Five Truths, No Lies SHOPPER PERCEPTIONS AND BEHAVIOR IN A POST-PANDEMIC WORLD: SPONSORED BY - RIS News
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H ow has COVID-19 really affected consumers’ perceptions and shopping behavior? How should retailers grapple with such changes? More than a year after the pandemic began, results of a survey commissioned by DemandTec by Acoustic and conducted by Progressive Grocer parent company EnsembleIQ bring to light five key truths about the impact of COVID on consumer perceptions and behaviors and yield insight into how from 752 consumers in five countries—Brazil, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States—and from five generations of consumers as defined by the Pew Research Center: Generation Z (18 to 22 years), Millennials (23 to 39 years), GenerationX (40 to 55 years), Baby Boomers (56 to 74 years), and Mature/Silent (75+ years). The pool of respondents comprised an equal number of male and female consumers, all of whom retailers might address them. hold primary or shared decision-making for grocery shopping in their household. Survey participants The survey is a follow-up to a research study undertaken were asked about their shopping experiences in by DemandTec and EnsembleIQ in the summer of 2020 and perceptions of the grocery segment, as well as to identify shopper perceptions and behaviors just a in the apparel/accessories, electronics, health and few months into the COVID-19 pandemic. Findings from beauty, home improvement, home furnishings, and the new study, conducted spring 2021, reflect feedback drugstore sectors. 2
34% 1 Consumers are more “on board” with online shopping than ever—and many won’t go back to in-store grocery shopping even when COVID-19 is in the rearview mirror. not return to physical stores: Despite some frustration with the online shopping process, consumers generally find it to be as satisfactory as its physical (brick-and-mortar) counterpart. A marked 73% of survey participants described of consumers themselves as “very satisfied” or “extremely While retailers may have initially assumed that satisfied” with the online shopping experience, “always” or many shoppers who were driven to online and 65% said the same about the in-store “almost always” grocery shopping at the outset of COVID would shopping experience. shop online return to in-store once the pandemic has ended, this is not the case. The pandemic sparked a With more than one in three shoppers shopping versus in-store, dramatic shift to online shopping, and much of primarily or exclusively online and no change a sharp increase that shift will be permanent. in sight, all aspects of pricing, from everyday in the ranks price to promotions and markdowns, must be Specifically, the research reveals that prior to relevant to consumers in the channel where of those who COVID, a mere 8% of consumers “always” or they shop. Achieving success on this front handle their “almost always” shopped online as opposed to necessitates leveraging modern, channel-aware, needs primarily in-store. One year into the pandemic, however, channel-centric price, promotion, and markdown 34% of consumers fall into this category—a science—delivered via an artificial intelligence online. four-fold increase in the ranks of those who (AI) oriented science platform—to set the right handle their shopping needs primarily online. prices at the right times, in turn maintaining Additionally, 22% of consumers plan to “always” shopper engagement as well as a sharp shop online in the future—or at least, to shop competitive edge. online most of the time going forward. In a recent webinar hosted by Progressive Moreover, before COVID reared its head, 58% Grocer, “Shopper Perceptions and Behaviors in of consumers “always” or frequently shopped 2021,” DemandTec executives, including Head in-store rather than online. But the ranks of these of Science Geoff Pofahl, advised retailers to shoppers have greatly diminished, with far fewer ensure that the pricing tools they implement consumers (28%) planning to “always” or “almost for such a purpose accommodate variances always” do their shopping in brick-and-mortar in prices, promotions, and markdowns across stores in the future. different channels. Technology must be aligned with today’s problems and patterns—and the Other statistics further support the assertion permanent move to online shopping is one of that many consumers who started shopping them. It must be built for omnichannel retailing. mostly or entirely online during the pandemic, What works online doesn’t necessarily work in- or those who were doing so before, will likely store, and vice versa. 3
The push to online also creates an imperative for Perhaps not surprisingly, the belief that prices retailers to keep their multi-modal fulfillment are changing in the essential categories is more options open indefinitely. Prior to the pandemic, prevalent among shoppers who have lost income 7% of consumers shopped online for delivery during the pandemic than among those whose by a local store, but that figure has more than income has remained consistent or increased. doubled and now stands at 18%. Similarly, the More than half (56%) of consumers in the former number of shoppers who purchase goods online category perceive grocery price changes as for curbside pickup has increased from 5% occurring more frequently now, compared to to 10%, while the number of consumers who 49% of shoppers in the latter category. Fewer make online purchases from distant stores for shoppers think along such lines when it comes to shipment to their homes has increased from 7% drug and health and beauty prices: Of consumers to 14%. “Buy online, pick up in store” (BOPIS) is 56% whose income has decreased over the course now an option for 12% of customers, up from 11%. of COVID, 38% feel drug prices are currently 2 changing with greater frequency, and 37% feel the same is true of health and beauty prices. of consumers But the profound impact of prices on shoppers who have lost Consumers are shopping doesn’t stop with perceptions around changing income during with a sharper eye on prices, prices—because just when retailers thought taking the importance of price the pandemic perception, image, and transparency price transparency could not get any more dramatic, it did. Consumers’ COVID-induced perceive grocery to new heights. flight to online channels led them to become price changes fast acquainted with and accustomed to a higher Economic hardship and/or uncertainty have as occurring made shoppers acutely aware of prices, far degree of transparency on the pricing front. This, in turn, sparked a strong inclination to compare more frequently, more so than at any other time in the past. prices—a pattern that will persist post-pandemic. compared They perceive price changes as occurring more The grocery channel sees the greatest share frequently compared to pre-pandemic days to 49% of across all store types, most markedly in grocery of shoppers who are more likely to compare prices today (37%)—and down the road (38%). consumers (52%). One-third (33%) of shoppers believe prices Conversely, just 15% of consumers will be less whose income are changing more often in the electronics likely to compare grocery prices in the future, segment now versus pre-COVID; 32%, in the drug has remained and health and beauty segments; 27%, in the while 46% will be as likely to compare grocery prices going forward as they are to do so now. consistent or home improvement segment; and 27%, in the increased. home furnishings segment. Moreover, the availability of such “perks” as free fulfillment of online orders significantly reduces price sensitivity and has the potential to drive demand. Shoppers are “very or somewhat willing” to pay higher prices for their purchases in return for the convenience of free home delivery (58%), express shipping (54%) and even standard shipping (50%) versus pickup. Conversely, the opportunity for curbside pickup resonates far less with consumers: Nearly two-thirds (63%) are “not at all willing” or “not very willing” to accept higher prices to avail themselves of this service— most likely because they must still invest the time and effort to travel to the store to get their items. Given these dramatic developments and changes, it behooves retailers to rely on dynamic pricing technology that harnesses data science to pick up on demand signals and price sensitivities—and sparks adjustments to ensure optimal pricing and promotion across every 4
shopper touchpoint and product assortment. Restaurant closures, fear of contracting Technology that supports systematic, dynamic COVID, economic concerns, and other factors KPI optimization also allows retailers to identify are inducing consumers to increase their 35% of shoppers their true KPIs and to determine which products are the most price-relevant to shoppers at a specific moment. Aggressive prices on KPIs can also be balanced with margin recovery elsewhere grocery expenditures while giving other retail segments shorter shrift. Nearly half (48%) of respondents to the survey currently spend “substantially more” (15%) or “more” (33%) in the merchandise mix. on groceries than in the pre-pandemic days, are visiting the while 29% spend more on health and beauty grocery store DemandTec noted that all of this needs to be aids. Conversely, 53% of consumers have done seamlessly, in an automation flow as part decreased their clothing and accessories less frequently of daily business rather than every six months, expenditures since the pandemic began, than before because KPIs now can change on a dime. Modern and 46% have cut their spending on home the pandemic technology pays a pivotal role—it is a ”must furnishings. have,” not a “nice to have.” began. However, some shoppers have become The use of dynamic pricing technology that highly adept at consolidating shopping trips. works across the full assortment at store level Even stores that offer essentials—such as is of particular importance in light of shoppers’ groceries—see a significant share of shoppers dissatisfaction with pricing in physical stores— making fewer trips to the store to minimize and because retailers are seemingly providing their exposure. More than one-third (35%) of more dynamic, engaging prices online than shoppers are visiting the grocery store less in these stores. A mere 35% of consumers are frequently than before the pandemic began. “extremely satisfied” or “very satisfied” with in- Of these consumers, 23% are making “slightly store prices, and 24% are “not at all satisfied” or fewer” and 12% are making “substantially “not very satisfied.” Far more consumers (56%) fewer” grocery store trips. are “extremely satisfied” or “very satisfied” with prices paid for goods ordered online from and Consumers’ tendency to spend more delivered by local stores. money—and less time—in the grocery store 3 makes it imperative for retailers to focus on maximizing shoppers’ market basket. Retailers’ greatest return on their technology investment will come from solutions that Grocery is eating up a larger utilize both cross-item affinity analysis share of consumer spending— and shopper price sensitivities as variables but consumers are making fewer in recommending optimal prices and trips to the store. promotional offers as well as markdowns. 5
59% 4 Consumers are revved up to respond to promotional offers—with digital delivery vehicles leading the way. respond to different types of promotional vehicles. Statistics from the survey underscore a heightened preference among consumers for receiving offers in digital fashion, with 55% of shoppers noting that they are “extremely likely of consumers Promotional offers have always had their appeal, or very likely” to respond to offers delivered via but COVID has increased the likelihood that smartphone/mobile app compared to 21% pre- are “extremely consumers will opt into them. Today, 59% of COVID; 49%, to offers delivered via store website likely” or consumers are “extremely likely” or “very likely” compared to 22% pre-COVID; and 45%, to online “very likely” to respond to “dollars-off” discount offers, versus ads compared to 23% pre-COVID. 55% in pre-COVID days. A higher percentage of to respond consumers are also “extremely likely” or “very Conversely, home mailers and in-store flyers to “dollars- likely” to opt into “buy one, get one free” deals generate lower levels of responsiveness, at off” discount now than they were before the pandemic (59% 42% and 41%. During the pandemic, such versus 55%). responsiveness has increased much less than offers, versus for digital delivery vehicles, trending upward by 55% in pre- Percentage-off discounts currently resonate with just 15%, to 42%, in the case of mailers delivered COVID days. 56% of consumers, compared to 53% pre-COVID. to consumers’ homes and by 10%, to 41%, in the “Buy several, get several free” and “buy several, case of in-store flyers. get a percentage off” deals resonate slightly less well with consumers, but their appeal is also Clearly, as increasing numbers of consumers greater in the wake of the pandemic. More than migrate to online shopping, home mailers and half (52%) of consumers are “extremely likely” or in-store flyers are being eclipsed by mobile apps “very likely” to respond to the former, up from and websites. This renders it more important 48% before COVID. than ever to communicate relevant pricing information—be it everyday prices, promotions, Meanwhile, just as shoppers’ channel preferences markdowns, or other data—to consumers in have changed over the course of the pandemic, accordance with their preferred shopping so, too, have consumers’ inclinations to channel. 6
Changing perceptions of 5 Shoppers are passionate about private label. Once largely considered inferior alternatives to name brand options, private label products and harnessing other ways to capitalize on the potential of private label products to present shoppers with appealing prices on these items while continuing to yield high margins is equally critical. were slowly gaining ground before the pandemic private label began. However, the pace of consumer These tasks are not best accomplished manually. products make acceptance has quickened over the past year One reason this is so: Optimal price differentials as out-of-stocks on name brands and budget between private label and brand name products it imperative vary across individual product categories and considerations bolstered reliance on store for retailers to brands and turned some shoppers into private brands. As noted on the webinar, no single strategically label loyalists. Consumer interest and trust approach—for example, to finding the right gaps in private label brands continue to increase between the price of a private label product and position and the name brand version of that product—will at a rapid pace, with an astounding 80% of price their respondents to the survey considering them to work. It is a job for pricing science and tools. private label be of similar quality to or higher caliber than offerings against national brands and 17% of participants deeming Conclusion: them to be of much higher quality than their The lasting effects of the pandemic on shopper national brand national counterparts. By contrast, only 4% of perceptions and behaviors are and will continue options. consumers believe the quality of national brands to be significant, necessitating that retailers to be superior to that of private label brands. focus differently on their business than in the past. Automation and modernization of business Changing perceptions of private label products processes—with upgraded technology that make it imperative for retailers to strategically leverages modern data science-based models position and price their private label offerings and techniques as the linchpin—will be the key against national brand options. Identifying to their success in the short and long terms alike. SPONSORED BY 7
DemandTec, a strategic business unit of Acoustic, is committed to taking AI automated lifecycle pricing to new heights. With deep and commanding worldwide retail pricing domain knowledge and experience, DemandTec enables retailers and CPG partners to deliver optimal pricing, promotions, and markdowns across all retail channels to thrive in today’s hyper-competitive retail landscape. Ranked among the top 10 providers in 21 categories in the 2021 RIS Software LeaderBoard, DemandTec addresses retail pricing challenges today and into the future with relentless focus, commitment and ongoing investment. For more information, visit www.demandtec.com. or email: demandtecinfo@acoustic.com 8
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