Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report • A total of 339 Northamptonshire residents have tested positive for COVID-19 in the last week • Mixing between households continues to be the greatest cause of transmission locally • The most positive tests in the last week were found in 10 to 19 year olds, closely followed by 30 to 39 year olds • Although Corby’s coronavirus rate per 100,000 population has decreased notably since the end of March, it remains one of the highest in England and the highest rate in Northamptonshire by a wide margin • Wellingborough’s rate is currently the second highest of the seven district and borough areas and has increased in the last week Data up to 11 April 2021
Pay Your Respects COVID-19 Safely • The funeral of HRH Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh takes place this Saturday 17th April and will be shown on television. • With continued high levels of virus transmission in parts of the county, it is vital that we ensure that everyone limits their indoor interactions to their households or support bubbles only. While we are mindful that many will wish to mark this sad occasion in some way, the public health restrictions in place continue to prohibit indoor gatherings and limit outdoor gatherings to up to six people or two households. • Please pay your respects within the COVID-19 guidance, either indoors with your household or bubble, or outdoors in small groups of up to six or with one other household. • Please do not attend large gatherings or make unnecessary journeys. • Residents are being asked not to lay flowers or gather at memorial sites across the county and beyond at this time. 2
Four Step Roadmap On Monday 12th April residents of Northamptonshire Step 1 Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 8-29 Changes Not before Not before 17 May Not before and across England took Step 2 on the four-step March on 29 March 12 April *Review of social 21 June ‘roadmap’ out of lockdown. The next step will not be distancing before 17 May and will only be taken if the COVID-19 data shows that it is safe to do so. Children back to Rule of 6 or 2 Opening of non- Most legal restrictions on Government hopes to be School/College households meet essential shops meeting others outdoors in a position to remove all outdoors hairdressers, will be lifted, although legal limits on social gyms, zoos, gatherings of over 30 contact holiday campsites people will remain illegal. and personal care Indoors, the ‘Rule of 6’ or Only when the government is sure that it is safe to services 2 households will apply move from each step to the next will the final decision be made. The decision will be based on four tests: Outdoor Outdoor activity Funerals up to 30 Most businesses in all Government hopes to • The vaccine deployment programme continues recreation/exercis facilities open and mourners. but the highest risk reopen remaining successfully e with one person formally organised Weddings, sectors will be able to premises, including outside your outdoor sports receptions and reopen nightclubs, and ease the • Evidence shows vaccines are sufficiently effective household commemorative restrictions on large in reducing hospitalisations and deaths in those events 15 events and performances vaccinated that apply in Step 3 • Infection rates do not risk a surge in hospitalisations which would put unsustainable Care home End of ‘stay at Hospitality Up to 30 people will be pressure on the NHS residents – one home’ rule but work venues serve able to attend weddings, regular visitor from home if can people outdoors receptions and wakes, as • Assessment of the risks is not fundamentally and no holidays well as funerals changed by new Variants of Concern 3
Take Care in the Open Air • Have you heard about our COVID -19 safety awareness campaign called ‘Take care in the Open air’? • We are reminding residents to stay alert and stay 2m apart, avoid face to face and physical contact, not to share drinks, avoid shouting and to be aware of surface transmission while outside. • In a bid to stop the spread we are advising residents to contactless payments where possible, sanitise/ wash their hands and discard face coverings safely in the bin. 5
Everything We Do Is Stopping The Spread •Although restrictions are easing, it is imperative that we continue to abide by the guidelines and follow the rules. If you are going out to work think ‘COVID SAFE’ throughout the day to keep you, your friends and family and your colleagues safe from the virus. Remember ‘Hands. Face. Space. Fresh air’ while travelling to and from your workplace and during the working day. You must continue to use a face covering on public transport, unless eligible not to do so. You must also try to avoid car sharing but if it’s absolutely necessary then wind down the windows, let the fresh air in and wear a face covering. Wipe down all work equipment you your hands will touch before use and if you nip out for a coffee or cigarette break, remember to keep your distance. The virus is still out there - it's our job to limit transmission. •This weekend with potential cold weather and the wish to see friends we haven’t had the opportunity to meet for a long time, the call of meeting in the warmth indoors may be strong. Don’t do it! It’s really not worth the risk and is still not safe to mix indoors, that’s why it’s still illegal. Mixing between households continues to be the greatest cause of transmission locally. It’s just not safe and even if you have been vaccinated you can still pass on the virus. Until the rates of the virus go down further it is simply not safe to meet indoors, even for a cup of tea. We need to follow the mantra ‘Hands. Face. Space. Fresh Air’ as we go about our daily lives, get our first or second dose of the vaccination when called, get tested regularly and isolate immediately if the result is positive. It is within our gift and only our gift to stop the virus from taking hold again. •Now that many shops and hospitality venues with suitable outdoor areas have re-opened for business – as customers we also need to do our bit! We all must socially distance, wear our face coverings and wash or sanitise our hands to protect these businesses, their staff and their jobs. We have a duty to keep them safe as well as ourselves and other customers around us. 6
Free Rapid COVID-19 Testing • Everyone in Northamptonshire and across England can now access free, regular, rapid coronavirus testing. The tests are available for home use or at test centres, workplaces and schools. You can get these tests from your local test site, pharmacies or order them on gov.uk and get home deliveries. The test is called a Lateral Flow Test and involves a swab of the mouth and nose and provides a result within 30 minutes. • The aim of testing people who do not have COVID-19 symptoms is to identify those who may be infectious without being aware in order to reduce spread of the virus. If positive, the test means you are infectious and must start self-isolating at home immediately and complete 10 days of self-isolation. • The test does not tell you if you are COVID-free so all COVID-secure measures must be exercised even if you get a negative result. You must continue to follow COVID guidelines and remember to wash your hands, wear a face covering indoors and maintain a 2m distance from others. • Testing slots must be booked online in advance and priority is given to those who are unable to work from home and/or adults in a childcare support bubble. It is advisable for those people working in these sectors to take up the opportunity to get tested at least on a weekly basis, if possible, twice weekly to help to reduce the spread of the virus. • Nine COVID-19 Rapid Testing Centres are open in Northamptonshire for adults who are not showing symptoms of COVID-19. Information leaflets at the sites are available in English, Lithuanian and Romanian, Russian and Polish. • The community-based testing sites, as well as being a collection point for test kit orders, are at: • Danes Camp Leisure Centre, Northampton • Lodge Park Sports Centre and Hazelwood Neighbourhood Centre, Corby • Brackley Leisure Centre, South Northamptonshire • Redwell Leisure Centre, Wellingborough • Daventry Leisure Centre, Daventry • The University of Northampton, Northampton - restricted to use by students and university staff only • North Pavilion Drive, Kettering • A “pop-up” centre is now open at Hall Park, Rushden Hall, the first of its kind within Northamptonshire 7
Got Symptoms? Get Tested • To find out more information about local testing sites visit: Northamptonshire COVID-19 Testing Update. • Tests can be booked online at NHS COVID-19 or by calling 119. Home testing kits can also be ordered subject to availability. • It is vital that when you leave the house to be tested you must go straight to the testing centre and return home immediately to self- isolate until you get your results. 8
Total and Weekly Summary A total of 48,300 positive cases have been identified in Northamptonshire to date. Of this number, 339 were identified in the last week, 5th April to 11th April 2021. This graph shows the total number of people who have tested positive for COVID-19 in Northamptonshire each week since 18th January 2021. Weekly case numbers peaked in January, after which they steadily declined and continued to reduce at a slower rate since the end of February. This week’s case total represents a decrease of 17% when compared to the previous week and is 41% lower than that seen in the week of 8th March 2021. The latest week’s figures are likely to increase further as data for the most recent days are subject to reporting delays. 9
Rates of Cases by Area The data in this table shows us what the total and most Cumulative Compared to Compared to Rate per recent week’s positive COVID-19 case numbers for each rate per Northants rate 2 England rate 2 Area 100,000 2 Apr area in Northamptonshire would look like if they all had 100,000 to Apr to 8 Apr Apr to 8 Apr to 8 Apr 2021 the exact same population size (100,000). 8 Apr 2021 2021 2021 Northamptonshire 6,396 47.8 - Sig higher Northamptonshire’s infection rate per 100,000 population for the most recent week up to 8th April is 47.8 which is North Northamptonshire 6,129 60.3 Similar Sig higher significantly higher than the national average (27.4). Corby 7,943 102.5 Sig higher Sig higher West Northamptonshire’s rate (37.0) and North Northamptonshire’s rate (60.3) are significantly higher East Northamptonshire 5,032 41.3 Similar Sig higher than the national average but similar to Kettering 5,859 40.3 Similar Sig higher Northamptonshire average. Wellingborough 6,131 70.3 Sig higher Sig higher All district and borough area infection rates are West Northamptonshire 6,626 37.0 Similar Sig higher significantly higher than or similar to the national average. Northampton, Wellingborough, Kettering, East Daventry 4,890 26.8 Sig lower Similar Northamptonshire and Corby’s rates are significantly Northampton 8,008 49.0 Similar Sig higher higher than the national average. South Northamptonshire 4,922 18.0 Sig lower Similar Even though Corby’s rate has been slowly falling since 26th Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard March, Corby continues to have one of the highest case *Please note that the word sig means ‘significant’, which is a rates in England. We must continue to adhere to the statistical term that simply means that the research is valid. rules and try to reduce any risk of transmission. 10
Total Cases by Area Total cases Cases in week 5 Change from This table shows the total number of people who have Area to 11 Apr Apr to 11 Apr previous tested positive for COVID-19 up to 11th April 2021 in 2021 2021 week Northamptonshire by area. Northamptonshire 48,300 339 Decrease The most recent week’s data shows a decrease of 17% when compared to previous week. Northamptonshire’s North Northamptonshire 21,417 194 Decrease total weekly case trend continues to decline slowly from a Corby 5,758 66 Decrease plateauing trend seen since the beginning of March. East Northamptonshire 4,768 27 Decrease All areas have seen a decrease in total cases when Kettering 5,985 46 Decrease compared to the previous week. Wellingborough 4,906 55 Decrease Please note that extreme caution must be applied when West Northamptonshire 26,883 145 Decrease viewing week on week changes. To see the overall changes Daventry 4,215 25 Decrease in areas in context please see slides 18, 19 and 20. Northampton 18,008 101 Decrease South Northamptonshire 4,660 19 Decrease 11
Percent changes in recent 7-day case rates This chart shows percentage changes in case rates over the last 3 months up to 8 th April 2021. Percentage changes are calculated by comparing to the previous non-overlapping 7-day period. It shows that Northamptonshire’s case rates have since mid-January decreased following the implementation of national lockdown policies. However, Northamptonshire saw a slight increase in case rates at the start of stage one of Step 1 on the Four Step Roadmap to easing the lockdown policies in March 2021. The most recent week’s data indicates a decreasing trend in case rates. * Data for the last 5 days are not displayed as they will be incomplete. Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard 12
Rate of Weekly Lab Confirmed Cases This graph includes all testing data up to 8th April. Recent data shows that Northamptonshire’s rate of cases in the last seven days remains above the England average. The gap between the Northamptonshire and England rates has widened slightly since mid-March 2021. Corby, East Northamptonshire, Kettering, Northampton and Wellingborough currently have weekly total rates above the England average. All district and borough areas except for Corby, Daventry and South Northamptonshire have seen a rising or plateauing trend in case rates in recent days. Although Corby’s rate has decreased notably since the end of March, it remains one of the highest in England and the highest rate in Northamptonshire by a wide margin. Wellingborough’s rate is currently the Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard. second highest of the seven district and borough areas and has increased in the last week. * These are 7-day rolling total numbers of cases as a rate per 100,000 population – this is done to even out the fluctuations we see in testing volumes on weekdays vs weekends. 13
Recent Cases by Age and Gender This graph shows the number of positive test results for COVID-19 in Northamptonshire over the last 28 days by gender and by ten-year age band. Overall, more women than men tested positive for COVID- 19 in the last 28 days. For both males and females, the age group with the most positive tests was 10 to 19 year olds, closely followed by 30 to 39 year olds. Out of the ten-year age bands, secondary school age children have the highest case numbers but working age adults are a close second. Over the last 4-week period there have been steady decreases in numbers of cases amongst people aged 60+. *Please refer to the gov.uk coronavirus dashboard heat map for more information on cases in specific age groups. 14
Hospital Beds Occupied by Confirmed COVID-19 Patients This chart shows the trend in numbers of beds at Northampton and Kettering General Hospitals occupied by COVID-19 patients since 1st August 2020. It shows that the number of beds occupied due to COVID-19 remained relatively steady over the late summer through to mid-October, at which point numbers of patients in hospital began to increase sharply. The number of patients in hospital due to COVID-19 has been on a decreasing trend since mid-January, although the rate of decline has recently slowed. The latest data shows a total of 25 COVID-19 patients occupied hospital beds in Northamptonshire on 13th April 2021. Bed occupancy has now decreased to levels last seen at the end of October 2020, however there is still some demand for Intensive Care beds. 15
Deaths Within 28 Days of Positive Test This table shows total number of deaths of people who had a Total deaths Deaths in Change from positive test result for COVID-19 and died within 28 days of the Area to 11 Apr week 05 Apr previous first positive test, reported up to 11th April 2021 for 2021 to 11 Apr 2021 week Northamptonshire by area. Northamptonshire 1,389 4 Increase Most district and borough areas have seen no change in total North Northamptonshire 640 1 No change deaths when compared to the previous week, however, Corby Corby 125 0 Decrease saw a decrease (1 death to 0) whilst Kettering saw a rise from 0 to 1 death and Northampton saw a rise from 0 to 3 deaths. East Northamptonshire 185 0 No change All district and borough areas except for Corby, Kettering and Kettering 193 1 Increase Northampton have seen no deaths in the last three weeks. Wellingborough 137 0 No change Due to the impact of the COVID-19 vaccination in the elderly West Northamptonshire 749 3 Increase and most vulnerable people, the number of deaths have Daventry 134 0 No change reduced more steadily since mid-January. Northampton 503 3 Increase We must continue to work together more than ever to reduce South Northamptonshire 112 0 No change numbers of deaths as recent scientific evidence suggests that new variants of COVID-19 in the UK may be deadlier than the Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard original virus. • People who died more than 28 days after their first positive test are not included, whether or not COVID-19 was the cause of death. • The latest week’s figures are likely to increase further as data for the most recent days are subject to reporting delays. 16
Education Status This chart shows the trend in 7-day average cases recorded in education settings in the last 28 days for both staff and pupils. It shows that weekly average case volumes rose sharply from 18th March, particularly amongst pupils, and started falling from 31st March. The table shows the proportion of education settings having recorded at least one case over a 4-week period. The proportion of schools with recent cases have decreased since March. % of Education settings % of Education settings On 14th April 2021, a total of 0 education settings were Date range recorded at least 1 case in recorded no cases in the 4 the 4 week period week period closed, which represents a decrease when compared to previous week of 4th April 2021. 17 Mar to 14 Apr 2021 15% 85% 10 Mar to 7 Apr 2021 20% 80% Please note that cases amongst pupils have reduced in the last two weeks. Figures will have been affected by 3 Mar to 31 Mar 2021 24% 76% lower levels of testing during the school holidays but 24 Feb to 24 Mar 2021 22% 78% may also reflect changes to levels of mixing over Easter. 17
Cases by Community – Last 28 Days The chart shows the local communities within Northamptonshire where COVID-19 infections over the last 28 days are highest. Knowing the areas with the highest case numbers in the last 28 days help us to prioritise and focus our support locally. • Please note that the thresholds for the colour coding on the map have been updated to better illustrate recent figures. This map cannot be compared against previous reports. 18
Case Rates by Community – Last 28 Days per 100,000 population These graphics show what positive COVID- 19 case numbers over the last 28 days would look like if each local community had the exact same size population (100,000). The map illustrates the 28-day infection rate per 100,000 population across Northamptonshire. • Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small. 19
Change in Case Rates by Community – Fortnightly per 100,000 population If each community had the exact same size Rank Name population (100,000) in Northamptonshire, 1 Corby Town (Cor) this graphic shows how COVID-19 case 2 Long Buckby East & Ravensthorpe (Dav) numbers in the last 14 days would have 3 Central Wellingborough (Wboro) changed in each community compared to 4 Victoria & Isebrook (Wboro) the previous 14 days. 5 King's Heath & Spencer (Nton) 6 St Michael's Road (Nton) We have seen decreases in case rates in 7 Towcester East & Paulerspury (SN) most of our areas in Northamptonshire. 8 St David's (Nton) However, the 15 areas with the greatest 9 Boughton (Nton) increases in case rates are listed next to the 10 Moulton (Nton) map. 11 Rixon (Wboro) 12 Briar Hill & Hunsbury Hill (Nton) Areas with increases in rates of infection 13 Finedon, Isham & Harrowden (Wboro) show us where we need to prioritise and 14 Kings Sutton, Greatworth & Evenley (SN) focus our support locally. 15 Cogenhoe, Hackleton & Denton (SN) • Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small. 20
Summary of Outbreaks 12/04/2021 Two or more cases linked by place and time to that setting. Totals are 28 day counts for care homes and hospitals, and 14 day counts for all other locations. In the last 28 days Corby Daventry East Northants Kettering Northampton South Northants Wellingborough Northants total Case total Outbreaks 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 4 10 Care home/service 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 4 10 Childcare 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Workplace 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Education 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hospital/healthcare 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 • Please note that this summary covers all situations classified as ‘active’. An active situation has had at least 1 positive case within the previous 28 days. • Outbreaks are pended if there are no new cases reported for Care homes/Health care in 14 days and 7 days for others. • Although outbreaks have decreased this week across all district and borough areas - it is important to note that the majority of cases are due to community household transmission. 21
COVID-19: Keep Up to Date • Watch: Public Health Northamptonshire’s weekly press conference live streamed on YouTube with cross county partners from the NHS, Police and Education. • Listen: To BBC Radio Northampton’s interviews with Director of Public Health Lucy Wightman twice weekly: Tuesday live at 08.10am and a pre-record aired at 5.10pm on Thursdays. • Read: Northamptonshire’s Director of Public Health, Lucy Wightman’s weekly column in the Northampton Chronicle and Echo online and in the newspaper for the very latest insights and advice. • Study: Our weekly surveillance reports on the North Northamptonshire and West Northamptonshire websites. • Look out for: Our advertising campaigns on buses, at bus stops, GOMO vans and i-walkers, (digital screens on vans and people that share our messages), Geo-locate techniques using location messaging on mobile devices and both digital and non-digital outdoor advertising boards. • Follow us: on Twitter @NorthantsPH and Facebook @PublicHealthNorthants. 22
Help, Guidance and Fines • Government Financial support is now available for eligible individuals who have to self-isolate for up to 14 days. Details of financial support can be found here. • Northamptonshire County Council has put together a Self-isolation support pack for residents. • Those who do not follow Test and Trace guidance, or those who breach self-isolation, or lockdown legislation will be fined £1,000. 23
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