THE BIG PICTURE: CLIMATE CHANGE - What lies ahead in 2021? May 2021 - Bell Gully
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Contents 1 Introduction — the tipping point 2 The New Zealand framework 3 What's coming this year? 4 The Climate Change Commission — Aotearoa is not on track 5 The Climate Change Commission — what transition looks like 6 NZ ETS: regular evolution and refinement 8 NZU auctions 9 Mandatory climate-related disclosure 10 Mandatory disclosure — picking up the pace 11 International pressure 12 Climate litigation on the rise 13 Climate litigation — key New Zealand cases 14 Climate litigation — key Australian cases 15 Fire and flood — the insurance risk 16 Managed Retreat — waiting and watching 17 Managed Retreat — high stakes 18 Sustainable finance 19 Sustainable finance — the guidance 20 Bell Gully’s climate change practice 21 Our team
Introduction — the tipping point T he changing climate and how the by 2060. The United States of America, one world responds to it is the defining of the world’s three biggest emitters1, has issue of this generation. Despite re-joined the Paris Agreement. Germany and a global pandemic that has resulted in Mexico, along with Japan and Canada, have countries closing their borders, an almost developed long term plans to decarbonise complete cessation of international travel, their economies. domestic lockdowns and significant business Government declarations are laudable. But and economic pressures, climate change global emissions are still high and there is has continued to be a key concern for a significant lag time between emissions governments and businesses alike across and the point at which the impacts arising the globe. from those emissions are experienced by the In the sixth year after the Paris Agreement global population. Transition action is now was adopted in 2015, it is clear the transition what is urgently needed. to a lower-carbon economy has begun. Will it come? In New Zealand, at least, the Since New Zealand declared its net-zero conditions are finally emerging. We believe carbon target at the end of 2019, through upcoming mandatory financial reporting reform of the Climate Change Response on climate-related risks, in conjunction Act 2002, many others have announced with recommended emissions budgets net-zero carbon targets for 2050, including from He Pou a Rangi - the Climate Change the European Union, Japan, Canada, Commission, will prove the tipping point. South Africa, and South Korea. China has announced it is aiming for carbon neutrality 1 | INTRODUCTION
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? The New Zealand framework I n New Zealand, the Government has been pushing through a multi-faceted He Waka Eke Noa – the Primary Sector Climate framework aimed at targeting the Action Partnership – released its first edition of transition to a lower-carbon economy. By its Greenhouse Gases: Farm Planning Guidance the end of 2020: providing a guide for farmers and growers The NZ ETS was reformed, with changes to help them measure, manage and reduce introduced to the Climate Change Response Act greenhouse gas emissions. 2002 (CCRA) to provide for the auctioning of NZUs, a cap on emissions, reform to the forestry- related regimes under the NZ ETS, and the The first National Climate Change Risk removal of a fixed-price option for meeting one’s Report was released with work underway compliance obligations. on the nation’s first National Climate Change Adaptation Plan. The Government established the independent THE Climate Change Commission, with seven appointed commissioners led by Dr Rod Carr. The Minister for Climate Change asked the FRAMEWORK Climate Change Commission to proceed with recommendations on the first three SO FAR The Government announced its intention to emissions budgets, on the policy direction for introduce a mandatory financial disclosure the Government’s first emissions reduction regime on climate-related risks to be in effect plan, reviewing New Zealand’s first nationally from 2023 (at the earliest) to capture 90% of determined contribution and advising on assets under management in New Zealand. the eventual reductions needed in biogenic methane emissions. At this point in time the New Zealand under the Paris Agreement. Consultation on Emissions Trading Scheme remains the central the report has seen the pace and manner tool for mitigation, but the combination of in which the transition is achieved hotly The Government considered the Resource mandatory reporting and national emission contested by commentators. But there Management’s Review Panel’s report budgets should prove a potent addition. seems to be little debate that a transition to on resource management reforms and a lower-carbon economy is needed. This, in In its draft report, the Climate Change proposed to implement a Climate Change itself, is a significant shift in a relatively small Commission has said that now is the time Adaptation Act (CCA). number of years. for action if New Zealand is to play its part 2 | THE NEW ZEALAND FRAMEWORK
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? What's coming this year? E xpect 2021 to be a year in which action plans. This will take place amid businesses and local government the next wave of climate change-related engage with and shore up their regulation and policies from Government to understanding of their own climate-related provide sufficient incentive and certainty for risks, and develop their adaptation and investment and transformation planning. NOV 2019 AUG 2020 JAN 2021 MAR 2021 END-2021 2023 Zero Carbon Act First National Climate Change Consultation on Minister sets first Earliest date at which passed into law Climate Change Risk Commission releases Climate Change three 5-yearly mandatory climate- Assessment released its draft advice report Commission’s emissions budgets. related risk reporting on reducing emissions draft advice closed. COP-26 held – potential would be required and first proposed First auction of that New Zealand will three 5-yearly emissions NZUs held propose a new NDC budgets JUN 2020 SEP 2020 FEB 2021 MAY 2021 2022 NZ ETS reforms passed Government announces Government announces Climate Change Commission First National Adaptation by Parliament (including plans for mandatory plans for RMA reforms, provides final advice Plan to be published by enabling a cap on climate-related risk including a new Climate to Minister on 5-yearly August 2022 emissions) reporting Change Adaptation Act emissions budgets, and on change needed to nationally determined contribution (NDC) under Paris Agreement 3 | WHAT'S COMING THIS YEAR?
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? The Climate Change Commission — Aotearoa is not on track T he Climate Change Commission New Zealand’s international The clock is ticking: The CCRA sets out the process released its Draft Advice to the commitment for considering and responding to the Climate Change Government for public consultation If Aotearoa is to play its part to limit global Commission's advice and recommendations on emissions on 31 January 2021. By the close of its warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrialised budgets, imposing a number of deadlines. consultation period at the end of March, levels, our commitment to reduce emissions the commission had received more than 15,500 submissions. It is now working its needs to change from 30%, to 31 May 2021 more than 35% below 2005 Final package of advice due to the way through this wave of feedback in order levels by 2030. This goes Government to prepare and present its final advice to further than the reduction Government by the end of May. to N ew Ze a l a n d ’s All eyes will be on that final advice, and domestic emissions Within 10 the Government’s reaction, because the budgets proposed by the working days Commission’s draft advice came with a Commission. Minister of Climate Change must table the advice in Parliament warning. In the meantime, the G ove r n m e n t a l re a d y Current government appears to be proceeding with a number of climate 28 June 2021 policies do not put actions consistent with Climate Change Commission must release the advice publicly Aotearoa on track to the Draft Advice, with its meet our recommended recent Climate Action Announcement on 8 April emissions budgets and 2021 banning new low and 31 Dec 2021 The Government must have set the 2050 targets.” medium temperature coal- the first three emissions budgets fired boilers, the provision (to 2035) and release its first He Pou a Rangi - the Climate of a Decarbonising Industry emissions reduction plan2 Change Commission Fund to help the private 2021 Draft Advice sector to transition away from fossil fuels, and funding the transition of several public From 2022 The Commission to begin a new work sector organisations (schools, programme to monitor implementation district health boards and tertiary of its advice, including tracking against education institutes) from fossil-fuel the 2050 net zero target options for the generation of process heat. 4 | THE CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION — AOTEAROA IS NOT ON TRACK
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? The Climate Change Commission — what transition looks like T he Climate Change Commission’s draft TR AN S ITI O N BY S EC TO R 4 advice included proposed reductions to New Zealand’s next three five- TRANSPORT LAND USE year emissions budgets, the climate action it considers necessary to reduce emissions 223 • An integrated national • Government needs a cohesive strategy that Mt C02-e transport network to reduce includes water, biodiversity and climate to meet those budgets, and whether private vehicle travel New Zealand’s international Nationally 2030 - 2035 • Farmers need to make changes to lower Determined Contribution is sufficient. • EVs widely adopted with emissions, while maintaining or improving Government support and productivity incentives 286 • Policy support for greater farming • Freight moved to rail and efficiency – reduced animal numbers shipping and better animal, pasture and feed management, plus adapted and improved PROPOSED • Use of low carbon fuels – Mt C02-e hydrogen and biofuels – for land use (lower emissions practices and DRAFT technologies) EMISSIONS heavy trucks, trains, planes BUDGETS3 2026 - 2030 and ships • Forestry plays a role but is not the sole solution • Pine has an important role to reach Mt CO2-e = metric tons HEAT, INDUSTRY the 2050 target, provides material for 271 of carbon dioxide equivalent & POWER bioenergy and building • End coal use • Incentivise native forests for long-term carbon sinks and wider biodiversity and Mt C02-e • Maximise the use of erosion control benefits electricity, including for EVs 2022 - 2025 and process heat • Government to better understand potential of existing forests, small tree blocks, • More solar, wind and wetlands and soils in storing carbon geothermal required • Use low emissions WASTE Aotearoa will not meet its targets without strong technologies and prioritise • Strengthened product stewardship and decisive action now to drive low emissions energy efficiency when technologies and behaviour change across all sectors.” building homes • Commitment to resource recovery and reuse • Over the longer-term, reduce He Pou a Rangi - the Climate Change Commission • Capture methane from remaining landfill natural gas use in homes and 2021 Draft Advice businesses waste 5 | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION — WHAT TRANSITION LOOKS LIKE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? NZ ETS: regular evolution and refinement T he New Zealand Emissions Trading control settings on an annual basis. This is the Scheme remains one of the first year these settings will be updated. The ANNUAL AUCTION VOLUMES UPDATE FOR EACH OPTION Government’s key policy responses challenge is this regulatory process is being to climate change. Recent amendments to carried out in parallel to the finalisation of the Two options for reduced annual auction NZU volumes5 the CCRA, and pending regulatory change, Climate Change Commission’s Advice and the OPTION 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 22-26 demonstrate the Government’s desire to Government’s consideration and response to TOTAL continue to evolve and refine the NZ ETS the recommended emissions budget settings STATUS QUO 19.0 19.3 18.6 17.2 15.5 settings, to ensure emissions pricing plays and other policy recommendations in that its critical part within a complementary set Advice. OPTION 1 19.3 18.6 16.4 16.4 14.0 84.7 of policies and measures to drive the move For now, the Government is proposing to OPTION 2 to a low-emissions economy. 19.5 18.3 16.4 16.4 14.0 84.6 continue the zero limit on the importation and use of international emissions units in the Material amendments NZ ETS. It is also seeking feedback, based The Government is currently consulting on on the Climate Change Commission’s draft PRICE FLOOR6 what it refers to as technical changes to the recommendations, on changes to the price Materially increasing the price floor for nzus in the government's auctions emissions trading scheme and synthetic and NZU volume settings for auctioning, gas levy regulations. However, while these highlighted in the table. SETTING 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 changes may be technical in nature, the These proposed options seek to marginally Ministry for the Environment’s Consultation STATUS QUO $20.00 $20.40 $20.81 $21.22 $21.65 $22.08 reduce the volume of NZUs released into on the 2021 Proposed NZ ETS Changes the market by the Government and to points out that a number of the changes COMMISSION DRAFT retain strong emissions pricing for such $30.00 $32.10 $34.35 $36.75 $39.32 are significant indeed for those involved in ADVICE auctions. Combined, the options related the NZ ETS. to the Climate Change Commission’s draft Under 2019 and 2020 amendments to the recommendations more strongly encourage CCRA, the Government is required to consider transition to a low-carbon economy. CCR TRIGGER PRICE7 and update the unit limit and auction price Materially increasing the cost containment reserve trigger price TRIGGER PRICE 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 CURRENT $50.00 $51.00 $52.02 $53.06 $54.12 $55.20 COMMISSION DRAFT $70.00 $78.40 $87.81 $98.34 $110.15 ADVICE 6 | NZ ETS: REGULAR EVOLUTION AND REFINEMENT
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? NZ ETS: regular evolution and refinement New rules will impact SGG LEVY INDUSTRIAL the NZUs a forester can earn Update the schedule of goods ALLOCATION Significant evolution of the post-1989 forestry regime was agreed with the passing of the Climate Change (Emissions covered by the SGG levy Update the electricity Trading Scheme Reform) Amendment Act 2020. The new to capture imported goods allocation factor used in averaging accounting and permanent forestry regimes are containing currently unlevied industrial allocation to more due to come into effect on 1 January 2023. The Government accurately reflect wholesale expects this will lead to around 78,000 hectares of new SGG blends. commercial forests being planted between 2019 and 2027 electricity pricing. – critical to enable New Zealand to meet its international emission reduction targets for 2030 and 2050. A number of the other proposed The forestry regulations containing much of the detail amendments or options underpinning the carbon benefits and risks are currently being considered will being developed, with a number of the proposed settings being the subject of consultation – see the Ministry for Primary directly affect (and likely PROPOSED Industry’s Additional proposed amendments to the Climate increase) some organisations' AMENDMENTS Change Forestry Sector Regulations 2008 which closed compliance liability under WASTE on 9 April. the NZ ETS and for Improve the the importation of The pending regulations will set out the proposed age band, methodology synthetic gas.8 average forest age and multiple rotation frameworks which that accounts for directly affect the amount of NZUs a forest will earn – or waste in the NZ ETS alternatively, will have to be surrendered. They also set out – these amendments the rules around when a party will be eligible for relief from DEFs present options to manage surrender liability, for land subject to a temporary adverse Update default emissions factors the increasing risks to closed event. The Government expects these settings will, over landfills from flooding and time, impact the operational management of such forests. (DEFs) for waste and natural gas erosion and the need for some The working theory is that the increasing carbon price and fields, and update other DEFs such landfills to be excavated proposed settings around age, age band and rotations will on and reference data to reflect new and waste disposed of one hand disincentivise short rotations for plantation forests, global warming potentials. elsewhere to address these risks. and on the other, encourage the establishment of long-term carbon sinks under the permanent forestry regime. 7 | NZ ETS: REGULAR EVOLUTION AND REFINEMENT
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? NZU auctions The NZU auction system is up and running, with the full quantum of NZUs selling in the first auction at a relatively modest price. T he Government marked trade at NZ$38.70, but higher than introduced in June 2020 under a n o t h e r s i g n i fi c a n t the Government’s fixed price option the Climate Change Response milestone in the history of of NZ$35, foreshadowing a strong (Emissions Trading Reform) New Zealand’s Emissions Trading appetite for exercising the fixed Amendment Act. Auctions have Scheme (NZ ETS) on the morning price option among those able to been introduced to align the supply of 17 March with the first auction do so while it remains available. of emissions units in the NZ ETS of New Zealand units (NZUs). At with New Zealand’s emissions There were a total of 40 participants 9am, Minister for Climate Change targets and five-yearly budgets. in the auction with 30 of those James Shaw rang the “NZX bell” The supply of NZUs up for auction bidders successful on the day. in Wellington, to formally open is intended to reduce over time to Feedback on the first auction for the bidding window for the highly assist in achieving the budgeted NZUs highlighted the high level anticipated auction. levels. of interest and involvement from The auction results saw a strong major sectors of New Zealand For more information on foundation uptake from key sectors of the including manufacturing, transport and operation of NZU auctions New Zealand economy, with all and forestry. It was considered a see: Planning to purchase auction 4.75 million NZUs offered sold success. NZUs? Simulated test auctions to at a clearing price of NZ$36. The run this month. Auctioning of NZUs makes up one NZ$36 clearing price sits below the of a suite of reforms to the ETS Carbon Market’s last pre-auction 8 | NZU AUCTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Mandatory climate-related disclosure N ew Zealand has become the first The new legislation is framed as a disclosure country in the world to introduce regime. But its ultimate purpose is to promote legislation requiring mandatory Overseas incorporated a more efficient allocation of capital in light climate-risk reporting for the financial GOALS organisations will also of the potential impacts of climate change, sector. The Financial Sector (Climate-related to help with the transition to a sustainable Disclosures and Other Matters) Amendment OF MANDATORY be required to make and low-emissions economy, and to ensure Bill was introduced to Parliament in April, CLIMATE-RELATED disclosures if their that companies consider and understand and is now subject to Select Committee REPORTING New Zealand business the financial impacts of climate-related consultation. The Financial Climate-related exceeds these thresholds risks and opportunities. This reflects the Disclosures Bill outlines the reporting Taskforce on Climate Related Financial required by ‘climate reporting entities’, Disclosures (TCFD’s) view that climate- which represent the majority of assets under related disclosures will promote a greater management in New Zealand. They include: understanding of the financial implications • All registered banks, credit DISCLOSE DEMONSTRATE associated with climate change and potential unions, and building societies Ensure the climate reporting Help climate reporting climate-resilient solutions, opportunities and with total assets of more than entities disclose clear, entities better demonstrate business models for companies. NZ$1 billion comparable, and consistent responsibility and foresight in information about the risks their consideration of climate • All managers of registered and opportunities presented issues investment schemes with greater by climate change than NZ$1 billion in total assets under management • All licensed insurers with greater than NZ$1 billion in total assets CONSIDER TRANSITION under management or annual Ensure that the effects of Lead to more efficient premium income greater than climate change are routinely allocation of capital, and NZ$250 million considered in business, help smooth the transition investment, lending and to a more sustainable, low • All equity and debt issuers listed insurance underwriting emissions economy on the NZX decisions 9 | MANDATORY CLIMATE-RELATED DISCLOSURE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Mandatory disclosures — picking up the pace The new mandatory climate-related disclosure The NZX Corporate Governance regime is one of a trio of developments that, Code, updated in December taken together, are expected to drive real 2020, recommends that NZX change towards a low-emissions economy. issuers should provide non- The others are the draft advice issued GUIDANCE financial disclosures at least by the Climate Change Commission GOVERNANCE STRATEGY annually, including considering which urges the Government to pick environmental, economic and up the pace to comply with the Zero CLIMATE social sustainability factors and prices. Carbon Act's target of achieving net REPORTING zero emissions by 2050, and the ENTITIES The NZX also has a specific guidance note on ESG proposed changes to the resource MONITOR, ASSESS & ADDRESS CLIMATE- reporting that addresses the significance of climate management legislation, which will involve the introduction of a new RELATED RISKS REGULATORS change reporting for issuers, and notes that such reporting informs the over-arching long-term Climate Change Adaptation Act. OFFER RISK METRICS strategic view of business. Mandatory reporting of climate-related MANAGEMENT & TARGETS GUIDANCE risks will be carried out through climate Both the NZX and The FMA states, in guidance statements consistent with yet-to-be- the FMA released updated in December 2020, that developed climate standards, and audited guidance on by approved climate-related disclosure climate-related FMA in line with its role as a financial assurance bodies. reporting and markets conduct regulator, it GUIDANCE disclosure before supports the transition to an The reporting standards will be issued next year, climate reporting entities may integrated financial system the release of the by the XRB, which will align with the need to maintain records of the information Financial Climate- that considers non-financial recommendations made by the TCFD (widely required to be disclosed. related Disclosures risks (including climate-related risks). The FMA accepted as international best practice for The Financial Climate-related Disclosures Bill. This guidance notes that it has a focus on encouraging boards climate-related financial reporting). In line Bill takes a comply-or-explain approach to continues to apply. and directors to identify, consider and adequately with the TCFD's recommendations, the disclosures. Climate reporting entities must disclose climate risk (including through TCFD / mandatory climate-related disclosures are either comply with the applicable reporting mandatory climate-related disclosure). likely to focus on four core areas of business standards, or if not, explain why not. Failure operations for climate reporting entities. to comply could attract a range of penalties, In a speech in February this year, FMA CEO Rob If the Financial Climate-related Disclosures ranging from fines of up to NZ$50,000 for Everett stated that the FMA is working together Bill is passed by Parliament, climate reporting infringement offences, to NZ$500,000 for entities will be required to make disclosures individuals or NZ$2.5 million for reporting with XRB and other government agencies to for their financial years beginning in 2022, entities for more serious breaches. Individuals prepare for the new regime on climate-related with the first climate statements expected to also face the possibility of imprisonment for financial disclosures, as the relevant regulator for be delivered in 2023. As a result, from early a term not exceeding five years. that area. 10 | MANDATORY DISCLOSURES — PICKING UP THE PACE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? International pressure G lobally we are seeing an increase • The biggest Nordic bank, Nordea AB, and align its financed emissions at a Closer to home 2020 saw stakeholder- in shareholder, investor and funder said in March that 140 of its funds would portfolio level to net zero by 2050 initiated climate change litigation in New pressure for businesses to disclose tighten requirements around fossil fuel or sooner. The resolution set out the Zealand seeking court-orders against a their climate-related risks, along with climate companies10 and would only invest in next phase, including working with number of New Zealand businesses to action or transition plans to reduce or remove companies on a “green transition path”. customers to support their transition – reduce emissions activity. While the court their business exposure to those risks. In Most of Nordea’s funds – over 200 in and publishing a policy by the end of didn’t support the primary action in this March, Bloomberg Green reported on four total, representing 120 billion euros of the year to phase out financing of coal- case, similar cases in neighbouring Australia key developments across the EU in just investment – are now aligned with the fired power and thermal coal mining resulted in settlements that have seen the one week9 as businesses acted to reduce stricter fossil-related restrictions. in the EU and OECD markets by 2030, adoption of more transparent climate-related exposure to climate risk and regulation was and in all other markets by 2040. risk reporting and climate action plans. • The largest French insurer, Axa SA, set introduced to increase transparency on a precedent for the global insurance • The EU introduced new rules to counter As we head into COP26 in November in climate risk. On the face of it, none of these industry. Axa SA has dropped RWE ‘greenwashing’ with its Sustainable Glasgow, Scotland, with a key focus on decisions reduce greenhouse-gas emissions. AG, one of Europe’s biggest coal mine Finance Disclosure Regulation climate finance, there is an expectation But together, they demonstrate that Europe’s operators, as its client because of taking effect on March 1013. It said more governments, corporates and largest financial institutions appear to be RWE’s reliance on coal11. Globally coal the regulation is aimed at triggering investors around the world will announce serious about fighting climate change. use for generating electricity must changes in behaviour in the financial new initiatives to address climate risks and fall significantly to help achieve Paris sector, discouraging greenwashing, and responding to climate change. Whether Agreement targets. promoting responsible and sustainable these announcements are merely rhetoric investments. or give rise to real emission reductions • HSBC Holdings Plc tabled a resolution is yet to be seen. It will likely depend on climate change12 at its annual on the level of regulatory requirements shareholder meeting after a number of and associated stakeholder pressure for shareholders proposed to table their emissions transparency and compliance, risk own climate change resolution. HSBC disclosures, adaptation, and carbon retreat. had already set out a goal last year Real reduction will also hinge on the climate to reduce emissions in its operations finance, carbon and insurance price signals and supply chain to net zero by 2030, necessary for the balance sheet decisions that will enable the change required. 11 | INTERNATIONAL PRESSURE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Climate litigation on the rise CLIMATE LITIGATION SINCE 2017 654 CASES IN 1200 CASES IN THE U.S. THE U.S. 884 24 1550 38 230 350 CASES COUNTRIES CASES COUNTRIES CASES IN OTHER CASES IN OTHER COUNTRIES COUNTRIES 1550 A cross the media and academia, it’s being described as ‘climate change lawfare’. In the past three years, CLIMATE LITIGATION CASES WORLDWIDE IN 2020 the number of climate litigation cases has nearly doubled worldwide, to reach 1,550 cases across 38 countries, according to the United Nations Environment Programme14. Globally, the courts are increasingly grappling with plaintiffs seeking faster action on climate change or rulings on particular local impacts. 12 | CLIMATE LITIGATION ON THE RISE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Climate litigation — key New Zealand cases I n New Zealand, a trio of recent cases stand out for their implications for government and businesses. Hauraki Coromandel Climate Action Inc v Thames- Coromandel District Smith v Fonterra Council (2020) T Co-operative he High Court quashed a Group Limited and decision by the Thames- All Aboard Aotearoa Coromandel District Council others (2020) not to approve the mayor signing Inc v Waka the Local Government Leaders’ Kotahi (2021) S even large domestic emitters Climate Change Declaration - which A faced a claim they had been she viewed as a potentially binding coalition of climate and transport negligent or breached other document, although its originator advocacy groups applied in legal duties by emitting greenhouse Local Government New Zealand the High Court for the judicial gases, and seeking orders requiring did not. The case demonstrates that review of decisions by Waka Kotahi/NZ them to achieve net zero carbon decisions by public bodies regarding Transport Agency and the Government emissions by 2030. In the High Court, climate change are likely to be to fund and build the Mill Road roading two of the three causes of action were considered significant decisions and, project. The group, incorporated under struck out, but the Court was unwilling in certain contexts, can be the subject the name All Aboard Aotearoa, is made to strike out the prospect of a novel of close judicial scrutiny. The case also up of Generation Zero, Lawyers for tortious duty of care (though noting makes clear that decisions based on Climate Action, Bike Auckland, Women such a claim faced significant hurdles). misinformation or a blanket denial of in Urbanism, Movement and Greenpeace An appeal was heard in February and climate change may well be considered and seeks to decarbonise transport in judgment is awaited. unreasonable by the Courts. Aotearoa by 2030. 13 | CLIMATE LITIGATION — KEY NEW ZEALAND CASES
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Climate litigation — key Australian cases Internationally, while the acceleration in cases is most evident in the U.S., there have been two significant decisions for New Zealand businesses and directors out of Australia. McVeigh v Retail Employees Superannuation Abrahams v Trust Pty (2020) CORPORATE T Commonwealth his claim was brought by a beneficiary (McVeigh) against a GOVERNANCE THE Bank of Australia superannuation scheme trustee NEXT FOCUS? (2017) (REST), alleging that REST breached Local directors eyeing international its duties to act with care, skill and T wo shareholders brought a diligence, act in the best interests of climate cases that seek to hold claim against CBA for failing to the beneficiaries, and exercise due companies to account through address climate change risks in diligence, because it had not carried corporate governance and company law its 2016 annual report. They alleged out an assessment of climate change should note a thorough exploration of CBA breached obligations under the risks for the superannuation fund. It the key concepts in a 2019 paper15 by Corporations Act to give a true and was settled in November 2020, at Chief Justice Helen Winkelmann and fair view of the financial position and which time REST acknowledged the two judges of the Supreme Court of performance of the company. They position of the Task Force on Climate- New Zealand, Susan Glazebrook and dropped the case after CBA changed related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) Ellen France. That paper, Climate Change its 2017 annual report to include that climate change is a material, and the Law, highlights corporate an acknowledgement that climate direct and current financial risk to the governance as an area of potential change posed a significant risk to the superannuation fund across many risk development in which directors’ duties bank’s operations, and promised to categories. REST committed to taking may become a pathway through which undertake climate change scenario further steps to manage and disclose companies are required to consider and analysis on its business. climate-related risks. address climate change. 14 | CLIMATE LITIGATION — KEY AUSTRALIAN CASES
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Fire and flood — the insurance risk Private or public Corporate I securities or nsuring climate-related risks is becoming fraud claims governance harder and more expensive. As a group, Challenges relating to actions relating to decisions disclosures made to management of insurers already have a sharp focus on the to investors whether to company assets or increased risks arising from climate change. indemnify or pension funds in light The Insurance Council of New Zealand has defend, and of known climate been reported as welcoming the pending others risk mandatory climate change reporting on the basis that is it very important for insurers to be able to identify the extent of their Efforts climate risk exposures16. In New Zealand and to compel Greater Actions costs for Australia, insurers are influenced by recent action or experience with the impact of changing against individual directors and DIRECT disclosure of defending lawsuits information relating • As an increasing weather patterns, ranging from bushfires to flooding. Reinsurers’ appetite for risk in this officers for failure to properly address IMPACTS to methods for proportion of losses are addressing from extreme weather part of the world will also play a material part climate risk climate risk insured in the availability, and cost, of cover for those • As compensation is exposed to climate risks. sought for harms A particular focus in New Zealand, with over resulting from the 15,000 kilometres of coastline, is sea level failure to adapt rise. A research report released late last Earlier this year, the United Nations year for the Deep South National Science Environment Programme, together with a Challenge, Insurance Retreat, found homes group of 22 leading insurers and reinsurers with a 1% probability of coastal inundation released guidance for the insurance industry INDIRECT Higher could face a partial insurance retreat around identifying and disclosing the impact litigation from 2030, with full retreat for at least of climate change19. The report highlights IMPACTS frequency 10,000 properties in Auckland, Wellington, the complexity of the challenge facing Christchurch and Dunedin considered likely the sector. While it identified that insurers by 205017. In response, the Insurance Council are comfortable assessing physical risk, of New Zealand told media it expected the report found they had not yet placed companies would keep covering existing significant focus on litigation risks. Those Source: United Nations Environment Programme - Insuring the Climate Transition customers – at higher premiums and excesses risks may impact the companies themselves, – but might decline new customers in risky their products and their insured clients. places18. 15 | FIRE AND FLOOD — THE INSURANCE RISK
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Managed retreat — waiting and watching N ew legislation to address managed Some NZ$14 billion of local government A national adaptation fund to finance retreat and climate change assets alone are at risk from estimated sea pre-emptive adaptation and risk- adaptation is in development. While level rise23. the legislation’s structure can be anticipated, reduction measures But managed retreat is a complex and often little is known about how it could be fraught area. There will be many differences implemented as yet. With significant policy of opinion on how risk is best managed – and work still needed and the Government who should pay the cost. keeping its cards close, we look at what can Land acquisition be learned from real-world examples for an For a definitive answer on how the powers for central and indication of what might lie ahead. Government proposes to implement the local government Panel’s recommendations in practice, we A national approach will have to wait until the CCA and NBA are introduced into Parliament. Climate Change The Government will introduce the new Minister James Shaw has acknowledged that legislation as part of a wider package of significant policy work is still required before resource management reforms announced that can happen24, and has been reluctant to Principles-based in February 2021 following the release of the give any indication on a preferred view for RECOMMENDATIONS compensation Resource Management Review Panel's report fear of influencing market and landowner FOR THE last year. for affected behaviour25. CLIMATE CHANGE landowners If the Panel’s recommendations are But with managed retreat already occurring, ADAPTATION ACT implemented, the new Climate Change it is possible to draw on local and international Adaptation Act (CCA) will provide a national- examples to anticipate how the CCA might level approach to managed retreat. take shape. Real-world managed retreat National direction under suggests a potential package of mechanisms the Natural and Built ranging from targeted rates to fund adaptation High stakes solutions26, to rolling easements to roll-back Environments Act (NBA) A robust approach to managing climate- coastal access in line with sea level rise27. to extinguish existing land related inundation is necessary. With 75% Overseas, local authorities have been given uses and consented of the New Zealand population living the power to convert private coastal land within 10km of the coast21, over 10,000 from freehold to leasehold – essentially coastal properties in Auckland, Wellington, giving owners an end date to their legal right Economic instuments Christchurch and Dunedin are at risk of full to remain on the coast28. In Matatā on New to incentivise changes insurance retreat by 205022. Zealand's east coast, a local council is using in land use20 existing planning rules to extinguish existing use rights, as envisaged in the proposed NBA. 16 | MANAGED RETREAT — WAITING AND WATCHING
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Managed retreat — high stakes Case study: Matatā — Bay of Plenty29 I n May 2005, heavy rainfall flooded The Whakatāne District Council use rights of 21 homeowners by the the plan changes were approved by the Awatarariki Stream causing calculated that the return period for a end of March 2021, and to prohibit all an independent hearings panel and 300,000m2 of rock, wooden debris similar debris flow was 40-80 years, and future residential development for an all but one of 21 homeowners settled and mud to flow through the Matatā that the only viable option to prevent additional 24 properties. A $15 million with the Council before their appeal peninsula township in the western Bay an unacceptable fatality risk was to compensation fund was separately in the Environment Court. The Court of Plenty. An estimated NZ$20 million implement rapid managed retreat from established to purchase the 21 ruled that the last family could remain of losses resulted, with 27 homes the most affected area. properties at current market value, with in their home for one more year, until destroyed and 87 other properties no discount for the known hazard risk. March 2022, subject to strict conditions As a result, the Council introduced two damaged. to protect their health and safety. plan changes to extinguish the existing Despite opposition from residents, Next steps The CCA is expected to be developed in parallel with the NBA and the Strategic Planning Act (SPA) throughout the course of this year30. Engagement with iwi/Māori and local government will occur in early 2021 and public consultation at the end of 202131. A bill will then be introduced alongside the NBA and SPA by December 2021, and will go through a full select committee process. 17 | MANAGED RETREAT — HIGH STAKES
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Sustainable finance S ustainable financing is on the rise in New Zealand’s loan and bond markets. As at March 2021 NZ$2.4 billion of green bonds are listed on the NZX32 - but Borrower commits to with global cumulative green bond issuance use proceeds to finance tipping over US$1 trillion in December 202033, GREEN or refinance sustainable there’s clear scope for growth. assets and activities Climate change is of course a key driver of this trend, but there are also other forces in operation, including corporate sustainability strategies reflecting social and reputational pressures. Sustainable finance allows corporates to align their financing with those No restriction on use of strategies and pressures, and meet demands proceeds, but cost of from investors with environmental social SUSTAINABILITY-LINKED funding tied to governance (ESG) mandates. benchmarked A range of sustainable financing products sustainability performance have developed in New Zealand, the most prominent being “green” bonds and “sustainability-linked” loans. The dramatic rise in issuance of green and sustainability-linked debt products both in New Zealand and globally has attracted attention, and there have been some notable developments in New Zealand and internationally over the past year. 18 | SUSTAINABLE FINANCE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Sustainable finance — the guidance The guidance Sustainability Linked Loan The FMA has also announced its view that green bond should help to Principles issuances are not within the “same class” as existing ensure consistency The APLMA, LMA and LSTA vanilla corporate bonds for the purposes of the “same and transparency are together published Sustainability class exclusion” which provides relief from disclosure maintained in the green Linked Loan Principles (together requirements under the Financial Markets Conduct Act and sustainability-linked with guidance), which are 2013. Accordingly, additional disclosures are required loan and bond markets voluntary guidelines designed in relation to new issuances of retail green bonds in as they develop in New Zealand (other than in certain circumstances). New Zealand to preserve the integrity of the sustainability-linked loan market REGULATORY MAY 2020 & INDUSTRY Trends GUIDANCE A developing European trend is the climate-linked bond (an AU$140m 8-year A good range has been incorporation of sustainability features into bond that paid a fixed coupon plus a return published internationally the leveraged loan market, most notably the tied to the performance of a “forward- and in New Zealand incorporation of pricing ratchets that are tied looking” climate transition index). Our Green Loan Principles The APLMA, LMA and LSTA to the ability to meet (or failure to meet) expectation is that we will start to see more updated their Green Loan prescribed targets and bespoke reporting of this type of product here, particularly Principles (together with guidance), requirements to audit that performance. with New Zealand emissions budgets and which provides a voluntary With pressure on both financial institutions targets seeking to drive transition climate framework of market standards to Disclosure framework for and private equity sponsors to incorporate action and the pending mandatory obligation promote consistency in the green integrated financial products green and sustainability based processes into for financial climate-related risk disclosures. loan market. credit and investment analysis, along with This publication by the FMA FEBRUARY 2021 is for issuers of financial the increasing demand from investors for Looking ahead products that incorporate ESG linked products (both debt and equity), With demand for ESG linked products non-financial factors, including we expect local private equity sponsors will continuing to grow, and increased scrutiny environmental, social and draw upon the European experience and look Sustainability-Linked Bond from regulators and investors to quantify Principles and Social Bond human capital impacts. to the sustainability-linked loan market as and disclose ESG risks, we expect the Principles a way to align pricing incentives and ESG Its aim is to ensure investors green and sustainability-linked bond can be confident products considerations of both their investors and The ICMA issued this and loan market to play an increasingly deliver what they promise and credit providers. publication, setting a similar mainstream role in the New Zealand standard for the sustainability- are not “greenwashed”, which Another trend developing across the Tasman loan and bond markets. The guidance linked and social bond is relevant for issuers of green is an increase in complex structured financial published by regulators and industry markets. bonds in New Zealand. products that integrate green elements. In bodies provides a helpful platform JUNE 2020 DECEMBER 2020 August 2020 BNP issued Australia’s first from which the market can develop. 19 | SUSTAINABLE FINANCE — THE GUIDANCE
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Bell Gully’s climate change practice O ur firm has been at the forefront That consistency in providing market-leading transitioning to meet New Zealand’s • High-level interpretation of of climate change action in climate change advice is recognised by net zero carbon target. New Zealand’s climate change New Zealand for more than 20 international legal directories. Bell Gully’s legislation and the implications of • Advice on the implications of climate years. We helped to develop core climate environment practice is ranked in the top international agreements including change adaptation for your business or change legislation in New Zealand and tier for environmental law in New Zealand the Paris Agreement. have had long-standing involvement by the Legal 500 Asia Pacific 2020. community. with New Zealand’s emissions trading • Advice on governance, risk and Practice leader Simon Watt has also featured • Identifying carbon risks, as well as initiatives, including advising the reporting associated with climate in the world-wide climate change rankings advice on carbon pass-through and New Zealand Government on the design change. of the international legal directory Chambers trading. of the New Zealand Emissions Trading • Advice on potential climate change Global since 2008 – the only New Zealand • Robust due diligence around the sale Scheme. Internationally, we worked lawyer to be ranked in the last seven years. litigation, and acting on actual on the world’s first carbon trade for or acquisition of emissions-exposed climate change litigation matters avoided deforestation and on pioneering We can provide you with: businesses or assets. emissions trading activity. • Specialist advice on all areas of law • Advice on activity and the financing We act for an array of individuals and involving the regulation and reduction of activity to implement carbon organisations, ranging from leaders of greenhouse gas emissions. reductions and addressing regulatory in the emissions trading market and barriers to a lower-carbon operation. • Advice on the regulatory and global investment banks to regional commercial opportunities and governments or government groups barriers in all sectors (including in New Zealand and overseas. This has energy, transport, forestry, agriculture, included some of the nations that will be manufacturing, and mining) among those most affected by climate change. 20 | BELL GULLY’S CLIMATE CHANGE PRACTICE
Our team If you have any questions about this report, please contact one of the team listed or your usual Bell Gully adviser: CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE FORESTRY Simon Watt Kate Redgewell Karl Anderson PARTNER CONSULTANT PARTNER DDI +64 4 915 6854 MOB +64 21 605 384 DDI +64 4 915 6868 MOB +64 21 570 945 DDI +64 9 916 8845 MOB +64 21 661 726 simon.watt@bellgully.com kate.redgewell@bellgully.com karl.anderson@bellgully.com DERIVATIVES, BANKING AND FINANCE ENERGY FORESTRY David Craig David Coull Andrew Petersen PARTNER PARTNER PARTNER DDI +64 4 915 6839 MOB +64 21 674 851 DDI +64 4 915 6863 MOB +64 21 800 308 DDI +64 9 916 8622 MOB +64 21 684 533 david.craig@bellgully.com david.coull@bellgully.com andrew.petersen@bellgully.com LITIGATION RESOURCE MANAGEMENT RESOURCE MANAGEMENT Blair Keown Andrew Beatson Natasha Garvan PARTNER PARTNER PARTNER DDI +64 9 916 8796 MOB +64 21 185 0409 DDI +64 9 916 8754 MOB +64 21 223 9170 DDI +64 9 916 8956 MOB +64 27 420 0561 blair.keown@bellgully.com andrew.beatson@bellgully.com natasha.garvan@bellgully.com ENERGY LITIGATION SUSTAINABLE FINANCE Angela Harford Simon Ladd Jennifer Gunser PARTNER PARTNER PARTNER DDI +64 4 915 6764 MOB +64 21 875 905 DDI +64 9 916 8934 MOB +64 21 920 508 DDI +64 9 916 8757 MOB +64 21 704 923 angela.harford@bellgully.com simon.ladd@bellgully.com jennifer.gunser@bellgully.com 21 | OUR TEAM
Our team If you have any questions about this report, please contact one of the team listed or your usual Bell Gully adviser: PROJECTS AND REAL ESTATE PROJECTS AND REAL ESTATE CORPORATE David Chisnall Toni Forrest Haydn Wong PARTNER PARTNER PARTNER DDI +64 4 915 6966 MOB +64 27 594 8505 DDI +64 4 915 6524 MOB +64 27 5055 910 DDI +64 9 916 8918 MOB +64 21 606 267 david.chisnall@bellgully.com toni.forrest@bellgully.com haydn.wong@bellgully.com SUSTAINABLE FINANCE CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE GOVERNANCE Zac Kedgley-Foot Amon Nunns James Cooney SENIOR ASSOCIATE PARTNER PARTNER DDI +64 4 915 6820 DDI +64 4 915 6741 MOB +64 21 687 368 DDI +64 9 916 8620 MOB +64 21 190 6145 zac.kedgley-foot@bellgully.com amon.nunns@bellgully.com james.cooney@bellgully.com CORPORATE Renata Davis SENIOR SOLICITOR DDI +64 4 915 6798 MOB +64 21 537 174 renata.davis@bellgully.com Acknowledgements Our thanks to Bell Gully lawyers Simon Watt, Simon Ladd, Natasha Garvan, Jennifer Gunser, Kate Redgewell, Zac Kedgley-Foot, Rachel Gowing, Tasha Lea, Simone Cooper, Hannah Watson and Naushyn Janah for their assistance in preparing this report. 22 | OUR TEAM
CLIMATE CHANGE - WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2021? Endnotes 1 https://www.wri.org/blog/2020/12/interactive-chart-top-emitters 18 Homes to start losing access to insurance within 15 years – report. (2020, December 2) Stuff. https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/climate-news/123560377/homes-to-start-losing-access-to- 2 https://www.climatecommission.govt.nz/get-involved/faq/looking-ahead/ insurance-within-15-years---report 3 Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021: 19 https://www.unepfi.org/psi/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/PSI-TCFD-final-report.pdf Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment. 20 Review Panel Report page 189 para [96] and page 186 para [84]. 4 Summarised from He Pou a Rangi – the Climate Change Commission 2021 Draft Advice for Consultation. 21 Review Panel Report page 176 fn 223 citing Climate Change Adaptation Technical Working Group. 2017. Adapting to Climate Change in New Zealand: Stocktake Report from the Climate Change 5 Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021: Adaptation Technical Working Group. Wellington: Climate Change Adaptation Technical Working Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment – Table 7. Group at 31. Retrieved from https://www.mfe.govt.nz/sites/default/files/media/Climate%20Change/ 6 Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021: adapting-to-climate-change-stocktake-tag-report.pdf Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment – Table 9. 22 https://deepsouthchallenge.co.nz/resource/insurance-retreat-december-2020-final-report/ at 3. 7 Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021: 23 Tom Simonson and Grace Hall Vulnerable: The quantum of local government infrastructure exposed Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment – Table 10. to sea level rise LGNZ January 2019 at 12. Retrieved from https://www.lgnz.co.nz/assets/Uploads/ 8 Ministry for the Environment. 2021. Proposed changes to the NZETS and SGG levy regulations 2021: d566cc5291/47716-LGNZ-Sea-Level-Rise-Report-3-Proof-FINAL-compressed.pdf Consultation document. Wellington: Ministry for the Environment. 24 Cabinet Paper ‘Adaptation legislation – proposed timelines and process’ para [28] 9 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-17/eu-rules-bank-pledges-signal-new-day-for- 25 Sea level rise: insurance and retreat – James Shaw. (2020, December 7). Radio New Zealand. https:// europe-green-insight www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/2018775996/sea-level-rise-insurance-and- 10 https://www.nordea.com/en/press-and-news/news-and-press-releases/news-en/2021/140-funds- retreat-james-shaw tighten-requirements-on-investments-in-fossil-fuel%20.html 26 Review Panel Report page 189 para [95]. 11 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-17/eu-rules-bank-pledges-signal-new-day-for- 27 Defend or retreat — the struggle to save our beachside paths and reserves from rising sea levels. europe-green-insight (2020, September 30). Stuff https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/climate-news/122733616/defend- 12 https://www.hsbc.com/-/files/hsbc/investors/results-and-announcements/stock-exchange- or-retreat--the-struggle-to-save-our-beachside-paths-and-reserves-from-rising-sea-levels announcements/2021/march/sea-210311-e-hsbc-announces-resolution-on-climate-change.pdf 28 Climate hazard property - from freehold to leasehold. (2021, February). Radio New Zealand. https:// 13 https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/mex_21_1106 www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/2018781916/climate-hazard-property-from- freehold-to-leasehold 14 https://www.unep.org/resources/report/global-climate-litigation-report-2020-status-review 29 https://www.whakatane.govt.nz/residents/awatarariki-managed-retreat-programme 15 https://www.courtsofnz.govt.nz/assets/speechpapers/ccw.pdf pages 45-47. 30 https://environment.govt.nz/assets/Publications/Cabinet-papers-briefings-and-minutes/cabinet- 16 How has the insurance sector reacted to mandatory climate change reporting? (2021, April 28). paper-adaptation-legislation-proposed-timelines-and-process.pdf at [9] and [31]. Insurance Business NZ. https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/nz/news/breaking-news/how-has- the-insurance-sector-reacted-to-mandatory-climate-change-reporting-253400.aspx 31 https://environment.govt.nz/assets/Publications/Cabinet-papers-briefings-and-minutes/cabinet- paper-adaptation-legislation-proposed-timelines-and-process.pdf at [45], [46]. 17 https://deepsouthchallenge.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Insurance-Retreat-December-2020- Final-Report.pdf 32 https://www.nzx.com/markets/NZDX 33 https://www.climatebonds.net/2020/12/1trillion-mark-reached-global-cumulative-green-issuance- climate-bonds-data-intelligence 23 | ENDNOTES
You can also read