The Next Generation of LNG Carriers - Marine Money Week June 2017

Page created by Lance Salinas
 
CONTINUE READING
The Next Generation of LNG Carriers - Marine Money Week June 2017
June 2017

Marine Money Week

The Next Generation of LNG Carriers

June 2017 | 1
The Next Generation of LNG Carriers - Marine Money Week June 2017
Disclaimer

 § THIS PRESENTATION (THE “PRESENTATION”) HAS BEEN PRODUCED BY FLEX LNG LTD. ("FLEX LNG" OR "THE COMPANY”), SOLELY FOR
  PRESENTATION PURPOSES AND DOES NOT PURPORTE TO GIVE A COMPLETE DESCRIPTION OF THE COMPANY, ITS BUSINESS OR ANY OTHER
  MATTER DESCRIBED HEREIN.
 § THE PRESENTATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER, INVITATION OR SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY, SUBSCRIBE OR SELL ANY
  SECURTIEIS. THIS PRESENTATION IS STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO
  ANY OTHER PERSON.

 § NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF ANY INFORMATION INCLUDED
  HEREIN IS GIVEN BY THE COMPANY, AND THAT NOTHING CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS OR CAN BE RELIED UPON AS A PROMISE OR
  REPRESENTATION BY THE COMPANY, WHO DISCLAIM ALL AND ANY LIABILITY, WHETHER ARISING IN TORT OR CONTRACT OR OTHERWISE.
 § THE PRESENTATION SPEAKS AS OF THE DATE SET OUT ON ITS FRONT PAGE. THE COMPANY DOES NOT INTEND TO, OR WILL ASSUME ANY
  OBLIGATION TO, UPDATE THE PRESENTATION OR ANY OF THE INFORMATION INCLUDED HEREIN.

 § THE CONTENTS OF THE PRESENTATION ARE NOT TO BE CONSTRUED AS FINANCIAL, LEGAL, BUSINESS, INVESTMENT, TAX OR OTHER
  PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. EACH RECIPIENT SHOULD CONSULT WITH ITS OWN PROFESSIONAL ADVISORS FOR ANY SUCH MATTER AND ADVICE.

 § AN INVESTMENT IN THE COMPANY INVOLVES RISK, AND SEVERAL FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR
  ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE COMPANY TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM ANY FUTURE RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS THAT MAY
  BE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION IN THIS PRESENTATION.

 § THE PRESENTATION CONTAINS CERTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS RELATING TO THE BUSINESS, FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND
  RESULTS OF THE COMPANY AND/OR THE INDUSTRY IN WHICH IT OPERATES, SOMETIMES IDENTIFIED BY THE WORDS "BELIEVES”, "EXPECTS”,
  “INTENDS”, “PLANS”, “ESTIMATES” AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS. THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION,
  INCLUDING ASSUMPTIONS, OPINIONS AND VIEWS OF THE COMPANY OR CITED FROM THIRD PARTY SOURCES, ARE SOLELY OPINIONS AND
  FORECASTS WHICH ARE SUBJECT TO RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES AND OTHER FACTORS THAT MAY CAUSE ACTUAL EVENTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY
  FROM ANY ANTICIPATED DEVELOPMENT. THE COMPANY DOES NOT PROVIDE ANY ASSURANCE THAT THE ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING SUCH
  FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS ARE FREE FROM ERRORS NOR DOES THE COMPANY ACCEPT ANY RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE FUTURE
  ACCURACY OF THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED IN THE PRESENTATION OR THE ACTUAL OCCURRENCE OF THE FORECASTED DEVELOPMENTS. NO
  OBLIGATION IS ASSUMED TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS OR TO CONFORM THESE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO
  ACTUAL RESULTS.
 § THIS PRESENTATION IS SUBJECT TO NORWEGIAN LAW, AND ANY DISPUTE ARISING IN RESPECT OF THIS PRESENTATION IS SUBJECT TO THE
  EXCLUSIVE JURISDICTION OF THE NORWEGIAN COURTS.

June 2017 | 2
The Next Generation of LNG Carriers - Marine Money Week June 2017
FLEX LNG at a Glance
 COMPANY SNAPSHOT

1. FLEX LNG is focused on providing safe, reliable, and               3. FLEX LNG’s fleet will provide Charterers with highly
   cost effective solutions in the LNG shipping industry                 efficient tonnage to cut fuel consumption and reduced boil off
   • FLEX LNG aims to become a leading supplier of LNG                   rate (BOR)
     Carriers and floating storage & regasification units (“FSRUs”)      • MEGI propulsion has ~30% lower fuel consumption than Tri-
                                                                           Fuel Diesel Electric (TFDE) vessels
2. FLEX LNG is listed on the Oslo Axess Stock Exchange with
   a market capitalization of NOK 3.6bn / USD 430m                    4. FLEX LNG is actively pursuing opportunities in the FSRU
   • Majority shareholder Geveran Trading Co Ltd is committed            market
     to building up FLEX LNG into major player in LNG shipping           • Opportunities may include FSRU newbuildings for long-term
     and floating regasification                                           charters and/or conversions of existing vessels

 FLEX LNG FLEET
 Owned Fleet                                                           Chartered-In Vessels

 6          173,400       173,400       173,400         173,400
                                                                        4          173,400        170,000       160,000        155,000

            174,000      174,000
                                                                               • 4 chartered-in TFDEs for 6 months firm period (+6
         • 6 LNG MEGI vessels on order (Owned)                                   months option) from March 2017
         • Under contruction at DSME and SHI in Korea                          • 155k-174k TFDE vessels
         • Delivering Q1-Q2 2018, Q2-Q3 2019                                   • Building market presence and operational experience

June 2017 | 3
The Next Generation of LNG Carriers - Marine Money Week June 2017
LNG Carrier (R)evolution

# Vessels
  600
                                         4-Stroke Diesel Engines:
                                         First Dual Fuel (DFDE) in 2004
                                         First Tri Fuel (TFDE) in 2008
  500

  400                                                                       2-Stroke Engines MEGI/X-DF:
                                                                            First MEGI in 2016
                Steam Turbine:                                              First X-DF in 2017
                First LNG Vessel 1969
  300

  200

  100

    0
        1970                                                    1995                                      2020
                                        # LNGC Existing Fleet             Orderbook

June 2017 | 4
LNG Shipping – Technological Evolution

Steam Turbine Propulsion:
•     Steam turbine propulsion was the norm for nearly 40 years
•     Propulsion system capable of burning gas
•     Higher consumption fed by higher Boil-Off Rates (BOR)
Tri Fuel Diesel Electric Propulsion:
•     Technical innovation allows diesel generators to burn gas. Multiple generators provide electricity to propulsion motors
•     Improved fuel consumption by ~35% vs. Steam vessels
•     Lower BOR containment systems developed allowing for increase in delivered volumes of LNG
MEGI / XDF Two-Stroke Propulsion:
•     Direct gas injection into medium speed direct drive engines
•     Improved fuel consumption by ~25% vs. TFDE and >50% vs. Steam vessels
•     Lower consumption levels mean excess BOG at slow speeds. Re-liquefaction systems developed to recover excess boil-off

LNGC Fleet and Orderbook by Propulsion Type

# Vessels                                                                                           MEGI          ST         DFDE/TFDE         Other          XD-F
                                                  The LNG fleet is
50
                                                   undergoing a
                                                  transformation
40                                                  to 2-stroke
                    5%                44%         tonnage (MEGI
                                                     and X-DF)
                  8%
30

20
                          41%                2%

10

  -
      '72   '74   '76    '78    '80   '82   '84     '86   '88   '90   '92   '94   '96   '98   '00   '02    '04   '06   '08   '10   '12   '14   '16     '18   '20      '22
                                                                                                                                                     Source: Affinity LNG
June 2017 | 5
LNG Trend: Bigger, Better Ships, at Lower Shipyard Prices

LNGC Ships Have Grown in Cargo Capacity and            LNGC Newbuilding Average Prices vs. Average Vessel Size
Improved Fuel Efficiency and Boil Off Rates, Whilst
Shipyard Prices Have Decreased                         US$ million
                                                                                                                   Average Price         Average Size
                                                                                                                                                        Size m3 (‘000)
                                                       250                                                                                                        200
• Average newbuilding price per cubic meter of cargo

                                                                                                                                                                         Thousands
                                                                                                                                                                 180
  capacity has decreased over the last ten years
                                                       200                                                                                                       160
• The average delivered vessel size has increased by                                                                                                             140
  ~13% since 2000                                      150                                                                                                       120
• The average newbuilding price per cubic meter                                                             245                                                  100
  decreased by ~15%                                    100                                  205
                                                                                                  220 220         212 202 202 201 209 205 200
                                                                                                                                                                 80
                                                                                      185                                                     190 185
                                                                 173 165
                                                                           150 155                                                                               60
                                                        50                                                                                                       40

Unit Transportation Costs (UTC) have declined basis                                                                                                              20

same Charter Rates                                       -                                                                                                       -
                                                                 2000          2003               2006            2009         2012            2015       2017
• Increased cargo capacity
• Decreased fuel consumption                            Unit Transportation Cost: Comparison of LNG Ship Types
• Steady to decreasing contract prices                  $ / mmbtu
• Modern two stroke LNGC provide improved shipping           1
  efficiency for Charterers/Consumers
                                                        0.8

                                                        0.6

                                                        0.4

                                                        0.2

                                                             0
                                                                     ST 138k           TFDE 160k             TFDE 174k             X-DF 174k       MEGI 174k
                                                                                                                              Source:     DSME, MAN, FLEX LNG

June 2017 | 6
Unit Transportation Cost Breakdown – U.S. to Japan

On a Unit Transportation Cost basis, the            LNGC Comparative Analysis: 145K ST vs. 160K TFDE vs. 174K MEGI
vessels will be on par with other vessel
performance classes:                                                                                                                 Generic	
  Vessel	
  Class	
  Specifica0ons	
  
•   TFDE at US$ 100,000 pd                       Vessel	
  Class	
                                                                                 145k	
  ST	
                       160k	
  TFDE	
                174k	
  MEGI	
  

•   145,000 m3 ST ~US$ 73,000 pd                   Capacity	
  	
  
                                                   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Cubic	
  Meters	
                                                     145,000	
  m3	
                  160,645	
  m3	
                    174,000m3	
  
•   174,000 m3 MEGI ~US$ 118,000 pd                	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Tonnes	
  (@	
  98.5%)	
                                                65,414	
                         72,472	
                           78,497	
  
                                                   Propulsion	
  System	
                                                                              ST	
                               TFDE	
                         MEGI	
  
                                                   Daily	
  Boil-­‐Off	
  Rates	
                                                                    0.15%	
  	
                         0.10%	
                        0.06%	
  
Vessel UTC is affected by two major factors:                                                                                                      3,133,341	
                         3,591,128	
                    3,950,462	
  
                                                   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Delivered	
  Mmbtu	
  
•   The daily boil-off rate of the containment
                                                   Charter	
  Hire	
  Rate	
  (US$	
  /	
  day)	
                                                   72,784	
                           100,000	
                      118,364	
  
    system
                                                   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Voyage	
  DuraMon	
                                                   48.86	
  days	
                      48.86	
  days	
                48.86	
  days	
  
•   The fuel efficiency and flexibility of the     	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Transit	
  Speed	
                                                      16.5	
  kts	
                        16.5	
  kts	
                  16.5	
  kts	
  
    propulsion system                              	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Laden	
  HFOE	
  	
  	
  ConsumpMon	
  /	
  day	
  	
                      142	
                                 91	
                           68	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Ballast	
  HFOE	
  ConsumpMon	
  /	
  day	
  	
                          146	
                                102	
                           69	
  
                                                 Total	
  Trade	
  Costs	
  (US$)	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Charter	
  Hire	
                                                        3,556,118	
                         4,885,859	
                    5,783,098	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Fuel	
  Costs	
                                                            47,726	
                            38,933	
                       34,348	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Boil-­‐Off	
                                                              1,551,970	
                         1,061,014	
                     814,872	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Port	
  Charges	
                                                         312,000	
                           312,000	
                      312,000	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Canal	
  Fees	
                                                           583,600	
                           637,732	
                      683,940	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  Total	
  Voyage	
  Costs	
                                                           6,051,414	
                         6,935,537	
                    7,629,518	
  

                                                 Unit	
  Cost	
  Per	
  MMBtu	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Charter	
  Hire	
                                                            1.13	
                               1.36	
                         1.46	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Fuel	
  Costs	
                                                              0.02	
                               0.01	
                         0.01	
  

Voyage Assumptions: Sabine Pass to Tokyo Bay     	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Boil-­‐Off	
                                                                  0.50	
                               0.30	
                         0.21	
  

via Panama Canal (9278 nm), Round Trip, BOG      	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Port	
  Charges	
                                                            0.10	
                               0.09	
                         0.08	
  

priced at US$ 5.50 / MMBtu                       	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Canal	
  Fees	
                                                              0.19	
                               0.18	
                         0.17	
  
                                                 	
  	
  	
  Total	
  Voyage	
  Cost	
  Per	
  MMBtu	
                                                1.93	
                               1.93	
                         1.93	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                          Source: Poten & Partners
June 2017 | 7
Efficiency Commands a Premium in LNG Shipping
 Brokers began publishing assessed two-stroke (MEGI and X-DF) spot charter rates in January 2017

  US$/ day                                                     US$/ day

 120,000                                                      80,000

                                                              70,000
 100,000

                                                              60,000

  80,000
                                                              50,000

  60,000                                                      40,000

                                                              30,000
  40,000

                                                              20,000

  20,000
                                                              10,000

       0                                                            -
           2014    2015          2016          2017               January-17     February-17    March-17        April-17       May-17

                     ST                 TFDE
                                                                                      ST           TFDE            MEGI/X-DF Assessment

                                                                       There are currently ten MEGIs on the water (all under term TC contracts)

                                                                                           Sources: Arctic Shipping Research, Fearnley LNG, Clarksons

June 2017 | 8
Right Ships at the Right Time
 Only 11 Open LNGCs out of 101 through 2021

# Vessels                                                    Most of the vessels in the orderbook are committed to
50                                                           long term charters

45
                                                             • Currently, there are 101 LNGC newbuildings under
                        5                                      construction
40
                                                             • 90% of the LNGC newbuildings built by 2021 are
                                                               committed for long term charters
35

30
             1                                               FLEX LNG owns 6 out of the 11 open LNG newbuildings,
                                                             four of which delivers in 2018 and two in 2019
25

                                      5
                                                             • Limited ordering – only 8 LNGC newbuildings contracted
20                     41
                                                               over the last 18 months

15                                                           • Ramp up of LNG global supply is expected to drive strong
            28
                                                               demand for term charters of modern tonnage
10                                   19                      • Incremental LNGC demand 30-50 vessels by 2021

 5                                                           • Most of the recent long term charters has been MEGI or
                                                               XDF vessels
 0
                                                    2
            2017      2018          2019         2020-2021

                   Term Charters   Uncommitted

                                                                                                          Source:   FLEX LNG

 June 2017 | 9
FLEX LNG Strategic Focus

FLEX LNG has the goal of becoming a leading supplier of LNG Carriers and FSRUs by leveraging on its state of the art
LNGCs and extensive experience in the FSRU sector

The LNG market is growing rapidly and 30-50 additional vessels will be required by 2020
• New export projects will add 25-30 mtpa of LNG per year over through 2020
• The current orderbook is insufficient to meet this demand for LNGCs
• FLEX LNG is well positioned to provide customers with superior transportation efficiency
• Further newbuildings will be considered as the market evolves

FLEX LNG has chartered in LNG vessels at competitive rates going into an improving market
• Four LNGCs chartered-in will allow FLEX LNG to become operational one year before the delivery of the newbuild vessels
• FLEX LNG is building strong relationships with Charterers whilst developing our operational capabilities and reputation in market
• Having LNGCs on charter also allows FLEX LNG to offer flexible delivery timing and charter periods in combination with the
  owned fleet

FLEX LNG is actively pursuing opportunities in the FSRU market to leverage its experience with the development and
implementation of FSRU projects
• Opportunities may include FSRU newbuildings for long-term chartering contracts and/or conversions of existing vessels

June 2017 | 10
Thank You
June
June 20172017
          | 11
You can also read