UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 Sector performance & statistics February 17 © IGD 2017 Page 1
Introduction This insight report was prepared by: Patrick Mitchell-Fox Patrick supports IGD UK’s research Senior Business Analyst, IGD outputs across a wide range of subjects. He has developed a pmf@igd.com particular focus on wholesaling, helping to develop IGD expertise and insight on ‘route to market’ channels globally. The presence of major national supermarkets as the leading players in the UK grocery retail market means that the largest part of FMCG volumes are purchased directly from the supplier base, with no need for intermediaries. Nevertheless, wholesalers retain a critical role in the UK, providing a route to market both in smaller scale, and independent, retail, but moreover in the foodservice channel supplying the needs of all types of out-of-home businesses. This report presents our latest annual statistical review of performance in the UK grocery and foodservice wholesaling sector. Providing data for the calendar year 2016, the analysis splits the market both in terms of the differentiated types of operators that characterise the sector, and in terms of the key customer groups served by them. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research Page 2
Sector overview 2016 – the 2016 wholesaling Total market value reached £29,975m, a marginal increase on 2015, against a background of uncertain economic outlook with ongoing price deflation. However, within the market there were headlines market growth was +0.3% notably divergent outcomes between retail and foodservice focused business. The delivered foodservice segment of operators The foodservice performed strongest in 2016, with sales increasing channel lead by 2.1%, reflecting the buoyancy of a dynamic out- of-home customer base. However, cash & carry growth, up by saw a recovery versus 2015, achieving an uplift of 1.9% 1.5%. As well as facing headwinds from market-wide Retail channel product price deflation, retail channel sales were sales were impacted by falling tobacco sales in particular. As weaker, falling the largest single sector category, decline here continues to have a disproportionate effect. by 0.6% Delivered operators fared better than cash & carry. For most cash & carry operators non-trade Growth in PBU customers are a tertiary group, but are a primary sales is driven focus for Costco. With a unique mix of value and by Costco quality, on non-food and food, Costco is rolling out depots to new catchments, successfully growing expanding customer numbers with each opening. With many categories having mixed fortunes, and Chilled & fresh some in general decline, chilled & fresh is a key grew in both area of growth for wholesalers in both channels. foodservice and With increased demand for fresh, healthy and retail channels natural products in all areas, wholesalers are focused on growing capability to serve this. The market is Looking forward the outlook for the out-of-home customer sector remains good, with consumer forecast to grow demand for eating out growing, and creating at +0.9% increased opportunities for wholesalers servicing the foodservice channel. However, growth in the annually to 2021 retail channel is expected to remain restrained despite returning inflation. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research Page 3
Sector overview A £30bn market: Notes: *Includes £80m supplied from delivered wholesalers to foodservice, catering and hospitality wholesale and **Includes £108m supplied from delivered foodservice into retailers ***PBUs = professional business users customer map, 2016 Routes to market Delivered grocery Delivered foodservice Primarily cash & carry wholesalers wholesalers £11,486m £11,287m* £7,202m** £2,878m £8,329m £6,876m £1,586m £3,024m £7,094m Independent & Foodservice, catering and Other retail PBUs*** convenience retail hospitality £2,878m £1,586m £15,313m** £10,198m* Customer channels © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research & Horizons Page 4
Sector overview Wholesaling Sector definitions performance, The IGD wholesale market comprises operators servicing business customers, primarily in retail and foodservice trade, with food and drink as a major component of the sales mix. 2016 The market is divided into segments defined by the wholesale operating format (i.e. delivered or cash & carry), and /or the primary customer channel served. Please note that all sales from cash & carry depots (including those delivered to customers) are included in ‘primarily cash & carry’. Total growth in the IGD wholesale market in Route to market 2015 2016 % Change 2016 was only marginally positive on +0.3%. Across the routes to market, delivered foodservice was the sole contributor to this Delivered grocery £11,298m £11,287m -0.1 uplift, significantly outperforming the average on +2.1%. Boosted by continued growth in the UK’s out- Primarily cash & £11,540m £11,486m -0.5 of-home eating market, delivered foodservice carry operators are benefiting from a dynamic and expanding corporate sector in areas like Delivered £7,051m £7,202m 2.1 casual dining, pub dining, coffee shops and food-to-go. With a growing number of foodservice customer sites and increased demand for specialist food products, above all delivered Total sales £29,889m £29,975m 0.3 foodservice operators are able to provide the key capabilities and expertise to support these needs. In contrast, though elements of the wholesale retail customer base remain buoyant, overall it is declining in numbers. Over 2016 sales into the channel were also impacted by grocery sector-wide price deflation and the ongoing decline of the tobacco, which is a disproportionate element of the wholesale sales mix. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research & Horizons Page 5
Sector overview Market outlook: forecasts to 2021 Route to market 2016 2021 % CAGR Over the next five years … Overall market growth is expected to remain Delivered grocery £11,287m £11,588m 0.5 low in the coming years, in spite of the potential return of inflation. Primarily cash & £11,486m £11,531m 0.1 Above all this outlook is being restrained by sales in the channel to independent and carry convenience retail (key to delivered grocery and primarily cash & carry) where, despite Delivered £7,202m £8,152m 2.5 some limited areas of growth, forecast foodservice progression is expected to be only fractional year-on-year. Increased regulation on Total sales £29,975m £31,271m 0.9 tobacco will notably impact this key category. Against this background, driving competitiveness and efficiency, while focusing increasingly on customer loyalty and retention, will become ever more important keys to success for wholesalers. In contrast more buoyant growth in the out- of-home channel, will offer significantly greater opportunity to delivered foodservice operators able to meet the needs of a fast evolving customer base. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research & Horizons Page 6
Customer channels Retail Independent & Customers comprise … convenience Primarily independent retailers in convenience, CTN and off licence formats. This includes both unaffiliated retailers but also significant numbers of symbol retailers, covering all the retail summary, key symbol groups such as SPAR, Premier, Londis, Budgens, Costcutter and Nisa. In addition delivered operators such as Palmer & Harvey and Nisa, also supply networks of 2016 multiple stores in both the convenience and forecourt retailing sectors. 2016 was another year of marginal decline Routes to market 2015 2016 % Change for wholesale sales into the independent & convenience retail customer segment. As well as the grocery sector-wide factors Primarily cash & £6,996m £6,876m -1.7 slowing growth, such as deflation, and carry increasing competition, wholesale has also been impacted by the progressive decline in Delivered grocery £8,304m £8,329m 0.3 demand for tobacco. This has a disproportionate impact on the channel owing to the extensive exposure to the Total sales £15,299m £15,205m -0.6 category. However, there was some element of divergence in the fortunes between the two routes to market, with cash & carry slowing markedly, while delivered operators achieved some marginal growth. This represents a modest recovery over 2015, with a number of delivered businesses returned to a more stable state after a period of corporate disruption and retrenchment. The decline of cash & carry again reflects the overall decline of the small store customer base in the UK, with the unaffiliated independents most susceptible. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research Page 7
Customer channels Retail Sales to retailers, growth by category, 2016 Primarily cash & carry sales to retailers Delivered grocery sales to retailers 6 12 9.8 3.9 4 2.8 10 2 0.9 8 6.6 6 4.7 0 % % 4 -2 1.5 -1.4 -1.7 2 0.3 -4 -2.1 -2.2 -2.7 0 -6 -2 -6.4 -1.5 -1.7 -1.6 -8 -4 -2.8 The overall negative trend was driven by declining sales in While sales fell in a number of big categories for the segment, tobacco, where -2.7% represents a fall of over £100m in cash including tobacco and ambient food, overall sales were kept terms. Other significant categories, such as ambient food also marginally positive by growth primarily in BWS and chilled & contributed to falling sales, however, this was offset in some fresh food. Growth in chilled & fresh remains an opportunity for measure by a marginal uplift in BWS, and more notable gains in these wholesalers, and the category is the focus of ongoing soft drinks. Both BWS, and especially soft drinks, benefited development to expand ranges and increase capability in this from prolonged hot weather in the summer, helping to drive area, with investment in increased flexibility in service with impulse demand in small stores. Frozen food (though only multi-temperature vehicles. Though growth was higher still in small in cash terms) may also have benefited from good frozen food and non-food durables, this trend is off a notably weather, boosting ice cream sales. lower base. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research Page 8
Customer channels Retail Estimated operator shares, retail customer group, 2016 Others Still a broad-based competitor set Costco 9% 2% Booker Parfetts 3% 22% Following its acquisition of the Musgrave GB operation in September 2015, Booker has Conviviality become the clear overall leader in the 3% customer channel to independent and Blakemore W/S convenience retail. With its significantly 4% enhanced capability in delivered service and expanded symbol group portfolio, it is now able to provide an unrivalled multi-platform Dhamecha offer to meet needs of widely varying types of 5% retail customer, from sole trader CTNs to growing multi-site operators. P&H The three largest operators in the channel 16% Nisa now account for some 53% of total sales. 9% However, it remains a market with a considerable number of smaller players that are still able to compete effectively with the national operators. While remaining separate corporate entities, the collaboration SPAR of these regional, and even local, businesses 12% Bestway within a number of major buying and 15% marketing groups is key to their viability. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research Page 9
Customer channels Foodservice, catering & hospitality Foodservice, Customers comprise … catering & All types of catering and hospitality business servicing the out-of-home market. This includes both independent and corporate operators of all types from fast food, food-to-go hospitality and pubs to casual and fine dining, as well as institutional and public sector catering (schools and hospitals etc). summary, 2016 The foodservice customer channel saw solid growth across both the routes to market, Routes to market 2015 2016 % Change though delivered foodservice operators saw the strongest uplifts. Delivered £6,946m £7,094m 2.1 With their expertise both in product and service, and a focus on innovation to support foodservice the leading trends in the out-of-home sector, delivered foodservice operators have Primarily cash & £2,979m £3,024m 1.5 continued to benefit from the growing carry demand for eating-out, and the expanding sectors of business developing to serve it. Total sales £9,925m £10,118m 1.9 Cash & carry operators have also been targeting this customer channel successfully, building capability to meet more needs, more effectively. However, its key customer base amongst independent operators is facing more mixed fortunes, such as the decline experienced in the tenanted and ‘free trade’ pubs. While deflation has been a restraining factor for all, intensifying price competition, delivered foodservice wholesalers have continued to focus on narrowing the price/value gap with cash & carry, helping switch customers back to that segment. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research & Horizons Page 10
Customer channels Foodservice, catering & hospitality Sales to FC&H, growth by category, 2016 Delivered foodservice wholesale Primarily cash & carry, sales to caterers 5 8 7.1 3.9 4 3.0 6 3 3.7 1.8 2.1 4 2.7 1.7 2 1.5 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.8 2 % 1 0.0 % 0 0 -1 -2 -4 -2.0 -2 -3.3 -3 -6 -5.2 -2.6 Growth in this segment was supported by solid uplifts in all its The uplifts across all the food categories show that cash & key categories, and in chilled & fresh food above all. As the carry wholesalers are successfully meeting a growing range of biggest single category, the cash contribution of chilled & fresh needs for food in the out-of-home sector. The high growth in to growth was over £80m, illustrating the growing importance to frozen, though off a lower base, shows the benefit of improving foodservice customers of having fresh and natural products at and expanding ranges that offer a cost effective, low wastage, the core of their menus. However, while processed products entry-level option for those aiming to extend their food menus. have not seen the same level of growth, the steady uplifts achieved by these categories indicates they remain critical to The key drag on performance came from falling BWS sales, the out-of-home sector, providing important store cupboard where the declining number of pubs may be impacting on a ingredients and convenient solutions for customers. major customer group for the segment. © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research & Horizons Page 11
Customer channels Foodservice, catering & hospitality Estimated operator shares, FC&H customer group, 2016 Leaders consolidating share Brakes The merger with Fresh Direct in 2015, 18% Others consolidated Brakes’ position as the largest 31% wholesaler in the foodservice channel. Now part of the US giant Sysco, it will be expected that further acquisition may add further scale going forward, though its share remained stable in 2016. Meanwhile Bidvest (renamed Bidfood as of April 2017) has been boosted by a number of Booker strategic acquisitions to increase its regional 16% presence. The latest (of Caterfood in south- west England) helped push its share to an estimated 15% in 2016, narrowing the gap to JJ its larger competitors. 2% Booker for its part continues to develop its Costco unique multi-platform capability. This 2% includes its specialist delivery service, Chef Bidvest Direct, enabling it to target corporate Reynolds 15% customers alongside its core cash & carry 2% network, with its extensive customer base Caterforce Country Range Fairway amongst independent operators. 4% 4% 6% © IGD 2017 Source: IGD Research & Horizons Page 12
Want to know more? What next? Looking to get closer to UK Want to know more about Need something more specific? wholesaling? wholesaling globally? Click here for the page for IGD’s Click here to visit the Retail Click here to read about IGD’s Wholesaling 2017 event Analysis hub page customised research and training READ MORE SEE MORE READ MORE Need something else? Email askIGD@IGD.com Get a daily email alert with the Follow us on Twitter latest news on your chosen Or call + 44 (0)1923 857141 retailers and markets. @RetailAnalysis SIGN UP © IGD 2017 Page 13
You can also read