Promoting Competition and Investment in Energy Market - November 2018 - APER Forum Meeting 2018
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APER Forum Meeting 2018 Promoting Competition and Investment in Energy Market November 2018 0
Outline 1. Purpose of Energy System Reform 2. State of Competition in the Electricity Market 1. Retail market 2. Wholesale market 3. Past Initiatives to Promote Competition 1. Setting up and Revision of various Guidelines 2. Implementation of various Recommendations 3. Examples of Initiatives to Stimulate the Spot Market 4. Future Challenges 1. Retail market 1. Criteria for Abolishing the Regulated Tariff 2. Wholesale market 1. Ensuring investment in Electricity Supply in competitive markets 3. Ensuring neutrality of network sectors 1. Legal Unbundling 1
1. System Reform in Japan ⚫ Main purpose of the reform from ‘95 was reduction of the electricity price. 1995 Independent Power Producers 2000 Partial Liberalization of the Retail Market (over 2,000 kW) 2003 Establishment of Japan Electric Power Exchange (JEPX) Great East Japan Earthquake/Fukushima Daiichi Accident, 2011 resulting in scheduled load shedding in Tokyo Area Establishment of EGC Full Liberalization of the Retail Market, 2016 Imbalance Settlement, Open Procurement of Balancing Power 2020 Legal Unbundling of Transmission Sector Regulated retail tariff might be abolished 2021 Establishment of Balancing Power Market 2
1.Reductions in Electricity Prices ⚫ Except a few years after the Great East Japan Earthquake, electricity prices net of Fuel Fee and Renewable Energy Surcharge gradually declined after the electricity system reform started. (yen / kWh) ・Introduction of IPP and bidding system 22 ・Great East Japan Earthquake 21 ・Full liberalization 20 19.2 19.0 RE surcharges 19 Surcharge of RE Fuel fuelfees 18 2.3 fee 2.6 Other otherexpected fuelfee・surcharge expect fuel fees/RE surcharges for RE 17 16 Electricity prices 15 net of fuel fees and RE surcharges 14 5.1 ▲5.71 yen/kWh 13 17.0 (▲34%) 12 11 10 11.3 9 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1 USD=around 100yen 3
1. Purpose of Energy System Reform (2011-present) Secure stable power supply 1 Promote the cross-regional exchange of electricity and improving measures to adjust supply and demand. Promote development and interconnections of gas pipeline networks. Suppress tariffs to the maximum extent possible 2 Encourage competition among energy operators and entry from other industries and areas for the maximum suppress of fees. Expand Choices for Consumers and Business Opportunities 3 Respond to customer needs with various options. Evoke innovation through entry from other industries and areas and the utilization of new technologies, etc. • “Democratization” of energy systems • Numerous and diverse participants • Application of market mechanisms • Regulations Ensuring These 4
Outline 1. Purpose of Energy System Reform 2. State of Competition in the Electricity Market 1. Retail market 2. Wholesale market 3. Past Initiatives to Promote Competition 1. Setting up and Revision of various Guidelines 2. Implementation of various Recommendations 3. Examples of Initiatives to Stimulate the Spot Market 4. Future Challenges 1. Retail market 1. Criteria for Abolishing the Regulated Tariff 2. Wholesale market 1. Ensuring investment in Electricity Supply in competitive markets 3. Ensuring neutrality of network sectors 1. Legal Unbundling 5
2. Share of Non-Regulated (Liberalised ) Tariffs • Although the market share of New Entrants is rising steadily based on the number of contracts, the share is still low. 30% 26% Retailers 10 → App. 530 25% New entrants are from other industry such as gas, oil, and construction. 20% 18% 15% 10% 8% 5% 0% Apr 4月 Jun 6月 Aug 8月 Oct 10月 Dec 12月 Feb 2月 Apr 4月 Jun 6月 Aug 8月 Oct 10月 Dec 12月 Feb 2月 Apr 4月 Jun 6月 Aug 8月 2016 2017 2018 Share of Incumbents’ 新電力のみ Share of New 旧一電新メニュー Non-Regulated Tariffs 旧一電新メニューと新電力合計 Share of Non-Regulated Tariffs %:Based on number of contracts Entrants’ Tariffs (under 50kW) 6
2. Switching from Incumbents to New Entrants 45% 40% 35% France: Full 仏:全面自由化(2007) liberalization (2007) 30% UK: Full 英:全面自由化(1999) 25% UK 25% liberalization (1999) 20% France 15% 10% 12%* 10% Japan 3% 5% 0% Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 %:based on the gross sum of switched contracts from incumbents *referring to the index of August, 2018. (under 50kW) 7
2. Structure of Holders of Electricity Generators ⚫ Incumbent operators hold 83% of the capacity. ⚫ Capacity of PV increased from 5,000MW(2010)to 47,000MW(2017). 東京電力フュエル&パワー(株) TEPCO Fuel & Power, Inc. 42,763,000 関西電力(株) Kansai Electric Power Co., Ltd. 2,166,320 中部電力(株) Chubu Electric Power Co., Ltd. 2,260,000 東京電力ホールディングス(株) TEPCO Holdings, Inc. 6,344,838 九州電力(株) Kyushu Electric Power Co., Inc. 東北電力(株) Tohoku-Electric Power Co., Inc. 7,957,405 電源開発(株) Electric Power Development Co., Ltd. (J-POWER) 中国電力(株) Chugoku Electric Power Co., Inc 8,075,198 北陸電力(株) Hokuriku Electric Power Company 36,578,945 北海道電力(株) Hokkaido Electric Power Co, Inc. 11,536,355 四国電力(株) Shikoku Electric Power Co., Inc. 日本原子力発電(株) Japan Atomic Power Company 沖縄電力(株) Okinawa Electric Power Company, Incorporated (OEPC) 16,983,600 相馬共同火力発電(株) Soma Kyodo Power Company, Ltd. 常磐共同火力(株) Joban Joint Power Co., Ltd. 日本製紙(株) Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd. 33,140,190 瀬戸内共同火力(株) Setouchi Joint Thermal Power Co., Ltd. 18,231,017 ㈱コベルコパワー神戸 Kobelco Power Kobe Inc. JFEスチール(株) … JFE Steel Corporation 18,849,521 新日鐵住金(株) Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corporation … 22,530,970 (Source) Based on "Electric Power Supply Survey Statistics" by the Agency for Natural Resources and Energy. Installed capacity (MW) of power supply sources held by 96 operators generating 100MW or more. 8
2.Volume of Transactions in Spot Markets • The volume of transactions at the Japan Electric Power Exchange (JEPX), an important means for new entrants to purchase electricity, has consistently increased. • Further growth will be expected in the future as a result of the impacts of the new rule for use of interconnections, etc. ■Contracted amount (billion kWh) -Percentage of JEPX transactions in total demand (%) 7 35.0 31.8 6 30.0 5 25.0 4 20.0 3 15.0 2 10.0 1 5.0 0 0.0 May 2017 May 2018 Aug 2017 Nov 2017 Aug 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017 Sep 2018 Mar 2018 Feb 2018 Apr 2017 Apr 2018 Jun 2017 Jun 2018 Oct 2017 Oct 2018 Jan 2018 Jul 2017 Jul 2018 Note: figure for October 2018 is preliminary estimated 9
Outline 1. Purpose of Energy System Reform 2. State of Competition in the Electricity Market 1. Retail market 2. Wholesale market 3. Past Initiatives to Promote Competition 1. Setting up and Revision of various Guidelines 2. Implementation of various Recommendations 3. Examples of Initiatives to Stimulate the Spot Market 4. Future Challenges 1. Retail market 1. Criteria for Abolishing the Regulated Tariff 2. Wholesale market 1. Ensuring investment in Electricity Supply in competitive markets 3. Ensuring neutrality of network sectors 1. Legal Unbundling 10
3. Setting up and Revision of various Guidelines Guideline on Sales of Retail Electricity Examples of preferred actions Examples of problematic actions ⚫ Provision of misleading information to customers ⚫ Publication of standard menus and examples of average monthly fees ⚫ Failure of the compliance with requirements to explain and issue ⚫ Explanations of cancellation fee when switching etc. documents to customers Guideline on Proper Electricity Transactions Examples of preferred actions Examples of problematic actions ⚫ Clear specifications of transmission and distribution service fees on invoices for customers ⚫ Unfair bandling in set sales ⚫ Proactive use of Electric Power Exchange and selling ⚫ Setting unreasonably low prices for specific bids customers Follow-up surveys ◆ Five follow-up surveys have been conducted for business operators since April 2016. 11
3. Implementation of Recommendations ⚫ Since April 2016, the electricity market was fully liberalized, recommendations have been made on 6 improper cases by four operators. Date of Target Operators Business Details Recommendations October 11, 2018 TEPCO Energy Electricity, Gas Documents not delivered after contracts Partner, Inc. (retail) concluded August 2, 2018 F-POWER Inc. Electricity (retail) Failure to provide required explanations May 16, 2018 Tohoku-Electric Electricity (TSO) Overcharged construction cost share Power Co., Inc. March 2, 2018 TEPCO Energy Electricity, Gas Documents not delivered before Partner, Inc. (retail) contracts concluded November 17, TEPCO Energy Electricity (retail) Market manipulation at JEPX 2016 Partner, Inc. June 17, 2016 TEPCO Power Grid, Electricity (TSO) Late notification of electricity usage Inc. 12
3. Examples of Initiatives to Stimulate the Spot Market ⚫ EGC has been encouraging the incumbents that hold the bulk of power generation capacity to contribute equal footing of new entrants and incumbents. ✓ The whole surplus electricity (surplus of the Supply of the Whole incumbents’ demand, excluding power adjustment Surplus Electricity to and bidding constraints) will be bid to the JEPX the Market market in the price of marginal cost (from 2013). ✓ Internal trades between generation section and Gross Bidding retailing section of the incumbents are supposed to be done through the JEPX market(from 2017) 13
Outline 1. Purpose of Energy System Reform 2. State of Competition in the Electricity Market 1. Retail market 2. Wholesale market 3. Past Initiatives to Promote Competition 1. Setting up and Revision of various Guidelines 2. Implementation of various Recommendations 3. Examples of Initiatives to Stimulate the Spot Market 4. Future Challenges 1. Retail market 1. Criteria for Abolishing the Regulated Tariff 2. Wholesale market 1. Ensuring investment in Electricity Supply in competitive markets 3. Ensuring neutrality of network sectors 1. Legal Unbundling 14
4. Criteria for Abolishing the Regulated Tariff ⚫ Regulation tariffs remain to prevent unregulated monopolies. ⚫ Standards to abolish regulations will be set through comprehensive assessments from three perspectives: (1) consumers' situations, (2) existence of adequate pressure of competition, and (3) sustained competition. ✓ How much interest do consumers have in switching Consumers’ situations electricity? ✓ How will switching by consumers change in the future? ✓ Probability that there will be pressure from competitors Existence of adequate on price increases by incumbent utilities? pressure from competitors ✓ Is there any obvious pressure from competitors on price increases by incumbent utilities? ✓ Is a switching environment being developed? Sustained competition ✓ Is a sustained competitive environment being maintained? 15
4. Securing Investment in Capacity in Competitive Markets ⚫ The predictability of power supply investments declines due to expanded transactions in the wholesale power market and expanded introduction of renewable energy along with the FIT system, etc. In the medium- to long-term, there is concern that it will be difficult to newly establish and maintain facilities to secure the required supply and adjustment capacity throughout the entire country. ⚫ Capacity market will be set from 2020 and EGC is expected to monitor new markets for appropriate trades. FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 Start of Introduction of gross bidding indirect auctions Spot Market Start of base Start of base load load transactions shipping/receiving Forward Market Start of transactions Start of transactions (All non-fossil fuel- (FIT power supply based only) power supply) Non-fossil Fuel Value Market Start of Capacity contracts transactions enter into force Capacity Market Start of publicly- offered Creation of power coordination Balancing Power operations Market Procurement of Balancing Power Target Aim Source: Partial excerpt from materials by the Agency for Natural Resources and Energy 16
4. Overview of Capacity Market Revenue after creation of capacity market (image) Transactions in capacity market (image) Guaranteed capacity Guaranteed capacity contracts contracts Capacity Capacity (provisional name) (provisional name) auction auction enters into force concludes Power generation costs Income from power generation Time Mechanism that can be N-4 ・・・ N-1 N (Actual supply/ used to earn a certain (4 years prior) (1 year prior) demand year) level of income according Revenue from to capacity (kW) to reliably Successful bidders (electric power operators, etc.) Variable costs electricity sales supply electricity at peak (Fuel costs, etc.) (only when in times (not to cover all kW value kW value Payment operation) fixed costs) Secured at one time Secured at one time Market managers (OCCTO※) Fixed costs (depreciation costs, etc. Revenue from capacity market Invoice Collection Retail electricity utilities and general transmission and distribution operators In operation Not in operation In operation Not in operation ※Organization for Cross-regional Coordination of Transmission Operators 17
4. Secure Neutrality of Network Sectors: Legal Unbundling ⚫ From April 2020, general power transmission and distribution operators need to be separated from generators and retailer (legal unbundling). ⚫ Mainly, there are two methods that can be considered as ways to execute legal unbundling: (1) holding company and (2) power generation/retail parent company. ①Holding company ②Power generation/retail parent company ➢ Establishment of power transmission and ➢ Establish transmission and distribution distribution company and retail company under a company under a power generation holding company (TEPCO voluntarily implemented company and retail company a spin-off using this system in April 2016) Holding company Power Retail generation Power Power generation transmission and Power distribution transmission and (Power transmission distribution Retail and distribution (Power transmission facility) and distribution facility) (Power system operation) (Power system operation) *Also possible to create a power generation * Also possible to create a power generation company and retail company as the same company and retail company as separate company. companies, one of which becomes a subsidiary of another 18
Thank you for your attention! 19
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