VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos

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VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
VULNERABLE
CUSTOMERS
WHAT HAPPENS WHEN
THE MONEY RUNS OUT?
OCTOBER 2020
VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
THE PERFECT STORM THAT
                                                                                           If they get their response right, they
                                                                                           are likely to continue to win hearts
                                                                                           and minds. But if they get it wrong,

MIGHT SPELL DISASTER FOR
                                                                                           their actions – or inaction – could
                                                                                           define how their brand is perceived
                                                                                           for years to come. The elephant in

UNPREPARED LENDERS
                                                                                           the room is the looming recession
                                                                                           and the amplifying effect it may
                                                                                           have on this developing situation.
                                                                                           Latest figures from the Institute for
                                                                                           Employment Studies (IES) suggest
                                                                                           that completed redundancies could
                                                                                           reach 735,000 this autumn.3
         One of the big questions banks and other lenders are asking right now is how
         many customers will default on their loans when repayment deferral agreements     This time of reckoning for firms
         come to an end in October. While conventional market research surveys can         occurs when there is increasing
         go a long way to understand this, we would also argue that a complementary        regulatory pressure from the
         approach is needed to help lenders really understand the magnitude of potential   Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)
         vulnerability and anticipate the needs of newly vulnerable customer.              on financial services firms to follow
                                                                                           guidance provided for them to meet
         THE UK BANKING                                                                    the needs of vulnerable customers.
         SYSTEM AND THE                                                                    There is also bite in this guidance
         BRITISH GOVERNMENT                                                                with a warning that if firms do not
         HAVE PROVIDED                                                                     treat vulnerable customer fairly, they
         UNPRECEDENTED                                                                     will intercede.4
         FINANCIAL SUPPORT TO
         CONSUMERS DURING THE                                                              In short, the remaining months
         COVID-19 PANDEMIC.                                                                of 2020 could see a reputational
                                                                                           tipping point for lenders.
         At the beginning of July, more than      The banks’ actions and
         1 million consumers had agreed           interventions have undoubtedly
         payment deferrals on credit card         contributed to an uplift in Net
         debt, 707,000 had agreed deferrals       Promoter Score (NPS) and brand                                                       THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM IS
         on personal loans and 1.9 million        equity scores for many. However, as                                               THE LOOMING RECESSION AND THE
         on mortgage repayments.1 In              loan payment deferrals and furlough
         addition, 9.6 million UK workers         support come to an end, lenders                                                    AMPLIFYING EFFECT IT MAY HAVE
         have been furloughed.2                   face a reputational cliff edge.                                                     ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.
VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
MEETING FCA
EXPECTATIONS

THE FCA REQUIRES                                                One of the key challenges
FIRMS TO IDENTIFY AND               Recognising vulnerability   firms face is fulfilling the first
UNDERSTAND VULNERABLE               and understanding           FCA requirement of identifying
CUSTOMERS’ NEEDS, SHARE             customers’ needs            vulnerability and determining the
THIS KNOWLEDGE ACROSS                                           needs of vulnerable customers.
THE BUSINESS AND THEN                                           Arguably, once this is known, the
ENSURE COMMUNICATIONS,                                          remaining requirements become
                                    The value of                that little bit easier. However,
PRODUCT PROPOSITIONS AND            sympathy
CUSTOMER INTERACTIONS                                           in many cases vulnerability is
MEET THESE NEEDS.                                               not apparent from the way in
                                                                which customers behave or the
Further clarification issued in                                 questions they ask customer-
July this year builds on the 2019   The importance of           facing staff, their physical
guidance by identifying four key    empowered and               appearance or through the wealth
themes for firms to focus on:       knowledgeable staff         of transactional data held on the
                                                                bank’s database. This difficult
                                                                question is further complicated
                                    Meeting vulnerable          by the FCA’s inclusion of potential
                                    consumers’                  vulnerability within its definition.
                                    communication needs
VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
INCIDENCE OF
VULNERABILITY
HASN’T GROWN, YET
         AT IPSOS WE HAVE BEEN
         WORKING CLOSELY WITH BOTH
         THE REGULATOR AND FIRMS TO
         UNDERSTAND VULNERABILITY,
         BOTH BEFORE AND DURING THE
         PANDEMIC.

         Ipsos’ Financial Research Survey        i.e. redundancy/loss of job, or
         (FRS) data identifies that 43 per       unwanted reduction in
         cent of the adult population in Great   working hours.7
         Britain are currently vulnerable or
         potentially vulnerable as defined       However, the proportion struggling        While conventional surveys have
         by the FCA.5 Recent analysis            financially (classified by the FCA        informed lenders of the numbers
         of the FRS Vulnerability module         as having low financial resilience)       of vulnerable customers, they do
         shows that, at an aggregated            has remain unchanged. Research            not answer the question of what
         level, the proportion of vulnerable     conducted by Ipsos during the             happens when the majority of               Ipsos’ Financial Research
         customers has remained relatively       pandemic suggests that many of this       COVID-19 loan deferrals come to         Survey (FRS) data identifies
         unchanged throughout the                group are keeping their heads above       an end and when state-funded            that 43 per cent of the adult
         pandemic.6 Indeed, Ipsos found          water through short-term coping           furloughs are withdrawn. What effect
         only minor spikes immediately after     strategies (eating into savings, taking   will this have on the proportion of       population in Great Britain
         lockdown when the proportion            out additional debt products) and         UK adults classed as having low          are currently vulnerable or
         of adults experiencing negative         through short-term Government and         financial resilience and what support       potentially vulnerable as
         life events jumped, driven by           industry support measures (furlough       will these customers be looking for
         predominantly work-related factors,     and payment deferrals).                   from banks?                                     defined by the FCA.5
VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
SEARCH ENGINE DATA REVEALS
EARLY DIRECTIONS AND
POSSIBLE ACTIONS
SOMETIMES DESCRIBED                    reveals key shifts in concerns that   Many people question the impact
AS THE GUARDIAN OF OUR                 may shape customer decisions at       of joining the scheme on their
SECRETS, SEARCH DATA                   the end of October.                   long-term finances
PROVIDES A WINDOW INTO                                                       Search queries such as ‘will
THE SHIFTING PRESSURES,                Many hope banks will extend the       mortgage holiday affect my credit
CONCERNS AND ASPIRATIONS               scheme                                rating’, ‘will mortgage holiday affect
THAT FINANCIAL SERVICES                The prevalence of questions such as   future lending’ and ‘will mortgage
CUSTOMERS HAVE.                        ‘can I extend my mortgage holiday     holiday affect re-mortgage’ indicate
                                       Halifax’, ‘are Santander extending    some are increasingly looking
Analysis of historical and real-       mortgage holiday’ and ‘mortgage       towards the future and assessing
time search data can provide an        holiday for a year’ suggest genuine   the longer-term impact on their
early indication into the direction    concern about the ending of the       financial status.
of financial decisions and suggest     scheme and a hope that specific
actions to shape desired outcomes.     banks will extend it.                 Many people are weighing up
                                                                             alternative options
With 1.9m agreed deferrals of          Many participants in the scheme       Analysis of searches relating to
mortgage repayments in July, we        have distinct circumstances           ‘mortgage holiday’ reveals questions
analysed the most commonly             The more recent appearance            such as ‘mortgage holiday or
asked questions on Google              of additional queries such as         interest only’, ‘is mortgage holiday a
relating to ‘mortgage holiday’.        ‘mortgage holiday maternity leave’    good idea’, ‘mortgage holiday risks’
While the volume of searches has       and ‘mortgage holiday for buy-to-     and ‘mortgage holiday calculator’
declined since the initial flurry at   let property’ reveals the specific    indicate a need for information
the announcement of the scheme,        circumstances of concern about the    and advice on whether a mortgage
comparing snapshots of the             scheme ending.                        holiday is right for them, and
underlying questions between                                                 concern about the long-term impact
August and September 2020                                                    on their finances.
VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
STRAWS IN THE
WIND FOR OCTOBER

        A KEY BENEFIT OF SEARCH
        DATA IS THAT IT CAPTURES THE
        OFTEN VERY SUDDEN PATTERNS
        IN CONSUMER THINKING.
                                                  the many detailed search queries
        While the scheme’s expiry is some         reveal the need for banks to
        weeks away from this analysis,            provide guidance to the many
        search data gives some tangible           who have specific financial
        considerations for banks to               circumstances: buy-to-let,
        manage the potential                      maternity leave etc.
        reputational and financial
        impact from November.                   3. Equally, searches about the         With the volume of potentially          frontline staff prepare for the
                                                   wider and longer-term impact        vulnerable customers likely             inevitable barrage of queries that
        1. The Government schemes                  of participating in the scheme      to increase over the next few           will come from customers who find
           have been a lifeline for millions       underlines the need for clear and   months, lenders would do well to        themselves in financial difficulty.
           of consumers. Search queries            consistent communication on this.   understand what their customers
           around whether banks will extend                                            are thinking. We believe this can       We are all faced with an
           the scheme reveal a vital need for   4. In support of increased             be achieved through analysing           unpredictable winter, in many ways.
           banks to set clear and consistent       transparency, the need to provide   unstructured search engine data.        However, financial institutions can
           expectations as soon as they can.       tools for consumers to make their   Insights from this analysis will help   look to their customers’ online
                                                   own informed decisions on their     lenders develop targeted, proactive     behaviour to gauge how best to
        2. While general searches around           finances following the end of       communications to potentially           provide what’s needed and invest
           ‘mortgage holidays’ has tapered,        the scheme.                         vulnerable customers and help           in their future brand reputation.
VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
REFERENCES

1. https://www.ukfinance.org.uk/covid-19-press-releases/
   lenders-provide-over-one-million-repayment-deferrals-on-
   credit-cards

2. https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/hmrc-
   coronavirus-covid-19-statistics

3. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-54125690

4. https://www.fca.org.uk/news/press-releases/new-guidance-
   help-firms-do-more-vulnerable-consumers

5. https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/financial-research-
   survey-frs 43% of GB adults are considered potentially
   vulnerable. Base: n=4,528 GB adults. Time Period: Monthly
   data July 2020

6. The FRS team have worked closely with the FCA to use their        If you would like to hear more about
   definition of vulnerability to ensure we are able to track the
   four vulnerability drivers highlighted in the FCA Vulnerability      the work we are doing in this field
   Guidance and analyse vulnerability across firms                       please do not hesitate to contact:
7. https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/guidance-consultation/                Duncan.Fergusson@ipsos.com
   gc19-03.pdf
                                                                             Martin.Grimwood@ipsos.com
VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
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PLEASE VISIT:
IPSOS-MORI.COM
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