas • Church View • Jamaica • Saluda Do you have Internet at home Yes No Business 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 24
Now and Into the Future BROADBAND DEMAND 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 25
Middlesex Survey Response Locations 406 Responses, nicely scattered across county – good representation. Businesses 95% +/- 4.65% based on occupied Residential households (4,432) Means between 90.36% - 99.64% certainty that these results representative across the county. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 26
Middlesex Survey responses by Zip Code Hardyville 23070 Church View 23032 Water View 23180 2% 4% 5% Jamaica 23079 Saluda 23149 6% 17% Topping 23169 7% Urbanna 23175 15% Wake Hartfield 23071 23176 15% 8% Deltaville 23043 13% Locust Hill 23092 8% 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 27
Middlesex Survey Respondents by Age 25 to 34 Recall median age: 51.5 8% 55 to 64 45 to 54 23% 13% Largest age group is 65-74 18-24 yrs ~ 5% of pop. contributed 35 to 44 18 to 24 1/5 of the responses. 17% 21% 1 1 65 or older 1 1 18% 868 902 814 564 530 539 482 384 307 Under 5 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 85 years and years years years years years years years years years years years over 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 28
What are Middlesex citizen’s doing online? Online Activities Email friends/family Make purchase online Social networking (Facebook, Twitter, etc.) Read the news Pay bills Watch videos/Listen to music Gather health information Gather financial information Play games Search for work/employment Read blogs Call long distance or international 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Take Away: Generally low bandwidth activities. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 29
Middlesex Reported Residential Access Do you have Internet access at home? No 14% Yes 86% No Yes 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 30
Middlesex No Internet at Home (14%) Locust Hill 23092 4% Water View Urbanna 23175 23180 5% Wake 23176 2% 5% Church View 23032 Saluda 23149 7% 22% Deltaville 23043 10% Topping 23169 19% Hartfield 23071 12% Jamaica 23079 14% 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 31
Why No Internet Service at Home? (of the 14% that responded no access) Use it Use Cellular School/Work Digital Literacy 1% 2% 5% Too Expensive 29% Not Available 63% Take away: Most who don’t have service say service is not available. Too expensive for 29% NOTE: 10 survey respondents stated they do not have a computer at home due to cost 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 32
Where No Internet at Home of the 14% that responded not available (63%) Locust Hill 23092 Wake 23176 3% 2% Water Deltaville 23043 View23180 3% 2% Urbanna 23175 5% Saluda 23149 Church View 23032 7% 24% Hartfield 23071 10% Topping 23169 24% Jamaica 23079 20% Take away: Internet availability issues in Jamaica, Saluda, Topping 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 33
Where No Internet at Home of the 14% that responded too expensive (29%) Saluda 23149 Locust Hill 23092 6% 6% Deltaville 23043 Wake 23176 29% 12% Topping 23169 24% Hartfield 23071 23% Take away: Internet pricing issues in Deltaville, Topping and Hartfield 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 34
Home Internet Connections Other Don't know Dial-up 2% 9% 2% Satellite 10% Cable 37% Cellular 10% DSL Fixed Wireless 17% 13% Take away: 39% of respondents depend on inadequate services DSL may be oversubscribed so new service may not be available 20% depend on cost prohibitive services (data caps etc.) 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 35
Access for Work/Business Own a business Home based business Yes Yes 24% 25% No No 76% 75% Does anyone work from home? No, but I would if I had access/better Yes access at home 45% 18% No 37% Take away – 18% would work from home if they could – remember the majority (39%) depend upon DSL, Cellular or Satellite services. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 36
Home based businesses Yes 25% No 75% Home based businesses operating all across the county 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 37
Business Internet Connections Don't know Satellite 2% Dial-up 7% 1% Other 8% Cable Fixed 45% Wireless 16% DSL 21% Take Away: 29% of businesses rely on inadequate connection types. From survey: 95% use the Internet to support their business. 95% report Internet is very important or critical to their businesses. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 38
Quality of Business Connections Lack of technical support I'm satisfied 2% 11% Inadequate - Service is does not Adequate - Too expensive unreliable meet our meets all 50% 18% needs our needs 45% 55% Connection too slow 19% Take away: 45% of businesses rate their connections as inadequate 19% cite connection too slow 50% cite cost of service as primary reason for dissatisfaction 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 39
Business Locations Reporting Inadequate Connections Topping 23169 Church View 23032 5% 5% Wake 23176 8% Hartfield 23071 22% Jamaica 23079 8% Locust Hill 23092 Urbanna 23175 10% 17% Deltaville 23043 10% Saluda 23149 15% All but one respondent reported that the Internet was Very Important or Home based business Critical to their business. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 40
Businesses Inadequate Connections Connection Types Other 8% Satellite 8% Cable TV modem 30% Fixed Wireless 20% Dial-up 2% DSL enabled phone line 27% Don't know 5% Unexpected take away: 30% report cable is inadequate for their needs. Segments over subscribed and need fiber upgrades. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 41
Inadequate Business Cable Connections Take away: Hartfield, Locust Hill and Deltaville need cable upgrades. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 42
Vertical Assets, Fiber, Conduit and Community Anchors LOCAL ASSETS 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 43
Middlesex Vertical Assets 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 44
Middlesex Cellular Towers 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 45
Middlesex Emergency Services 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 46
Middlesex Schools and Libraries YMCA and CC Concentrated in the southeastern portion of the county 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 47
WILTON PARCEL A WILTON PARCEL A MOORES CREEK ESTATES JACKSONS CREEK 40-9 Middlesex County Parcels WILTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL (YMCA) COUNTY OF MIDDLESEX JACKSONS CREEK 41-7 JACKSONS CREEK 41-7 MILL CREEK 41-7 DELTAVILLE 41-7 STINGRAY-BROAD CRK DREDGE TIMBER NECK 41-4 SHOOTERS HILL SEC II LOT 6A PUBLIC LANDING 40-6 PUBLIC LANDING NORTH END LANDFILL-MAINT BLDG PIANKATANK PARADISE NOHEAD NOHEAD PUBLIC LANDING RT 621 COOKS CORNER-PULLER CNTR COOKS CORNER-PULLER CNTR HEALTH CENTER MIDDLE SCHOOL SALUDA AIRPORT Middlesex Co Court House MIDDLE SCHOOL SALUDA PUBLIC LANDING RT 634 PUBLIC LANDING RT 617 PINE TREE ROBERTSON DUMPSTER SITE SALUDA RAPPAHANNOCK CENTRAL All east of Rt 17; Deltaville, Hartfield, Saluda, Toping AIRPORT SYRINGA SYRINGA 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 48
Middlesex Business Locations Businesses reported in all parts of the county but concentrated in the south east. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 49
Middlesex Commercial Fiber FTS (not shown) All overlapping routes 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 50
Affect the Broadband Economics REVIEW OF LOCAL POLICIES & FEES 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 51
Make sure your policies and procedures are “Broadband Friendly” Review comprehensive plans, community zoning regulations and process, policies, fees, etc. must encourage and enable broadband investment. Review local franchise agreements should be reviewed for setback or long-drop policy, and that information should be conveyed to all new homebuilders, and real estate developers. Policy Considerations for Telecommunications Deployment https://www.wired.virginia.gov/sites/default/files/Telecom%20Deployment%20Policy%20Recs.pdf Policy Assessment - Areas to Consider https://www.wired.virginia.gov/sites/default/files/Policy%20Assessment%20Tool%20Guide_0.pdf Policy Assessment worksheet: https://www.wired.virginia.gov/sites/default/files/Policy-Assessment-Tool.xlsx Google Fiber Checklist: https://fiber.storage.googleapis.com/legal/googlefibercitychecklist2-24-14.pdf Remember: to make it “cheap, quick & easy” 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 52
Assessment Based COMMUNITY BROADBAND NEEDS 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 53
Needs Identified • Technology Adoption – Digital Literacy • 27% of population are 65 or over and 16% of population have a disability • OPTION: Implement and Promote library computer literacy classes - don’t forget senior centers! – Affordability • 30% of population may have affordability challenges • OPTION: Consider a computer refurb/donation program such as Virginia Star - a state- wide Student Training and Refurbishment program; http://vastar.org/ • Demand – Residential • 20% rely upon cellular or satellite • 39% have inadequate services (DSL, dial up, cellular, satellite) • 14% report NO access at all • OPTION: Expand access and capacity to Saluda, Topping, Jamaica • OPTION: Negotiate pricing in Deltaville, Hartfield, Topping – Businesses • 45% state they need more than they have today (27% DSL, 30% Cable, 8% Satellite) – Cable segments may be exhausted, may need fiber upgrade in Deltaville, Hartfield, Locust Hill • 25% (of all respondents) have home based businesses – 17% DSL, 10% Cellular, 10% Satellite – better services might grow businesses • OPTION: Expand access and capacity - Hartfield stands out but home businesses are all over the county. 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 54
Needs Identified (Cont’d) Schools – USAC (e-Rate) / NCES • 3, 1 Gbps leased connections from Gans Communications, LP at $800 per connection, contract expires; 06/30/2021 • 1, 650 Mbps Internet connection from Gans Communications, LP at $3,950 per month, ~$6. per Mb, contract expires; 06/30/2021 497 Mbps per 1000 students/teachers – Well above the FCC recommendation of 100Mb per 1000 Students + staff • Libraries – USAC, Library of Virginia speed test and survey • Purchasing 20 Mbps fiber (2) from Gans Communications, LP @ $501.02 (x2) per month, ~$25. per Mb (Median for rural libraries $21.65 per Mb) – Below national recommendation of 100 Mbps for those libraries serving communities of 50,000 or less (Middlesex estimated total pop 10,817) – OPTION: Expand access and capacity to libraries (Deltaville and Urbanna,) negotiate pricing (currently on month-to-month contract) or use as leverage. According to speed test, median download 76 Mbps, median latency 23 ms Public computers and workforce development available at Urbanna Branch Computer literacy/training classes offered at Urbanna Branch • Comprehensive Plan - No broadband mentioned in Comprehensive Plan! 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 55
Potential Funding https://www.wired.virginia.gov/broadband/resources Look Under Funding Options 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 56
E-Rate – already participating: February 3 - May 26 (Schools) or July 21 (Libraries and Consortia) Lifeline Support http://www.lifelinesupport.org/ls/changes-to-lifeline.aspx - Open all year USDA is NOW accepting applications for the Community Connect Grant Program for FY 2017. These grants may be used to provide broadband service in unserved, lower-income and extremely rural areas. USDA Distance Learning and Telemedicine Program (DLT) http://www.rurdev.usda.gov/UTP_DLT.html The application window is announced annually USDA Telecommunications Infrastructure Loans & Loan Guarantees http://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/farm-bill-broadband-loans-loan-guarantees NOTE: These loans are for local incumbent providers. Open annually around April USDA Distance Learning and Telemedicine Program (DLT) http://www.rurdev.usda.gov/UTP_DLT.html - The application window is announced annually The Vibrant Community Initiative (VCI) http://www.dhcd.virginia.gov/index.php/community- partnerships-dhcd/vibrant-community-initiative.html Application Due: TBD (tentatively Feb 17) Virginia Telecommunication Initiative http://www.dhcd.virginia.gov/ - depends on further funding. TBA 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 57
Next Steps • Identify and Prioritize Goals Based on Needs • Determine the role the local government will assume in achieving the goals; (Partnership model, decision points documents) – Review CIT Partnership Models Handout – Decisions need to be adopted by the COUNTY /Authority - county procurement needs to put out the RFP • CIT will draft Requirements Document for potential RFP • Seek private partner(s) 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 58
Questions? Comments? Contact Information Jean Plymale, Broadband Project Manager Jean.plymale@cit.org 540-250-2751 Sandie Terry, VP Broadband Sandie.terry@cit.org 540-420-4929 2/28/2017 Prepared by CIT 59
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