2018 TOP STOCK PICKS REPORT - The Best Stock and ETF Ideas for the Coming Year - The Turnaround Letter
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2018 TOP STOCK PICKS REPORT Introduction Each year for 35 years, our editorial team has surveyed the nation’s leading newsletter advisors and investment experts asking for their favorite stocks for the year ahead. This year’s report — Top Picks 2018 — features 100 investment ideas for the new year. The advisors who participate in MoneyShow’s Top Pick reports are among the nation’s most respected and knowledgable investment experts. Each has a time-tested reputation for in-depth research, integrity and a track record of long term investment success. Most of these advisors have been participating in these reports for many years; indeed, many have participated for decades! If you are a reader of our free newsletter, you will be familiar with many of these advisors as they are ongoing contributors to our Top Pros Top Pick — which offers a daily glimpse into the stock, fund and ETF recommendations of the nation’s best financial newsletters. We would like to emphasize to our readers that these annual reports are not contests. The goal is not to compile a list of high risk, high-flyers (and potential big losers). Each year’s Top Picks report certainly includes a variety of fast-growing stocks with high potential. But the report also includes many conservative dividend-paying stocks and blue chips chosen for safe and steady returns. This year’s report features ideas that range the gamut from out-of-favor value plays and turnarounds to growth stocks on the leading edge of biotech, technology and social media. The report also features under-the-radar small caps to some of the world’s most best known and iconic names. From retail and consumer favorites to energy and commodities, from REITs and MLPs to manufacturing and industrial, from healthcare to financials and ETFs, this report features intriguing ideas for investors of all stripes. Our goal at MoneyShow — and the main objective of these leading advisors — is to provide you with a well-rounded and diverse shopping list of investment ideas for you to consider as you build your personal long-term portfolios. We caution that the recommendations presented in this report should be viewed as a starting place for your own research. Any stock you buy should match your own investment strategy and time horizon — and fit you personal levels of risk tolerance. Thank you for being a part of the MoneyShow family. We wish you the very best for investment success in 2018. Kim K. Githler | Chair & CEO www.MoneyShow.com 1
2018 TOP STOCK PICKS REPORT 2018 Top Stock Pick: General Electric (GE) Our top conservative, income-oriented idea for for 2018 is General Electric (GE), asserts turnaround specialist George Putnam, editor of The Turnaround Letter. While former chairman and CEO Jeffrey Immelt’s early years at the helm were full of promise, his 16-year tenure will be remembered for GE’s near-collapse in the 2008 George Putnam financial crisis, the dismantling of the company’s financial services operations, its The Turnaround Letter cash-draining share repurchases and dividends, poor governance and weak operating results. This past summer, GE was thrown into disarray with an abrupt change-over in leadership and the recognition that its cash flows were much weaker than previously believed. As a result, investors fled from GE shares, which have declined 45% this year and now trade at their 1997 price level. The company clearly has problems, but disarray does not mean “game over.” New CEO John Flannery is aggressively reshaping GE’s underlying philosophy to focus on cash flows, capital allocation and accountability. His strategy should improve the company’s core profitability and highlight the value of its various businesses. Three divisions will be retained (Power, Aviation and Healthcare), which have strong market positions and large installed customer bases. As much as $20 billion in non- core operations will be divested. Flannery’s resolve is highlighted by his gutsy decisions to halve the dividend and remove half of the board members. While the turnaround will likely take a while, the rebound potential in the stock is significant, and investors are being paid a 2.8% yield during the wait. Subscribe to George Putnam’s The Turnaround Letter here… www.MoneyShow.com 40
2018 TOP STOCK PICKS REPORT 2018 Top Stock Pick: Weatherford International (WFT) Our top speculative pick for 2018 is Weatherford International (WFT), one of the largest providers of drilling services to the global oil and gas industry, notes George Putnam, editor of The Turnaround Letter. While its field-level capabilities have always been respected, the company had become George Putnam an organizational jumble of businesses thrown together by the whims of its dominant The Turnaround Letter former CEO. Not only did this produce a remarkably inefficient company, it also led to a mountain of debt. When oil prices collapsed a few years ago, Weatherford’s survival was threatened, leading to the CEO’s departure in late 2016. The arrival of new CEO Mark McCollum in March 2017 launched Weatherford’s revival. Previously the CFO of industry giant Halliburton (HAL), McCollum is highly regarded and very capable. His priorities are generating cash to pay down $2 billion or more of the company’s $8 billion of debt, integrating and standardizing the vast sprawl of products and services, and improving accountability and discipline. One notable goal: cutting overhead costs as a percent of revenues by nearly half. The company anticipates reaching break-even free cash flow in the current quarter after years of cash outflows. Other near-term catalysts include the innovative OneStim joint venture with Schlumberger(SLB) and the sale of the international drilling rig operations, producing as much as $800 million in combined proceeds. Weatherford’s shares currently trade at eight-year lows. This turnaround will take time and progress could be lumpy, but Weatherford’s shares have tremendous gain potential from their current low level. Subscribe to George Putnam’s The Turnaround Letter here… www.MoneyShow.com 103
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