Visy Global Logistics - MARKET UPDATE June 2022
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In this update 1. Ocean Freight update 2. Air Freight update 3. Regional update • Asia • United States • Australia • New Zealand 4. How can we help you? 2 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Though the World Container Freight index has been dropping in the past few weeks, primarily due to China’s lockdowns, we expect freight to increase gradually as China factories resume production Latest Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) is showing an indication that rates have bottomed out Source: and are gradually increasing. Source: Internal (average export rates from AU to Asia) Source: Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI), May 2022 3 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Ocean Freight update Space, equipment, schedule and price trends for major trade lanes Trade Updates Space (Capacity) Equipment Availability Schedule Reliability Price Development Asia – Europe (Westbound) Asia – US/Canada Asia – Oceania (Southbound) Asia – LATAM Intra-Asia (Short Sea) Oceania – Asia (Northbound) Oceania – US/Canada Europe – Oceania ISC – Oceania S.Africa – Oceania Oceania - LATAM US/Canada – Oceania Europe – Asia (Eastbound) US/Canada – Asia Australia Coastal New Zealand Coastal KEY #1 Space (Capacity) 70-100% of normal capacity 30-69% of normal capacity Less than 29% of normal capacity Equipment Availability No challenges Medium challenges Major challenges Schedule Reliability No challenges Medium challenges Major challenges KEY #2 Price Development Up Stable Down 4 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Current inflationary trends, fuelled by the Russia-Ukraine War, will have an adverse impact on bunker rates and can prolong supply chain disruptions, further increasing costs of raw materials and commodities Source: Bunker Prices Worldwide - BUNKER INDEX 5 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Beyond 2022: Container Shipping Capacity Outlook – 6.2M TEU to be delivered 2023-2024 • Orderbook is now 26% of the fleet size for the first time since 2014 • Easing congestion expected to release ~2M TEU capacity • Total additional supply on target to exceed 8M TEU between 2023-2025 • Vessels that do not comply with IMO emission standards will commence to be phased out or scrapped on 1 January 2023 6 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Air Freight update Space, schedule and price trends for major trade lanes Schedule Trade Updates Capacity / Demand Price Development Reliability Asia – Australia Reduced / High Europe – Australia Tight / Steady USA – Australia Tight / Steady Australia – NZ Tight / High Australia – Asia Tight / Steady Australia – Europe Tight / Steady Australia – USA Tight / High KEY #1 Schedule Reliability No challenges Medium challenges Major challenges KEY #2 Price Development Up Stable Down 7 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Air Freight update Positive airline signals Shanghai’s air capacity reduces by 66% compared to 2021 • Travel numbers increasing • April’s weekly capacity reduced by 62% • Some reinstated flights to 15,800 tonnes, compared with 41,900 tonnes recorded end of March • Handling capacity increase • Most of the reduction has come from non-Asia-Pacific-based airlines, with Service disruptions capacity reduced by 53% to 11,700 tonnes • EU conflict transit impacts • Flights are not fully loaded with cargo • Charter fleet scarcities restricted to reduce work load • Aircraft crew shortages • Cargo diverted to other airports • Terminal staff shortages dnata expands cargo operations at Sydney Airport China lockdowns Sydney, Australia, 20 May 2022 - dnata, a leading global air and • Beijing , Guangzhou and Shanghai travel services provider, has signed a five-year lease with Sydney airports affected Airport to expand its existing cargo facility at the international • Hong Kong situation recovering airfreight terminal by an additional 4,800 sqm. 8 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Regional update: Asia Market update Equipment status –Asia • Overall market demand slightly reduced due to COVID-19 • Equipment shortages remain an industry-wide challenge in Asia outbreak in China • Recommend customers to use SOC/NOR as substitution wherever • Extra capacity expected to be available from May’22, with possible ANL’s new service (Shanghai/Shekou to Sydney/Brisbane) Country 20DRY 40DRY 40HDRY 45HC 40HCRF • Current spot rate reductions temporary and freight expected China insufficient insufficient insufficient insufficient insufficient to increase once China factories resume full production • Schedule reliability remains an ongoing issue Japan /Australia enough enough enough NA enough Major ports update: Korea insufficient insufficient insufficient enough enough Country Port Waiting Time Indicator Expected Waiting Time Vietnam tight insufficient insufficient insufficient insufficient South Korea Busan 1-1.5 days Qingdao Cambodia tight insufficient enough enough enough Shanghai 1.5-2 days China Thailand insufficient tight tight enough enough Ningbo 1.5-2.5 days Yantian 1.5-2 days Malaysia tight enough enough enough enough Tanjung Pelepas 3.5 days Singapore enough enough enough enough enough Malaysia Port Klang Up to 2 days Indonesia enough tight tight enough enough Singapore Singapore 2 days Philippines enough insufficient enough enough enough Auckland Berth windows are suspended New Zealand Tauranga Berth windows are suspended Myanmar enough insufficient insufficient enough enough Melbourne Australia New Zealand tight enough insufficient NA insufficient Sydney 0.5-1 days 9 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Regional update: USA TPEB Volume & Port Congestion USWC Labour Negotiations between PMA & ILWU • Most contentious item on the agenda is terminal automation • PMA sees automation as the way forward to greater productivity • ILWU sees it as a ‘job killer' and susceptible to hackers, posing a National Security risk • Nevertheless, ocean carrier profits could fund expansions in pay and benefits for port workers, and fear of further supply chain disruptions may lead to smoother talks • How this pans out remains to be seen as the negotiations move forward Source: Journal of Commerce (May 2022) 10 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Regional update: Australia • Patrick’s terminal (QLD) has announced that due to recent events caused by extreme Conclusion of the Brown weather conditions, its Fisherman's Island terminal has put in place amendments to marmorated stink bug both empty container and export received windows until further notice (BMSB) risk season • Hutchison Ports have increased their terminal infrastructure levy effective 01.05.2022. • On 1 May 2022, the 2021-22 BMSB Brisbane represents an increase of 21.79% and Sydney 17.20% season ended • Visy Global Forwarding is excited to announce the launch of our new Customer Digital • Goods shipped or vessels departing Platform. This will give our customers the opportunity to track containers, make from BMSB identified target risk bookings, retrieve reports, and search quotes… just to name a few of its key features. countries on or after 1 May 2022, We will go live soon - watch this space! will no longer be subject to the BMSB seasonal measures • Importers are reminded that it is their responsibility to continue to ensure that any goods imported, are free of biosecurity risk material throughout the year, not just during periods of heightened seasonal measures Seasonal measures for Brown marmorated stink bug (BMSB) - DAWE 11 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Regional update: New Zealand • On 1 May 2022, the 2021-22 Brown Marmorated Stink Bug (BMSB) season ended • Though the Omicron variant is still active in New Zealand, it could have reached its peak; however, we continue to remain vigilant and maintain preventative measures to ensure we provide our clients with the very best service • Given the time of the year, rail transit time from Tauranga to Metroport has extended out to eight days. Hence, it is critical that we are provided with the correct documentation • Trade Single Window: NZ Customs & Ministry of Primary Industries (MPI) clearances continue to flow well for non- targeted goods (e.g. aluminum coils) • However for targeted goods (e.g. used wooden furniture), MPI document processing is three to six days • Fuel adjustment factor for road transport continues to be challenging due to escalating fuel prices • Overall, as we enter the winter months, we continue to focus on forward planning to ensure our clients’ cargo is moved in the most timely manner 12 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
Talking... Regional rail solutions The multi-million dollar Riverina Intermodal Freight and Logistics (RiFL) project, due for full completion later this year, provides a freight solution for Australia’s eastern seaboard that is likely to grow the region, support jobs and bring positive sustainability outcomes. In this interview, we chat with Lee Schmelich, Visy Logistics’ Country Manager for Australia, about the nation-building project. Read the interview here > “You really need to see the project to appreciate its scale. For example, to build the siding over 100,000m3 of dirt had to be moved. Surfacing the terminal has taken over one million pavers – if you’ve ever paved anything in your backyard you’ll appreciate that’s a lot of pavers." Looking for US to Australia air freight? Our airfreight consolidation program offers twice weekly departures from New York, Chicago and LA to Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane. Door-to-door service with daily pick up from all USA 48 lower states. Find out more > 13 Visy Logistics Market Update | June 2022
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