Green Jobs: Working for People and the Environment - WORLDWATCHREPORT 177
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W O R L D WAT C H R E P O R T 1 77 Green Jobs: Working for People and the Environment m i c h a e l r e n n e r, s e a n s w e e n e y, and jill kubit l i s a m a s t n y, e d i t o r w o r l d wat c h i n s t i t u t e , wa s h i n g t o n , d c
Table of Contents Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Defining Green Jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Renewable Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Buildings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Transportation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Basic Industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Recycling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Food and Agriculture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Forestry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Pathways to a Sustainable Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 Endnotes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 Figures, Tables, and Sidebars Figure 1. Green and Decent Jobs? A Schematic Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Figure 2. Global Wind Power Employment Projections, 2010–2050 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Figure 3. Global Solar PV Employment Projections, 2010–2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Figure 4. World Steel Production, 1950–2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Figure 5. World Primary Aluminum Production, 1970–2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Table 1. Estimated Employment in Renewable Energy, Selected Countries and World, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Table 2. Green Jobs Estimates in Vehicle Manufacturing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Table 3. CO2 Emissions per Ton of Cement Produced, Selected Countries, 2000 . . . . . . 27 Table 4. Paper and Paperboard Production by Country, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Table 5. Environmental Benefits of 100% Recycled Content Compared with 100% Virgin Forest Fiber . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Table 6. Formal Forest Sector Employment by Region, 2000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Table 7. Global Employment in the Forest Sector, by Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Sidebar 1. From Rustbelt to Windbelt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Sidebar 2. Solar Entrepreneurs in Bangladesh . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Sidebar 3. Engine Retrofits in Southeast Asia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Sidebar 4. Decent Work Deficits in Agriculture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Acknowledgments This report is derived from a longer report, Green Jobs: Toward Decent Work in a Sustainable, Low-Carbon Economy, prepared by Worldwatch Institute and Cornell University Global Labor Institute. That report was commissioned for the joint Green Jobs Initiative of the United Nations Environment Programme, the International Labour Organization, the International Trade Union Confederation, and the International Organization of Employers. It was released in September 2008 and is available for download at www.unep.org/civil_society/Publications/ index.asp and at www.unep.org/labour_environment/features/greenjobs.asp. About the Authors Michael Renner joined the Worldwatch Institute in 1987 and is a senior researcher. His work has focused on a variety of linkages between the environment and other global concerns. His first foray into the connections between environment and employment came in 1991, when he published Worldwatch Paper 104, Jobs in a Sustainable Economy. Michael has worked with var- ious groups and spoken on this topic at venues including the Alliance for Climate Protection, Confederación Sindical de Comisiones Obreras in Spain, Sustain Labour (International Labour Foundation for Sustainable Development), the North American Labor Assembly, and the Political Economy Research Institute (PERI) at the University of Massachusetts. Sean Sweeney is the director of the Cornell Global Labor Institute (GLI) and is the former director of the Cornell Labor Studies program based in New York City. Sean initiated a series of conferences on “Labor and Sustainable Development,” which culminated in the North Ameri- can Labor Assembly on Climate Crisis: Building a Global Movement for Clean Energy in May 2007. In 2006, the GLI convened the Global Trade Union Task Force on Development Alterna- tives. Sweeney is also a member of the climate change working group convened by the Interna- tional Trade Union Confederation. His publications cover the international labor movement, trends in global political economy, the changing industrial relations system in the United States, the growth of temporary and precarious employment, and the offshoring of production. Jill Kubit is the assistant director of the Cornell Global Labor Institute. At the GLI, she has organized several major conferences and events on labor and sustainable development, includ- ing the U.S. trade union delegation to attend the December 2008 U.N. climate talks in Bali, Indonesia, and the North American Labor Assembly on Climate Crisis: Building a Global Movement for Clean Energy. Jill is currently working to develop policy, educational training, and concrete assistance tools for trade unions interested in climate change, green jobs, and sustainable development. She also conducts research for and manages the Global Trade Union Task Force of Development Alternatives project. 4 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Summary T he pursuit of so-called “green those in manufacturing the most-efficient cars jobs”—employment that contributes currently available—today number no more to protecting the environment and than about 250,000 out of roughly 8 million in reducing humanity’s carbon foot- the auto sector worldwide. print—will be a key economic driver of the Modern rail and urban transit systems offer 21st century. “Climate-proofing” the global a greener alternative, but they need fresh com- economy will involve large-scale investments mitment and investments to reverse the job in new technologies, equipment, buildings, and erosion of recent decades. In growing numbers infrastructure, which will provide a major of cities, good jobs are being generated by the stimulus for much-needed new employment emergence of bus rapid transit systems. There and an opportunity for retaining and trans- are also substantial green employment oppor- forming existing jobs. tunities in retrofitting old diesel buses to The number of green jobs is on the rise. The reduce air pollutants and in replacing old renewable energy sector has seen rapid expan- equipment with cleaner compressed natural sion in recent years, with current employment gas (CNG) or hybrid-electric buses. In New in renewables and supplier industries esti- Delhi, the introduction of 6,100 CNG buses mated at a conservative 2.3 million worldwide. by 2009 is expected to create 18,000 new jobs. The wind power industry employs some The steel, aluminum, cement, and paper 300,000 people, the solar photovoltaics (PV) industries are highly energy-intensive and pol- sector an estimated 170,000, and the solar ther- luting. But increasing scrap use, greater energy mal industry more than 600,000. More than 1 efficiency, and reliance on alternative energy million jobs are found in the biofuels industry sources may at least render them a pale shade growing and processing a variety of feedstocks of green. Worldwide, more than 40 percent of into ethanol and biodiesel. steel output and one-quarter of aluminum Construction jobs can be greened by ensur- production is based on recycled scrap, possibly ing that new buildings meet high performance employing more than a quarter million people. standards. And retrofitting existing buildings Recycling and remanufacturing jobs world- to make them more energy-efficient has huge wide number many millions, but incompatible job potential for construction workers, archi- definitions and a lack of data gathering make a tects, energy auditors, engineers, and others. global tally impossible. China alone is thought The weatherization of some 200,000 apart- to have some 10 million jobs in this sector, and ments in Germany created 25,000 new jobs the United States has more than 1 million. In and helped retain 116,000 existing jobs in developing countries, recycling is often done 2002–04. by informal networks of scavengers. Brazil, The transportation industry is a corner- which boasts a high rate of aluminum recy- stone of modern economies, but it also has the cling, relies on some 500,000 scrap collectors. fastest-rising carbon emissions of any sector. Cairo’s 70,000 Zabaleen recycle as much as 85 Relatively green auto manufacturing jobs— percent of the materials they collect. w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 5
Summary Agriculture and forestry often still account the economy, with the help of targets and for the bulk of employment and livelihoods in mandates, business incentives, and reformed many developing countries. Small farms are tax and subsidy policies. It will also be critical more labor- and knowledge-intensive than to develop innovative forms of technology agroindustrial farms are, and they use fewer transfer to spread green methods around the energy and chemical inputs. But relatively sus- world at the scale and speed required to avoid tainable forms of smallholder agriculture are full-fledged climate change. Cooperative tech- being squeezed hard by energy- and pesticide- nology development and technology-sharing intensive farms and by global supply chains. programs could help expedite the process of Organic farming is still limited. But because replicating best practices. it is more labor-intensive than industrialized To provide as many workers as possible with agriculture, it can be a source of growing the qualifications they will increasingly need, green employment. an expansion of green education, training, and Afforestation and reforestation efforts, as skill-building programs in a broad range of well as better stewardship of critical ecosystems occupations is crucial. Resource extraction and more generally, could support livelihoods energy-intensive industries are likely to feel the among the more than 1 billion people who greatest impact in transitioning to a low-car- depend on forests, often through non-timber bon future, and regions and communities forest products. Planting trees creates large highly dependent on them will need assistance numbers of jobs, although these are often sea- in diversifying their economic base, creating sonal and low paid. Agroforestry, which com- alternative jobs and livelihoods, and acquiring bines tree planting with traditional farming, new skills. This is known as a “just transition.” offers significant environmental benefits in Green jobs need to be decent jobs—offering degraded areas—including carbon sequestra- good wages and income security, safe working tion. Some 1.2 billion people already depend conditions, dignity at work, and adequate on it to some extent. workers’ rights. Sadly, this is not always the There is additional job potential in efforts to case today. Recycling work is sometimes pre- adapt to, and cope with, climate change. Build- carious, involving serious occupational health ing flood barriers, terracing land, and rehabili- hazards and often generating less than living tating wetlands is labor-intensive work. Efforts wages and incomes. Growing crops at biofuels to protect croplands from environmental plantations in countries like Brazil, Colombia, degradation and to adapt farming to climate Malaysia, and Indonesia often involves exces- change by raising water efficiency, preventing sive workloads, poor pay, exposure to pesti- erosion, planting trees, using conservation cides, and oppression of workers. tillage, and rehabilitating degraded crop and These cautionary aspects highlight the need pastureland can also support rural livelihoods. for sustainable employment to be good not The potential for green jobs is immense. But only for the environment but also for the peo- much of it will not materialize without massive ple holding the jobs. Still, an economy that rec- and sustained investments in the public and onciles human aspirations with the planet’s private sectors. Governments need to establish limits is eminently possible. a firm framework for greening all aspects of 6 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Defining Green Jobs I n October 2007, the online global career to those changes that now seem inevitable and and recruitment service MonsterTRAK perhaps irreversible. This amounts to no less launched “GreenCareers,” a service allow- than a fundamental ecological transformation ing both entry-level and experienced job of the economy. seekers to identify environment-friendly jobs and companies. The company noted in a sur- vey of its users that, “80 percent of young pro- fessionals are interested in securing a job that impacts the environment in a positive way, and 92 percent give preference to working for a company that is environmentally friendly.”1* The surging interest in the intersection of environment and employment comes at a time of profound crisis in both areas. With the ris- ing specter of climate change, humanity faces a severe environmental emergency. Both the 2007 assessment by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the widely noted Stern Review, which warns of the myclimate catastrophic economic consequences of cli- mate inaction, have lent new urgency to coun- Workers collect agricultural waste for a biofuel power plant in India. tering what may be humanity’s greatest challenge ever.2 Economic activity and employment depend At the same time, the world faces equally in fundamental ways on avoiding continued challenging employment problems. Global resource depletion and safeguarding ecosys- unemployment stands at roughly 6 percent, tems and ecological services. Without timely affecting some 190 million people.4 In addi- action on urgent environmental problems, tion, many of the 3 billion or so people aged 15 many jobs could be lost due to resource deple- or older who have jobs confront vulnerable tion, biodiversity loss, increasing natural disas- employment situations. Some 487 million ters, and other disruptions.3 workers do not earn enough to rise above the Addressing the climate challenge requires a $1-a-day level of extreme poverty, and an esti- multipronged approach, including the devel- mated 1.3 billion workers earn less than $2 a opment of more-benign technologies, greater day.5† Many people, particularly in developing efficiency of energy and raw material use, altered lifestyle and consumption choices, eco- * Endnotes are grouped by section and begin on page 44. nomic restructuring, and environmental † All dollar amounts are expressed in U.S. dollars unless restoration efforts. It also requires adaptation indicated otherwise. w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 7
Defining Green Jobs countries, work in “informal” situations as well as scientific, technical, administrative, marked by very low pay, dangerous conditions, and service activities—need to undergo a and no health insurance. greening process. Green jobs will eventually Tens of millions of young people enter the span a wide array of skills, educational back- labor market each year, but not all of them grounds, and occupational profiles. In many secure gainful employment. In 2008, even as 40 existing industries and occupations, environ- million new jobs were being created, the Inter- mental awareness and applied green literacy national Labour Organization (ILO) projected will become increasingly important. world unemployment to grow by 5 million.6 Some green jobs are easily identifiable—for example, people employed in installing solar panels or operating wind turbines. Other Figure 1. Green and Decent Jobs? A Schematic Overview changes that help put the economy on a more Green, But Not Decent Green and Decent sustainable footing—such as efforts to boost EXAMPLES: EXAMPLES: the efficiency of energy, water, and materials • Electronics recyclers without • Unionized wind and solar power use—also involve some degree of “green” adequate occupational safety workers employment. But because there is no clear • Low-wage installers of solar panels • Green architects threshold to define this efficiency, it can be Environment • Exploited biofuel plantation day • Well-paid public transit employees laborers difficult to decide which jobs are truly green. Neither Green Nor Decent Decent, But Not Green Moreover, a workplace may introduce green EXAMPLES: EXAMPLES: technologies and practices in ways that are • Coal miners with inadequate safety • Unionized car manufacturing hard to detect from the outside. Blue-collar workers • Women workers in the cut flower workers may be transformed into green-collar industry in Africa and Latin America • Chemical engineers • Hog slaughterhouse workers • Airline pilots workers fairly quietly as they respond to subtle changes in day-to-day practices and methods. A narrow definition of green jobs might Decent Work focus solely on the environmental credentials of a job. However, green jobs also need to be Particularly in countries with large populations decent jobs—with regard to wages, career of young people, the need for jobs in coming prospects, job security, occupational health decades will be intense; already, youth unem- and safety, and worker rights. (See Figure 1.) ployment represents a major challenge for all People’s livelihoods, rights, and sense of dig- societies. And many existing workers struggle nity are bound up tightly with their employ- to hold on to their jobs in the face of growing ment; jobs need to provide equal hope for the outsourcing, a steady pace of automation, and environment and the jobholder. A job that is other worries about job and income safety. exploitative, harmful, or fails to pay a living The pursuit of “green jobs”—employment wage (or worse, condemns workers to a life of that contributes to preserving or restoring poverty) is hardly reason for celebration. environmental quality and avoiding future Decent work conditions must be as important damage to Earth’s ecosystems—will be a key to advocates for the environment as environ- economic driver in the 21st century. Achieving mental concerns are to advocates for labor. a low-carbon global economy requires large- As the world moves toward a low-carbon, scale investment in new technologies, equip- sustainable economy, those companies, coun- ment, buildings, and infrastructure—which tries, and regions that are leaders in green will be a major stimulus for much-needed innovation, design, and technology will be employment. more likely to retain and create new green jobs. Energy and transportation are particularly The laggards, meanwhile, may incur substan- critical, as they account for a large share of tial business and job penalties. greenhouse gas emissions. But all sectors— Green jobs may arise in different locations agriculture, manufacturing, and construction, than the old jobs in extractive and polluting 8 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Defining Green Jobs industries, presenting a substantial challenge to of the move toward sustainability. But blocking places that depend heavily on these industries. environmental action would not necessarily But some cities and regions have begun to suc- save jobs in these industries. Because of the cessfully reinvent themselves. Toledo, Ohio, rapid pace of automation and resource deple- a typical “rust-belt” city in the United States tion, employment is already shrinking in many once dominated by automotive firms, has of these sectors, even as output grows. In fact, become a desirable location for solar compa- jobs are more likely to be at risk in industries nies. Glass manufacturers there have reori- where environmental standards are low and ented themselves from making car windshields “clean-tech” innovation is lagging. As the to making solar panels.7 urgency of sustainability rises, so does the cost Resource-extractive and heavily polluting of a do-nothing strategy that misses opportu- industries are likely to feel the greatest impact nities for early action. w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 9
Renewable Energy T he transition to a low-carbon econ- sector worldwide; however, global figures omy that is less reliant on fossil fuels are not available for all renewables sources.2 will undoubtedly have negative job (See Table 1.) The bulk of these measurable implications for the oil, gas, and coal jobs are in biomass production (mainly bio- industries. Yet even today, the extractive indus- fuels), followed by solar thermal, wind tries do not employ many people. In most power, solar photovoltaics (PV), hydroelec- countries, growing mechanization in the fossil tric, and geothermal. fuel and other mining sectors has meant fewer Several countries have reasonably good esti- jobs with each passing year, irrespective of mates of their renewables employment. Ger- environmental efforts. many, for example, boasted 259,000 direct and indirect jobs in the sector in 2006.3 The con- sulting firm Roland Berger projects this may grow to 400,000–500,000 jobs by 2020, and to 710,000 by 2030.4 Spain’s renewables industry employs 89,000 workers directly and an esti- mated 99,000 indirectly, for a total of 188,000.5 In the United States, a 2007 study for the American Solar Energy Society found that the renewables sector earned $39 billion in rev- enues in 2006 and employed close to 200,000 people directly and 246,000 indirectly.6 In China, an estimated 1 million people are employed in the wind, solar PV, solar thermal, and biomass industries.7 Wind Power As of April 2008, global installed wind power NREL capacity topped 100,000 megawatts (MW), Maintenance worker on a wind turbine. more than 20 times the capacity in 1995.8 Europe alone accounts for 66 percent of this By contrast, renewable energy sources are capacity and dominates the sector in both enjoying rapid growth, albeit from a small manufacturing and installations.9 The conti- base. A relatively low number of countries— nent’s turbine manufacturers controlled among them Japan, Germany, the United roughly 90 percent of worldwide sales in 1997 States, China, Brazil, Spain, and Denmark— and still hold an 80 percent share today.10 accounts for the bulk of renewables capac- Globally, the leading wind turbine manufac- ities.1 Data suggest that at least 2.3 million turers are based in Denmark, Germany, Spain, people are employed in the renewable energy the United States, and India.11 10 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Renewable Energy According to the World Wind Energy Asso- ciation, there were more than 300,000 jobs in Table 1. Estimated Jobs in Renewable Energy, Selected wind energy at the end of 2006. This includes Countries and World, 2006 direct and indirect employment as well as jobs Renewable in associated fields such as marketing and tech- Energy Source World* Selected Countries nical and financial services.12 Germany domi- Biomass 1,174,000 Brazil 500,000 nates in employment, with some 82,000 direct United States 312,300 and indirect jobs, though Spain is not far China 266,000 behind. In Denmark, where wind employment Germany 95,400 grew from less than 10,000 jobs in 1996 to Spain 10,349 some 21,000 in 2002, unsteady policy support Solar 624,000-plus China 600,000 in recent years has led employment to stagnate. Thermal Germany 13,300 Similarly, in the United Kingdom, where wind Spain 9,142 conditions are far more favorable than in Ger- United States 1,900 many, weak policies have translated into lim- ited wind energy development, with only some Wind 300,000 Germany 82,100 4,000 domestic jobs.13 United States 36,800 Wind development in the United States is Spain 35,000 being driven far more by state governments China 22,200 than by the federal government. Even though Denmark 21,000 new wind installations are expanding rapidly, India 10,000 the country still imports most of its turbines Solar PV 170,000 China 55,000 and blades from Europe.14 Germany 35,000 One of the world’s leading wind turbine Spain 26,449 manufacturers is India’s Suzlon. The company United States 15,700 employs more than 13,000 people directly— Hydropower 39,000-plus Europe 20,000 about 10,000 in India and the rest in China, United States 19,000 Belgium, and the United States.15 Spare-parts production and turbine maintenance are help- Geothermal 25,000 United States 21,000 ing to generate much-needed income and Germany 4,200 employment in India.16 All Renewables 2,332,000-plus The Chinese government has facilitated *Countries for which information is available. the establishment of a domestic wind turbine Source: See Endnote 2 for this section. industry by imposing import duties and requiring that 70 percent of turbine compo- nents be made in China.17 The share of domes- rich areas.21 In northern Germany, the infra- tically produced turbines grew from 25 percent structurally weak coastal areas have benefited of installations in 2004 to 41 percent in 2006.18 from wind development. And in the United However, few Chinese companies have fully States, reinvigorating the industrial “rust belt” acquired the expertise to produce precise and could be a much-needed antidote to the loss reliable blades, gearboxes, and other critical of rural manufacturing jobs.22 (See Sidebar 1, parts.19 China’s turbine industry still confronts next page.) shortages of both experienced wind engineers In a 2006 study, Greenpeace and the Global and a range of components.20 Wind Energy Council outlined three scenarios Wind power development can provide for employment from future wind energy employment opportunities in economically development: a conservative “reference” sce- weak regions. Spain, for example, requires nario based on 2004 projections by the Inter- wind developers to establish a local manufac- national Energy Agency (IEA), a “moderate” turing base to ensure job creation in wind- scenario that assumes the successful imple- w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 11
Renewable Energy Solar Photovoltaics Sidebar 1. From Rustbelt to Windbelt Global production of solar photovoltaic cells In 2005, the Spanish wind turbine manufacturer Gamesa redevel- reached a record 3,733 MW in 2007, a more oped an abandoned eight-hectare U.S. Steel plant in Bucks than 20-fold increase over 1998.24 Japan is the County, Pennsylvania.* The manufacturing of blades, nacelles, leading producer, and in 2007 China overtook and towers now employs more than 300 skilled laborers in this Germany to become the second largest pro- formerly blighted area. In Clinton, Illinois, Texas-based manufac- ducer.25 Roughly 90 percent of China’s PV pro- turer Trinity reconfigured a long-vacant freight-car plant to pro- duction is for export, principally to Germany duce towers for wind turbines. And in Oakley, Ohio, Cast-Fab, an and Spain.26 Germany continues to dominate old metal foundry, has been transformed to churn out iron hubs in PV installations, with nearly half the global and castings for wind turbines. market in 2007.27 The U.S. National Renewable Energy Laboratory reports that investment in wind power offers greater economic benefits in the Job figures for Germany put direct and indi- form of jobs, income, and tax revenues than a fossil fuel power rect PV employment at 26,900 in 2006 and station would. Farmers can reap a “second crop” by setting up 35,000 in 2007.28 Japan had an estimated 9,000 turbines in their fields—garnering income from lease payments PV jobs in 2005, though this figure seems that typically run from $2,000 to $5,000 per turbine per year. For implausibly low given the country’s leading example, Sherman County in eastern Oregon—a typical “one- role in this industry.29 The true number is crop” county—has benefited from royalty payments to landown- likely similar to Germany’s. ers, a shored-up local tax base, and 80–100 construction jobs. In China, rough estimates indicate some Source: See Endnote 22 for this section. 55,000 current jobs in the PV sector.30 One study projects that employment could reach 100,000 by 2020 and perhaps 5 million by 2050.31 But Figure 2. Global Wind Power Employment, Projections, there are concerns about how well these jobs 2010–2050 pay. The breakneck speed of solar development 3.0 also entails significant pollution dangers. One Source: Greenpeace and GWEC key silicon supplier, Luoyang Zhonggui High- 2.5 Technology Co., has reportedly dumped toxic Employment (million job-years) Reference byproducts, rendering land infertile and expos- Moderate 2.0 ing communities to dangerous concentrations Advanced of chlorine and hydrochloric acid.32 1.5 Based on a rough estimate, global employ- ment in solar PV manufacturing may come 1.0 to at least 170,000. Several countries that cur- rently do not play a major role in solar PV 0.5 may see rapidly growing employment in com- ing years, including Australia, Brazil, India, 0 Malaysia, South Korea, and Thailand.33 While 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 solar cell production is concentrated in a handful of countries, employment in retailing, mentation of current targets for wind develop- installing, and servicing solar panels offers ment worldwide, and an “advanced” scenario considerable promise for communities around that posits more far-reaching policy support the world. In Kenya, where more than 200,000 for wind energy. Under the most optimistic solar systems have been sold since the mid- scenario, the number of wind energy jobs is 1980s, a successful PV assembly project initi- projected to grow to 2.8 million by 2050.23 ated in the Nairobi slum of Kibera provides (See Figure 2.) young people with new employment opportu- nities. Kenya has one of the largest and most * Units of measure throughout this report are metric dynamic solar markets in the developing unless common usage dictates otherwise. world, with about 10 major PV import compa- 12 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Renewable Energy nies and an estimated 1,000–2,000 solar (non- specialist) technicians.34 Similarly, microloan Sidebar 2. Solar Entrepreneurs in Bangladesh programs in Bangladesh have proven success- In Bangladesh, the not-for-profit company Grameen Shakti (GS) ful in bringing PV household systems and has installed more than 100,000 solar home systems since 1996. associated jobs to rural areas.35 (See Sidebar 2.) With one of the fastest-growing solar PV programs in the world, In a 2007 report, the European Photovoltaic the company hopes to reach 1 million households by 2015. In Industry Association and Greenpeace Interna- homes with solar systems, women no longer have to clean kero- tional projected future employment in solar sene lamps every evening, and families are no longer exposed to PV using three scenarios: a conservative “refer- dangerous indoor pollutants. GS emerged out of the Grameen Bank micro-lending experi- ence” scenario based on IEA assumptions, ence. To make solar systems affordable to rural communities, the a “moderate” scenario assuming continued company puts together financial packages based on installment but low-level political support for PV, and an payments. GS emphasizes community participation by training “advanced” scenario positing additional policy youth and women as certified technicians and in repair and main- support and dynamic growth. The study con- tenance. To date, some 660 women are installing, repairing, and cluded that, under the best scenario, as many maintaining solar systems, as well as producing accessories; as 6.3 million jobs could be created by 2030.36 more than 600 youth have also been trained. (See Figure 3.) In the coming years, GS aims to create 100,000 jobs through renewable energy and related businesses. The solar systems are Solar Thermal helping to launch new businesses such as community TV shops, China is the undisputed global leader in solar solar-charged mobile phone centers, electronic repair shops, and heating, accounting for some two-thirds of handicrafts. Existing businesses, meanwhile, are able to operate at extended hours, helping to increase sales and employment. global installed capacity. More than 10 percent of households in China now use the sun to Source: See Endnote 35 for this section. heat their water.37 Luo Zhentao, director of the Solar Thermal Energy Utilization Committee of the China Association of Rural Energy Figure 3. Global Solar PV Employment Industry, estimates that the country’s solar Projections, 2010–2030 water heating sector may employ as many as 7 Source: EPIA and Greenpeace 600,000 people.38 6 The outlook is for continued rapid expan- Employment (million job-years) Reference sion. According to estimates, China might 5 Moderate reach 400 million square meters of installed Advanced capacity by 2020 and 800 million by 2030—up 4 from only 100 million in 2006. Domestic pro- 3 duction is expected to more than double by 2020.39 With such developments, employment 2 could grow substantially, though the currently fragmented field of manufacturers will pre- 1 sumably yield to fewer and larger producers, 0 resulting in job consolidation and somewhat 2010 2015 2025 2030 higher labor productivities.40 The European Renewable Energy Council (EREC) estimates employment in the Euro- people, while Spain has about 9,000 jobs.43 pean solar thermal sector at more than 20,000 The Italian solar thermal industry provided full-time jobs.41 But this appears to be highly nearly 2,000 full-time (direct and indirect) conservative. Within Europe, Germany jobs in 2006, with 3,000 estimated for 2007.44 accounted for 50 percent of the solar hot water Based on these figures alone, a more realis- market in 2006. 42 Estimates of German tic European figure might be in excess of employment have risen from 12,500 to 19,000 30,000 jobs. EREC projects that European w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 13
Renewable Energy employment might grow to more than half a Biofuels development entails jobs in both million people over the next several decades. feedstock production and fuel processing. In Nearly half the current solar thermal jobs are Brazil, increasing reliance on mechanical har- in retail, installation, and maintenance—posi- vesting has translated into falling employment tions that are held mainly in smaller compa- in sugarcane cutting, from 670,000 in 1992 to nies located where the solar thermal market just 300,000 in 2008.48 Cane cutters increas- develops.45 ingly face stagnant wages and unemployment.49 In many developing countries, sugarcane and palm oil plantation labor standards are typi- cally dismal.50 Biofuel processing jobs require more technical skill and are likely to offer bet- ter pay, though there are fewer of them.51 In the United States, the biofuels and bio- mass sector employed an estimated 313,000 people in 2006, including in supplier indus- tries.52 China is believed to have some 266,000 people working in biomass, Germany about 95,000, and Spain slightly more than 10,000.53 Other countries, including France, Colombia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Venezuela, Nigeria, and Courtesy Grameen Shakti other sub-Saharan African nations, are also hopeful that biofuels can create a significant number of jobs over the next several years.54 Small-scale, labor-intensive biofuels pro- A solar power kit being delivered in rural India. grams can in principle benefit small farmers and agricultural laborers in rural areas. For example, Brazil’s first biodiesel cooperative, Biofuels launched in 2005, improved the livelihoods World production of biofuels increased some of some 25,000 families.55 But ambitious pro- 20 percent in 2007, to an estimated 54 billion duction targets are more likely to lead to capi- liters. The fuels, produced mainly from corn, tal-intensive monocultures that favor large soybeans, sugar cane, and palm oil, account for operators, processors, and distributors. Con- roughly 1.5 percent of the global liquid fuel trol of distilleries and other facilities is being supply. The United States and Brazil together consolidated in many countries.56 produce 95 percent of the world’s ethanol, pro- A concerted drive to produce biofuels on a viding massive subsidies for this activity, while large scale could lead to widespread clearance Germany dominates biodiesel output.46 of critical ecosystems and to the displacement Vigorous debate has raged over the eco- of poor communities.57 In Colombia, as nomic and environmental merits of biofuels, monoculture plantations of oil palm and sugar including whether these fuels compete directly cane expand into the biodiversity-rich Choco with food production and contribute to rising forest and elsewhere, soldiers and paramilitary food prices.47 A variety of factors—among groups are reportedly evicting and killing peo- them the type of land used, choice of feed- ple to make room for these crops.58 Similarly, stock, type of agricultural operation, and pro- in Indonesia’s West Kalimantan province, more cessing methods—have a bearing on the cost, than 5 million indigenous people whose liveli- net energy use, carbon balance, and environ- hoods are tied to intact forests risk displace- mental impacts associated with biofuels, such ment by oil palm expansion.59 Sawit Watch, an as potential air and water pollution, deforesta- Indonesian NGO, reported that in 2006, more tion, and threats to biodiversity. than 350 communities were involved in land 14 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Renewable Energy conflicts over the proposed or ongoing expan- two years, providing electricity and alternatives sion of oil palm plantations.60 Similar clashes to expensive kerosene for rural households.63 have occurred in Tanzania and Uganda.61 According to a Woods Hole Research Center Much of the biofuels development to date report, India could create some 900,000 jobs in has focused on exports to automobile-centered biomass gasification by 2025. Of these, 300,000 nations. But these fuels have far greater poten- would be with manufacturers of gasifier stoves tial. In southern Mali, the Folkecenter Nyetaa (including masons, metal fabricators, etc.) and embarked on a large-scale, 15-year jatropha- 600,000 in biomass processing into briquettes fueled rural electrification project that will and pellets, supply chain operations, and after- substitute for imported diesel and provide sales services. Another 150,000 people might clean energy to more than 10,000 people.62 In find employment in advanced biomass cook- Bangladesh, Grameen Shakti plans to con- ing technologies. These numbers do not struct 200,000 biogas plants (using waste from include jobs generated in biomass collection cows and poultry as feedstock) by 2012. It has and on biomass plantations.64 so far helped to construct some 1,000 plants in w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 15
Buildings W orldwide, buildings use an but also because the cost is often perceived to estimated 30–40 percent of all be higher than the evidence indicates.4 Other energy.1 This includes not just barriers include short-term profit motives the energy required to operate over long-term savings, fragmentation within these structures, but also the stored or embod- the building sector, lack of education and ied energy it takes to produce the building available resources, and an absence of manda- materials (steel, tile, glass, carpeting, etc) and tory standards.5 the energy used to transport the materials to Green building offers tremendous potential construction sites. According to the Intergov- for green jobs. The building and construction ernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), sector currently employs more than 111 mil- buildings have the single largest potential lion people worldwide.6 In the United States of any sector for reducing greenhouse gas alone, the Apollo Alliance projects that invest- emissions, with cuts of 29 percent by 2020 ing in high-performance buildings (retrofitting possible.2 as well as new construction) could result in the In developing countries such as India and creation of 827,260 jobs. This would require China, where urbanization and expansion of $89.9 billion in investments, tax incentives, the middle class are occurring rapidly, build- R&D outlays, and promotion of new building ing-related emissions and energy use are pro- codes and standards.7 jected to increase dramatically. More than 50 Eleven countries—accounting for half of all percent of new building construction world- new construction worldwide—are members of wide now takes place in Asia, mainly in China. the World Green Building Council, and dozens Over the next two decades, 300 million Chi- more are in the process of forming national nese are projected to move into urban centers, councils or adopting certification standards.8* and China alone will add 2 billion square Established green building standards include meters of new construction each year, dou- LEED (in the United States, Canada, and bling its building stock by 2020.3 India), BREEAM (United Kingdom), Green Investments in “green” or high-performance Star (Australia and New Zealand), and Pas- buildings can drastically reduce emissions, sivhaus (Australia, Germany, and the United materials, and water use and have the potential Kingdom).9 There are currently more than to reduce energy use by 80 percent or more. 40,000 LEED-accredited professionals involved Measures include integrating efficient heating, in green building design, construction, opera- cooling, lighting, and water systems; using pas- tions, or maintenance in the United States; sive solar and other alternative energy sources; 1,500 LEED-accredited professionals in India; retaining energy through efficient insulation and windows and thermal mass; and using recycled, reused, or low-energy building mate- * Members are: Australia, Brazil, Canada, India, Japan, Korea, Mexico, New Zealand, the Philippines, Taiwan, rials. Yet green building remains a niche mar- the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, and the ket—in part because of high upfront costs, United States. 16 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Buildings 1,197 BREEAM-licensed assessors in the FTE jobs by 2050, and 2.6 million by 2030 United Kingdom; and 900 Green Star profes- (if carried out over a more compressed time sionals in Australia.10 These numbers will likely frame).17 keep rising as green building takes over a larger • A 2005 Ecofys study of the 10 EU new mem- share of the construction market. ber states—Cyprus, the Czech Republic, According to the IPCC, the largest potential Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, within the building sector for reducing green- Poland, Slovakia, and Slovenia—projected house gases by 2030 is in retrofitting and 50,000 to 185,000 jobs by retrofitting the replacing equipment.11 Retrofitting provides existing residential building stock.18 work for auditors, engineers, estimators, and project managers, as well as jobs in the con- struction trades (pipe fitters, sheet metal work- ers, HVAC technicians, engineers, electricians, etc.).12 The Clinton Climate Initiative’s Energy Efficiency Building Retrofit Program, active in 16 of the world’s largest cities, is providing $5 billion for retrofitting municipal buildings and also offers incentives for private owners to retrofit existing buildings. The related C40 Large Cities Climate Leadership Group pro- Courtesy Ecofutures Building, Inc. vides support for energy-efficiency programs in 40 megacities worldwide.13 The most ambitious retrofitting project to- date was initiated by the German Alliance for Work and the Environment. From 2001–06, an estimated $5.2 billion (€3.8 billion) of public subsidies stimulated close to $20.9 billion Energy-saving structural insulated panels (SIPs) being installed as (€15.2 billion) in investment and resulted the roof of a residential addition in Boulder, Colorado. in 342,000 apartment retrofits (insulation, advanced heating technologies and controlled air ventilation systems, and PV or solar ther- • The Canadian government estimates that mal systems).14 By 2004, 25,000 full-time implementing a retrofitting program on a equivalent (FTE) additional jobs had been gen- national scale would result in 5,600–7,840 erated and another 116,000 were saved, even as person-years of employment. That represents recession hit the construction sector. The Ger- 20 jobs for every $1 million invested, or 1 job man government increased funding for the for every $50,000.19 retrofit program in 2005 to almost $2 billion Both new green construction and retro- (€1.4 billion) per year.15 For every $1.4 billion fitting are likely to stimulate jobs in the manu- (€1 billion) invested in the program, 25,000 facturing of green building components and additional jobs are expected.16 In 2006, an esti- systems, including efficient lighting, HVAC, mated 145,000 additional FTE jobs were created. waste, water filtration, insulation systems, Several studies document the job-creation alternative energy sources, and energy-efficient potential of retrofits elsewhere: appliances. Producing energy-efficient appli- • The European Trade Union Confederation ances requires more skilled labor than manu- reports that it would cost $4,300 billion facturing inefficient ones.20 The U.S. Depart- (€3,145 billion) to retrofit the EU’s residen- ment of Energy predicts that standards for tial building sector so as to reduce carbon clothes washers, water heaters, and fluorescent dioxide emissions by 75 percent. Implement- lamp ballasts will create 120,000 jobs in the ing such policies would lead to 1.4 million United States through 2020.21 The Apollo w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 17
Buildings Alliance estimates that an investment of $3.5 with 1 million compact fluorescent bulbs billion to modernize appliance standards (CFLs) in households. The ILUMEX program would result in 29,876 jobs.22 generated jobs and provided training opportu- Lighting is one of the lowest hanging fruits nities for indigenous people. Smaller programs for energy efficiency because the transition can have also been implemented in Belize, Bolivia, occur at relatively low cost with existing tech- Brazil, Costa Rica, Cuba, Ecuador, Peru, and Venezuela.23 Manufacturers of CFLs and LEDs (light- emitting diodes) are likely to see tremendous growth in these areas. The three major multi- nationals that have traditionally dominated the incandescent lighting market—Philips, GE, and Siemens’ Osram Sylvania—are anticipat- ing a switch away from incandescent lights to more efficient ones. Philips and Sylvania already lead the LED market, with a 50 percent share.24 In the photonics industry, which has five major markets (one of which is LED light- ing and displays), the estimated number of jobs in the EU is expected to grow from Victoria Baxter 500,000 in 2003 to 1.5 million in 2010. Energy-efficiency measures in the building sector remain underutilized, however. The Traditional lamp shade in Mexico, with a compact fluorescent installed. sheer number of buildings that need to be retrofitted is staggering. Although exact figures are unknown, it is easy to imagine that a nology and provides immediate results. From worldwide transition to energy-efficient build- 1995 to 1998, Mexico carried out the first ings could create millions or even tens of mil- large-scale energy-efficiency lighting program lions of jobs and would green much of the in a developing country, replacing old lighting existing employment in the building sector. 18 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Transportation T he transportation sector is a corner- be a boon for manufacturers of nickel metal stone of modern economies and an hydride and lithium ion batteries, with associ- important source of jobs. It is also ated employment gains.7 (It must be noted, very resource intensive. As of 2004, however, that auto companies are increasingly transportation claimed 26 percent of world introducing so-called “muscle hybrids” that are energy use and was responsible for 23 percent designed more to boost acceleration and of energy-related greenhouse gas emissions.1 The sector’s carbon emissions are projected to rise more than 30 percent by 2010 (relative to 1990 levels)—the fastest increase of any eco- nomic sector.2 Aviation plays a significant role in this growth; even though new aircraft today are 60–70 percent more fuel-efficient than those designed 40 years ago, the rapid expan- sion in the industry is expected to outweigh any current efficiency improvements.3 Road transport accounts for 74 percent of Courtesy Better Place transport-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emis- sions and for the majority of transportation jobs.4 Measures to reduce the sector’s environ- mental footprint range from relatively narrow A Better Place protype electric car. Better Place and Renault-Nissan technical changes to broad, systemic solutions. plan to deploy hundreds of test cars, thousands of charge spots, Greater fuel economy, for example, is a critical and several battery-swap stations in Israel by late 2009. component because it translates directly into reduced CO2 emissions. It can also help to reduce a vehicle’s air pollutants, although fuel horsepower than to improve fuel economy.8) economy and low emissions do not always go Diesel engines, popular in many European hand in hand.5 countries, typically consume 30 percent less Hybrid vehicles are one path to achieving fuel than gasoline engines and emit 25 percent higher fuel efficiency. In 2007, some 541,000 less CO2.9 The consulting firm J.D. Power and hybrids were produced worldwide, represent- Associates projects that global demand for ing 0.7 percent of passenger vehicle produc- diesel light vehicles will nearly double from 15 tion.6 Because hybrids contain an electric million in 2005 to 29 million in 2015.10 But engine in addition to a conventional gasoline diesel engines are not a perfect solution: while motor (plus a battery to power the extra new engine technologies and cleaner fuels have motor), their production entails more employ- reduced sulfur dioxide emissions, diesels still ment than a regular car. The development of emit far more nitrogen oxides and particulate hybrids and plug-in electric vehicles will likely matter than their gasoline counterparts.11 w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 19
Transportation How many of the world’s auto-manufactur- manufacturers that produce cars that consume ing jobs can be considered a shade of green? no more than five liters per 100 kilometers (47 Car sales in the European Union allow a rough miles per gallon) and generate no more than approximation. Currently, the most efficient 120 grams of CO2 per kilometer.17 cars available emit no more than 120 grams of Sustainability in the transportation sector CO2 per kilometer. Among European manu- will require not just improved fuel efficiency, facturers, 7.5 percent of vehicles sold met this but also a transition to greater reliance on pub- benchmark. Among Japanese-made cars sold lic transport. Efficient and affordable transport in Europe, the share was about 6 percent, and systems are essential for economic develop- among Korean companies, it was about 4 per- ment and to ensure that workers have wide cent.12 Applying these percentages to the access to jobs and economic opportunity. But respective workforces yields rough estimates of many cities lack viable urban transport sys- “green” auto jobs. (Equivalent sales figures are tems.18 The Apollo Alliance notes that in the Table 2. Green Jobs Estimates in Vehicle Manufacturing European Union Japan South Korea United States Passenger-car manufacturing workforce 2,000,000 952,000 247,000 1,095,000 Share of vehicles emitting ≤ 120 grams of CO2 per kilometer (percent) 7.5 6.3 4.3 n.a. Share of vehicles achieving 40 miles per gallon or more (percent) n.a. n.a. n.a 1.2 Jobs in manufacturing “green” vehicles 150,000 62,000 10,000 13,000 Source: See Endnote 14 for this section. lacking for the United States, but 120 grams United States, “sprawl and urban disinvestment per kilometer is roughly on a par with a fuel have separated low income and minority resi- economy rating of 40 miles per gallon. Accord- dents from areas of job growth and drained ing to U.S. Environmental Protection Agency resources for education, government services, data, 1.2 percent of all U.S. light vehicles sold and maintenance of existing neighborhoods.”19 in 2007 achieved a fuel economy rating of 40 Investment in transport infrastructure— mpg or more.13) including light rail and tram tracks, bus lanes, The result of these calculations (which stations, platforms, bike paths, and traffic sig- assume that the European sales percentages of nals—creates construction and maintenance Japanese and Korean-made cars hold up for all jobs. These jobs are less energy- and carbon- cars manufactured in these two countries, not intensive than automobile-manufacturing jobs just those sold in Europe) is an estimated quar- and can, in principle, be regarded as green. 20 ter-million green jobs total.14 (See Table 2.) Although comprehensive global employ- This figure is still quite small relative to the ment statistics are lacking, public transporta- automobile manufacturing industry’s global tion—in particular urban transit—is a major employment of 8.4 million jobs.15 Similar cal- employer. In the United States, transit agencies culations for other countries that account for employed some 367,000 people in 2005, up large chunks of the world’s vehicle production from 311,000 in 1995.21 According to the Inter- and employment (such as China, Russia, national Association of Public Transport Brazil, and India) seem less feasible.16 Thai- (UITP), an estimated 900,000 people are land, a smaller producer, has launched a prom- employed in urban public transport in the EU- ising initiative granting tax incentives to 25. UITP has 2,900 members in 90 countries, 20 G R E E N J O B S w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g
Transportation and national statistics from these countries suggest that the number of direct jobs in pub- Sidebar 3. Engine Retrofits in Southeast Asia lic transport amounts to some 1–2 percent of There are some 100 million two-stroke vehicles in Southeast Asia total employment.22 alone, with large numbers also found in South Asia. Envirofit, a Many cities still rely on old and highly U.S.-based independent nonprofit company, works to develop polluting diesel buses, suggesting there is and disseminate direct-injection retrofit kits to improve the effi- significant job opportunity in retrofitting. In ciency of two-stroke engines, running pilot projects in Vigan and addition, newer buses that run on compressed Puerto Princesa, two cities in the Philippines. Retrofits eliminate natural gas (CNG) offer pollution-reduction the carburetor and inject fuel directly into the engine. Fuel con- benefits and are already fairly widely used in sumption is reduced by 35–50 percent, and emissions of air pollu- tants are cut by as much as 90 percent. China, Egypt, India, Iran, Japan, and South Apart from the health and environmental benefits, the fuel effi- Korea.23 Authorities in India’s capital, New ciency offered by retrofits can mean big savings for drivers of two- Delhi, announced that 6,100 new CNG buses stroke motorcycle taxis, and thus a big boost for their livelihoods. would be introduced between late 2007 and The retrofit kits pay for themselves in fuel savings in less than a 2009, resulting in the creation of 18,000 new year. To make the upfront costs affordable, the two pilot cities jobs.24 But making these alternatives happen provide micro-financing, recognizing that many local taxi drivers at a meaningful level and in timely fashion have little disposable income. Envirofit works with local partners requires substantial financing. to develop self-sustaining businesses to install and service the A promising solution to many traffic and kits, and it plans to expand into Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and air pollution challenges is so-called Bus Rapid Sri Lanka. Transit (BRT). Originating in Curitiba, Brazil, Source: See Endnote 28 for this section. such systems now exist in more than 70 large cities worldwide, including Beijing, Bogota, Glasgow, Jakarta, Los Angeles, Mexico City, For short distances, bicycles are a non- Sydney, and Toronto.25 Typical BRT features polluting mode of transport. Global bicycle include dedicated bus-only lanes, special production has fluctuated between about 86 boarding platforms, high-capacity vehicles million and a peak of 105 million in recent using clean propulsion technologies, integra- years, with five producers—China, India, tion with other routes and transit services, and the European Union, Taiwan, and Japan— focused urban development planning. Success- accounting for 87 percent of production.29 ful BRT systems have stimulated economic No good global employment statistics exist for development and job creation along their this industry or for associated businesses such routes.26 Maintaining high-quality service as rental services.30 However, the Institute also means ensuring good working conditions for Transportation and Development Policy for drivers, who need to be well trained and (ITDP) notes that the number of modern bicy- are expected to take responsibility for their cle rickshaws in India has grown from 20,000 performance.27 in 2003 to more than 300,000 today. Reduced In the developing world, large numbers of weight and greater comfort have allowed rick- people depend on vehicles with two-stroke shaw operators to increase their incomes by engines—motorcycles, motorcycle taxis, and 20–50 percent. ITDP is now helping to mod- various three-wheelers—for personal transport ernize the becak, a three-wheeled rickshaw as well as income generation. But these vehicles used in Indonesia.31 Uganda, meanwhile, was generate significant air pollution, with a heavy home to about 200,000 “boda bodas” (bicycle toll on human health and the environment. taxis) in 2000. In both Uganda and Kenya, the Short of replacing these two-strokes with other bicycles provide employment for large num- transportation modes, retrofits offer substan- bers of previously unemployed youth.32 tial improvements in fuel efficiency and con- For inter-urban and rural transport, rail is siderable promise as a source of green jobs.28 more fuel-efficient and labor-intensive than (See Sidebar 3.) road transport.33 Yet in many countries, trends w w w. w o r l d w a t c h . o r g G R E E N J O B S 21
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