WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - SECOND WEEK OF DECEMBER 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE SECOND WEEK OF DECEMBER 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
01 Macroeconomic Update GLOBAL DOMESTIC Switzerland’s government expected that the country’s economy Indonesia’s official reserve assets stood at USD145.9 billion as will grow 3.3% (YoY) this year and 3.0% (YoY) in 2022. The forecast end-of November 2021, increased from USD145.5 billion as for 2022 growth is lower than previous predictions as the end-of October 2021. The position of official reserve assets coronavirus situation worsens and restrictions tighten across was equivalent to finance 8.3 months of imports or 8.1 Europe. Supply bottlenecks and stricter Covid-19 measures are months of imports and servicing government’s external debt. putting a strain on the economy internationally in winter The increase of official reserve assets in November 2021 was 2021/2022. The number of coronavirus cases has surged in influenced, amongst others, by tax and services receipts and Switzerland in recent weeks while the Omicron variant has also government’s foreign loan withdrawal. arrived, prompting the government to tighten its restrictions. The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) in November rose to 118.5 from 113.4 in the previous month. It signaled stronger consumer confidence in economic conditions. Stronger consumer confidence in November 2021 was primarily driven by consumer perception of current economic conditions, particularly in terms of current job availability and income. A higher CCI was confirmed by respondents across all spending and age brackets as well as respondents in most surveyed cities, led by Pontianak, Palembang, and Mataram. www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 1
COMMODITIES Indonesia will bring in a new levy for palm plantations within the next two years, the proceeds of which will be used to protect public interests and the environment. The new levy will be collected by regional governments from local palm planters and is part of a new law aimed at increasing the fiscal capacity of provincial and city administrations. The law will provide a legal basis for regional governments that have a fiscal capacity to issue municipal bonds to fund development projects. Previous : 11/29/21 – 12/03/21 Source: Bloomberg & Investing (2021) Latest : 12/06/21 – 12/10/21 www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 2
STOCKS Indonesia's Financial Service Authority (OJK) has issued rules on the listing of technology companies' shares with multiple voting rights. Under the new rules, which came into effect on December 1, companies must meet criteria such as operating for at least three years and recording at least 30% annual revenue growth over three years. The issuance of this regulation is an effort to encourage financial market deepening, especially in the capital market sector by accommodating companies that create new innovations. Previous : 11/29/21 – 12/03/21 Source: Bloomberg (2021) Latest : 12/06/21 – 12/10/21 www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 3
FOREIGN EXCHANGE The USD/JPY rose 0.10% to 113.57 while the U.S. dollar index futures that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.04% to 96.370. The U.S. dollar strengthened on Tuesday as concerns about the Omicron Covid-19 variant started receding. Although there is still a lot of uncertainty over Omicron's health and economic impact, investors have embraced news from South Africa suggesting the exponential rise in Omicron infections has not been followed by a big wave in hospitalizations. Previous : 11/29/21 – 12/03/21 Source: Bloomberg (2021) Latest : 12/06/21 – 12/10/21 www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 4
02 Bond Market Update YIELD 10-year government bond yields up to 6.31% on Friday (12/10) from 6.26% on Friday (12/3) in the midst of the release of U.S. inflation data. Investor are more risk-averse and prefer to hold safe haven assets ahead of the release of inflation data for the United States (U.S.) for the November 2021 period. This can be seen from foreign capital outflows of the Indonesian financial market. Bank Indonesia (BI) recorded that foreign capital outflows from the Indonesian financial market amounted to IDR3.23 trillion for the period 6-9 December 2021. Foreign capital outflows through the Government Securities (SBN) market amounted to IDR8.08 trillion and in the stock market amounted to IDR4. 85 trillion. On Friday (12/10) the 10-year U.S. treasury yield up to 1.48% from 1.34% on Friday (12/3) along with the concerns of market participants ahead of the release of U.S. inflation data on Friday night (12/10). Economists in a Dow Jones survey predict the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will shoot up 6.7% year-on- year (YoY). Such conditions may pose a risk that the Fed will move faster than anticipated. These concerns were in line with economists' forecasts after higher-than-expected inflation data was released. The U.S. November Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 6.8% (YoY). Page www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 5
INDEX In the first week of December 2021, for corporate bonds rated AAA, yields for 5-10 year tenors were in the range of 6.17%-7.53%. The yield of AA rated bonds with a tenor of 5-10 years was in the range of 7.25%-8.41%. For A-rated bonds with a tenor of 5-10 years, it was 9.36%-10.63%, and for BBB-rated bonds with a tenor of 5-10 years, it was 11.34%-12.45%. Note: average of a specific day with the same day of the previous week. www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 6
GOVERNMENT BOND Coupon Size Yield Series Maturity Date Price Volume (%) (IDR) (%) FR87 6.500 02/15/31 1,000,000,000 102.75 -- 13,930,877,000,000 FR86 5.500 04/15/26 45,000,000,000 101.43 -- 7,787,322,000,000 FR59 7.000 05/15/27 12,916,000,000 107.45 -- 5,690,892,000,000 PBS 5.450 01/15/22 200,000,000,000 100.18 -- 5,286,000,000,000 FR68 8.375 03/15/34 2,000,000,000 111.69 -- 5,161,973,000,000 FR70 8.375 03/15/24 15,000,000,000 109.12 -- 4,359,897,000,000 FR76 7.375 05/15/48 1,500,000,000 101.45 7.25 3,929,430,000,000 FR78 8.250 05/15/29 1,956,000,000 112.50 -- 3,878,047,000,000 FR82 7.000 09/15/30 2,721,000,000 104.65 6.299 3,654,726,000,000 FR64 6.125 05/15/28 100,000,000 101.00 5.934 2,906,642,000,000 www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 7
03 Bonds Issuance & Maturity BOND ISSUANCE Amount Coupon Tenor No. Company Instruments Issued Date Rating [IDR Billion] [%] [Years] 1 PT Mandala Multifinance Tbk Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase IV Year 2021 Series Dec-6-2021 300.00 8.35 1 idA A 2 PT Mandala Multifinance Tbk Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase IV Year 2021 Series Dec-6-2021 350.00 9.25 3 idA B 3 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2021 Series A Dec-9-2021 796.81 6.00 1 idA+ 4 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2021 Series B Dec-9-2021 876.81 8.75 3 idA+ 5 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2021 Series C Dec-9-2021 338.34 9.25 5 idA+ 6 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase II Year Dec-9-2021 187.20 6.00 1 idA+(sy) 2021 Series A 7 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase II Year Dec-9-2021 304.53 8.75 3 idA+(sy) 2021 Series B 8 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase II Year Dec-9-2021 247.09 9.25 5 idA+(sy) 2021 Series C Total 3,400.77 www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 8
BOND MATURITY Maturity Amount Coupon Tenor No. Company Instruments Rating Date [IDR Billion] [%] [Years] DECEMBER PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2016 Series C Dec-1-2021 193.00 8.20 5 idAAA 1 (Persero) Tbk PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2016 Series B Dec-1-2021 150.00 9.75 5 A+(idn) 2 Tbk PT Impack Pratama Industri Bond I Year 2016 Series B Dec-2-2021 100.00 10.50 5 idA- 3 Tbk 4 PT Oki Pulp & Paper Mills MTN V Year 2018 Dec-3-2021 300.00 11.00 3 - PT Sarana Multi Shelf Registration Bond I Phase III Year 2018 Series B Dec-4-2021 199.25 8.70 3 idAAA 5 Infrastruktur (Persero) PT Sarana Multigriya MTN Syariah Mudharabah X Year 2020 Dec-5-2021 110.00 Floating 1 idAAA(sy) 6 Finansial (Persero) 7 PT Pindad (Persero) MTN Year 2017 Series D Dec-6-2021 84.29 9.25 3 idBBB+ 8 PT Summarecon Agung Tbk Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2018 Dec-6-2021 416.00 10.75 3 idA PT J Resources Asia Pasifik Shelf Registration Bond I Phase VI Year 2020 Series A Dec-7-2021 252.17 9.25 1 idBBB 9 Tbk 10 PT Pindad (Persero) MTN Year 2017 Series E Dec-7-2021 265.00 9.25 3 idBBB+ 11 PT Angkasa Pura II (Persero) Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2018 Series A Dec-12-2021 200.00 8.65 3 idAA+ 12 PT Indosat Tbk Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2014 Series C Dec-12-2021 250.00 10.50 7 idAAA 13 PT Indosat Tbk Shelf Registration Sukuk Ijarah I Phase I Year 2014 Series C Dec-12-2021 110.00 10.50 7 idAAA(sy) PT Tower Bersama Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase II Year 2020 Series A Dec-12-2021 295.00 5.75 1 AA+(idn) 14 Infrastructure Tbk 15 PT Sucor Investama MTN IV Year 2019 Series A Dec-13-2021 150.00 10.59 2 - 16 PT Aneka Tambang Tbk Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2011 Series B Dec-14-2021 2,100.00 9.05 10 idA www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 9
PT Mandala Multifinance Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase II Year 2020 Series A Dec-14-2021 300.00 9.20 1 idA 17 Tbk PT Permodalan Nasional Shelf Registration Bond III Phase IV Year 2020 Series A Dec-14-2021 904.80 6.50 1 idAA 18 Madani (Persero) 19 PT Sinar Mas Multifinance Bond III Year 2016 Dec-14-2021 500.00 9.50 5 A-(idn) 20 PT Sucor Investama MTN IV Year 2019 Series B Dec-16-2021 80.00 10.59 2 - PT Bank Mayapada Subordinated Bond IV Year 2014 Dec-17-2021 255.80 12.50 7 idBBB- 21 Internasional Tbk 22 PT Barito Pacific Tbk Shelf Registration Bond I Phase III Year 2020 Series A Dec-18-2021 167.52 8.25 1 idA PT Chandra Asri Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2018 Dec-19-2021 500.00 10.00 3 idAA- 23 Petrochemical Tbk PT Wahana Ottomitra Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2018 Series C Dec-20-2021 119.00 10.00 3 AA-(idn) 24 Multiartha Tbk PT Bank Pembangunan Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2018 Series B Dec-21-2021 155.00 10.50 3 idA- 25 Daerah Nusa Tenggara Timur PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Shelf Registration Bond I Phase III Year 2020 Series A Dec-21-2021 504.64 8.50 1 idA+ 26 Tbk 27 PT Kapuas Prima Coal Tbk Bond I Year 2018 Series D Dec-21-2021 18.40 16.30 3 idBBB PT Medco Energi Shelf Registration Bond II Phase III Year 2016 Series B Dec-21-2021 5.00 11.30 5 idA+ 28 Internasional Tbk 29 Perum Perikanan Indonesia MTN I Year 2017 Series B Dec-22-2021 20.25 9.35 3 idBB PT Chandra Asri Bond I Year 2016 Series B Dec-22-2021 138.60 11.30 5 idAA- 30 Petrochemical Tbk PT Bank Pembangunan Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2018 Series A Dec-28-2021 467.00 10.40 2 idA+ 31 Daerah Sulawesi Selatan dan Sulawesi Barat PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIX Year 2018 Series A Dec-28-2021 70.00 10.50 3 idAA 32 Madani (Persero) PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIX Year 2018 Series B Dec-28-2021 105.00 10.50 3 idAA 33 Madani (Persero) PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIX Year 2018 Series C Dec-28-2021 105.00 10.50 3 idAA 34 Madani (Persero) www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 10
PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIX Year 2018 Series D Dec-28-2021 142.50 10.50 2 idAA 35 Madani (Persero) PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIX Year 2018 Series E Dec-28-2021 201.00 10.50 2 idAA 36 Madani (Persero) PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) SB Perpetual I Year 2018 Dec-28-2021 600.00 10.50 3 A+(idn) 37 Tbk PT Asietex Sinar MTN I Year 2017 Series H Dec-30-2021 30.00 11.00 4 - 38 Indopratama Total 10,564.21 JANUARI PT Asietex Sinar MTN II Year 2017 Series E Jan-7-2022 35.00 11.00 5 - 1 Indopratama 2 PT Mandiri Tunas Finance Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2019 Series A Jan-8-2022 800.00 9.40 3 idAA+ PT Tridomain Performance Bond I Year 2018 Jan-8-2022 100.00 10.50 3 - 3 Materials Tbk PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIII Year 2017 Series A Jan-10-2022 50.00 11.25 5 - 4 Madani (Persero) PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIII Year 2017 Series B Jan-10-2022 110.00 11.25 5 - 5 Madani (Persero) PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIII Year 2017 Series C Jan-10-2022 200.00 11.25 5 - 6 Madani (Persero) PT Permodalan Nasional MTN XIII Year 2017 Series D Jan-10-2022 15.00 11.25 5 - 7 Madani (Persero) PT Bank Capital Indonesia Subordinated Bond I Year 2014 Jan-13-2022 200.00 12.00 7 idBBB- 8 Tbk 9 PT Oki Pulp & Paper Mills MTN VI Year 2019 Jan-15-2022 300.00 11.00 3 - PT Adira Dinamika Multi Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase IV Year 2019 Series B Jan-23-2022 58.00 9.00 3 idAAA 10 Finance Tbk PT Adira Dinamika Multi Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah III Phase III Year 2019 Series Jan-23-2022 55.00 9.00 3 idAAA(sy) 11 Finance Tbk B PT Perkebunan Nusantara III MTN II Year 2018 Jan-23-2022 375.00 11.00 3 idBBB 12 (Persero) PT Perkebunan Nusantara III MTN Syariah Ijarah I Year 2018 Jan-23-2022 125.00 11.00 3 idBBB(sy) 13 (Persero) www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 11
14 PT Indosuryo Wahyupahala MTN I Year 2018 Series A Jan-26-2022 30.00 14.25 4 - 15 PT Indosuryo Wahyupahala MTN I Year 2018 Series B Jan-26-2022 25.00 14.25 4 - 16 PT Indosuryo Wahyupahala MTN I Year 2018 Series C Jan-26-2022 21.25 14.25 4 - 17 PT Indosuryo Wahyupahala MTN I Year 2018 Series D Jan-26-2022 22.40 14.25 4 - 18 PT Indosuryo Wahyupahala MTN I Year 2018 Series E Jan-26-2022 16.10 14.25 4 - Total 2,537.75 FEBRUARY 1 PT ALP Petro Industry MTN I Year 2020 Feb-3-2022 USD6.00 mn 4.12 2 - 2 PT XL Axiata Tbk Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2019 Series B Feb-8-2022 191.00 8.65 3 AAA(idn) 3 PT XL Axiata Tbk Shelf Registration Sukuk Ijarah II Phase II Year 2019 Series B Feb-8-2022 110.00 8.65 3 AAA(idn) PT Sarana Multigriya Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase VII Year 2019 Series B Feb-12-2022 748.50 8.80 3 idAAA 4 Finansial (Persero) 5 PT Astra Sedaya Finance Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase II Year 2019 Series B Feb-13-2022 670.00 8.80 3 idAAA 6 PT Oki Pulp & Paper Mills MTN VII Year 2019 Feb-15-2022 300.00 11.00 3 - 7 PT PP Properti Tbk Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2021 Feb-15-2022 300.00 10.70 1 idBBB- 8 PT Duta Anggada Realty Tbk Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2021 Feb-19-2022 204.33 11.50 1 irBBB+ PT Perusahaan Listrik Shelf Registration Bond III Phase III Year 2019 Series A Feb-19-2022 369.00 8.50 3 idAAA 9 Negara (Persero) PT Perusahaan Listrik Shelf Registration Sukuk Ijarah III Phase III Year 2019 Series A Feb-19-2022 263.00 8.50 3 idAAA(sy) 10 Negara (Persero) 11 PT Adhi Persada Properti MTN V Year 2018 Series A Feb-20-2022 100.00 11.25 3 - 12 PT Adhi Persada Properti MTN V Year 2018 Series B Feb-20-2022 100.00 11.25 3 - PT Pembangunan Jaya Ancol Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2021 Series A Feb-20-2022 516.00 7.25 1 idA 13 Tbk PT Sarana Multigriya Shelf Registration Bond V Phase V Year 2021 Series A Feb-20-2022 1,500.08 4.75 1 idAAA 14 Finansial (Persero) PT Sarana Multigriya Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase III Year 2021 Feb-20-2022 100.01 4.75 1 idAAA(sy) 15 Finansial (Persero) www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 12
16 PT Sinar Mas Multifinance Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2021 Series A Feb-21-2022 348.00 9.75 1 irA+ PT Waskita Karya (Persero) Shelf Registration Bond II Phase III Year 2017 Series B Feb-21-2022 910.00 9.00 5 idBBB 17 Tbk PT BFI Finance Indonesia Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase II Year 2019 Series B Feb-22-2022 500.00 10.50 3 AA-(idn) 18 Tbk 19 PT PP Properti Tbk Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2019 Feb-22-2022 800.00 11.15 3 idBBB- Lembaga Pembiayaan Shelf Registration Bond III Phase IV Year 2017 Series C Feb-23-2022 748.00 8.90 5 idAAA 20 Ekspor Indonesia 21 PT Mayora Indah Tbk Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2017 Feb-24-2022 500.00 9.25 5 idAA PT Permodalan Nasional Sukuk Mudharabah II Year 2018 Series A Feb-26-2022 60.00 Floating 3 idAA(sy) 22 Madani (Persero) PT Permodalan Nasional Sukuk Mudharabah II Year 2018 Series B Feb-26-2022 240.00 Floating 3 idAA(sy) 23 Madani (Persero) PT Tower Bersama Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase III Year 2021 Series A Feb-27-2022 1,898.00 5.50 1 AA+(idn) 24 Infrastructure Tbk Total 11,475.92 Notes: *) Amount in USD excluded. www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 13
04 News Analytics Description : AUTO : Automotive BANK : Banking FINA : Multifinance FOOD : Food and Beverage HOTL : Hotel INSR : Insurance and Guarantee METL : Metal MINE : Mining PLAN : Plantation POWR : Power and Energy PROP : Property RENT : Vehicle Rental and Transportation SRPT : Seaport SUBN : Subnational Entity TLCO : Telecommunication TOLL : Toll Road TRAD : Trading and Distribution www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 14
News Industries Positive Negative Automotive Industri Mengejar Produksi Mobil Listrik. Efek Berganda PPnBM Otomotif Belum Signifikan Pada Industri Ban. Pasalnya, kendaraan listrik diprediksi bakal berkembang pesat di masa Hal itu dikarenakan masa penggunaan ban mobil yang biasanya berkisar mendatang seiring dengan program dunia untuk mengurangi emisi 12 hingga 18 bulan. karbon. Banking Kuartal III, Perbankan Raih Laba Bersih Rp104,6 Triliun. Laba bersih tersebut didorong oleh pendapatan bunga bersih (net interest income/NII) yang tumbuh 12,94% dari Rp280,86 triliun menjadi Rp317,21 triliun. Kemudian, pendapatan operasional selain bunga tercatat Rp361,7 triliun, meningkat 16,28% secara tahunan (year on year/YoY). Construction BUMN Konstruksi Getol Membidik Kontrak Baru. Hal ini didukung dengan pembukaan sektor ekonomi dan stimulus kebijakan tahun 2022 yang berdampak pada kenaikan konsumsi dan pemulihan ekonomi nasional. Food and Beverage Impor Susu Bakal Meningkat Lagi. Hal ini, seiring dengan bertambahnya kapasitas produksi pabrik dan konsumsi masyarakat. Hotel and Tourism Pariwisata Terganjal Lagi Ketentuan Isolasi. Hal ini, karena pemerintah menetapkan masa karantina pelaku perjalanan internasional menjadi 10 hari. Tentu, perpanjangan masa karantina membawa dampak kurang baik di industri pariwisata. Insurance Industri Asuransi Mulai Pulih. Pemulihan industri asuransi tersebut juga seiring dengan meningkatnya kepercayaan masyarakat, serta pandemi Covid-19 yang semakin menumbuhkan kesadaran masyarakat untuk memiliki asuransi jiwa. www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 15
News Industries Positive Negative Mass Media Angin Segar Film Layar Lebar. Hal ini, setelah pemerintah memberikan stimulus untuk memproduksi film layar lebar dan kembali dibukanya bioskop nasional. Metal and Gold Emas Terus Menanjak. Komoditas Logam Mulia Tertekan. Hal ini, seiring melemahnya indeks dolar AS dan imbal hasil obligasi AS. Penyebab utama pelemahan harga logam mulia adalah ekspektasi Selain itu, kekhawatiran akan varian Omicron membuat investor kenaikan suku bunga acuan yang dilakukan bank sentral global. Selain memburu aset aman. itu, kinerja dolar Amerika Serikat yang bersinar tahun ini turut menekan kinerja logam mulia. Mining Minyak Kembali Bangkit. Rekor Emas Hitam Terhenti. Minyak memanas setelah OPEC+ mempertahankan penambahan produksi Penurunan HBA ini dipengaruhi oleh intervensi kebijakan Pemerintah pada level yang sudah ada sebelumnya. Namun tidak menutup China dalam menjaga kebutuhan batubara domestik negara itu. kemungkinan mereka mengadakan pertemuan sebelum Januari jika Penurunan HBA bulan ini juga disebabkan oleh masih berlangsungnya diperlukan untuk membahas hal yang darurat. krisis energi. Multifinance Pembiayaan Bermasalah Multifinance Kian Melandai. Penurunan kredit bermasalah tidak terlepas dari langkah-langkah mitigasi risiko yang digulirkan perusahaan pembiayaan di masa pandemi. Municipal Elektronifikasi Perbaiki Pengelolaan Keuangan Daerah. Hal ini, karena ekonomi digital di Tanah Air berkembang secara eksponensial dan mampu tampil sebagai kekuatan baru. Diharapkan akan memperbaiki pengelolaan keuangan pemerintah daerah sehingga lebih efisien, transparan, serta akuntabel, dan pada akhirnya dapat meningkatkan pendapatan asli daerah. Plantation CPOPC Sepakat Wujudkan Industri Kelapa Sawit Berkelanjutan. Ironi Minyak Goreng di Negeri Kaya Sawit. Salah satu visi utama CPOPC adalah untuk menyejahterakan hidup dari Kenaikan harga minyak goreng tersulut lonjakan harga CPO. Pasalnya, jutaan petani sawit di berbagai negara produsen minyak sawit di seluruh sepanjang tahun 2021, harga CPO terus mengalami kenaikan dan sudah dunia. mencapai level tertinggi. www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 16
News Industries Positive Negative Power and Energy Intervensi Mengatasi Letupan Harga Energi. Hal ini karena, krisis energi di wilayah Eropa, Asia, hingga Amerika Serikat yang memicu harga meroket. Property Rumah Mewah Makin Cerah. Terjerat Bunga KPR. Hal ini, salah satunya karena masyarakat kelas menengah ke atas justru Hal ini, karena bunga KPR yang floating kadang membuat kaget para masih memiliki daya beli, karena memiliki tabungan di perbankan dan debitur. ada tiga kemungkinan penyebab orang seperti tidak siap menggunakannya untuk berinvestasi di sektor properti. Selain itu, dengan bunga floating. Pertama, memaksakan diri. Dalam arti. peningkatan penjualan rumah juga turut didorong kebijakan penghapusan sebetulnya penghasilannya memang mepet dengan cicilan yang awal. PPN rumah siap huni yang digulirkan pemerintah sampai Desember 2021. Kedua, bisa juga cicilan awal itu bukan merupakan suku bunga normal, tapi suku bunga promo. Ketiga, terlalu optimistis. Muncul anggapan nanti penghasilan akan naik. Toll Road Investasi Tol Masih Menjanjikan. Hal ini, seiring dengan besarnya kebutuhan infrastruktur di Tanah Air. Pasalnya, kebutuhan anggaran untuk pembangunan sektor infrastruktur dan perumahan selama 2020-2024 mencapai Rp2.058 triliun. Trading and Perdagangan Antardaerah Marak. Beleid Impor Picu Kegamangan. Hal ini, untuk menciptakan jaringan pasar yang berkelanjutan sekaligus Pasalnya, Ada aturan yang berbeda dari dua kementerian yaitu Distribution mendorong potensi komoditas yang ada di masing-masing daerah. kementerian perdagangan dan kementerian pertanian ini dan mengakibatkan pelaku usaha Vehicle Rental and Sektor Aviasi Mulai Bergairah. Hal ini, seiring dengan telah meredanya pandemi Covid-19 dan kegiatan Transportation ekonomi serta industri penerbangan mulai berangsur-angsur pulih. www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 17
Stock Index Period Unit IHSG PEFINDO25 PEFINDO i-Grade 11/12/2021 % (WoW) 1.05% 2.14% -0.22% 11/19/2021 % (WoW) 1.04% 1.34% 1.80% 11/26/2021 % (WoW) -2.36% -2.01% -1.91% 12/03/2021 % (WoW) -0.35% -1.40% -0.07% 12/10/2021 % (WoW) 1.75% 1.87% 0.18% www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 18
Indonesia Rating Highlight Publication Indonesia Sectoral Review (IRH) (ISR) In addition to rating services, PEFINDO also publishes two magazines: Indonesia Rating Highlight (IRH) and Indonesia Sectoral Review (ISR). The publication of these magazines is aimed to cater to investors’ needs in obtaining information on micro and macro-economic conditions of Indonesia. Both magazines also offer risk analysis in relation to certain industrial sectors. In addition, get our research such as research on demand services. Published 2 (two) times a year. Published 6 (six) times a year. Including a rating report from active Containing economic and companies rated. monetary, bond markets, sectoral review, and company review. To subscribe, contact: PEFINDO Marketing Team: (+ 62) 21 50968469 www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 19
Weekly Economic Update Presented By Economic Research Division of PEFINDO pef-economic@pefindo.co.id Macroeconomic Update : Aulia Ikhsan Bond Market Update : Wasis Kurnianto/Ahmad Nasrudin Bonds Issuance & Maturity : Wasis Kurnianto News Analytics : Khaerin Disclaimer: The rating contained in this report or publication is the opinion of PT Pemeringkat Efek Indonesia (PEFINDO) given based on the rating result on the date the rating was made. The rating is a forward-looking opinion regarding the rated party’s capability to meet its financial obligations fully and on time, based on assumptions made at the time of rating. The rating is not a recommendation for investors to make investment decisions (whether the decision is to buy, sell, or hold any debt securities based on or related to the rating or other investment decisions) and/or an opinion on the fairness value of debt securities and/or the value of the entity assigned a rating by PEFINDO. All the data and information needed in the rating process are obtained from the party requesting the rating, which are considered reliable in conveying the accuracy and correctness of the data and information, as well as from other sources deemed reliable. PEFINDO does not conduct audits, due diligence, or independent verifications of every information and data received and used as basis in the rating process. PEFINDO does not take any responsibility for the truth, completeness, timeliness, and accuracy of the information and data referred to. The accuracy and correctness of the information and data are fully the responsibility of the parties providing them. PEFINDO and every of its member of the Board of Directors, Commissioners, Shareholders and Employees are not responsible to any party for losses, costs and expenses suffered or that arise as a result of the use of the contents and/or information in this rating report or publication, either directly or indirectly. PEFINDO generally receives fees for its rating services from parties who request the ratings, and PEFINDO discloses its rating fees prior to the rating assignment. PEFINDO has a commitment in the form of policies and procedures to maintain objectivity, integrity, and independence in the rating process. PEFINDO also has a “Code of Conduct” to avoid conflicts of interest in the rating process. Ratings may change in the future due to events that were not anticipated at the time they were first assigned. PEFINDO has the right to withdraw ratings if the data and information received are determined to be inadequate and/or the rated company does not fulfill its obligations to PEFINDO. For ratings that received approval for publication from the rated party, PEFINDO has the right to publish the ratings and analysis in its reports or publication, and publish the results of the review of the published ratings, both periodically and specifically in case there are material facts or important events that could affect the previous ratings. Reproduction of the contents of this publication, in full or in part, requires written approval from PEFINDO. Page PEFINDO is not responsible for publications by other parties of contents related to the ratings given by PEFINDO. www.pefindo.com Second Week of December 2021 20
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