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Jio-FB: The Supply Chain businesstoday.in Game Changer Redefined OC May 17, 2020 `100 Clashing Tiger, Fuming Dragon The Modi GovernMenT TiGhTens iTs Grip on invesTMenTs FroM China, siGnallinG an adversarial eConoMiC relaTionship ThaT will require deFT ManoeuvrinG To sTay ahead
From the Editor http://www.businesstoday.in When Fear Feeds on Fear Editor-in-Chief: aroon purie Group Editorial Director: Raj Chengappa Editor: Rajeev Dubey Group Creative Editor: Nilanjan Das Group Photo Editor: Bandeep Singh F Executive Editor: anand adhikari ear feeds on fear. There’s no greater fear in world economies today than Deputy Editors: ajita Shashidhar, Naveen Kumar (Money Today) China, as countries grapple with the fallout of the pandemic that origi- special projects and events nated in the Chinese city of Wuhan. Was coronavirus a bio-weapon? Was Senior Editor: anup Jayaram it allowed to spread intentionally? Was it meant to destruct the world’s biggest correspondents economies so that China could gain? Is China taking advantage of the global stock Senior Editors: p.B. Jayakumar, Nevin John, Joe C. Mathew, E. Kumar Sharma, market crash to shore up equity in strategic firms? Those are just some of the ques- Dipak Mondal, Manu Kaushik, Sumant Banerji tions leaders the world over are struggling to answer. Associate Editor: Nidhi Singal, Senior Assistant Editor: Sonal Khetarpal Most have already made precautionary moves to block any misadventure. research Late March, the European Union (EU) was the first to flag to member states that Principal Research Analysts: Niti Kiran, Shivani Sharma healthcare equipment firms and research establishments may be takeover targets copy desk via the FDI route, asking them to set up FDI screening mechanisms. On April 8, Senior Editor: Mahesh Jagota Senior Associate Editor: Kaveri Nandan Germany tightened rules protecting local firms from unsolicited takeovers by Chief Copy Editor: Gadadhar padhy Copy Editor: aprajita Sharma non-EU (read China) investors. France, Italy, and Spain followed with similar rules. So did the UK, Australia, Canada – even the US. photography Deputy Chief Photographers: Shekhar Ghosh, So, when the Chinese government-owned People’s Bank of China (PBoC) Rachit Goswami, Yasir Iqbal Principal Photographer: Rajwant Singh Rawat triggered a notification to stock exchage regulator SEBI for surpassing 1 per cent equity holding in one of India’s biggest and most respected housing finance com- art Deputy Art Director: amit Sharma panies, HDFC – which also owns the largest private bank HDFC Bank – it natu- Assistant Art Director: Raj Verma rally set alarm bells ringing from SEBI, right up to the Ministry of Finance. PBoC production already owned 0.8 per cent of HDFC. As HDFC’s stock value crashed 32 per cent, Chief of Production: Harish aggarwal Senior Production Coordinator: Narendra Singh it had only acquired an additional 0.2 per cent, a move that would be considered Associate Chief Coordinator: Rajesh Verma smart, coming from a portfolio investor. But with global moves to block such library deals, the seed of suspicion had already been sown. Assistant Librarian: Satbir Singh Since India’s stock market crashed a hefty 23.4 per cent since the first corona- Publishing Director: Manoj Sharma Associate Publisher (Impact): anil Fernandes virus case was detected in Kerala, listed firms were particularly vulnerable. Was this a precursor to more such moves? Within days of PBoC’s acquisition, the Cen- impact team Senior General Manager: Jitendra Lad (West) tre moved in swiftly, amending FDI norms that mandate explicit government ap- General Managers: Upendra Singh (Bangalore) Kaushiky Gangulie (East) proval for FDI from contiguous countries. Since the rule already existed for Ban- Marketing: Vivek Malhotra, Group Chief Marketing Officer gladesh and Pakistan, the aim was at none other than China. SEBI is doing its own groundwork to establish whether foreign portfolio investors such as PBoC also Newsstand Sales: D.V.S. Rama Rao, Chief General Manager; Deepak Bhatt, Senior General Manager need to be brought under a similar rule. (National Sales); Vipin Bagga, General Manager (Operations); Rajeev Gandhi, Deputy General The Chinese Embassy issued a scathing statement the following day, call- Manager (North), Syed asif Saleem, Regional Sales Manager ing the move discriminatory and violating WTO norms. But India has stood its (West), S. paramasivam, Deputy Regional Sales Manager (South), piyush Ranjan Das, Senior Sales Manager (East) ground. Yet, this is just the beginning. Regulatory and a possible consumer back- lash against Chinese investments, companies and products in India, coupled with the coming face-off to present itself as an alternative to China for manufacturing, Vol. 29, No. 10, for the fortnight May 4-17, 2020. will pit the two rivals against each other more often than not. Released on May 4, 2020. Editorial Office: India Today Mediaplex, FC 8, Sector 16/A, Film City, Noida-201301; Tel: India is wooing 300-odd foreign firms pursuing production in the country as 0120-4807100; Fax: 0120-4807150 Advertising Office (Gurgaon): A1-A2, Enkay Centre, Ground Floor, V.N. Commercial Complex, Udyog Vihar, Phase 5, Gurgaon-122001; Tel: 0124- an alternative to China in sectors such as mobiles, electronics, medical devices, 4948400; Fax: 0124-4030919; Mumbai: 1201, 12th Floor, Tower 2 A, One Indiabulls Centre (Jupiter Mills), S.B. Marg, Lower Parel (West), Mumbai-400013; Tel: 022-66063355; Fax: 022- textiles and synthetic fabric. Last September, corporate tax for new manufactur- 66063226; Chennai: 5th Floor, Main Building No. 443, Guna Complex, Anna Salai, Teynampet, Chennai-600018; Tel: 044-28478525; Fax: 044-24361942; Bangalore: 202-204 ers was slashed to 17 per cent, lower than in any country in South-east Asia. Richmond Towers, 2nd Floor, 12, Richmond Road, Bangalore-560025; Tel: 080-22212448, 080-30374106; Fax: 080-22218335; Kolkata: 52, J.L. Road, 4th floor, Kolkata-700071; Tel: The next target is reducing the nearly $58-billion trade deficit with China and 033-22825398, 033-22827726, 033-22821922; Fax: 033-22827254; Hyderabad: 6-3-885/7/B, Raj Bhawan Road, Somajiguda, Hyderabad-500082; Tel: 040-23401657, 040-23400479; Hong Kong. The government plans to reduce import dependence on China in sec- Ahmedabad: 2nd Floor, 2C, Surya Rath Building, Behind White House, Panchwati, Off: C.G. Road, Ahmedabad-380006; Tel: 079-6560393, 079-6560929; Fax: 079-6565293; Kochi: tors such as electrical equipment, active pharma ingredients (drug parks policy Karakkatt Road, Kochi-682016; Tel: 0484-2377057, 0484-2377058; Fax: 0484-370962 has been announced), optical fibre, flat rolled iron, boilers, tiles, sanitary ware, Subscriptions: For assistance contact Customer Care, India Today Group, C-9, Sector 10, Noida (U.P.) - 201301; Tel: 0120-2479900 from Delhi & Faridabad; 0120-2479900 (Monday- leather, suitcases, paper boards, silk, umbrellas and toys. Friday, 10 am-6 pm) from Rest of India; Toll free no: 1800 1800 100 (from BSNL/ MTNL lines); Fax: 0120-4078080; E-mail: wecarebg@intoday.com In the cover story, Sumant Banerji, Rukmini Rao and Niti Kiran examine what Sales: General Manager Sales, Living Media India Ltd, C-9, Sector 10, Noida (U.P.) - 201301; India’s move means for Chinese investments, companies and trade. Tel: 0120-4019500; Fax: 0120-4019664 © 1998 Living Media India Ltd. All rights reserved throughout the world. Reproduction in any manner is prohibited. Printed & published by Manoj Sharma on behalf of Living Media India Limited. Printed at Thomson Press India Limited, 18-35, Milestone, Delhi-Mathura Road, Faridabad-121007, (Haryana). Published at K-9, Connaught Circus, New Delhi-110 001. Editor: Rajeev Dubey Business Today does not take responsibility for returning unsolicited publication material. All disputes are subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of competent courts and forums in Delhi/New Delhi only. For reprint rights and syndication enquiries, contact rajeev.dubey@intoday.com syndications@intoday.com or call +91-120-4078000 www.syndicationstoday.in @rajeevdubey
May 17, 2020 Cover by NilaNjaN das Volume 29, Number 10 No Exemption from Pain Pg. 30 Hunt for Magic Potion Pg. 36 Reinvention Time Pg. 42 Survival of the Fittest Pg. 48 The Not So Happy Face of IT Pg. 52 The Booby Trap Pg. 56 Funding Disaster Relief Pg. 62 Uphill Battle Pg. 66 Interview/ Nitin Gadkari, Union Minister for Road Transport and Highways Pg. 72 illustration by raj verMa 18 As INdIA tIGhteNs FdI Norms, ChINese FIrms ANd INvestmeNts mAy FACe reGulAtory ANd CoNsumer bACklAsh. the FrICtIoN betweeN AsIAN GIANts Could be the beGINNING oF AN AdversArIAl ChAPter IN trAde 4 Business Today 17 May 2020
14 Corporate The Game Changer With both sides tight-lipped, the nuts and bolts of jio- Facebook tie-up remain shrouded in mystery 6 The Point A Full-blown Crisis Mark Zuckerberg, The devastating impact of corona- Ceo, Facebook virus on the economy is becoming increasingly clear. Here is what high-frequency data show 8 Mukesh ambani, 78 New Investments CMd, Ril Slip in FY20 FY20 ended with new Network investments of `11.9 lakh crore; this is much lower than the Aditya Puri’s `13.1 lakh crore in FY19 Second Innings HdFC Bank’s Aditya Puri, 74 who is known for skillfully optimising time, has “enjoyable plans” for his 10 Management retirement life No Full Stops Food Subsidy Falls; How india inc’s business Bad News for FCI continuity plans are being The Centre’s food subsidy bill overhauled to tide over falls 10 per cent in FY20 the coronavirus crisis businesstoday.in sTaY CoNNeCTed WiTH us oN www.facebook.com/BusinessToday@BT_india 82 An Feature Best Advice I Ever Got From time to time, you will see pages titled “An Impact Feature” or “Advertorial” in Business Today. This is no “You are the custodian different from an advertisement and the magazine’s editorial of the culture of the staff is not involved in its creation in any way. organisation” Ramesh iyer 17 May 2020 Business Today 5
peTrol, DieSel DemanD SlumpS î India's fuel consumption slumped over 66 per cent year- on-year in April (till the A FULL-BLOWN 10th of the month) î Petrol sales fell 16.37 per cent to 2.16 million tonnes in March; ATF sales down 30 per cent CRISIS The devastating impact of coronavirus on the economy is becoming increasingly clear. Here ConSumpTion (Million metric tonnes) is what high-frequency data shows 8 By Shivani Sharma 7 Graphics by Tanmoy Chakraborty High 6 Speed Diesel 5 4 Petrol 3 CoronaviruS 2 1 ATF BiTeS: 0 unemploymenT 19-Apr 20-Mar raTe TopS 26% î The labour participation rate fell to an all-time low of 35.4 per cent in week ended April 19 î The employment rate also fell to an all-time low of 27.7 per cent during the week foreign î Labour participation during March was 41.9 per cent. It was Tourist 42.6 per cent in February and 42.7 arrivals per cent in March 2019. Growth Hits 50 record low Labour Participation Rate Y-o-Y % change 40 25 Employment Rate 20 30 15 20 10 5 Unemployment Rate 10 0 -10 0 7-Apr Week 19-Apr 15 2019 ended 2020 Feb 2015 Feb 2020 6 Source: Labour Ministry Source: Tourism Ministry
Bank CreDiT GrowTH fallS To 6.14% îYear-on-year (y-o-y) growth in bank credit decelerated to 6.1% in FY20 from 13.3% in FY19 îDeposit accretion growth moderated to 7.9 per cent from 10 per cent in FY19 îOutstanding bank credit stood at `103.7 lakh crore on March 27. Banks raised deposits of `9.97 lakh crore in FY20 as against `11.4 lakh crore in the previous financial year Bank Credit 21.35 Growth (%) 17.84 13.39 13.53 13.72 10.69 9.54 9.38 7.8 6.1 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 Source: RBI wholesale prices of essential Commodities rise Sharply 4.82 4.52 riCe wHeaT SuGar milk 9.02 7.03 2.75 30.96 2.55 6.18 5.27 2.53 3.36 4.2 0.02 4.94 1.61 -0.59 2.22 -11.12 -11.93 -2.84 Wholesale Prices of Essential Commodities (%) FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 Source: Mospi 17 May 2020 Business Today 7
The Point Borrowings aggregate state By states Borrowing calenDar (`Cr) rise sharply 16,269 april 26,100 april as economy 2019 2020 shuts Down 9,800 4,900 13,900 11,100 îWith revenue falling, states are likely 3,503 to borrow `55,225 crore in April, against 4,125 `34,472 crore in April last year, a spike of 60 per cent î The RBI has accounted for a 15 per 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th cent year-on-year rise in aggregate week week week week week week week week borrowings by states to `1,27,205 crore in the first quarter of this year Source: RBI New INvestmeNts sharp slowdowN slIp IN FY20 IN project îFY20 ended with new investments of `11.9 lakh crore; this is much lower than the `13.1 lakh crore in FY19 completIoNs too îProjects worth `76,400 crore were îSeptember and December quarters saw an completed in quarter ended March 31, 2020; improvement but new investments shrunk `4 lakh crore worth of completions were again in the March quarter, probably due to the scheduled for the quarter shutdown îThe completions during FY20, at `4.1 lakh îOf the 431 new projects announced during crore, were 37 per cent lower than the `6.5 the March quarter, 44 were in the power sector lakh crore in FY19 new projects announceD projects completeD 10 3 (`lakh crore) (`lakh crore) 8 2.5 2 6 1.5 4 1 2 0.5 0 0 Mar 2010 Quarter ended Mar 2020 Mar 2010 Quarter ended Mar 2020 2,000 1,000 No of projects No of projects 1,500 750 1,000 500 500 250 0 0 Mar 2010 Quarter ended Mar 2020 Mar 2010 Quarter ended Mar 2020 Source: CMIE Source: CMIE 8 Business Today 17 May 2020
The Point Direct Benefit Food SubSidy transfers fall FallS; bad 23% in fY20 NewS For FCi îThe Centre’s direct benefit transfers (cash and kind) fell to `2.53 lakh crore in FY20 from `3.3 lakh crore in FY19 îThe Centre’s food subsidy bill falls 10 per cent in FY20 îThis is partly due to reduction in transfers under key schemes such as îThis means — just as in previous few MGNREGA and Pradhan Mantri Awas years — the Centre is transferring a Yojana-Gramin (PMAY-G) major part of this burden to FCI îFCI debt has been ballooning; it rose to `2.65 lakh crore in March 2019, up from `91,409 crore in March 2014 Fy19 Fy20 % yoy growTh -10.6 20 31.4 31.4 2,63,000 2,59,900 1,68,700 Direct Benefit transfers to 1,50,800 major schemes in fY20 PDS food 65,140 79,900 Fertiliser 46,148 66,600 MgNrEgA 29,889 32,300 24,600 PMAy gramin 13,214 (in `Crore) LPg-Pahal 9,624 NSAP 7,225 Food Fertiliser Petroleum Total subsidy subsidy subsidy Source: India Budget, CGA, Emkay Research Fy19 Fy20 3.3 ` ` 2.53 lakh lakh crore crore CASh KiND CASh KiND 2.14 1.16 1.35 1.18 Source: DBTBHARAT.GOV.IN 10 Business Today 17 May 2020
FOCUS GIFTING RR GIFTING: HALLMARK OF TECHNOLOGY, QUALITY AND RANGE is value for money and a smart way to lock and unlock! Mr Mukul Vashisht, is the first-generation Could you share about your premium leather young entrepreneur in his family. An avid products? adventure sports person, he has given vent The premium leather gift items, is a niche segment to his creative persona by starting a fledgling of RR Gifting that caters to the high-end clientele. business of designing and developing gift The gift products are designed indigenously by us or customised as per the customer’s specifications. With products in 2007, which has made a experience, we now confidently give suggestions to credible name for itself in the corporate customers and mostly they are appreciated resulting world. Passionate about his business, in repeat customers, whose numbers are growing. he believes that the ‘gifting’ industry Also, technology has advanced tremendously enabling has great potential and this motivates us to explore different design options, saving time him to explore wider to come up with and money, improving quality and service. View our exclusive range of leather gift such as notebook covers, unique gifting products. He talks card holders, passport holder, chequebook and pass about RR Gifting, its journey and book holder, wallets and much more on our website future innovative gift items. www.rrgifting.in. Mukul Vashisht-PROPRIETOR Are you eyeing the international market? Definitely. We have consolidated our market in India in What made you choose developing gifts as a The gift choices vary from company to company and metro cities such as Mumbai, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, business option? so the product portfolio is very diverse in a way. But, Chennai, Kanpur, Goa etc., and are still expanding, so I was very sure of setting up my own business yes, we have a dedicated team of 30 staff including now going global is on the cards. Probably in another enterprise and that too which had a creative aspect designers, product developers, website developers two years we should be exporting RR gift products to it as I am a connoisseur of innovative products and data controllers, who give strength to our to foreign countries. Some of our prestigious clients having an artistic value to it, besides utility. So, the objective. Since we have a full-fledged manpower include leading brands such as Art Housing Finance, gift developing business appealed to me. As it was back-up with expertise in different departments Apollo Spectra, Abbot, Bosch and Lomb, CPA Global, not my family business, I started from scratch and such as packaging and delivery as well, we have an KIA Motors, Swatch, Subros, Titan, YKK India and what followed was gathering extensive information edge in ensuring quality product and timely delivery Central Ministries of Defence, Commerce, Electronics, about the business and hardwork. The rest as you say irrespective of the size of the order. Shifting from the etc. As we have ambitious expansion plans, we are is history and destiny. I truly enjoy this business as its present rented premises to company-owned property looking for investors and welcoming them to grow of my liking and am passionate about it. is definitely there in the pipeline, which we see as an together. What does RR stand for? asset. The world in is the grip of the Covid -19 My business is named after my father’s elder brother What is the latest product that RR has developed pandemic. How is RR Gifting helping battle it? Mr Raja Rajendra (Tauji), whom I consider to be my and how popular do you envisage it to be? RR Gifting considers its bounded duty in contributing mentor. He has also supported me financially when I Today, life is on the fast track with technology taking towards social cause. Under CSR initiative, we provide wanted to self-start the business. I abide by his golden the front seat driving our daily lives at the click free of cost at least 10 sets of whatever products words of What to produce? How to produce? For whom of a button. RR Gifting has developed in-house, a developed for any company for distribution to the to produce? which has helped me tremendously to smart digital lock which can be configured to one’s needy. So now, we are developing Corona safety kits remain focused, be proactive, be rational, as well as mobile and can be easily operated doing away with at a nominal cost of Rs 1000 plus GST depending on anticipate market demand. cumbersome keys, the reason that will make it popular. the requirement. With every order 10 kits are given as What is trending in the corporate gifting world It is scheduled to be launched close to Independence complimentary by RR Gifting as a gesture of solidarity and how does RR Gifting meet the demand? Day i.e., 15th August, this year. The futuristic product in the battle against Corona pandemic. R. R Solution Corporate Gifts & Novelties D- 24/396, Chattarpur hills, New Delhi - 110074 www.rrgifting.in rrsolution0@gmail.com Mukul Vashisht 9818867921, 8527399075
The Point Cargo traffiC at india's major ports up 1.4% during apr 2019-feb 2020 îCargo traffic at India’s îTraffic of îIron ore rose 36 îCoal plunged 10.8 major ports grew 1.4 petroleum, oil & per cent to 50 million per cent, fertiliser per cent to 643 million lubricants rose 2.7 tonnes and container raw material (dry) 0.3 tonnes during April per cent to 216.9 increased 2.1 per cent per cent and other 2019-February 2020 million tonnes to 134.8 million tonnes goods 5.6 per cent petroleum,oil total traffiC & lubriCants Coal sugar FY16 4.2 4.5 10.4 -19.4 FY17 6.7 7.6 -5.2 38 FY18 4.9 7.7 2.4 -7.4 FY19 2.8 2.1 6.2 -8.7 FY20* 1.4 2.7 -10.8 41.2 iron ore edible oil foodgrains FY16 -21.5 23.5 -33.6 FY17 187.7 -12.7 86.6 FY18 16 16.7 -29.9 FY19 -14.1 -6.4 -77.2 FY20* 35.96 0.5 41.1 *Till February; Source: Ministry of Shipping gold Quantity (tonnes) Value ($mn) imports 53,830 890.3 942.7 820.8 776.9 776.3 775.4 690.5 î FY20 gold imports 34,462 33,648 32,897 28,705 31,768 are estimated at 559.6 559.6 27,000 27,515 tonnes. In FY 19, the figure was 775.4 tonnes î This is the lowest since FY13 î The March 2020 quarter is expected to be no different, with estimated demand of only 120 tonnes FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 amid the nationwide lockdown Source : Commerce ministry 12 Business Today 17 May 2020
produCtion of Consumer durables (april – feb) APR-FEB FY19 APR-FEB FY20 NO. OF uNiTS ('000) % GROwTh Air- conditioners 2,475 18 2,923 Telephones & mobile 54,902 17 64,163 instruments 1,974 10 Electric cooking 2,175 appliances 22,442 4.4 Fans 23,429 Refrigerators 12,385 -1 12,274 washing & laundry 5,929 -5 Machines 5,634 4,52,288 -13 incandescent 3,94,526 lamps 1,36,589 -20 Fluorescent 1,08,958 tubes & CFLs 3,055 -35 TV Sets 1,983 Electric filament 482 -45 type lamps 267 Source : CARE Ratings The Big nifty 50 s&p bse sensex STock 7.8 7.7 3.8 3.6 4.1 3.5 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.1 1.1 MarkeT -1.1 -0.4 -0.8 -0.9 -1.7 -1.3 craSh -4.9 -5.7 -6 -6.4 Returns (%) Returns (%) îPanic selling due to 19.4 -23.2 -23.1 Covid-19 pandemic shaved off 23 per cent 29.5 29.3 28.5 28.4 28.3 26.6 26.4 26.4 28.1 26.3 27.4 27.4 27.3 27.2 25.5 24.5 market cap of top 50 29 29 29 29 23.2 28 27 26 companies listed on 17.8 the National Stock Exchange within a single month P/E (Times) P/E (Times) îThis was the largest loss in a single month Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 since the global liquidity crisis of 2008. 17 May 2020 Business Today 13
The Game Changer With both sides tight-lipped, the nuts and bolts of Jio-Facebook tie-up remain shrouded in mystery By manu kaushik M onths before Reliance Industries Mukesh Ambani, announced that Facebook would buy CMD, RIL a 9.99 per cent stake in Jio Platforms — the holding company of its digital businesses — for `43,574-crore, both PhotograPh by bandeeP singh companies were at loggerheads. In January last year, at the 9th Vibrant Gujarat Summit, Mukesh Ambani, Chairman of Reliance Industries (RIL), tails are still being worked upon. advocated protecting India’s data from global corpora- Facebook’s investment could bring RIL’s debt down at a tions. In September, Facebook’s Global Affairs VP, Nicho- time when cash conservation has become critical for lever- las Clegg, countered that asking India to allow free flow of aged entities. As per Hong Kong-based CLSA, RIL’s consoli- data across borders. dated net debt and other liabilities were `2.35 lakh crore in Seven months later, Ambani has joined hands with 2019/20, down marginally from `2.40 lakh crore in 2018/19. Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg to collaborate on the vast data “Cash infusion from this deal and closure of `7,000 crore both collect in their ventures. So, what could have prompt- stake sale to BP in the oil marketing JV should mean cash ed both billionaires to come together? infusion of over `50,000 crore and bring down net debt,” Analysts call it a “marriage of convenience” – where says a CLSA report. Even as the modalities of the deal are each partner brings something to the table that the other being thrashed out, the industry stays circumspect about lacks. With both sides tight-lipped about the deal, the nuts how things will move forward from here on. and bolts of the tie-up are shrouded in mystery. Analysts While announcing the partnership, RIL said its “focus believe barring the investment announcement, most de- will be India’s 60 million micro, small and medium busi- 14 Business Today 17 May 2020
The February 2018: Face- book-owned messaging Making platform WhatsApp beta- of the launches its payments Deal service WhatsApp Pay July 2018: Mukesh Am- bani forays into new com- merce; calls it RIL’s next biggest growth engine August 2019: At RIL’s 42nd AGM, Ambani says he intents to register 30 million kirana stores December 2019: Jio Platforms reportedly does a soft launch of grocery platform JioMart in Navi Mumbai, Thane and Kalyan February 2020: What- sApp gets NPCI approval to roll out its payments service April 2020: Jio Platforms receive `43,574-crore funding from Facebook Mark Zuckerberg, for 9.99 per cent stake; CEO, Facebook WhatsApp and Jio Plat- forms sign deal to grow RIL’s new commerce business nesses, 120 million farmers, 30 million small merchants buying 9.99 per cent stake in Jio Platforms. A part of the and millions of small and medium enterprises in the infor- proceeds (`15,000 crore) will be retained in the company mal sector, in addition to empowering people seeking vari- and the rest (over `28,000 crore) will be used to redeem ous digital services.” It’s unclear how far RIL has come in OCPS (optionally convertible preference shares) of RIL. A connecting these small merchants and businesses with its separate partnership has been signed between Facebook- new commerce platform. owned WhatsApp, Reliance Retail and Jio Platforms to Last December, Jio Platforms reportedly did a soft grow RIL’s new commerce business using WhatsApp. launch of grocery platform JioMart in Navi Mumbai, Thane This investment fits in with Ambani’s new commerce and Kalyan. Hence, it’s safe to assume RIL’s new commerce project launched two years ago at RIL’s 41st AGM. What journey has just begun, and it will have to tread a long way exactly is new commerce? One of the biggest pieces of Reli- before potential benefits can be realised. ance Retail’s new commerce project is JioMart, which plans Nevertheless, Ambani stunned the world by clinching to join hands with millions of kirana stores across India, the deal in the middle of the coronavirus outbreak. He not and bring them on its platform. By integrating offline kira- only pulled off the largest FDI in India’s tech sector, but also nas with WhatsApp, local retailers can have a wider reach became Asia’s richest person. and greater display on Jio’s platform. Jio Platforms, the RIL subsidiary in which Facebook has “New commerce is going to be our e-commerce of- invested, saw its enterprise value soar to `4.62 lakh crore. fering. We will enable kiranas to become full-fledged Last December, brokerage Axis Capital estimated that Jio’s e-commerce companies. Customers would go to their enterprise value will touch `4.64 lakh crore in 2023/24. Jio WhatsApp and access JioMart where they can find the ki- Platforms is a larger entity that houses all digital ventures ranas. The idea is to digitise the whole supply chain that’s of RIL – the Jio suite of apps, digital investments (KAI-OS, informal right now,” says a RIL source. Haptik) and big data, AI and IoT capabilities. Jio remains In the long term, the plan is to cover more segments un- the crown jewel in the bouquet of those investments. der new commerce. The expansion of JioMart vertical, (in- The deal is divided into two parts. First, Facebook is tegrated) payments system of WhatsApp, credit facilities 17 May 2020 Business Today 15
Corporate – Jio-FB What What Size of facebook iS facebook iS What ril iS What ril iS the deal bringing getting bringing getting `43,574 400 388 30 `4.62 crore Million Million Million lakh crore For 9.9 per cent stake WhatsApp Number of Jio Kirana stores Enterprise value of RIL's in Jio Platforms users subs whose data subsidiary Jio Platforms FB can monetise after FB investment and other services would enable RIL to chal- gains all hold in India. India is home to some of lenge e-commerce players like Amazon and the Way Facebook’s most thriving communities Flipkart. “This will help RIL create a strong on WhatsApp, Facebook and Instagram. rival to online e-commerce giants like Ama- In the fourth quarter of 2019, the family of zon and strengthen its leadership in Indian Jio Platforms gets valued Facebook apps saw 2.89 billion monthly us- retail,” says an Axis Capital report. among the top five listed ers globally, up 9 per cent over the same pe- The timing of the deal is great as RIL’s oil companies in India by riod last year. As one of the largest consumer market cap. Ambani is now refining and petrochemicals revenues have Asia's richest economies outside the US, India has been at taken a hit. The historic fall in crude prices the forefront of Facebook’s target markets. has upended fundamentals of RIL’s oil and While WhatsApp brings Since China is closed for foreign entities, gas business. The mega-deal with Saudi scale and reach of 400-mn penetrating deeper into the Indian market Aramco last year also risks being called off users, RIL offers a vast becomes more important. RIL’s under- after government reportedly asked a court database of wireless users, standing of the domestic market, particular- and understanding of the to restrain the $15-billion deal. “While ly the regulatory side, could bring Facebook local market the Saudi Aramco due diligence is ongo- closer to Indians. ing, clearly with Covid-19 disruptions, the For RIL, the deal is crucial Facebook has a chequered history in transaction would likely get pushed out. as major businesses India. In 2016, it suffered a big setback over The key investor concern is whether the – petrochemicals and the backlash from net-neutrality activists collapse in crude would lead to deal cancel- oil refinery – are under over its Free Basics programme. What- pressure due to the lation,” says a J.P. Morgan report. sApp also struggled to make headway in Covid-19 outbreak There are two clear upsides for Facebook. the Indian payments market. Despite beta- First, it can monetise Jio’s subscriber data. WhatsApp will be a super launching payments service WhatsApp Though there are rising concerns over users’ app for payments and Pay in February 2018, it got approval from data privacy and squeezing of online adver- enable users to transact NPCI (National Payments Corporation tising, India is yet to finalise the personal with local kiranas of India) for roll out just two months ago. data protection law. Without such a law, Meanwhile, others like Google Pay, Ama- Facebook can reportedly leverage Jio users’ data without zon Pay, and PhonePe have taken a lead. With the integra- any regulatory restrictions. tion of WhatsApp Pay and JioMart on a large scale, Face- “Facebook is largely dependent on ad revenues. Mon- book could bridge some of that gap. etising WhatsApp has been tough for them. With this tie- An RIL-Facebook partnership was in the works for a up, they would have greater access to the digital life of an while, but the coronavirus havoc accelerated its closure. additional 388 million users. The privacy concern stems How? With the coronavirus onset, hyperlocal retail has from there. Facebook’s history has been marred with con- become extremely popular. “The key expectation from in- troversies and instances of how data was used by market- vestors is if WhatsApp becomes the new all-in Super App ers for political campaigning. With this, they would fur- and allows for Jio and [Reliance] Retail to foray into various ther monopolise the market to attract more advertisers. commerce initiatives leveraging WhatsApp as the Super Everything boils down to ads,” says Neil Shah, VP (Re- App,” says the JP Morgan report. search) at Counterpoint Research. With RIL on its side, Facebook can gain a deeper foot- @manukaushik 16 Business Today 17 May 2020
FOCUS STOCK MARKET CAUTION !!! INDIAN STOCK MARKET 2020 AGAIN STARTED FACING A BIG CRASH. VERY SOON NIFTY WILL HIT MINIMUM 5000 LEVEL. Caution !!! Indian stock market 2020 again started facing a big crash. Very soon Nifty will hit minimum 5000 level in the upcoming days. LAKSHMI NARAYANAN SUNDARAM Research Analyst (SEBI Certified) T his crash is going to be one of the biggest crash registered in the history of Indian stock market. We can see a sharp fall would be similar to the previous crash, that our get affected badly. So investors and Traders of in this crash. In this crash Nifty will fall up to Indian stock market got corrected nearly 40% our Indian stock market must be careful to deal 46% from the recent level. It is going to be the from life high in the month of March 2020. with this Crash said by RESEARCH ANALYST Mr. second consecutive crash in the year 2020 which During the fall investors and Traders Wealth will LAKSHMI NARAYANAN SUNDARAM.
cover story fdi policy CHECK ON THE DRAGON 18 Business Today 17 May 2020
It all started with a seemingly innocuous transaction on April 12 when state-owned Peo- ple’s Bank of China (PBoC) bought an addition- al 0.2 per cent stake in HDFC Ltd., India’s larg- As India tightens FDI norms, est housing finance company. Added to PBoC’s Chinese firms and investments existing 0.8 per cent stake, this took the Chi- may face regulatory and consumer nese bank’s equity past 1 per cent — triggering a notification to stock exchange regulator, the backlash. The friction between Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi). Asian giants could be the beginning A registered foreign institutional investor of an adversarial chapter in trade (FII) buying a stake in HDFC is perfectly legal. It was also a smart bargain. Stock markets in By sumant Banerji, rukmini rao the world had been topsy-turvy and till that day and niti kiran HDFC Ltd. had seen 32 per cent erosion in mar- illustration By raj verma ket cap since the market crash triggered by the spread of coronavirus. 17 May 2020 Business Today 19
cover story fdi policy The Maze $1.81 Of Chinese bIllION chinese investment Inflows over the last five years Yet, the transaction rang alarm Into India… 494.75 2014-15 bells at Sebi coming, as it did, amid al- 350.22 $2.34 legations of Chinese firms exploiting 2017-18 market crash to corner stakes in stra- 461.4 2015-16 tegic firms of vulnerable economies. bIllION The market regulator played safe and china investment 277.25 into India is just 2016-17 229.01 promptly shot off a missive to the fi- 2018-19 nance ministry seeking guidance. 0.5% of total FDI in two All figures in $ million; All figures are FDI It asked if such transactions needed decades equity inflows from China special attention. In Delhi, its chain reaction contin- ues to unravel till this day. Taking note of the threat posed by Chinese firms to companies in India that may be vulnerable due to economic stagna- 1 China is 18th Largest tion because of coronavirus, on April FDI Contributor Mauritius (Apr 2000-Dec 2019) 17, the commerce ministry’s Depart- $141.9 ment for Promotion of Industry and billion Internal Trade (DPIIT) amended for- eign direct investment (FDI) guide- lines to apply curbs on investments 2 3 4 5 6 from China. Aimed at preventing any opportunistic takeover from across Singapore Japan netherlands USA UK the border, any fresh FDI from China $94.65 $33.1 $30.9 $28.35 $27.94 now requires a specific nod from the billion billion billion billion billion government. Taking a cue, Sebi wrote to custo- dians the very next day, seeking de- tails of foreign portfolio investments 7 8 9 10 18 (FPIs) from China, Hong Kong and 11 other Asian countries. While there Germany Cyprus France UAE China are no restrictions on Chinese FPIs $12.07 $10.10 $7.10 $6.91 $2.34 billion billion billion billion billion investing in Indian companies yet, Sebi specifically wants custodians to Source: DIPP determine the level of control these investors exercise. Even though investments – FDI, FII or FPI – from China have not been $4.2 $8 bIllION bIllION blocked yet, this has not gone down that’s because much of Amount china claims it well with China. The Chinese Em- the chinese investment has invested in bassy in Delhi, in an angry response, comes via singapore India till demanded that India revise the policy, (above) and Hong Kong December 2019 calling it ‘discriminatory’ and in ‘vio- lation of WTO’ rules. “The impact of the policy on Chinese investors is clear. The addi- $3.9 $26 bIllION bIllION tional barriers set by the Indian side estimated investment by total investment by for investors from specific countries chinese firms in china in India, including violate the WTO’s principle of non- India’s start-up economy ongoing and planned discrimination, and goes against the in 2019 ones, as estimated by Brookings general trend of liberalisation and facilitation of trade and investment. 20 Business Today 17 May 2020
Equity China Not Among Top 8,27,258 7,82,031 10 FPI Investors debt 41,853 3,374 Hybrid Total Asset Under Custody (` crore) 4,00,834 3,28,853 69,714 2,268 2,48,653 2,83,487 2,30,497 1,39,593 1,79,857 34,718 2,27,831 50,265 82,070 6,168 1,20,915 116 1,17,951 375 93,544 92,769 87,999 62,995 2,408 16,298 76,274 82,827 22,964 19,785 13,933 42,149 65,144 65,116 5,413 51,211 555 196 132 46 0 3 USA Mauritius luxem- Singapore United ireland Canada Japan norway nether- other bourg Kingdom lands Source: NSDL; FPI AUC data country-wise (top 10 countries) by March 2020 What Tighter FdI Norms Mean Greater scrutiny Investors look- Companies with Start-ups like Throttling Impacts foreign of companies ing to exit existing Chi- Paytm, big- investments entities with from China from compa- nese inves- basket, with from China is subsidiaries looking to in- nies will tors may find big Chinese another blow in india that vest directly face greater it difficult to holdings, will to overall are looking at in india due diligence raise fresh find it tough start-up fund- raising funds funds to raise funds ing in india offshore More importantly, they do not conform to the consensus is widely expected to follow DPIIT), even Chinese con- of G20 leaders and trade ministers to realise a free, fair, sumer firms such as MG Motors, Xiaomi, Lenovo, Oppo non-discriminatory, transparent, predictable and stable and Vivo are bracing for a possible consumer backlash trade and investment environment, and to keep our mar- when the lockdown is lifted. Greater scrutiny of Chi- kets open,” said Chinese embassy spokesperson counsel- nese investments will have far-reaching consequences lor Ji Rong. “Companies make choices based on market including, but not restricted to, the Indian start-up eco- principles. We hope India would revise relevant discrimi- system that is flush with capital from across the border. natory practices, treat investments from different coun- Chinese investors pumped in an estimated $4 billion tries equally, and foster an open, fair and equitable busi- into Indian startups in 2019 alone. And as India actively ness environment.” woos investments from firms looking for alternatives India remains unmoved and combative. “It does not to China, it will have to combat the fuming dragon more violate any WTO guideline in any way. We are well within often. our rights to formulate or tweak any policy. Just to be “China’s FDI in India remains quite small, so the re- clear, we are not blocking any investment, only making cent restrictions are not going to materially change the sure that the intent behind it is positive. What is wrong picture. The purpose is to prevent Chinese state-owned with that?” says a senior commerce ministry official. companies from opportunistically buying stock of In- Shots fired, the die has been cast. But this may be dian companies that are currently facing a downturn in just the beginning of an adversarial relationship with their stock price,” says geo-strategist Brahma Chellaney. China that will require deft economic and geopolitical With global recession staring in the face, the friction manoeuvring. While regulators tighten the noose (Sebi between the two Asian economic giants is only expected 17 May 2020 Business Today 21
cover story fdi policy “India is going to win on its merit and does not need China to fail for it to succeed. The cost-quality balance of to increase. engineering products coming out of India is superior to that of China. That Opportunistic Raids on Firms? is why Triumph and KTM have allied The pandemic is set to push the world with us while a company like BMW has economy into its worst recession allied with TVS" since the 1930s Great Depression. Rajiv Bajaj, MD, Bajaj Auto Ltd While the world economy is projected to shrink at least 3 per cent in 2020, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) believes India’s economy will grow 1.9 per cent. The impact of the slowdown on companies would be dramatic. So, many could lose value in “We need to be extremely watchful stock markets, making them vulnera- of Chinese moves, including its ble to takeovers. Since China, besides investment instruments, and its India, is the only other large economy presence in ASEAN countries” expected to grow its GDP in FY21, it is feared that state-owned Chinese Abhyuday Jindal, MD, Jindal Stainless firms may make opportunistic pur- chases here. “We need to be extremely watchful of Chinese moves, including its investment instruments, and its presence in ASEAN countries,” says Abhyuday Jindal, Managing Director, Jindal Stainless, India’s largest stain- “China has spoken with its actions. less steel company. History will give its objective and impartial verdict. No one could But is it Realistic? discredit or distort these facts or China does not figure among the Top truths. To defeat the virus, mankind 10 FDI or Top 10 FPI investors in In- needs to choose confidence over dia. Official FDI figures would show panic, unity over division, at first glance that the DPIIT curbs cooperation over scapegoating” appear to be a case of much ado about nothing. Between 2000 and 2019, Sun Weidong, Chinese Ambassador to India Chinese FDI into India barely added up to $2.3 billion, Commerce Min- ister Piyush Goyal told Parliament. That is barely half a per cent of all FDI during the period. The Chinese government inflates this to $8 billion but even that is under 2 per cent of total FDI. lion during this period. Even the Centre is grappling with However, these numbers do not give the full picture. exact China-specific FDI via these routes. Jidesh Kumar, The Centre is worried because these benign numbers Managing Partner , King Stubb & Kasiva, an M&A fo- could be misleading. A significant chunk of Chinese cused law firm, says, “Usually, investments in India from investments come through destinations such as Hong border states will be structured by creating SPVs in Hong Kong and Singapore. India’s largest smartphone manu- Kong, Singapore, Mauritius, the Netherlands or other ju- facturer, Xiaomi, for example, has routed its `3,500 crore risdictions to avail tax-treaty benefits under the respec- investment in India through its subsidiary in Singapore. tive double taxation avoidance agreements (executed by Overall FDI from Singapore has been $94.6 billion in the India with these countries).” The biggest Chinese invest- last two decades, accounting for 20 per cent of all FDI ments have come in the technology sector. Players like into India. This makes Singapore the 2nd-largest source Tencent and Alibaba invested in Indian tech start-ups of FDI into India. Hong Kong pumped in another $4.2 bil- such as Udaan, Delhivery, Swiggy and BigBasket in 2019. 22 Business Today 17 May 2020
Companies With Significant Investments From China Company FPI Investor % Share Company* FDI Indian Firm Avanti Feeds Thai Union Asia Invst. Holding 8.77 tsingshan $ 3 bn Chromeni Holding Steel Kingfa sc. & tech. (India) Hongkong Victory Invst. Co. 6.32 Xinxing $ 1.25 bn Xindia Steels HSBC Pooled Investment Fund - Group Glenmark Pharma 3.29 HSBC Pooled Asia PAC Vivo, Oppo, BBK $ 1.1 bn Realme, One Kiri Industries Moving Limited 2.08 electronics Plus, IQOO Gandhi special tubes Pinebridge India Equity Fund 1.25 Fosun $ 1.09 bn Gland Pharma HDFc Ltd People's Bank of China 1.01 Haier $ 528 mn Haier Appliances Group India Holdings based on information with CMIE's Prowess database; BSE-listed companies covered; FPIs from both Hong Kong & Xiaomi $ 504 mn Xiaomi India China (as per Sebi) * These are announced investments Biggest Start-ups Involving Chinese Investors Company Amount* Investors PayTM Ola OYO Rooms Snapdeal BYJU’S $3.53 $3.28 $3.2 $1.8 $1.47 BIllIOn BIllIOn BIllIOn BIllIOn BIllIOn Ant Financial, Tencent, Didi Didi, Huazhuhui, Alibaba Group, Tencent, General Alibaba, Alibaba Chuxing, China- SoftBank Vision Blackrock, Nexus Atlantic, Aarin Group, Softbank Eurasia Economic Fund, Airbnb, Venture Partners, Capital, CPP Vision Fund, Cooperation A91 Partners Temasek, Foxconn Investment T. Rowe Price, Gojek Fund, Mirae Asset, and others Electronics and Board, Prosus and others SoftBank Group others and others and others *Total funding; Source: Tracxn The non-tech FDI is sparse. and reasonable.” Even so, just looking at the size of the FDI would be But the threat is limited here as well. Besides HDFC missing the woods for the trees. The other concern which Ltd, there are only five other companies that have re- prompted the government to put these investments un- ceived significant FPI investments from China or Hong der the scanner is Chinese firms using lower valuations Kong. Of these, Hong Kong-based Thai Union Asia In- to strike lucrative deals via the FPI route. “The revision vestment Holding Ltd has the largest stake – 8.77 per of FDI policy is useful for indigenous entrepreneurs and cent — in shrimp exporting firm Avanti Feeds, while businesses. It will give a reprieve to businesses that are HSBC Pooled Investment Fund has a 3.29 per cent stake financially fragile on account of the great lockdown,” in pharma major Glenmark Pharmaceuticals and Hong says Cyril Shroff, Managing Partner, Cyril Amarchand Kong Victory Investment Co has a 6.32 per cent stake in Mangaldas. “This could ensure that the valuations at Kingfa Science and Technology (See Companies With Sig- which Indian businesses receive investments are fair nificant Investment From China) 17 May 2020 Business Today 23
cover story India in Sync fdi policy With World AuStRAlIA: Tightened rules on foreign takeovers fearing strategic assets could be sold cheaply due to the coronavirus While it is purportedly aimed at preventing take- crisis. Has mandated scrutiny overs, the impact of the change in guidelines could be of every single deal regardless widespread. According to law firm Shardul Amarchand of value Mangaldas, the changes would impact existing Chinese firms looking to invest more capital, investments from ItAly: It expanded the Golden Powers Law, meant to restrict China for greenfield projects as also foreign entities foreign investments in sensitive with subsidiaries in India looking to raise capital from areas, to include a large num- overseas. ber of other sectors. Curbed India is not alone in trying to protect its companies foreign takeovers in a range from a potential Chinese invasion either. Many European of sectors countries, including Italy, Spain, Germany and France, besides Australia, have recently put similar curbs on op- GeRmAny: Europe’s biggest economy approved measures portunistic investments from China (See India in Sync which applied to takeover bids with the World). from the United States “Hostile takeovers are not a country-specific risk and and enterprises outside the can happen from anywhere in this time of crisis when European Union valuations of companies are down. We need to take precautions from everywhere. China carries a higher SpAIn: Issued Royal Decree suspending the regime on FDI risk because of its political setup which is considered deregulation indefinitely. It ne- to be non-transparent,” says Gopal Krishna Agarwal, cessitates prior government ap- National Spokesperson (Economic Affairs), Bharatiya proval for investors outside EU Janata Party. “India cannot have the luxury of not hav- looking at acquiring more than ing discretion. The financial position will be very criti- 10 per cent in a local company cal in the immediate aftermath of Covid and we should CAnAdA: Tightened foreign not be in a position where we expose our vulnerabilities investment rules, scrutinising to China,” says Harsh Pant, Director, Studies and Head, investments in companies re- Strategic Studies Program, Observer Research Founda- lated to public health or critical tion. “China has exposed itself with this crisis and shown supply chains, and investments its aggressiveness. The world, with India included in it, is by state-owned companies or investors with close ties to wary of it.” foreign governments At the same time, too much regulation could also prove to be counter-productive. As a growing economy, euRopeAn unIon: Was among India needs investments in infrastructure and labour the first to tighten foreign in- intensive sectors and with the world economy headed vestment rules. The aim was to towards a recession, China could be one of the few major discourage “bargain hunting” by China. economies bucking the trend and willing to spend. “Chi- na’s cumulative investments in India are far more than uK: The UK government screens the total investments of India’s other bordering coun- acquisitions in military, dual- tries. Our investments have driven the development of use, computing hardware and India’s industries such as mobile phone, household elec- quantum technology sectors trical appliances, infrastructure and automobile, creat- ing a large number of jobs in India, and promoting mutu- uSA: The Committee on Foreign ally beneficial and win-win cooperation,” Ji Rong argues. Investments in the US is now playing an active role in “Where companies choose to invest and operate depends screening potential takeovers on the country’s economic fundamentals and business on national security grounds environment. Facing the economic downturn caused by Covid-19, countries should work together to create a JApAn: $2.2 billion fund to help favourable investment environment to speed up the re- Japanese companies shift pro- sumption of companies’ production and operation.” duction out of China Agarwal of the BJP agrees, adding India need not fol- Map not to scale low the path taken by others but chart its own course, as its reality is different. “We need not get entangled in any 24 Business Today 17 May 2020
“The revision of FDI policy is useful for indigenous entrepreneurs and businesses. It will give a reprieve to businesses that are financially use 'Swadeshi' and buy local products in order to give impetus to local pro- fragile on account of the duce and generate employment in the great lockdown” country," Prime Minister Narendra Cyril Shroff, Managing Partner, Modi said in December 2019 in his reg- Cyril Amarchand Mangaldas ular radio programme Mann ki Baat. A call to buy made in India goods from none other than the prime min- ister himself is bound to sway con- sumer mindset, given his popularity. The bad press China has been receiv- “MG is a quintessential British ing across the globe, with criticism of brand where ownership happens its handling of the pandemic, can only to be Chinese. But if you look at it add to that. “The pandemic has un- leashed strong feelings about China rationally, we are no different from a globally. They are now facing strong Honda, Toyota or a Ford with strong headwinds across the world and In- local manufacturing supported by a dia is no exception,” says Chellaney. large set of global suppliers” Praveen Khandelwal, National Sec- Rajeev Chaba, President and MD, MG Motor retary General, Confederation of All India Traders, says, “Even before the lockdown, consumers had started to show their dislike for Chinese goods and would not buy them even if avail- able cheap. This is the best time to put an end to import of non-essential goods like toys from China.” "I thank the Govt. for taking note of “The cost quality balance of engi- my warning and amending the FDI neering products coming out of India norms to make it mandatory for Govt. is superior to that of China. That is approval in some specific cases" why Triumph and KTM have allied with us while a company like BMW Rahul Gandhi has allied with TVS. India is going to win on its merit and does not need China to fail for it to succeed. But In- dian industry needs its government to support it,” says Rajiv Bajaj, Managing Director of Bajaj Auto. At the other end of the spectrum are social media apps backed by Chi- global warfare and we just need to protect our domestic nese companies which, apart from being popular, are interests. Others should not use our shoulders to fire at turning into a nightmare for the government in control- China,” he says. “We should also be a bit cautious when ling fake news. Apps like Helo, SHAREit, TikTok and dealing with FDI because while we have abundance of Vigo have penetrated deep into Tier II-III towns and have labour and raw materials, we are short of capital. So, we a huge rural user base with unregulated content. TikTok also need investments. China is the world’s second-larg- had in 2019 run into trouble when the Madras High Court est economy and has the capital. So, it would not be pru- banned it for increased crime and inappropriate content. dent to restrict investments entirely. We need a balance.” The ban was later lifted. Though not a Chinese company, the latest platform Bracing up for Consumer Backlash to get into trouble is video-calling app Zoom, which “As we are going to mark the 75th anniversary of Inde- has emerged as an alternative business calling app dur- pendence in 2022, I urge all the youth of this country to ing the Covid crisis. Among the other shareholders 17 May 2020 Business Today 25
China Stranglehold on India's 2018 Smartphone Market (in %) 2019 28.3 Xiaomi 28.6 22.6 Samsung 20.3 10.1 Vivo 15.6 Source: IDC Quarterly 7.2 Mobile Phone Tracker, OPPO February 2020 10.7 3.2 Realme 10.6 Others 28.6 14.2 of Zoom, founded by Chinese-American Eric Yuan, is terests who want to amplify such kind of negative views. Hong Kong’s richest man Li Ka Shing, founder of the There are some noises but at the end of the day people are Hutchison Whampoa empire. The Ministry of Home smart. We as Indians basically want a good value propo- Affairs issued an advisory against using Zoom after se- sition. So, let the best products and services prevail and curity concerns were raised with the company housing let politicians play politics and business guys focus on do- its data centre in China, among the 17 data centres it has ing business,” says Rajeev Chaba, President and Manag- around the world. Sameer Raje, Head of India, Zoom ing Director, MG Motor. “MG is a quintessential British Video Communications, says the company takes privacy brand where ownership happens to be Chinese. Our top seriously. “Many large global institutions have done ex- management is 100 per cent Indian and we have invested haustive security reviews of our user, network and data `3,000-4000 crore in India. We are no different from a centre layers and continue to use Zoom for most or all Honda, Toyota or a Ford with strong local manufacturing of their unified communications needs,” says Raje. He that is supported by a large set of global suppliers.” says Zoom is in talks with the MHA and is focused on Smartphone companies from China that have made providing information they need to make informed deci- even deeper inroads in the market — Xiaomi, Vivo and sions on policies. Oppo are among the top 5 — also say they are as Indian There is strong sentiment on social media as well. The a company as any except for the ownership. “Covid-19 day the PBoC raised its stake in HDFC Ltd, the bank was has had a worldwide impact and any region-focused bias trolled on microblogging site Twitter with people liken- would be deemed unnatural. Our focus and priority re- ing this to an attack by China on India’s banking system. mains on supporting all customers and minimising dis- Similarly, hashtags like #BoycottChina regularly ruption. Given our global footprint, we feel we are in a trend on Twitter in India and some political outfits have position to handle this well,” says Rahul Agarwal, CEO also latched on to this. The Swadeshi Jagaran Manch and Managing Director, Lenovo India. Xiaomi says 99 (SJM), an organisation that promotes indigenous goods per cent of its smartphones, as well as smart TVs and and has close ties with the government and the RSS, has powerbanks, are made locally and 65 per cent of the value from time to time exhorted consumers to shun Chinese of each phone is sourced from within India. goods. “After #ChineseVirus, the world has started real- “Not just this, we have been able to generate employ- ising the reality of China beyond cheap goods. This is the ment for over 50,000 people in India across our part- time for the globe to unite and practice complete boycott ners,” says a Xiaomi India spokesperson. “We boast of a of Chinese goods and capital,” Ashwani Mahajan, the Na- completely local leadership. We might be headquartered tional Co-convener of SJM, tweeted on April 21. He has in China but Xiaomi India operates exactly like a local more than 31,000 followers. company and we hope our users can see that.” This is not the first time a campaign to boycott goods An online survey conducted between late March and from China has gained currency in India. But the earlier early April by Takshashila Institution, a Bangalore-based ones have had negligible impact on business in the past. think tank, highlights the negative perception for China Chinese firms are hoping it will be the same this time as among Indians. With a sample size of nearly 1,300 re- well. “During such crises, there are always some vested in- spondents, a majority 1,156 from India, it found that two- 26 Business Today 17 May 2020
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