NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO

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NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
KM3NeT/ORCA:
Neutrino oscillation studies in the
deep sea

S. Hallmann
ECAP, Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg
on behalf of the KM3NeT Collaboration
30th Rencontres de Blois, 05/06/2018
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
KM3NeT Collaboration

    Research infrastructure in the
    Mediterranean Sea with
    2 main physics objectives:
    ARCA:
       High energy v astronomy
    ORCA:
       Measurement of
       neutrino properties                   >40 Institutes
    + Deep Sea Observatory                   >220 Scientists
       (Oceanography, bioacoustics,
        bioluminescence, seismology)

                   Collaboration
    → single       Technology                              Low energy
                   Management                                ORCA
                                                                                              High energy
                                                                                                 ARCA
                                                               + Western Sydney University, Australia

   ARCA: “Astroparticle Research with Cosmics in the Abyss”
   ORCA: “Oscillation Research with Cosmics in the Abyss”

Updated results w.r.t. LoI: KM3NeT LoI , arXiv:1601.07459
shown today                 Journal of Physics G: Nuclear and Particle Physics, 43 (8), 084001, 2016
     30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                                    2
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
KM3NeT Technology
                                                      18 Digital Optical Modules
                                                      per detection line

                                                        9m ORCA
                                                      (36m ARCA)       Launcher vehicle:
           43 cm
                                                                       rapid deployment
                                                                       autonomous unfurling
                                                                       recoverable

Digital Optical Modules:
31 3” PMTs
LED beacon & piezo
PMT HV
FPGA readout
→ Photon counting
→ Direction information
30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                     3
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
K3NeT/ORCA Detector
                                                                                 ORCA        ARCA
     ORCA will consist of one dense                           String spacing     23 m        90 m
     KM3NeT Building Block:                                   Vertical spacing   9m          36 m
     115 detection lines                                      Depth              2470 m      3500 m
     Total: 64k * 3” PMTs                                     Instrumented       1x 8 Mton   2x 0.6 Gton
                                                              mass

                             Height:
                             ~160m ORCA
                             (600m ARCA)
                                                      Radius:
                                                      ~120m ORCA
                                                      (500m ARCA)

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                                   4
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
Effective mass

 Effective mass of after atmospheric muon rejection and containment cuts:

                                                      Events/yr (atm):

                                                      νeCC:      20 k

                                                      νμCC:      30 k

                                                      ντCC:       4k

                                                      ν NC        7k

  - Effective volume reaches instrumented volume at ~ 10 GeV
  - 50% effective at 5 GeV

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                         5
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
Event type identification: Track↔Shower
 Random Decision Forest technique:
 - Allows to suppress atmospheric muon + pure noise contamination
    to 3%-level while preserving 95% of neutrino signal @10 GeV:
 - Discriminates track-like and shower-like events
                                                           - 90% correct
                                                             identification of νe CC

                                                           - 70% correct
                                                             identification of νμ CC

- Slightly better performance with new deep-learning-based classifier;
  further
  th
 30        improvements
    Rencontres                    under
               de Blois – 05/06/2018         way
                                     – S. Hallmann                               6
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
Energy / zenith angle resolution
                                 here: shower reconstruction

                                  15                                                                                        100

                                                                                               Reconstructed Energy [GeV]
Median zenith resolution [deg]

                                                                                                                                  KM3NeT Preliminary
                                       KM3NeT Preliminary                   LoI-9m                                          90
                                       e & e CC
                                                                                                                            80                                                               10-1
                                                                            new

                                  10                                                                                        70

                                                                                                                            60

                                                                                                                            50
                                                                                                                                                                                             10-2
                                                                                                                            40
                                  5
                                                                                                                            30

                                                                                                                            20
                                                                                                                                                                                             10-3
                                                                                                                            10
                                  0
                                         5          10      15    20          25         30
                                                                       Neutrino energy [GeV]                                 0
                                                                                                                              0     10    20    30     40   50   60   70    80    90   100
                                                                                                                                                                        True Energy [GeV]

                                   - Median shower zenith angle                                - Energy resolution close to Gaussian
                                     resolution ~5° @ 10 GeV                                   - better than 30% in relevant range
                                   - Resolution dominated by
                                     intrinsic ν-e scattering angle*

                                 *) “Intrinsic limits on resolutions in muon- and electron-neutrino charged-current events in the
                                 KM3NeT/ORCA detector” / JHEP 2017 (2017), 8, arXiv:1612.05621
                                  30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                                                                                        7
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
Known/Unknown neutrino parameters

                                         Standard Model + 3ν framework
reasonably
well                            Currently not                            beyond...
determined                      established
Δm²12, |Δm²23|, absolute mass scale?, Dirac/Majorana?
θ12 θ23 θ13     sign(Δm²23)?, octant of θ23?, CP-Phase?

                                                         ORCA physics
                                                           programme

   30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                               8
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
Known/Unknown neutrino parameters

                                         Standard Model + 3ν framework
reasonably
well                            Currently not                                       beyond...
determined                      established
                                             not accessible
Δm²12, |Δm²23|, absolute mass scale?, Dirac/Majorana?
θ12 θ23 θ13     sign(Δm²23)?, octant of θ23?, CP-Phase?

                            = Neutrino Mass Hierarchy          Possible
                            Main ORCA physics goal             measurement with
                                                               future extensions?

High sensitivity to further                                              Sensitivity to 3x3
                                                         ORCA physics    unitarity through tau-
constrain current bounds                                   programme
on atmospheric                                                           neutrino appearance
oscillation parameters                                            Sensitivity to
                                                                  - non-standard interactions
 Other topics:                                                    - sterile neutrinos
 - Sensitive to 80% of Galactic supernovae                        Competitive bounds on dark
 - Earth tomography?                                              matter for spin dependent
   30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                            9
                                                                  cross section
NEUTRINO OSCILLATION STUDIES IN THE DEEP SEA - KM3NET/ORCA: S. HALLMANN - CERN INDICO
Measurement of oscillation parameters
 - 90% CL measurement contours                        Δχ²-fit using Asimov dataset approach
   for Δm²23 and sin²θ23
 - Precision:                                         Fitted systematics:
     → 2% in Δm²23                                      θ13, δCP, flux spectral tilt, ν / ν skew,
     → 5% in θ23                                       track-norm, shower-norm, NC-norm
                                                       combined track+shower energy-scale
                                                      Oscillation parameters: PDG2016

                                                            Truth assumption:
                                                             NH (fixed), δCP = 0 (fitted)

                                                            ORCA 3y sensitivity
                                                            SuperK (2015)
                                                            T2K (2015)
                                                            NOVA (2018)
                                                            IceCube (2017)
                                                            MINOS (2014)

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                                 10
ντ appearance
                                                      - >3000 detected ντ events/year
                             oscillation              - ντ events predominantly shower-like
                             probability
                              νμ →ντ

- Asimov dataset approach with Δχ²-fit
  including systematics on
 non-solar oscillation parameters,
 flux spectral tilt, ν / ν skew
 flavour normalisation terms

→ Rate constrained to within 10%
  after 1 year
→ Weak constraints from other
  experiments
                                                               non-
    th
  30 Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann         appearance       unitarity        11
ντ appearance

- ντ appearance tests unitarity of the PMNS matrix and BSM theories
→ 20% deviation from unitarity can be detected with 5σ in 3 years

→ Confirm exclusion of non-appearance already with 2 months of data
→ Interesting to measure tau appearance + oscillation parameters
  (Δm²23 , sin²θ23) already during construction phase of ORCA

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                   12
Neutrino Mass Hierarchy (NMH)

- Measure event distributions in energy-zenith plane
- Oscillation patterns affected by matter effects
- FLUX + X-SECTION differences between ν and ν lead to NMH sensitivity

→ Need
   large statistics
   good energy + direction resolution

                        e + e (NH - IH) / NH                          +  (NH - IH) / NH

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann   Eresol = 25% resol = (mp/E)1/2           13
Neutrino Mass Hierarchy (NMH)
 Sensitivity to exclude wrong hierarchy               Fitted systematics:
 based on LLH-ratio test statistic using               non-solar oscillation parameters,
 toy experiments:                                      flux spectral tilt, ν / ν skew,
                                                       track-norm, shower-norm, NC-norm
                                                      Oscillation parameters: PDG2016

     true “normal” hierarchy                            true “inverted” hierarchy

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                        14
Sterile neutrinos 3+1

 Atmospheric oscillation experiments have
 good sensitivity in Uτ4 mixing

 ORCA: Factor of two better sensitivity wrt.
 current limits from SK and IC after only
 1 year of data taking
 (analysis based on LoI detector
 configuration)
30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann   15
Sterile neutrinos: New ANTARES result
- ANTARES oscillation analysis presented at Neutrino2018
- 9 years of data (2007-2016)
- 7710 events selected in 2830 days livetime
- track channel only, Ereco from muon range
                                                        Included systematics:
3+1 model, Δm²41 > 0.5 eV²
                                                      • Unconstrained normalization for
                                                        neutrinos
                                                      • Normalization for atmospheric muons
                                                         • Prior from data
                                                         • exponential extrapolation into signal region
                                                      • Unconstrained spectral index
                                                      • Flux shape systematics from Barr et al.
                                                         • Implementation from IceCube
                                                         • Kindly provided by Th. Stuttard
                                                      • Cross section from Genie
                                                         • Leading effect MA
                                                      • Test MC with detector response
                                                        variation:
                                                         • 15% absorption length variations
                                                         • 10% PMT efficiencies variations
                                                           -> both effects well described by
30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann         normalization+spectral index         16
Interesting possible extension:
  „P2O“ Protvino2Orca Beam
   Protvino U70 proton accelerator (Ep = 70 GeV, 8-15kW)
   With possible upgrade to 450 kW:
   → 2-7 GeV neutrino beam (to be constructed)
   → P2O high statistics LBL experiment

  Baseline 2590 km optimal                                                     Baseline:
  → First oscillation minimum νμ→νμ @ 5.1 GeV                                  2590 km
  → Matter resonance maximum νμ→νe @ 3.8 GeV

                Sensitivity to mass hierarchy at least 5σ after 1 year of beam
                for all combinations of oscillation parameters
                                                          σ contours of 4 test points
non-degenerate
                                                                               KM3NeT/P2O
                                                                               preliminary
                Sensitivity to measure CP-phase

            → Exclusion of non CP violation
             (0°/180°) possible for 35% of true CP
             values at ~3σ CL after 6 years

   30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                   17
Construction status
Main Cable, 2015                            First ORCA string: 22/09/2017, Video: tiny.cc/OrcaDeployment

Junction Box, Sept 2016

 - Construction started, first data arrived in 2017
 - Data-taking currently interrupted (replacement of deep sea part of main cable)

 - Production of detection lines continues
 - Deployment of 4 lines planned after summer 2018 in single sea operation
   30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                            18
Events observed with single line

 - a muon bundle (observed shortly                    - a typical event selected as neutrino
 after deployment)                                    candidate

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                     19
First neutrino analysis

    Uses 82 days of data taken with first ORCA line

                                                      Events in cos(θ)
Conclusion
          - KM3NeT/ORCA construction has started
          - First atmospheric neutrino signal seen with one detection string

          - End 2018: several detection strings operational
            → completion envisaged in 2021

          - Main purpose: Determination of neutrino mass hierarchy
          - Precise measurement atmospheric oscillation parameters
            & tau appearance normalisation

          + rich physics programme beyond 3x3 neutrino oscillation studies
            (dark matter, supernovae, sterile neutrinos, NSI)

          - Interesting options for future extensions are investigated:
                - Neutrino Beam from Protvino (“P2O”)
                     → Fast determination of neutrino mass hierarchy
                     → Sensitivity to CP violation
                 - Feasibility study of ~10x denser detector: “SuperORCA”
                     → Measure CP violation? (Not covered in this talk)

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                            21
Backup
New developments with deep learning

    OrcaNet [ http://github.com/ViaFerrata/OrcaNet ]:
    - Event-type classifier based on deep Convolutional Neural Networks
    - Given raw hit-information
      instead of high level variables from reconstruction algorithms
    - Work in progress, but already comparable performance to
      Random Decision Forest

                                                         KM3NeT Preliminary

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                           23
NMH Fit – LLH Ratio test statistic

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann   24
Data/MC agreement first line

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann   25
Interesting possible extension:
P2O Protvino2Orca Beam
Accelerator complex at Protvino
currently operates at 8-15 kW 60d/year
→ Upgrade to 450 kW
   → 4x1020 p.o.t/year
  would be feasible
(Fermilab→Nova: 700 kW,
                  6x1020 p.o.t/year)

Baseline: 2590 km, cos(θ)=-0.2
→ First oscillation minimum νμ→νμ @ 5.1 GeV           ORCA is sensitive to
→ Matter resonance maximum νμ→νe @ 3.8 GeV            this energy range

→ Gives non-degenerate sensitivity to
  neutrino mass hierarchy and CP-phase

               Oscillation probabilities νμ→νe

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                          26
Interesting possible extension:
P2O Protvino2Orca Beam
                                                      ORCA detector, 1year beam

 → Sensitivity to determine neutrino mass
   hierarchy at least 5σ for all
   combinations of oscillation parameters

                                                           σ contours of 4 test points
                                                                                KM3NeT/P2O
                                                                                preliminary
 → Sensitivity to measure CP-phase

 → Exclusion of non CP violation
  (0°/180°) possible for 35% of true CP
  values at ~3σ CL after 6 years

30th Rencontres de Blois – 05/06/2018 – S. Hallmann                                       27
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