COVID-19 Weekly Update - 03 March 2022 - The Security Centre
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COVID-19 Weekly Update – 03 March 2022 Executive Summary The global incidence of COVID-19 has fallen for one continuous month. This week’s cases decreased by sixteen percent compared to last week, totalling a little over ten million new cases. The number of deaths has also fallen this week, by ten percent, to around 60,000. Despite these global declines, the WHO’s Western Pacific region, which includes Australia, China, Japan and Malaysia among others, reported a rise of thirty-two percent in weekly infections when compared to last week. This week Germany is the single country reporting the highest number of COVID-19 infections with 1.12 million, a weekly decline of eight percent. Other nations reporting high case numbers include South Korea with 1.03 million cases a rise of sixty-nine percent, and Russia with 920,000 a decline of twenty-six percent. Countries reporting Omicron continues to dominate the pandemic, making up 99.5 percent of all sequences reported to GISAID in the last thirty days. Delta sequencing made up 0.3 percent of all submissions. There were six submitted submissions of the Alpha variant, whilst within this time period, no sequences of Beta, Gamma, Lamba, Mu, or other variations were submitted. Sorry for spa m - Notable Updates Newly released data from officials at the New York State Department of Health shows that the Pfizer vaccine has limited effectiveness in preventing infection in children aged between the years of five and eleven. The data appears to show that whilst it was effective in preventing severe COVID-19 in this age bracket, its efficacy at preventing the disease declined to as low as twelve percent, just six weeks after vaccination, from an initially percentage value of sixty-eight. For children aged between twelve and seventeen, protection against the disease given by the Pfizer vaccine fell from sixty-six percent to fifty-one percent. Both of these efficacies compare unfavourably to Pfizer performance in adult populations. As a result, health officials in New York have stated that there is a need to seek out alternative methods to protect children from COVID-19. A pre-print medical study appears to officially de-bunk the claim that Africa suffered less from COVID-19 than expected. Whilst the study acknowledges that the continent’s official case figures were much lower than the international community were perhaps expecting, they point to fact that official case figures rely on countries having expensive infrastructure to administer and track COVID-19 tests, something many African nations lack. As a result, this study looked at blood samples from a statistically significant populations samples across the continent and tracked the presence of anti-bodies. This showed that 65 percent of those involved in the study had immunity to COVID-19, a far higher figure than researchers expected given the low levels of reported COVID-19 infections and vaccination across the region. If this figure is extrapolated it would suggest that the continent has seen over 100 times more infections than officially reported, a figure of around 800 million, as opposed to the officially reported infection count of 8.2 million. Researchers in Canada have published an as of yet un-peer reviewed paper, which claims that they have discovered a case of deer to human transmission of a “highly divergent variant” of COVID-19. As a result of this they state that a broader monitoring of wildlife is needed to prevent further wild animal human transmission and that better monitoring is needed of the evolution of the virus in populations of animals known to be infected with it. Little research has been done to fully establish the list of population species which COVID-19 can infect, however cats – domestic and “big”,
COVID-19 Weekly Update – 03 March 2022 dogs, ferrets, otters, mink and now deer are all species which have been infected with COVID-19. Daily Case and Death Graphs via Worldometer
COVID-19 Weekly Update – 03 March 2022 Select Country Updates Pakistan percent, one of the highest globally, although reported at least 22,000 cases on 2 March. Rapid public testing According to health officials, the country in recent days has only recently become widespread, as New Zealand has seen its daily infection count drop to its lowest level began to reopen borders to the fully vaccinated and since 20 January. As of 28 February, the country was ease restrictions on travel. reporting 856 new infections. Although pockets of protesters remain in the city, police As a result of the decline infection rate the country’s are likely anticipating that these will clear once the National Command and Control Centre has stated that majority of the disruption has been cleared. As New they will be allowing the Pakistan-Australia test series Zealand continues to ease COVID-19 restrictions, the between 4 March and 5 April to take place in stadiums incidence of anti-vaccine mandate protests will likely operating at 100 percent of capacity. Alongside this, fade even further. restrictions in the cities of Gilgit, Muzaffarabad, and Mardan have been lifted. These cities have had their South Africa restrictions removed as their daily positivity rate for Findings from a recent, limited epidemiological study in COVID-19 has dropped to be less than 10 percent for South Africa have suggested that the country has moved more than three days in a row. into the ‘recovery’ phase in their battle against COVID- Alongside the dropping of some internal curbs, in light of 19. South Africa was particularly affected by the Delta the country’s improving COVID-19 situation the variant and was the first country to detect the Omicron government has revised its border policy. People variant, both of which subsequently drove waves of travelling into Pakistan no longer need proof of a infection and prompted national lockdowns across many negative PCR test, as long as they can prove that they developed nations. are fully vaccinated with an approved vaccine. The study found that in those over 50 years old, 70 Ireland percent of unvaccinated individuals were found to possess COVID-19 antibodies in their immune systems The country announced that it has discussed a four step – with this number rising to 93 percent of those who had plan for living with COVID-19. The first element will see been vaccinated. Further, the infection fatality risk for an assessment of the demands COVID-19 is likely to COVID-19 was calculated at 0.57 percent which is place on healthcare with the second phase seeing markedly higher than the 0.019 percent calculated for vaccination centres dismantled. The third phase is likely pre-Covid seasonal flu. to see vaccination schedules set up for those reaching the age of 18, and the elderly who may need regular The results indicate at least some degree of hybrid boosters. The final phase of the plan looks at seeing immunity emerging amongst the South African emergency protocols put in place in case a new variant population, which is theorised to provide greater emerges. protection against infection and milder symptoms. As such, epidemiologists have concluded that the country This discussion of this plan for how to live with COVID- has begun to enter the ‘recovery’ phase, similar to that 19 comes as the country continued to drop its which is evident in countries that have eased their restrictions kept in place throughout the pandemic. For restrictions. Whilst further variants of concern cannot be instance as of 28 February, the wearing of masks in ruled out, the degree of immunity evident in South Africa retail spaces and on public transport is no longer will likely protect against severe infection and mandatory, whilst close contact rules and social overwhelming rates of hospitalisation. distancing regulations have also been dropped apart from in healthcare settings. Hong Kong New Zealand The Covid-19 fatality rate in Hong Kong is now amongst the highest in developed nations following a recent Police in Wellington have moved to break up the anti- surge in deaths amongst the under-vaccinated elderly vaccine mandate protests which have been ongoing population. At least 600 care homes have reported outside of government buildings in the city for the past outbreaks of the virus, with over 3100 residents and few weeks. Modelled on the trucker protests in Canada, almost 1000 staff infected. On 2 March, 55,000 new roads had been blocked off amid violent clashes cases were announced country-wide. between protestors and police. Vehicles and tents are being removed from the area with multiple arrests Data from Johns Hopkins University indicates that Hong reported, following criticism of the Police Commissioner Kong has averaged almost 8 deaths per million in the of New Zealand for not taking action sooner. previous week, with 117 daily deaths reported on 1 March alone. According to Hong Kong Government New Zealand has a vaccination rate of approximately 95 data, 91 percent of fatalities had not received both doses
COVID-19 Weekly Update – 03 March 2022 of an approved COVID-19 vaccine. fact that the country has always sought to provide free advanced healthcare with a focus on preventative Pressure on officials to control the recent wave of treatments, to its citizens. In testament to its healthcare infections in Hong Kong is mounting, with fatalities likely system, Cuba has developed five successful COVID-19 to continue on their current trajectory without immediate vaccines. corrective measures being applied. Already, some residents have begun to stockpile supplies in At the time of writing, 9.8 million of Cuba's 11.2 million anticipation of renewed lockdowns. Some 75,000 residents have been fully vaccinated against COVID-19 citizens currently reside in residential care facilities in so far, whilst a further 5.9 million have received their Hong Kong. These types of facilities are particularly booster dose susceptible to localised spreading of the virus, Egypt particularly given the comparatively low uptake of the vaccine amongst Hong Kong’s elderly. Egypt has seen a decline of 40.4 percent in its COVID- 19 hospitalisation rate in the last two weeks, when Cuba compared to the first two weeks of February. Alongside Cuba has this week now recorded five days in a row this, the country has announced that the country’s week without a death caused by COVID-19, this comes as the infection rate has continued to drop from its pandemic country logged a further 475 new infections 03 March. high in January 2022. International health experts state that the island’s More than thirty million people across the country have success in supressing COVID-19 infections comes from now been vaccinated, whilst a further forty million have its widespread vaccination coverage, and the fact that it received at least one dose. Alongside this, one million moved quickly in looking to vaccinate children and have had their booster dose. In other vaccine news, the younger citizens. As a result of this, Cuba did not see a country is one in Africa which has been chosen to be a traditional “Omicron peak” when the variant arrived on production hub for mRNA vaccines. the island. This success is likely to have bolstered by the
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