Hotel Quarterly Bulletin - Q3, 2017
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Hotel Quarterly Bulletin Q3, 2017 Optimism in the Residence Inn Kensington (Opening Q4 2017) UK Serviced Apartment Sector
New Supply by City 2013-2019 (Units) 100% 80% 60% 40% The UK Serviced 20% 0% Apartment Sector 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Due 2017 Due 2018 Due 2019 Speculative London Bristol Aberdeen London leads the way in the supply boom of the UK serviced Manchester Birmingham Liverpool apartment sector – evidence that the sector is fast becoming York Edinburgh Other UK City a mainstream competitor in the UK hotel market. Leading UK Serviced Apartments Brands (as at September 2017) In 2017, the supply of serviced apartments and regional cities, accounting for approximately 5,000 1,600 160 aparthotels will witness a year of phenomenal growth serviced apartment units, representing 24% of the 1,400 140 Number of units for both London and regional UK, with supply total supply. 1,300 120 Average size 1,000 100 forecast to grow by 10% and 10.4% respectively. 800 80 During the past few years the serviced apartment 600 60 The serviced apartment sector is one of the fastest sector has gained significant momentum in terms 400 40 growing sectors in the UK, with a compound annual of development and branding. Alongside a number 200 20 average growth rate of 6.8% per annum between of specialist extended stay operators, the rollout 0 0 2013 and forecast year end supply 2017, with the of the extended stay concept by a number of the Staycity Marlin Apartments SACO Staybridge Suites Citadines Living by Bridge Street Cheval Residences Roomzzz Premier Suites Adagio Locke by SACO Macdonald Hotels Go Native total units rising to over 21,500 units. global hotel operators, has reinforced the sector’s position as a mainstream asset class within the wider With supply in London set to increase by over hotel market. To date, international branded supply 1,000 units, London’s share of the market is set accounts for 40% of the serviced apartment stock in to rise closer to its five-year average of 53%, with London and 30% in regional UK. Significant scope supply growth in regional UK having outperformed for consolidation exists, with the market remaining the capital in 2016. Edinburgh, Manchester, highly fragmented, with a plethora of regional brands, Liverpool, Birmingham and Aberdeen are the top 5 representing 20% of the UK market. Number of Apartments Average Apartment Size
As the sector continues to grow, competing brands will contribute to the heightened blurring of a traditional serviced apartment and a select service product. Brands will increasingly seek to develop their distinctive style and personality, through the design and product offering. Whilst offering the comfort and space of a home-away-from-home product remains at the core, evidence exists of operators becoming more creative in terms of product offering with self-service communal dining Roomzzz Manchester City (individually designed aparthotel, 59 apartments) areas and enhanced in-room technology becoming increasingly the norm. The sector is set to expand by approximately 2,000 branded apartments scheduled European extended stay specialists in their bid to amongst international operators, such as Mapletree to open by the end of 2019 and a further 2,000 achieve ambitious development plans. The launch of Investments’ recent acquisition of Oakwood is 21% between 2017 and 2020, units in the pipeline. For example, luxury apart-hotel new innovative brands, are becoming an increasingly expected to further strengthen certain established equating to approximately operator Roomzzz have an extensive pipeline of common occurrence, meanwhile consolidation global brands in the UK and European market. seven UK developments, some 650 rooms in city- 23,500 apartment units. centre destinations nationwide. Meanwhile, Cycas 900 new apartments have Hospitality continue to foster partnerships by signing opened to September YTD their third deal with Marriott, continuing the trend to operate dual-branded hotel projects, with the signing 2017, with a further 1,000 of a 92-room Residence Inn and 144-room boutique apartments forecast to open Moxy hotel, to be operated under a single lease by the year end. agreement in the same building. Operators such as Staycity, Cycas Hospitality, Of particular prominence is the acceleration of Roomzzz and Go Native are some of the most active growth planned by the existing operators, with players in the market and will likely become pan-
RevPAR Performance London Top UK Serviced Apartment Operators Serviced Apartments v London Upscale & Upper Upscale Hotels Staycity 180 32% SACO 160 31% Cycas Hospitality 140 30% Marlin Apartments Serviced Apartment % RevPAR Uplift 120 Go Native 29% RevPAR £ 100 Roomzzz 28% BridgeStreet Global Hospitality 80 27% Ascott Group 60 Frasers Hospitality 40 26% Nadler Hotels 20 25% PREM Group 0 24% Accor HotelServices 2015 2016 July YTD 2016 July YTD 2017 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 London Upscale & Serviced Apartments Serviced Apartments % Source: STR Existing Stock 2017 Total Pipeline 2017-2020 Speculative Upper Upscale Hotels – London RevPAR uplift The basic premise of an apart-hotel product is With specialist operators’ willingness to offer transactions or commit to development opportunities significant and expected to further enhance the that with a longer average length of stay, the leases, combined with the perception of improved is expected to continue in order to benefit from a sector’s investment appeal. impact of room vacancies is reduced. Based covenant strength associated with increased brand high yielding return post development. upon data provided by STR, the RevPAR awareness, and the sector’s high margin / low cost performance for a sample of London serviced operating model having the potential to generate Nevertheless, the opportunity to build a scalable, apartments achieves a significant uplift in attractive income and capital returns, combined recognisable and established brand, with the performance compared to a sample set of London these factors serve to deliver increased investment forthcoming disposal of SACO, the UK’s second upscale and upper upscale hotels. This enhanced appetite from institutional and private equity largest extended stay operator, is expected to result performance is achieved through strong occupancy investors seeking to diversify their portfolios. in a new wave of investment activity and interest in and a significant premium in the average room rate. the sector. Furthermore, with specialist operators In particular, serviced apartments benefit from the To date one of the biggest barrier to institutional such as Go Native exploring a diversified operating high yielding corporate market and stability investment in the sector has been a lack of sizeable, model in order to underpin long-term value creation, throughout the entire week in the average daily purpose built stock. As such, the growing trend for the opportunities presented through the embryonic Staycity Aparthotels London Heathrow rate achieved. institutional investors to participate in forward funding Private Rental Sector and Build to Rent Sector are
Julian Evans, FRICS Head of Healthcare. Hotels & Leisure T: +44 207 861 1147 E: julian.evans@knightfrank.com Alex Sturgess, FRICS Partner T: +44 207 861 1164 E: alex.sturgess@knightfrank.com Ian Elliott, FRICS Partner T:+44 207 861 1082 E: ian.elliott@knightfrank.com Henry Jackson, FRICS Partner T: +44 207 861 1085 E: henry.jackson@knightfrank.com Philippa Goldstein Hotel Analyst T:+44 203 826 0600 E: philippa.goldstein@knightfrank.com Residence Inn London Bridge (Opened August 2017)
418 OFFICES 60 COUNTRIES United Kingdom Continental Europe 15,020 PEOPLE 16 Countries Austria / Belgium / Cyprus The Americas Czech Republic / France Germany / Ireland / Italy / Monaco 15 Countries The Netherlands / Poland / Portugal Argentina / Brazil Romania / Russia / Spain Canada / Chile / Colombia Switzerland Costa Rica / Dominican Republic Mexico / Peru Puerto Rico / The Caribbean (4) USA 85 OFFICES 2,145 80 PEOPLE OFFICES 1,035 P PEEO OPPLLE E 169 3 OFFICES 5,475 OFFICES PEOPLE 50 PEOPLE 23 OFFICES 58 OFFICES 700 5,615 PEOPLE PEOPLE Asia Pacific Africa 14 Countries Australia / Cambodia 10 Countries China / Hong Kong Botswana / Kenya / Malawi The Middle East India / Indonesia Nigeria / Rwanda / South Africa Japan / Malaysia Tanzania / Uganda / Zambia 2 Countries New Zealand / Philippines Zimbabwe The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Singapore / South Korea The United Arab Emirates Taiwan / Thailand
© Knight Frank LLP 2017 - Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.
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