Citizen Trust in 2021 How restoring public confidence will be key to accelerating the recovery - Kantar Public
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Webinar: Trust in the news How to address the challenges of misinformation and strengthen public resilience to the risks 23 March 2021
Welcome to our speakers Mr Tim Nguyen Ms Sophia Schmid Mr Julien Zalc Head Of Unit High Impact Events Consultant, Kantar Public Consultant, Director of the Centre Preparedness, Infodemic Manager Germany Kantar sur le Futur de l’Europe at World Health Organization 4
AGENDA 1 Use and trust in the media Fighting disinformation and fake news: 2 a case study from Germany Responding to “infodemics”: 3 perspective from the WHO 4 Questions 5
Media use in the EU In the last decade, use of the Internet and online social networks has increased EU and traditional media decreased QD3 Could you tell me to what extent you…? (% - EU - AT LEAST ONCE A WEEK) 98 97 97 97 100% 96 96 95 94 94 WATCH TV ON A TV SET + VIA THE INTERNET 97 97 97 90% 95 94 95 94 WATCH TELEVISION ON A TV SET 93 92 90 79 78 80 80% 76 77 76 76 77 USE THE INTERNET 74 75 73 71 71 LISTEN TO THE RADIO 70% 73 75 75 74 70 72 73 69 60 59 USE ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS 65 65 60% 63 64 63 64 61 58 READ THE WRITTEN PRESS 50% 56 55 54 50 47 40% 44 42 32 29 WATCH TELEVISION 30% 33 35 27 23 VIA THE INTERNET 20 21 17 18 20% 16 10% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB92: Autumn 2019 7
The use of the social media: by country Large variations between countries EU Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB92: Autumn 2019 8
Media ranks behind other institutions in levels of public trust EU 40% trust the media Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB93: Summer 2020 9
Large variations between countries, with a North-South divide EU Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB93: Summer 2020 10
Trust: social media vs. traditional media Radio (57%) and TV (49%) continue as the most trusted source, while the Internet EU (32%) and onlineQA6a social networks (20%) score lower I would like to ask you a question about how much trust you have in certain media and institutions. For each of the following media and institutions, please tell me if you tend to trust it or tend not to trust it. (% - EU - TEND TO TRUST) 70% 59 59 59 60% 58 57 57 58 57 54 54 55 RADIO 50 51 50 48 49 50% 53 TELEVISION 49 50 50 THE WRITTEN PRESS 48 48 47 47 46 46 40% 42 43 43 43 42 40 41 37 37 36 36 THE INTERNET 30% 35 35 34 35 34 32 32 21 20 21 20 20 19 20% ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS 10% 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB92: Autumn 2019 11
Written press and the Internet: trust and use As the Internet use rose to 80% of the population in 2019, the level of trust decreased. EU The opposite can be seen for the written press 78% 80% 75% 77% 72% 73% 73% 71% 69% 70% 71% 63% 64% 65% 65% 56% 55% Written press-Use 63% 61% 60% 42% 43% 43% 43% Written press-Trust 40% 41% 46% 47% 47% 46% The Internet-Use 35% 37% 35% 36% 35% 36% 34% 34% 32% 32% The Internet-Trust 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB92: Autumn 2019 12
Trust in the Internet and online social networks EU A generational gap : young respondents are more likely Higher levels of trust among longer educated population to trust the Internet and online social networks and students % by age % by education 47% 45% 41% 34% 33% 34% 31% 31% 27% 21% 22% 20% 17% 18% 12% 11% 15-24 25-39 40-54 55+ 15- 16-19 20+ Still studying The Internet The online social networks The Internet The online social networks Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB92: Autumn 2019 13
Public opinion in the EU: fake news and disinformation Awareness about the risks related to fake news is rising across the EU EU % of citizens who % of citizens who think is % of citizens who think is think they can identify a problem for democracy a problem in their country false information 79% (+3) 74% (+3) 58% (=) Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB92: Autumn 2019 – evolution since Standard Eurobarometer EB90: Autumn 2018 14
Media literacy: differing levels across Europe More than a third of respondents (36%) do not find it easy to identify fake news EU Source: Standard Eurobarometer EB92: Autumn 2019 15
Who do the public look to for reliable information about the vaccine? % of citizens who trust Health authorities Family’s doctor Government Traditional media Social media No reliable in their country source of information on this topic 41% 39% 25% 19% 8% 15% 26% 24% % of citizens who trust: 5% ꟷ Doctors who speak in the media (24%) 5% ꟷ My pharmacist (14%) ꟷ People around me (9%) Source: Kantar-Vaccination International Survey, fieldwork: 13-27 January 2021,7133 interviews in 7 countries. 16
2 Combating disinformation on social media Fighting disinformation and fake news: a case study from Germany Kantar Public Germany
Actions taken by major social media platforms against disinformation STEP 1: Defining and detecting disinformation Community External Machine User guidelines evaluators / learning reports experts 18
Actions taken by major social media platforms against disinformation STEP 2: Providing more information Providing Partnering Providing Media authoritative Flagging / with fact additional literacy media labeling checkers context programmes content 19
Actions taken by major social media platforms against disinformation STEP 3: Deleting and blocking Restricting Restriction Regulation Deleting Blocking visibility of of political content accounts through monetisation adverstising algorithms 20
Case study: YouTube’s recommendation algorithms and disinformation HYPOTHESIS: Methodology Does YouTube’s recommendation 1. Automated recording of over 33,000 recommendations algorithm promote on COVID-19, climate change and refugees content containing 2. Quantitative coding of 210 videos disinformation? 3. Qualitative analysis of 15 disinformative videos 21
YouTube’s recommendation algorithm does not amplify disinformation Amount of videos containing disinformation All recorded videos 6% Videos about refugees 8% Starting point: videos containing disinformation Videos about climate change 15% 33% Videos about COVID-19 14% 22
Despite YouTube’s statements, ads still appear before disinformative videos Monetisation of videos Videos containing disinformation 40% 7% 55% Neutral videos 35% 3% 63% YouTube ads Own advertising No advertising 23
Disinformation comes in many shapes and sizes ꟷ Different formats, target groups, styles, quality, topics, reach ꟷ Presentation as “alternative“ journalism or science 24
Conclusion: Disinformation can be hard to define and detect, but there are ways to limit it ꟷ Transparency on algorithms and further research ꟷ Restricting advertising in front of videos with disinformation Social Government / ꟷ More high quality trustworthy Citizens networks regulation news sources and media literacy ꟷ Laws and regulations 25
3 Approaching the challenges of the “infodemic”, disinformation and fake news about COVID-19 World Health Organization (WHO)
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LISTEN TO CONCERNS Questions on COVID-19 Top rising topics Quantifying (12 – 18 Nov 2020) Top key words (excluding ‘COVID-19’, ‘coronavirus’ and ‘virus’) (12 – 18 Nov 2020) Based on % change of conversation volume from the previous week information through social listening WHO uses a digital listening approach which analyses and quantifies information associated with COVID-19. For example, top keywords and topics are tracked in order to identify trends and help manage the infodemic. 28
PILOT with 20 countries and 4 languages: Enable health information professionals to respond earlier to the infodemic, with a real- time analysis of narratives of the general public. Building world-leading information infrastructure to serve countries to understand attitudes of the general public. Moving from surveys, to datapools and AI analytics that are real-time, flexible and locally adaptive. See whoinfodemic.citibeats.com 29
Questions
An infodemic is accompanying ” the pandemic • An infodemic is an overabundance of information – good or bad – that makes it difficult for people to make decisions for their health • Misinformation1, disinformation2 and fake news can cause real harm to health, public trust, social cohesion and emergency response We’re not just fighting an epidemic; we’re fighting an infodemic. Fake news spreads faster and more easily than this virus, and is just as dangerous. 1 inaccurate information Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus 2 false or inaccurate information intended to mislead Director-General, World Health Organization 31
How people receive, process and act on information varies Illustration: Toby Morris, The Spinoff Understanding how information originates, evolves and spreads on different platforms and channels is key to managing the infodemic 32
Infodemiology: the science behind infodemic management Infodemic management is an evolving area of research and practice AREAS TO FURTHER EXPLORE • How do overwhelming amounts of information affect behaviour in emergencies and what interventions are effective in addressing it? • How does online behaviour affect offline action? • How does the infodemic affect cognition and influence seeking of health services? • How does the role of policy interventions successfully address and mitigate health misinformation? • How does the infodemic affect closed networks and vulnerable populations? 33
Citizen Trust in 2021 series Catch up on the previous webinars in our series Trust in public health policies (4th February 2021) How to overcome COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and address citizen expectations Trust in the economic recovery (4th March 2021) How to engage citizens with government recovery plans 34
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