GLOBAL AUTOMOTIVE TRENDS 2022 - EXPERT & CONSUMER INSIGHTS ANALYSIS OCTOBER 2021 - AITASTIC
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AITASTIC Next Level Consumer & Communication Insights GLOBAL AUTOMOTIVE TRENDS 2022 E X P E R T & C O N S U M E R I N S I G H T S A N A LY S I S OCTOBER 2021
THE GLOBAL AUTOMOTIVE TRENDS REPORT A I TA S T I C SCOPE & METHODOLOGY ONLINE SURVEY: THE WORLD CAR EXPERT PANEL 102 WORLD CAR JURORS FROM 34 MARKETS A I TA S T I C Next Level Consumer & Communication Insights THE HOLISTIC, COMPREHENSIVE AND CUSTOMIZED APPROACH TO COMMUNICATION AND CONSUMER RESEARCH GIVES AITASTIC CLIENTS A COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE IN A RAPIDLY CHANGING AND INCREASINGLY COMPLEX COMMUNICATIONS AND BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT. GLOBAL >50k | >10m PANEL TRAD. & SOCIAL NEAR REAL-TIME UNIQUE DATA FOR MORE SOURCES IN-DEPTH FULLY INTEGRATED CROSS KPIS AND OPERATIONAL DATA 24/7 THAN 50 MARKETS AI-ANALYSED CHANNEL METRICS AND INSIGHTS IN NEAR REAL-TIME
TRENDING AUTOMOTIVE TOPICS 2022 THE ELECTRIFICATION-TREND CONTINUES: AUTOMOTIVE JOURNALISTS EXPECT A I TA S T I C BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES AS THE #1 AUTOMOTIVE TOPIC FOR 2022 VERY IMPORTANT #1 How important are the ◉ BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES following automotive trends for the year to come? SAFETY QUALITY INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & (Expert-survey: September 2021) ◉ ◉ CONNECTIVITY ◉ ◉ ◉ BUDGET CARS / EFFICIENCY ADVANCED DRIVER- AFFORDABILITY ◉ ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS ◉ SUSTAINABILITY DESIGN & RECYCLING SUPPLY ◉ CHAIN LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS ◉ ◉ ◉ ◉ SYNTHETIC PLUG-IN HYBRID REGULATIONS, FUELS FUEL CELL VEHICLES TRADE, LEGAL ◉ TECHNOLOGY ◉ ◉ COOPERATIONS AND ALLIANCES ◉ AUTONOMOUS DRIVING #18 SHARED MOBILITY / ◉ MOBILITY AS A SERVICE NOT IMPORTANT
BATTERY ELECTRIC MOBILTIY GLOBAL CONSUMER-INTEREST IN BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES PEAKS IN A I TA S T I C 2021 AND FOLLOWS THE GENERAL ELECTRIFICATION-TREND VERY GOOD 7 EXPERT- EVALUATION BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES / MOBILITY 6 CONSUMER- INTEREST 5 1st PEAK OF PANDEMIC 4 CONSUMER-INTEREST: ACTIVE INFORMATION & SEARCH BEHAVIOR ON BATTERY ELECTRIC MOBILTIY 3 MIXED 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 What are the most promising powertrain options regarding e-mobility? EXPERT-SURVEY AMONG ALL WORLD CAR JURORS (Expert-survey: September 2021) AITASTIC CONSUMER INFORMATION BEHAVIOR ON BATTERY ELECTRIC MOBILITY
BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES – CHALLENGES BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES ARE EXPECTED TO PLAY A KEY ROLE IN FUTURE A I TA S T I C MOBILITY – YET, THE CHALLENGES HAVEN’T CHANGED OVER THE LAST 7 YEARS #1 #2 #3 ADVANCED IMPROVED LOWER BATTERY CHARGING PURCHASING TECHNOLOGIES INFRASTRUCTURE COSTS >> STABLE KEY CHALLENGES OVER THE LAST 7 YEARS! How much will the following factors influence the roll-out and success of Battery Electric Vehicles? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
ENERGY-SOURCES FOR FUTURE MOBILITY INCREASING SKEPTICISM REGARDING THE FUTURE OF FOSSIL FUELS – ALTERNATIVE A I TA S T I C ENERGY-SOURCES GAIN GROUND, BATTERIES PERCEIVED AS #1 OPTION VERY GOOD BATTERIES ü For the first time ever, synthetic- overtake fossil- fuels. Carbon dioxide taxations, carbon emission targets and raising carbon footprint awareness among HYDROGEN consumers weakens outlook of fossil fuels as an energy source for SYNTHETIC FUELS PETROL future mobility. ü While batteries are clearly perceived as the #1 energy source for future mobility, hydrogen and synthetic fuels gain attractiveness over the last year. DIESEL NOT 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 GOOD How would you rate the prospects of the following energy-sources for future mobility? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
ENERGY-SOURCES FOR FUTURE MOBILITY BATTERIES ARE RATED AS #1 ENERGY-SOURCE FOR FUTURE MOBILITY. STRONG A I TA S T I C DYNAMICS FOR HYDROGEN IN KOREA AND CHINA – CONTRARY TO EUROPE BATTERIES HYDROGEN SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & EUROPE APAC EUROPE APAC AMERICA AMERICA ME AMERICA AMERICA ME VERY GOOD Strong dynamics in Korea & China NA & APAC most hesitant, but not skeptical at all EUROPE most hesitant NOT GOOD How would you rate the prospects of the following energy-sources for future mobility? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
ENERGY-SOURCES FOR FUTURE MOBILITY PETROL WITH AN INCREASINGLY CRITICAL PERCEPTION IN EUROPE. A I TA S T I C DIESEL WITH A CRITICAL GLOBAL OUTLOOK PETROL DIESEL SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & EUROPE APAC EUROPE APAC AMERICA AMERICA ME AMERICA AMERICA ME VERY GOOD EUROPE most skeptical NOT GOOD CRITICAL OUTLOOK FOR DIESEL IN KEY MARKETS How would you rate the prospects of the following energy-sources for future mobility? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
ENERGY-SOURCES FOR FUTURE MOBILITY SYNTHETIC FUELS PERCEIVED AS VIABLE ALTERNATIVE TO FOSSIL FUELS A I TA S T I C ACROSS ALL MARKETS, DESPITE POTENTIALLY LOW ENERGY-EFFICIENCY SYNTHETIC FUELS LIQUID PETROLEUM GAS (LPG) SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & EUROPE APAC EUROPE APAC AMERICA AMERICA ME AMERICA AMERICA ME VERY GOOD PERCEIVED AS VIABLE OPTION ACROSS ALL MARKETS, DESPITE POT. LOW ENERGY- EFFICIENCY NOT GOOD How would you rate the prospects of the following energy-sources for future mobility? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
ENERGY-SOURCES FOR FUTURE MOBILITY CNG AND E85 ETHANOL WITH A BAD REPUTATION ACROSS ALL MARKETS – A I TA S T I C PARTICULARLY CRITICAL PERCEPTION IN EUROPE NATURAL GAS (CNG) ETHANOL (E85) SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & EUROPE APAC EUROPE APAC AMERICA AMERICA ME AMERICA AMERICA ME VERY GOOD DARK OUTLOOK CROSS MOST MARKETS NOT GOOD How would you rate the prospects of the following energy-sources for future mobility? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
AITASTIC Next Level Consumer & Communication Insights DRIVER-ASSISTANCE & AUTONOMOUS DRIVING
TRENDING AUTOMOTIVE TOPICS 2022 ADVANCED DRIVER-ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS EXPECTED TO BE A GLOBAL TOP A I TA S T I C AUTOMOTIVE TOPIC IN 2022 – CONTRARY TO FULL AUTONOMOUS DRIVING VERY IMPORTANT ◉ BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES #3 SAFETY QUALITY INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & ◉ ◉ CONNECTIVITY ◉ ◉ BUDGET CARS / EFFICIENCY ◉ ◉ AFFORDABILITY ADVANCED DRIVER- ◉ SUSTAINABILITY DESIGN & RECYCLING SUPPLY ASSISTANCE CHAIN ◉ LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS SYSTEMS ◉ ◉ ◉ ◉ SYNTHETIC PLUG-IN HYBRID REGULATIONS, FUELS FUEL CELL VEHICLES TRADE, LEGAL ◉ TECHNOLOGY ◉ ◉ COOPERATIONS #17 AND ALLIANCES HUGE DISCREPANCY BETWEEN ADAS ◉ & FULL AUTONOMOUS DRIVING AUTONOMOUS DRIVING ◉ #SHARED MOBILITY / NOT IMPORTANT MOBILITY AS A SERVICE How important are the following automotive trends for the year to come? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
DRIVER-ASSISTANCE & AUTONOMOUS DRIVING EUROPE MOST CRITICAL MARKET REGARDING ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS A I TA S T I C & AUTONOMOUS DRIVING ADVANCED DRIVER-ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS AUTONOMOUS DRIVING SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & EUROPE APAC EUROPE APAC AMERICA AMERICA ME AMERICA AMERICA ME VERY VERY IMPORTANT IMPORTANT EU MOST CRITICAL NOT REGION WORLDWIDE NOT IMPORTANT IMPORTANT How important are ADVANCED DRIVER-ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS & AUTONOMOUS DRIVING for the year to come? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
DRIVER-ASSISTANCE & AUTONOMOUS DRIVING ANY FORM OF DRIVER ASSISTANCE IS MORE DESIRABLE THAN NO ASSISTANCE. A I TA S T I C DEGREE OF AUTONOMY: HIGHLY AUTOMATED LEVEL 4 MOST DESIRBALE DESIRABLE VERY DESIRABLE LEVEL 0 Driver only (Automated system: no vehicle control) LEVEL 1 Driver Assistance (Driver must be ready to take control at anytime) LEVEL 2 Partial Automation (Driver responds if the automated system fails) LEVEL 3 Conditional Automation (Within limited environments, driver can safely turn their attention away from driving tasks) LEVEL 4 High Automation (Automated system in control except certain events such as severe weather) LEVEL 5 Full Automation (No driver intervention required after setting destination and starting the system) How desirable are the following degrees of autonomy from your point of view? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
AUTONOMOUS DRIVING A I TA S T I C SAFETY & SYSTEM RELIABILITY IS KEY TO SUCCESS OF AUTONOMOUS DRIVING LESS IMPORTANT VERY IMPORTANT SAFETY & SYSTEM RELIABILITY LEGISLATION (ON REGIONAL & NATIONAL LEVEL) #1 SENSOR HARDWARE (RADARS, LASERS, ETC.) INFRASTRUCTURE ADVANCEMENTS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE CONSUMER ACCEPTANCE CAR-TO-CAR AND CAR-TO-X COMMUNICATIONS SAFETY & (INCL. INDUSTRY STANDARDS) DATA SECURITY SYSTEM RELIABILITY ETHICS (E.G. SYSTEM DECISION IN CRASH SITUATION) AFFORDABILITY: EXTRA COSTS NEW PLAYERS (E.G. WAYMO, MOBILEYE, ETC.) NEW BUSINESS MODELS & SCENARIOS (E.G. CAR SHARING) How important are the following aspects to enable autonomous driving? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
AITASTIC Next Level Consumer & Communication Insights INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY
TRENDING AUTOMOTIVE TOPICS 2022 INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY EXPECTED TO BE A GLOBAL TOP A I TA S T I C AUTOMOTIVE TOPIC IN 2022 VERY IMPORTANT ◉ BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES #7 INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & SAFETY QUALITY CONNECTIVITY ◉ ◉ ◉ ◉ BUDGET CARS / EFFICIENCY ◉ AFFORDABILITY ◉ ADVANCED DRIVER- ◉ SUSTAINABILITY DESIGN ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS & RECYCLING SUPPLY ◉ CHAIN LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS ◉ ◉ ◉ ◉ SYNTHETIC PLUG-IN HYBRID REGULATIONS, FUELS FUEL CELL VEHICLES TRADE, LEGAL ◉ TECHNOLOGY ◉ ◉ COOPERATIONS AND ALLIANCES ◉ #SHARED MOBILITY / NOT IMPORTANT MOBILITY AS A SERVICE How important are the following automotive trends for the year to come? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
KEY DRIVERS FOR THE DIGITAL CAR TRADITIONAL OEMS AND AUTOMOTIVE SUPPLIERS ARE SEEN IN CHARGE A I TA S T I C AS KEY PLAYERS FOR THE ‘DIGITAL CAR‘ TA) , TOYO ) PROACTIVE / V W , GM S IN E NTAL .G. IER NT UPPL SCH, CO AGGRESSIVE E LV E S (E E S S IV O S THEM T O MOT .G. ZF, B IVE O S) E M U ( E T ◉O ◉A TOM O AU ) ROID , IBM #2 G. AN D IN T E L ) ! YM O (E. N V IDIA, N , XPENG WA E. G . IA #1 G LE / N IES ( ( E . G . RIV OO PA PS #3 ◉G H COM TA RT-U O) H E R TE C O T IVE S - U PS R A , N UR T M TAR T U RO ◉O AUTO E CH S ILEYE, A E W T ◉N UTO G. MOB N EW A (E . ◉ ◉ APPLE ◉ ◉ HUAWEI MOBILITY- COMPANIES (E.G. UBER) RELUCTANT Which companies / sectors will be the key drivers for the “digital car”? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY EASE OF USE, STABILITY AND SPEED ARE PERCEIVED AS THE THREE KEY BASE A I TA S T I C FUNCTIONALITIES OF INFOTAINMENT SYSTEMS VERY IMPORTANT “Most still try to achieve something Here is a list of base functionalities of infotainment that smartphones succeeded at a systems. How important and desirable are the following decade ago: USABILITY." aspects from your point of view? (Expert-survey: September 2021) #1 EASE OF USE / INTUITIVE OPERATION / SIMPLICITY REMOTE SOFTWARE UPDATES #7 #2 SYSTEM-STABILITY AND RELIABILITY VEHICLE SMARTPHONE- APPS AND REMOTE SERVICES #6 #3 SPEED OF SYSTEM BOOT / LOAD TIME OF INFOTAINMENT #5 #4 DATA PRIVACY AND SECURITY
INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY SMARTPHONE INTEGRATION VIA ANDROID AUTO / APPLE CARPLAY RATED AS A I TA S T I C MOST IMPORTANT INFOTAINMENT FEATURE “Apple CarPlay & Android Auto - consumers prefer a familiar, simple VERY experience that translates across devices.” IMPORTANT Here is a list of infotainment features. How important and desirable are the following features from your point SMARTPHONE of view? (Expert-survey: September 2021) #1 INTEGRATION THROUGH ANDROID AUTO / APPLE CARPLAY NAVIGATION SYSTEM CONVERGING OF #2 (E.G. ALSO FOR SAFETY INTERACTION CONNECTED CAR AND SMART HOME #7 WITH PREDICTIVE ROUTE-DATA, POSITION-RELATED INFORMATION SYSTEMS, RANGE AND EFFICIENCY OPTIMISATION) OPTION TO DISCONNECT (E.G. BUTTON THAT TURNS-OFF ALL #6 #3 FAST INTERNET CONNECTION CONNECTIVITY FEATURES) (E.G. 5G) SMARTPHONE PERSONALISATION INTEGRATION (NOT THROUGH ANDROID AUTO / #5 #4 THROUGH LEARNING ALGORITHMS AND APPLE CARPLAY) CONTEXT AWARENESS
INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY SURPRISE? THE TOUCHSCREEN IS EVALUATED (SLIGHTLY) BETTER THAN BUTTONS A I TA S T I C ON A GLOBAL SCALE. GESTURE CONTROL LEAST DESIRABLE. VERY IMPORTANT Here is a list of human-machine interfaces. How important and desirable are the following approaches from your point of view? #1 TOUCHSCREEN (Expert-survey: September 2021) GESTURE CONTROL #2 CONVENTIONAL BUTTONS (E.G. RECOGNITION OF ‘SWIPING’ OR ‘POINTING’) #7 TOUCHPAD #6 #3 VOICE CONTROL TOUCH-CAPACITIVE ROTARY CONTROL KNOBS FIELDS #5 #4 (E.G. BMW IDRIVE, VOLUME OR CLIMATE CONTROL KNOBS, ETC.) (E.G. AS BUTTON-REPLACEMENT ON STEERING WHEELS)
INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY VOICE CONTROL MOST DESIRABLE IN APAC, BUTTON-PREFERENCE IN NORTH A I TA S T I C AMERICA, EUROPE MOST HESITANT REGARDING TOUCHSCREENS TOUCHSCREEN CONVENTIONAL BUTTONS VOICE CONTROL SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & SOUTH NORTH AFRICA & EUROPE APAC EUROPE APAC EUROPE APAC AMERICA AMERICA ME AMERICA AMERICA ME AMERICA AMERICA ME VERY #1 IMPORTANT IN NA #1 IN APAC EUROPE most hesitant NOT IMPORTANT How important and desirable are the following approaches from your point of view? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
INTERIORS, INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY THE SMARTER THE CAR, THE LESS RELIANCE ON VISIBLE SCREENS? SCREENS MAY A I TA S T I C TURN TO SURFACE PROJECTIONS AND DEEP REALITY DISPLAYS “It has become the fallacy of composition, where one leads with a certain screen, another follows and makes it bigger, and so on until everybody spends more for no evident benefit.” When you think about in-car infotainment systems, which brands / manufacturers come first onto your mind and why? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY MERCEDES, AUDI AND BMW CATCH-UP TO TESLA. IMPRESSIVE: POLESTAR WITH A I TA S T I C ANDROID AUTOMOTIVE OS EVALUATED BETTER THAN MOST OEM-SYSTEMS IN LEAD ESLA EN Z #1 ◉T ES-B E RC ED ◉M S) OTIVE O I TOM AUD MW AU ◉ ◉B ROID (A N D C ARS) STAR LVO POLE L. V O ◉ (INC G R OUP P TO ROU LY AU WG EE ◉V ◉G PA NY E◉ COM R SCH OR PO ◉ ◉ MOT R GR OUP ETC. ORD OTO G, BYD ◉F , FC A) N (PSA U N DAI M N IO, XPE N TIS HY N, A RIVIA TELL E R S: ◉S PLAY JAPANESE BRANDS & ALLIANCES N EW PERCEIVED TO LAG BEHIND R◉ D R OVE SUBI S HI AN S◉ MIT AR L TOR SAN– JAGU RA L M O AULT –NIS G EN E ◉ REN A OND AZ D A ◉H ◉M LAGGING BEHIND O TA ◉ TO Y Which brands / manufacturers lead in terms of infotainments & connectivity? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY TESLA STILL PERCEIVED AS TREND-SETTING WITHIN THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY, A I TA S T I C CLOSELY FOLLOWED BY MERCEDES-BENZ WITH MBUX & HYPERSCREEN IN LEAD ESLA ENZ ◉T E S-B E D ERC TESLA ◉M Mercedes-Benz OS) UDI MW O TIVE ◉“A TESLA ◉ -B new Model S AU T“OMERCEDES M – because it offers the most “BMW: one of the best DROID BMW seems to have moved TAthe R ( AN advanced solutions of any traditional infotainment systems on the OLES game forward again.” ◉ P automaker.” market, far developed U P GRO compared to others, a R O UP ELY A U TO WG E “TESLA – because its large, ◉V “MERCEDES◉ G because of the fantastic MBUX perfect voice control, high feature-packed display E ◉still system and the impressive Hyperscreen of the NY degree of networking.” O R SCH CO MPA stands out in the P industry.” EQS.” ◉ ◉ TO R GR O UP ETC. D MO OR TO R BYD ◉F I MO P ENG, “BMW A) best infotainment in YUN DA NIO , X ( P S A, F C “TESLA, of course, becauseRS: RIVIA “MERCEDES, as its making waves with the ELLANTI sense of userfriendlyness.” H N, S E ST it conceives cars asNEW PLAY latest versions of its MBUX interface and,◉ phones.” more recently, the Hyperscreen.” “BMW. Always have new VE R ◉ features but trying to stay HI D RO BIS “TESLA, because they “MERCEDES-BENZ . ANot N R L the easiest to use, ORS ◉ A conservative at Sthe –M ITSU same N JAGU MOT IS A started the «no buttons» but has a lot of capability, configurability, E NERAL + an time.RNo A U LT–N for changing rush G E N ◉ trend.” ultra-modern appearance.” things.” A OND AZ D A ◉H ◉M TOYOTA LAGGING BEHIND O TA ◉ TO Y When you think about in-car infotainment systems, which brands / manufacturers come first onto your mind and why? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
INFOTAINMENT & CONNECTIVITY CHINESE OEM & TECH GIANTS WITH COMPETITIVE INFOTAINMENT SYSTEMS. A I TA S T I C LI AUTO EVEN SEEN AS GLOBAL BENCHMARK IN LEAD ESLA ENZ ◉T E S-B E D ERC TESLA ◉M UDI “Chinese brands like HAVAL TIVE -) because it has made full infotainment OS ◉A BMW O MO integration (including ◉ ( ANDROID AUTAndroid Auto/Carplay) standard across a range of A R affordable ◉P OLESvehicles, while legacy brands still charge extra for it.” T U P GRO R O UP A U TO WG EELY NEW PLAYERS ◉V ◉G NY CHE ◉ RIVIAN, NIO, XPENG, S MPA BYD ETC. “BAIDU, TENCENT, RALIBABA PO R O UP ◉ - These ETC. ◉ 3 company's R D MO T in-car infotainment OR CO O R G BY D F O systems are YUN Dmost AI M O popular here T , NIO , XPE NG in China.” , ◉ ( PS A , FCA ) H N IS S: RIVIA LAN T LA YE R ◉ S TE L W P NE VE R◉ “LI XIANG AUTO. Because the systemARisLANvery D RO succinct and RS ◉ JAGU O TO direct. All the operation was finished in one or two GEN Esteps. RA L M It is also very ease to operate and lovely.“ TOYOTA LAGGING BEHIND O TA ◉ TO Y When you think about in-car infotainment systems, which brands / manufacturers come first onto your mind and why? (Expert-survey: September 2021)
WHATS NEXT? A I TA S T I C WATCH EXPERT INTERVIEWS ABOUT THIS STUDY ON WORLD CAR TV
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