RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE
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Resale market making a strong comeback after a two-year hiatus Resale Condo Resale Condo Vaccine optimism and an anticipated global Quarter Transactions Median Price economic upswing stoked a frenzy of property buying Units Q-o-Q S$PSF Q-o-Q activities around the world. Pent-up demand bolstered Q1 2020 1,708 -12.2% $1,253 -2.6% by ample liquidity and record-low mortgage rates is Q2 2020 743 -56.5% $1,262 0.8% propping up home prices worldwide. Q3 2020 2,869 286.1% $1,234 -2.2% Q4 2020 3,447 20.1% $1,226 -0.6% In Singapore, the private resale market is cast into Q1 2021 3,752 8.8% $1,292 5.4% the spotlight after a two-year hiatus. Demand for private Q2 2021 4,161 10.9% $1,305 1.0% resale condominiums rose strongly amid the pandemic. Jul 2021 1,247 -70.0%* $1,337 2.5%* According to caveat records from the Urban Source: URA, OrangeTee & Tie Research & Analytics *Not a full quarter Redevelopment Authority (URA), 9,160 private non- landed homes excluding Executive Condominiums (EC) were sold in the first seven months of this year. This is more than the 8,767 units moved last year and higher than the 7,547 units sold in 2019. This year’s transactions have surpassed the full-year sales from 2013 to 2016. The good sales performance that we are seeing now is in stark contrast to the third quarter of 2018 when resale volume dipped by more than 45 per cent quarter on quarter after cooling measures were implemented. Resale demand remained low thereafter and around 1,700 units were averagely sold per quarter from Q4 2018 to Q2 2020. In contrast, 3,752 units were sold in the first quarter of this year while 4,161 units were transacted in the second quarter. The sales turnaround is a positive sign for the resale market. 8 Saint Thomas See terms of use on last page. Page 1 | 4
Demand surge for suburban resale projects Marina One Residences In the suburban region, demand for resale condominiums surged strongly on the back of a diminishing supply. 2,116 resale condominiums were sold in OCR in Q2 2021, 516.9 per cent more than the 343 units sold in Q2 2020. In terms of proportion, 50.9 per cent of resale volume were in OCR last quarter, while 28.5 per cent in CCR and 20.6 per cent in RCR. For OCR, the 50.9 per cent in Q2 2021 is higher than the 46.2 per cent in Q2 2020 and 46.6 per cent in Q2 2019. Resale condominiums in OCR Source: URA, OrangeTee & Tie Research & Analytics from 30.2 per cent in Q2 2020 per cent to 47.4 per cent in Q2 2021. Therefore, some resale condominiums Developers have been paring down their unsold could be undervalued, and there could be potential for stock as sales have been brisk throughout the further price growth. pandemic, and only two large projects (excluding ECs) with more than 500 units have been launched in the Best-selling resale condominiums OCR since 2020, resulting in a signifcant supply- demand imbalance. Many buyers have been struggling The most popular luxury projects in 2020 . to find new homes in the suburban areas since supply and 2021* were Marina One Residences (229 units), has been dwindling. 8 Saint Thomas (119 units), D’Leedon (100 units), The Sail @ Marina Bay (71 units), and Nouvel 18 (48 Supply will likely remain low as most developers units) in the Core Central Region (CCR). have yet to replenish their land banks. The land supply in the suburban and city-fringe has dipped to a new low The best-selling suburban resale since the end of the collective sales cycle in 2018. There condominiums over the same period were High Park have been few successful enbloc deals, and supply Residences (126 units, median price of S$1,232 psf), from the government land sales have been moderated. The Minton (117 units, S$1,082 psf), Parc Rosewood (96 units, S$1,093 psf), and D’Nest (86 units, S$1,088 Price growth psf). Most of the top-selling projects were attractively priced; transacting below the S$1,581 The resurgence in resale demand sparked a median price for new condominiums in the Outside price recovery and the market seems to be at the of Central Region (OCR). beginning of an upcycle. Compared to Q2 2020, resale condominium prices for the overall market rose 3.4 per Similarly, many projects that were popular in cent in Q2 2021 to S$1,305 psf. From Q2 2020 to Q2 the city fringe were sold below the median price for 2021, new condominium prices grew at a much faster new condominiums in Rest of Central Region (RCR) pace of 17.1 per cent compared to the 3.4 per cent at S$1,846 psf, including Reflections at Keppel Bay increase for resale condominiums. As a result, the price (139 units, S$1,601 psf) and the Caribbean at Keppel gap of new and resale condominiums widened further Bay (85 units, S$1,528 psf). See terms of use on last page. Page 2 | 4
Most popular resale condominiums exclude EC (2020-2021*) Price Median price difference Median of new (upside Condos price S$psf condos in potential) Project Name Tenure sold (A) District district (B)** (B-A)/A South Beach Core Central Region Residences MARINA ONE RESIDENCES LH 229 $2,337 1 NA NA 8 SAINT THOMAS FH 119 $2,760 9 $2,920 5.8% D'LEEDON LH 100 $1,639 10 $2,330 42.2% THE SAIL @ MARINA BAY LH 71 $1,835 1 NA NA NOUVEL 18 FH 48 $3,099 10 $2,691 -13.2% ICON LH 47 $1,676 2 $2,477 47.8% SOLEIL @ SINARAN LH 40 $1,834 11 NA NA ONE SHENTON LH 39 $1,613 1 NA NA Rest of Central Region REFLECTIONS AT KEPPEL BAY LH 139 $1,601 4 $2,272 41.9% SIMS URBAN OASIS LH 98 $1,543 14 $1,680 8.9% CARIBBEAN AT KEPPEL BAY LH 85 $1,528 4 $2,272 48.7% EIGHT RIVERSUITES LH 79 $1,474 12 NA NA BARTLEY RIDGE LH 79 $1,446 13 $1,903 31.6% THE INTERLACE LH 65 $1,287 4 $2,272 76.5% COMMONWEALTH TOWERS LH 63 $1,858 3 $2,139 15.1% THE GARDENS AT BISHAN LH 55 $1,142 20 $1,742 52.5% THE CASCADIA FH 50 $1,721 21 $1,886 9.6% SKY VUE LH 47 $1,711 20 $1,742 1.8% WATERBANK AT DAKOTA LH 47 $1,626 14 $1,680 3.3% As supply of new homes Outside of Central Region remains limited in the suburban and HIGH PARK RESIDENCES LH 126 $1,232 28 $1,372 11.4% city fringe areas, we expect demand THE MINTON LH 117 $1,082 19 $1,581 46.1% PARC ROSEWOOD LH 96 $1,093 25 NA NA for resale homes to remain resilient. D'NEST LH 86 $1,088 18 $1,409 29.5% Buyers looking for affordable BOTANIQUE AT BARTLEY LH 75 $1,538 19 $1,581 2.8% homes may turn to the resale market WATERTOWN LH 74 $1,365 19 $1,581 15.8% in the suburban region or selected LA FIESTA LH 74 $1,259 19 $1,581 25.6% MELVILLE PARK LH 73 $694 18 $1,409 103.0% city fringe areas. Therefore, this COCO PALMS LH 73 $1,239 18 $1,409 13.7% year’s resale volume is estimated to THE BAYSHORE LH 72 $979 16 $1,555 58.8% hit 17,000 to 18,000 units, which will Source: URA, OrangeTee & Tie Research & Analytics *up to 15 August 2021 caveat records surpass the total resale volume in **using the respective freehold (FH) or leasehold (LH) comparables in the district 2019 and 2020. Please contact us for research inquiries Page 3 | 4
Resale Projects Marketed by OrangeTee Cuscaden Stars of Kovan Reserve Corals At Keppel Bay Scotts Square Bishopgate Residences Contact Our Sales Team: www.orangetee.com The Crest Cuscaden Reserve St.Regis Residences The Trilinq Terms of Use: The reproduction or distribution of this publication without the express consent of the author is prohibited. This publication is provided for general information only and should not be treated as an invitation or recommendation to buy or sell any specific property or as sales material. Users of this report should consider this publication as one of the many factors in making their investment decision and should seek specific investment advice. OrangeTee.com Pte Ltd and the authors of this publication shall not accept and hereby disclaim all responsibilities and liability to all persons and entities for consequences arising out of any use of this publication. Copyright © OrangeTee & Tie Pte Ltd. All rights reserved. Page 4 | 4
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