Darwin was right: inbreeding depression on male fertility in the Darwin family
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bs_bs_banner Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483. With 2 figures Darwin was right: inbreeding depression on male fertility in the Darwin family GONZALO ÁLVAREZ1, FRANCISCO C. CEBALLOS*1 and TIM M. BERRA FLS2,3 1 Department of Genetics, Faculty of Biology, University of Santiago de Compostela, 15782 Santiago de Compostela, Spain 2 Department of Evolution, Ecology and Organismal Biology, The Ohio State University, 1760 University Dr., Mansfield, OH 44906, USA 3 Research Institute for the Environment and Livelihoods, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, Australia Received 25 July 2014; revised 3 September 2014; accepted for publication 4 September 2014 Charles Darwin, who was married to his first cousin Emma Wedgwood, was the first experimentalist to demonstrate the adverse effects of inbreeding. He documented the deleterious consequences of self-fertilization on progeny in numerous plant species, and this research led him to suspect that the health problems of his 10 children, who were very often ill, might have been a consequence of his marriage to his first cousin. Because Darwin’s concerns regarding the consequences of cousin marriage on his children even nowadays are considered controversial, we analyzed the potential effects of inbreeding on fertility in 30 marriages of the Darwin–Wedgwood dynasty, including the marriages of Darwin’s children, which correspond to the offspring of four cousin marriages and three marriages between unrelated individuals. Analysis of the number of children per woman through zero-inflated regression models showed a significantly adverse effect of the husband inbreeding coefficient on family size. Furthermore, a statistically significant adverse effect of the husband inbreeding coefficient on reproductive period duration was also detected. To our knowledge, this is the first time that inbreeding depression on male fertility has been detected in humans. Because Darwin’s sons had fewer children in comparison to non-inbred men of the dynasty, our findings give empirical support to Darwin’s concerns on the consequences of consanguineous marriage in his own progeny. © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483. ADDITIONAL KEYWORDS: human fertility – zero-inflated regression models. INTRODUCTION mental research programme on the harmful effects of inbreeding was performed by Charles Darwin, who Scientific and family concerns relative to inbreeding carried out carefully controlled experiments that converge in Charles Darwin’s biography. Inbreeding involved self-fertilization and outcrossing between is usually defined as the mating between relatives unrelated individuals in 57 plant species (Darwin, and leads to increased homozygosity in the progeny of 1868, 1876). In these experiments, Darwin docu- such a mating. In humans, genome-wide scans show mented the phenomenon of inbreeding depression that inbred individuals are characterized by numer- because the offspring of self-fertilized plants were on ous long chromosomal segments of marker average shorter, flowered later, weighed less, and homozygosity (termed ROHs, runs of homozygosity), produced fewer seeds than the progeny of cross- which appear to be randomly distributed along their fertilized plants. Darwin’s laborious study on inbreed- chromosomes (Gibson, Morton & Collins, 2006; Woods ing had its origin in his interest on plant reproductive et al., 2006; McQuillan et al., 2008). The first experi- systems because his research was performed to explain why numerous plant species have systems that prevent self-fertilization and why reproduction *Corresponding author. E-mail: francisco.ceballos@usc.es by outcrossing is prevalent in nature (Pannell, 2009). 474 © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483
INBREEDING DEPRESSION IN THE DARWIN FAMILY 475 However, it is very likely that Darwin also had a Nowadays, Charles Darwin’s concerns on the personal interest in the matter. Charles Darwin was harmful effects of first-cousin marriage in his progeny married to his first cousin Emma Wedgwood and they are often considered unjustified or, at least, exagger- had 10 children (Freeman, 1982; Browne, 2002; Berra, ated because they were based on the extrapolation 2013). Darwin, who suffered illness for most of his from ill-effects of self-fertilization (inbreeding coeffi- adult life with many differing symptoms (Colp, 2008; cient, F = 0.50) in plants to the outcomes of first- Hayman, 2013), was worried about the health of his cousin marriage (F = 0.0625) in humans, as well as on children, who were very often ill, and three of them prejudices against consanguineous marriage preva- died before adulthood: Anne Elizabeth (1841–51), lent in that time (Jones, 2008; Bittles, 2009). Never- Mary Eleanor (1842), and Charles Waring (1856–58). theless, the possibility of an adverse effect of Darwin’s own ill health not only led him to fear that his inbreeding on fertility in the offspring of a number of children could have inherited his medical problems, cousin marriages of the Darwin–Wedgwood dynasty but also he suspected that his marriage to his first has been repeatedly pointed out (Moore, 2005; cousin might have caused some of his children’s health Golubovsky, 2008). Three of Charles Darwin’s six problems (Browne, 2002; Moore, 2005; Jones, 2008; children with long-term marriage history (William, Bittles, 2009; Kuper, 2009; Berra, 2013). The interest Henrietta, and Leonard) had no progeny and their of Darwin on the consequences of human inbreeding unexplained infertility might have been the result of led him to ask his friend John Lubbock, member of increased homozygosity for recessive autosomal Parliament, to make a request to Parliament for the meiotic mutations as a result of cousin marriage inclusion of a question on consanguineous marriage in (Golubovsky, 2008). In the same sense, it has been the 1871 Census of Great Britain and Ireland (Browne, also noted that a number of individuals of the 2002; Bittles, 2009; Berra, Álvarez & Ceballos, 2010a). Darwin–Wedgwood dynasty, including the offspring of Charles Darwin’s son George was also involved in Emma Wedgwood and her brothers Josiah III, Henry, the matter. He performed a study on cousin marriage and Hensleigh, who were also married to cousins, in England, concluding that the adverse effects of presented low fertility (Moore, 2005). However, these consanguineous marriage could be not so strong as observations do not constitute convincing evidence of assumed in that time, particularly in the best families: an adverse effect of inbreeding on fertility in the ‘I may mention that Dr. Arthur Mitchell, of Edinburgh, Darwins’ children because the relationship between conducted an extensive inquiry, and came to the con- inbreeding and fertility among marriages has not clusion that, under favourable conditions of life, the been investigated in the Darwin–Wedgwood dynasty. apparent ill-effects were frequent almost nil, whilst if Furthermore, it is necessary to take into account that the children were ill fed, badly housed and clothed, the the present knowledge of the impact of inbreeding on evil might become very marked. This is in striking fertility is very limited in humans. By contrast to the accordance with some unpublished experiments of my extensive evidence for inbreeding depression on pre- father, Mr. Charles Darwin, on the in-and-in breeding reproductive survival (Bittles & Black, 2010; Álvarez, of plants; for he has found that in-bred plants, when Quinteiro & Ceballos, 2011; Bittles, 2012; Ceballos & allowed enough space and good soil, frequently show Álvarez, 2013), the effects of increased homozygosity little or no deterioration, whilst when placed in com- on human fertility caused by inbreeding are little petition with another plant, they frequently perish or known and only a few studies have reported conclu- are much stunted’ (Darwin, 1875). Darwin was very sive evidence (Ober, Hyslop & Hauck, 1999; Robert influenced by George’s research in such a way that he et al., 2009; Postma, Martini & Martini, 2010). The revised his opinion on the effects of consanguineous high incidence of cousin marriages in the Charles marriage in his late years. In the last edition of The Darwin family gives the opportunity of using such variation of animals and plants under domestication, marriages as a useful framework for investigating the published in 1875, Darwin claimed: ‘Whether consan- effects of inbreeding on human fertility, which, in guineous marriages, such as are permitted in civilized turn, could shed light on Darwin’s concerns regarding nations, and which would not be considered as close the consequences of consanguineous marriage in his interbreeding in the case of our domesticated animals, own progeny. cause any injury will never be known with certainty until a census is taken with this object in view. My son, George Darwin, has done what is possible at present by MATERIAL AND METHODS a statistical investigation, and he has come to the conclusion, from his own researches and those of Dr. GENEALOGICAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA Mitchell, that the evidence as to any evil thus caused Genealogical information obtained from The Exciting is conflicting, but on the whole points to the evil being Wedgwoods Home Page (http://www.familyhistorian very small’. .info/exciting/wedgwood/index.html), Kindred Britain © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483
476 G. ÁLVAREZ ET AL. Figure 1. Partial pedigree of the 26 individuals of the Darwin–Wedgwood dynasty considered for the fertility analysis. (http://www.kindred.stanford.edu), and other sources depth of at least five generations. Inbreeding coeffi- (Freeman, 1984; Berra, Álvarez & Shannon, 2010b) cients for individuals belonging to other different was used to extend the pedigree of the Darwin– families who were married to Darwin–Wedgwood Wedgwood dynasty constructed by Berra et al. individuals were based on at least three generations, (2010a) to include all the individuals considered in and therefore they were individuals for whom all the present study (Fig. 1). Pedigree analysis was used their great-grandparents were known. to calculate the individual inbreeding coefficient for Demographic data consisted of the total number of husband (Fh) and wife (Fw) and the kinship coefficient children produced per woman, the age of marriage for (θ) of the couple by means of FSPEED software both husband and wife, the duration of marriage, the (Tenset Technologies; http://www.tenset.co.uk/fspeed). protogenesic interval (time interval between marriage The inbreeding coefficient (F) is the probability that and birth of the first child), the intergenesic interval an individual receives at a given autosomal locus two (mean time between two successive birth events), and alleles that are identical by descent or, equivalently, the reproductive span (time interval between the first the proportion of the individual’s autosomal genome and the last child). To obtain a measure of the repro- expected to be homozygous by descent (autozygous) ductive period duration for all women irrespective of (Cavalli-Sforza & Bodmer, 1971; Falconer & Mackay, the number of children, an index denoted effective 1996; Hedrick, 2011). The proportion of the individu- reproductive span was defined as the reproductive al’s genome that is identical by descent (f) is expected span + 1. In this way, a couple with one child has an to be the inbreeding coefficient (F) with variance effective reproductive span of 1 year, and an effective Var (f) ≈ 2F(1 – F)/ρG, where G is the total length of reproductive span of zero was assigned to couples the autosomal genome expressed in Morgans and with no children. The demographic information ρ = nm + nf, where nm and nf denote, respectively, was obtained from the genealogical sources above the number of meiosis from the individual to the mentioned. ancestral pair in the paternal and maternal lines (Carothers et al., 2006). The coefficient of kinship of a couple is the probability that two alleles at the same STATISTICAL ANALYSIS locus drawn at random, one from each spouse, are The effects of explanatory variables such as Fh, Fw, θ, identical by descent, and therefore the inbreeding age at marriage for husband and wife, and duration of coefficient of an individual is equal to kinship coeffi- marriage on the total number of children per woman cient of his or her parents. The amount of pedigree were investigated through different regression models information available for the individuals from the for count data: generalized linear models (GLMs) and Darwin–Wedgwood dynasty allowed us to compute zero-inflated models (Zeileis, Kleibe & Jackman, inbreeding coefficients on the basis of a pedigree 2008; Zuur et al., 2009). Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483
INBREEDING DEPRESSION IN THE DARWIN FAMILY 477 and zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) regression RESULTS models, as well as their classical counterparts, Poisson GLM and negative binomial GLM, were used The inbreeding effects on fertility in the Darwin– because the distribution of number of children from Wedgwood dynasty were investigated in the offspring Darwin–Wedgwood women was characterized by of a number of marriages that presented remarkable excess zeros and overdispersion (sample variance differences in their degree of consanguinity (Fig. 1). larger than the mean). The relative goodness of fit of Four cousin marriages were contracted by Charles the different regression models to data was evaluated Darwin’s wife, Emma Wedgwood, and her brothers by the Akaike information criterion (AIC), which was Josiah III, Hensleigh and Henry. Hensleigh used as a model selection criterion to decide on the Wedgwood was married to his first cousin, Frances optimal model. The negative binomial distribution is Makintosh, giving place to offspring with an inbreed- commonly used for overdispersed count data in many ing coefficient of 0.0625. The marriage of Charles and areas of biological research (White & Bennetts, 1996; Emma and the marriage of Josiah Wedgwood III and Lloyd-Smith, 2007) and is usually expressed in terms Caroline Darwin, Charles Darwin’s sister, were also of the mean (m) and a dispersion parameter k, and first-cousin unions but their progeny had an inbreed- its variance is m + m2/k. The smaller k, the larger ing coefficient of 0.0630 given that their grandpar- the overdispersion. If k→∞, the negative binomial ents, Josiah Wedgwood I and Sarah Wedgwood, were converges to the Poisson distribution with variance third cousins. Henry Wedgwood and his wife Jessie equal to m. Negative binomial GLM can cope with Wedgwood were double first cousins because their overdispersion as a result of extra variation in fathers, Josiah Wedgwood II and John Wedgwood, the nonzero part of the data, whereas zero-inflated were brothers and their mothers, Elizabeth Allen and regression models are capable of dealing with Louisa Allen, were sisters, in such a way that their overdispersion as a result of an excessive numbers of progeny had an inbreeding coefficient of 0.1255, zeros (Zeileis et al., 2008; Zuur et al., 2009). Zero taking into account that their paternal grandparents inflation models are two-component mixture models were third cousins. On the other hand, two other that combine a point mass at zero with a count Emma’s siblings, Charlotte and Francis, as well as distribution such as Poisson or negative binomial. In their cousin, Robert Wedgwood, contracted marriages these models, the zeros are modelled as coming from to unrelated individuals (Charles Langton, Frances two different processes: the true zeros correspond to Mosley, and Mary Hasley, respectively) and, there- the count process and are modelled by a Poisson (ZIP) fore, in these three cases, the progeny had an inbreed- or negative binomial (ZINB) GLM, whereas the false ing coefficient equal to zero. The offspring of these zeros are modelled by a binomial GLM. It is reason- seven couples involved a total number of 26 married able to assume that zero inflation models are very individuals (13 men and 13 women) who had a appropriate for our particular situation because common genetic background, the Wedgwood back- a significant number of women (14/30; 46.7%) had ground, and presented remarkable differences in their zero children, in such a way that some of them inbreeding level (ranging from F = 0 to F = 0.1255). could be biologically sterile and therefore they could These 26 individuals contracted a total number of 30 correspond to false zeros. On the other hand, the marriages (Table 1), taking into account that one man likelihood-ratio test was used to choose between married three times (Darwin’s son Francis), three Poisson and negative binomial models and between men married twice [Darwin’s son Leonard, Godfrey ZIP and ZINB because Poisson and negative binomial Wedgwood (Francis Wedgwood’s son) and Rowland are nested models and the same is true for ZIP and Wedgwood (Henry Wedgwood’s son)], and that ZINB. Estimates of the dispersion parameter k of the Godfrey Wedgwood’s second wife was Hope Wedgwood negative binomial distribution were obtained by the (Hensleigh Wedgwood’s daughter). These 30 mar- maximum likelihood method and the likelihood-ratio riages were considered for the fertility analysis and test above mentioned was used for testing the included women born in the period from 1834 to 1875 statistical significance of a k estimate. The effective and men born in the period 1832–1854. reproductive span was considered as a count response The inbreeding coefficient for husband and wife (Fh variable and therefore it was analyzed by means of and Fw) and the kinship of couple (θ), as well as the the regression models for the count data mentioned demographic variables number of children per woman above. Protogenesic and intergenesic intervals were (family size), age at marriage for husband and response variables investigated through Gaussian wife (AMh and AMw), duration of marriage (DM), linear regression by ordinary least squares. All protogenesic and intergenesic intervals, and repro- the statistical analyses were conducted using the ductive span from the 30 marriages of the Darwin– statistical software R (R Development Core Team, Wedgwood dynasty are given in Table 1. Mean ± SE 2011). values for Fh, Fw, and θ were 0.0437 ± 0.0092, © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483
Table 1. Inbreeding coefficient for husband and wife (Fh and Fw), kinship coefficient of couple (θ), number of children, age at marriage for husband and wife (AMh, 478 AMw), duration of marriage (DM), protogenesic interval, intergenesic interval, and reproductive span from 30 marriages of the Darwin–Wedgwood dynasty Number of Protogenesic Intergenesic Reproductive Husband Wife Fh Fw θ children AMh AMw DM interval interval span Charles Darwin & Emma Wedgwood’s children William Darwin Sara Sedgwick 0.0630 0.0000 0.0000 0 38 38 25 – – – Richard Litchfield Henrietta Darwin 0.0000 0.0630 0.0000 0 39 27 32 – – – George Darwin Maud du Puy 0.0630 0.0000 0.0000 5 39 23 28 12 42.00 14 Francis Darwin Amy Ruck 0.0630 – – 1 26 26 2 28 – 0 Francis Darwin Ellen Wordsworth 0.0630 – – 1 35 27 20 31 – 0 G. ÁLVAREZ ET AL. Francis Darwin Florence Fisher 0.0630 0.000 0.0000 0 65 48 7 – – – Leonard Darwin Elisabeth Fraser 0.0630 0.0000 0.0392 0 32 32 16 – – – Leonard Darwin Charlotte Massingberd 0.0630 0.0000 0.0000 0 50 36 40 – – – Horace Darwin Emma Farrer 0.0630 0.0000 0.0000 3 29 25 48 22 23.00 4 Josiah Wedgwood III & Caroline Darwin’s children Arthur Williams Margaret Wedgwood 0.0000 0.0630 0.0000 3 33 24 5 19 18.00 3 Matthew Harrison Lucy Wedgwood – 0.0630 – 3 28 27 45 21 15.00 3 Charles Langton & Charlotte Wedgwood′s children Edmund Langton Caroline Massingberd 0.000 0.000 0.0625 4 26 19 8 14 20.00 8 Francis Wedgwood & Frances Mosley’s children Godfrey Wedgwood Mary Hawkshaw 0.0000 – – 1 29 26 1 12 – 0 Godfrey Wedgwood Hope Wedgwood* 0.0000 0.0625 0.0782 1 43 32 29 48 – 0 John Hawkshaw Cecily Wedgwood – 0.0000 – 4 24 28 52 12 26.33 9 Clement Wedgwood Emilie Rendel 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 6 26 26 23 12 24.80 10 Lawrence Wedgwood Emma Houseman 0.0000 – – 6 27 30 42 27 19.80 9 Johannes Franke Constance Wedgwood – 0.0000 – 0 33 34 23 – – – Arthur Parson Fanny Wedgwood – 0.0000 – 0 35 28 27 – – – Henry Wedgwood & Jessie Wedgwood’s children William Kempson Louisa Wedgwood – 0.1255 – 4 30 30 17 35 30.33 7 John Wedgwood Helen Tyler 0.1255 0.0000 0.0000 2 26 21 16 18 28.00 3 Ralph Carr Anne Wedgwood – 0.1255 – 0 37 29 7 – – – Rowland Wedgwood Sophia Rudd 0.1255 – – 0 36 26 16 – – – Rowland Wedgwood Agnes Harley 0.1255 – – 0 60 32 14 – – – Hensleigh Wedgwood & Frances Makintosh’s children Ernest Wedgwood Mary Bell 0.0625 – – 1 50 22 11 74 – 0 Thomas Farrer Katherine Wedgwood – 0.0625 – 0 34 33 26 – – – Alfred Wedgwood Margaret Ingall 0.0625 0.0000 0.0000 3 31 19 19 36 96.00 16 Robert Wedgwood & Mary Hasley’s children Reginald Hoskins Eleanor Wedgwood 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0 30 33 3 – – – Clement Allen Edith Wedgwood 0.0000 0.0000 0.0313 0 33 23 13 – – – Wilfred Allen Anna Wedgwood 0.0000 0.0000 0.0313 0 34 28 39 – – – Mean 0.0437 0.0246 0.0152 1.60 35.3 28.4 21.8 26.3 31.2 5.38 SE 0.0092 0.0086 0.0064 0.36 1.8 1.1 2.6 4.1 6.8 1.30 *Hensleigh Wedgwood’s daughter. © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483 Inbreeding/coancestry coefficient was not computed for those individuals/marriages with incomplete genealogical information, which is indicated by a hyphen.
INBREEDING DEPRESSION IN THE DARWIN FAMILY 479 0.0246 ± 0.0086 and 0.0152 ± 0.0064, respectively. Table 2. Regression analysis of number of children per The distribution of the number of children per woman woman as a function of husband and wife inbreeding presented a relatively low mean ± SE, 1.60 ± 0.36, coefficient (Fh and Fw), kinship (θ), age at marriage for mainly as a result of the high proportion of women husband and wife (AMh and AMw) and duration of mar- who had no children (14/30, 46.7%). In addition, the riage (DM) through a zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) model distribution was overdispersed because the observed ratio of variance to mean was 2.44 (3.90/1.60), a value Coefficient SE P that is not very different from the ratio found in many Regression analysis for 16 marriages (complete model) human populations where variances in the number of Fh −14.806 ±8.979 0.0496 progeny are from 1.5- to three-fold as great as their Fw −1.388 ±13.335 0.459 means (Cavalli-Sforza & Bodmer, 1971). Indeed, the θ −12.834 ±9.724 0.093 observed distribution significantly departs from the AMh −0.002 ±0.053 0.489 Poisson distribution with the same mean (χ2 = 24.39, AMw −0.172 ±0.075 0.011 d.f. = 3, P < 0.001), and it was mainly the result of DM 0.027 ±0.023 0.120 excessive number of zero values because the number Regression analysis for 23 marriages (Fw and θ removed) of women who had no children was 14, whereas the Fh −12.546 ±5.986 0.018 expected value according to Poisson was 6.1. The AMh −0.031 ±0.036 0.195 mean ± SE duration of the Darwin–Wedgwood mar- AMw −0.146 ±0.051 0.002 riages was 21.8 ± 2.6 years, and mean ± SE values for DM 0.041 ±0.014 0.002 age at marriage for husband and wife were 35.3 ± 1.8 years and 28.4 ± 1.1 years, respectively. The repro- ductive span of Darwin–Wedgwood women was 5.38 ± 1.30 years, an extremely short reproductive GLM, respectively). Indeed, the dispersion parameter period in comparison to values of contemporary popu- k of the negative binomial distribution was not sta- lations such as the Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean popula- tistically significant by the likelihood-ratio test in tion in Canada, where recent research focusing on both ZINB and negative binomial GLM. Conse- 182 women born in 1879 showed a mean reproductive quently, the corresponding results for the ZIP model period duration of 15.87 years (Robert et al., 2009). are given in Table 2. A statistically significant adverse Mean ± SD values for protogenesic and intergenesic effect of the inbreeding coefficient of husband (Fh) on intervals (both in months) were 26.3 ± 4.1 and the number of children was found (P = 0.0496). In 31.2 ± 6.8, respectively. addition, a significantly negative effect of AMw on The effects of inbreeding (Fh and Fw) and kinship (θ) family size was also detected. Those women who got on the number of children per woman were investi- married at an earlier age had a higher number of gated through ZIP and ZINB regression models, as progeny. The remaining explanatory variables did not well as their classical counterparts, Poisson and nega- have a statistical significant effect on the number of tive binomial GLMs (Zeileis et al., 2008; Zuur et al., children. To maximize statistical power, we subse- 2009). These regression models for count data were quently tested for an effect Fh on the number of used because the distribution of number of children in children per woman by removing both Fw and θ from the Darwin–Wedgwood women was characterized by the analysis, in such a way that we had a sample a high proportion of women who had no children and size of 23 couples in the new regression analysis overdispersion, as noted above. We first tested simul- (see Supporting information, Table S1). According to taneously for an effect of Fh, Fw, θ, AMh, AMw, and DM the AIC criterion, the best model was ZIP and the on the number of children per woman through ZIP, next best was Poisson GLM (AICs were 72.511 and ZINB, Poisson GLM, and negative binomial GLM (see 73.358, respectively), as in the previous analysis. Supporting information, Table S1). Note that the Accordingly, Table 2 (bottom) shows the results for sample size (N = 16 couples) is greatly reduced for the ZIP model. A significantly negative effect of Fh on this analysis because only couples for which we have the number of children was detected (P = 0.018). It is sufficient pedigree information for both husband and therefore confirmed that inbred husbands had signifi- wife (and their kinship) could be included. According cantly fewer children (Fig. 2). A significantly negative to the AIC, the model that better fit to data was ZIP effect of AMw on family size was also detected, as in and the second better was Poisson GLM, although the the previous analysis and, in addition, a significantly difference between the two models was very small positive effect of DM on the number of children (AICs were 58.072 and 58.530, respectively). The was also found. Because, in our data set, four men regression models based on the negative binomial married more than once (Francis and Leonard distribution presented a poor fit to data (AICs were Darwin and Godfrey and Rowland Wedgwood), a 60.073 and 60.295 for ZINB and negative binomial pseudoreplication problem could be present in our © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483
480 G. ÁLVAREZ ET AL. Table 3. Regression analysis of effective reproductive span as a function of husband and wife inbreeding coeffi- cient (Fh and Fw), kinship (θ), age at marriage for husband and wife (AMh and AMw) and duration of marriage (DM) through a zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) model Coefficient SE P Fh −16.732 ±5.748 0.002 Fw −15.576 ±10.967 0.078 θ −21.713 ±8.143 0.004 AMh 0.019 ±0.033 0.281 AMw −0.243 ±0.065 0.009 DM 0.016 ±0.019 0.197 binomial GLM. ZIP was the regression model that better fit to data in terms of the AIC values and the corresponding results are given in Table 3 (the results for the four regression models are provided in the Supporting information, Table S3). Significantly negative effects of both Fh and AMw on the effective reproductive span were found (P = 0.002 and P = 0.009, respectively). The higher inbreeding coeffi- cient for husband, the lower reproductive period dura- tion (Fig. 2) and, in the same way, the increase in AMw led to lower effective reproductive span. In addi- tion, a significantly negative effect of kinship of couple (θ) on the effective reproductive span was also found. Figure 2. Mean number of children and effective repro- The higher kinship of the couple, the lower effective ductive span for different values of husband inbreeding reproductive span. Finally, it is interesting to note coefficient (Fh) from 23 Darwin–Wedgwood marriages. The that the effects of female inbreeding (Fw) were not bars corresponding to Fh = 0.0630 represent fertility detected on either the number of children per woman values for Charles Darwin’s son. or effective reproductive span. It could be that female inbreeding had no effect on fertility in the Darwin– Wedgwood marriages, although it could be simply a regression analyses. To circumvent this statistical consequence of the low inbreeding of females com- problem, we performed a new regression analysis by pared to males in these marriages (the mean inbreed- using the mean number of children per woman for ing for men was nearly twice as high as for women: each one of those four men. The results obtained were 0.0437 versus 0.0246). very similar to those from the previous analysis (results not shown). Thus, ZIP gave a better fit than Poisson GLM in terms of AIC values (68.81 DISCUSSION versus 69.90, respectively) and a statistical signifi- cant adverse effect of Fh on number of children was An adverse effect of male inbreeding on both number detected (Fh = −12.257, P = 0.035). of children per woman and duration of reproductive The effects of inbreeding on protogenesic and period was detected through zero-inflated regression intergenesic intervals were investigated through models from 30 Darwin–Wedgwood marriages. Inbred regression analyses by ordinary least squares. The men had significantly fewer children and shorter analyses did not show statistical significant effects reproductive span (Fh = −12.546, P = 0.018 for for any explanatory variable (Fh, Fw, θ, AMh, AMw, and number of children and Fh = −16.732, P = 0.002 for DM) on either protogenesic or intergenesic interval effective reproductive span). To our knowledge, this is (see Supporting information, Table S2). On the other the first time that inbreeding depression on male hand, inbreeding effects on effective reproductive fertility has been detected in humans. Although a span were investigated through regression models for number of studies have investigated the effect of count data: ZIP, ZINB, Poisson GLM and negative kinship or consanguinity between spouses on the total © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483
INBREEDING DEPRESSION IN THE DARWIN FAMILY 481 number of offspring (Bittles et al., 2002; Helgason number of long homozygous segments (exceeding 3 et al., 2008; Bittles, 2012), the impact of male and/or cM) randomly distributed along their chromosomes female inbreeding on human fertility has not been (Woods et al., 2006). The number of homozygous examined intensively and only a few studies have segments ranged from seven to 32 segments per produced conclusive evidence. Thus, inbred women, individual (mean of 20 homozygous segments), and but not inbred men, showed significantly fewer chil- the proportion of the individual genome that was dren in both the Hutterites from South Dakota and a homozygous varied from 5% to 20%, with a mean small and isolated Swiss village (Ober et al., 1999; value of 11%. Therefore, the variation in family size Postma et al., 2010). On the other hand, although among Darwin’s sons is not unexpected from a male inbreeding had no effect on total number of genomic perspective of inbreeding. On the other hand, offspring, high levels of male inbreeding were associ- a significantly positive association between childhood ated with a reduction of the productivity of parents mortality and inbreeding coefficient among the off- during the second half of their reproductive period spring of 25 Darwin–Wedgwood marriages that compared to the first half, in a cohort of Canadian included Darwin’s children has been reported (Berra women born in late 19th Century (Robert et al., 2009). et al., 2010a). This finding suggests that the high It was found that inter-birth intervals increase with child mortality experienced by Darwin progeny (three parental age and this increase was significantly of his 10 children died at age 10 years or younger) stronger for most inbred males. An increase in inter- with respect to the mortality of non-inbred progeny birth interval with age stronger for most inbred males (9.34 ± 3.23) from other Darwin–Wedgwood families was observed in the Darwin–Wedgwood marriages might be a result of increased homozygosity of del- (results not presented), although this effect was not eterious alleles due to cousin marriage (Berra et al., statistically significant because the number of women 2010a). The reasoning that inbreeding was involved who had three or more children was very small in our in childhood mortality in the Darwin progeny is con- sample. The results reported in the present study for sistent with the cause of death for two of Darwin’s the Darwin–Wedgwood dynasty are not unexpected children. Anne Elizabeth most likely died of child from a wide perspective because inbreeding depres- tuberculosis (Keynes, 2001; Fenner, Egger & sion on male fertility has been found in a number Gagneux, 2009) and Charles Waring died of scarlet of animal species including mammals (Roldan et al., fever (Burhardt & Smiths, 1991); recent evidence also 1998; Saccheri et al., 2005; Asa et al., 2007). The reveals that inbreeding is an important risk factor in inbreeding depression on male fertility in mammal susceptibility to infectious diseases such as tubercu- species such as the Cuvier’s gazelles and Mexican losis and hepatitis (Lyons et al., 2009b). In addition, grey wolves appears to be caused by an adverse effect an association between homozygosity and childhood of inbreeding on sperm quality (Roldan et al., 1998; mortality resulting from invasive bacterial disease Asa et al., 2007). has been also reported (Lyons et al., 2009a). The evi- Our findings suggest that Charles Darwin’s sons dence of inbreeding depression on child survival in probably experienced an adverse effect of inbreeding Charles Darwin’s offspring together with the findings on fertility. Thus, the mean ± SE number of children reported in the present study of an adverse effect of per woman was 1.250 ± 0.648 for Darwin’s five sons, inbreeding on fertility in his sons suggest that Dar- whereas the mean ± SE family size for the non-inbred win’s fears on the health of his children as a result of men was 2.100 ± 0.781 (Fig. 2). However, the family his marriage with his first cousin Emma Wedgwood size was rather variable among Darwin’s sons. were neither unjustified nor exaggerated. William and Leonard, who each married twice, had no children; Francis had one child with each one of two wives and no children with his third wife; and George ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS and Horace had five and three children, respectively. The variation in family size among Darwin’s We thank Cesar Sánchez for help with the statisti- sons may be partially attributed to the inherent cal analyses and Frank Nicholas for comments on stochasticity of inbreeding. Thus, the proportion of an earlier version of the manuscript. We also thank the autosomal genome expected to be homozygous by two anonymous reviewers for their helpful com- descent in Charles Darwin’s children computed from ments. FCC and GA carried out the statistical the genealogical information was 0.0630 with a rela- analysis. GA, FCC and TMB helped conceive the tively large standard error of 0.0244 (see Material study, participated in its design and coordination, and methods). Furthermore, a genome-wide scan and helped draft the manuscript. All authors read based on 10 000 single nucleotide polymorphisms of and approved the final manuscript submitted for individuals whose parents were first cousins showed publication. The authors declare that they have no that those inbred individuals presented a variable conflict of interest. © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, 114, 474–483
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