Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report

 
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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Northamptonshire COVID-19
               Weekly Surveillance Report
• A total of 339 Northamptonshire residents have tested positive for COVID-19 in the last week
• Mixing between households continues to be the greatest cause of transmission locally
• The most positive tests in the last week were found in 10 to 19 year olds, closely followed by 30 to 39 year olds
• Although Corby’s coronavirus rate per 100,000 population has decreased notably since the end of March, it remains one of
  the highest in England and the highest rate in Northamptonshire by a wide margin
• Wellingborough’s rate is currently the second highest of the seven district and borough areas and has increased in the last
  week

                                               Data up to 11 April 2021
Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Pay Your Respects COVID-19 Safely
•   The funeral of HRH Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh takes place this
    Saturday 17th April and will be shown on television.

•   With continued high levels of virus transmission in parts of the county,
    it is vital that we ensure that everyone limits their indoor interactions
    to their households or support bubbles only. While we are mindful
    that many will wish to mark this sad occasion in some way, the public
    health restrictions in place continue to prohibit indoor gatherings and
    limit outdoor gatherings to up to six people or two households.

•   Please pay your respects within the COVID-19 guidance, either indoors
    with your household or bubble, or outdoors in small groups of up to
    six or with one other household.

•   Please do not attend large gatherings or make unnecessary journeys.

•   Residents are being asked not to lay flowers or gather at memorial
    sites across the county and beyond at this time.

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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Four Step Roadmap
On Monday 12th April residents of Northamptonshire            Step 1                Step 1              Step 2                  Step 3                         Step 4
                                                               8-29                Changes            Not before          Not before 17 May                  Not before
and across England took Step 2 on the four-step               March              on 29 March           12 April            *Review of social                  21 June
‘roadmap’ out of lockdown. The next step will not be                                                                          distancing
before 17 May and will only be taken if the COVID-19
data shows that it is safe to do so.                    Children back to     Rule of 6 or 2        Opening of non-     Most legal restrictions on    Government hopes to be
                                                        School/College       households meet       essential shops     meeting others outdoors       in a position to remove all
                                                                             outdoors              hairdressers,       will be lifted, although      legal limits on social
                                                                                                   gyms, zoos,         gatherings of over 30         contact
                                                                                                   holiday campsites   people will remain illegal.
                                                                                                   and personal care   Indoors, the ‘Rule of 6’ or
 Only when the government is sure that it is safe to                                               services            2 households will apply
 move from each step to the next will the final
 decision be made. The decision will be based on four
 tests:                                                 Outdoor              Outdoor activity      Funerals up to 30   Most businesses in all        Government hopes to
 • The vaccine deployment programme continues           recreation/exercis   facilities open and   mourners.           but the highest risk          reopen remaining
     successfully                                       e with one person    formally organised    Weddings,           sectors will be able to       premises, including
                                                        outside your         outdoor sports        receptions and      reopen                        nightclubs, and ease the
 • Evidence shows vaccines are sufficiently effective   household                                  commemorative                                     restrictions on large
     in reducing hospitalisations and deaths in those                                              events 15                                         events and performances
     vaccinated                                                                                                                                      that apply in Step 3
 • Infection rates do not risk a surge in
     hospitalisations which would put unsustainable     Care home            End of ‘stay at       Hospitality         Up to 30 people will be
     pressure on the NHS                                residents – one      home’ rule but work   venues serve        able to attend weddings,
                                                        regular visitor      from home if can      people outdoors     receptions and wakes, as
 • Assessment of the risks is not fundamentally                              and no holidays                           well as funerals
     changed by new Variants of Concern

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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Step 2 Rules and Guidance

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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Take Care in the Open Air
• Have you heard about our COVID -19 safety awareness campaign called ‘Take care in the Open air’?
• We are reminding residents to stay alert and stay 2m apart, avoid face to face and physical contact, not to share drinks,
  avoid shouting and to be aware of surface transmission while outside.
• In a bid to stop the spread we are advising residents to contactless payments where possible, sanitise/ wash their hands
  and discard face coverings safely in the bin.

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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Everything We Do Is Stopping The Spread
    •Although restrictions are easing, it is imperative that we continue to abide by the guidelines and follow the rules. If you
    are going out to work think ‘COVID SAFE’ throughout the day to keep you, your friends and family and your colleagues safe
    from the virus. Remember ‘Hands. Face. Space. Fresh air’ while travelling to and from your workplace and during the
    working day. You must continue to use a face covering on public transport, unless eligible not to do so. You must also try to
    avoid car sharing but if it’s absolutely necessary then wind down the windows, let the fresh air in and wear a face covering.
    Wipe down all work equipment you your hands will touch before use and if you nip out for a coffee or cigarette break,
    remember to keep your distance. The virus is still out there - it's our job to limit transmission.

    •This weekend with potential cold weather and the wish to see friends we haven’t had the opportunity to meet for a long
    time, the call of meeting in the warmth indoors may be strong. Don’t do it! It’s really not worth the risk and is still not safe
    to mix indoors, that’s why it’s still illegal. Mixing between households continues to be the greatest cause of transmission
    locally. It’s just not safe and even if you have been vaccinated you can still pass on the virus. Until the rates of the virus go
    down further it is simply not safe to meet indoors, even for a cup of tea. We need to follow the mantra ‘Hands. Face. Space.
    Fresh Air’ as we go about our daily lives, get our first or second dose of the vaccination when called, get tested regularly and
    isolate immediately if the result is positive. It is within our gift and only our gift to stop the virus from taking hold again.

    •Now that many shops and hospitality venues with suitable outdoor areas have re-opened for business –
    as customers we also need to do our bit! We all must socially distance, wear our face coverings and wash or sanitise our
    hands to protect these businesses, their staff and their jobs. We have a duty to keep them safe as well as ourselves and other
    customers around us.

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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Free Rapid COVID-19 Testing
• Everyone in Northamptonshire and across England can now access free, regular, rapid coronavirus testing. The tests are available for home use or at test
  centres, workplaces and schools. You can get these tests from your local test site, pharmacies or order them on gov.uk and get home deliveries. The test is
  called a Lateral Flow Test and involves a swab of the mouth and nose and provides a result within 30 minutes.
• The aim of testing people who do not have COVID-19 symptoms is to identify those who may be infectious without being aware in order to reduce spread
  of the virus. If positive, the test means you are infectious and must start self-isolating at home immediately and complete 10 days of self-isolation.
• The test does not tell you if you are COVID-free so all COVID-secure measures must be exercised even if you get a negative result. You must continue to
  follow COVID guidelines and remember to wash your hands, wear a face covering indoors and maintain a 2m distance from others.
•       Testing slots must be booked online in advance and priority is given to those who are unable to work from home and/or adults in a childcare support
        bubble. It is advisable for those people working in these sectors to take up the opportunity to get tested at least on a weekly basis, if possible, twice
        weekly to help to reduce the spread of the virus.
• Nine COVID-19 Rapid Testing Centres are open in Northamptonshire for adults who are not showing symptoms of COVID-19. Information leaflets at the
  sites are available in English, Lithuanian and Romanian, Russian and Polish.
• The community-based testing sites, as well as being a collection point for test kit orders, are at:
     • Danes Camp Leisure Centre, Northampton
     • Lodge Park Sports Centre and Hazelwood Neighbourhood Centre, Corby
     • Brackley Leisure Centre, South Northamptonshire
     • Redwell Leisure Centre, Wellingborough
     • Daventry Leisure Centre, Daventry
     • The University of Northampton, Northampton - restricted to use by students and university staff only
     • North Pavilion Drive, Kettering
     • A “pop-up” centre is now open at Hall Park, Rushden Hall, the first of its kind within Northamptonshire

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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Got Symptoms? Get Tested
    • To find out more information about
      local testing sites visit:
      Northamptonshire COVID-19 Testing
      Update.

    • Tests can be booked online at NHS
      COVID-19 or by calling 119. Home
      testing kits can also be ordered
      subject to availability.

    • It is vital that when you leave the
      house to be tested you must go
      straight to the testing centre and
      return home immediately to self-
      isolate until you get your results.

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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Total and Weekly Summary
    A total of 48,300 positive cases have been identified in Northamptonshire to date. Of this number, 339 were identified
    in the last week, 5th April to 11th April 2021.

                                                          This graph shows the total number of people who have tested
                                                          positive for COVID-19 in Northamptonshire each week since 18th
                                                          January 2021.
                                                          Weekly case numbers peaked in January, after which they steadily
                                                          declined and continued to reduce at a slower rate since the end of
                                                          February.

                                                          This week’s case total represents a decrease of 17% when compared
                                                          to the previous week and is 41% lower than that seen in the week of
                                                          8th March 2021.

                                                          The latest week’s figures are likely to increase further as data for the
                                                          most recent days are subject to reporting delays.

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Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report
Rates of Cases by Area
                                                                                                         The data in this table shows us what the total and most
                                   Cumulative                        Compared to         Compared to
                                                     Rate per                                            recent week’s positive COVID-19 case numbers for each
                                    rate per                        Northants rate 2    England rate 2
 Area                                             100,000 2 Apr                                          area in Northamptonshire would look like if they all had
                                   100,000 to                        Apr to 8 Apr        Apr to 8 Apr
                                                  to 8 Apr 2021                                          the exact same population size (100,000).
                                   8 Apr 2021                            2021               2021

 Northamptonshire                      6,396           47.8                 -              Sig higher    Northamptonshire’s infection rate per 100,000 population
                                                                                                         for the most recent week up to 8th April is 47.8 which is
 North Northamptonshire                6,129           60.3              Similar          Sig higher     significantly higher than the national average (27.4).
 Corby                                 7,943           102.5           Sig higher          Sig higher    West Northamptonshire’s rate (37.0) and North
                                                                                                         Northamptonshire’s rate (60.3) are significantly higher
 East Northamptonshire                 5,032           41.3              Similar           Sig higher    than the national average but similar to
 Kettering                             5,859           40.3              Similar           Sig higher    Northamptonshire average.

 Wellingborough                        6,131           70.3            Sig higher          Sig higher    All district and borough area infection rates are
 West Northamptonshire                 6,626           37.0              Similar          Sig higher     significantly higher than or similar to the national average.
                                                                                                         Northampton, Wellingborough, Kettering, East
 Daventry                              4,890           26.8             Sig lower           Similar      Northamptonshire and Corby’s rates are significantly
 Northampton                           8,008           49.0              Similar           Sig higher    higher than the national average.

 South Northamptonshire                4,922           18.0             Sig lower           Similar      Even though Corby’s rate has been slowly falling since 26th
Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard                                                                     March, Corby continues to have one of the highest case
                                        *Please note that the word sig means ‘significant’, which is a   rates in England. We must continue to adhere to the
                                        statistical term that simply means that the research is valid.   rules and try to reduce any risk of transmission.

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Total Cases by Area

                          Total cases   Cases in week 5   Change from   This table shows the total number of people who have
 Area                      to 11 Apr     Apr to 11 Apr      previous    tested positive for COVID-19 up to 11th April 2021 in
                             2021            2021            week       Northamptonshire by area.

 Northamptonshire           48,300           339           Decrease     The most recent week’s data shows a decrease of 17%
                                                                        when compared to previous week. Northamptonshire’s
 North Northamptonshire     21,417           194           Decrease
                                                                        total weekly case trend continues to decline slowly from a
 Corby                      5,758             66           Decrease     plateauing trend seen since the beginning of March.
 East Northamptonshire      4,768             27           Decrease
                                                                        All areas have seen a decrease in total cases when
 Kettering                  5,985             46           Decrease     compared to the previous week.
 Wellingborough             4,906             55           Decrease
                                                                        Please note that extreme caution must be applied when
 West Northamptonshire      26,883           145           Decrease
                                                                        viewing week on week changes. To see the overall changes
 Daventry                   4,215             25           Decrease     in areas in context please see slides 18, 19 and 20.
 Northampton                18,008           101           Decrease
 South Northamptonshire     4,660             19           Decrease

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Percent changes in recent 7-day case rates
 This chart shows percentage changes in case rates over the last 3 months up to 8 th April 2021. Percentage changes are
 calculated by comparing to the previous non-overlapping 7-day period. It shows that Northamptonshire’s case rates have
 since mid-January decreased following the implementation of national lockdown policies. However, Northamptonshire saw
 a slight increase in case rates at the start of stage one of Step 1 on the Four Step Roadmap to easing the lockdown policies
 in March 2021. The most recent week’s data indicates a decreasing trend in case rates.

* Data for the last 5 days are not displayed as they will be incomplete.
 Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard

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Rate of Weekly Lab Confirmed Cases
                                                                                                     This graph includes all testing data up to 8th April.
                                                                                                     Recent data shows that Northamptonshire’s rate of
                                                                                                     cases in the last seven days remains above the
                                                                                                     England average. The gap between the
                                                                                                     Northamptonshire and England rates has widened
                                                                                                     slightly since mid-March 2021.
                                                                                                     Corby, East Northamptonshire, Kettering,
                                                                                                     Northampton and Wellingborough currently have
                                                                                                     weekly total rates above the England average.
                                                                                                     All district and borough areas except for Corby,
                                                                                                     Daventry and South Northamptonshire have seen a
                                                                                                     rising or plateauing trend in case rates in recent days.
                                                                                                     Although Corby’s rate has decreased notably since
                                                                                                     the end of March, it remains one of the highest in
                                                                                                     England and the highest rate in Northamptonshire by
                                                                                                     a wide margin. Wellingborough’s rate is currently the
 Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard.                                                               second highest of the seven district and borough
                                                                                                     areas and has increased in the last week.
* These are 7-day rolling total numbers of cases as a rate per 100,000 population – this is done to even out the fluctuations we see in testing volumes on
weekdays vs weekends.
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Recent Cases by Age and Gender
                                                                        This graph shows the number of positive test results for
                                                                        COVID-19 in Northamptonshire over the last 28 days by
                                                                        gender and by ten-year age band.

                                                                        Overall, more women than men tested positive for COVID-
                                                                        19 in the last 28 days.

                                                                        For both males and females, the age group with the most
                                                                        positive tests was 10 to 19 year olds, closely followed by 30
                                                                        to 39 year olds.

                                                                        Out of the ten-year age bands, secondary school age
                                                                        children have the highest case numbers but working age
                                                                        adults are a close second.

                                                                        Over the last 4-week period there have been steady
                                                                        decreases in numbers of cases amongst people aged 60+.

      *Please refer to the gov.uk coronavirus dashboard heat map for more information on cases in specific age groups.

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Hospital Beds Occupied by Confirmed
COVID-19 Patients
                                  This chart shows the trend in numbers of beds at
                                  Northampton and Kettering General Hospitals
                                  occupied by COVID-19 patients since 1st August
                                  2020.

                                  It shows that the number of beds occupied due to
                                  COVID-19 remained relatively steady over the late
                                  summer through to mid-October, at which point
                                  numbers of patients in hospital began to increase
                                  sharply.

                                  The number of patients in hospital due to COVID-19
                                  has been on a decreasing trend since mid-January,
                                  although the rate of decline has recently slowed. The
                                  latest data shows a total of 25 COVID-19 patients
                                  occupied hospital beds in Northamptonshire on
                                  13th April 2021.

                                  Bed occupancy has now decreased to levels last seen
                                  at the end of October 2020, however there is still
                                  some demand for Intensive Care beds.

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Deaths Within 28 Days of Positive Test
                                                                                                          This table shows total number of deaths of people who had a
                                        Total deaths    Deaths in   Change from                           positive test result for COVID-19 and died within 28 days of the
 Area                                    to 11 Apr    week 05 Apr     previous                            first positive test, reported up to 11th April 2021 for
                                           2021      to 11 Apr 2021    week                               Northamptonshire by area.
 Northamptonshire                            1,389                    4               Increase
                                                                                                          Most district and borough areas have seen no change in total
 North Northamptonshire                       640                     1              No change            deaths when compared to the previous week, however, Corby
 Corby                                        125                     0               Decrease            saw a decrease (1 death to 0) whilst Kettering saw a rise from 0
                                                                                                          to 1 death and Northampton saw a rise from 0 to 3 deaths.
 East Northamptonshire                        185                     0              No change
                                                                                                          All district and borough areas except for Corby, Kettering and
 Kettering                                    193                     1                Increase           Northampton have seen no deaths in the last three weeks.
 Wellingborough                               137                     0              No change
                                                                                                          Due to the impact of the COVID-19 vaccination in the elderly
 West Northamptonshire                        749                     3               Increase            and most vulnerable people, the number of deaths have
 Daventry                                     134                     0              No change            reduced more steadily since mid-January.
 Northampton                                  503                     3                Increase           We must continue to work together more than ever to reduce
 South Northamptonshire                       112                     0              No change            numbers of deaths as recent scientific evidence suggests that
                                                                                                          new variants of COVID-19 in the UK may be deadlier than the
Source: Gov.uk Coronavirus Dashboard                                                                      original virus.
 • People who died more than 28 days after their first positive test are not included, whether or not COVID-19 was the cause of death.
 • The latest week’s figures are likely to increase further as data for the most recent days are subject to reporting delays.

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Education Status
                                                                                    This chart shows the trend in 7-day average cases
                                                                                    recorded in education settings in the last 28 days for
                                                                                    both staff and pupils.

                                                                                    It shows that weekly average case volumes rose sharply
                                                                                    from 18th March, particularly amongst pupils, and started
                                                                                    falling from 31st March.

                                                                                    The table shows the proportion of education settings
                                                                                    having recorded at least one case over a 4-week period.
                                                                                    The proportion of schools with recent cases have
                                                                                    decreased since March.
                          % of Education settings        % of Education settings
                                                                                    On 14th April 2021, a total of 0 education settings were
 Date range              recorded at least 1 case in   recorded no cases in the 4
                             the 4 week period                week period
                                                                                    closed, which represents a decrease when compared to
                                                                                    previous week of 4th April 2021.
 17 Mar to 14 Apr 2021              15%                          85%
 10 Mar to 7 Apr 2021               20%                          80%                Please note that cases amongst pupils have reduced in
                                                                                    the last two weeks. Figures will have been affected by
 3 Mar to 31 Mar 2021               24%                          76%                lower levels of testing during the school holidays but
 24 Feb to 24 Mar 2021              22%                          78%                may also reflect changes to levels of mixing over Easter.

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Cases by Community – Last 28 Days
    The chart shows the local
    communities within
    Northamptonshire where
    COVID-19 infections over
    the last 28 days are
    highest.

    Knowing the areas with
    the highest case numbers
    in the last 28 days help us
    to prioritise and focus our
    support locally.

•     Please note that the thresholds for the colour coding on the map have been updated to better illustrate recent figures. This map cannot be compared against
      previous reports.
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Case Rates by Community – Last 28 Days
    per 100,000 population

    These graphics show
    what positive COVID-
    19 case numbers over
    the last 28 days would
    look like if each local
    community had the
    exact same size
    population (100,000).

    The map illustrates the
    28-day infection rate
    per 100,000
    population across
    Northamptonshire.

•    Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a
     margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small.

    19
Change in Case Rates by Community –
   Fortnightly per 100,000 population
   If each community had the exact same size        Rank   Name
   population (100,000) in Northamptonshire,           1   Corby Town (Cor)
   this graphic shows how COVID-19 case                2   Long Buckby East & Ravensthorpe (Dav)
   numbers in the last 14 days would have              3   Central Wellingborough (Wboro)
   changed in each community compared to               4   Victoria & Isebrook (Wboro)
   the previous 14 days.                               5   King's Heath & Spencer (Nton)
                                                       6   St Michael's Road (Nton)
   We have seen decreases in case rates in
                                                       7   Towcester East & Paulerspury (SN)
   most of our areas in Northamptonshire.
                                                       8   St David's (Nton)
   However, the 15 areas with the greatest             9   Boughton (Nton)
   increases in case rates are listed next to the     10   Moulton (Nton)
   map.                                               11   Rixon (Wboro)
                                                      12   Briar Hill & Hunsbury Hill (Nton)
   Areas with increases in rates of infection         13   Finedon, Isham & Harrowden (Wboro)
   show us where we need to prioritise and            14   Kings Sutton, Greatworth & Evenley (SN)
   focus our support locally.                         15   Cogenhoe, Hackleton & Denton (SN)

• Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a
  margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small.

    20
Summary of Outbreaks 12/04/2021
    Two or more cases linked by place and time to that setting. Totals are 28 day counts for care homes and hospitals, and 14
    day counts for all other locations.

     In the last 28 days    Corby    Daventry East Northants Kettering Northampton South Northants Wellingborough Northants total Case total

     Outbreaks                0          0            1              0             1                0                  2                 4             10
     Care home/service        0          0            1              0             1                0                  2                 4             10
     Childcare                0          0            0              0             0                0                  0                 0              0
     Workplace                0          0            0              0             0                0                  0                 0              0
     Education                0          0            0              0             0                0                  0                 0              0
     Hospital/healthcare      0          0            0              0             0                0                  0                 0              0
     Other                    0          0            0              0             0                0                  0                 0              0

•   Please note that this summary covers all situations classified as ‘active’. An active situation has had at least 1 positive case within the previous 28 days.
•   Outbreaks are pended if there are no new cases reported for Care homes/Health care in 14 days and 7 days for others.
•   Although outbreaks have decreased this week across all district and borough areas - it is important to note that the majority of cases are due to community
    household transmission.
    21
COVID-19: Keep Up to Date
•    Watch: Public Health Northamptonshire’s weekly press
     conference live streamed on YouTube with cross county
     partners from the NHS, Police and Education.

•    Listen: To BBC Radio Northampton’s interviews with Director
     of Public Health Lucy Wightman twice weekly: Tuesday live at
     08.10am and a pre-record aired at 5.10pm on Thursdays.

•    Read: Northamptonshire’s Director of Public Health, Lucy
     Wightman’s weekly column in the Northampton Chronicle and
     Echo online and in the newspaper for the very latest insights
     and advice.

•    Study: Our weekly surveillance reports on the North
     Northamptonshire and West Northamptonshire websites.

•    Look out for: Our advertising campaigns on buses, at bus
     stops, GOMO vans and i-walkers, (digital screens on vans and
     people that share our messages), Geo-locate techniques using
     location messaging on mobile devices and both digital and
     non-digital outdoor advertising boards.

•    Follow us: on Twitter @NorthantsPH and Facebook
     @PublicHealthNorthants.

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Help, Guidance and Fines

 • Government Financial support is now available for eligible individuals who have to
   self-isolate for up to 14 days. Details of financial support can be found here.

 • Northamptonshire County Council has put together a Self-isolation support pack for
   residents.

 • Those who do not follow Test and Trace guidance, or those who breach self-isolation,
   or lockdown legislation will be fined £1,000.

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