COVID-19 IMPACT AND RECOVERY - February 2, 2022 - Montgomery County, MD
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COVID-19 RENTAL RELIEF UPDATE: WEEK OF JAN 24–30 APPLICATIONS BY WEEK (ENDED 12/31) APPLICANT HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS 11,161 total applications (excluding 3,706 duplicate applications in grey) APPLICANT CHARACTERISTICS • 51% matched with landlord application • 53% unemployed past 90 days • 29% needed to care for self/others • 23% self-reported receiving an eviction notice • Median household income: $20,926
COVID-19 RENTAL RELIEF UPDATE: WEEK OF JAN 24–30 APPLICATION PROCESSING APPROVALS Denials are primarily Total Approved Payments: $48.3M (4-day workweek in light blue) due to applicants not 2.1M 2.1M 2.1M having 2.0M 1.9M 1.8M 1.7M 1.7M 1.7M 1.7M 1.7M 1.7M arrears/mortgage 1.6M 1.5M 1.5M 1.5M 1.4M 1.4M 1.4M 1.3M 1.2M assistance requests, 1.2M 1.1M 1.1M 1.1M 1.1M 1.1M 1.1M 1.1M 1.0M 0.9M 0.9M 0.8M 0.8M exceeding income requirements, not 0.3M demonstrating county residency, and include 10-18 11-15 11-29 12-13 12-27 5-31 6-14 6-28 7-12 7-26 8-23 9-20 10-4 11-1 1-10 1-24 8-9 9-6 non-responsive and fraudulent requests. Total Approved Households: 4,785 (4-day workweek in light blue) ALL-TIME TOTALS 210 202 198 197 186 184 182 179 177 165 164 163 152 149 145 141 The current round of funding adds to two previous 137 133 132 130 122 121 118 110 109 109 106 105 104 100 rounds of COVID-19 assistance. In total, the Emergency 98 88 73 72 Rental Assistance Program has approved: 24 • $66.2M in payments 10-18 11-15 11-29 12-13 12-27 5-31 6-14 6-28 7-12 7-26 8-23 9-20 10-4 11-1 1-10 1-24 8-9 9-6 • 9,281 households
COVID-19 RENTAL RELIEF UPDATE: WEEK OF JAN 24–30 HEATMAP OF RECIPIENT HOUSEHOLDS RECIPIENT RACE/ETHNICITY ADDITIONAL RECIPIENT CHARACTERISITICS • Average client payment: $10.1K • 64% of payments arrears; 36% prospective • 47% of awarded households are in high- need areas as defined by the Homeless Prevention Index
COVID-19 RENTAL RELIEF UPDATE: WEEK OF JAN 24–30 DIRECT ERAP EXPENDITURES STATE EXPENDITURES BY COUNTY As of 11.30.2021 Award Montgomery $31.4M Prince George's $20.1M $25.2M 93% Wicomico Baltimore City $8.7M $8.4M Current spending and OF FUNDS Washington $6.6M encumbered Charles $3.8M $29.3M Cecil Carroll $3.7M $1.6M St. Mary's $1.6M Worcester $1.4M Calvert $1.2M STATE ERAP EXPENDITURES Caroline $1.1M Allegany $1.1M Award Talbot $1.0M $28.1M Anne Arundel Queen Anne's $0.8M $0.7M 100% Dorchester $0.7M Somerset $0.6M Current spending and OF FUNDS Kent $0.4M encumbered Garrett $0.3M $28.1M Baltimore County Frederick $0.0M $0.0M Note: Spending and percentages may shift as payments are reconciled. Source: Maryland Department of Housing and Community Development, https://bit.ly/3DQSVZV
EVICTION TRACKER NEW WRITS BY WEEK • 897 residents scheduled for eviction after July 19 • 46% of households with writ have applied for emergency rental assistance • Context: fewer than 8% of writs typically result in eviction NOTE: Records on writs for eviction can include commercial tenants as well as multiple notices for a single household. The stats above attempt to capture unique residential households only, but it is not always possible to make such distinctions.
SHELTER OCCUPANCY NOTE: Total occupancy does not include hotels providing shelter to those who are in quarantine or isolation.
MC311 WEEKLY CALL VOLUME: DHHS WEEKLY CALLS BY DEPARTMENT WEEKLY CALLS FOR PUBLIC ASSISTANCE 1,334 calls last week for DHHS services 392 calls last week for public assistance* * Due to changes in the referral system, this metric has changed from counting the number of calls asking how to apply for public assistance to the number of calls asking about other aspects of public assistance. Those who want to apply for public assistance are now referred to MD Think and are not necessarily captured in the count displayed above.
MC311 WEEKLY CALL VOLUME: DHHS PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES TO END & PREVENT HOMELESSNESS 358 calls last week for Public Health 342 calls last week for SEPH 46% related to COVID-19 57% related to COVID-19
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES IN THE REGION Fairfax County DC-Metro Region Montgomery County 12% 10.2 10% 9.4 8.6 8.6 8.2 8% 7.7 8.5 8.1 6.7 6.6 6.4 5.9 6% 6.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.8 4.9 5.6 5.5 5.6 4.3 5.0 5.0 4.8 4% 3.2 2.9 4.2 4.1 2.6 3.1 3.7 2.5 3.6 3.6 2% 2.7 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.9 0% Nov '19 Mar '20 May '20 Nov '20 Mar '21 May '21 Nov '21 Jul '19 Jul '20 Jul '21 Jan '20 Jan '21 Sep '19 Sep '20 Sep '21
COVID-19 CASES, VACCINATIONS, & TESTING
COVID-19 CASES & POSITIVITY RATE Cases and positivity rate show a sharp decline since early January. Since last week, average cases over seven days decreased by 53% and the positivity rate decreased by 4 percentage points. CASES AS OF 2/1/22* POSITIVITY RATE AS OF 1/31/22 *Cases may be underreported to some extent due to the increased use of self-test home kits. NOTE: The MDH security incident disrupted prior reporting on cases and hospitalizations by vaccination status. Reporting will resume once access to that database has been restored. For real-time updates, visit the COVID-19 Surveillance Dashboard: https://www.montgomerycountymd.gov/covid19/data/
COVID-19 HOSPITALIZATIONS • There are 281 hospitalized COVID-19 patients as of 1/30/22. Both acute care and ICU bed usage has declined. • 18.3% of hospital beds in the community are occupied by patients with a COVID diagnosis. • 69 patients are currently hospitalized at the alternate care site. These patients are transfers from other hospitals and may come from other jurisdictions. For real-time updates, visit the COVID-19 Surveillance Dashboard: https://www.montgomerycountymd.gov/covid19/data/
COVID-19 DEATHS Monthly COVID-19 Deaths Updated 1/31/22 Montgomery County Maryland Montgomery County as a % of Maryland 1,800 30% 1,653 1,600 25% 1,400 1,364 1,225 1,224 1,200 20% 1,029 1,000 859* 15% 800 736 651 600 549 8.7% 10% 486 454 452 414 421 400 343 300 309 229 250 5% 193 195 169 179 185 200 127 122 144 82 107 82 51 59 *78 32 27 50 30 31 29 18 21 18 11 15 18 0 0% Mar '20 Apr '20 May '20 Jun '20 Jul '20 Aug '20 Sep '20 Oct '20 Nov '20 Dec '20 Jan '21 Feb '21 Mar '21 Apr '21 May '21 Jun '21 Jul '21 Aug '21 Sep '21 Oct '21 Nov '21 Dec '21 Jan '22 *VSA revised death data on May 27, 2021 to include COVID-19 deaths not previously counted.
COVID-19 CASES & DEATHS BY VACCINATION STATUS: US The CDC has case and death data of jurisdictions representing more than half the US population, showing that in November, unvaccinated adults (ages 18+) had 4X the risk of testing positive for COVID-19, and 15X the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to fully vaccinated adults. Source: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#rates-by-vaccine-status
COVID-19 CASES & DEATHS BY VACCINATION STATUS: US The same analyses showed that in November, unvaccinated adults (ages 18+) had 13X the risk of testing positive for COVID-19, and 68X the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to fully vaccinated adults with a booster. Source: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#rates-by-vaccine-status
COVID-19 VACCINATIONS: TOTALS FROM CDC TOTAL VACCINATIONS (AS OF 2/1/22) VACCINATIONS BY AGE GROUP • ≥95%1 of total population received at least At Least 1 Fully Vaccinated ONE DOSE [N=1,041,814] ≥95% 94% ≥95% 89% ≥95% 87-96% • 84%2 of total population received at least 64-69% TWO DOSES (fully vaccinated) [N=881,952] 49-53% • 50% of fully vaccinated population received a BOOSTER/ADDITIONAL DOSE [N=442,768] 1. The CDC caps percentages at 95% to account for margins of error in data entry and population estimates. AGE 12+ AGE 5+ AGES 12-17 AGES 5-11 2. On 1/19 the CDC revised its method for counting vaccines administered at Bureau Chart reflects percent of total age group population that received doses. Percentage of Prisons and at Department of Defense facilities to better align vaccine counts estimates are reflected as ranges for ages 12-17 and ages 5-11 due to higher margins with residential county of recipient instead of county where vaccine was of error. administered. This revision has decreased the vaccine county for Montgomery County. • 55% of the fully vaccinated 18+ population received a BOOSTER/ADDITONAL DOSE [N=417,860] NOTE: The CDC vaccination count includes Montgomery County residents who received their shots in Maryland or • 74% of the fully vaccinated 65+ population outside the state. It also includes vaccinations administered received a BOOSTER/ADDITIONAL DOSE in some federal entities within Montgomery County. [N=121,640]
COVID-19 VACCINATIONS: FIRST-DOSE WEEKLY VOLUME Charts below show most recent full weeks of data, up to January 23, 2022. VACCINATIONS BY TYPE ADDITIONAL DOSES BY AGE GROUP An additional dose is the third dose identified on or after 8/13 for individuals first administered Pfizer or Moderna, and the second dose identified for individuals first administered J&J. Calculations also account for at least 2 months between prior dose and additional dose to help circumvent data entry errors. Note that total counts are estimations and not precise due to entry errors and missing doses for Marylanders who received any of their doses out of state. Unlike the CDC vaccination data, data from Maryland Health Department only include Montgomery County residents who were vaccinated in Maryland. Totals do not include vaccinations administered at federal entities within the county to non-residents.
COVID-19 VACCINATIONS: GAPS TRACTS WITH BELOW AVERAGE FIRST-DOSE RATES FIRST-DOSE VACCINATION RATES BY RACE ADDITIONAL DOSE RATES BY RACE & AGE Across the highlighted tracts above, 29% of the population is White non- Hispanic, 27% is Black non-Hispanic, 26% is Hispanic, and 14% is Asian/Pacific Islander.
COVID-19 VACCINATIONS: PEDIATRIC VACCINATIONS FIRST DOSES BY RACE/ETHNICITY VACCINATION RATES BY ZIP CODE % of 5-11 population % of 5-11 year olds who received first dose Vaccination rates among residents ages 5-14 are used as a proxy for pediatric vaccination rates in the map below due to the availability of population 60% estimates only for certain age categories. Zip codes with fewer than 100 41% residents ages 5-14 are excluded. 40% 34% 26%20% 20%16% 20% 13%16% 8% 7% 0% Black or AA Hispanic Asian or PI White Other Nearly 1% of vaccinated children identify as Native American; they are included in the “Other” category. Approximately 3% of pediatric records do not contain race/ethnicity information. PEDIATRIC VACCINE PROVIDERS Other 2% Pharmacies & Pediatric vaccinations Grocery Stores are distributed evenly Montgomery 30% between Montgomery County DHHS 34% County DHHS (in partnership with MCPS, Physicians' physicians and medical Offices & Hospitals clinics, and pharmacies Medical Clinics 2% and grocery stores. 32%
COUNTY GOVT COORDINATED TESTING & VACCINATIONS DHHS-ADMINISTERED TESTING: 4,490 TESTS ADMINISTERED LAST WEEK DHHS-ADMINISTERED VACCINATIONS: 2,454 DOSES ADMINISTERED LAST WEEK 14K 12.8K 11.6K 12K 11.0K Pediatric second dose 9.9K 8.8K 9.1K 10K 8.5K Pediatric first dose 8K 7.0K 6.7K 7.1K 6.2K Adult additional dose 6K 4.7K 3.5K Adult second dose 4K 1.9K 2.5K 1.6K 1.6K 1.4K 1.3K 1.2K 1.5K 1.3K 2K Adult first dose or single dose 0 7/6 7/12 7/19 7/26 8/2 8/9 8/16 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/20 9/27 10/4 10/11 10/18 10/25 11/1 11/8 11/15 11/22 11/29 12/6 12/13 12/20 12/27 1/3 1/10 1/17 1/24 Data are subject to retroactive changes.
DISTRIBUTION OF RAPID TESTS 2,144,000 additional rapid tests have been ordered by the County from vendors • A total of 2,057,000 rapid test kits have been received (as of 2/2/22) • 995,841 kits have been distributed, with an additional 196,000 allocated • 572,893 kits distributed through 3 weeks of Library distribution • 505,667 masks distributed at libraries. • 340,000 rapid test kits have been provided to MCPS. • 62,948 test kits & 108,815 masks distributed (+41k allocated) to childcare, private schools, & community non-profits. • Online portal to report rapid tests results.
DATA SOURCES This report aggregates data from several sources, some of which are publicly available. Nearly all data are subject to retroactive changes. • Rental assistance data is generated by DHHS each Sunday prior to the publication of this report. • Data on evictions are provided by the Montgomery County Sheriff’s Office each Monday for the week prior. • Data on shelter occupancy are collected by DHHS weekly. • MC311 data are downloaded weekly from DataMontgomery. • Unemployment data are downloaded monthly from FRED. • Case data are provided by Maryland Department of Health. Real-time data can be found on the Montgomery County COVID-19 Surveillance Dashboard. • Data on COVID-19 deaths are available through the Maryland Department of Health dashboard and ArcGIS platform. • Vaccine data are downloaded from the CDC website each Tuesday. • Data on county government coordinated testing and vaccinations are collected by DHHS daily.
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