Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW

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Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
Who revived the electric
   car?
                     Professor David Bibby
            Climate Change Research Institute, VUW

The rise and fall, and rise again, of the electric vehicle
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
In the beginning.....

   English inventor                               La Jamais Contente (The Never Satisfied)
   Thomas Parker                              Two direct drive 25 kW motors, running at 200 V, drawing
   built the first                            124 Amperes each for about 68 hp.
   practical EV, 1884                         Reached the speed of 105.882 kilometers per hour (65.792
                                              mph) on the 29 April, 1899.

                                                                                                    Wikipedia
Thomas Parker was responsible for the electrifying the London Underground, overhead tramways in
Birmingham and Liverpool, and developing the smokeless fuel “Coalite”
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
The first hybrids, the Lohner-Porsche
 First production hybrid car, 1900                   Semper Vivus
 10–14 hp, 2 or 4 hub-mounted electric               Twin in-wheel electric motors, two 2.5 hp
 motors; driven by battery and/or petrol             single cylinder IC engines, driving two 1.8
 engine.                                             kW generators, charging a 44-cell Pb acid
 Weight of 4WD model, about 3.5 tonnes               battery

“These early electric cars were designed with fiendish, steam-punk complexity by the precocious
Ferdinand Porsche”. Andrew English, 2011
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
Electric cars rapidly became significant in the USA, mainly in the city
   where they were competing with steam and IC engine vehicles

  In 1900 the market share for EVs was 28%
  But, by 1915 market share was down to1%

  Peak sales of EVs were 6000 in 1912, produced
  by 20 manufactures. That year Ford sold over
  82000 Model T cars.

  Despite this fall in popularity, Henry Ford,
  together with his good friend Thomas Edison,
  had aspirations to produce an ‘affordable’
  electric car                                              Henry Ford prototype EV, early
                                                            1914
  Within a year, I hope, we will begin the manufacture of an electric automobile. Henry Ford, 1914
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
Four developments led to the dominance of the internal
                                                      combustion engine
                                                                                                  Model T assembly line; a major
                                                                                                  contributor to minimising the
                       Wikipedia

                                                                                                  cost of cars, i.e. in1909 a Model T
                                                                                                  was $850, by 1920 it was $260

                                   Electric starter; first                  National Geographic        Good Roads Campaign, ca 1916
                                   production vehicle
                                   was the 1912 Cadillac

                                                                                                                                        University of North Carolina
  Waldronexhaust.com

                                                      Muffler ca 1910   As car ownership
                                                                        increased there were
                                                                        national movements
                                                                        to build improved
                                                                        intercity roads
The McLean Motor Act 1898 legalised the operation of motor vehicles provided that they were lit after
dark and did not go faster than 12 miles per hour
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
And also, electric vehicles were marketed primarily to Women

                                               However, not everyone
                                               was happy with the
                                               internal combustion
                                               engine.

                                               Henry Ford’s wife refused
                                               to ride in an “explosions”
                                               car and so in 1914 he
                                               bought her a Detroit
                                               Electric model 47 which
                                               she kept until the 1930’s

“Pick a good model and stick with it”, Henry Ford talking about marriage
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
Electric vehicles did not disappear entirely,
                           (and some of us saw them on a daily basis)

Milk float                                                          The ubiquitous fork lift

                               Wikipedia                                                    Napaforklifts.com

 In August 1967 the UK Electric Vehicle Association stated that Britain had more battery-electric
 vehicles on its roads than the rest of the world put together. Almost all of these were milk floats.
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
However, the IC engine causes air pollution......

"There's so much pollution in the air now that if it
weren't for our lungs there'd be no place to put it
all.“— Robert Orben“

“Fall is my favorite season in Los Angeles,
watching the birds change color and fall from the
trees."— David Letterman

‘We've got to pause and ask ourselves: How
much clean air do we need?"— Lee Iacocca

 By the 1980’s the smog in LA had become so bad that in 1990 the California Air
 Resources Board (CARB) passed the Zero-emissions vehicle (ZEV) mandate.
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
GM’s answer was the EV1
 The ZEV mandate required the 7 major automobile suppliers in the US to offer electric
vehicles if they wished to continue sales of their gasoline powered vehicles in California.

The EV1 was the first mass-produced
and purpose-designed electric vehicle
of the modern era from a major
automaker

0 to 100km/h 8 sec
Max speed 130km/h
Weight 1400kg

                                                                                  Treehugge
                                                                                  r

In 2008 the EV1 made the Time Magazine’s list of the 50 worst cars of all time.
Who revived the electric car? - Professor David Bibby Climate Change Research Institute, VUW
But lobbying by the motor and oil industry was successful and
         everything went back to business as usual.

    The great majority of
       the EV1s were
    recalled and crushed

                                                                            EV1.org
As a result of the forced repossession and destruction of the majority of EV1s, an intact and
working EV1 is one of the rarest cars from the 1990s.
Except for Toyota, who stayed when everyone else had left

Between 1997 and 2003 some
1484 RAVE4EVs were leased or
sold, and in 2012 about 500
were still in use

The RAV4 EV has a top speed of
126 km/h
0-100km/h time of about 18 sec

                                                                                Mariordo
Weight 1500kg

In 2012 Toyota launched a new RAVE4EV, top speed 160kph, 0 to 100kph in 7 sec
Meanwhile, what was happening in Japan?

In 1993 Eiji Toyoda, Toyota’s Chairman, expressed concern
about the future of the automobile.

Executive VP Akihiro Wada was made responsible for the
Global 21 project aimed at substantially improving the fuel
economy of Toyota cars. He made two critical decisions:

                                                                                                   Lionel 141
• he appointed Takeshi Uchiyamada as the project leader, and
                                                                       Eiji Toyoda, 1913 to 2013
•in 1994 he supported his engineers’ HYBRID concept against
the advice of the marketing and business managers

Leslie Kendall, Petersen Automotive Museum, described Toyoda as the Japanese equivalent of
Henry Ford.
The outcome was the Prius

  In December 1997 the Prius went on sale in Japan and sold 18000 in the first year

  In May 1999 it went on sale in America selling 5600 in the first year and 15600 in
  the second year

  By 2003 Toyota could not keep up with demand

  By 2013 over 6 million Prius (and Lexus) cars
  had been sold

                                                                                                 Toyota

In 2002 the Washington Post dubbed the Prius "Hollywood's latest politically correct status symbol"
The success of the Prius effectively legitimised the
        development of further EV and Hybrid vehicles

    Today, for sound
    commercial
    reasons, every
    significant
    vehicle
    manufacturer
    has to have a
“The revenge of the electric car”,   a Chris Paine documentary 2011
    line of EV and
Recent developments in electric cars by two remarkable men
                          Carlos Ghosn, CEO of the Renault-Nissan Alliance
         The Nissan Motor Co developed the Nissan Leaf, the world's best selling, highway-
         capable, all-electric car
Nissan

                                 Ghosn's life story was turned into a superhero comic book series in
                                 Japan; ‘The True Story of Carlos Ghosn’ in ‘Big Comic Superior’, 2002
Recent developments in electric cars by two remarkable men

                 Elon Musk, CEO and Chief Product Architect of Tesla and SpaceX

        The Tesla Roadster was the first highway-capable all-electric vehicle for sale in the
        United States in the modern era.

                                                 At the SpaceX
                                                 factory there is a
                                                 statue of Iron Man,
                                                 and Musk had a
                                                 cameo
                                                 appearance in Iron
                                                 Man 2
Tesla

                                 Musk was the inspiration for genius billionaire Tony Stark in the Iron
                                 Man movies. According to Director, Jon Favreau (Time, 29 April 2010)
Looking forward

           When can we expect EVs and Hybrids to dominate car sales, again?

   In 2014/2015 it is expected that EVs and Hybrids will achieve 1% of global car sales,
   with sales having doubled about every two years since 1997. If this continues EVs
   and Hybrids will dominate new vehicle sales in 15 to 20 years time

   •Battery development is a core factor in the sale projections. This is closely tied to
   the requirements for reduced weight and increased range.

   •National networks of charging stations are being installed but so far most owners
   have preferred to recharge at home

“Once this baby hits 88 mile per hour you are going to see some serious shit”.
Doc (Christopher Lloyd) in “Back to the Future” 1985
Projected sales

                                 ?
                                            Source: International Energy Agency, 2009

“EVs will never amount to anything”, Anon
Contributions to atmospheric CO2

                                                Note that Transport is 13.1 percent of
                                                CO2 emissions, and is a major
                                                contributor to greenhouse gas
                                                emissions

                                                        Hybrids have very good
                                                        fuel economy and hence
                                                        reduced CO2 emissions-
                                                        ask any Prius taxi driver
                                                        about
Consider what kind of car you buy, choose one that has the leastthe fuelenvironmentally.
                                                                 impact  economy         Al Gore
So, who deserves the credit for the revival of the electric car?

       In my view, the Toyota Motor Corporation for a start, and then?

       Akihiro Wada, who supported the hybrid concept against the advice of
       his marketing managers, and then approved a billion dollars of
       development costs? Or;

       Takeshi Uchiyamada, who led the engineering team who brought the
       Prius concept through to a successful conclusion?

       You choose…………………………………..

Today Takeshi Uchiyamada is the Chair of the Board of Toyota, the largest motor company in the
world.
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