VULNERABLE CUSTOMERS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MONEY RUNS OUT? - OCTOBER 2020 - Ipsos
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THE PERFECT STORM THAT If they get their response right, they are likely to continue to win hearts and minds. But if they get it wrong, MIGHT SPELL DISASTER FOR their actions – or inaction – could define how their brand is perceived for years to come. The elephant in UNPREPARED LENDERS the room is the looming recession and the amplifying effect it may have on this developing situation. Latest figures from the Institute for Employment Studies (IES) suggest that completed redundancies could reach 735,000 this autumn.3 One of the big questions banks and other lenders are asking right now is how many customers will default on their loans when repayment deferral agreements This time of reckoning for firms come to an end in October. While conventional market research surveys can occurs when there is increasing go a long way to understand this, we would also argue that a complementary regulatory pressure from the approach is needed to help lenders really understand the magnitude of potential Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) vulnerability and anticipate the needs of newly vulnerable customer. on financial services firms to follow guidance provided for them to meet THE UK BANKING the needs of vulnerable customers. SYSTEM AND THE There is also bite in this guidance BRITISH GOVERNMENT with a warning that if firms do not HAVE PROVIDED treat vulnerable customer fairly, they UNPRECEDENTED will intercede.4 FINANCIAL SUPPORT TO CONSUMERS DURING THE In short, the remaining months COVID-19 PANDEMIC. of 2020 could see a reputational tipping point for lenders. At the beginning of July, more than The banks’ actions and 1 million consumers had agreed interventions have undoubtedly payment deferrals on credit card contributed to an uplift in Net debt, 707,000 had agreed deferrals Promoter Score (NPS) and brand THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM IS on personal loans and 1.9 million equity scores for many. However, as THE LOOMING RECESSION AND THE on mortgage repayments.1 In loan payment deferrals and furlough addition, 9.6 million UK workers support come to an end, lenders AMPLIFYING EFFECT IT MAY HAVE have been furloughed.2 face a reputational cliff edge. ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.
MEETING FCA EXPECTATIONS THE FCA REQUIRES One of the key challenges FIRMS TO IDENTIFY AND Recognising vulnerability firms face is fulfilling the first UNDERSTAND VULNERABLE and understanding FCA requirement of identifying CUSTOMERS’ NEEDS, SHARE customers’ needs vulnerability and determining the THIS KNOWLEDGE ACROSS needs of vulnerable customers. THE BUSINESS AND THEN Arguably, once this is known, the ENSURE COMMUNICATIONS, remaining requirements become The value of that little bit easier. However, PRODUCT PROPOSITIONS AND sympathy CUSTOMER INTERACTIONS in many cases vulnerability is MEET THESE NEEDS. not apparent from the way in which customers behave or the Further clarification issued in questions they ask customer- July this year builds on the 2019 The importance of facing staff, their physical guidance by identifying four key empowered and appearance or through the wealth themes for firms to focus on: knowledgeable staff of transactional data held on the bank’s database. This difficult question is further complicated Meeting vulnerable by the FCA’s inclusion of potential consumers’ vulnerability within its definition. communication needs
INCIDENCE OF VULNERABILITY HASN’T GROWN, YET AT IPSOS WE HAVE BEEN WORKING CLOSELY WITH BOTH THE REGULATOR AND FIRMS TO UNDERSTAND VULNERABILITY, BOTH BEFORE AND DURING THE PANDEMIC. Ipsos’ Financial Research Survey i.e. redundancy/loss of job, or (FRS) data identifies that 43 per unwanted reduction in cent of the adult population in Great working hours.7 Britain are currently vulnerable or potentially vulnerable as defined However, the proportion struggling While conventional surveys have by the FCA.5 Recent analysis financially (classified by the FCA informed lenders of the numbers of the FRS Vulnerability module as having low financial resilience) of vulnerable customers, they do shows that, at an aggregated has remain unchanged. Research not answer the question of what level, the proportion of vulnerable conducted by Ipsos during the happens when the majority of Ipsos’ Financial Research customers has remained relatively pandemic suggests that many of this COVID-19 loan deferrals come to Survey (FRS) data identifies unchanged throughout the group are keeping their heads above an end and when state-funded that 43 per cent of the adult pandemic.6 Indeed, Ipsos found water through short-term coping furloughs are withdrawn. What effect only minor spikes immediately after strategies (eating into savings, taking will this have on the proportion of population in Great Britain lockdown when the proportion out additional debt products) and UK adults classed as having low are currently vulnerable or of adults experiencing negative through short-term Government and financial resilience and what support potentially vulnerable as life events jumped, driven by industry support measures (furlough will these customers be looking for predominantly work-related factors, and payment deferrals). from banks? defined by the FCA.5
SEARCH ENGINE DATA REVEALS EARLY DIRECTIONS AND POSSIBLE ACTIONS SOMETIMES DESCRIBED reveals key shifts in concerns that Many people question the impact AS THE GUARDIAN OF OUR may shape customer decisions at of joining the scheme on their SECRETS, SEARCH DATA the end of October. long-term finances PROVIDES A WINDOW INTO Search queries such as ‘will THE SHIFTING PRESSURES, Many hope banks will extend the mortgage holiday affect my credit CONCERNS AND ASPIRATIONS scheme rating’, ‘will mortgage holiday affect THAT FINANCIAL SERVICES The prevalence of questions such as future lending’ and ‘will mortgage CUSTOMERS HAVE. ‘can I extend my mortgage holiday holiday affect re-mortgage’ indicate Halifax’, ‘are Santander extending some are increasingly looking Analysis of historical and real- mortgage holiday’ and ‘mortgage towards the future and assessing time search data can provide an holiday for a year’ suggest genuine the longer-term impact on their early indication into the direction concern about the ending of the financial status. of financial decisions and suggest scheme and a hope that specific actions to shape desired outcomes. banks will extend it. Many people are weighing up alternative options With 1.9m agreed deferrals of Many participants in the scheme Analysis of searches relating to mortgage repayments in July, we have distinct circumstances ‘mortgage holiday’ reveals questions analysed the most commonly The more recent appearance such as ‘mortgage holiday or asked questions on Google of additional queries such as interest only’, ‘is mortgage holiday a relating to ‘mortgage holiday’. ‘mortgage holiday maternity leave’ good idea’, ‘mortgage holiday risks’ While the volume of searches has and ‘mortgage holiday for buy-to- and ‘mortgage holiday calculator’ declined since the initial flurry at let property’ reveals the specific indicate a need for information the announcement of the scheme, circumstances of concern about the and advice on whether a mortgage comparing snapshots of the scheme ending. holiday is right for them, and underlying questions between concern about the long-term impact August and September 2020 on their finances.
STRAWS IN THE WIND FOR OCTOBER A KEY BENEFIT OF SEARCH DATA IS THAT IT CAPTURES THE OFTEN VERY SUDDEN PATTERNS IN CONSUMER THINKING. the many detailed search queries While the scheme’s expiry is some reveal the need for banks to weeks away from this analysis, provide guidance to the many search data gives some tangible who have specific financial considerations for banks to circumstances: buy-to-let, manage the potential maternity leave etc. reputational and financial impact from November. 3. Equally, searches about the With the volume of potentially frontline staff prepare for the wider and longer-term impact vulnerable customers likely inevitable barrage of queries that 1. The Government schemes of participating in the scheme to increase over the next few will come from customers who find have been a lifeline for millions underlines the need for clear and months, lenders would do well to themselves in financial difficulty. of consumers. Search queries consistent communication on this. understand what their customers around whether banks will extend are thinking. We believe this can We are all faced with an the scheme reveal a vital need for 4. In support of increased be achieved through analysing unpredictable winter, in many ways. banks to set clear and consistent transparency, the need to provide unstructured search engine data. However, financial institutions can expectations as soon as they can. tools for consumers to make their Insights from this analysis will help look to their customers’ online own informed decisions on their lenders develop targeted, proactive behaviour to gauge how best to 2. While general searches around finances following the end of communications to potentially provide what’s needed and invest ‘mortgage holidays’ has tapered, the scheme. vulnerable customers and help in their future brand reputation.
REFERENCES 1. https://www.ukfinance.org.uk/covid-19-press-releases/ lenders-provide-over-one-million-repayment-deferrals-on- credit-cards 2. https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/hmrc- coronavirus-covid-19-statistics 3. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-54125690 4. https://www.fca.org.uk/news/press-releases/new-guidance- help-firms-do-more-vulnerable-consumers 5. https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/financial-research- survey-frs 43% of GB adults are considered potentially vulnerable. Base: n=4,528 GB adults. Time Period: Monthly data July 2020 6. The FRS team have worked closely with the FCA to use their If you would like to hear more about definition of vulnerability to ensure we are able to track the four vulnerability drivers highlighted in the FCA Vulnerability the work we are doing in this field Guidance and analyse vulnerability across firms please do not hesitate to contact: 7. https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/guidance-consultation/ Duncan.Fergusson@ipsos.com gc19-03.pdf Martin.Grimwood@ipsos.com
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