H1 2020 results presentation - easyJet plc
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
easyJet - Positioned to win easyJet has been decisive in meeting the challenges of Coronavirus to ensure we can manage a prolonged grounding by: 1. Cutting costs 2. Delivering vastly reduced capex while retaining excellent fleet flexibility 3. Securing c.£2bn additional funding, in addition to the equity raise announced today Strong liquidity position, testimony to the strength of easyJet + its investment grade balance sheet easyJet will be leading the recovery: 1. Strong H1 performance prior to COVID impact 2. Trusted easyJet brand outperforms competitors in value for money and drives customer confidence 3. easyJet’s industry leading network of European primary airports 4. Cost-out programme to deliver sustainable cost savings Competitively positioned as a more efficient airline to take advantage of opportunities in the European short haul market 3 3
response to coronavirus Current cash position (as @ 22 June) Maximise liquidity £2.4bn Does not include funding from: • equity raise + £400m to £450m • SLB transactions still to complete + c.£300m Cost Reductions & Additional funding Payment Terms Fleet Deferrals • Delivered c.£300m from SLB • c. 70% decrease in operating cost • Deferred 24 aircraft deliveries to transactions so far, with final cash burn during grounding post 2025 transactions to leave us at the top • Payment term extensions • Increased short term flexibility end of the £500m-£650m range negotiated with many of our major • Drove re-timing of pre delivery • Accessed a further £1.4bn in funding suppliers payments through; CCFF, RCF & term loans 5
Scenario planning - Updated Total cash burn scenarios* 3 months 6 months Scenario assumptions: grounding grounding • Refunds vs voucher/rebook ratios continue at a similar rate as those seen £1.0bn £2.1bn to date • FX and fuel rates based on spot price as at 25th May ’20 • Assumes no material change to card acquirer arrangements Highlights: Revenue/refunds • Cash burn slightly better than April forecast: • 3mth by c.£0.2bn, 6mth by c.£0.1bn, 9mth unchanged AP/AR unwind • Cash contributing flying programme resumed after 11 weeks, ahead of our 3 month 9 months Total Capex Capital (Inc fleet, other , IFRS16 & grounding base case scenario grounding maintenance ) • Additional sources of funds continue to be explored to further boost liquidity £3.0bn Operating costs • Additional management actions being undertaken including business wide cost out programme to improve free cashflow generation * Starting point of 1st April 2020 6
proposed equity placing > Firm placing of up to 9.99% of issued share capital > Additional placing of up to 5% of issued share capital, conditional on shareholder approval EQUITY PLACING (ordinary resolution) > Allocations expected to be split proportionally between the two placings > Expected gross proceeds c.£400m - £450m > Transaction launched 24 June after market close, settlement of firm placing 29 June (T+2) TIMING > General meeting to be held 14 July, settlement of conditional placing 15 July (T+14) JOINT GLOBAL COORDINATORS & > BNP Paribas JOINT BOOKRUNNERS > Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Limited EASYJET PLC SHARE LOCK-UP > 180 day post-admission share lock-up for the Company, subject to customary exceptions • Proceeds will further enhance easyJet’s liquidity position and credit metrics, underpinning our balance sheet which is one of the strongest in the industry • Expected cash balance following the equity placing and final SLB proceeds to be in excess of c.£3bn, providing significant liquidity buffer to navigate further grounding or protracted recovery scenarios 7
Key performance indicators H1 2020 H1 2019 Change* Seats flown (m) 42.7 46.2 (7.6)% Passengers (m) 38.6 41.6 (7.4)% Load factor (%) 90.3% 90.1% +0.2ppt Average sector length (km) 1,095 1,068 2.5% Revenue per seat - reported currency (£) 55.60 50.71 9.6% Revenue per seat - constant currency (£) 55.87 50.71 10.2% Headline cost per seat incl fuel - reported currency (£) 59.75 56.66 (5.5)% Headline cost per seat incl fuel - constant currency (£) 60.75 56.66 (7.2)% Headline cost per seat excl fuel - reported currency (£) 47.24 43.64 (8.2)% Headline cost per seat excl fuel - constant currency (£) 47.80 43.64 (9.5)% *Favourable/(adverse) Per seat metrics exclude easyJet Holidays 8
Financial performance H1 2020 H1 2019 Change* £m £m £m Total revenue 2,382 2,343 39 Headline costs: Headline costs excluding fuel (2,041) (2,016) (25) Fuel (534) (602) 68 Headline loss before tax (193) (275) 82 Headline loss before tax at constant currency (224) (275) 51 Non-headline items: Sale and leaseback gain 1 2 (1) Brexit-related costs - (4) 4 Commercial IT platform - 2 (2) Balance sheet foreign exchange gain 3 3 - Fair value adjustment (164) - (164) Total loss before tax (353) (272) (81) *Favourable/(adverse) 9
Revenue performance Reported RPS +9.6% RPS @ CC +10.2% +8.3% -1.2% (£0.61) -0.6% £55.87 (£0.27) £55.60 c.18k Flights cancelled in March due to £4.20 Coronavirus c.£0.2bn +2.0% £1.01 Impact on total +1.1% revenue £0.56 £50.71 H1 2019 Reported Thomas Cook Ancillary Underlying Trading Coronavirus H1 2020 @ CC FX H1 2020 Reported Administration Excludes easyJet Holidays 10
HEADLINE cost PER SEAT Headline CPS ex fuel Headline CPS @ CC = 7.2% @ cc +9.5%, of which: Headline CPS ex fuel @ CC = 9.5% c.5.0% underlying £0.66 £0.11 £0.15 £60.81 £0.06 £60.75 £1.00 • In line with guidance £0.99 • Lower capacity growth £59.75 for the half £1.22 • Ongoing, regulatory and inflationary pressure £1.32 • Ownership costs • Crew pay higher £56.66 retention levels H1 2019 Overheads Maintenance Ownership headline and Other Crew Airports, Navigation H1 2020 ground headline Fuel H1 2020 headline P&L FX H1 2020 headline c.4.5% Coronavirus: cost per Income handling cost per cost per cost per • Cancellations seat and other operating seat @ CC before fuel seat @ CC seat • Full pilot & crew rosters costs variance through March * Operational price increases including unregulated airports, ground handling, navigation and crew costs Excludes easyJet Holidays 11
Impact of fuel & currency H1 2020 fuel impact H1 2020 H1 2019 Change* Fuel $ per metric tonne Market rate 563 650 87 Effective price 638 645 7 US dollar rate Market rate 1.28 1.29 1 cents Effective price 1.34 1.31 (3 cents) Difference between market rate and effective rate 0.06 0.02 Actual cost of fuel £ per metric tonne 476 493 17 H1 2020 currency impact on headline PBT* EUR CHF USD Other Total £m Revenue (2) (1) - (10) (13) Fuel 2 - 17 - 19 Headline costs excluding fuel 25 (3) 2 1 25 Total 25 (4) 19 (9) 31 *Favourable /(adverse) 12
Cash FLOW bridge Net debt: £467m 365 18 (H1 19: £201m) 20 114 1,854 174 262 1,576 452 2 1,388 173 111 19 Cash & MMC at Operating loss Depn & amort Net working Other operating Tax paid Ordinary Cash & MMDs Sale & leaseback Cash Capex Repayment of Restricted case, FX 30 September capital Dividend (FY19) post div & tax proceeds capital element own shares and Cash & MMD at 2019 paid of leases net interest 31 March 2020 Cash generated from operations Investing and financing (excl. dividends): £472m 13
balance sheet 31 March 31 March 30 September £m 2020 2019 2019 Goodwill and other intangible assets 613 551 561 Property, plant and equipment 4,823 4,286 4,661 Right of use assets 468 572 502 Derivative financial instruments (554) 48 63 Equity Investments 33 54 48 Other assets (excluding cash and money market deposits) 662 484 542 Unearned revenue** (974) (1,726) (1,069) Trade and other payables (1,660) (817) (1,050) Other liabilities (excluding debt) (852) (735) (947) Capital employed 2,559 2,717 3,311 Cash and money market deposits* 1,388 1,280 1,576 Debt (excluding lease liabilities) (1,319) (858) (1,324) Lease Liabilities (536) (623) (578) Net debt (467) (201) (326) Net assets 2,092 2,516 2,985 *Excludes restricted cash **Unearned revenue relating to departing flights in April and May has been reclassified as trade and other payables 14
Utilising flexibility in Fleet 360 • Deferred 24 aircraft deliveries Current contractual Max to beyond 2025 350 350 337 • Leads to re-timing of pre delivery 340 3351 New Plan Max2 payments 328 (excludes potential, 330 326 opportunistic fleet additions) 327 • Utilising flexibility of 24 320 operating leases due for 310 renewal over the coming 305 300 302 period 290 Current plan expects easyJet will be at 302 aircraft by Y/E 2021. • Post completing SLB 280 programme, around 50% of 281 272 fleet still unencumbered, 270 New Plan Min leaving further funding options 260 Current fleet 2020 2021 2022 2023 available As @ 16/4 1) 335 aircraft in 2020 new plan is subject to the sale/exit of 6 old aircraft 2) Chart shows contractual arrangements with Airbus and current lessors but excludes any future potential, opportunistic fleet additions 15
Gross capital expenditure £1,400m 1,400 New Aircraft Maintenance Guidance range 1,200 Lease payments Other 1,000 £900m 800 600 £600m £600m £600m £400m 400 200 0 HY'20 H2’20 FY'21 FY'22 FY'23 16
Fuel and foreign exchange hedging Fuel Hedging and Ineffectiveness • Pre Covid-19 fuel was 71% hedged @ $654/MT for FY20 and 51% hedged for FY21 @ $638/MT • At H1 FY20 a charge of £164m was recorded as hedge ineffectiveness largely driven by over hedged amounts on Jet Fuel and foreign exchange related to H2 FY20 period • This will have a further impact in H2 2020 • Over-hedged amounts likely to cause degree of volatility in income statement until maturity and were included as part of our scenario planning Current Hedge Position • Additional Jet hedging temporarily paused for time periods from April 2020 through to October 2021 • Jet Fuel hedging continues for later time periods, to take advantage of the low-price environment. • FY22 jet fuel requirement is currently 35% hedged @ $513/MT 17
ceo update Johan Lundgren – CEO
easyJet is back flying! Expected ramp up for Summer 2020 Europe with confidence Forecast Peak Operating Aircraft1 155 147 Early signatory to EASA’s Aviation Industry Charter for COVID-19: 85 • To ensure passengers are aware of measures taken 10 • To avoid people with June July August September symptoms arriving at airports • To reduce the risk of transmission: • Within airports • At point of boarding • Whilst on board 1) Equivalent aircraft operating based on average utilisation. Due to constraints in building the schedule, actual utilisation may be lower and require a higher number of aircraft to operate the equivalent schedule 19
easyJet’s first day back! 20
Safety is always our #1 priority Safety for our crew & customers Have implemented a number of Bio-security measures: • Daily disinfection process which provides surface protection from viruses that lasts for at least 24 hours • All passengers and crew required to wear masks onboard at all times • Bistro and Boutique service will not be available on initial flights easyJet aircraft are already fitted with state of art filtration technology, filters 99.97% of airborne contaminants in the cabin including viruses & bacteria 21
easyJet - leading the recovery 1. Short-haul recovery ahead of long-haul Worth– UK1 79 78 • Lower government restrictions impact 76 74 • Greater consumer confidence to travel 73 72 69 • Leading network offer 66 2. Consumers will seek value in response to weaker 60 economic conditions • 2008/9 downturn showed a 9% shift in customers easyJet Jet2 Norweigan Flybe Vueling Lufthansa Wizz Air British Ryanair Airways trading down to better value Price– UK1 • easyJet provides customers with the leading value 84 versus the competition 73 3. Leisure travel to return before business 65 63 • 89% of consumers first trip will be for leisure2 58 57 52 • 68% of leisure customers expect to fly the same 48 45 amount or more (versus 27% for business customers) British LufthansaNorweigan Vueling Jet2 Flybe easyJet Ryanair Wizz Air Airways 1) UK survey data- Worth is the proportion of survey respondents selecting “Worth more than it costs” .Price is the average score achieved on a 7 point scale converted to a percentage of the maximum score of 7 (Costs the most) 22 2) KPMG Nunwood Relationship survey we run weekly. This is up to 1st June 2020.
Our plan – delivering our strategy Seamlessly connecting Europe with the warmest welcome in the sky #1 or #2 in Winning our Value by Innovating The right primary customers’ efficiency with data people airports loyalty 23
#1 or #2 in Market leading network primary airports Leading positions in major European cities easyJet’s network 2019 Top 50 European cities by GDP/capita1. Bubbles represent easyJet touching capacity3. provides a competitive Base ranking 1 2 Other / Non base advantage that can not 160 easily be replicated 140 Basel Frankfurt 120 Geneva Paris GDP/capita ($ 000s) Edinburgh Our scale in key cities 100 Dublin Amsterdam across Europe can not be 80 Hamburg London matched Bristol Lyon Zurich Stockholm 60 Rotterdam Milan 40 Vienna Belfast Madrid We will retain fleet Glasgow Nice Warsaw Manchester Berlin Prague 20 Toulouse flexibility to respond and Newcastle seek advantage 0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 9.5 10.0 Population (m) 1) Source: Oxford Economics Global Travel Service city forecast CY2019 2) Source: CY 2019 actuals (TM1) 24
#1 or #2 in Network strength enables profitable flying primary airports The strong network enables Profitability by base easyJet to be efficient with its Scale allows capacity to be adjusted to Candidates for capacity network choices, with an absolute match demand and opportunistic growth reduction / closure Contribution per block hour by base emphasis on maximising returns illustrative Competitors reducing capacity in key markets will present opportunities to improve performance We retain the flexibility to respond and seek advantage 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2930 Base profitability rank Sources: easyJet fleet plan and network base plan, FY21, Contribution based on YTD March 31st 2020 25
Winning our easyJet – driving customer confidence customers loyalty As demand returns, consumers will easyJet is the leading low cost airline move to trusted brands in terms of trust by market2 Factors important to booking the next flight after social distancing 1st 2nd 3rd restrictions are lifted1. UK +21 pts Brand trust 34% France +17 pts Price 29% Switzerland +32 pts Change policy 15% Germany +8 pts Flight schedule 12% Italy tie Netherlands +5 pts Loyalty program 11% Portugal ” tie Customers trust easyJet more than other low cost carriers 1) PwC Traveller Sentiment Survey, May 2020, Base 1,005, Q. When planning to book your next flight / hotel, please rank the following factors based on importance to you, once the social distancing recommendations are lifted. 26 2) Trust survey 2020. % of respondents naming each airline as trustworthy
Winning our Easyjet holidays • Positive impact of easyJet actions customers loyalty o Cost focus at the airline creates value in Holidays o Provides customers with confidence to travel • No capacity constraints from cuts at airline • Variable cost base c.65% o Very low fixed costs of disrupted pax W’20, launched March o No commitments rebooking vs refund • Added Egypt for winter • We have seen a significant shift in hoteliers sun seeking a relationship with easyJet S’21, launched March • Position of financial strength, particularly relative to • Initial indications are other tour operators and OTA’s positive 27
Value by Value by efficiency efficiency Cost-out Programme Driving operational efficiency A major cost-out program has been launched • Swift action in March / April to reduce to respond to COVID19 to: operational cash burn • Drive cash generation • Proposed staff reduction by up to 30% • ensure easyJet emerges with a cost competitive position • Simpler airport handling to drive lower costs • Tactical and sustainable cost savings across • Bringing some maintenance in-house at lower the entire business cost • Delivered over 18-24 months • Accelerating lease returns with MRO deals done Target of delivering around • Fuel efficiency program driven by sustainability FLAT CPS ex fuel @ cc* • Focus to make Gatwick London’s best product FY’21 vs FY’19 * Assumes – No further spike of COVID-19 across EU, - Airline only 28
Leading Sustainability position Sustainability front of mind for customers 2% Thinking about sustainability MORE than before 40% Thinking about sustainability the SAME as before Thinking about sustainability LESS than before Tackling carbon emissions 58% easyJet were the world’s 1st major airline to operate net zero carbon flights across our entire network, by offsetting the carbon emissions from the fuel used for all of our flights. We continue to work to > The importance of sustainability has increased following minimise the carbon impact of our the pandemic, with 98% thinking about the environment / operations sustainability the same or more than before *Publicis sapient survey, sample size 29
Forward looking • Q4 2020 capacity – c.30%: • Encouraging booking numbers for easyJet holidays • easyJet expects to deliver c. FLAT CPS ex fuel at cc in FY’21 vs FY’19 • At this stage, given the level of continued uncertainty, it is not possible to provide financial guidance for the remainder of the FY20 financial year. 30
easyJet - Positioned to win Decisive action undertaken as soon as the crisis began: • Minimised cash burn • Maximised liquidity with cost reductions, fleet deferrals and additional funding • Equity raise under way Investment-grade balance sheet, one of the strongest in the industry easyJet leading the recovery: • Strong H1 performance • Trusted easyJet Brand drives confidence in European travellers • easyJet’s industry leading network of primary airports allows a disciplined approach to delivering profitable flying • Cost-out programme to deliver around Flat CPS ex Fuel @cc in FY’21 vs FY19 easyJet will be leading the post COVID-19 recovery 31
Q&a
appendix
Loss after tax £m H1 2020 H1 2019 Change* Headline loss before tax (193) (275) 29.8% Headline tax (charge)/credit (1) 54 (101.8%) Headline loss after tax (194) (221) 12.2% Total loss before tax (353) (272) (29.8%) Total tax credit 29 54 (46.3%) Total loss after tax (324) (218) (48.6%) Total effective tax rate 8.3% 19.7% 11.4ppt * Favourable/(adverse) 34
Revenue total and per seat Total Group reported H1 2020 H1 2019 Change* Passenger revenue 1,833 1,824 0.5% Ancillary revenue 549 519 5.7% Total revenue 2,382 2,343 1.7% £ Airline per seat Airline H1 2020 H1 2019 Change* Passenger revenue 42.93 39.48 8.7% Ancillary revenue 12.67 11.23 12.8% Total revenue 55.60 50.71 9.6% £ Airline per seat @CC Airline H1 2020 H1 2019 Change* Passenger revenue 43.15 39.48 9.3% Ancillary revenue 12.72 11.23 13.3% Total revenue 55.87 50.71 10.2% *Favourable/(adverse) 35
Headline cost per seat Cost per seat Variance at Variance at Weighted variance at excluding constant constant constant Drivers fuel currency* currency* currency* £ £ % % • Annualised increases in charges at regulated and non Airports and ground handling 16.65 (0.11) (0.6%) (0.3%) regulated airports • Annualised ground handling contract in the UK • Pay increases Crew 9.32 (0.66) (7.5%) (1.5%) • Low attrition • Low productivity in March 2020 Ownership 6.58 (0.99) (17.8%) (2.3%) • Increase in depreciation due to new aircraft purchased • Increased disruption costs Overheads & other income 6.65 (1.32) (24.7%) (3.0%) • Loss on sale of EU ETS allowances Navigation 3.57 0.15 4.1% 0.4% • Decrease in rates from Eurocontrol • Engine provision catch up Maintenance 4.47 (1.22) (36.8%) (2.8%) • Increase in base maintenance Total Headline CPS excluding fuel 47.24 (4.15) (9.5%) (9.5%) Fuel 12.51 0.07 0.5% Total Headline CPS 59.75 (4.08) (7.2%) *Favourable/(adverse) 36
Fleet breakdown H 1 2020 FY 2019 Change A319 (Leased) 64 56 8 A319 (owned) 59 69 (10) A319 Total 123 125 (2) A320 (Leased) 43 43 0 A320 (owned) 160 157 3 A320 Total 203 200 3 A321 (owned/Total) 11 6 5 Total fleet 337 331 6 Leased 107 99 8 Number unencumbered 230 232 (2) Percentage of A320s in fleet 60% 60% 0ppt Average seats per aircraft 176 175 1% 37
Return on Capital Employed H1 2020 H1 2019 Headline loss before interest and tax (174) (255) UK corporation tax rate 19% 19% Normalised headline operating loss after tax (NOPAT) (141) (207) Average shareholders’ equity 2,539 2,849 Average net debt 397 168 Average adjusted capital employed 2,936 3,017 Headline Return on capital employed (4.8)% (6.8)% 38
Non-headline items H1 2020 H1 2019 Change* Description £m £m £m The sale and leaseback of 10 A319 aircraft in both years resulted in a Sale and leaseback gain 1 2 (1) profit on disposal of the assets. Cost of establishing a multi-AOC post-Brexit structure following the Brexit-related costs - (4) 4 UK’s referendum vote to leave the European Union (‘EU’). Release of the unused FY’18 provision for the write-down of IT assets Commercial IT platform - 2 (2) under development which will no longer be utilised by the business. Foreign exchange gains or losses arising from the retranslation of Balance sheet foreign exchange loss 3 3 - foreign currency monetary assets and liabilities held in the statement of financial position. Due to the full grounding of the fleet and the lower capacity Fair value adjustment (164) - (164) expected for several months thereafter, easyJet is in a significantly over-hedged position from both a jet fuel and FX perspective. Total non-headline items (160) 3 (163) *Favourable/(adverse) 39
Currency impact Revenue Costs H1 2020 H1 2019 H1 2020 H1 2019 Sterling 42% 41% 33% 32% Euro 48% 48% 32% 37% US dollar 1% 1% 28% 24% Other (principally Swiss franc) 9% 10% 7% 7% Average effective Euro rate for revenue for H1 2020 was €1.14 (H1 2019: €1.13) Average effective Euro rate for costs for H1 2020 was €1.17 (H1 2019: €1.14) 40
You can also read