Investor Presentation November 2019 - Maersk Drilling (CSE: DRLCO)
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Important notice Investor Presentation 2 Forward-looking statements This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements (being all statements that are not entirely based on historical facts including, but not limited to, statements as to the expectations, beliefs and future business, contract terms, including commencement dates, contract durations and day rates, rig availability, financial performance and prospects of The Drilling Company of 1972 A/S, hereinafter referred to as “Maersk Drilling” or “the Company”). These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and are subject to certain risks, assumptions, trends and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements due to external factors, including, but not limited to, oil and natural gas prices and the impact of the economic climate; changes in the offshore drilling market, including fluctuations in supply and demand; variable levels of drilling activity and expenditures in the energy industry; changes in day rates; ability to secure future contracts; cancellation, early termination or renegotiation by our customers of drilling contracts; customer credit and risk of customer bankruptcy; risks associated with fixed cost drilling operations; unplanned downtime; cost overruns or delays in transportation of drilling units; cost overruns or delays in maintenance, repairs, or other rig projects; operating hazards and equipment failure; risk of collision and damage; casualty losses and limitations on insurance coverage; weather conditions in the Company’s operating areas; increasing costs of compliance with regulations; changes in tax laws and interpretations by taxing authorities, hostilities, terrorism, and piracy; impairments; cyber incidents; the outcomes of disputes, including tax disputes and legal proceeding; and other risks disclosed in Maersk Drilling’s Annual Reports and company announcements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date hereof, and the Company expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law. Third-party data and information The IHS Markit reports, data and information referenced herein (the "IHS Markit Materials") are the copyrighted property of IHS Markit Ltd. and its subsidiaries (“IHS Markit”) and represent data, research, opinions or viewpoints published by IHS Markit, and are not representations of fact. The IHS Markit Materials speak as of the original publication date thereof and not as of the date of this document. The information and opinions expressed in the IHS Markit Materials are subject to change without notice and IHS Markit has no duty or responsibility to update the IHS Markit Materials. Moreover, while the IHS Markit Materials reproduced herein are from sources considered reliable, the accuracy and completeness thereof are not warranted, nor are the opinions and analyses which are based upon it. IHS Markit is a trademark of IHS Markit. Other trademarks appearing in the IHS Markit Materials are the property of IHS Markit or their respective owners. The data ("Rystad Data") included in this document sourced to Rystad Energy AS ("Rystad Energy") is included on an "as is” basis without any warranties of any kind, either express or implied. The Rystad Data speak as of the original publication date thereof and not as of the date of this document. The information and opinions expressed in the Rystad Data are subject to change without notice and Rystad has no duty or responsibility to update the Rystad Data. Rystad Energy expressly disclaims any and all legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness or fitness for a particular purpose (e.g. investment activities), or for the usefulness of any information used or disclosed in this document. About Maersk Drilling Maersk Drilling (CSE: DRLCO) owns and operates a fleet of 23 offshore rigs specialising in harsh-environment and deepwater drilling operations. With more than 45 years of experience operating in the most challenging environments Maersk Drilling provides safe, efficient, and reliable drilling services to oil and gas companies around the world. Headquartered in Denmark, Maersk Drilling employs 2,850 people. For more information about Maersk Drilling, visit www.maerskdrilling.com. .
Highest cash-flow generation at lowest risk in offshore drilling Investor Presentation 3 Highest cash-flow generation Least levered offshore driller Best balance sheet Ranked aggregate free cash-flow(1) (2018-2019 Q2), USDm Ranked leverage ratio(2) Ranked market capitalisation to Enterprise Value(4) 52.1x 69% 488 338 (165) (169) (183) 34% 23.4x 23.6x 32% 30% (317) 28% (359) (385) 25% 24% (526) 15.5x 10.3x 10.8x 12% (911) 4.6x 7% 2.1x 2% n.m. n.m. Maersk #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8 #9 #10 Maersk #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8 #9(3) #10(3) Maersk #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8 #9 #10 Drilling Drilling Drilling . (1) Free cash-flow defined as cash-flow from operating activities less capital expenditures (additions to property, plant and equipment) (2) Latest reported net debt to latest reported LTM EBITDA (3) Not meaningful as due to negative LTM EBITDA or leverage ratio above 60x (4) Data as of 26 November 2019 Note: Peer group includes Borr Drilling, Diamond Offshore, Noble Corporation, Odfjell Drilling, Pacific Drilling, Seadrill, Shelf Drilling, Transocean and Valaris. Peers are sorted by rank in each of the respective charts. Source: Bloomberg, peer filings
A unique strategic and financial position Investor Presentation 4 Unparalleled CJ70 Unique customer High revenue jack-up fleet relations and visibility and partnerships financial flexibility .
Versatile offshore rig fleet serving customers globally Investor Presentation 6 Rig types Geography Customers Number of rigs by rig type Current areas of operation Current customers 15 Jack-ups rigs Jack-ups 4 rigs Semi-submersibles Floaters 4 rigs Drillships .
North Sea jack-up fleet generating the largest share of revenue Investor Presentation 7 Revenue split by rig type(1) Revenue split by geographic area Revenue split by customers Share of total revenue, 2018 Share of total revenue, 2018 Share of total revenue, 2018 10% 19% 5% 24% 37% 10% 26% 59% 63% 20% 12% 15% Jack-ups Floaters North Sea Asia Aker BP BP Equinor Africa Rest of World Total Eni Others . (1) Excluding USD 3m of unallocated revenue, equal to approximately 0.2% of total revenue for 2018
3 Maersk Invincible Years 3 Maersk Highlander 4 Maersk Integrator Jack-up fleet age 5 Maersk Interceptor Economic rig life time – 25 years 5 Maersk Intrepid 10 Maersk Reacher 10 Maersk Resolve Maersk Resilient 11 11 Maersk Resolute 11 Maersk Convincer 12 Maersk Completer 15 Mærsk Inspirer 16 Mærsk Innovator 26 Mærsk Gallant Modern fleet with substantial future earnings capacity 33 Maersk Guardian 4 Years Maersk Voyager 5 Maersk Valiant Floater fleet age 5 Maersk Venturer Economic rig life time – 25 years 5 Maersk Viking 5 Maersk Viking 9 Maersk Deliverer 10 Maersk developer . 10 Maersk Discoverer Investor Presentation 16 Maersk Explorer 8
Harsh-environment focused jack-up fleet Investor Presentation 9 Rated water Rated drilling Rig name Rig type Design Delivery year Harsh environment Norwegian AoC(1) depth (ft.) depth (ft.) Mærsk Innovator Jack-up MSC CJ70-150 MC 2003 Yes Yes 492 30,000 Mærsk Inspirer Jack-up MSC CJ70-150 MC 2004 Yes Yes 492 30,000 Maersk Integrator Jack-up MSC CJ70-X150 MD 2015 Yes Yes 492 40,000 Maersk Interceptor Jack-up MSC CJ70-X150 MD 2014 Yes Yes 492 40,000 Maersk Intrepid Jack-up MSC CJ70-X150 MD 2014 Yes Yes 492 40,000 Maersk Invincible Jack-up MSC CJ70-X150 MD 2016 Yes Yes 492 40,000 Maersk Reacher Jack-up MSC CJ50-X100 MC 2009 Yes Yes 350 30,000 Maersk Resilient Jack-up MSC CJ50-X100 MC 2008 Yes No 350 30,000 Maersk Resolute Jack-up MSC CJ50-X100 MC 2008 Yes No 350 30,000 Maersk Resolve Jack-up MSC CJ50-X100 MC 2009 Yes No 350 30,000 Maersk Highlander Jack-up Friede & Goldman JU2000E 2016 Yes No 400 30,000 Mærsk Gallant Jack-up CJ62-S120 JU 1993 Yes Yes 394 25,000 Maersk Guardian Jack-up Hitachi Zosen, self-elevating cantilever unit 1986 Yes No 350 n/a(2) Maersk Completer Jack-up Baker Pacific Class 375 2007 No No 375 30,000 Maersk Convincer Jack-up Baker Pacific Class 375 2008 No No 375 30,000 . (1) Acknowledgement of Compliance (2) Unit working as an accommodation rig. Derrick and drilling equipment have been removed Note: For information about fleet contracting status, please see Maersk Drilling’s latest Fleet Status Report available at investor.maerskdrilling.com
Position as market-leader in Norway centred around CJ70 jack-up rigs Investor Presentation 10 Eight rigs capable of working in Norway Unmatched experience in Norway Leader in the ultra-harsh environment segment Maersk Drilling ultra-harsh environment jack-up fleet and design Number of wells drilled in Norway using jack-up rigs over the period 1990- Number of ultra-harsh environment jack-up rigs per drilling contractor(2), 2018(1), ranked ranked CJ70s Others 415 2 Mærsk Inspirer Mærsk Innovator Maersk Reacher 147 6 Maersk Integrator Maersk Interceptor Maersk Gallant 1 4 34 2 19 1 Maersk Intrepid Maersk Invincible Maersk Drilling #2 #3 Others, Maersk Drilling #2 #3 #4(3) combined Others CJ70 (1) Excludes drilling contractors that have drilled less than five wells during the period 1990-2018. Excludes well drilled by drilling contractors not specified (i.e. ‘unknown’). Excludes wells drilled by E&P companies (e.g. Equinor). ‘Others’ includes AMNGR and . Transocean. ‘Valaris’ includes wells drilled by both Ensco and Rowan. (2) Excluding two ultra-harsh environment jack-up rigs owned by Equinor (3) Rig does not have the required Acknowledgement of Compliance (AoC) certification to operate in Norway Source: IHS Markit – RigPoint, Rystad
CJ70 – the largest and most capable jack-up rigs Investor Presentation 11 GustoMSC KFELS F&G LT 219-C GustoMSC F&G CJ70 N Class JU-3000N Super Gorilla CJ50 JU-2000E Leg length 100% 84% 82% 88% 81% 71% Water depth 100% 89% 83% 86% 83% 73% Drilling depth 100% 95% 95% 95% 81% 86% Variable load 100% 60% 68% 42% 41% 39% Crane capacity 100% 80% 80% 66% 61% 69% Cantilever lateral 100% 64% 42% 64% 42% 28% Cantilever reach 100% 90% 71% 71% 66% 71% Quarters capacity 100% 100% 90% 80% 80% 80% . Note: Percentages are calculated as an index based on the highest number in each of the different specification categories. Only rigs in Maersk Drilling’s peer group are included. Specifications may vary for rigs of similar designs. Source: IHS Markit – RigPoint
The CJ70s are contributing to resource management in all modes Investor Presentation 12 Valhall Plug & Abandonment Hanz appraisal Maersk Invincible Maersk Intrepid Gina Krog platform Oda subsea development Maersk Integrator Maersk Interceptor .
CJ70 case study: Oda Field subsea development Investor Presentation 13 Our technical proposals, solutions …resulted in significant project cost savings Example of how we drove down time spent and ability to work as one team… through early completion on a drilling riser Number of days Hours spent per repetition -31% 234 72.0 223 19% “The [CJ70] XLE’s are so 189 efficient that it is 154 actually logistics that become one of the key challenges in projects” – Well Operations ONE TEAM Manager, Spirit Energy 11.0 WELL PREPARED 7.0 5.5 P50 at notice P50 at P10 Actual Customer 1st time 2nd time 3rd time of assignment drilling start estimate . Note: P50 and P10 indicate 50% and 10% probability of outcome, respectively
CJ70 case study: Valhall Plug & Abandonment Investor Presentation 14 Significantly reducing well time spent in Plug & Abandonment campaign Number of days spent per well # Operating days 120 110 Maersk Reacher Maersk Invincible Average = 61 days Average = 30 days 100 90 80 70 60 High-complexity wells 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Well # .
CJ70-efficiency provides significant total well cost savings Illustrative example CJ50 CJ70 Day rate 150 300 (USDk/day) Financial uptime 99% 99% (Average across segment) Days per well 61 30 (Drilling) Days on contract 739 364 (Total, based on 12-well programme) Drilling days 732 360 (Days on contract * financial uptime) Drilling cost 110 108 (Day rate * drilling days, USDm) Spread cost 222 109 (Based on USD 300k/day on contract, USDm) Total well cost 332 217 (Drilling cost + spread cost, USDm) Note: Above is an illustrative example. Spread cost comprises the total cost to drill a well, excluding drilling cost, and will vary from project to project, but will typically comprise 40% and 60% of the total well cost. . 15 Investor Presentation
The CJ70 market has historically enjoyed higher utilisation and day rates Investor Presentation 16 CJ70-utilisation versus all North Sea(1) jack-ups Jack-up fixtures(2) and corresponding day rates in the North Sea(1) Total monthly utilisation Jack-up fixtures in the North Sea and CJ70-examples (in orange) Utilisation Day rate (USDk/day) 100% 500 450 80% 400 350 60% 300 250 40% 200 150 20% 100 50 0% - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 CJ70’s All North Sea jack-ups . (1) North Sea defined as Denmark, Netherlands, Norway and UK (2) Only fixtures with publicly available day rates are shown Source: IHS Markit – RigPoint
Subsea development to become increasingly important offshore Norway Investor Presentation 17 Average size of discoveries has declined over the past ...however, more discoveries are being developed, Phasing into existing infrastructure will be most likely 20 years... calling for new solutions to maintain profitability development solution for majority of discoveries Development of resources and number of discoveries Average size at first PDO(3) and number of approved plans Discoveries and resources in portfolio by most profitable solution Million scm oe(1) # Discoveries Million scm oe(1) # Plans Million scm oe(1) # Discoveries 1,800 100 210 33 35 500 57 60 1,600 90 29 450 180 27 30 50 1,400 80 400 70 150 25 350 1,200 40 60 300 1,000 120 20 50 15 250 30 800 90 15 40 200 21 600 10 20 30 60 10 150 400 20 100 30 5 10 200 10 50 2 2 3 - - - - - - 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s New stand- New stand- Wellhead Well(s) Subsea alone fixed alone platform from development facility floating tied to existing tied to facility existing facility existing Liquids(2) Discoveries in portfolio (RHS) facility facility Gas Aproved plans (RHS) Average size Discoveries (RHS) Size . (1) Standard Cubic Meters of Oil Equivalent (2) Consists of oil, natural gas liquids (NGL) and condensate (3) PDO = Plan for Development and Operation Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
The CJ70s’ subsea advantages put them in front for future employment Investor Presentation 18 Main CJ70 subsea advantages(1) Reduced downtime caused by weather Improved equipment lifetime Optimised riser and BOP handling Potential cost and emissions upsides . (1) Compared to the use of a semisubmersible rig
The CJ70s are fronting the drive towards low-emission drilling Investor Presentation 19 1. Maersk Invincible running entirely on shore-power During part of 2017 and 2018, the rig was running on 100% hydropower via a 294 km long cable to a Norwegian hydropower plant In addition to reducing emissions, the solution also reduces cost and time for maintenance and improves work environment due to reduced noise and vibrations 2. Energy and Emissions Efficiency (EEE) software Fully digitalised fuel an energy monitoring system providing near real-time information to be used for learning and optimisation towards more fuel-efficient behaviour The system has been used on the Maersk Integrator since 2018, significantly reducing fuel consumption 3. Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) Captures NOx exhausts and use ammonia injections to convert the gas into harmless water and nitrogen. By installing SCR units on all the rig’s engine exhaust pipes, Maersk Drilling expects to be able to reduce NOx emissions by more than 90%, while also reducing soot emissions significantly 4. Hybrid upgrades on Norwegian jack-ups Combining hybrid power, data intelligence (EEE) and cleaning technology (SCR), Maersk Drilling’s hybrid jack- ups will push the boundaries for low-emission drilling on conventionally powered offshore drilling rigs .
Modern deepwater-focused floater fleet Investor Presentation 20 Rig name Rig type Design Delivery year Generation Rated water depth (ft.) Rated drilling depth (ft.) Maersk Valiant Drillship Samsung 96K 2014 7G 12,000 40,000 Maersk Venturer Drillship Samsung 96K 2014 7G 12,000 40,000 Maersk Viking Drillship Samsung 96K 2014 7G 12,000 40,000 Maersk Voyager Drillship Samsung 96K 2015 7G 12,000 40,000 Maersk Deliverer Semisubmersible DSS21-DP2 2010 6G 10,000 32,800 Maersk Developer Semisubmersible DSS21-DP2 2009 6G 10,000 32,800 Maersk Discoverer Semisubmersible DSS21-DP2 2009 6G 10,000 32,800 Maersk Explorer Semisubmersible DSS10-CAM-M 2003 5G 3,281 30,000 . Note: For information about fleet contracting status, please see Maersk Drilling’s latest Fleet Status Report available at investor.maerskdrilling.com
Norway-experience successfully transferred to floater operations Investor Presentation 21 Transferring Norway capabilities to floater operations Selected operational achievements in the floater segment Maersk Developer Maersk Venturer World’s deepest well (3,411 Reactivation from warm-stacking meters) drilled with 99.2% uptime in just eight weeks, completing in strong currents up to 3 knots Technology Operational Customer the operation with 99.3% uptime excellence centricity Norway US GoM Maersk Discoverer Maersk Voyager Longest well drilled in the In 15 months, the rig drilled 15 Asia Pacific Mediterranean and deepest in new wells, re-entered three well, Egypt. Completed 64 days ahead drilled four side-track sections Africa of AFE target and ran lower completion on nine wells. All completed 200 days ahead of schedule South America .
Unique customer service delivery model drives partnerships and value pricing Investor Presentation 22 Winning with or without tendering Relationship taken to the next level Share of total number of rig days won since 2016 Five-year framework agreement with the option to extend for a further five years. Alliance is based on Cap an integrated well-delivery model with aligned Cost Actual incentives. cost 32% Focus on increasing collaboration efficiency and enabling standardisation and simplification of processes, ultimately shortening the lead time from Expected 49% discovery to first oil. cost Participants: • Aker BP • Maersk Drilling 19% • Halliburton Service partners’ share Key aim: Operator share Sole sourcing Tender • Lowering the cost per barrel for Aker BP Time Extension to existing contract • Increase the profitability for the alliance partners .
A solid contract backlog ensuring earnings visibility Investor Presentation 23 Contract revenue backlog by customer Contract revenue backlog by year(1) Share of total contract revenue backlog(1) USDm 836 11% 24% 9% 576 10% USD 2.2bn 473 21% 266 11% 14% Aker BP Inpex Total Others 2019 Rest 2020 2021 2022+ Repsol Tullow BP of year . (1) As of 30 September 2019
Long-term customer relations have enabled non-speculative investments Investor Presentation 24 Newbuild – Maersk Integrator | Delivered in 2015 644 USDm Gina Krog field 620 USDm 4 years Investment cost Est. contract value Firm contract duration Newbuild – Maersk Invincible | Delivered in 2017 636 USDm Valhall field 812 USDm 5 years Investment cost Est. contract value Firm contract duration Acquisition – Maersk Highlander | Delivered in 2016 191 USDm Culzean field 420 USDm 5 years Investment cost Est. contract value Firm contract duration .
Financial profile 25 Insert presentation title via Header & Footer
Levers for generating free cash-flow to equity Investor Presentation 26 Solid balance sheet Strong operating cash-flow generation No newbuild capex commitments and limited off-balance re- activation cost exposure Long maturity runway and attractive funding costs .
Solid balance sheet Investor Presentation 27 Cash and bank balances 354 Net debt to LTM EBITDA Market cap to Enterprise Value(1) 2.1x 69 (end-Q2 2019, USDm) Fully-available revolver 400 (end-Q2 2019) (Percent) (end-Q2 2019, USDm) . (1) Data as of 26 November 2019 Source: Bloomberg
Full-year 2019 guidance – EBITDA and capex Investor Presentation 28 EBITDA (before special items) Capital expenditures 400 (USDm) 300 (USDm) .
What could rig earnings look like in a market recovery? Investor Presentation 29 Ultra-harsh environment (CJ70) jack-up per rig Harsh environment jack-up per rig Global floater per rig Illustrative pre-SG&A EBITDA sensitivity by utilisation level(1) Illustrative pre-SG&A EBITDA sensitivity by utilisation level(2) Illustrative pre-SG&A EBITDA sensitivity by utilisation level(3) USDm USDm USDm 90 90 90 80 80 80 70 70 70 60 60 60 50 50 50 40 40 40 30 30 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 - - - 200 250 300 350 400 70 90 110 130 150 200 250 300 350 400 60% 70% 80% 90% 60% 70% 80% 90% 60% 70% 80% 90% . (1) Assumptions: Daily opex while operating = USD 140k/day, daily opex while idle = USD 15k/day, number of days in year = 365 (2) Assumptions: Daily opex while operating = USD 57.5k/day, daily opex while idle = USD 15k/day, number of days in year = 365 (3) Assumptions: Daily opex while operating = USD 150k/day, daily opex while idle = USD 37.5k/day, number of days in year = 365 Note: Examples show pre-SG&A EBITDA sensitivity for one rig in each category
Earnings converted to operating cash-flow EBITDA before special items and EBITDA margin Operating cash-flow and cash conversion(1) USDm USDm 60% 98% 100% 95% 94% 55% 93% 47% 43% 1,393 1,381 37% 1,363 1,301 683 652 611 593 231 205 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1 2019 EBITDA EBITDA margin(1) CFFO Cash conversion(1) (1) Calculated as operating cash-flow divided by EBITDA after special items. Operating cash-flow does not include interest expenses. . 30 Investor Presentation
No newbuild capex commitments and limited off-balance re-activation cost exposure Investor Presentation 31 Number of rigs by delivery status Number of rigs by current rig status 23 22 1 0 Delivered Under construction Operating/warm-stacked Cold-stacked .
Maintenance capex mainly relates to Special Periodic Surveys Investor Presentation 32 5-yearly Special Periodic Survey cost requirements by rig type Jack-up rigs Floaters 15-20 (USDm) 40-60 (USDm) Expected run-rate (annual) maintenance capex(1) 150 (USDm) . (1) Expected average over the 5-yearly SPS cycle
Long maturity runway and attractive funding costs Investor Presentation 33 Debt maturity profile(1) Funding cost USDm 2019 expected average funding cost 1,176 400 Average funding cost 776 5.1 (Percent) 212 130 130 130 65 24 2019 Rest 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 of Year Undrawn RCF Drawn facility amounts . (1) As of 30 June 2019
A unique financial profile in offshore drilling Investor Presentation 34 No newbuild capex Long maturity Strong operating commitments and runway with Solid balance sheet cash-flow limited off-balance attractive funding generation re-activation cost costs exposure Highest cash-flow generation at lowest risk .
Capital allocation priorities Investor Presentation 35 Maintaining a solid capital Pursue investments adding long- Return surplus capital to structure with sufficient funding term value to our shareholders shareholders available to support business strategy 01 02 03 .
Market outlook
Fundamentals in place for increased offshore investments Investor Presentation 37 Oil companies are generating cash to spend... ...and most projects are economic at current oil prices Sanctioning activity is on the rise Total cash-flows for top-25 listed E&P companies(1) Global offshore oil and gas resources to be sanctioned in 2019-2025E by Number of FID’s(3) per year break-even category (USD) USDbn Estimate Billion boe # FID’s 450 97% 25 94% 95% 70 89% 400 Estimate 80% 60 350 20 71% 50 300 58% 15 250 40 200 41% 30 10 32% 150 22% 20 100 5 9% 10 50 - - - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2001 2017 2015 2011 70-75 Below 25 30-35 2007 2013 2019 40-45 50-55 60-65 2005 25-30 65-70 35-40 45-50 55-60 2003 2009 Capital expenditure Dividends and net retirement (issuance) of stock Discovered to-be-sanctioned Cash flow from operations Cumulative % of total Floaters Jack-ups . (1) Cash-flow for top-25 listed oil and gas companies. 2019 and 2020 figures are based on consensus estimates collected from Bloomberg. Consensus estimates do not include net retirement (issuance) of stock (3) FID = Final Investment Decision Source: Rystad, Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg
Jack-up recovery gaining momentum Investor Presentation 38 Supply, demand and utilisation Historical contract backlog(2) Tender activity(3) Number of rigs and utilisation(1) Total number of contracted rig years Number of tenders and average tender duration in days # Rigs Utilisation(1) # Rig years # Tenders # Days 600 100% 700 140 800 90% 600 120 700 500 80% 600 70% 500 100 400 500 60% 400 80 300 50% 400 300 60 40% 300 200 30% 200 40 200 20% 100 100 20 100 10% - - - - - Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Sep- 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 15 16 17 18 19 19 Total jack-up backlog Tenders Avg. tender duration (RHS) Non-marketed supply Total Demand Marketed Utilisation Marketed Oversupply Total Utilisation . (1) Utilisation (marketed and total) defined as contracted rig years as a percentage of marketed and total supply, respectively (2) Total number of contracted rig years at given point in time (3) Tender data based on open demand. Includes tender and pre- tender only Note: Historical contract backlog data as of 18 November 2019. Tender data as of 30 September 2019 Source: IHS Markit – RigPoint, Maersk Drilling
Floater recovery restrained by short-term contracts Investor Presentation 39 Supply, demand and utilisation Historical contract backlog(2) Tender activity(3) Number of rigs and utilisation(1) Total number of contracted rig years Number of tenders and average tender duration in days # Rigs Utilisation # Rig years # Tenders # Days 350 100% 900 140 800 90% 800 300 120 700 80% 700 600 250 70% 100 600 500 60% 200 500 80 50% 400 150 400 60 40% 300 300 100 30% 40 200 200 20% 50 20 100 10% 100 - - - - - Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Jan- Sep- 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 15 16 17 18 19 19 Total floater backlog Tenders Avg. tender duration (RHS) Non-marketed supply Total Demand Marketed Utilisation Marketed Oversupply Total Utilisation . (1) Utilisation (marketed and total) defined as contracted rig years as a percentage of marketed and total supply, respectively (2) Total number of contracted rig years at given point in time (3) Tender data based on open demand. Includes tender and pre- tender only Note: Historical contract backlog data as of 18 November 2019. Tender data as of 30 September 2019 Source: IHS Markit – RigPoint, Maersk Drilling
Significant scrapping-activity over the past years Investor Presentation 40 Jack-up delivery(1) and attrition(2), quarterly Floater delivery(1) and attrition(2), quarterly # Rigs # Rigs 15 15 10 10 5 5 - - -5 -5 -10 -10 -15 -15 -20 -20 14Q1 14Q2 14Q3 14Q4 15Q1 15Q2 15Q3 15Q4 16Q1 16Q2 16Q3 16Q4 17Q1 17Q2 17Q3 17Q4 18Q1 18Q2 18Q3 18Q4 19Q1 19Q2 19Q3 14Q1 14Q2 14Q3 14Q4 15Q1 15Q2 15Q3 15Q4 16Q1 16Q2 16Q3 16Q4 17Q1 17Q2 17Q3 17Q4 18Q1 18Q2 18Q3 18Q4 19Q1 19Q2 19Q3 New deliveries Attrition Net addition New deliveries Attrition Net addition . (1) Rig deliveries defined as units that have not previously existed as a drilling rig of the same type. (2) Attrition includes all rigs that are deemed to be permanently removed from active drilling service, excluding rigs that have been removed as a result of an accident Source: IHS Markit – RigPoint
The Drilling Company of 1972 A/S Lyngby Hovedgade 85 2800 Kongens Lyngby Denmark Contacts Michael Harboe-Jørgensen Head of Investor Relations T: +45 2328 5733 M: Michael.Harboe-Jorgensen@maerskdrilling.com Andreas Escherich Holkjær Investor Relations Officer T: +45 3137 6076 M:Andreas.Escherich.Holkjaer@maerskdrilling.com Maersk Drilling is trading on the Nasdaq Copenhagen Stock Exchange under the ticker, DRLCO
You can also read