Chief Executive Officer's review - Coronation

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Chief Executive Officer's review - Coronation
Chief Executive
                                     Officer’s review

ANTON PILLAY
BBUSSC, CA(SA), CFA, AMP (HARVARD)

                                     In my 2018 review, I noted some hard truths         and, more importantly, implementation.
                                     emerging from the South African economic
                                                                                         We eagerly await further details on the
                                     and political landscape. The Zondo Commission
                                                                                         implementation of turnaround plans for SOEs
                                     threw into stark focus the true extent and cost
                                                                                         and the announcement of the National Budget
                                     of years of state capture and corruption. These
                                                                                         in February to ascertain the extent of the fiscal
                                     revelations continued into 2019 and, while
                                                                                         restraint and possible new taxes. Positively, we
                                     increasingly difficult to hear, are necessary to
                                                                                         believe the South African Reserve Bank has
                                     restoring consumer and investor trust.
   “Coronation remains                                                                   scope to cut rates more aggressively, and we
                                     Promising moves in 2019 included a reconstituted    expect at least two rate cuts in the coming year.
   committed to the role             Cabinet, signalling a welcome phasing out of
                                                                                         Notwithstanding the above headwinds and
   that we play in the               the old guard, the appointment of a new
                                                                                         uncertainties, Coronation continues to focus
                                     National Director of Public Prosecutions,
   national dialogue.”               Minister Tito Mboweni’s widely lauded paper
                                                                                         on the long term, both from a business and
                                                                                         investment perspective. While 2019 has, overall,
                                     on microeconomic reforms, and a new Eskom
                                                                                         been a much better year than 2018, we are
                                     Chairperson. Also encouraging were a number
                                                                                         mindful that our long-term performance remains
                                     of high-profile arrests made by the Hawks as
                                                                                         the true measure of our ultimate success on
                                     2019 drew to a close.
                                                                                         behalf of our clients and stakeholders.
                                     However, with a grim 2019 Medium-Term Budget
                                                                                         I would like to thank John Snalam, who has
                                     Policy Statement laying bare the woeful state
                                                                                         headed up our finance department since
                                     of the South African economy, it is apparent
                                                                                         inception. His input and advice have been
                                     that policy action is now urgently required to
                                                                                         invaluable, and I wish him all the best for the
                                     quell legitimate investment concerns and boost
                                                                                         next phase. I would also like to formally welcome
                                     confidence, not only among South Africans,
                                                                                         incoming CFO and fellow executive director
                                     but also with respect to the international
                                                                                         Mary-Anne Musekiwa, who is excellently
                                     community of ratings agencies and asset
                                                                                         positioned to assume the role and has benefited
                                     holders. While this will take time, we urgently
                                                                                         from a thorough handover from John. I am
                                     need to start. Coronation remains committed
                                                                                         confident that she will build on this critical role
                                     to the role that we play in the national dialogue
                                                                                         going forward.

                                                                                                               TRUST IS E ARNED™          12
Chief Executive Officer's review - Coronation
Global operating environment                            the volatility in the market, companies such as
                                                                                   ourselves, who use bottom-up fundamental
                           The global context in which we operate today            analysis, have the ability to find opportunities
                           is highly unpredictable and disruptive. Global          in the market and deliver benefit in the long
                           events and trends appear to have protracted             run. While we continuously emphasise that
                           timeframes – their impacts are significant and          performance should be measured over the long
                           drawn out over long periods of time with little         term, it is worth noting that, during 2019, our
                           resolution, resulting in prolonged market               short-term performance has been exceptional,
                           uncertainty. One simply has to look to Brexit,          given the tough operating environment.
                           the US-China trade war, instability in the Middle
                           East, the emergence of nationalist global
                                                                                   Compliance
“We continue to deepen     leaders and fundamentalism for examples.
                                                                                   Given corporate failures of the past, we remain
our focus on social and    These factors have deeply affected the asset
                                                                                   very active owners of every single company we
                           management industry in South Africa and
environmental factors in   abroad, not only from a returns perspective
                                                                                   hold on our clients’ behalf, regardless of whether
                                                                                   our portfolios own 30% or 0.1% of a business.
our company analysis       but also from an asset flow perspective. As an
                                                                                   We vote at company AGMs and ensure that we
                           industry, the share prices and performance of
through our proprietary    active fund managers are under pressure. As
                                                                                   have assessed ever y single resolution.
                                                                                   Governance has always been a key focus for
research.”                 a manager of global assets, we are profoundly
                                                                                   us, and we ensure that we hold management
                           impacted by global market trends. Across the
                                                                                   teams of investee companies accountable. We
                           globe, active asset managers, who were top
                                                                                   are also placing greater focus on the agents
                           performers only a few years ago, have
                                                                                   who represent shareholders, such as board
                           experienced a reversal of fortunes, as passive
                                                                                   directors, to ensure quality oversight and
                           fund managers continue to drive down fees
                                                                                   independence. Auditing firms are also under
                           and attract a greater share of global assets.
                                                                                   greater scrutiny and we vote against the
                                                                                   appointment of those that have audited the
                           Local operating environment                             same company for more than 10 years.
                           Domestically, South Africa’s fiscal position has        This action helps re-establish the link between
                           deteriorated rapidly, as expenditure growth             auditors and shareholders and serves as a
                           has consistently exceeded revenue and                   reminder that auditors do not report to
                           government has accumulated more debt to                 management. Our process continues to seek
                           meet the shortfall. This seems set to continue.         out engagements with external parties such
                           The JSE has failed to deliver the level of returns      as suppliers, customers, and regulators to verify
                           expected, and the South African consumer                management information.
                           remains under financial pressure, which has
                           impacted the levels of savings and flows into           This year, we have informed all companies
                           the industry. This is largely the result of a decline   listed on the JSE that we will vote against their
                           in the number of employed people due to                 remuneration policies unless they include malus
                           retrenchments, and a weak domestic economic             and clawback provisions. This allows us to hold
                           environment in which many South Africans are            individual members of management teams
                           being forced to live off their saved capital.           accountable, even after they have left the
                                                                                   employ of the company, and we will use these
                           As we are a South African asset manager of              learnings to optimise our processes.
                           significant size, our assets under management
                           will naturally reflect the flows of the industry,       Stewardship
                           which are currently negative. We expect flows
                           to continue to be negative for the medium term          As the stewards of our clients’ capital, we
                           until we see a restoration of South Africa’s            recognise that we have a responsibility to focus
                           savings markets and an improvement in the               on the sustainability of our society and
                           state of the South African economy. The timing          environment. We continue to deepen our focus
                           of this is difficult to predict.                        on social and environmental factors in our
                                                                                   company analysis through our proprietary
                           As an investment-led business, our focus is to
                                                                                   research, which informs our engagement
                           grow the value of the client assets entrusted to
                                                                                   activities with investee company management
                           us over the long term, rather than growing the
                                                                                   teams relating to best practice in these arenas.
                           pool of assets under our management. Despite
                                                                                   As committed to in our last integrated annual

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report, we published our first annual stewardship     trust funds rank first or second in their respective
                        report in the first quarter of 2019, which outlined   ASISA categories since inception.
                        our approach to responsible investing. It also
                        disclosed our corporate engagements and               Investment in our business
                        proxy voting activity and provided insight into
                                                                              We continue to look after our clients, not only
                        the nature of these engagements through case
                                                                              from an investment perspective, but also from
                        studies, with both positive and negative
                                                                              a service perspective. We are now starting to
                        outcomes. Our second annual stewardship
                                                                              see the efficiency benefits resulting from the
                        report will be published on our website in the
                                                                              successful implementation of our new fund
                        first quarter of 2020.
                                                                              a d mini strat io n m o d el in 2 018 , w hich
                                                                              consolidated our asset administration service
                        Business review                                       across local and offshore portfolios. We are
                        Notwithstanding the enviable performance              also pleased with the outcome of our decision
                        recover y of our por tfolios in 2019, the             to migrate our unit trust client administration
                        overwhelming impact of a tough global market          to Intembeko Investment Administrators, a
                        in 2019 affected both market returns and the          b la ck- ow n e d b us i n e s s . B oth of th e s e
                        formal savings sector.                                implementations were undertaken with no
                                                                              impact on our clients or on our service levels.
                        Our institutional business now manages
                        R331 billion on behalf of our South African and       We e x p e c t th e f u ll b e n ef it s of th e s e
                        global institutional clients. In the personal         implementations to be delivered over the next
                        investment space, we continue to manage a             two years and that they will not only deliver
                        meaningful share of South Africa’s retirement         a higher level of service to our clients, but will
                        and savings assets, representing a total AUM          also enhance the protection of client data.
                        of R240 billion, making us one of the largest
                                                                              Despite the difficult market environment and
                        independent managers of pension assets in
                                                                              weak returns, our service ratings remain
                        the country.
                                                                              exceptional, with a recent client survey
                        In spite of a difficult five years, our success in    reflecting positive feedback. We will continue
                        building our clients’ wealth over the long term       to invest in our businesses and people and
                        is evident in the fact that local clients             extract synergies and benefits from system
                        representing more than 50% of our total               implementations in our quest to remain a
                        institutional assets have been invested with          world-class asset management company.
“We expect the full     Coronation for more than 10 years. Of these
benefits of these       client assets, 97.5% have outperformed their          Corporate citizenship
                        benchmarks since inception on an asset-
implementations to      weighted basis.                                       We recognise that, as managers of the long-term
                                                                              savings of millions of South Africans, as well as
be delivered over the   We manage a total of R66 billion in our global        several leading international retirement funds,
next two years.”        strategies on behalf of several leading               endowments and family offices, we are a
                        international retirement funds, endowments            significant corporate citizen and are responsible
                        and family offices, which is R5 billion up from       for being part of the solution to South Africa’s
                        the 2018 reporting period. And, while we saw          pressing challenges. In this light, we continuously
                        net outflows representing 11.4% of our opening        engage with our shareholders, regulators, civil
                        AUM, this is a reasonable outcome, given the          society groups and the communities in which
                        ongoing material shift from active to passive         we operate to promote and sustain economic
                        strategies. That said, we remain confident in         growth, pursue transformation and deliver
                        the long-term outlook for our global strategies       long-term value to our stakeholders.
                        as well as our value proposition to clients through
                        active management.                                    As noted by our Chairman, Coronation has
                                                                              played an integral role in transforming the South
                        All of our global strategies with a track record      African financial services sector over the past
                        of more than a decade have delivered                  two decades. From a business transformation
                        meaningful alpha since inception.                     perspective, we are a Level 2 contributor to
                        Our success in building our retail clients' wealth    broad-based black economic empowerment,
                        over the long term is evident in the fact that        and we continue to focus on transforming our
                        all of our domestic and global flagship unit          business, as well as the industry.

                                                                                                     TRUST IS E ARNED™          14
With respect to our peers in the financial services   standards applied by the International Monetary
                      sector and our staff complement, a respectable        Fund. The stock of gross government debt is
                      percentage of our senior leadership team is           expected to hit 60% of GDP this fiscal year,
                      black, including our CEO, CFO, COO, Head of           but this is not yet alarming, even by emerging
                      Institutional Business, Head of Fixed Income          market standards. In addition, government
                      and Head of SA Equity Research, and, of our           remains able to raise funds in the open market
                      Board of Directors, 78% are black. However,           and the proportion of debt that is denominated
                      we will continue to boost transformation via          in foreign currency is relatively small, while
                      our training and recruitment initiatives. As a        local currency-denominated debt has a relatively
                      signal of our commitment and intent, and to           long redemption lead time. While our current
                      make sure that we are accountable and                 account deficit is relatively large, it has also
                      measurable, we will be adding an annual               been relatively steadily funded.
                      Transformation Report to our reporting suite,
                                                                            Despite the existing uncertainty, our investment
                      which will be published on our website during
                                                                            philosophy remains focused on the long term.
                      the first quarter of 2020.
                                                                            In a volatile environment, our aim remains to
                                                                            understand the true earnings power and cash-

78%
                      Looking forward                                       generation ability of the businesses in our
                      The exhilarating Springbok win over England           universe and to own those that trade at a
of our Board of       at the 2019 Rugby World Cup final reminded            significant discount to their underlying value.
Directors are black   South Africa of what can be achieved when             While conditions have been tough over the
                      diverse players come together around a common         past five years, this has resulted in many
                      goal and purpose.                                     attractively priced opportunities from which
                                                                            we, as active managers, can construct our client
                      As a company with a long-term focus, we are
                                                                            portfolios. In this regard, we are optimistic
                      aware that nothing will change overnight. And,
                                                                            about the opportunities that key markets present
                      while the private sector is committed to playing
                                                                            and believe that clients should see better returns
                      its role in the issues that hold us back as a
                                                                            in the next five years.
                      country, a certain level of action from other
                      influencers and decision makers, including
                      government and regulators, is needed.
                      Encouragingly, South Africa does not fit the
                      profile of an economy in crisis, according to

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