Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
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Auckland Council Investor Update Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer March 2020 Classification: PROTECTED
Important disclaimer The information in this presentation has been prepared by Auckland Council for general information purposes only. By listening to or reading this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to the contents of this disclaimer. Auckland Council makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, adequacy, reliability, completeness or currency of any statements, estimates or opinions or other information contained in this presentation. This presentation has been prepared in good faith but has not been independently verified. Certain information and data contained in this presentation was derived by Auckland Council from other sources. This presentation may contain forward-looking information including estimates, forecasts and projections. This forward-looking information speaks only as of the date of this presentation and is based on assumptions which may or may not prove to be correct. No express or implied representations or warranties are, or will be, made by Auckland Council or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of this forward-looking information or the reasonableness of any assumptions that underpin it. The forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by this forward-looking information. Any opinions expressed in this presentation reflect the judgement of Auckland Council as the date hereof, and do not bind Auckland Council. This presentation does not, and is not intended to, constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation by Auckland Council to any person to subscribe for, purchase or otherwise deal in any financial products. Any person considering investing in a financial product offered by Auckland Council must refer to the relevant offer document that has been expressly issued by Auckland Council for that purpose and the disclosures provided expressly in connection with those financial products and should take their own independent financial and legal advice on their proposed investment. This presentation is proprietary to Auckland Council and may not be copied, distributed, disclosed or used without Auckland Council's express written consent. 2 Classification: PROTECTED
Contents Overview and Current Issues 4 Group Financial Highlights 7 Funding Approach and Debt Market Activity 14 Appendix 20 3 Classification: PROTECTED
Auckland – Overview 38% 1.64m of New Zealand’s GDP Auckland population Auckland 200+ 33% of New Zealand’s Ethnicities in Auckland population and 44% of the workforce born overseas 4 3rd= Out of every 10 New Zealanders will live in Most liveable city Auckland by 2048 globally* 5 Classification:Source: Stats NZ as at 30 June 2019, Auckland Council June 2019. * Mercer 2019 Global Quality of Living City Ranking PROTECTED
Current Issues • Capital delivery $1.3 billion at half-year (full year budget $2.7b) – up 35% on previous year. • Reduced transport capital subsidies from Central Government as we work with them on accessing agreed funding levels. • Reduced development contributions revenue – down 31% on previous year due to policy change (likely to be $100m less than budget for full year). • Debt to revenue ratio within budget projection – 253%. • Central Government infrastructure spend. • Central Government election. • America’s Cup and APEC. • CRL. • Management changes. Classification: PROTECTED
Group Financial Highlights (31 December 2019*) Strong Large Asset Base Increased Operational Investment Growth Net Debt Cashflows Programme $746m $1.3b $54.7b $9.2b Operating Capital Total assets Net debt cashflows before investment gains and losses 8 8 *Unaudited results Classification: PROTECTED
Revenue and Expenditure NZ$ millions Forecast 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 - 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Year ending 30 June Rates revenue Services and other revenue Total expenses 9 Classification: PROTECTED
Capital Investment NZ$ millions Forecast 3,500 16,000 3,000 14,000 2,500 12,000 2,000 1,500 10,000 1,000 8,000 500 - 6,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Year ending 30 June Other Council assets Water infrastructure Transport infrastructure Net Debt 10 Classification: PROTECTED
Capital Funding Source NZ$ millions Forecast 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 - 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Year ending 30 June Operating surplus Capital grants and subsidies Change in net debt Development contribution revenue Asset sales 11 Classification: PROTECTED
Net Debt to Assets NZ$ billions Forecast 90 20% 80 18% 70 16% 14% 60 12% 50 10% 40 8% 30 6% 20 4% 10 2% - 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Year ending 30 June Total assets - net of cash (LHS) Net debt (LHS) Net debt/total assets - net of cash % (RHS) 12 Classification: PROTECTED
Gross Debt to Revenue Ratio Forecast 270% 260% 250% 240% 230% 220% 210% 200% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Year ending 30 June Gross debt/total revenue Internal ceiling Internal policy limit 13 Classification: PROTECTED
Funding Approach and Debt Market Activity 14 Classification: PROTECTED
Funding Diversity (as at 31 Dec 2019) • Gross debt of NZ$9.4 billion Auckland Council Group funding mix • Multiple offshore issues Retail bonds (EUR, AUD, CHF and NOK) 2% 4% 9% 4% Green retail • Weighted average term of 5.4 years bonds 7% Wholesale bonds • Funding via LGFA* = 25% of their LGFA lending (capped at 40%) 48% 26% Offshore bonds • Backed by NZ$1.3 billion Bank facilities standby facility Commercial • Green bond issuance paper * Local Government Funding Agency 15 Classification: PROTECTED
Long-term Debt Maturity Profile (as at 31 Dec 2019) NZ$ millions 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 00 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2032 2033 2034 Year ending 30 June 16 Classification: PROTECTED
Credit Ratings • Rating target AA/Aa2 is a core treasury policy • S&P Global Ratings: Local government rating methodology review S&P Global Ratings Moody’s AA (Stable Outlook) Aa2 (Stable Outlook) reaffirmed September 2019 reaffirmed April 2019 “Supporting our ratings on Auckland “The stable outlook reflects the are New Zealand’s institutional settings Crown's well-established and the council's experienced institutional framework for local management team that has delivered governments, as well as the the city's large infrastructure program Council's healthy gross operating to support Auckland's strong balance and robust local economy.” population growth.” 17 Classification: PROTECTED
Annual Debt Requirement Forecast (as at Dec 2019) NZ$ millions 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 - 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Year ending 30 June Refinancing New debt 18 Classification: PROTECTED
Projected Debt Forecast NZ$ millions 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Year ending 30 June Gross debt 19 Classification: PROTECTED
Appendix 20 Classification: PROTECTED
Comprehensive Revenue and Expenditure 31 December 2019 Six months to Six months to Year to Year to For the period (NZ$m) 31 Dec 2019* 31 Dec 2018 30 Jun 2019 30 Jun 2018 Rates revenue 1,871** 1,778* 1,790 1,707 Services and other revenues 1,623 1,483 3,089 2,836 Total revenue 3,494 3,261 4,879 4,543 Operating expenses 1,928 1,809 3,610 3,412 Finance costs 217 238 478 472 Total expenses 2,145 2,047 4,088 3,884 Operating surplus before gains and losses 1,349 1,214 791 659 Surplus after adjustments 1,316 1,039 175 660 * Unaudited results ** Note full year rates revenue recognised in interim results 21 21 Classification: PROTECTED
Financial Position – 31 December 2019 As at (NZ$m) 31 Dec 2019* 31 Dec 2018 30 Jun 2019 30 Jun 2018 Cash 173 280 294 618 Total assets 54,692 52,405 52,873 51,462 Borrowings 9,378 8,564 8,958 8,832 Total liabilities 14,321 12,564 13,831 12,660 Net assets 40,371 39,841 39,042 38,802 Net debt to total assets 16.8% 15.8% 16.4% 16.0% * Unaudited results 22 Classification: PROTECTED
Cash Flow – 31 December 2019 Six months to Six months to Year to Year to For the period (NZ$m) 31 Dec 2019* 31 Dec 2018 30 Jun 2019 30 Jun 2018 Operating cash flow 746 707 1,248 1,101 Investing cash flow (1,370) (803) (1,713) (1,134) Funding cash flow 497 (235) 146 312 * Unaudited results 23 Classification: PROTECTED
Contact Details Group Chief Financial Officer Matthew Walker Tel: + 64 9 977 6761 email: matthew.walker@aucklandcouncil.govt.nz Treasurer John Bishop Tel: + 64 9 977 6598 email: john.bishop@aucklandcouncil.govt.nz Funding Manager Andrew John Tel: + 64 9 977 6592 email: andrew.john@aucklandcouncil.govt.nz 24 Classification: PROTECTED
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