Under The - Trafalgar Strategy

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Under The - Trafalgar Strategy
Under
The
 The
 Labour
Radar
  Leadership
While the media landscape is
  Contest
preoccupied          2020
             by COVID-19,  politics
and business grinds on. ‘Under the
Radar’ provides a concise overview and
thoughtful analysis of critical stories
  Summary
currently being & Analysis
                overlooked.
Under The - Trafalgar Strategy
Sunderland 1                                    But this is clearly wrong. Nissan is
                                                reaffirming their commitment to
Barcelona 0                                     Sunderland because of Brexit. They see
                                                the threat of tariffs as an opportunity
                                                to flood the British market with
What happened?                                  vehicles produced from its biggest car
                                                manufacturing plant.
The Financial Times have revealed
that Nissan are planning to close their         Nissan will have been motivated by
Barcelona site, where the Renault               the UK government’s pre-Coronavirus
Kadjar and Captur are made, and move            budget, which committed £27.4bn to
production to their Sunderland plant.           road and motorway upgrades. And more
                                                encouragement was offered yesterday
A major overhaul in global operations is        - the Transport Secretary announced a
set to be announced in the coming weeks,        £2bn package for transport infrastructure
as part of a concerted effort to repair their   projects, £1.7bn of which will go to roads
strained relationship with Renault.             and bridges.

And it appears that the Sunderland              Perhaps more interestingly, this decision
plant, where £4bn has already been              could signal a major shift in the UK’s
invested, will benefit the most from this       economic policy. Nissan’s decision may
reconciliation.                                 be fuelled by a belief that Rishi Sunak
                                                will be pressing ahead with one of his
What does it mean?                              bolder post-Brexit pledges – the creation
                                                of “free ports”. The Port of Tyne has been
Sunderland is a city whose identity is          earmarked as one of ten ports in the
closely entwined with Brexit. It was the        country that could receive tax exempt
first place to deliver a decisive vote to       status. Brexiteers believe this is a sure-fire
leave on Brexit night, while the popular        way of kickstarting economic growth,
Netflix show, ‘Sunderland ‘Til I Die’,          especially in regions where the ports are
paralleled the unfortunate descent of the       based.
local football club to the lower leagues
with the socio-economic decline behind          This decision alone does not vindicate
Britain’s departure from the EU.                the Brexit vision - Nissan were already
                                                firmly entrenched in the UK market.
During and after the referendum,                But regardless, expect to see a wave of
‘Remainers’ often argued that Brexit            Brexiteers swapping their Ford Fiestas for
would destroy the little industrial activity    Renault Kadjars.
left in places like Sunderland. And the
language being used to report on this
story doubles down by arguing the
decision is ‘despite Brexit’.
Under The - Trafalgar Strategy
Is World Trade Over?                         His departure will now spark further
                                             uncertainty in the midst of a global crisis.
                                             In normal circumstances, the WTO could
What happened?                               spend up to nine months selecting an
                                             appropriate candidate, but now it only has
The head of the World Trade                  until August 31st to find a successor.
Organisation has resigned from his
position, a year before the end of his       Three candidates have already expressed
term. Roberto Azevêdo announced the          an interest; Abdelhamid Mamdouh of
decision to WTO delegates on Thursday,       Egypt, Yonov Frederick Agah of Nigeria
stating that he will step down effective     and Eloi Laourou of Benin, but there is
31st August. He noted that the timing        no clear frontrunner as yet. If no one is
was motivated by the current slowdown        selected in time, which is highly possible,
in the organizations work, owing to the      one of the four deputies will serve as
global pandemic. According to Azevêdo,       caretaker director-general.
his early departure would allow next
year’s meeting of trade ministers to focus
entirely on reforming the organisation.        “In normal circumstances,
                                               the WTO could spend up
What does it mean?
                                             to nine months selecting an
Azevêdo’s tenure hasn’t exactly been          appropriate candidate, but
plain sailing, especially since President    now it only has until August
Trump took office. As a long-time
advocate of international trade and             31st to find a successor”
global cooperation, he has been unable
to lead the WTO effectively since Trump
redirected the US onto a protectionist       One of these is Chinese, while another
pathway.                                     is American – should either take over
                                             it could spark anger in Washington or
By waging trade wars on China and            Beijing. And with anti-Chinese sentiment
Europe, and pushing for bilateral trade      at an all-time high, a Chinese caretaker
with the likes of Mexico, Canada and         may even push Trump to act on his
Japan, Trump has effectively steamrolled     threats and withdraw from the WTO
the WTO and sparked an existential crisis    altogether
within the organisation. To add insult
to injury, Trump has refused to approve
appointments and reappointments to the
WTO’s supreme court, thereby crippling
the organisation’s primary function. No
wonder Azevêdo felt the urge to leave.
Under The - Trafalgar Strategy
Stocks and shares                            If Burr sold his stock based on
                                             information he received in those
nightmares                                   briefings, he would have broken the Stock
                                             Act which prohibits officials from making
                                             financial decisions based on non-public
What happened?                               information.

Richard Burr, Republican Senator
for North Carolina, will step down as
chairman of the Senate Intelligence           “The timing has led some
Committee while he is the focus of an          to question whether the
insider trading investigation. He is being
                                                investigation may have
investigated over the sale of stocks,
worth hundreds of thousands of dollars,      something to do with Burr’s
using non-public information. After           role in the Russia inquiry”
his mobile phone was sequestered by
the FBI, Burr denied any wrongdoing,
insisting his decision to step down was a
                                             This is a crucial time for the committee.
way to limit the distraction caused by the
                                             Next week it is due to vote on Rep.
investigation.
                                             John Ratcliffe’s nomination to be the
                                             next director of national intelligence.
What does it mean?                           Meanwhile, in a few short months,
                                             it plans to release the final report on
The seizure of a sitting Senator’s mobile    Russian interference in the 2016 election -
phone, along with a search warrant of        an investigation in which Burr has been a
his electronic storage, is a clear sign      key driving force, much to the chagrin of
that there must be strong evidence           the White House.
incriminating Senator Burr.
                                             The timing has led some to question
Burr got into this mess when he sold         whether the investigation may have
stock holdings on the 12th February.         something to do with Burr’s role in
At the time, the Trump administration        the Russia inquiry. The fact the search
was publicly downplaying the impact          warrants - which would have been signed
of coronavirus. But privately, Burr was      off by the Attorney General – were made
receiving briefings from the CIA and         public, despite Burr’s cooperation with
top health officials, in his capacity as     the FBI, has added fuel to the fire. These
chairman of the Intelligence Committee       may all just be conspiratorial musings –
and a member of the Senate’s Health          although with the current administration,
Committee. The briefings did cover the       anything seems possible.
potential economic fallout from the virus,
which at the time was only affecting Asia.
Under The - Trafalgar Strategy
What Trafalgar Is
                                Reading

   The chasm between the UK and EU’s Brexit positions
                                   The Spectator

“It is the fact that the differences between the two sides are so high-level, philosophical
            even, that explains why the UK is so uninterested in an extension.”
                      - James Forsyth on the stalled Brexit negotiations.

                            Birtherism of a Nation
                                     The Atlantic

   “The calls to disavow birtherism missed the point: Trump’s entire campaign was
                                     birtherism”
 - Adam Serwer argues that birtherism is more than just a conspiracy theory, it is the
                       governing ideology of the United States.

       But if you must read about Coronavirus
How China Could Emerge Even Stronger After COVID-19
                                          TIME

  “During a recent tour of China’s northern province of Shaanxi, President Xi Jinping
instructed cadres to “turn the crisis into an opportunity.” How well it succeeds in doing
                so could have ramifications for the entire world order.”
- Charlie Campbell on Beijing’s chance to replace the United States as global hegemon.
Under The - Trafalgar Strategy
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