DEVELOPMENT OF BATTERY CELL PRODUCTION IN EUROPE: MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURES
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DEVELOPMENT OF BATTERY CELL PRODUCTION IN EUROPE: MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURES KEY INSIGHTS FROM THE BATTERY CELL PRODUCTION ACCOMPANYING RESEARCH Jan-Hinrich Gieschen, Dr. Carolin Zachäus, Dr. Aiko Bünting, Dr. Frederik Vorholt Accompanying Research for the funding programme for Battery Cell Production 13th international symposium “Kraftwerk Batterie – Advanced Battery Power”, April, 28.-29. 2021 Postersession, P-066
EU BEV & BATTERY MARKET ACTIVITY New BEV registrations Battery demand Global cell production capacity United States Passenger cars: Total number (2020 vs. 2019) total number (2020 vs. 2019) 2020 2020 BEV registrations EU ↗ 526.397 (+ 113%) Europe 6% 305 Light com. veh.: 35 GWh GWh EU ↗ 28.645 (+ 38%) (+ 121%) Asia Buses: + 410 GWh/a → 1.495 (- 1%) incl. United States IPCEI BEV market ramp-up in 2020 2030 Key messages Significantly increased battery battery demand EU Forecast 2030 demand Europe 600 GWh 35% 1.208 More than twenty-fold increase GWh in cell production capacity in EU Asia Database/Sources: New registrations: eafo.eu; Forecast 2030 battery demand EU: Transport & Environment (2021), From dirty oil to clean batteries, available online: 01.04.2021 2 https://www.transportenvironment.org/sites/te/files/publications/2021_02_Battery_raw_materials_report_final.pdf, last accessed 03/11/2021
IPCEI PROJECTS COVER THE ENTIRE BATTERY VALUE CHAIN TO CREATE A PROSPERING ECOSYSTEM European Commission approved two Important Projects of Common European Interest (IPCEI on Batteries & EuBatIn) to support research & innovation in the battery value chain In total 54 companies working together with 150 Key messages external partners on around 300 projects in 12 member states A major impact on value creation in Europe is expected The activities are equally distributed along the battery value chain For a detailed look at the IPCEIs please visit my colleague Dr. Stefan Wolf in poster session 7! Number of activities in the specific parts of the value chain RAW MATERIAL MATERIAL CELL MODULE AND SYSTEMS BATTERY EXTRACTION PRODUCTION MANUFACTURING ASSEMBLY RECYCLING 01.04.2021 3 21 21 28 23 Sources: Press Releases of European Commission
AN OVERVIEW OF THE BATTERY ECOSYSTEM: STRUCTURES, ACTORS AND DRIVERS Modeling approach of the ecosystem and key facts Network structures of the considered ecosystem and thematic focus N=3,178 different actors: - 81% companies - 12% research institutions - 5% networks/associations. Over 370.000 connections on three networking levels - research, - value creation - strategic activities. Based on the data given, comparatively few key actors take on an interface function and Key messages establish connections between different parts of the ecosystem. Many actors are only well connected within institutionalised networks such as associations. But they lack connections to other parts of the ecosystem. Actors in the ecosystem usually focus in their activities on several value creation stages, which in practise cannot be seperated. Analytically, nine different stages in three different clusters (production, ressources, use) can be distinguished. There are companies in the poorly connected, weakly integrated part of the ecosystem with specialised knowledge to develop innovative products and processes. Research level consists of public funded research activitities (201 projects), value creation level consists of easy assessible value creation activities (50 joint ventures), strategic level consists of strategic 01.04.2021 4 relevant activities (23 associations/networks); no distinction between geographical levels, therefore a slight bias in the presentation is possible; Database/Sources: R&D activities: Förderkatalog, CORDIS; Joint ventures and strategic activities: own research based on news and company/association websites
EMBEDDEDNESS OF IPCEI ACTORS IN THE ECOSYSTEM Location of IPCEI activities within the considered ecosystem (network view) 34 out of 54 (63%) IPCEI actors are already part of the considered ecosystem. 20 (37%) companies are not or only indirectly (e. g. via group level) connected to the ecosystem. EuBatIN activities IPCEI on batteries activities No IPCEI-related acitivites IPCEI projects are among the key players in the entire ecosystem (taking into account the database used in this study) This is a good starting point to transfer knowledge Key messages generated in the IPCEI projects into the ecosystem to support the sustainable development of a European battery ecosystem Nevertheless, there is still a need to bring IPCEI actors in position as a communicator and as a bridge builder to strengthen the ecosystem. Spill- over activities play an important role in this context. Research level consists of public funded research activitities (201 projects), value creation level consists of easily assessible value creation activities (50 joint ventures), strategic level consists of strategic 01.04.2021 5 relevant activities (23 associations/networks); no distinction between geographical levels, therefore a slight bias in the presentation is possible; Database/Sources: R&D activities: Förderkatalog, CORDIS; Joint ventures and strategic activities: own research based on news and company/association websites
CONCLUSIONS The significant market ramp-up of electrified vehicles confirms the forecast demand for battery cells Accelerated by pan-European funding, a cell production industry is being established The ecosystem analysed has good prerequisites with numerous well-connected companies and research institutions, although the raw materials and recycling sectors are still underrepresented Within the IPCEIs, the development of an industry along the entire value chain is promoted – including the raw materials and recycling sectors For sustainable and competitive battery cell production, an exchange of experience through networking of all stakeholders in the new industry is just as crucial as the involvement of small local companies along the value chain Strategic activities as well as a broad set of dissemination activities will support this exchange and facilitates the integration of the ecosystem to develop a sustainable and competitive battery cell production 01.04.2021 6
Thank You! Jan-Hinrich Gieschen Scientific Consultant Dr. Carolin Zachäus Carolin.Zachaeus@vdivde-it.de VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH Steinplatz 1 10623 Berlin Germany Dr. Aiko Bünting Aiko.Buenting@de.tuv.com Jan-Hinrich.Gieschen@vdivde-it.de www.vdivde-it.de Download our study here German version English version Dr. Frederik Vorholt Frederik.Vorholt@de.tuv.com Symbols: AdobeStock / davooda, presentationload, presentationload.de / 360 Line Icons – Business; Maps: presentationload
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