THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully

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THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE
What lies ahead in 2021?
May 2021

W W W. B E L L G U L LY. C O M
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
Contents
 1 Introduction — the tipping point
 2    The New Zealand framework
 3    What's coming this year?
 4    The Climate Change Commission — Aotearoa is not on track
 5    The Climate Change Commission — what transition looks like
 6    NZ ETS: regular evolution and refinement
 8    NZU auctions
 9    Mandatory climate-related disclosure
10    Mandatory disclosure — picking up the pace
 11   International pressure
12    Climate litigation on the rise
13    Climate litigation — key New Zealand cases
14    Climate litigation — key Australian cases
15    Fire and flood — the insurance risk
16    Managed Retreat — waiting and watching
17    Managed Retreat — high stakes
18    Sustainable finance
19 Sustainable finance — the guidance
20 Bell Gully’s climate change practice
21 Our team
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
Introduction — the tipping point

                          T
                                 he changing climate and how the            by 2060. The United States of America, one
                                 world responds to it is the defining       of the world’s three biggest emitters1, has
                                 issue of this generation. Despite          re-joined the Paris Agreement. Germany and
                          a global pandemic that has resulted in            Mexico, along with Japan and Canada, have
                          countries closing their borders, an almost        developed long term plans to decarbonise
                          complete cessation of international travel,       their economies.
                          domestic lockdowns and significant business
                                                                            Government declarations are laudable. But
                          and economic pressures, climate change
                                                                            global emissions are still high and there is
                          has continued to be a key concern for
                                                                            a significant lag time between emissions
                          governments and businesses alike across
                                                                            and the point at which the impacts arising
                          the globe.
                                                                            from those emissions are experienced by the
                          In the sixth year after the Paris Agreement       global population. Transition action is now
                          was adopted in 2015, it is clear the transition   what is urgently needed.
                          to a lower-carbon economy has begun.
                                                                            Will it come? In New Zealand, at least, the
                          Since New Zealand declared its net-zero
                                                                            conditions are finally emerging. We believe
                          carbon target at the end of 2019, through
                                                                            upcoming mandatory financial reporting
                          reform of the Climate Change Response
                                                                            on climate-related risks, in conjunction
                          Act 2002, many others have announced
                                                                            with recommended emissions budgets
                          net-zero carbon targets for 2050, including
                                                                            from He Pou a Rangi - the Climate Change
                          the European Union, Japan, Canada,
                                                                            Commission, will prove the tipping point.
                          South Africa, and South Korea. China has
                          announced it is aiming for carbon neutrality

1   | INTRODUCTION
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

The New Zealand framework

I
   n New Zealand, the Government has
   been pushing through a multi-faceted        He Waka Eke Noa – the Primary Sector Climate
   framework aimed at targeting the            Action Partnership – released its first edition of
transition to a lower-carbon economy. By
                                               its Greenhouse Gases: Farm Planning Guidance
the end of 2020:
                                               providing a guide for farmers and growers                     The NZ ETS was reformed, with changes
                                               to help them measure, manage and reduce                       introduced to the Climate Change Response Act
                                               greenhouse gas emissions.                                     2002 (CCRA) to provide for the auctioning of
                                                                                                             NZUs, a cap on emissions, reform to the forestry-
                                                                                                             related regimes under the NZ ETS, and the
      The first National Climate Change Risk                                                                 removal of a fixed-price option for meeting one’s
      Report was released with work underway                                                                 compliance obligations.
      on the nation’s first National Climate
      Change Adaptation Plan.                                                                          The Government established the independent
                                                                 THE                                   Climate Change Commission, with seven appointed
                                                                                                       commissioners led by Dr Rod Carr.
The Minister for Climate Change asked the                     FRAMEWORK
Climate Change Commission to proceed
with recommendations on the first three                         SO FAR                              The Government announced its intention to
emissions budgets, on the policy direction for                                                      introduce a mandatory financial disclosure
the Government’s first emissions reduction                                                          regime on climate-related risks to be in effect
plan, reviewing New Zealand’s first nationally                                                      from 2023 (at the earliest) to capture 90% of
determined contribution and advising on                                                             assets under management in New Zealand.
the eventual reductions needed in biogenic
methane emissions.                                                               At this point in time the New Zealand           under the Paris Agreement. Consultation on
                                                                                 Emissions Trading Scheme remains the central    the report has seen the pace and manner
                                                                                 tool for mitigation, but the combination of     in which the transition is achieved hotly
                               The Government considered the Resource            mandatory reporting and national emission       contested by commentators. But there
                               Management’s Review Panel’s report                budgets should prove a potent addition.         seems to be little debate that a transition to
                               on resource management reforms and                                                                a lower-carbon economy is needed. This, in
                                                                                 In its draft report, the Climate Change
                               proposed to implement a Climate Change                                                            itself, is a significant shift in a relatively small
                                                                                 Commission has said that now is the time
                               Adaptation Act (CCA).                                                                             number of years.
                                                                                 for action if New Zealand is to play its part

2   | THE NEW ZEALAND FRAMEWORK
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

What's coming this year?

E
      xpect 2021 to be a year in which           action plans. This will take place amid
      businesses and local government            the next wave of climate change-related
      engage with and shore up their             regulation and policies from Government to
understanding of their own climate-related       provide sufficient incentive and certainty for
risks, and develop their adaptation and          investment and transformation planning.

NOV 2019                   AUG 2020                        JAN 2021                               MAR 2021                          END-2021                                     2023
Zero Carbon Act            First National                  Climate Change                         Consultation on                   Minister sets first                Earliest date at which
passed into law            Climate Change Risk             Commission releases                    Climate Change                    three 5-yearly                     mandatory climate-
                           Assessment released             its draft advice report                Commission’s                      emissions budgets.                 related risk reporting
                                                           on reducing emissions                  draft advice closed.              COP-26 held – potential            would be required
                                                           and first proposed                     First auction of                  that New Zealand will
                                                           three 5-yearly emissions               NZUs held                         propose a new NDC
                                                           budgets

             JUN 2020                        SEP 2020                           FEB 2021                            MAY 2021                                  2022
          NZ ETS reforms passed        Government announces                Government announces               Climate Change Commission              First National Adaptation
          by Parliament (including     plans for mandatory                 plans for RMA reforms,             provides final advice                  Plan to be published by
          enabling a cap on            climate-related risk                including a new Climate            to Minister on 5-yearly                August 2022
          emissions)                   reporting                           Change Adaptation Act              emissions budgets, and on
                                                                                                              change needed to nationally
                                                                                                              determined contribution
                                                                                                              (NDC) under Paris Agreement

3   | WHAT'S COMING THIS YEAR?
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

The Climate Change Commission — Aotearoa is not on track

T
      he Climate Change Commission           New Zealand’s international                       The clock is ticking: The CCRA sets out the process
      released its Draft Advice to the       commitment                                        for considering and responding to the Climate Change
      Government for public consultation     If Aotearoa is to play its part to limit global   Commission's advice and recommendations on emissions
on 31 January 2021. By the close of its      warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrialised         budgets, imposing a number of deadlines.
consultation period at the end of March,     levels, our commitment to reduce emissions
the commission had received more than
15,500 submissions. It is now working its
                                             needs to change from 30%, to                                         31 May 2021
                                             more than 35% below 2005                                             Final package of advice due to the
way through this wave of feedback in order   levels by 2030. This goes                                            Government
to prepare and present its final advice to   further than the reduction
Government by the end of May.                to     N ew Ze a l a n d ’s
All eyes will be on that final advice, and   domestic emissions
                                                                                                                        Within 10
the Government’s reaction, because the       budgets proposed by the                                                    working days
Commission’s draft advice came with a        Commission.                                                                Minister of Climate Change must
                                                                                                                        table the advice in Parliament
warning.                                     In the meantime, the
                                             G ove r n m e n t    a l re a d y
        Current government                   appears to be proceeding
                                             with a number of climate
                                                                                                                        28 June 2021
        policies do not put                  actions consistent with
                                                                                                                        Climate Change Commission must
                                                                                                                        release the advice publicly
        Aotearoa on track to                 the Draft Advice, with its
        meet our recommended                 recent Climate Action
                                             Announcement on 8 April
        emissions budgets and                2021 banning new low and
                                                                                                                        31 Dec 2021
                                                                                                                         The Government must have set
        the 2050 targets.”                   medium temperature coal-                                                   the first three emissions budgets
                                             fired boilers, the provision                                               (to 2035) and release its first
        He Pou a Rangi - the Climate         of a Decarbonising Industry                                                emissions reduction plan2
        Change Commission                    Fund to help the private
        2021 Draft Advice                    sector to transition away
                                             from fossil fuels, and funding
                                             the transition of several public
                                                                                                                  From 2022
                                                                                                                  The Commission to begin a new work
                                             sector organisations (schools,
                                                                                                                  programme to monitor implementation
                                             district health boards and tertiary                                  of its advice, including tracking against
                                             education institutes) from fossil-fuel                               the 2050 net zero target
                                             options for the generation of process heat.

4   | THE CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION — AOTEAROA IS NOT ON TRACK
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

The Climate Change Commission — what transition looks like

T
       he Climate Change Commission’s draft
                                                                                                 TR AN S ITI O N BY S EC TO R 4
       advice included proposed reductions
       to New Zealand’s next three five-                                           TRANSPORT                                   LAND USE
year emissions budgets, the climate action
it considers necessary to reduce emissions
                                                                 223        • An integrated national           • Government needs a cohesive strategy that
                                                                 Mt C02-e     transport network to reduce        includes water, biodiversity and climate
to meet those budgets, and whether                                            private vehicle travel
New Zealand’s international Nationally                        2030 - 2035                                      • Farmers need to make changes to lower
Determined Contribution is sufficient.                                      • EVs widely adopted with            emissions, while maintaining or improving
                                                                              Government support and             productivity
                                                                              incentives

                                                286
                                                                                                               • Policy support for greater farming
                                                                            • Freight moved to rail and          efficiency – reduced animal numbers
                                                                              shipping                           and better animal, pasture and feed
                                                                                                                 management, plus adapted and improved
                        PROPOSED                                            • Use of low carbon fuels –
                                                Mt C02-e                      hydrogen and biofuels – for
                                                                                                                 land use (lower emissions practices and
                          DRAFT                                                                                  technologies)
                        EMISSIONS                                             heavy trucks, trains, planes
                        BUDGETS3               2026 - 2030                    and ships                        • Forestry plays a role but is not the sole
                                                                                                                 solution
                                                                                                               • Pine has an important role to reach
                Mt CO2-e = metric tons                                          HEAT, INDUSTRY                   the 2050 target, provides material for

                                                              271
                of carbon dioxide equivalent                                       & POWER                       bioenergy and building

                                                                            • End coal use                     • Incentivise native forests for long-term
                                                                                                                 carbon sinks and wider biodiversity and
                                                              Mt C02-e      • Maximise the use of                erosion control benefits
                                                                              electricity, including for EVs
                                                             2022 - 2025      and process heat                 • Government to better understand potential
                                                                                                                 of existing forests, small tree blocks,
                                                                            • More solar, wind and               wetlands and soils in storing carbon
                                                                              geothermal required
                                                                            • Use low emissions                                  WASTE
        Aotearoa will not meet its targets without strong                     technologies and prioritise      • Strengthened product stewardship
        and decisive action now to drive low emissions                        energy efficiency when
        technologies and behaviour change across all sectors.”                building homes                   • Commitment to resource recovery and
                                                                                                                 reuse
                                                                            • Over the longer-term, reduce
        He Pou a Rangi - the Climate Change Commission                                                         • Capture methane from remaining landfill
                                                                              natural gas use in homes and
        2021 Draft Advice
                                                                              businesses                         waste

5   | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION — WHAT TRANSITION LOOKS LIKE
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

NZ ETS: regular evolution and refinement

T
        he New Zealand Emissions Trading        control settings on an annual basis. This is the
        Scheme remains one of the               first year these settings will be updated. The
                                                                                                     ANNUAL AUCTION VOLUMES UPDATE FOR EACH OPTION
        Government’s key policy responses       challenge is this regulatory process is being
to climate change. Recent amendments to         carried out in parallel to the finalisation of the   Two options for reduced annual auction NZU volumes5
the CCRA, and pending regulatory change,        Climate Change Commission’s Advice and the
                                                                                                     OPTION          2021     2022     2023     2024      2025     2026    22-26
demonstrate the Government’s desire to          Government’s consideration and response to                                                                                 TOTAL
continue to evolve and refine the NZ ETS        the recommended emissions budget settings
                                                                                                     STATUS QUO       19.0     19.3     18.6     17.2     15.5
settings, to ensure emissions pricing plays     and other policy recommendations in that
its critical part within a complementary set    Advice.                                              OPTION 1                  19.3     18.6     16.4     16.4     14.0     84.7
of policies and measures to drive the move
                                                For now, the Government is proposing to              OPTION 2
to a low-emissions economy.                                                                                                    19.5     18.3     16.4     16.4     14.0     84.6
                                                continue the zero limit on the importation
                                                and use of international emissions units in the
Material amendments                             NZ ETS. It is also seeking feedback, based
The Government is currently consulting on       on the Climate Change Commission’s draft             PRICE FLOOR6
what it refers to as technical changes to the   recommendations, on changes to the price             Materially increasing the price floor for nzus in the government's auctions
emissions trading scheme and synthetic          and NZU volume settings for auctioning,
gas levy regulations. However, while these      highlighted in the table.                            SETTING                  2021    2022     2023      2024     2025     2026
changes may be technical in nature, the
                                                These proposed options seek to marginally
Ministry for the Environment’s Consultation                                                          STATUS QUO              $20.00   $20.40   $20.81   $21.22   $21.65   $22.08
                                                reduce the volume of NZUs released into
on the 2021 Proposed NZ ETS Changes
                                                the market by the Government and to
points out that a number of the changes                                                              COMMISSION DRAFT
                                                retain strong emissions pricing for such                                              $30.00   $32.10   $34.35   $36.75   $39.32
are significant indeed for those involved in                                                         ADVICE
                                                auctions. Combined, the options related
the NZ ETS.
                                                to the Climate Change Commission’s draft
Under 2019 and 2020 amendments to the           recommendations more strongly encourage
CCRA, the Government is required to consider    transition to a low-carbon economy.                  CCR TRIGGER PRICE7
and update the unit limit and auction price                                                          Materially increasing the cost containment reserve trigger price

                                                                                                     TRIGGER PRICE            2021    2022     2023      2024     2025     2026

                                                                                                     CURRENT                 $50.00   $51.00   $52.02   $53.06   $54.12   $55.20

                                                                                                     COMMISSION DRAFT
                                                                                                                                      $70.00   $78.40   $87.81   $98.34   $110.15
                                                                                                     ADVICE

6   | NZ ETS: REGULAR EVOLUTION AND REFINEMENT
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

NZ ETS: regular evolution and refinement

                                                                                                 New rules will impact
                         SGG LEVY                            INDUSTRIAL                          the NZUs a forester can earn

                         Update the schedule of goods        ALLOCATION                          Significant evolution of the post-1989 forestry regime was
                                                                                                 agreed with the passing of the Climate Change (Emissions
                         covered by the SGG levy             Update the electricity              Trading Scheme Reform) Amendment Act 2020. The new
                         to capture imported goods           allocation factor used in           averaging accounting and permanent forestry regimes are
                         containing currently unlevied       industrial allocation to more       due to come into effect on 1 January 2023. The Government
                                                             accurately reflect wholesale        expects this will lead to around 78,000 hectares of new
                         SGG blends.
                                                                                                 commercial forests being planted between 2019 and 2027
                                                                   electricity pricing.
                                                                                                 – critical to enable New Zealand to meet its international
                                                                                                 emission reduction targets for 2030 and 2050.
             A number of
         the other proposed                                                                      The forestry regulations containing much of the detail
       amendments or options                                                                     underpinning the carbon benefits and risks are currently
        being considered will                                                                    being developed, with a number of the proposed settings
                                                                                                 being the subject of consultation – see the Ministry for Primary
      directly affect (and likely                     PROPOSED
                                                                                                 Industry’s Additional proposed amendments to the Climate
    increase) some organisations'                    AMENDMENTS                                  Change Forestry Sector Regulations 2008 which closed
      compliance liability under                                           WASTE                 on 9 April.
         the NZ ETS and for
                                                                             Improve the
          the importation of                                                                     The pending regulations will set out the proposed age band,
                                                                            methodology
            synthetic gas.8                                                                      average forest age and multiple rotation frameworks which
                                                                          that accounts for      directly affect the amount of NZUs a forest will earn – or
                                                                         waste in the NZ ETS     alternatively, will have to be surrendered. They also set out
                                                                    – these amendments           the rules around when a party will be eligible for relief from
                         DEFs                                present options to manage           surrender liability, for land subject to a temporary adverse
                         Update default emissions factors    the increasing risks to closed      event. The Government expects these settings will, over
                                                             landfills from flooding and         time, impact the operational management of such forests.
                         (DEFs) for waste and natural gas
                                                             erosion and the need for some       The working theory is that the increasing carbon price and
                         fields, and update other DEFs
                                                             such landfills to be excavated      proposed settings around age, age band and rotations will on
                         and reference data to reflect new
                                                             and waste disposed of               one hand disincentivise short rotations for plantation forests,
                         global warming potentials.          elsewhere to address these risks.   and on the other, encourage the establishment of long-term
                                                                                                 carbon sinks under the permanent forestry regime.

7   | NZ ETS: REGULAR EVOLUTION AND REFINEMENT
THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

NZU auctions

      The NZU auction system is up and running, with the full quantum
      of NZUs selling in the first auction at a relatively modest price.

        T
                he Government marked                 trade at NZ$38.70, but higher than      introduced in June 2020 under
                a n o t h e r s i g n i fi c a n t   the Government’s fixed price option     the Climate Change Response
                milestone in the history of          of NZ$35, foreshadowing a strong        (Emissions Trading Reform)
         New Zealand’s Emissions Trading             appetite for exercising the fixed       Amendment Act. Auctions have
         Scheme (NZ ETS) on the morning              price option among those able to        been introduced to align the supply
         of 17 March with the first auction          do so while it remains available.       of emissions units in the NZ ETS
         of New Zealand units (NZUs). At                                                     with New Zealand’s emissions
                                                     There were a total of 40 participants
         9am, Minister for Climate Change                                                    targets and five-yearly budgets.
                                                     in the auction with 30 of those
         James Shaw rang the “NZX bell”                                                      The supply of NZUs up for auction
                                                     bidders successful on the day.
         in Wellington, to formally open                                                     is intended to reduce over time to
                                                     Feedback on the first auction for
         the bidding window for the highly                                                   assist in achieving the budgeted
                                                     NZUs highlighted the high level
         anticipated auction.                                                                levels.
                                                     of interest and involvement from
         The auction results saw a strong            major sectors of New Zealand            For more information on foundation
         uptake from key sectors of the              including manufacturing, transport      and operation of NZU auctions
         New Zealand economy, with all               and forestry. It was considered a       see: Planning to purchase auction
         4.75 million NZUs offered sold              success.                                NZUs? Simulated test auctions to
         at a clearing price of NZ$36. The                                                   run this month.
                                                     Auctioning of NZUs makes up one
         NZ$36 clearing price sits below the
                                                     of a suite of reforms to the ETS
         Carbon Market’s last pre-auction

8   | NZU AUCTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Mandatory climate-related disclosure

N
         ew Zealand has become the first                                                                         The new legislation is framed as a disclosure
         country in the world to introduce                                                                       regime. But its ultimate purpose is to promote
         legislation requiring mandatory                                       Overseas incorporated             a more efficient allocation of capital in light
climate-risk reporting for the financial              GOALS                    organisations will also           of the potential impacts of climate change,
sector. The Financial Sector (Climate-related                                                                    to help with the transition to a sustainable
Disclosures and Other Matters) Amendment          OF MANDATORY                 be required to make
                                                                                                                 and low-emissions economy, and to ensure
Bill was introduced to Parliament in April,      CLIMATE-RELATED               disclosures if their              that companies consider and understand
and is now subject to Select Committee
                                                    REPORTING                  New Zealand business              the financial impacts of climate-related
consultation. The Financial Climate-related                                    exceeds these thresholds          risks and opportunities. This reflects the
Disclosures Bill outlines the reporting
                                                                                                                 Taskforce on Climate Related Financial
required by ‘climate reporting entities’,
                                                                                                                 Disclosures (TCFD’s) view that climate-
which represent the majority of assets under
                                                                                                                 related disclosures will promote a greater
management in New Zealand. They include:
                                                                                                                 understanding of the financial implications
• All registered banks, credit                  DISCLOSE                       DEMONSTRATE                       associated with climate change and potential
  unions, and building societies                Ensure the climate reporting   Help climate reporting            climate-resilient solutions, opportunities and
  with total assets of more than                entities disclose clear,       entities better demonstrate       business models for companies.
  NZ$1 billion                                  comparable, and consistent     responsibility and foresight in
                                                information about the risks    their consideration of climate
• All managers of registered                    and opportunities presented    issues
  investment schemes with greater               by climate change
  than NZ$1 billion in total assets
  under management

• All licensed insurers with greater
  than NZ$1 billion in total assets             CONSIDER                       TRANSITION
  under management or annual                    Ensure that the effects of     Lead to more efficient
  premium income greater than                   climate change are routinely   allocation of capital, and
  NZ$250 million                                considered in business,        help smooth the transition
                                                investment, lending and        to a more sustainable, low
• All equity and debt issuers listed            insurance underwriting         emissions economy
  on the NZX                                    decisions

9   | MANDATORY CLIMATE-RELATED DISCLOSURE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Mandatory disclosures — picking up the pace
The new mandatory climate-related disclosure                                                                                                   The NZX Corporate Governance
regime is one of a trio of developments that,                                                                                                  Code, updated in December
taken together, are expected to drive real                                                                                                     2020, recommends that
                                                                                                                                 NZX
change towards a low-emissions economy.                                                                                                        issuers should provide non-
The others are the draft advice issued
                                                                                                                             GUIDANCE
                                                                                                                                               financial disclosures at least
by the Climate Change Commission              GOVERNANCE                STRATEGY                                                               annually, including considering
which urges the Government to pick                                                                                                             environmental, economic and
up the pace to comply with the Zero
                                                       CLIMATE                                                             social sustainability factors and prices.
Carbon Act's target of achieving net                 REPORTING
zero emissions by 2050, and the                        ENTITIES                                                            The NZX also has a specific guidance note on ESG
proposed changes to the resource                      MONITOR, ASSESS &
                                                      ADDRESS CLIMATE-
                                                                                                                           reporting that addresses the significance of climate
management legislation, which will
involve the introduction of a new
                                                        RELATED RISKS
                                                                                                     REGULATORS            change reporting for issuers, and notes that such
                                                                                                                           reporting informs the over-arching long-term
Climate Change Adaptation Act.                                                                       OFFER
                                                  RISK                       METRICS                                       strategic view of business.
Mandatory reporting of climate-related            MANAGEMENT                 & TARGETS               GUIDANCE
risks will be carried out through climate                                                            Both the NZX and
                                                                                                                                               The FMA states, in guidance
statements consistent with yet-to-be-                                                                the FMA released
                                                                                                                                               updated in December 2020, that
developed climate standards, and audited                                                             guidance on
by approved climate-related disclosure                                                               climate-related              FMA          in line with its role as a financial
assurance bodies.                                                                                    reporting and                             markets conduct regulator, it
                                                                                                                              GUIDANCE
                                                                                                     disclosure before                         supports the transition to an
The reporting standards will be issued             next year, climate reporting entities may                                                   integrated financial system
                                                                                                     the release of the
by the XRB, which will align with the              need to maintain records of the information       Financial Climate-                        that considers non-financial
recommendations made by the TCFD (widely           required to be disclosed.                         related Disclosures   risks (including climate-related risks). The FMA
accepted as international best practice for
                                                   The Financial Climate-related Disclosures         Bill. This guidance   notes that it has a focus on encouraging boards
climate-related financial reporting). In line
                                                   Bill takes a comply-or-explain approach to        continues to apply.   and directors to identify, consider and adequately
with the TCFD's recommendations, the
                                                   disclosures. Climate reporting entities must                            disclose climate risk (including through TCFD /
mandatory climate-related disclosures are
                                                   either comply with the applicable reporting                             mandatory climate-related disclosure).
likely to focus on four core areas of business
                                                   standards, or if not, explain why not. Failure
operations for climate reporting entities.
                                                   to comply could attract a range of penalties,
                                                                                                                           In a speech in February this year, FMA CEO Rob
If the Financial Climate-related Disclosures       ranging from fines of up to NZ$50,000 for
                                                                                                                           Everett stated that the FMA is working together
Bill is passed by Parliament, climate reporting    infringement offences, to NZ$500,000 for
entities will be required to make disclosures      individuals or NZ$2.5 million for reporting
                                                                                                                           with XRB and other government agencies to
for their financial years beginning in 2022,       entities for more serious breaches. Individuals                         prepare for the new regime on climate-related
with the first climate statements expected to      also face the possibility of imprisonment for                           financial disclosures, as the relevant regulator for
be delivered in 2023. As a result, from early      a term not exceeding five years.                                        that area.

10   | MANDATORY DISCLOSURES — PICKING UP THE PACE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

International pressure

G
         lobally we are seeing an increase        • The biggest Nordic bank, Nordea AB,          and align its financed emissions at a      Closer to home 2020 saw stakeholder-
         in shareholder, investor and funder        said in March that 140 of its funds would    portfolio level to net zero by 2050        initiated climate change litigation in New
         pressure for businesses to disclose        tighten requirements around fossil fuel      or sooner. The resolution set out the      Zealand seeking court-orders against a
their climate-related risks, along with climate     companies10 and would only invest in         next phase, including working with         number of New Zealand businesses to
action or transition plans to reduce or remove      companies on a “green transition path”.      customers to support their transition –    reduce emissions activity. While the court
their business exposure to those risks. In          Most of Nordea’s funds – over 200 in         and publishing a policy by the end of      didn’t support the primary action in this
March, Bloomberg Green reported on four             total, representing 120 billion euros of     the year to phase out financing of coal-   case, similar cases in neighbouring Australia
key developments across the EU in just              investment – are now aligned with the        fired power and thermal coal mining        resulted in settlements that have seen the
one week9 as businesses acted to reduce             stricter fossil-related restrictions.        in the EU and OECD markets by 2030,        adoption of more transparent climate-related
exposure to climate risk and regulation was                                                      and in all other markets by 2040.          risk reporting and climate action plans.
                                                  • The largest French insurer, Axa SA, set
introduced to increase transparency on
                                                    a precedent for the global insurance        • The EU introduced new rules to counter    As we head into COP26 in November in
climate risk. On the face of it, none of these
                                                    industry. Axa SA has dropped RWE              ‘greenwashing’ with its Sustainable       Glasgow, Scotland, with a key focus on
decisions reduce greenhouse-gas emissions.
                                                    AG, one of Europe’s biggest coal mine         Finance Disclosure Regulation             climate finance, there is an expectation
But together, they demonstrate that Europe’s
                                                    operators, as its client because of           taking effect on March 1013. It said      more governments, corporates and
largest financial institutions appear to be
                                                    RWE’s reliance on coal11. Globally coal       the regulation is aimed at triggering     investors around the world will announce
serious about fighting climate change.
                                                    use for generating electricity must           changes in behaviour in the financial     new initiatives to address climate risks and
                                                    fall significantly to help achieve Paris      sector, discouraging greenwashing, and    responding to climate change. Whether
                                                    Agreement targets.                            promoting responsible and sustainable     these announcements are merely rhetoric
                                                                                                  investments.                              or give rise to real emission reductions
                                                  • HSBC Holdings Plc tabled a resolution
                                                                                                                                            is yet to be seen. It will likely depend
                                                    on climate change12 at its annual
                                                                                                                                            on the level of regulatory requirements
                                                    shareholder meeting after a number of
                                                                                                                                            and associated stakeholder pressure for
                                                    shareholders proposed to table their
                                                                                                                                            emissions transparency and compliance, risk
                                                    own climate change resolution. HSBC
                                                                                                                                            disclosures, adaptation, and carbon retreat.
                                                    had already set out a goal last year
                                                                                                                                            Real reduction will also hinge on the climate
                                                    to reduce emissions in its operations
                                                                                                                                            finance, carbon and insurance price signals
                                                    and supply chain to net zero by 2030,
                                                                                                                                            necessary for the balance sheet decisions
                                                                                                                                            that will enable the change required.

11   | INTERNATIONAL PRESSURE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Climate litigation on the rise

                                                   CLIMATE LITIGATION SINCE 2017

                                                                              654
                                                                              CASES IN
                                                                                                                   1200
                                                                                                                   CASES IN
                                                                              THE U.S.                             THE U.S.

                                                        884 24                                 1550 38
                                                                              230                                  350
                                                         CASES   COUNTRIES                     CASES   COUNTRIES

                                                                              CASES IN OTHER                       CASES IN OTHER
                                                                              COUNTRIES                            COUNTRIES

                                                                        1550
A
        cross the media and academia, it’s
        being described as ‘climate change
        lawfare’. In the past three years,
                                                                        CLIMATE LITIGATION CASES WORLDWIDE IN 2020
the number of climate litigation cases has
nearly doubled worldwide, to reach 1,550
cases across 38 countries, according to the
United Nations Environment Programme14.

Globally, the courts are increasingly grappling
with plaintiffs seeking faster action on climate
change or rulings on particular local impacts.

12   | CLIMATE LITIGATION ON THE RISE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Climate litigation — key New Zealand cases

                                                                                                          I n New Zealand, a trio of recent
                                                                                                          cases stand out for their implications
                                                                                                          for government and businesses.

                                                                                       Hauraki Coromandel
                                                                                       Climate Action
                                                                                       Inc v Thames-
                                                                                       Coromandel District
                                            Smith v Fonterra                           Council (2020)

                                                                                       T
                                            Co-operative                                      he High Court quashed a

                                            Group Limited and
                                                                                              decision by the Thames-              All Aboard Aotearoa
                                                                                              Coromandel District Council
                                            others (2020)                              not to approve the mayor signing            Inc v Waka
                                                                                       the Local Government Leaders’               Kotahi (2021)

                                            S
                                                   even large domestic emitters        Climate Change Declaration - which

                                                                                                                                   A
                                                   faced a claim they had been         she viewed as a potentially binding                coalition of climate and transport
                                                   negligent or breached other         document, although its originator                  advocacy groups applied in
                                            legal duties by emitting greenhouse        Local Government New Zealand                       the High Court for the judicial
                                            gases, and seeking orders requiring        did not. The case demonstrates that         review of decisions by Waka Kotahi/NZ
                                            them to achieve net zero carbon            decisions by public bodies regarding        Transport Agency and the Government
                                            emissions by 2030. In the High Court,      climate change are likely to be             to fund and build the Mill Road roading
                                            two of the three causes of action were     considered significant decisions and,       project. The group, incorporated under
                                            struck out, but the Court was unwilling    in certain contexts, can be the subject     the name All Aboard Aotearoa, is made
                                            to strike out the prospect of a novel      of close judicial scrutiny. The case also   up of Generation Zero, Lawyers for
                                            tortious duty of care (though noting       makes clear that decisions based on         Climate Action, Bike Auckland, Women
                                            such a claim faced significant hurdles).   misinformation or a blanket denial of       in Urbanism, Movement and Greenpeace
                                            An appeal was heard in February and        climate change may well be considered       and seeks to decarbonise transport in
                                            judgment is awaited.                       unreasonable by the Courts.                 Aotearoa by 2030.

13   | CLIMATE LITIGATION — KEY NEW ZEALAND CASES
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Climate litigation — key Australian cases
                                                                                                          Internationally, while the acceleration
                                                                                                          in cases is most evident in the U.S.,
                                                                                                          there have been two significant
                                                                                                          decisions for New Zealand businesses
                                                                                                          and directors out of Australia.

                                                                                       McVeigh v Retail
                                                                                       Employees
                                                                                       Superannuation
                                             Abrahams v                                Trust Pty (2020)
                                                                                                                                  CORPORATE

                                                                                       T
                                             Commonwealth                                     his claim was brought by a
                                                                                              beneficiary (McVeigh) against a     GOVERNANCE THE
                                             Bank of Australia                                superannuation scheme trustee       NEXT FOCUS?
                                             (2017)                                    (REST), alleging that REST breached
                                                                                                                                  Local directors eyeing international
                                                                                       its duties to act with care, skill and

                                             T
                                                    wo shareholders brought a          diligence, act in the best interests of    climate cases that seek to hold
                                                    claim against CBA for failing to   the beneficiaries, and exercise due        companies to account through
                                                    address climate change risks in    diligence, because it had not carried      corporate governance and company law
                                             its 2016 annual report. They alleged      out an assessment of climate change        should note a thorough exploration of
                                             CBA breached obligations under the        risks for the superannuation fund. It      the key concepts in a 2019 paper15 by
                                             Corporations Act to give a true and       was settled in November 2020, at           Chief Justice Helen Winkelmann and
                                             fair view of the financial position and   which time REST acknowledged the           two judges of the Supreme Court of
                                             performance of the company. They          position of the Task Force on Climate-     New Zealand, Susan Glazebrook and
                                             dropped the case after CBA changed        related Financial Disclosures (TCFD)       Ellen France. That paper, Climate Change
                                             its 2017 annual report to include         that climate change is a material,         and the Law, highlights corporate
                                             an acknowledgement that climate           direct and current financial risk to the   governance as an area of potential
                                             change posed a significant risk to the    superannuation fund across many risk       development in which directors’ duties
                                             bank’s operations, and promised to        categories. REST committed to taking       may become a pathway through which
                                             undertake climate change scenario         further steps to manage and disclose       companies are required to consider and
                                             analysis on its business.                 climate-related risks.                     address climate change.

14   | CLIMATE LITIGATION — KEY AUSTRALIAN CASES
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Fire and flood — the insurance risk
                                                                                                Private
                                                                                               or public
                                                                                                                       Corporate

I
                                                                                             securities or
  nsuring climate-related risks is becoming                                                  fraud claims             governance
  harder and more expensive. As a group,                             Challenges               relating to           actions relating
                                                                    to decisions          disclosures made        to management of
  insurers already have a sharp focus on the                                                 to investors
                                                                     whether to                                   company assets or
increased risks arising from climate change.
                                                                   indemnify or                                  pension funds in light
The Insurance Council of New Zealand has                            defend, and                                    of known climate
been reported as welcoming the pending                                 others                                             risk
mandatory climate change reporting on the
basis that is it very important for insurers
to be able to identify the extent of their                                                                                         Efforts
climate risk exposures16. In New Zealand and                                                                                     to compel                            Greater
                                                                  Actions                                                                                            costs for
Australia, insurers are influenced by recent                                                                                      action or
experience with the impact of changing
                                                           against individual
                                                              directors and
                                                                                             DIRECT                            disclosure of                     defending lawsuits
                                                                                                                           information relating                  • As an increasing
weather patterns, ranging from bushfires to
flooding. Reinsurers’ appetite for risk in this
                                                          officers for failure to
                                                            properly address
                                                                                            IMPACTS                           to methods for                  proportion of losses are
                                                                                                                                addressing                     from extreme weather
part of the world will also play a material part               climate risk
                                                                                                                                climate risk                          insured
in the availability, and cost, of cover for those
                                                                                                                                                               • As compensation is
exposed to climate risks.
                                                                                                                                                                  sought for harms
A particular focus in New Zealand, with over                                                                                                                     resulting from the
15,000 kilometres of coastline, is sea level                                                                                                                       failure to adapt
rise. A research report released late last          Earlier this year, the United Nations
year for the Deep South National Science            Environment Programme, together with a
Challenge, Insurance Retreat, found homes           group of 22 leading insurers and reinsurers
with a 1% probability of coastal inundation         released guidance for the insurance industry                                         INDIRECT                                Higher
could face a partial insurance retreat              around identifying and disclosing the impact                                                                               litigation
from 2030, with full retreat for at least           of climate change19. The report highlights                                            IMPACTS                             frequency
10,000 properties in Auckland, Wellington,          the complexity of the challenge facing
Christchurch and Dunedin considered likely          the sector. While it identified that insurers
by 205017. In response, the Insurance Council       are comfortable assessing physical risk,
of New Zealand told media it expected               the report found they had not yet placed
companies would keep covering existing              significant focus on litigation risks. Those
                                                                                                             Source: United Nations Environment Programme - Insuring the Climate Transition
customers – at higher premiums and excesses         risks may impact the companies themselves,
– but might decline new customers in risky          their products and their insured clients.
places18.

15   | FIRE AND FLOOD — THE INSURANCE RISK
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Managed retreat — waiting and watching

                                                                               N
                                                                                       ew legislation to address managed         Some NZ$14 billion of local government
                     A national adaptation fund to finance                             retreat and climate change                assets alone are at risk from estimated sea
                     pre-emptive adaptation and risk-                                  adaptation is in development. While       level rise23.
                                                                               the legislation’s structure can be anticipated,
                     reduction measures                                                                                          But managed retreat is a complex and often
                                                                               little is known about how it could be
                                                                                                                                 fraught area. There will be many differences
                                                                               implemented as yet. With significant policy
                                                                                                                                 of opinion on how risk is best managed – and
                                                                               work still needed and the Government
                                                                                                                                 who should pay the cost.
                                                                               keeping its cards close, we look at what can
                                                   Land acquisition            be learned from real-world examples for an        For a definitive answer on how the
                                                   powers for central and      indication of what might lie ahead.               Government proposes to implement the
                                                   local government                                                              Panel’s recommendations in practice, we
                                                                               A national approach                               will have to wait until the CCA and NBA are
                                                                                                                                 introduced into Parliament. Climate Change
                                                                               The Government will introduce the new
                                                                                                                                 Minister James Shaw has acknowledged that
                                                                               legislation as part of a wider package of
                                                                                                                                 significant policy work is still required before
                                                                               resource management reforms announced
                                                                                                                                 that can happen24, and has been reluctant to
                                                       Principles-based        in February 2021 following the release of the     give any indication on a preferred view for
     RECOMMENDATIONS
                                                       compensation            Resource Management Review Panel's report         fear of influencing market and landowner
          FOR THE                                                              last year.
                                                       for affected                                                              behaviour25.
      CLIMATE CHANGE
                                                       landowners              If the Panel’s recommendations are                But with managed retreat already occurring,
      ADAPTATION ACT
                                                                               implemented, the new Climate Change               it is possible to draw on local and international
                                                                               Adaptation Act (CCA) will provide a national-     examples to anticipate how the CCA might
                                                                               level approach to managed retreat.                take shape. Real-world managed retreat
                                                 National direction under                                                        suggests a potential package of mechanisms
                                                 the Natural and Built                                                           ranging from targeted rates to fund adaptation
                                                                               High stakes                                       solutions26, to rolling easements to roll-back
                                                 Environments Act (NBA)
                                                                               A robust approach to managing climate-            coastal access in line with sea level rise27.
                                                 to extinguish existing land
                                                                               related inundation is necessary. With 75%         Overseas, local authorities have been given
                                                 uses and consented
                                                                               of the New Zealand population living              the power to convert private coastal land
                                                                               within 10km of the coast21, over 10,000           from freehold to leasehold – essentially
                                                                               coastal properties in Auckland, Wellington,       giving owners an end date to their legal right
                      Economic instuments                                      Christchurch and Dunedin are at risk of full      to remain on the coast28. In Matatā on New
                      to incentivise changes                                   insurance retreat by 205022.                      Zealand's east coast, a local council is using
                      in land use20                                                                                              existing planning rules to extinguish existing
                                                                                                                                 use rights, as envisaged in the proposed NBA.

16   | MANAGED RETREAT — WAITING AND WATCHING
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Managed retreat — high stakes

        Case study: Matatā — Bay of Plenty29

       I
          n May 2005, heavy rainfall flooded    The Whakatāne District Council             use rights of 21 homeowners by the         the plan changes were approved by
          the Awatarariki Stream causing        calculated that the return period for a    end of March 2021, and to prohibit all     an independent hearings panel and
          300,000m2 of rock, wooden debris      similar debris flow was 40-80 years, and   future residential development for an      all but one of 21 homeowners settled
        and mud to flow through the Matatā      that the only viable option to prevent     additional 24 properties. A $15 million    with the Council before their appeal
        peninsula township in the western Bay   an unacceptable fatality risk was to       compensation fund was separately           in the Environment Court. The Court
        of Plenty. An estimated NZ$20 million   implement rapid managed retreat from       established to purchase the 21             ruled that the last family could remain
        of losses resulted, with 27 homes       the most affected area.                    properties at current market value, with   in their home for one more year, until
        destroyed and 87 other properties                                                  no discount for the known hazard risk.     March 2022, subject to strict conditions
                                                As a result, the Council introduced two
        damaged.                                                                                                                      to protect their health and safety.
                                                plan changes to extinguish the existing    Despite opposition from residents,

                                                                                                                                                     Next steps
                                                                                                                                              The CCA is expected to be
                                                                                                                                           developed in parallel with the NBA
                                                                                                                                          and the Strategic Planning Act (SPA)
                                                                                                                                        throughout the course of this year30.
                                                                                                                                        Engagement with iwi/Māori and local
                                                                                                                                        government will occur in early 2021 and
                                                                                                                                         public consultation at the end of 202131.
                                                                                                                                          A bill will then be introduced alongside
                                                                                                                                            the NBA and SPA by December 2021,
                                                                                                                                              and will go through a full select
                                                                                                                                                  committee process.

17   | MANAGED RETREAT — HIGH STAKES
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Sustainable finance

S
      ustainable financing is on the rise in
      New Zealand’s loan and bond markets.
      As at March 2021 NZ$2.4 billion of
green bonds are listed on the NZX32 - but                                  Borrower commits to
with global cumulative green bond issuance                                use proceeds to finance
tipping over US$1 trillion in December 202033,           GREEN            or refinance sustainable
there’s clear scope for growth.
                                                                            assets and activities
Climate change is of course a key driver of
this trend, but there are also other forces in
operation, including corporate sustainability
strategies reflecting social and reputational
pressures. Sustainable finance allows
corporates to align their financing with those                            No restriction on use of
strategies and pressures, and meet demands                                 proceeds, but cost of
from investors with environmental social         SUSTAINABILITY-LINKED         funding tied to
governance (ESG) mandates.                                                      benchmarked
A range of sustainable financing products
                                                                         sustainability performance
have developed in New Zealand, the
most prominent being “green” bonds and
“sustainability-linked” loans.

The dramatic rise in issuance of green and
sustainability-linked debt products both
in New Zealand and globally has attracted
attention, and there have been some
notable developments in New Zealand and
internationally over the past year.

18   | SUSTAINABLE FINANCE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Sustainable finance — the guidance
                                                                                                                                                               The guidance
 Sustainability Linked Loan                                                        The FMA has also announced its view that green bond
                                                                                                                                                              should help to
 Principles                                                                        issuances are not within the “same class” as existing
                                                                                                                                                            ensure consistency
 The APLMA, LMA and LSTA                                                           vanilla corporate bonds for the purposes of the “same                   and transparency are
 together published Sustainability                                                 class exclusion” which provides relief from disclosure                maintained in the green
 Linked Loan Principles (together                                                  requirements under the Financial Markets Conduct Act                  and sustainability-linked
 with guidance), which are                                                         2013. Accordingly, additional disclosures are required                 loan and bond markets
 voluntary guidelines designed                                                     in relation to new issuances of retail green bonds in                    as they develop in
                                                                                   New Zealand (other than in certain circumstances).                          New Zealand
 to preserve the integrity of the
 sustainability-linked loan market
                                             REGULATORY
 MAY 2020                                     & INDUSTRY                                Trends
                                              GUIDANCE                                  A developing European trend is the                climate-linked bond (an AU$140m 8-year
                                              A good range has been                     incorporation of sustainability features into     bond that paid a fixed coupon plus a return
                                             published internationally                  the leveraged loan market, most notably the       tied to the performance of a “forward-
                                               and in New Zealand                       incorporation of pricing ratchets that are tied   looking” climate transition index). Our
Green Loan Principles
The APLMA, LMA and LSTA                                                                 to the ability to meet (or failure to meet)       expectation is that we will start to see more
updated their Green Loan                                                                prescribed targets and bespoke reporting          of this type of product here, particularly
Principles (together with guidance),                                                    requirements to audit that performance.           with New Zealand emissions budgets and
which provides a voluntary                                                              With pressure on both financial institutions      targets seeking to drive transition climate
framework of market standards to                     Disclosure framework for           and private equity sponsors to incorporate        action and the pending mandatory obligation
promote consistency in the green                     integrated financial products      green and sustainability based processes into     for financial climate-related risk disclosures.
loan market.                                                                            credit and investment analysis, along with
                                                     This publication by the FMA
FEBRUARY 2021                                        is for issuers of financial        the increasing demand from investors for          Looking ahead
                                                     products that incorporate          ESG linked products (both debt and equity),
                                                                                                                                          With demand for ESG linked products
                                                     non-financial factors, including   we expect local private equity sponsors will
                                                                                                                                          continuing to grow, and increased scrutiny
                                                     environmental, social and          draw upon the European experience and look
                Sustainability-Linked Bond                                                                                                from regulators and investors to quantify
                Principles and Social Bond           human capital impacts.             to the sustainability-linked loan market as
                                                                                                                                          and disclose ESG risks, we expect the
                Principles                                                              a way to align pricing incentives and ESG
                                                     Its aim is to ensure investors                                                       green and sustainability-linked bond
                                                     can be confident products          considerations of both their investors and
                The ICMA issued this                                                                                                      and loan market to play an increasingly
                                                     deliver what they promise and      credit providers.
                publication, setting a similar                                                                                            mainstream role in the New Zealand
                standard for the sustainability-     are not “greenwashed”, which       Another trend developing across the Tasman        loan and bond markets. The guidance
                linked and social bond               is relevant for issuers of green   is an increase in complex structured financial    published by regulators and industry
                markets.                             bonds in New Zealand.              products that integrate green elements. In        bodies provides a helpful platform
                JUNE 2020                            DECEMBER 2020                      August 2020 BNP issued Australia’s first          from which the market can develop.

19   | SUSTAINABLE FINANCE — THE GUIDANCE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

     Bell Gully’s climate change practice

     O
              ur firm has been at the forefront   That consistency in providing market-leading      transitioning to meet New Zealand’s      • High-level interpretation of
              of climate change action in         climate change advice is recognised by            net zero carbon target.                    New Zealand’s climate change
              New Zealand for more than 20        international legal directories. Bell Gully’s                                                legislation and the implications of
                                                                                                  • Advice on the implications of climate
     years. We helped to develop core climate     environment practice is ranked in the top                                                    international agreements including
                                                                                                    change adaptation for your business or
     change legislation in New Zealand and        tier for environmental law in New Zealand                                                    the Paris Agreement.
     have had long-standing involvement           by the Legal 500 Asia Pacific 2020.               community.
     with New Zealand’s emissions trading                                                                                                    • Advice on governance, risk and
                                                  Practice leader Simon Watt has also featured    • Identifying carbon risks, as well as
     initiatives, including advising the                                                                                                       reporting associated with climate
                                                  in the world-wide climate change rankings         advice on carbon pass-through and
     New Zealand Government on the design                                                                                                      change.
                                                  of the international legal directory Chambers     trading.
     of the New Zealand Emissions Trading                                                                                                    • Advice on potential climate change
                                                  Global since 2008 – the only New Zealand        • Robust due diligence around the sale
     Scheme. Internationally, we worked
                                                  lawyer to be ranked in the last seven years.                                                 litigation, and acting on actual
     on the world’s first carbon trade for                                                          or acquisition of emissions-exposed
                                                                                                                                               climate change litigation matters
     avoided deforestation and on pioneering      We can provide you with:                          businesses or assets.
     emissions trading activity.                  • Specialist advice on all areas of law         • Advice on activity and the financing
     We act for an array of individuals and         involving the regulation and reduction          of activity to implement carbon
     organisations, ranging from leaders            of greenhouse gas emissions.                    reductions and addressing regulatory
     in the emissions trading market and                                                            barriers to a lower-carbon operation.
                                                  • Advice on the regulatory and
     global investment banks to regional
                                                    commercial opportunities and
     governments or government groups
                                                    barriers in all sectors (including
     in New Zealand and overseas. This has
                                                    energy, transport, forestry, agriculture,
     included some of the nations that will be
                                                    manufacturing, and mining)
     among those most affected by climate
     change.

20   | BELL GULLY’S CLIMATE CHANGE PRACTICE
Our team
If you have any questions about this report, please contact one of the team listed or your usual Bell Gully adviser:

                  CLIMATE CHANGE                                          CLIMATE CHANGE                                   FORESTRY

                  Simon Watt                                              Kate Redgewell                                   Karl Anderson
                  PARTNER                                                 CONSULTANT                                       PARTNER

                  DDI   +64 4 915 6854    MOB   +64 21 605 384            DDI   +64 4 915 6868   MOB   +64 21 570 945      DDI   +64 9 916 8845    MOB   +64 21 661 726
                  simon.watt@bellgully.com                                kate.redgewell@bellgully.com                     karl.anderson@bellgully.com

                  DERIVATIVES, BANKING AND FINANCE                       ENERGY                                          FORESTRY

                  David Craig                                             David Coull                                    Andrew Petersen
                  PARTNER                                                 PARTNER                                        PARTNER

                  DDI   +64 4 915 6839    MOB   +64 21 674 851            DDI   +64 4 915 6863    MOB   +64 21 800 308   DDI    +64 9 916 8622    MOB   +64 21 684 533
                  david.craig@bellgully.com                               david.coull@bellgully.com                      andrew.petersen@bellgully.com

                  LITIGATION                                              RESOURCE MANAGEMENT                             RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

                  Blair Keown                                             Andrew Beatson                                  Natasha Garvan
                  PARTNER                                                 PARTNER                                         PARTNER

                  DDI   +64 9 916 8796    MOB   +64 21 185 0409           DDI   +64 9 916 8754   MOB   +64 21 223 9170    DDI    +64 9 916 8956   MOB   +64 27 420 0561
                  blair.keown@bellgully.com                               andrew.beatson@bellgully.com                    natasha.garvan@bellgully.com

                    ENERGY                                                 LITIGATION                                     SUSTAINABLE FINANCE

                   Angela Harford                                         Simon Ladd                                      Jennifer Gunser
                   PARTNER                                                PARTNER                                         PARTNER

                   DDI   +64 4 915 6764     MOB   +64 21 875 905          DDI   +64 9 916 8934    MOB   +64 21 920 508    DDI   +64 9 916 8757    MOB    +64 21 704 923
                   angela.harford@bellgully.com                           simon.ladd@bellgully.com                        jennifer.gunser@bellgully.com

21   | OUR TEAM
Our team
If you have any questions about this report, please contact one of the team listed or your usual Bell Gully adviser:

                    PROJECTS AND REAL ESTATE                                           PROJECTS AND REAL ESTATE                      CORPORATE

                    David Chisnall                                                    Toni Forrest                                   Haydn Wong
                    PARTNER                                                           PARTNER                                        PARTNER

                    DDI   +64 4 915 6966   MOB   +64 27 594 8505                      DDI   +64 4 915 6524   MOB   +64 27 5055 910   DDI   +64 9 916 8918   MOB   +64 21 606 267
                    david.chisnall@bellgully.com                                      toni.forrest@bellgully.com                     haydn.wong@bellgully.com

                    SUSTAINABLE FINANCE                                                CORPORATE GOVERNANCE                          CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

                    Zac Kedgley-Foot                                                  Amon Nunns                                     James Cooney
                    SENIOR ASSOCIATE                                                  PARTNER                                        PARTNER

                    DDI   +64 4 915 6820                                              DDI   +64 4 915 6741   MOB   +64 21 687 368    DDI   +64 9 916 8620   MOB   +64 21 190 6145
                    zac.kedgley-foot@bellgully.com                                    amon.nunns@bellgully.com                       james.cooney@bellgully.com

                    CORPORATE

                    Renata Davis
                    SENIOR SOLICITOR

                    DDI   +64 4 915 6798   MOB   +64 21 537 174
                    renata.davis@bellgully.com

 Acknowledgements
 Our thanks to Bell Gully lawyers Simon Watt, Simon Ladd, Natasha Garvan, Jennifer Gunser, Kate Redgewell, Zac Kedgley-Foot,
 Rachel Gowing, Tasha Lea, Simone Cooper, Hannah Watson and Naushyn Janah for their assistance in preparing this report.

22   | OUR TEAM
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021?

Endnotes
1    https://www.wri.org/blog/2020/12/interactive-chart-top-emitters                                    18   Homes to start losing access to insurance within 15 years – report. (2020, December 2) Stuff.
                                                                                                             https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/climate-news/123560377/homes-to-start-losing-access-to-
2    https://www.climatecommission.govt.nz/get-involved/faq/looking-ahead/                                   insurance-within-15-years---report
3    Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021:   19   https://www.unepfi.org/psi/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/PSI-TCFD-final-report.pdf
     Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment.
                                                                                                        20 Review Panel Report page 189 para [96] and page 186 para [84].
4    Summarised from He Pou a Rangi – the Climate Change Commission 2021 Draft Advice for
     Consultation.                                                                                      21   Review Panel Report page 176 fn 223 citing Climate Change Adaptation Technical Working Group.
                                                                                                             2017. Adapting to Climate Change in New Zealand: Stocktake Report from the Climate Change
5    Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021:        Adaptation Technical Working Group. Wellington: Climate Change Adaptation Technical Working
     Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment – Table 7.                              Group at 31. Retrieved from https://www.mfe.govt.nz/sites/default/files/media/Climate%20Change/
6    Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021:        adapting-to-climate-change-stocktake-tag-report.pdf
     Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment – Table 9.                         22 https://deepsouthchallenge.co.nz/resource/insurance-retreat-december-2020-final-report/ at 3.
7    Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021:   23 Tom Simonson and Grace Hall Vulnerable: The quantum of local government infrastructure exposed
     Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment – Table 10.                           to sea level rise LGNZ January 2019 at 12. Retrieved from https://www.lgnz.co.nz/assets/Uploads/
8    Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021:      d566cc5291/47716-LGNZ-Sea-Level-Rise-Report-3-Proof-FINAL-compressed.pdf
     Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment.                                   24 Cabinet Paper ‘Adaptation legislation – proposed timelines and process’ para [28]
9    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-17/eu-rules-bank-pledges-signal-new-day-for-       25 Sea level rise: insurance and retreat – James Shaw. (2020, December 7). Radio New Zealand. https://
     europe-green-insight                                                                                  www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/2018775996/sea-level-rise-insurance-and-
10 https://www.nordea.com/en/press-and-news/news-and-press-releases/news-en/2021/140-funds-                retreat-james-shaw
   tighten-requirements-on-investments-in-fossil-fuel%20.html                                           26 Review Panel Report page 189 para [95].
11   https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-17/eu-rules-bank-pledges-signal-new-day-for-       27 Defend or retreat — the struggle to save our beachside paths and reserves from rising sea levels.
     europe-green-insight                                                                                  (2020, September 30). Stuff https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/climate-news/122733616/defend-
12   https://www.hsbc.com/-/files/hsbc/investors/results-and-announcements/stock-exchange-                 or-retreat--the-struggle-to-save-our-beachside-paths-and-reserves-from-rising-sea-levels
     announcements/2021/march/sea-210311-e-hsbc-announces-resolution-on-climate-change.pdf              28 Climate hazard property - from freehold to leasehold. (2021, February). Radio New Zealand. https://
13   https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/mex_21_1106                                     www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/2018781916/climate-hazard-property-from-
                                                                                                           freehold-to-leasehold
14   https://www.unep.org/resources/report/global-climate-litigation-report-2020-status-review
                                                                                                        29 https://www.whakatane.govt.nz/residents/awatarariki-managed-retreat-programme
15   https://www.courtsofnz.govt.nz/assets/speechpapers/ccw.pdf pages 45-47.
                                                                                                        30 https://environment.govt.nz/assets/Publications/Cabinet-papers-briefings-and-minutes/cabinet-
16   How has the insurance sector reacted to mandatory climate change reporting? (2021, April 28).         paper-adaptation-legislation-proposed-timelines-and-process.pdf at [9] and [31].
     Insurance Business NZ. https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/nz/news/breaking-news/how-has-
     the-insurance-sector-reacted-to-mandatory-climate-change-reporting-253400.aspx                     31   https://environment.govt.nz/assets/Publications/Cabinet-papers-briefings-and-minutes/cabinet-
                                                                                                             paper-adaptation-legislation-proposed-timelines-and-process.pdf at [45], [46].
17   https://deepsouthchallenge.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Insurance-Retreat-December-2020-
     Final-Report.pdf                                                                                   32 https://www.nzx.com/markets/NZDX

                                                                                                        33 https://www.climatebonds.net/2020/12/1trillion-mark-reached-global-cumulative-green-issuance-
                                                                                                           climate-bonds-data-intelligence

23   | ENDNOTES
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