IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC

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IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
Impact of EO on Innovation and Entrepeneurship @ESA

                                            Amanda Regan
                                      Head of Invest Office – Φ-Lab
                                      InCubed Programme Manager

                                             ESRIN, 1-3 July 2019
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
The evolution of ‘Space’

    Space 1.0                           Space 2.0       Space 3.0               Space 4.0
                                                                                 Space for
       Astronomy                        Space Race     Int. Cooperation           Society
       Since millennia                    Since 1958   Since Fall of the Wall       Now
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                          | Slide 2
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
A Perfect Storm in EO
 COPERNICUS                                    TECHNOLOGY IMPROVEMENT                              ICT DEVELOPMENTS
 •   Long term systematic data                 •   Improved performance /m3                        •   Internet & IT centric value chains
 •   Free and open data access                 •   Computing performance                           •   Big data management
 •   Core services                             •   Improved & alternative downlink                 •   Cloud computing
 •   Ecosystem model                           •   Integration / Miniaturization                   •   Internet of Things (IoT)
                                                                                                   •   5G

                                          New
                                      Commercial                                  Investment e.g.
                                        Players                                   Venture capital
PSYCHOLOGY                            Driving new                                 Crowd sourcing
                                       landscape
                                                            EXAMPLES              Lottery funding
•    Internet                                                  OF                                                  DATA ACCESS
•    Connected thinking
•    Distributed vs centralised
                                                            ENABLING                                               • Open and free
•    Trust in crowds                                         TRENDS                                                • Open science
                                         Spin in
                                                                                  Constellations
                                       approaches            FOR EO                 multipoint
                                        Minimum
                                                                                   measurement
                                      Viable Product

ECOSYSTEM
APPROACH                                                                                                        DATA ANALYTICS
• Data integration
                                                        ACCESS TO SPACE
                                                                                                             • Deep learning / AI
• ESA
  Data  synergies- For Official Use
      UNCLASSIFIED                                  • Reduced barriers to entry                              • Capture dynamic changes| Slide 3
• Interoperability                                  • More commercial players                                • Dynamic Earth system
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
A Perfect Storm in EO
 COPERNICUS                                       TECHNOLOGY IMPROVEMENT                           ICT DEVELOPMENTS
 •   Long term systematic data                    •   Improved performance /m3                     •   Internet & IT centric value chains
 •   Free and open data access                    •   Computing performance                        •   Big data management
 •   Core services                                •   Improved & alternative downlink              •   Cloud computing
 •   Ecosystem model                              •   Integration / Miniaturization                •   Internet of Things (IoT)
                                                                                                   •   5G
EIB Report: The future of the European space sector:
How to leverage Europe’s technological leadership and boost investments for space ventures
https://www.eib.org/attachments/thematic/future_of_european_space_sector_en.pdf

                                                New              Investment    e.g. navigation & Earth observation), Earth
“… Out of the three key market Commercial
                                 domains (satellite communications,      satellite
                                                                 Venture capital
observation is currently experiencing
                                    Players the biggest change      in its business models as the ever-improving
                                                                 Crowd sourcing
PSYCHOLOGY
capabilities and the miniaturisation
                                  Driving new   EXAMPLES
                                      of sensors, satellites and computers    allow the convergence of the commercial
                                                                 Lottery funding
• Internet                         landscape
with the civilian and military domains.               OF                                           DATA ACCESS
• Connected thinking
• Distributed vs centralised                 ENABLING                                • Open and free
…’Earth     observation (EO)wasSpin
                                  theinbiggest TRENDS                                • Open
                                               user of manufacturing and launch services in science
                                                                                            2017; EO
• Trust in crowds
missions = 49 % of all spacecraft launched…’               Constellations
                              approaches
                                Minimum
                                               FOR EO        multipoint
                                                                                     measurement
                                          Viable Product

ECOSYSTEM
 ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                                                                  | Slide 4
APPROACH                                                                                                        DATA ANALYTICS
• Data integration
                                                           ACCESS TO SPACE
                                                                                                             • Deep learning / AI
• Data synergies                                       • Reduced barriers to entry
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
A view from Euroconsult:
   - Satellite based EO: Market Prospects to 2027

The EO commercial EO) data market
-> $2.4 billion by 2027

The EO market value-added services (VAS)
-> $5.7 billion by 2027

New VAS service areas e.g. high-frequency
change detection -> constellations
-> $9 billion
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
Investing in Industrial Innovation
        AIM: To support Economic operators in Space 4.0
        Co-funded end to end approach (entire value chain - up and downstream)

       Improving competitiveness of                    Facilitating innovative & sustainable
                                                       technologies & service provision by
 1                                                2
       Economic Operators
       in participating member states:                 Economic Operators including non-space
       large enterprises, SMEs, start-ups, etc         entities with limited experience in the
                                                       space sector.

       Supporting economic operators in the                   Encouraging high-risk/high

 3     global market components, missions
       operation- building EO missions, s including
       ground segment technology and the EO
                                                        4     potential developments
                                                              and mitigating the technical and
                                                              financial risks.
       data access market.

Improving long term competitiveness of industry along with classic ESA user segment: EO science,
Copernicus,
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - Meteo.        with EUMETSAT and national programmes, etc
                   For Official Use                                                       | Slide 6
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
InCubed: Kicked off Activities (up & downstream)
                           •    Data hub for agrofood sector
                           •    Using AI and machine learning          •   Hyperscout-2
                           •    Prime: Geoville                        •   Hyperspectral imager
                           •    MS: Austria + Netherlands              •   VNIR + TIR
                           •    Created a company: GEO4A               •   AI chip on board
                           •    Customers in consortium                •   Flying on FSScat
                           •    Customers : Agrofood sector            •   Prime: Cosine
                                                                       •   MS: The Netherlands

                           •   MicroSAR integrated ground       •   Integrated Object-based Signal
                               segment for end-to- end              Generators for Change Detection
                               operations & handling of data        in EO-data’ (SiG4EO)
                               for the MicroSAR mission         •   Prime: NEO
                                                                •   Customers: geo-registration
                                                                    market: buildings, infrastructure,
         •    Prime: KSAT                                           asset monitoring, agriculture
         •    MS: Norway
         •    Customers: Vessel monitoring
              (institutional & commercial)
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                                      | Slide 7
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
InCubed: Contract Signed (up & downstream)
                     •     Qualification of nano and micro       • Cargo     monitoring     &    port
                           thrusters for small sats                analysis
                     •     ECSS verification & validation        • Potentially disruptive analytics &
                     •     Prime: Enpulsion                        real-time info -> portside vessel
                     •     Customers: small sat platforms          valuation & risk exposure using
                                                                   EO, GNSS, AI & big data.
                                                                 • Prime: Skytek
                                                                 • MS: IE
                                                                 • Customers: marine insurance /
                                                                                reinsurance, etc

                     •     Global levee monitoring service   •     Water availability monitor for crops
                     •     Insights & trends combining EO,   •     Information service for crop
                           in-situ and meteorological data         cultivation
                     •     Prime: Miramap                    •     Prime: Nelen & Schuurmans
                                                             •     Customers: agricultural market

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                                     | Slide 8
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
Investing in Industrial Innovation
Commercial space is:
•    Much faster e.g. smaller satellites, minimum viable product approach, fast iteration / evolution
•    Profit driven
•    Competitive

To support European commercial space InCubed must:
 • Support EO operators adapt to the new hyper-competitive landscape internationally
 • Access de-risking finance quickly (alternative to high-risk venture capital – often USA based)
 • Promote commercial practices within EO e.g. pitching a clear punchy business case

 Which means InCubed must:
 • Be much faster -> InCubed+ (time to contract ~8 weeks of ESA time)
 • Innovative and commercially focused -> value chain / identified potential customers +
 • Attract big, medium, small companies, credible start-ups and entrepreneurs
 ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                            | Slide 9
IMPACT OF EO ON INNOVATION AND ENTREPENEURSHIP @ESA - AMANDA REGAN HEAD OF INVEST OFFICE - Φ-LAB INCUBED PROGRAMME MANAGER - EARSC
Entrepreneurship
 Design, launch and run a business

                    Searching for improvement & change
      BY            Taking action and responding to it
                    Exploiting it as an opportunity

 “An entrepreneur is someone who jumps off a cliff
 and builds a plane on the way down.”
 Reid Hoffman – LinkedIn co-founder
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                      Photo credit Unsplash /| Lane
                                                                                  Slide Smith
                                                                                         10
Innovation
 Convert a new method, product, idea

                       INTO Searching
                              Wealth - for
                                       financial,
                                           changesocietal, etc
                     Responding to it
                     Exploit it as an opportunity
 The profitable implementation

                       OF             Ideas

                                         “Innovation is an elegant jump-shift, with a positive impact,
                                         that is obvious in retrospect, and has exponential adoption.”
                                                                                               MedStar Institute of Innovation

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                               Photo credit Unsplash / Sean Patrick Murph
                                                                                                                               | Slide 11
Innovative
                                Entrepreneurship
 Characterized

                                   Problem solving

                    B              Risk-taking
                                   Change making
                                   Purpose-following
                    Y              Innovative-thinking

“Entrepreneurs are the agents of innovation
and creative destruction.”
Joseph Schumpeter – Austrian Finance
 Minister,
ESA        Harvard
    UNCLASSIFIED   University
                 - For            Professor
                       Official Use                                                | Slide 12
                                                         Photo credit Unsplash / Kristopher Rolle
Innovative
                                  Entrepreneurship
      “When the winds of change blow,

      Some people build walls

      And others build wind mills”

      - Chinese Proverb

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                            | Slide 13
                                                     Photo credit Unsplash / Kristopher Rolle
Innovative Entrepreneurship in
                 EO
    Using EO data streams to

    Deliver the right thing

    At the right time

    In the right way

    To the right people

    -> Integrated value chains
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                         | Slide 14
                                                  Photo credit Unsplash / Kristopher Rolle
Innovative and Entrepreneurship

                  ΦLAB
 “Accelerate adoption of disruptive
 technologies to extend Europe’s
                                               Examples of what
 leadership in EO”
                                              ESA-EO is doing to           35 M€ co-funding programme for EO
    Inform             Interact
    Inspire    Φ       Innovate               help commercial EO           most innovative projects

AI, data analytics, ecosystems, etc
                                               foster innovation           More than 47 companies/universities
                                                                           involved

ANALYSE            the EO commercial market          Help companies by   CO-FUNDING  their innovative activities

   AWARENESS
  Raise
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
                                                                  AMBITIONS
                                      Capture & leverage industrial           and needs
                                                                                                          | Slide 15
Machine Learning in Space
Hyperspectral                    Hybrid                 Inference at                 Federated
   Sensor                      Computing                  the edge                    System

                                     GPU                                                 6U

                                                        pre-trained Machine
                                                              Learning
                                   Movidius                algorithms for     6U Tandem mission
                                Myriad-2 (1W)                Inference        GNSS Reflectometer
                         Visual Processing Unit (VPU)     Cloud Detection     L-band radiometer
                                                             + More …         Multi-spectral
re-configurable
                                                                              (Optical,IR)
VNIR, TIR
                                                                              Radio/Optical link
Swath 300km
                                                                              —> Soil Moisture
GSD 75m/240m
                                                                              —> Ice extent/thickness
                  FSSCat / Phi-Sat-1 - First of a possible series
Raising Awareness
                                        Study: European Space Policy Institute
         A survey was distributed to >            5
                                         00organisations across Europe with the aim
                           to get more info & feedback for InCubed

Key drivers of interest for a co-funding programme
High proportion of co-funding available
                                  65%

Rapid response and time-to-contract
                                                                                  INTEREST
                               61%                                                            Average score: 4.5

Limited administrative burden
              30%                                               0 – Not interested at all   Very interested - 5

Networking support for customer acquisition
           25%
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                                         | Slide 17
Industrial Ambitions & Needs
                                            Study: European Space Policy Institute
Received
               92European innovative activity ideas from
industry                                                                                 Total activity value
                                                                                                              135 M€
                to better SHAPE
                             future InCubed                                                 More than 10 M€

                                                                                            Between 5-10 M€
                       Talking with national delegations
                                                                                            Between 1-5 M€
          Project duration                            Project innovation
                                                                                            Less than 1 M€

                             > 2 years
                                                                     Global innovation
                             1 to 2 years
                                                                     European innovation
                             6 months to 1 year
                                                                     National innovation
                             > 6 months
                                                                     No innovation
                             Unavailable

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                                                | Slide 18
Track & analyse the EO Commercial Market
                                              w/ London Economics

TRAC               growth of the NewSpace EO industry
                   and the emergence of new entrants across              Individual business
K                  the value chain at national level.                           cases

      INTERAC
                                                                         22 member states
                                      with member states to understand   Potential activities
                                      national commercial EO landscape    from companies
      T                                                                   Size & growth of

DEVELO
                                                                         national economies
                                 EO business cases on a national level

P
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                             | Slide 19
Innovative Entrepreneurship in Space
                                      NewSpace/Space 4.0 fundamentals

                   Since ~ 2012, we started to see a shift -> NewSpace/Space 4.0 era.

    Space is                                      More accessible
                                                  Cheaper
                  Becomin                         Smarter
                                                  Smaller

                  g
                                                  Faster
                                                  More connected
                                                  More integrated
                                                  More …
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                                     | Slide 20
More Satellites, More Data

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use            | Slide 21
More Eyes in the Sky
 100
            EO Satellite Launches Worldwide             Now
   90       > 50 kg, excl. meteo
   80

   70

   60

   50                                 Start                    Entrepreneurial
   40                                 Sentinel                 Space Age
   30                                 Era 2014
   20                                              220 562
   10                                               between    between
                                                 2007 - 2018   2018 - 2022
     0

   Source: Euroconsult Database, 2017
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                                              | Slide 22
What are we going to do with
                  all this data?

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use       | Slide 23
Knowledge which inspires action

                                               WISDOM

                                             KNOWLEDGE

                                            INFORMATION

                                                   DATA
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
WISDOM

                                      KNOWLEDGE

                                      INFORMATION

                                         DATA
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
DATA:                           A tomato is red WISDOM
                                                      and its round

      INFO:                           You know what a tomato is

      KNOWLEDGE:                                 KNOWLEDGE
                                      You know that a tomato is a fruit

      WISDOM:                         You should never put a tomato into a fruit salad
                                                INFORMATION
                                  This is knowledge you can actually use -> Take Action!

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
Do you get wisdom from EO satellites?

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
Do you get wisdom from EO satellites?

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
Copernicus Sentinel-2 (part of an ecosystem)

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use

Agricultural monitoring near Villafranca in northern Spain
Copernicus Sentinel-2 Example (Data-Info-Know-Wisdom)

                 DATA:                Image of the field.

                 INFO:                Knowing when the image was taken -> Growing cycle.

                 KNOWLEDGE:           Applying scientific algorithms to understand variables
                                      e.g. water stress, soil moisture or nutrient levels in the soil

                 WISDOM:              Knowing when and how much nutrient and fertilizers to
                                      maximize crop yields – this is knowledge you can use

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use

Agricultural monitoring near Villafranca in northern Spain
Build an EO Ecosystem to measure an ecosystem
•      Copernicus is an long term, systematic architecture
       -> Ecosystem to measure the Earth system
        e.g. Complement spectrally rich Sentinels with fast
             revisit constellations, higher spatial resolution,
             higher spectral resolution and additional capability

•      More capacity is useless if it is not delivered at the right
       time in the right way to the right people

•      Robust EO value chains -> last mile
        • Amateurisation of EO e.g.
             • EO awareness -> Knowledge -> Action
             • Solving problems with EO solutions
             • User friendly (formats/interfaces)
             • Citizen science observatories
             • Common language
•      New landscape enabling new paradigms

    ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                               | Slide 31
InCubed newsletter coming soon:
                                      To subscribe send an email to:

                                      incubed@esa.int

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use                            | Slide 32
Future EO/ Future entrepreneurship ?
 Or InCubed + Space19+ ?

              The best way to predict the future
 I thought about a “future slide” but what future do you want to talk about ?
              is to create it

        - Alan
 Future EO      Kay or future ESA/Incubed ?
           in general

 Do you want to merge it with the conclusion maybe ?

ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
                                                                 Photo credit Unsplash / Sean Patrick Murphy
                                                                                                | Slide 33
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