Q3 FY 2021 EARNINGS WEBCAST FEBRUARY 3, 2021 - Seeking Alpha
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As a reminder, this call contains forward-looking statements that are based on management’s expectations – including those relating to the category trends and longer-term outlook – and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, and therefore, actual results may differ materially. Important factors that may cause actual results to differ are detailed in today’s press release and the company’s SEC filings. In addition, the company’s presentation today includes information presented on a non-GAAP basis. We refer you to today’s press release for a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP presentation and the most directly comparable GAAP measures.
EIGHT CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS OF NET SALES GROWTH +16% +11% +10% +7% +8% +8% +7% +3% Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 FY 19 FY 20 FY 20 FY 20 FY 20 FY 21 FY 21 FY 21 NET SALES GROWTH BY QUARTER. FY 19 - FY 20 GROWTH RATES EXCLUDE E.L.F. STORES (CLOSED IN FEBRUARY 2019)
EXECUTING ON OUR FIVE STRATEGIC IMPERATIVES DRIVE DOUBLE LEADING COST BRAND DOWN I N N O VAT I O N PRODUC- S AV I N G S DEMAND D I G I TA L TIVITY
SALES TREND - TOP 5 COLOR COSMETICS BRANDS 0 E.L.F. -10 -2% -20 MAYBELLINE L’OREAL -17% -18% COVERGIRL -30 -25% -40 Maybelline L'Oreal Cover Girl Revlon REVLON e.l.f. -40% NIELSEN XAOC LATEST 12 WEEKS ENDING 12/26/2020
SHARE TR END (BPS) - TOP 5 COLOR COSMETICS BRANDS E . L . F. E.L.F. 150 MAYBELLINE +100 5.9% L’OREAL +50 SHARE 75 +10 0 -75 COVERGIRL -150 -70 -225 REVLON -300 -220 Revlon Cover Girl L'Oreal Maybelline e.l.f. NIELSEN XAOC LATEST 12 WEEKS ENDING 12/26/2020
NEW 9M FOLLOWERS +11% GROWTH
EMV GROWTH +16% EMV = EARNED MEDIA VALUE. SOURCE: TRIBE DYNAMICS
CONTINUING TO EXPLORE NEW FRONTIERS
NEWSMAKER OF THE YEAR 2020 NEWSMAKER OF THE YEAR
AD AGE TOP 10 MARKETERS OF THE YEAR
FIRST RITUAL LAUNCHED IN DECEMBER
COLLECTION EXPANDED IN JANUARY
>10B PRESS IMPRESSIONS
100M SOCIAL FOLLOWERS
BRINGING THE BRAND RECHARGE TO LIFE
DOUBLE DOWN ON DIGITAL
~TRIPLE DIGIT GROWTH Q3 FY 21 YEAR-TO-DATE DIGITAL CONSUMPTION YEAR-OVER-YEAR GROWTH
DIGITAL COMMERCE PENETRATION 10 % 16 % Q3 FY 20 Q3 FY 21
~60 % NEW CONSUMERS SHOPPING ELFCOSMETICS.COM % OF NEW CONSUMERS PURCHASING ON ELFCOSMETICS.COM, FROM 10/1/2020 TO 12/31/2020
BEAUTY SQUAD LOYALTY PROGRAM 2.3M MEMBERS ~ 40 % GROWTH ~ 70 % OF SALES ON ELFCOSMETICS.COM BEAUTY SQUAD LOYALTY MEMBERS AS OF 12/31/2020 | Q3 FY 21 GROWTH IN TOTAL ENROLLMENT VERSUS PY
BEAUTY SQUAD EARLY ACCESS
THE UNIQUENESS OF KEYS SOULCARE CONTENT CONVERSATION COMMUNITY
INNOVATION
STRENGTH IN CORE SEGMENTS #1 #1 #2 #2 #2 BRUSHES PRIMERS CONCEALER EYEBROW SPONGES $ SHARE $ SHARE $ SHARE UNIT SHARE $ SHARE NIELSEN XAOC LATEST 12 WEEKS ENDING 12/26/2020, EXCLUDES PRIVATE LABEL
POWERHOUSE INNOVATION ENGINE
Make this a Camo CC cream slide, maybe with some of our internal video showing what it is, the benefits, and before/after, and also include some TikTok videos showing consumers comparing it to the IT Cosmetics CC Cream
CAMO CC CREAM $14 VS. A PRESTIGE EQUIVALENT $40
SKI N C AR E C ONS U M P T I O N +17% E.L.F. -5% SKINCARE C AT E G O RY YOY CONSUMPTION GROWTH. NIELSEN XAOC LATEST 12 WEEKS ENDING 12/26/2020
SKINCARE PENETRATION 8% ~25 % TR ACKED ELFCOSMETICS.COM CHANNELS AMAZON.COM LATEST 12 WEEKS THROUGH DECEMBER 2020
OFFERINGS THAT CARE FOR THE WHOLE SELF DERMATOLOGIST-DEVELOPED, SKIN-NOURISHING SOUL-NURTURING SOUL-NURTURING RITUALS CLEAN FORMULAS INGREDIENTS RITUALS DR. RENÉE SNYDER
LEADING PRODUCTIVITY
FIT M O RE ITE MS O N SHE LF 3 PATE NTS PROJECT UNICORN E L E VAT E B R A N D P R E S E N TAT I O N B ETTER D I S P LAY
ELIMINATED 650K LBS OF PACKAGING
SHELF SPACE EXPANSION
EXPANDED FALL 2020
EXPANDING SPRING 2021
EXPANDING SPRING 2021
EXPANDING SPRING 2021
29 COUNTRIES U.S. U.K. 8 COUNTRIES (ONLINE) (ONLINE & IN STORES) (ONLINE) (ONLINE & IN STORES)
COST SAVINGS
GR O S S M ARG IN 64% 61% 61% 61% 58% 52% 47% FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY14–FY18 REPRESENT DECEMBER 31 YEAR END, FY19–FY20 REPRESENT MARCH 31 YEAR END
MITIGATING FX IMPACT PRICING SUPPLIER CONCESSIONS SG&A LEVERAGE
STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK
ACCESSIB LE DISTRIBUTION PRESTIGE PRICE EXC LUS IVE DIST RIB U TION ~$20-40 AUR ~$20 AUR ~$5 AUR MASS PRICE
MOVING AT E.L.F. SPEED DI G I TAL C O R E VA L U E C O NTINU E TO G A IN STREN G TH PROPOSITION MA RK E T SHA RE
MANDY FIELDS SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
TODAY’S AGENDA 1 2 Q 3 FY 2021 F I S CA L 2 0 2 1 RE SU LTS O UT L O O K
Q3 FY 21 NET SALES +10% $ 89 MILLION
Q3 FY 21 NET SALES DRIVERS NATIO NA L O RDE R E -C O MM ER C E IN T E R N AT I O N A L RE TA ILE RS TIM ING
Q3 FY 21 RESULTS 64 % GROSS MARGIN
ADJUSTED SG&A 44 % 49 % Q3 FY 20 Q3 FY 21
MARKETING & DIGITAL INVESTMENT 15 % 12 % Q3 FY 20 Q3 FY 21
Q3 FY 21 RESULTS 21% MARGIN $ 18M ADJUSTED EBITDA
AD J US TED N E T I N C O M E A DJU STE D E PS $12M $12M $0.24 $0.22 Q3 FY 20 Q3 FY 21 Q3 FY 20 Q3 FY 21
STRONG LIQUIDITY $ 85 MILLION C AS H O N H A N D + R E V O LVING C RE DIT FA C ILITY
I N V E N T O RY DRIVE RS NEW BRANDS SPACE EXPANSION FX
C A S H P R I O RITIE S I N VES TI N G I N KEYS W E LL PE O PLE FI VE S TR ATEG I C S O U L C A RE BRA ND I M P ER ATI VES LAUNCH RE C HA RG E
NET SALES ADJUSTED EBITDA +7% TO 9% $59M TO $60M RAISED FISCAL 2021 GUIDANCE ADJUSTED EPS ADJUSTED NET INCOME $0.63 TO $0.64 $33M TO $34M
Q 4 N E T S A L E S DRIVE RS KEYS SOULCARE MERCHANDISING ORDER TIMING TOUGHER COMPS STIMULUS MACRO VOLATILITY BUSINESS MOMENTUM
ADJUSTED EBITDA $ 59 M TO $ 60 M FY 2021 GUIDANCE
MITIGATING FX IMPACT PRICE INCREASES COST SAVINGS SG&A LEVERAGE
LONG-TERM ECONOMIC MODEL MID TO OUTPACE HIGH SINGLE SALES DIGITS GROWTH NET SALES CAGR ADJUSTED EBITDA CAGR CAGR REPRESENTS EXPECTATIONS OVER A 3 YEAR TIME FRAME, THROUGH FY 2024
I N C L U S I V E . A C C E S S I B L E . C RU E LTY FRE E .
THANK YOU
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