OPERATOR DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION UNLOCKING EUR15 BILLION BY 2021 THROUGH PARTNERSHIPS WITH OSPs - ITU Open Consultation Meeting
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ITU Open Consultation Meeting ITU Open Consultation Meeting OPERATOR DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION UNLOCKING EUR15 BILLION BY 2021 THROUGH PARTNERSHIPS WITH OSPs 18 SEPTEMBER 2017 DAVID ABECASSIS, PARTNER © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting Digital Transformation to become a ‘Digital Service Provider’: A strategy adopted by all leading telecoms operators “Digitisation is no longer a “Telia should be a digital “Digital transformation is “Telenor will evolve into an possibility - it's a reality. facilitator in society, and impacting every sector of increasingly digital The transformation of our we should aim to apply our industry, starting with company with a broader processes, policies and technical skills in new Orange itself […] set of engaging products systems is the ways” and services reaching an The Orange Digital cornerstone of Abraham Foss even larger number of Leadership Inside (ODLI) digitisation, as well as CEO, Telia Norge customers, yet deeply programme was launched being a facilitator of other rooted in highly efficient at the end of 2013 to step priorities” core telecoms up digital transformation operations” across the company” Sigve Brekke President and CEO, Telenor Sources: operator reports and presentations © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting Don’t go it alone: Partnerships with OSPs can accelerate Digital Transformation Liberty bundles Netflix subscription with its core services, Deutsche Telekom partners with Cisco to implement NFV providing OSP with a better local market reach while technologies to offer connectivity services to small and generating additional revenue from taking a share of medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in three European Netflix subscription sale countries (Croatia, Hungary and Slovakia) Vodafone UK provides Android customers with an MTN Business partners with Microsoft to provide a pan- opportunity to charge the purchases of content in the African cloud platform that offers its business customers a Google Play Store, such as apps, games, music, video, hybrid cloud solution serviced from MTN’s data centres and e-books, directly to their monthly bill and powered by Microsoft technology Selected examples only; sources: operator reports and presentations © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting Don’t go it alone: Partnerships with OSPs can accelerate Digital Transformation Core business Enhanced technology Liberty bundles Netflix subscription with its core services, Deutsche Telekom partners with Cisco to implement NFV development providing OSP with a better local market reach while & connectivity technologies to offer operations services to small and generating additional revenue from taking a share of medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in three European Netflix subscription sale countries (Croatia, Hungary and Slovakia) New business New business Vodafone UK provides Android customers with an MTN Business partners with Microsoft to provide pan- opportunities opportunity to charge the purchases of content in the opportunities African cloud platform that offers its business customers a Google Play Store, such as apps, games, music, video, hybrid cloud solution serviced from MTN’s data centres and e-books, directly to their monthly bill and powered by Microsoft technology © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting Three key areas for partnerships and cooperation: Many examples already exist, much more can be done Core High-end Bundled content Digital ads and ȼ Low-cost business broadband sales channels smartphones Enhanced Omnichannel Infra paid for by Network Productivity Tech and OSPs customer transformation improvements interactions Ops Entirely new New New consumer New enterprise sectors (e.g. business products products banking) Source: Analysys Mason, interviews with operators © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting Direct and indirect interactions: Quantifying the impact of two possible mid-term scenarios Our approach to quantify the cash flow impact We looked at two scenarios, with direct of interactions at market level interactions as the main difference Model of direct interactions (partnerships) and Stable financial outlook, with continued indirect interactions with online service providers Base case experimentation with partnerships and forecast interactions on a limited scale Only interactions with a market-level impact (not only a competitive advantage) Operators leverage interactions with Impact on operators based on a cashflow-based Deepening OSPs across the board, indirect model (EBITDA – CAPEX) interactions interactions play out fully, direct interactions in a more limited way Three explicit operator archetypes, for WE and EE Much greater focus on direct Intensive interactions and partnerships, with a Extrapolation for MEA cooperation knock-on effect on indirect interactions Source: Analysys Mason, interviews with operators © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting A large opportunity in EMEA: Up to EUR15 billion in addition cash flow from 2021 Annual incremental cash flow by source in 2021 Potential cash flow benefits by (EMEA, EUR billion) scenario (EMEA, EUR billion) Intensive + €15 2.0 50 billion cooperation: 4.9 40 8 0.9 €15 billion 7 2.3 30 20 3.8 31 31 Deepening 10 interactions: 7.8 0 €7 billion 2016 2021 Core business development Base case Enhanced technology and operations Deepening interactions New business development Intensive interactions Source: Analysys Mason, analysis and modelling © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting A large opportunity in EMEA: Up to EUR15 billion in addition cash flow from 2021 © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting Beyond historical disruption: The Internet is opening broad opportunities for telecoms operators Disruption … has already worked its way through the system. What next? … of Digital Transformation strategies is essential to mitigate the impact of Successful execution maturity, commoditisation, competition … are substantial – up to €15 billion by 2021 (~50% of current cashflows), Financial benefits further opportunities from competitive advantages by fast movers New business … are wide open – the Internet is bringing down barriers to entry not only opportunities in the telecoms sector, but for telecoms operators in other sectors © Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting The report is available now on our website David Abecassis Partner david.abecassis@analysysmason.com Click the report or visit: http://www.analysysmason.com/digital- transformation-through-partnerships @AnalysysMason linkedin.com/company/analysys-mason youtube.com/AnalysysMason analysysmason.com/RSS © Analysys Mason Limited 2017 10
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