Bill C-30: An Act to implement certain provisions of the budget tabled in Parliament on April 19, 2021 and other measures - Presentation to the ...

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Bill C-30: An Act to implement certain provisions of the budget tabled in Parliament on April 19, 2021 and other measures - Presentation to the ...
Bill C-30: An Act to implement certain provisions of the
budget tabled in Parliament on April 19, 2021 and other
measures

         Presentation to the Senate Committee on National Finance

                                           Dan Kelly, CFIB President and CEO
                                                              May 18, 2021
Bill C-30: An Act to implement certain provisions of the budget tabled in Parliament on April 19, 2021 and other measures - Presentation to the ...
Businesses fully open, by sector and province (% response)
                                                                                                                                                                                % change
                                                                                           % change
                                                                                                                                                                            since last month
                                                                                       since last month
                                                                                                                   *Natural Resources                                  82         -3
*PEI                                                 94                                        +25
                                                                                                                             Construction                              82         +1
 SK                                                                                            +20
                                                83                                                                         Manufacturing                          76              -6
 NL                                                                                              -7                            Wholesale                                          +2
                                           75                                                                                                                     75
 NB                                                                                              +2                        Transportation                         74              -4
                                           73
                                                                                                 +9                            Agriculture                        72              -7
 QC                                   67
                                                                                                                            Prof. Services                   62                   -3
 BC                                   66                                                         +1
                                                                                                                   Pers./Misc. Services                      62                   +1
 AB                                  62                                                          -9
                                                                                                                              Fin. Ins. etc.             54                      -26
MB                                 60                                                          -15               Ent. & Admin. Mgmt.                     54                       -7
 CA                             54                                                               -4                              National                54                       -4
                                                                                                 -3                          Soc. Services               54                       -2
 ON                        42
                                                                                                                                     Retail             46                        -3
 NS                   32                                                                      -128
                                                                                                                         Arts, Rec. & Info.        16                            -21
                                                                                                                               Hospitality     9                                 -54

       Source: CFIB, Your Voice – May 2021 - National Data - Preliminary results as of May 6 - May 11, 2021, n= 3,404.
       *Note: small sample, use with caution.

                                                                                                                                                                                               2
Normal or above normal staffing, by province and sector
 (% response)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        63         70

                                                                                                                                                                                                     53                            60
                                                                                                                                     49                 51                   51
                                                                                            44                       46                                                                                                            50
                                                                       41                                                                                6
                                                 40                                                                   5              7
                             37                                                              4                                                                                                                                     40
        34                                        4                     5
                              4
         4                                                                                                                                                                                                              63         30
                                                                                                                                                                             51                      51
                                                                                                                     41              42                 45
                                                 36                    37                   40                                                                                                                                     20
        29                   32
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0
        NS                   ON                  AB                  CA                  MB                 BC                       QC                 NB                    SK                 NFLD                  *PEI
                                                           About the usual for this time of year (95%-105%)               More staffing than usual (106% and over)
                                                                                                                                                                                                           63             64       70
                                                                                                                                                                                           60
                                                                                                                                                             53            55                                             5        60
                                                                                                                               52            52                                            5
                                                                                                 44              46                                          8                                                                     50
                                  40              41              42              42                                            6            6
                                                                                  5                                  8                                                                                                             40
                                                  5               7                              15
                                                                                                                                                                                           55              60             59       30
                                                                                                                                                                           53
                                                                                                                               45            45              45                                                                    20
                  11              37              37              35              36                             38
    7                                                                                            30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   10
    7             10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0
Hospitality   Arts, Rec. &    Pers./Misc.      National     Ent. & Admin.       Retail         *Natural     Soc. Services Prof. Services Manufacturing Construction   Fin. Ins. etc.   Agriculture    Transportation   Wholesale
                 Info.         Services                         Mgmt.                         Resources

   Source: CFIB, Your Voice – May 2021 - National Data - Preliminary results as of May 6 - May 11, 2021, n= 3,404.
   *Note: small sample, use with caution.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               3
Normal or better revenues, by province and sector
(% response)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    61
                                                                                                                                                                            40                   41                                 45
                                                                                               36                   37               37                  38
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    40
                                                                            31                                                                                              13                                                      35
                                27                   29                                        6                    9                                                                            17
                                                                                                                                     15                  17                                                                         30
          20                                          9                  11                                                                                                                                                         25
                                10                                                                                                                                                                                  44              20
          6                                                                                    30                                                                                                                                   15
                                                                                                                    28                                                      28                   24
                                                     20                  20                                                          22                  21                                                                         10
          14                    17
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0
          NS                    ON                   AB                  CA                    SK                  NB                MB                 NFLD                BC                   QC                 *PEI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         70
                                                          About the usual revenues for this time of year (95%-105%)            Better revenues than usual (106% and over)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               57        60
                                                                                                                                                                                                               51
                                                                                                                                                                                                45                             15        50
                                                                                                                                                                                 42
                                                                                                                                    37             38             39
                                                                                                       35                37                                                                                    22                        40
                                                                                       31                                                                                                       14
                                                          28           28                                                                          11             10             17
                                         25                                                                                         16                                                                                                   30
                                                          6                            11              16                22
                                         5                              7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               43        20
                                                                                                                                                   28             29                            31             29
                      8                                   22                                                                                                                     25
      6                                  20                            20              20              19                           22                                                                                                   10
      1               3                                                                                                  15
      5               5                                                                                                                                                                                                                  0
  Hospitality    Arts, Rec. &        Pers./Misc.   Transportation Soc. Services     National         Retail         *Natural   Ent. & Admin. Prof. Services   Construction Manufacturing   Fin. Ins. etc.   Wholesale      Agriculture
                    Info.             Services                                                                     Resources       Mgmt.

       Source: CFIB, Your Voice – May 2021 - National Data - Preliminary results as of May 6 - May 11, 2021, n= 3,404.
       *Note: small sample, use with caution.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4
What worries you most about COVID-19?
(Select all that apply, % response)

                                Economic repercussions (on provincial, national and/or global economy)                                                         65

                                                                                     Overwhelming stress                                                  50

                                                   Physical health impacts (on myself, my staff or others)                                                49

   Business cash flow (paying rent, meeting payroll, paying suppliers/mortgage/other bills, getting paid)                                            47

                                  Consumer spending will be reduced, even following the COVID-19 crisis                                          46

                                   Debt (long-term financial consequences of debt and depleted savings)                                         45

                                                                                   Sluggish vaccine rollout                                42
                                 Business logistics (getting and shipping products, managing inventories)                                  41
                                                              Staffing (layoffs, retention, refusal to work)                          36
                                         Access to enough government support for my business/workers                                  36
                                                Access to any/enough income as a self-employed worker                            28
                                                                Having to close my business permanently                     24
                                                                                    Other (Please specify)              9
                                                Access to personal protective equipment for my business             6
                                                                              No concerns at this moment 2

                                                                                      Don’t know/Unsure        0.4

  Source: CFIB, Your Voice – May 2021 - National Data - Preliminary results as of May 6 - May 11, 2021, n= 3,404.
  *Note: small sample, use with caution.

                                                                                                                                                                    5
Latest research on businesses, jobs at risk

Link to full research report: https://www.cfib-fcei.ca/en/media/news-releases/181000-canadian-small-business-owners-now-contemplating-pulling-plug-putting-24

                                                                                                                                                                6
Forgive more small business debt and allow longer repayment terms for
loans.

                                                                        7
Extend and expand COVID relief for small businesses until the entire economy can
reopen and small businesses can once again serve customers in person.

  Roughly what percentage of your business’s COVID-19 financial shortfall is currently being replaced by COVID-19 government grants (for example, CRB,
  CEBA, CERS, CEWS, provincial grants)? (Select one answer only)

                                               Up to 9%                                                                             19

                                            10% to 19%                                                                         16
                                                                                                                                         64% say that less 50% or more
                                            20% to 29%                                                                    14             of their shortfall is replaced by
                                            30% to 39%                                                                9                        government grants
                                            40% to 49%                                          6

                                            50% to 59%                                              7

                                            60% to 69%                           4

                                            70% to 79%                               4

                                            80% to 89%                2

                                            90% to 99%               2

                                                   100%               2

                                  Don’t know/Unsure                                                                       14

    Source: CFIB, Your Voice – May 2021 - National Data - Preliminary results as of May 6 - May 11, 2021, n= 3,404.
    *Note: small sample, use with caution.

                                                                                                                                                                     8
What is needed for recovery
   The federal government is looking at ways to help stimulate economic recovery. Which of the following
   would be helpful to your business? (Select all that apply)

                  Provide a 2021 payroll tax rebate to small employers to offset the costs of CPP/QPP and EI,
                                                                                                                                                            69
                                                and to lower the cost of hiring
                                                                                                 Reduce red tape                                       55

                                  Provide tax forgiveness measures (such as on GST remittances, import duties)                                        53
                            Increase the amount of loan forgiveness for CEBA and other government backed
                                                                                                                                                      52
                                              emergency loans (such as BCAP or HASCAP)
                    Extend the existing COVID-19 emergency programs (such as CEWS or CERS) to the end of
                                                                                                                                                 50
                                                             2021
                                       Introduce a temporary sales tax holiday to incentivize consumer spending                             37

                                                   Invest in infrastructure improvements to spur economic growth                            36

                                                              Make more businesses eligible for COVID-19 programs                      31

                              Fund green initiatives (such as renewable energy projects, cleantech companies)                     16
                      Make social programs more generous (such as introducing a national childcare system,
                                                                                                                             13
                                               pharmacare and expanding EI)
                                                                                                           Other        11

                                                                                               None of the above    2
Source: CFIB, Your Voice Survey, Jan. 12 - Jan. 31, 2021, n = 7,029.

                                                                                                                                                                 9
2021 Federal Budget: some good news for small businesses

• Extension of the Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy (CEWS) and Canada Emergency
  Rent Subsidy (CERS) into the fall
• Creation of a new hiring incentive (the Canada Recovery Hiring Program) to encourage
  businesses to staff up in the summer as the economy starts to recover
• Introduction of immediate expensing for “eligible property” acquired by a CCPC on or
  after Budget Day and is put into use before January 1, 2024, up to $1.5 million per
  taxation year
• Commitment to reducing credit card swipe fees that merchants pay

                                                                                         10
2021 Federal Budget: some businesses left behind
No fixes of the gaps in Emergency Relief Programs
•    Still no access for new business that opened their doors after March 1, 2020
•    No fix for CERS challenges for business who have both a holding and operating company and the requirement that businesses
     pay full rent within 60 days
•    No fix to CEBA gaps for those waiting on a second round of funding or who don’t qualify under the Non-Deferrable Expense
     stream

No help with debt burden
•    No new help for the average small business which has inherited $170,000 in COVID-related debt (eg. expanding CEBA to
     $80,000 with 50% forgivable, extending time frame for loan repayment or a forgivable portion of HASCAP)

New spending and future taxes
•    Dramatic increases in spending on non-COVID related items
•    No change in plans to increase liquor and carbon taxes and CPP premiums
•    Concerns with “luxury tax” on behalf of many small firms involved in selling, supporting cars, boats and aircraft

                                                                                                                         11
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