GLOBAL WATERFRONT REPORT - 2019 RESEARCH - Knight Frank
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RESEARCH GLOBAL WATERFRONT REPORT 2019 MEASURING THE PREMIUM A WATERFRONT PROPERTY GENERATES IN KEY CITIES AROUND THE WORLD
GOING WITH THE FLOW Water resources have long played an important role in the pattern of human settlement. Today however, owning a slice of a prime waterfront is less to do with its transport or agricultural value and far more to do with the iconic views and lifestyle it affords. From the panorama of Sydney Harbour to the serenity of Lake Geneva and from Hong Kong’s bustling waterways to the iconic Thames skyline, waterfront Waterfront properties are also addresses are amongst the most amongst the most liquid. Even desirable in the world. in a depressed market, due to Such is the demand for frontline property, their position and scarcity, a be it on a beach, river, lake or harbour we front-line waterfront property thought we’d take a closer look at what will face strong demand with price premium such properties generate prospective buyers aware and how this varies around the world. that their future exit strategy is According to the new Knight Frank Global also secure.” Waterfront Monitor, compiled by valuations from our global network, prices for prime waterfront properties are on average 40% higher than comparable properties inland. The index measures the potential value uplift for prime homes on the water’s edge compared with similar properties located further inland without access to, The lifestyle and additional amenities or a view of, water. that a waterfront home offers is a key motivation for many buyers. From 40% Not all prime waterfront properties are private moorings to jetties and quays, equal, however, and much like the diverse waterfront properties offer easy access nature of global property – from luxury to numerous watersports along with an apartments in Chelsea to sprawling villas ever-changing panorama. in Dubai and converted warehouses on Berlin’s River Spree, premiums vary by By classifying each property according to its characteristics and exact location, our The average uplift location and amenity. data reveals that being located alongside for a waterfront Our data shows that individuals from all over the world searched for prime a harbour generates the highest premium of 59.1%. However, at 58.5%, a property across waterfront property last year, led by prospective buyers from the UK, US, beachfront home is not far behind with Sydney and the Gold Coast registering 12 cities. Canada and Australia. some of the highest uplifts. 2 RESEARCH KNIGHT FRANK
GLOBAL WATERFRONT REPORT 2019 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH FIGURE 1 FIGURE 2 Which type of waterside living commands the largest premium? Knight Frank Global Waterfront Monitor Premium calculated as at Q3 2018 LAKE HARBOUR BEACH RIVER 59.1% 58.5% 36.8% 32.7% FIGURE 3 Which nationalities are searching for waterfront homes? LONDON 30.0% 1 Jan 2018-30 Oct 2018 BERLIN 28.0% PARIS 48.0% LAKE GENEVA 32.7% UNITED UNITED CANADA GERMANY FRANCE MONACO 11.1% KINGDOM STATES 3 4 5 1 2 HONG KONG 39.9% DUBAI 50.7% SWITZERLAND AUSTRALIA UNITED ARAB SPAIN ITALY 6 7 EMIRATES 9 10 8 Source: Knight Frank Global Property Website. Based on online viewings 1 Jan to 31 Oct 2018 SINGAPORE 7.7% CHINESE BUYERS AND THE IMPORTANCE OF FENG SHUI GOLD COAST 64.1% Water has global appeal, by producing negative ions it boosts energy with research showing it has significant health benefits. For one particular world region – arguably the most important for global markets in today’s PERTH 53.2% world – Asian and especially Chinese buyers, water is more than a mood enhancer but of critical SYDNEY 89.3% importance when considering both where and the type of property to purchase. Feng Shui (Shui meaning water) is usually fundamental to Chinese buyers’ decision-making. MELBOURNE 30.4% Water signifies wealth in Feng Shui and can bring good fortune and prosperity. It should be slow moving and clean, rather than stationary and stagnant. The property should be elevated above the water and if on a river, should ideally be positioned on a winding section where the pace of flow is slower. Fast moving streams and rivers are often avoided as this suggests wealth is rolling away. Source: Knight Frank Research 3 RESEARCH KNIGHT FRANK KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH 4
GLOBAL WATERFRONT INDEX 2019 2018 RESULTS At 89%, Sydney sits in first place According to Taimur Khan, Knight Frank’s Berlin’s uplift of 28% is set to increase generating the highest premium for Research Manager in Dubai, “Palm as availability of land along the River waterfront properties. Here, homeowners Jumeriah, overlooking the Arabian Gulf, Spree lessens. According to Till Brühöfener- vie for the best views of the Harbour is Dubai’s most desirable waterfront McCourt, Head of Research at Ziegert Bridge or Opera House. Asked why location. The scarcity of the product, Immobilien, Knight Frank’s partner in Sydney leads the rankings, Michelle along with the fact waterfront properties Germany “With fewer new-build opportunities Ciesielski, Knight Frank’s Director of are usually best-in-class in terms of available and a finite number of properties, Research comments, “From its iconic specification and amenities, has insulated values are rising, particularly those in the city New Year celebrations to the starting values over the last decade.” centre close to Charlottenburg, Mitte-Mitte point of the Sydney to Hobart yacht race and Friedrichshain.” In Geneva, Cologny is the city’s most on Boxing Day, residents are treated At 2.02 square kilometres, Monaco (11%) desirable neighbourhood, however, the to expansive views of one of the world’s is the world’s second-smallest state and main Quai de Cologny road runs along the best waterscapes.” nearly all of its 1,839 homes have views of the perimeter of the Lake inhibiting the view Mediterranean. This, combined with the fact Waterfront properties are also amongst from this exclusive enclave. Instead, those that the Rue de Princesse Grace hugs much the most liquid (no pun intended). Even in seeking a lakeside home look to the of the coastline means being in the heart of a depressed market, due to their position neighbouring villages of Vésenaz or Anieres. Monte Carlo or buying an apartment on a and scarcity, a frontline waterfront Here, a frontline property sees a premium higher floor to secure a prime vantage point property will face strong demand with of 33%. is almost as desirable as securing a home prospective buyers aware that their future Properties on the edge of the Thames in with direct waterfront access. exit strategy will also be assured. London generate a premium of around Analysis shows there is some correlation Perth (53%), Dubai (51%) and Paris 30%. The Knight Frank Riverside area, which between the volume of water and the (48%) sit mid-table but unlike Paris, where stretches from Fulham to Southwark, is premium generated. Where water is in new-build opportunities are scarce and made up of around 13,000 properties, yet abundance – island properties such as waterfront homes are older high-ceilinged this narrow belt alongside the Thames Hong Kong and Singapore – the premium Haussmann homes along the Seine, both accounts for only 0.4% of the Central is smaller. Singapore registers the lowest Perth and Dubai’s offering in terms of London’s 3.7 million housing stock. This premium (7%) and here our research waterfront living is skewed towards scarcity of supply explains the uplift, a trend confirms that sea views command a new-build beachfront living. that we are seeing reflected globally. higher premium than river views. KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH 5
RESEARCH Liam Bailey Global Head of Research +44 20 7861 5133 liam.bailey@knightfrank.com Kate Everett-Allen International Residential Research +44 20 7167 2497 kate.everett-allen@knightfrank.com MEDIA ENQUIRIES Rebecca Sands International PR Manager +61 29 0366 833 rebecca.sands@au.knightfrank.com Important Notice © Knight Frank LLP 2018 – This report is published for general information only and not to be relied upon in RECENT MARKET-LEADING RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS any way. Although high standards have been used in the preparation of the information, analysis, views and projections presented in this report, no responsibility or liability whatsoever can be accepted by Knight Frank LLP 2018 Branded Residences Report 2019 1 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH for any loss or damage resultant from any use of, reliance Waterfront Branded Residences on or reference to the contents of this document. As a VIEW Report RIVERSIDE MARKET INSIGHT 2018 2019 Global Sales Focus SALES MARKET ANALYSIS Transaction levels for non new-build sales in the Riverside property market were 3% higher FIGURE 1 Sales volumes (excludes new-build sales) general report, this material does not necessarily represent the view of Knight Frank LLP in relation to particular in the year to March 2018 than the previous Figures relate to the schemes shown in figure 4, excluding Riverlight and Battersea Power Station 12-month period. Indeed, trading volumes Battersea – Chelsea Bridge have continued to strengthen since 2015, as Chelsea – Lambeth Bridge Wandsworth - Battersea Bridge figure 1 shows. Waterloo – Southwark Bridge Hammersmith - Wandsworth Bridge Meanwhile, average prices for non new-build 150 property declined 2.3% in the year to March properties or projects. Reproduction of this report in whole 2018, having declined by 13.6% since the last peak in September 2015. 120 Demand continues to grow and 18% more prospective buyers registered in the year to Number of sales 90 March 2018 than the preceding 12 months. or in part is not allowed without prior written approval of Viewings rose 11% over the same period and the number of offers made increased 53%. 60 Matthew Smith, Riverside Office Head “Prices have edged down over the last year 30 but the extent of the declines has reduced Knight Frank LLP to the form and content within which it notably. This bottoming out process follows greater flexibility on the part of vendors, who 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 have become more accepting of asking Source: Knight Frank Research / LonRes price reductions following the introduction of higher rates of stamp duty. The 3% FIGURE 2 FIGURE 3 surcharge for second homes and landlords is Price growth (rebased to 100 at January 2005) Average and maximum pricing data appears. Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership particularly prevalent along the River Thames. Data relates to all sold properties in the Riverside Riverside area, excludes new-build sales “A pricing gap has inevitably opened up Prime central London Price between the newest and the established 230 developments along the river, which has led Average price Max price 210 to a more binary choice for buyers. Year to March 2018 £1.06m £16.5m registered in England with registered number OC305934. 190 “Following asking price reductions, 170 Year to March 2017 £1.18m £20m properties in more established schemes 150 can represent good value for money, which Year to March 2016 £915K £15.5m 130 has led to relatively strong trading in some £PSF 110 instances. 90 Average £PSF Max £PSF Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, “Meanwhile, demand is also strong for 12th EDITION the latest developments with state-of-the- 70 Year to March 2018 £1,355 £2,850 50 art amenities, for which buyers will pay a Year to March 2017 £1,475 £3,395 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Cover: One Barangaroo, Crown Residences premium. In both cases, buyers are heavily Year to March 2016 £1,315 £3,120 scrutinizing the market and are driven by their perception of value.” Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research / LonRes / Land Registry WEALTH TRENDS PRIME PROPERTY OUTLOOK where you may look at a list of members’ names. 1 UK Waterfront Global Branded Australian Prime London Riverside View 2018 – 2018 Residences – 2019 Residential Review Market Insight – 2018 – 2018 Knight Frank Research Reports are available at KnightFrank.com/Research
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