Ethanol as motor fuel in Brazil
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Public Policies for the Sustainable Use of Natural Resources: the case of biofuels Economic Commission of Latin America and Caribbean Port of Spain, 2007 Ethanol as motor fuel in Brazil Luiz A. Horta Nogueira Universidade Federal de Itajubá Brasil
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol Production and Use in Latin America: Facts and Potential 1. Introduction Ethanol use as motor fuel is old as the automotive industry is. Henry Ford, pure ethanol car (1896) % ethanol Since 1931 Brazil cars use 25% % etanol 20% regularly gasohol blends and 15% several tests were carried out 10% 5% with pure ethanol 0% 1925 1945 1965 1985 2005 Ethanol content in Brazilian gasoline 2
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol Production and Use in Latin America: Facts and Potential 1. Introduction Drivers for growing interest in ethanol as fuel - national energy reliance - environmental sustainability - agriculture activation - economic feasibility (FO Licht, 2006) 3
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol Production and Use in Latin America: Facts and Potential 1. Introduction Currently biofuels represent about 2% of global transport fuel consumption. USA and Europe are aiming to displace 20% of conventional fossil fuels by biofuels by the middle of next decade. (Walter, 2007) 4
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol Production and Use in Latin America: Facts and Potential 2. The Brazilian alcohol fuel program The fuel ethanol industry in Brazil is a consolidated renewable energy program, representing US$ 8.3 billion per year (1.6% of GDP) and 3.6 million of direct jobs. The current production is equivalent to 200,000 oil barrels per day, mainly consumed in Brazil, where represents 40% of gasoline market. 20 Millions of m 3 US$ cents/liter 80 15 60 10 40 5 20 Ethanol production and prices production of ethanol prices for producer ex-taxes for producers, ex-taxes 0 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 5
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol Production and Use in Latin America: Facts and Potential 2. The Brazilian alcohol fuel program Energy for transport in Brazil, 2005 Diesel 53.9% VNG (*) Gasoline A 2.9% 26.2% Anhydrous Ethanol Hydrated Ethanol 8.7% 8.3% Share of ethanol in fuel Share of ethanol in demand in light vehicles (1) transportation demand 26.2% + 8.7% = 34,9% 8.7 + 8.3 ⇒ 17% (1) In Brazilian gas stations are sold three fuels for spark ignition motors: gasoline with 25% of ethanol (E25), hydrous ethanol and vehicular natural gas. Source: ANP; ABEGAS – 2006
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol as Motor Fuel Iin Brazil Por t of Spain, 2007 2. The Brazilian alcohol fuel program 7
Energy value of sugarcane 1 ton 1 T sugarcane CANA ~ = 1,2 BARRIS 1,2 barrels PETRÓLEO of oil AÇÚCARES SUGAR 153 KG 608 x 10 3 KCAL BAGAÇO BAGASS (50% UMIDADE) MOISTURE) 598 x 10 3 KCAL 276 KG STRAW PALHA (15% UMIDADE) 512 x 10 3 KCAL 165 KG 1 T-sugarcane T- 1718 x 10 3 KCAL 1 Barrel of oil 1386 x 10 3 KCAL Only sugarcane is used as feedstock for ethanol production in Brazil, mostly processed in sugar mills, sharing equipments and utilities for raw sugar production, allowing to reduce costs and impacts. (Dedini, 2004) 8
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol as Motor Fuel Iin Brazil Por t of Spain, 2007 2. The Brazilian alcohol fuel program Only sugarcane is used as feedstock for ethanol production in Brazil, mostly processed in sugar mills, sharing equipments and utilities for raw sugar production, allowing to reduce costs and impacts. Sugar plant Sugar molasses cane Juice extraction juice bagass Fermentation Distillation Anhydrous ethanol (for blending) stillage and Dehydratation Hydrated ethanol (for straight use) 9
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol as Motor Fuel Iin Brazil Por t of Spain, 2007 2. The Brazilian alcohol fuel program Economic agents of ethanol agro-industry Brazil, 2005 Sugar Cane Agriculture Phase Sugar and Alcohol Industrial Phase • 50.000 sugar cane growers • 346 Industrial Plants Regulatory Domain: Ministry of Agriculture Regulatory Domain: Ministry of Mines and Energy / ANP (National Petroleum Agency) Gas Stations • 32,030 Gas Stations • Free Market precification Exporters Fuel Distributors • approx. 2 billion litters • 160 Operating Distributors exported in 2006 • Only distributors may blend ethanol with motor gasoline MAPA – MME – MDIC - 2005
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol Production and Use in Latin America: Facts and Potential 2. The Brazilian alcohol fuel program In order to supply a growing domestic ethanol demand associated to the flex-fuel cars success and possibly trading opportunities, in the forthcoming years the ethanol production capacity in Brazil should increase up to 30 million m3. Ethanol mills: existent and Usinas existentes under construction Usinas em implantação 11
2. The Brazilian alcohol fuel program Ethanol cost learning curve 100 (2 0 0 4 ) U S $ / G J 1980 2004 1986 10 1990 2002 1995 1999 1 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 3 Ethanol Cumulative Production (thousand m ) Ethanol prices in Brazil Rotterdam regular gasoline price trend (Rotterdam gasoline prices) trend (Ethanol prices) (Goldemberg, 2003)
Cogeneration technologies in sugarcane agroindustry Condición del Caso Tecnología Combustible Operación vapor vivo 1 Turbinas de contra-presión 22 bar/ 300 ºC todo bagazo zafra 2 Turbinas de contra-presión 65 bar/ 480 ºC todo bagazo zafra 3 Turbinas de contra-presión 90 bar/ 520 ºC todo bagazo zafra 4 Turbinas de extracción/condensación 90 bar/ 520 ºC todo bagazo+40% da paja zafra 5 Turbinas de extracción/condensación 90 bar/ 520 ºC todo bagazo+40% da paja año todo Para un ingenio procesando 2 millones de t, 200 días de Capacidade instalada zafra Energia exportada 80 MW 300 MWh 70 250 60 200 50 40 150 30 100 20 50 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 Casos Casos (Macedo, 2007)
Producción y uso de etanol en Brasil Foresta Amazónica Pantanal 2004 Area (106 ha) Soya 22 Regiones cañeras Maíz 12 Caña de azúcar 6 Foresta Húmeda Atlántica Agricultura 60 Pastaje 200 Agricultura (potencial) 320 (CGEE, 2006) 14
Ethanol feasibility depends heavly on feedstock and production technology… 15 AIE, 2006
16 Matérias Primas para Biodiesel Conteúdo Meses Rendimento Origem Espécie de Óleo de em Óleo do Óleo (%) Colheita (t/ha) Dendê (Elaeis guineensis N.) Amêndoa 26 12 3,0-6,0 Babaçu (Attalea speciosa M.) Amêndoa 66 12 0,4-0,8 Girassol (Helianthus annus) Grão 38-48 3 0,5-1,5 Colza (Brassica campestris) Grão 40-48 3 0,5-0,9 Mamona (Ricinus communis ) Grão 43-45 3 0,5-1,0 Amendoim (Arachis hipogaea) Grão 40-50 3 0,6-0,8 Soja (Glycine max) Grão 17 3 0,2-0,6 O interesse das palmáceas tropicais: dendê, babaçu, licuri... A importância da adequação regional e os subprodutos
17 Produção de Biodiesel no Brasil soja e outras 30% v palma soja e 9% outras palma 73% 37% mamona mamona 18% 33% 3 260 mil m3 840 mil m Oferta de Biodiesel nos leilões da Capacidade de produção de Biodiesel (ANP, novembro de 2006) (autorizada pela ANP, novembro de 2006) A distância entre a intenção e o gesto, entre o discurso e o concreto, entre o possível e o viável.
18 Produção de Biodiesel no Brasil Matéria Produtividade de Área requerida Área for B5 / prima biodiesel para B5 Área para etanol (2005) litro/ha milhões de ha Soja 600 3,33 67 % Mamona 1.000 2,00 40 % Palma 5.000 0,40 8% Demanda absoluta e relativa de área cultivada para produção de biodiesel no Brasil
19 Matérias Primas para Biodiesel Qual o modelo de produção para o biodiesel no Brasil? Colheita de soja no Mato Grosso, Colheita de mamona no 2004 semi-árido do Piauí, 2005 Biodiesel in Brazil, Horta Nogueira, 2005
20 Matérias Primas para Biodiesel Exemplos de palmeiras de interesse Dendê (Elaeis guineensis) Licuri (Syagrus coronata)
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol Production and Use in Latin America: Facts and Potential 3. Some points to comment 9 Ethanol and biodiesel are very different animals… 9 Feedstock selection is crucial on final results 9 Production model: labor or capital intensive 9 Why biofuels in Caribbean countries? ¾ national market or trading abroad? 9 Governmental role is decisive to promote sustainable ethanol programs. 9 Yield and energy balance are decisive on sustainability 21
L.A. Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) Ethanol Production and Use in Latin America: Facts and Potential Luiz A. Horta Nogueira horta@unifei.edu.br 22
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