Committed to innovation and growth - Alan Hippe, CFO Roche Group New York, May 2013 - Committed to innovation and ...
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This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as ‘believes’, ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘projects’, ‘intends’, ‘should’, ‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, ‘future’ or similar expressions or by discussion of, among other things, strategy, goals, plans or intentions. Various factors may cause actual results to differ materially in the future from those reflected in forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, among others: 1 pricing and product initiatives of competitors; 2 legislative and regulatory developments and economic conditions; 3 delay or inability in obtaining regulatory approvals or bringing products to market; 4 fluctuations in currency exchange rates and general financial market conditions; 5 uncertainties in the discovery, development or marketing of new products or new uses of existing products, including without limitation negative results of clinical trials or research projects, unexpected side-effects of pipeline or marketed products; 6 increased government pricing pressures; 7 interruptions in production; 8 loss of or inability to obtain adequate protection for intellectual property rights; 9 litigation; 10 loss of key executives or other employees; and 11 adverse publicity and news coverage. Any statements regarding earnings per share growth is not a profit forecast and should not be interpreted to mean that Roche’s earnings or earnings per share for this year or any subsequent period will necessarily match or exceed the historical published earnings or earnings per share of Roche. For marketed products discussed in this presentation, please see full prescribing information on our website – www.roche.com 2 All mentioned trademarks are legally protected
Q1 2013: Strong start to the year 2013 2012 Change in % CHF bn CHF bn CHF CER Pharmaceuticals Division 9.2 8.6 6 7 Diagnostics Division 2.4 2.4 1 1 Roche Group 11.6 11.0 5 6 4 CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Q1’ 13: US and Emerging markets driving sales growth Pharma Diagnostics Asia- Asia 10% Pacific 10% Latin Latin America 4% America 7% EEMEA 11% North US 13% America -4% Japan 2% Japan -2% Europe 1% EMEA 1% All growth rates at CER=Constant Exchange Rates; EEMEA=Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa; 5 EMEA=Europe, Middle East and Africa
Continued high sales growth1 8% 6% 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% -2% -4% -3% -5% -6% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1' '10 '10 '11 '11 '11 '11 '12 '12 '12 '12 13 6 At CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Update on 2013 Strategy R&D productivity and allocation of resources Growth platforms Summary
Roche strategy: Focused on medically differentiated therapies Regulators: Premium for innovation Pharma Dia Optimised benefit / risk ratio Payors: Focus Optimised benefit / cost ratio MedTech OTC Generics Differentiation 8
Roche strategy: Tailor made access options for high value products Established Markets Emerging Markets Value based pricing Tiered pricing Limited patient access Universal access and coverage -> Enable access to public funding -> Negotiate prices for new medicines 9
Update on 2013 Strategy R&D productivity and allocation of resources Growth platforms Summary
R&D productivity differs substantially among players Average annual NME peak sales (2001-10)1 $ 710 m Peak Sales 4x US$ bn (per $1 bn R&D) Roche $ 165 m Peak Sales (per $1 bn R&D) Average annual R&D investment (1997-2006)1 US$ bn 1Peak sales and R&D calculated pro forma to account for major M&A 11 Source: EvaluatePharma; BCG analysis; Roche analysis
Roche: R&D well balanced from a risk & disease point of view 2012 Roche budget Oncology Metabolism Inflammation CNS Virology 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Industry average probability of success – Phase 0 to Registration 12 Source: Bernstein Equity Research, Tufts University and Roche analysis
R&D spend: Balance between short and long term R&D spend by phase ~50% ~50% Invest for Invest for the the future near term Research/ Phase 0 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Filing Phase 4 Discovery 13 Note: Based on 2012 budget
Changing the standard of care in HER2 Securing future growth by improving the standard of care Biosimilars launch (EU) 2nd line Xeloda + lapatinib T-DM1 (EMILIA) mBC 1st line Herceptin Herceptin & Perjeta + + chemo T-DM1 & Perjeta (MARIANNE) mBC chemo (CLEOPATRA) Adjuvant Herceptin Herceptin subcutaneous + chemo Herceptin & Perjeta T-DM1 & Perjeta BC + chemo (HannaH) + chemo (APHINITY) + chemo 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Filing timelines Established standard of care Potential new standard of care Potential future standard of care 14
Changing the standard of care in hematology Different mechanisms of action Potential filing of first indication 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 MabThera Rituxan* GA 101 Bcl-2 Anti-CD22 ADC Anti-CD79b ADC 15 * Patent expiry in the US: 2018
Update on 2013 Strategy R&D productivity and allocation of resources Growth platforms Summary
Roche Oncology A portfolio of distinctive drugs (CHF mn) 25'000.00 20'000.00 15'000.00 10'000.00 5'000.00 '0.00 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 CER - @ A12 CHF* 17 Note: Sales at 2011 FX rates
Emerging markets remain strong 1,200 Q1 ‘13 1H ‘12 2H ‘12 +11% +13% +15% 1,000 -27% 0% +9% ,800 +18% India Russia +7% S. Korea ,600 Turkey +5% Mexico ,400 Brazil China ,200 +20% ,0 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 18 All growth YoY at CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Increasing polarisation in emerging markets Growth in patented medicines and unbranded generics Example: Brazil market showing evidence of polarisation 100% 90% Non-categorised 80% 70% Protected originals Share expected 60% to grow further Unbranded copies 50% 40% Branded copies 30% 20% Non-patented originals 10% 0% 2000 2005 2010 19 Source: IMS
Update on 2013 Strategy R&D productivity and allocation of resources Growth platforms Summary
Roche: Operating profit and margin continuously increased Group core operating profit and margin 37.7% 34.9% 35.6% % of sales 33.0% 33.2% +11%1 17.16 16.27 16.59 15.07 15.15 CHF bn 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 21 1 At CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Roche: Cash flow and margin continuously increased Group operating free cash flow and margin % of sales 33.8% 32.1% 32.3% 29.8% 27.1% +10%1 15.7 15.4 14.1 13.7 12.4 CHF bn 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 22 1 At CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Q1 2013: Pipeline milestones aleglitazar metabolic diseases lebrikizumab mGluR2 antagonist asthma treatment-resistant depression gantenerumab1 mGluR5 antagonist Alzheimer’s treatment-resistant depression ocrelizumab crenezumab MS Alzheimer's bitopertin Anti-PD-L1* HCV combo schizophrenia solid tumours HepC MEKi Anti-EGFL7 etrolizumab melanoma solid tumours ulcerative colitis Oncology onartuzumab (MetMAb) EGFR ADCC MAb (GA201) Anti-factor D Neuroscience NSCLC solid tumours geographic atrophy Virology obinutuzumab (GA101) * PI3 kinase Anti-PCSK9 Immunology CLL solid tumours metabolic diseases Ophthalmology Kadcyla dual PI3 kinase/mTOR inclacumab (P selectin)* HER2+ BC solid tumours ACS/CVD Metabolism Ph III NMEs Late stage enabling data expected in 2013 2013 R&D to remain stable *Data presentation planned/presented 23 1Phase II/III label enabling
Summary: Focus on innovation and growth Strategic focus on innovation and driving Personalised 1 Healthcare Strong growth in US and Emerging Markets; 2 innovative access models 3 Leading product pipeline providing value for the future 24
Doing now what patients need next
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