Connectivity and Tourism Recovery from Covid-19 - PECC
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Connectivity and Tourism Recovery from Covid-19 Issues and Challenges for Re-establishing International Mobility for the Asia-Pacific FPTPEC, CETOP, and the Paris Peace Forum May 31 - June 1, 2021 Eduardo Pedrosa Secretary General Pacific Economic Cooperation Council The views expressed here are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of the PECC nor its members.
The Covid Situation
• Close to 170 million confirmed cases
• 3.5 million reported deaths
• 1.5 billion vaccine doses administered
• Economic cost of between $8.1 and $15.8 trillion globally
• Equivalent to 130 million full time jobs lost globally
– High risks of uneven recovery
• Tourism sector critical
– MSMEs
– Women
– Self-employed
APEC Connectivity Blueprint
2015-2025
• First formally adopted by APEC Leaders in Bali in 2013, 3 pillars
– Physical Connectivity
– Institutional Connectivity
– People-to-People Connectivity
• People-to-People Connectivity, we will strive to facilitate the
movement of people across borders, and to facilitate the
exchange of innovative ideas
– We will make efforts to achieve 800 million APEC tourist arrivals by 2025
Mid-Term-Review Assessment
• Considerable increases are still needed to raise the number of
tourist arrivals from 435 million in 2017 to the target of 800 million
by 2025What’s important for ending the
‘lockdowns’?
Sufficient medical capacity to deal with expected number of cases 4.6
Evidence that the number of new cases is reducing 4.4
The development of a vaccine 4.4
The availability of medical treatments for those found positive with
4.4
COVID-19
The capacity to quarantine and support those who test positive 4.4
The ability to prevent infection in people who are more at risk, eg the
4.4
elderly and those with pre-existing conditions
The economic cost of the lockdown 4.3
International cooperation 4.3
The ability for businesses, schools, and child care facilities to
4.2
implement effective social and physical distancing
Effective contact tracing 4.2
The ability to undertake mass testing 4.1
Mental health and individual wellbeing 3.9
The ability to maintain lockdown procedures effectively beyond a
3.8
certain time-length
Zero new cases 3.6
What neighboring economies are doing 3.5
3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8
Source: PECC State of the Region Survey on Impact of Covid-19
Question:. How important do you think each of the following should be to the consideration in your economy of exiting from
lockdown? Please use a scale of 1 to 5 with 1 being ‘not at all important’ to 5 ‘very important’.0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
01Jan2020
13Jan2020
25Jan2020
06Feb2020
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05Jun2020
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EU
16Aug2020
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APEC
15Oct2020
27Oct2020
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07Jan2021
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31Jan2021
12Feb2021
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Evolution of Travel
08Mar2021
20Mar2021
01Apr2021
13Apr2021
Restrictions: APEC vs EU
25Apr2021
07May202110
15
20
0
5
01Jan2020
11Jan2020
21Jan2020
31Jan2020
10Feb2020
20Feb2020
01Mar2020
11Mar2020
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31Mar2020
10Apr2020
20Apr2020
30Apr2020
1 - Screening
10May2020
20May2020
30May2020
09Jun2020
19Jun2020
29Jun2020
09Jul2020
3 - Ban on high-risk regions
19Jul2020
29Jul2020
08Aug2020
18Aug2020
28Aug2020
07Sep2020
17Sep2020
27Sep2020
07Oct2020
17Oct2020
27Oct2020
06Nov2020
16Nov2020
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06Dec2020
16Dec2020
4 - Total border closure
26Dec2020
Evolution
05Jan2021
15Jan2021
25Jan2021
04Feb2021
14Feb2021
2 - Quarantine arrivals from high-risk
24Feb2021
06Mar2021
16Mar2021
26Mar2021
APEC Members Travel
05Apr2021
15Apr2021
25Apr2021
05May2021
15May2021Taking an International
Holiday with Quarantine…
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
20 7 10 15 5 7 12 10 15 8 6 20 10 30 5 28 7 7 6 0 12
0
Vacation Leaves Quarantine PeriodInitiatives to Facilitate Mobility
• Trans-Tasman Travel Bubble • ICC AOK
(Australia-New Zealand)
• WEF Common Pass
• Singapore-Hong Kong, China
Travel Bubble • IATA Travel Pass
• Reciprocal Green Lanes &
Travel Corridor Concepts to
facilitate movement for
‘essential workers’
• ASEAN travel corridor
arrangement framework
• EU Digital Green CertificateGetting Everyone Vaccinated
and Regulatory Approvals
Sinovac_Coronavac
Sinopharm (Wuhan)
Sinopharm
Pfizer-BioNTech_BNT162
Oxford-AstraZeneca_AZD1222
Moderna_mRNA-1273
Janssen (J&J)_Ad26.COV2.S
Gamaleya Research Institute_Sputnik V
Chumakov Centre_CoviVac
CanSino Biologics_Ad5-nCoV
Bharat Biotech_COVAXIN
Anhui Zhifei Longcom Biopharmaceutical
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Regulatory Approvals (Limited/Full)
Source: https://launchandscalefaster.org/covid-19/vaccineprocurementRoad Ahead
• Ending the pandemic everywhere critical to the economy –
especially the tourism sector
• Travel bubbles and corridors have proven difficult to implement
– Still value in policy coordination and sharing of best practices
• Urgent need for cooperation to ensure coordinated approach to re-
opening
– Mutual recognition of testing results
– Mutual recognition of vaccines
• Need for interoperable systems
– APEC must engage observers: PIF, ASEAN, as well as
operationalize ‘open regionalism’ concept on this issueYou can also read
