NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
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KM3NeT/ORCA: Neutrino oscillation studies in the deep sea S. Hallmann ECAP, Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg on behalf of the KM3NeT Collaboration 30th Rencontres de Blois, 05/06/2018
KM3NeT Collaboration Research infrastructure in the Mediterranean Sea with 2 main physics objectives: ARCA: High energy v astronomy ORCA: Measurement of neutrino properties >40 Institutes + Deep Sea Observatory >220 Scientists (Oceanography, bioacoustics, bioluminescence, seismology) Collaboration → single Technology Low energy Management ORCA High energy ARCA + Western Sydney University, Australia ARCA: “Astroparticle Research with Cosmics in the Abyss” ORCA: “Oscillation Research with Cosmics in the Abyss” Updated results w.r.t. LoI: KM3NeT LoI , arXiv:1601.07459 shown today Journal of Physics G: Nuclear and Particle Physics, 43 (8), 084001, 2016 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 2
KM3NeT Technology 18 Digital Optical Modules per detection line 9m ORCA (36m ARCA) Launcher vehicle: 43 cm rapid deployment autonomous unfurling recoverable Digital Optical Modules: 31 3” PMTs LED beacon & piezo PMT HV FPGA readout → Photon counting → Direction information 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 3
K3NeT/ORCA Detector ORCA ARCA ORCA will consist of one dense String spacing 23 m 90 m KM3NeT Building Block: Vertical spacing 9m 36 m 115 detection lines Depth 2470 m 3500 m Total: 64k * 3” PMTs Instrumented 1x 8 Mton 2x 0.6 Gton mass Height: ~160m ORCA (600m ARCA) Radius: ~120m ORCA (500m ARCA) 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 4
Effective mass Effective mass of after atmospheric muon rejection and containment cuts: Events/yr (atm): νeCC: 20 k νμCC: 30 k ντCC: 4k ν NC 7k - Effective volume reaches instrumented volume at ~ 10 GeV - 50% effective at 5 GeV 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 5
Event type identification: Track↔Shower Random Decision Forest technique: - Allows to suppress atmospheric muon + pure noise contamination to 3%-level while preserving 95% of neutrino signal @10 GeV: - Discriminates track-like and shower-like events - 90% correct identification of νe CC - 70% correct identification of νμ CC - Slightly better performance with new deep-learning-based classifier; further th 30 improvements Rencontres under de Blois – 05/06/2018 way – S. Hallmann 6
Energy / zenith angle resolution here: shower reconstruction 15 100 Reconstructed Energy [GeV] Median zenith resolution [deg] KM3NeT Preliminary KM3NeT Preliminary LoI-9m 90 e & e CC 80 10-1 new 10 70 60 50 10-2 40 5 30 20 10-3 10 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Neutrino energy [GeV] 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 True Energy [GeV] - Median shower zenith angle - Energy resolution close to Gaussian resolution ~5° @ 10 GeV - better than 30% in relevant range - Resolution dominated by intrinsic ν-e scattering angle* *) “Intrinsic limits on resolutions in muon- and electron-neutrino charged-current events in the KM3NeT/ORCA detector” / JHEP 2017 (2017), 8, arXiv:1612.05621 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 7
Known/Unknown neutrino parameters Standard Model + 3ν framework reasonably well Currently not beyond... determined established Δm²12, |Δm²23|, absolute mass scale?, Dirac/Majorana? θ12 θ23 θ13 sign(Δm²23)?, octant of θ23?, CP-Phase? ORCA physics programme 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 8
Known/Unknown neutrino parameters Standard Model + 3ν framework reasonably well Currently not beyond... determined established not accessible Δm²12, |Δm²23|, absolute mass scale?, Dirac/Majorana? θ12 θ23 θ13 sign(Δm²23)?, octant of θ23?, CP-Phase? = Neutrino Mass Hierarchy Possible Main ORCA physics goal measurement with future extensions? High sensitivity to further Sensitivity to 3x3 ORCA physics unitarity through tau- constrain current bounds programme on atmospheric neutrino appearance oscillation parameters Sensitivity to - non-standard interactions Other topics: - sterile neutrinos - Sensitive to 80% of Galactic supernovae Competitive bounds on dark - Earth tomography? matter for spin dependent 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 9 cross section
Measurement of oscillation parameters - 90% CL measurement contours Δχ²-fit using Asimov dataset approach for Δm²23 and sin²θ23 - Precision: Fitted systematics: → 2% in Δm²23 θ13, δCP, flux spectral tilt, ν / ν skew, → 5% in θ23 track-norm, shower-norm, NC-norm combined track+shower energy-scale Oscillation parameters: PDG2016 Truth assumption: NH (fixed), δCP = 0 (fitted) ORCA 3y sensitivity SuperK (2015) T2K (2015) NOVA (2018) IceCube (2017) MINOS (2014) 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 10
ντ appearance - >3000 detected ντ events/year oscillation - ντ events predominantly shower-like probability νμ →ντ - Asimov dataset approach with Δχ²-fit including systematics on non-solar oscillation parameters, flux spectral tilt, ν / ν skew flavour normalisation terms → Rate constrained to within 10% after 1 year → Weak constraints from other experiments non- th 30 Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann appearance unitarity 11
ντ appearance - ντ appearance tests unitarity of the PMNS matrix and BSM theories → 20% deviation from unitarity can be detected with 5σ in 3 years → Confirm exclusion of non-appearance already with 2 months of data → Interesting to measure tau appearance + oscillation parameters (Δm²23 , sin²θ23) already during construction phase of ORCA 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 12
Neutrino Mass Hierarchy (NMH) - Measure event distributions in energy-zenith plane - Oscillation patterns affected by matter effects - FLUX + X-SECTION differences between ν and ν lead to NMH sensitivity → Need large statistics good energy + direction resolution e + e (NH - IH) / NH + (NH - IH) / NH 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann Eresol = 25% resol = (mp/E)1/2 13
Neutrino Mass Hierarchy (NMH) Sensitivity to exclude wrong hierarchy Fitted systematics: based on LLH-ratio test statistic using non-solar oscillation parameters, toy experiments: flux spectral tilt, ν / ν skew, track-norm, shower-norm, NC-norm Oscillation parameters: PDG2016 true “normal” hierarchy true “inverted” hierarchy 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 14
Sterile neutrinos 3+1 Atmospheric oscillation experiments have good sensitivity in Uτ4 mixing ORCA: Factor of two better sensitivity wrt. current limits from SK and IC after only 1 year of data taking (analysis based on LoI detector configuration) 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 15
Sterile neutrinos: New ANTARES result - ANTARES oscillation analysis presented at Neutrino2018 - 9 years of data (2007-2016) - 7710 events selected in 2830 days livetime - track channel only, Ereco from muon range Included systematics: 3+1 model, Δm²41 > 0.5 eV² • Unconstrained normalization for neutrinos • Normalization for atmospheric muons • Prior from data • exponential extrapolation into signal region • Unconstrained spectral index • Flux shape systematics from Barr et al. • Implementation from IceCube • Kindly provided by Th. Stuttard • Cross section from Genie • Leading effect MA • Test MC with detector response variation: • 15% absorption length variations • 10% PMT efficiencies variations -> both effects well described by 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann normalization+spectral index 16
Interesting possible extension: „P2O“ Protvino2Orca Beam Protvino U70 proton accelerator (Ep = 70 GeV, 8-15kW) With possible upgrade to 450 kW: → 2-7 GeV neutrino beam (to be constructed) → P2O high statistics LBL experiment Baseline 2590 km optimal Baseline: → First oscillation minimum νμ→νμ @ 5.1 GeV 2590 km → Matter resonance maximum νμ→νe @ 3.8 GeV Sensitivity to mass hierarchy at least 5σ after 1 year of beam for all combinations of oscillation parameters σ contours of 4 test points non-degenerate KM3NeT/P2O preliminary Sensitivity to measure CP-phase → Exclusion of non CP violation (0°/180°) possible for 35% of true CP values at ~3σ CL after 6 years 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 17
Construction status Main Cable, 2015 First ORCA string: 22/09/2017, Video: tiny.cc/OrcaDeployment Junction Box, Sept 2016 - Construction started, first data arrived in 2017 - Data-taking currently interrupted (replacement of deep sea part of main cable) - Production of detection lines continues - Deployment of 4 lines planned after summer 2018 in single sea operation 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 18
Events observed with single line - a muon bundle (observed shortly - a typical event selected as neutrino after deployment) candidate 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 19
First neutrino analysis Uses 82 days of data taken with first ORCA line Events in cos(θ)
Conclusion - KM3NeT/ORCA construction has started - First atmospheric neutrino signal seen with one detection string - End 2018: several detection strings operational → completion envisaged in 2021 - Main purpose: Determination of neutrino mass hierarchy - Precise measurement atmospheric oscillation parameters & tau appearance normalisation + rich physics programme beyond 3x3 neutrino oscillation studies (dark matter, supernovae, sterile neutrinos, NSI) - Interesting options for future extensions are investigated: - Neutrino Beam from Protvino (“P2O”) → Fast determination of neutrino mass hierarchy → Sensitivity to CP violation - Feasibility study of ~10x denser detector: “SuperORCA” → Measure CP violation? (Not covered in this talk) 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 21
Backup
New developments with deep learning OrcaNet [ http://github.com/ViaFerrata/OrcaNet ]: - Event-type classifier based on deep Convolutional Neural Networks - Given raw hit-information instead of high level variables from reconstruction algorithms - Work in progress, but already comparable performance to Random Decision Forest KM3NeT Preliminary 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 23
NMH Fit – LLH Ratio test statistic 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 24
Data/MC agreement first line 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 25
Interesting possible extension: P2O Protvino2Orca Beam Accelerator complex at Protvino currently operates at 8-15 kW 60d/year → Upgrade to 450 kW → 4x1020 p.o.t/year would be feasible (Fermilab→Nova: 700 kW, 6x1020 p.o.t/year) Baseline: 2590 km, cos(θ)=-0.2 → First oscillation minimum νμ→νμ @ 5.1 GeV ORCA is sensitive to → Matter resonance maximum νμ→νe @ 3.8 GeV this energy range → Gives non-degenerate sensitivity to neutrino mass hierarchy and CP-phase Oscillation probabilities νμ→νe 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 26
Interesting possible extension: P2O Protvino2Orca Beam ORCA detector, 1year beam → Sensitivity to determine neutrino mass hierarchy at least 5σ for all combinations of oscillation parameters σ contours of 4 test points KM3NeT/P2O preliminary → Sensitivity to measure CP-phase → Exclusion of non CP violation (0°/180°) possible for 35% of true CP values at ~3σ CL after 6 years 30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann 27
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