Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council

Page created by Fred Swanson
 
CONTINUE READING
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Northamptonshire COVID-19
                Weekly Surveillance Report
•   National lockdown restrictions continue in place until Monday 29th March
•   A total of 548 Northamptonshire residents have tested positive for COVID-19 in the last week
•   Mixing between households continues to be the greatest cause of transmission locally
•   The age group with the most positive tests in the last week was 30 to 39 year olds for both men and women

                                               Data up to 7 March 2021
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Four Step Roadmap: Four Tests along the Way
                                                               Step 1                Step 1               Step 2                  Step 3                         Step 4
On Monday 8th March residents of Northamptonshire               8-29                Changes             Not before          Not before 17 May                  Not before
and across England took the first stage of step one on         March              on 29 March            12 April            *Review of social                  21 June
the four-step ‘roadmap’ out of lockdown.                                                                                        distancing
National lockdown restrictions continue in place until   Children back to      Rule of 6 or 2        Opening of non-     Most legal restrictions on    Government hopes to be
Monday 29th March and we must all remain vigilant.       School/College        households meet       essential retail    meeting others outdoors       in a position to remove all
                                                                               outdoors                                  will be lifted, although      legal limits on social
                                                                                                                         gatherings of over 30         contact
                                                                                                                         people will remain illegal.
Only when the government is sure that it is safe to                                                                      Indoors, the ‘Rule of 6’ or
move from one step to the next will the final                                                                            2 households will apply
decision be made. The decision will be based on four
tests:                                                   Outdoor               Outdoor activity      Funerals up to 30   Most businesses in all        Government hopes to
• The vaccine deployment programme continues             recreation/exercise   facilities open and   mourners.           but the highest risk          reopen remaining
    successfully                                         with one person       formally organised    Weddings,           sectors will be able to       premises, including
• Evidence shows vaccines are sufficiently effective     outside your          outdoor sports        receptions and      reopen                        nightclubs, and ease the
                                                         household                                   commemorative                                     restrictions on large
    in reducing hospitalisations and deaths in those                                                 events 15                                         events and performances
    vaccinated                                                                                                                                         that apply in Step 3
• Infection rates do not risk a surge in
                                                         Care home             End of ‘stay at       Hospitality         Up to 30 people will be
    hospitalisations which would put unsustainable       residents – one       home’ rule but        venues serve        able to attend weddings,
    pressure on the NHS                                  regular visitor       work from home if     people outdoors     receptions and wakes, as
• Assessment of the risks is not fundamentally                                 can and no holidays                       well as funerals
    changed by new Variants of Concern

2
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Step 1: Monday March 8 – 29th 2021

3
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Everything we do is stopping the spread
• Please keep a two metre distance from those outside your household or bubble outdoors until the government
  guidance dictates otherwise. Please do not put others at risk on Mothering Sunday or any other day, even if one or both
  of you have received one or both doses of the vaccine. It won’t be long before we can meet in gardens or outdoors as a
  household or group of six but until then please just meet one other adult outdoors at distance. On Mothering Sunday
  the rules allow for you to meet your mum on a bench at distance for a drink in the local park or any outdoor space. If we
  all continue to play our part, and only if, will we be that bit closer to a future that is more familiar.
• Despite specific easing of measures this week, residents of Northamptonshire and across England must continue to
  ‘Stay at Home, Protect the NHS and Save Lives’ until March 29th. You may only leave the house for limited reasons
  permitted in law. This rule applies regardless of St Patricks’ Day on March 17th or any other day or occasion which
  requires celebrations, apart from weddings and funerals.
• People who are clinically extremely vulnerable, NHS staff and carers who have not yet
   been vaccinated against Covid-19, are being urged to contact the NHS to arrange a jab. It’s
   not too late to get the jab even if you originally decided not to have it and have now
   changed your mind. For those who are eligible, the easiest way to arrange a vaccination is
   through the national booking service which can be accessed at www.nhs.uk/covid-
   vaccination. The system allows patients to choose a time slot and location which suits them.
   Anyone unable to book online can call 119 free of charge, anytime between 7am and 11pm
   seven days a week. Many who have not yet booked an appointment are already receiving
   follow up letters and phone calls this week to encourage them to take up the offer of a jab.

4
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Keep your Distance
• As the weather improves it’s important to remember to keep your distance
  from others while exercising outdoors.

                                  2 Metres

5
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Rapid COVID-19 Testing
• Six COVID-19 Rapid Testing Centres are open in Northamptonshire for key workers who are not showing symptoms of COVID-19. Further sites across the
  county will open over the coming weeks.
• The community based testing sites are at:
     • Danes Camp Leisure Centre, Northampton
     • Lodge Park Sports Centre and Hazelwood Neighbourhood Centre, Corby
     • Brackley Leisure Centre, South Northamptonshire
     • Redwell Leisure Centre, Wellingborough
     • The University of Northampton, Northampton - restricted to use by students and university staff only from Monday 8th March
• The test is called a Lateral Flow Test and involves a swab of the mouth and nose and provides a result within 30 minutes.
• The aim of testing people who do not have COVID-19 symptoms is to identify those who may be infectious without being aware in order to reduce spread
  of the virus. If positive, the test means you are infectious and must start self-isolating at home immediately and complete 10 days of self-isolation.
• The test does not tell you if you are COVID-free so all COVID-secure measures must be exercised even if you get a negative result. You must continue to
  follow COVID guidelines and remember to wash your hands, wear a face covering indoors and maintain a 2m distance from others.
•   Testing slots must be booked online in advance and priority is given to workers in the following
    sectors: Health or social care, transportation, education or childcare (if not receiving regular rapid
    tests via the workplace), essential shops, supermarkets or financial services, food production or
    processing, warehousing, packing or distribution, essential public sector services including waste,
    bin collections, security, construction, utilities or communications and agency workers. It is
    advisable for those people working in these sectors to take up the opportunity to get tested on a
    weekly basis to help to reduce the spread of the virus.
•   Information leaflets at the sites are available in English, Lithuanian and Romanian, Russian and
    Polish.

6
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Got Symptoms? Get Tested
    • To find out more information about
      local testing sites visit:
      Northamptonshire COVID-19 Testing
      Update.

    • Tests can be booked online at NHS
      COVID-19 or by calling 119. Home
      testing kits can also be ordered
      subject to availability.

    • It is vital that when you leave the
      house to be tested you must go
      straight to the testing centre and
      return home immediately to self-
      isolate until you get your results.

7
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Total and Weekly Summary
    A total of 45,848 positive cases have been identified in Northamptonshire to date. Of this number, 548 were identified
    in the last week, 1st to 7th March 2021.

                                                           This graph shows the total number of people who have tested
                                                           positive for COVID-19 in Northamptonshire each week since 14th
                                                           December 2020.
                                                           Weekly case numbers increased significantly during the course of
                                                           December and into early January, however, cases have declined
                                                           steadily over the last few weeks and the latest weekly case total is
                                                           71% lower than that seen in the week of 1st February 2021.
                                                           The latest week’s figures are likely to increase further as data for the
                                                           most recent days are subject to reporting delays.

8
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Rates of Cases by District and Borough
                                                                                                             The data in this table shows us what the total and
                                       Cumulative        Rate per        Compared to        Compared to      most recent week’s positive COVID-19 case numbers
                                         rate per       100,000 26      county rate 26     England rate 26   for our districts and boroughs would look like if each
    Area                                                                                                     area had the exact same population size (100,000).
                                       100,000 to      Feb to 4 Mar      Feb to 4 Mar       Feb to 4 Mar
                                       4 Mar 2021          2021              2021               2021
                                                                                                             Northamptonshire’s infection rate per 100,000
    Northamptonshire                     6,059             71.8                -              Sig higher     population for the most recent week is 71.8, which is
                                                                                                             significantly higher than the national average (60.3).
    Corby                                7,105             134.3          Sig higher          Sig higher
    Daventry                             4,695             48.9             Similar             Similar      All district and borough infection rates, except for
                                                                                                             South Northamptonshire’s, are significantly higher
    East Northamptonshire                4,645             64.5             Similar             Similar
                                                                                                             than or similar to the national average. Northampton
    Kettering                            5,543             59.9             Similar             Similar      and Corby’s rates are significantly higher than the
                                                                                                             national average.
    Northampton                          7,695             85.5             Similar           Sig higher
    South Northamptonshire               4,801             30.7            Sig lower           Sig lower     Corby continues to have one of the highest case
                                                                                                             rates in England, despite decreasing case numbers,
    Wellingborough                       5,804             74.0             Similar             Similar      meaning rates elsewhere are falling faster than they
Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard                                                                         are in Corby (although this has been improving in
                                                 *Please note that the word sig means ‘significant’,         recent days).
                                                 which is a statistical term that simply means that the
                                                 research is valid.

9
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report - Northamptonshire County Council
Total Cases by District and Borough
                                                                             This table shows the total number of people who have
                              Total cases   Cases in week                    tested positive for COVID-19 up to 7th March 2021 in each
                                                              Change from
     Area                      to 7 Mar     1 Mar to 7 Mar                   of Northamptonshire’s seven districts and boroughs.
                                                             previous week
                                 2021           2021
                                                                             Northamptonshire’s total weekly cases remains high but
     Northamptonshire           45,848           548           Decrease      shows a decline of 71% when compared to the rate seen
     Corby                      5,167            93            Decrease      in the week of 1st February 2021.
     Daventry                   4,057            50            Decrease
                                                                             Northamptonshire as a whole, and all districts and
     East Northamptonshire      4,414            62            Decrease      boroughs have seen a decrease in case numbers when
     Kettering                  5,686            87            Decrease      compared to the previous week.

     Northampton                17,332           172           Decrease      Please note that extreme caution must be applied when
     South Northamptonshire     4,545            23            Decrease      viewing week on week changes. To see the overall
                                                                             changes in areas in context please see slides 16, 17 and
     Wellingborough             4,647            61            Decrease      18.

10
Percentage changes in recent 7-day case rates
 This chart shows percentage changes in case rates over the last 3 months up to 4th March 2021. Percentage changes are
 calculated by comparing to the previous non-overlapping 7-day period. It shows that Northamptonshire’s case rates
 increased rapidly in December and early January and have since been decreasing following the implementation of
 national lockdown policies. The rate of decrease slowed in mid-February but has since accelerated.

* Data for the last 5 days are not displayed as they will be incomplete.
 Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard

 11
Rate of Weekly Lab Confirmed Cases
                                                                                                     This graph includes all testing data. Recent data
                                                                                                     shows that Northamptonshire’s rate of cases in the
                                                                                                     last seven days remains above the England average,
                                                                                                     however the gap between the Northamptonshire
                                                                                                     and England rates has narrowed recently.
                                                                                                     Corby, East Northamptonshire, Northampton and
                                                                                                     Wellingborough currently have weekly total rates
                                                                                                     above the England average.

                                                                                                     All districts and boroughs have seen a decreasing
                                                                                                     trend in case rates over the last couple of weeks.

                                                                                                     Although Corby’s rate has seen a notable decrease
                                                                                                     in the last couple of weeks, it remains the highest in
                                                                                                     the county by a wide margin. Northampton’s rate is
                                                                                                     currently the second highest in the county.

 Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard.

* These are 7-day rolling total numbers of cases as a rate per 100,000 population – this is done to even out the fluctuations we see in testing volumes on
weekdays vs weekends.
 12
Recent Cases by Age and Gender
                                                                                           This graph shows the number of positive test results for
                                                                                           COVID-19 in Northamptonshire over the last 28 days by
                                                                                           gender and by ten-year age band.

                                                                                           Overall, more women than men tested positive for COVID-
                                                                                           19 in the last 28 days.

                                                                                           The age group with the most positive tests was 30 to 39
                                                                                           year olds for both men and women. Case numbers are
                                                                                           currently highest amongst working age adults. More
                                                                                           hospital admissions and deaths are being observed in this
                                                                                           age category.

                                                                                           Over the last 4-week period there have been steady
                                                                                           decreases in numbers of cases amongst people aged 60+.

*Please refer to the gov.uk coronavirus dashboard heat map for more information on cases in specific age groups.

 13
Deaths Within 28 Days of Positive Test
                                                                                           This table shows total number of deaths of people who had
                                                                                           a positive test result for COVID-19 and died within 28 days of
                                             Total deaths Deaths in week Change from
                                                                                           the first positive test, reported up to 7th March, 2021 for
      Area                                    to 07 Mar    01 Mar to 07    previous
                                                                                           each of Northamptonshire’s seven districts and boroughs.
                                                 2021       Mar 2021        week
                                                                                           Most districts and boroughs have seen a decrease in
      Northamptonshire                         1,363           8           Decrease
                                                                                           numbers of deaths when compared to the previous week,
      Corby                                     121            0           Decrease        however, South Northamptonshire saw an increase with
                                                                                           one death in the district, and Wellingborough had no
      Daventry                                  133            0           Decrease
                                                                                           change recorded when compared to the previous week.
      East Northamptonshire                     184            0           Decrease
                                                                                           Due to the impact of the COVID-19 vaccination in the elderly
      Kettering                                 190            3           Decrease
                                                                                           and most vulnerable people, the number of deaths have
      Northampton                               490            2           Decrease        started to reduce more rapidly in recent weeks.
      South Northamptonshire                    112            1            Increase       We must continue to work together now more than ever to
      Wellingborough                            133            2          No change        reduce numbers of deaths as recent scientific evidence
                                                                                           suggests that new variants of COVID-19 in the UK may be
      Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard
                                                                                           deadlier than the original virus.

* People who died more than 28 days after their first positive test are not included, whether or not COVID-19 was the cause of death.

 14
Hospital Beds Occupied by Confirmed
COVID-19 Patients              This chart shows the trend in numbers of beds at
                               Northampton and Kettering General Hospitals
                               occupied by COVID-19 patients since 1st August 2020.

                               It shows that the number of beds occupied due to
                               COVID-19 remained relatively steady over the late
                               summer through to mid-October, at which point
                               numbers of patients in hospital began to increase
                               sharply.

                               The numbers of patients in hospital due to COVID-19
                               has been on a decreasing trend since mid-January,
                               although the rate of decline has recently slowed. The
                               latest data shows a total of 90 COVID-19 patients
                               occupied hospital beds in Northamptonshire on 9th
                               March 2021.

                               Bed occupancy has now decreased to levels last seen
                               at the beginning of November 2020, however there is
                               still demand for Intensive Care beds.

15
Cases by Community – Last 28 Days

The chart shows the
local communities
within
Northamptonshire
where COVID-19
infections over the last
28 days are highest.

Knowing the areas with
the highest case
numbers in the last 28
days help us to prioritise
and focus our support
locally.

Please note that the thresholds for the colour coding on the map have been updated to better illustrate recent figures. This map cannot be compared
against previous reports.

 16
Case Rates by Community – Last 28 Days per 100,000
 population

  These graphics show
  what positive COVID-
  19 case numbers over
  the last 28 days would
  look like if each local
  community had the
  exact same size
  population (100,000).

  The map illustrates the
  28-day infection rate
  per 100,000
  population across the
  whole county.

* Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a
margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small.

  17
Change in Case Rates by Community – Fortnightly
  per 100,000 population

 If each community had the exact same size
                                                 Rank Name
 population (100,000) in Northamptonshire,
 this graphic shows how COVID-19 case                 1 Geddington, Rushton & Stoke Albany (Kett)
 numbers in the last 14 days would have
                                                      2 Clipston, Naseby & Yelvertoft (Dav)
 changed in each community compared to
 the previous 14 days.                                3 Cotton End, Brackmills & Hardingstone (Nton)
                                                      4 Middleton Cheney & Chipping Warden (SN)
 We have seen decreases in case rates in
 most of our areas in the county.                     5 Abington Vale (Nton)

 However, 5 areas with increases in case
 rates are listed next to the map.

 Areas with increases in rates of infection
 show us where we need to prioritise and
 focus our support locally.

• Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a
  margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small.

  18
Summary of Outbreaks 08/03/2021
    Two or more cases linked by place and time to that setting. Totals are 28 day counts for care homes and hospitals, and 14
    day counts for all other locations.

     In the last 28 days      Corby    Daventry East Northants     Kettering   Northampton South Northants Wellingborough County total Case total

     Outbreaks                  0         2              2             3             5                 3                 3               18          153
     Care home/service          0         2              2             3             3                 3                 3               16          142
     Childcare                  0         0              0             0             0                 0                 0               0             0
     Workplace                  0         0              0             0             1                 0                 0               1             5
     Education                  0         0              0             0             1                 0                 0               1             6
     Hospital/healthcare        0         0              0             0             0                 0                 0               0             0
     Other                      0         0              0             0             0                 0                 0               0             0

•   Please note that this summary covers all situations classified as ‘active’. An active situation has had at least 1 positive case within the previous 28 days.
•   Outbreaks are pended if there are no new cases reported for Care homes/Health care in 14 days and 7 days for others.
•   Although outbreaks have decreased this week across all Districts and Boroughs except for South Northamptonshire - it is important to note that the majority
    of cases are due to community household transmission.
    19
Joint Working Against COVID-19
• Environmental Health Officers from across the county and Northamptonshire Police have been out
  in force in Corby this week as part of Corby Borough Council and Public Health Northamptonshire’s
  ongoing work to stop the spread of Coronavirus.
• Officers have already attended a number of warehouse/logistics premises, larger supermarkets
  and other retail premises, and will continue to do so for the remainder of the week. The teams are
  engaging with workers and shoppers, cracking down on those not complying with government
  requirements to wear face coverings in indoor public spaces and offer guidance where car sharing
  is unavoidable.
• They have also been present at Weldon Pocket Park and East Carlton Country Park ensuring that
  rules around social distancing and mixing of bubbles/ households are being adhered to.
• Fixed Penalty Notices have been issued where necessary and guidance reinforced.
• Local residents are also part of the team and we wish to say ‘Thank you’ to all those abiding by the
  rules, supporting others to do so when isolating, and helping us to progress towards the next step
  in the roadmap out of lockdown – Keep up the good work!

20
COVID-19: Keep Up to Date
•    Watch: Public Health Northamptonshire’s weekly press
     conference live streamed on YouTube with cross county
     partners from the NHS, Police and Education.

•    Listen: To BBC Radio Northampton’s interviews with Director
     of Public Health Lucy Wightman twice weekly: Tuesday live at
     08.10am and a pre-record aired at 5.10pm on Thursdays.

•    Read: Northamptonshire’s Director of Public Health, Lucy
     Wightman’s weekly column in the Northampton Chronicle and
     Echo online and in the newspaper for the very latest insights
     and advice.

•    Study: Our weekly surveillance reports on the NCC website.

•    Look out for: Our advertising campaigns on buses, at bus
     stops, GOMO vans and i-walkers, (digital screens on vans and
     people that share our messages), Geo-locate techniques using
     location messaging on mobile devices and both digital and
     non-digital outdoor advertising boards.

•    Follow us: on Twitter @NorthantsPH and Facebook
     @PublicHealthNorthants.

21
Help, Guidance and Fines

 • Government Financial support is now available for eligible individuals who have to
   self-isolate for up to 14 days. Details of financial support can be found here.

 • Northamptonshire County Council has put together a Self-isolation support pack for
   residents.

 • Those who do not follow Test and Trace guidance, or those who breach self-isolation,
   or lockdown legislation will be fined £1,000.

22
You can also read