New Year's Predictions - What to Look for in 2020
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New Year’s Predictions — What to Look for in 2020 Before I get to my annual predictions for the new year (here from my long-weekend perch in the crisp Colorado high country), I wanted to take a second to thank you all for your readership (well, maybe not those of you who typically just read the first paragraph of my columns, then angrily scroll down to the comment section. ) It means a lot that you take the time for my work, and I hope you’re having a great holiday season with family and friends. There were few dull moments in 2019, and I expect 2020 to be even more needlessly dramatic (because that’s how we roll in America these days). With lots of topics to cover, I’ve gone through the painstaking task of keeping my number of predictions to just four (because five would have been too predictable). See what I did there? Anyway, enjoy! Know your audience
In May, as part of a sweeps-month effort, Fox News will debut an 8-part weekend mini-series entitled “Trumped by an Angel.” The show will star the popular social-media duo of Diamond and Silk as angels tasked from Heaven to bring pro-Trump messages and guidance to anti-Trump liberals and dispirited conservatives who have yet to accept our president as their one true god and savior. Each episode will end with a Trump detractor of the week recognizing the error of his or her ways, reversing long-held positions and personal standards of decency, pledging holy servitude to the president, and receiving a complimentary Trumpy Bear (the show’s sponsor) from Diamond and Silk. Special guest stars will include Sean Hannity (playing Slobert De Niro, a brash Hollywood A-lister), Jesse Watters (playing Grim Acosta, a chief White House correspondent for a left- leaning, low-rated cable news network), and Greg Gutfeld (playing Choke Romney, a former Republican presidential candidate and current U.S. Senator, who repeatedly commits the cardinal sin of directing honest, principled criticism at our president). The ratings success of Trumped by an Angel (especially in the coveted 75+ age demographic) will compel other networks to add modern political themes to their fall lineups. The surprise hit of the season will be an all-male CBS television adaptation of the 2000 film, Coyote Ugly, starring former presidential hopeful Beto O’Rourke as a failed politician who parlays his trademark campaign maneuver of negotiating the tops of bars and tables into a successful career as a pub dancer. The devil is in the details In early fall, contract-renewal negotiations between CNN and Brian Stelter will stall when Stelter inquires about the network seemingly changing his job title.
“So…they want me to be a Media Analyst now?” Stelter will confusedly ask an unnamed CNN producer. Baffled by Stelter’s question, the producer will pull up the commentator’s previous multi-year contract and identify an unfortunate spellcheck mishap, in which the intended word “Analyst” had inadvertently been replaced with the word “Apologist.” Believing that he had been working for the network as a Media Apologist since 2013 (and performing that job with distinction), Stelter will ask his CNN colleagues why they let him defend and blow off the abundant mistakes and biases of the mainstream media for “7 freakin’ years” without ever saying a word to him about it. An internal probe will be launched to determine the answer to that question, and later reveal that no one at the network actually watches Stelter’s show, Reliable Sources. Furthermore, it will be discovered that the only people who actually do watch the program are Fox News producers and conservative bloggers looking for content to fill up their “Liberals Gone Crazy!” segments. Stelter will leave CNN in late November, after reading up on the role of Media Analyst and deciding “it sounds like a lot of work.” “I need your clothes, your boots, and your motorcycle” With curiosity piqued by the below observation about the tweeting habits of millennial political activist Charlie Kirk, an anonymous Twitter employee will run a series of diagnostic tests on Kirk’s account and make a shocking discovery. How to write a Kirk tweet: Opening line about how the dems are bad Did you know this unsourced evidence that [insert Democrat
here] did [insert vaguely shady activity]? Bombshell non sequitur about the outcome of activity that’s not sourced Cry about double standard emoji — Alec Sears (@alec_sears) December 18, 2019 It will turn out that Kirk’s tweets are not the result of manual entry, but rather a simple algorithm keying off of Breitbart.com headlines (using an RSS feed). The revelation will explain the complete absence of irony and self-awareness in each Kirk tweet, and also advance speculation that Kirk himself is an artificial life-form sent from the future by George Soros’s technologically preserved brain to assist in a diabolical effort to replace core principles of conservatism with nothing more than lame memes, glaring double standards, and incessant “lib owning.” Back to the intergalactic well Following the extraordinary popularity of the super cute “Baby Yoda” character from season one of The Mandalorian, Disney+ will decide to up the ante in season two by introducing another toddler version of a notable Star Wars character: Jabba the Hutt. “Baby Jabba,” as fans will creatively name him, will show up in episode #3 when bounty hunter Din Djarin returns to the desert planet of Tatooine in search of fellow Mandalorian, Boba Fett, who was last seen there. Upon discovering that Mr. Fett was devoured by a giant sarlacc as part of an outlandish action sequence five years earlier, Djarin will leave Tatoonie with an unexpected stowaway who had
waddled aboard his ship following the scent of a pot of three- day-old Gungan stew in the ship’s galley. Now finding himself the surrogate father of two unexpected kids — one dealing with serious child obesity issues (including limited mobility), Djarin will be forced to make some tough choices between his family and career. He’ll ultimately elect to scale his bounty hunting profession down to part-time, while establishing a successful work-from-home business around the knitting and sale of unique clothing accessories for wookie youths and protocol droids. Lastly… In all seriousness, I wish you all a happy and healthy new year. Whatever disagreements we may have in 2020 (and as in recent years, I predict there will be many), I’m hoping we can approach them with relative civility and — at times — a good laugh. — Megyn Kelly, on John A. Daly’s new novel, Safeguard.
New Year’s Predictions — What to Look for in 2018 Every December, many political commentators weigh in with their predictions for the upcoming year. I used to do the same, but took last year off because I figured that August’s solar eclipse would probably end life on our planet as we knew it, and I wasn’t in a masochistic enough mood to want to scare the holy hell out of readers in the second half of my column. Sure, laugh if you want. But NASA’s encouraging of everyone to look directly into the sun with their flimsy paper glasses stood in direct conflict with all the warnings my mother used to give me when I was a child. Couple that with Mel Gibson’s Apocalypto portraying this planetary event as a backdrop for human sacrifices and indiscriminate loincloths, and I wasn’t going to take any chances. Anywho… I’m willing to give it a try this time around, barring
any last-minute developments relating to cataclysmic occurences. A faded sign at the side of the road In a scene that stuns the world, President Trump will close out his first State of the Union address by inexplicably reciting the song lyrics (in their entirety) to the B-52’s 1989 smash-hit, Love Shack. He will leave the podium to scattered applause and confused glares, seemingly unaware that he had said anything odd. Immediate reaction from the media will be widely mixed. Legendary journalist Carl Bernstein will declare that the rumors of Trump suffering from dementia now have credibility. Conversely, Fox News’s Jesse Watters will call the incident an example of “the president’s commitment to igniting a reawakening in American confidence and ushering in a rebirth of pride, patriotism, and prosperity by putting America first.” It will soon be discovered, however, that Omarosa Manigault had breached U.S. Capitol security earlier in the day and tampered with president’s teleprompter — all in a final act of defiance over losing her White House job. This revelation will lead to a special episode of Hannity, where Sean Hannity will use information provided by Wikileaks to tie Omarosa to both Hillary Clinton and The Deep State. Moore is less Learning from the devastating U.S. Senate loss in Alabama, the GOP will employ plans to better insulate future Republican primaries from controversial candidates with problematic backgrounds. This national strategy will require that a questionnaire called the “Creep Assessment” be filled out by every prospective Republican candidate who registers to run for office. Questions will include:
Have you ever dated or sought to date anyone younger than (your age)/2 + 7 years?” (credit: David Burge) Do you attribute the 9/11 attacks to anyone other than Osama bin Laden and/or Al-Qaeda? Have you ever accepted a phone call from Steve Bannon? White House restructuring Sarah Huckabee Sanders will replace John Kelly as White House Chief of Staff shortly after Kelly mysteriously disappears (he will be found three weeks later, aimlessly roaming the Blue Ridge Mountains and mumbling strange things about tweets and Vladimir Putin). Sanders’ father, Mike Huckabee, will take over the role of White House Press Secretary before coming under heavy scrutiny for answering every question with a criminally flat old-guy joke. He’ll soon be replaced with attorney and Trump advisor, Jay Sekulow, who will further outrage the White House press corps by adamantly denying statements that he had clearly made just minutes earlier. After five back-to-back Sekulow recants in a single press briefing, CNN’s Jim Acosta will literally be brought to tears. Live from DC! At a hastily organized press conference, Al Franken will announce that he will not be resigning from the U.S. Senate after all. Inspired by Newt Gingrich’s recent defense of Franken’s past misconduct with women, the senator will explain that his previous vow to step down was just part of an elaborate comedy skit. He’ll then remove his jacket to reveal a light-blue sweater and yellow shirt, cross his eyes, and declare that he is “good enough” and “smart enough” to continue serving. The decades-old reference will confuse everyone under the age of 40, but not be seen as terribly unusual given the events of the last couple of years. There she goes again… Megyn Kelly will once again infuriate her network colleagues,
adding to a list of past capital offenses that include asking tough questions of presidential candidates, and speaking out against workplace sexual harassment. This time, Kelly will send her NBC co-workers into hysterics for having the gall to do a Megyn Kelly TODAY episode on the theme of Fire Safety just two days after a tragic hair-spray accident with Joe Scarborough sets a makeup room ablaze in Rockefeller Plaza. Take the red pill or the blue pill? For the better part of an hour, a malfunction at Comcast will broadcast HLN programming on MSNBC, CNN, and Fox News channels. Millions of people will suddenly be made aware of an evening news-commentary show called S.E. Cupp Unfiltered that isn’t fiercely anti-Trump or pro-Trump, has a positive vibe, and actually provides valuable insight and honest analysis on important issues. Viewers will be left stunned and unsure of how to respond, until the regularly scheduled hackery from the other networks is restored, and a collective breath of hyper-partisan relief is drawn back in. Return from Trumpville Fox News viewers will be left speechless during a live airing of The Five, when co-host Greg Gutfeld is confronted on the set by a man who is his spitting image. The man will explain that he is the real Greg Gutfeld, and that the individual who’s been sitting in his chair for the past eleven months is actually Gunnar Gutfeld (Greg’s stunted twin brother, who was occasionally discussed on Gutfeld’s old show, Red Eye). An ensuing investigation will reveal that after years of being trapped in a shoe-box under Greg’s bed (with only Dilbert comic strips and Lou Dobbs tweet-transcripts to keep him entertained), Gunnar escaped, kidnapped Greg, and assumed his brother’s identity. The revelations will explain the host’s seemingly profound shift in political sensibilities that began
shortly after the 2016 election. A week later, the real Greg will resume his role on The Five, and bring with him his unique style of irreverent commentary that had long endeared him to viewers. Gunnar will return to a life of seclusion and not be missed. Faces of Kimmel Late-night talk show host Jimmy Kimmel will continue to use his television platform to blame conservatives for mass shootings, and insist that each new piece of Republican legislation will kill thousands — perhaps millions — more. Over the summer, Kimmel will expand on the theme by narrating a revival of the cult film franchise, Faces of Death, in which simulated scenes of electric-chair executions and third-world assassinations will be replaced with clips of Paul Ryan signing papers. Lastly… In all seriousness, I wish you all a happy and healthy new year. Whatever disagreements we may have in 2018 (and I predict there will be many), I’m hoping we can approach them with civility and — at times — a good laugh. Fox News Was Right to Drop Dick Morris
I used to appreciate the Fox News appearances of former Bill Clinton adviser, Dick Morris. I thought he brought a unique and informed perspective to his political analysis. His observations were insightful, his take on events made sense, and his bold predictions were thought- provoking. Many others clearly felt the same way. In addition to pulling in a lot of domestic and international consulting work during his time with Fox, he also wrote a barrage of books that did quite well thanks to heavy (and routinely over-the-top) self- promotion on the news network. Morris has an undeniable gift for successfully laying out his unconventional observations with logical arguments that strike a chord with people. That gift has made him an intriguing public figure and a regular fixture on Fox News’ prime-time lineup over the years. With that being said, Fox absolutely did the right thing by choosing not to renew Morris’ contract this year. In the end, the decision came down to, as Morris inferred on Piers Morgan’s CNN show this week, simple credibility. Morris was being paid by Fox not just for his gift for gab, but also for his expertise. And when you’re being paid for your expertise, you have to demonstrate that the claims you make – especially when you make them with absolute certainty – are ‘right’ more often than not. Sure, you can get away with sometimes being wrong, but Morris’ big problem is that he was almost always wrong. The final straw was his most recent and now most famous flub: His unabashed insistence that Mitt Romney would not only win the 2012 presidential election, but win it in a “landslide”.
His long history of botching forecasts, however, certainly predates last year’s election. Here are just a few of the more notable examples: Morris told us that the Republicans would take the U.S. Senate in 2010. Two years later, he told us the same thing, declaring a pick-up of 10 seats including easy victories for candidates that in some cases ended up losing by wide margins. He told us in 2011 that it was “very possible” that President Obama wouldn’t even run for re-election due to poor poll numbers. He told us that Donald Trump was going to run for the presidency, had a “good shot” at winning the Republican nomination, and could likely beat Obama in the general election. He told us that the 2008 presidential race would be between Hillary Clinton and Condoleezza Rice. His rationale was that Obama couldn’t beat Clinton, and the Republicans would “never” elect John McCain as their general election candidate. I could list several more, but you probably get my point. Sure, lots of reputable people get predictions wrong, but Morris has built his reputation largely on his proclaimed ability to read the electorate, interpret the political tides, and fearlessly predict outcomes – outcomes that he portrays as inevitable. It’s what got him a position in the Clinton White House and it’s what got him a position on Fox News. Morris has marketed himself on that expertise, distinguished himself with it, and has earned quite a living off of it. Such a person should be held to the level of competence that they’ve set for them self. When that person can’t even come close to performing at that level, what exactly is their value as an expert?
I think that’s the question the higher-ups at Fox News finally asked themselves after the presidential election. As the saying goes, “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me consistently, why are we still paying this guy?” I figured out a while back that Morris’ predictions should be taken with a grain of salt, and I think many others reached the same conclusion even before the 2012 election. You just can’t be routinely wrong and expect people to keep putting stock in what you have to say. While some have suggested that Morris knowingly misleads viewers and readers in order to help the candidates and organizations he supports, I’m not all that convinced. He may very well believe in his own prophecies and his own hype. If that’s the case, I wish him luck in his future endeavors. I just won’t be missing him on Fox. The irony is that if Dick Morris had been right about the Romney “landslide”, his past goofs would have been largely forgotten, and his winning gamble would have certainly propelled him onto the A-list of this country’s great political minds. But as any good capitalist knows, risk doesn’t always lead to reward. When someone puts themselves as far out on the edge of a diving board as Morris did, they have to understand that the big splash they’re about to make might just come in the form of a belly-flop.
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