Amplification of Destructive Waves by Coral Reef during Typhoon Haiyan, Philippines - Volker Roeber & Jeremy D. Bricker
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Amplification of Destructive Waves by Coral Reef during Typhoon Haiyan, Philippines Volker Roeber & Jeremy D. Bricker International Research Institute of Disaster Science (IRIDeS), Tohoku University, JAPAN 1
Super Typhoon Haiyan, Philippines http://cloudfront.mediamatters.org/static/uploader/image/2013/11/19/monster-typhoon-philippines-haiyan_73273_600x450.jpg 2
Super Typhoon Haiyan, Philippines Social numbers: • Casualties: 7000 • People affected: 13 million, 13% of Philippine population • People left homeless: 2 million • Economic loss: US$ 2.8 billion • Likelihood of reoccurrence: ? http://static.businessinsider.com/image/52823af0eab8eaba499f9e8f/image.jpg 3
Super Typhoon Haiyan, Philippines Technical numbers: • Date: November 08, 2013 • Storm strength: Category 5, and the strongest tropical cyclone to ever make landfall! • Wind speed: Over 300 km/h at landfall, gusts near 400 km/h • Central Pressure: 895 hPa • Storm Tide: Over 6 m in Tacloban • Massive Waves: Hs ~ 20 m 4
Why did a Tsunami-like bore occur: • Seismic source: No record • Meteo-tsunami: Unlikely, water is too deep • Resonance Amplification over Reef: Likely! Often occurs during tsunami events! from: GRL paper by Roeber, Yamazaki, Cheung, 2010 6
Storm Surge vs. Storm Waves Strong variation of wave heights - Storm waves travel on top of surge - Storm surge is combined wind and pressure setup (on top of tides) 7
Hernani – Eastern Samar 500 m Hs offshore almost 20 m Wave processes over reef as driving factor for bore formation? Problem: Very limited bathymetry and topography data
Generation of DEM bathymetry/topography
Generation of DEM bathymetry/topography Reef No Reef - 5 m grid spacing - MSL+1.0m
Model approach Wave Storm surge spectra envelope Water Spectral wave Storm surge level SWAN DELFT 3D Tide OTPS model model coupling model Wind - Barom. Pressure Parametric - Wind forcing Holland model typhoon model ● Storm surge components are accounted for. ● Limitation: Only phase-averaged processes are included. 13
Phase-averaged results from SWAN+Delft 3D Max Water Level [m] Max Flow Speed [m/s] At house 14
Model approach Phase-‐resolving BOSZ wave model Wave Storm surge spectra envelope Water Spectral wave Storm surge level SWAN DELFT 3D Tide OTPS model model coupling model Wind - Barom. Pressure Parametric - Wind forcing Holland model typhoon model ● Storm surge components are accounted for. ● Addition: Phase-resolving processes are included. 15
Connecting time-domain with frequency-domain - Decompose spectrum into series of linear waves - Summation of all components along line source - Change of mass in continuity equation Internal source allows for reflected Mω Mθ waves to leave domain η( x, y,t ) = ∑ i=1 ∑D j=1 ij [ cos ki ( x cosθ j + y sinθ j ) − ω i t + φ ij ] (open ocean conditions) € SWAN spectrum BOSZ wavemaker Each component accounts for 1 wave All component are superimposed on each other with an initially locked random phase! 16
The Random Phase problem We do not know the phases from the spectral model. SWAN only provides an energy distribution. Assumption: Each wave spectral component has an initially assigned random phase Permutation of random seeds eliminates intensity of particular wave interaction. 17
BOSZ - Boussinesq Ocean & Surf Zone model • Conservative form of Nwogu’s (1993) Boussinesq equations, • Finite Volume St. Venant equations as subset • Imbedded conservation laws for sub- and supercritical flows Computation of storm waves on top of storm surge (MSL+1.0 m) Input bathymetry SWAN output Wavemaker 18
BOSZ - Hernani, free surface
BOSZ - Hernani, flow depth 20
Bore front Reef edge 21
A closer look at the bore Result from BOSZ - Multiple bores of about 2 m flow depth - Fast Flow - Long duration 22
A closer look at the bore Result from BOSZ Result from DELFT 3D 23
Answer from different 1D phase-resolving models 24
What causes the bores? 2 previous studies: - Nakaza & Hino, 1991 - Nwogu & Demirbilek, 2010 Surf beat excites natural resonance of reef. 4L Tresonance = Quarter-wave oscillator (2n −1) gh Wave breaking location 25
Does this work for Hernani ? 750 m 4m Tresonance = 480s 375 m 4m Tresonance = 240s Wave group return period: = 250 s 1 where µ0=m0 and µ2=m2-m12/m0. The spectral moments mr are given by ! !! = ! ! ! ! !" from Longuet-Higgins, 1984 ! 26
Tsunami-like bore due to wave groups Spectra for different reef configurations T = 480 s T = 290 s Natural Periods reef Tresonance = 480s half reef Tresonance = 240s Wave group Tresonance = 250s 27
Reef vs. No Reef All frequencies Sea wall Wave breaking zone IG band Wave group frequency Reef Resonance Broad surf zone dissipates energy! 28
Reefs do not always protect the coast! Haiyan intensity 100 % 80 % Increase in IG energy 60 % 40 % 29
Conclusions • Tsunami-like bore such as in Hernani can result from surf beat. • Abrupt wave-breaking at reef edge unbounds group-wave energy. • Contribution from resonance over reef can intensify problem. • Fringing reefs can exacerbate flood risk under extreme conditions. • Phenomenon is not accounted for in hazard management plans ! • Phase-resolving models are suitable to identify locations at risk. We thank: - Shuichi Kure for supporting the field trip - Kwok Fai Cheung for providing computing power - Troy W. Heitmann for constructive criticism - Midori (Katie) Saito for logistic and moral support Volker Roeber Jeremy D. Bricker 30 roeber@irides.tohoku.ac.jp bricker@irides.tohoku.ac.jp
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