UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com

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UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
UK grocery & foodservice
                wholesaling 2017
                 Sector performance & statistics

                             February 17

© IGD 2017                                         Page 1
UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
Introduction                                      This insight report was prepared by:

                                                                Patrick Mitchell-Fox           Patrick supports IGD UK’s research
                                                                Senior Business Analyst, IGD     outputs across a wide range of
                                                                                                 subjects. He has developed a
                                                                pmf@igd.com
                                                                                                 particular focus on wholesaling,
                                                                                                helping to develop IGD expertise
                                                                                                 and insight on ‘route to market’
                                                                                                        channels globally.

    The presence of major national
    supermarkets as the leading players in the
    UK grocery retail market means that the
    largest part of FMCG volumes are purchased
    directly from the supplier base, with no need
    for intermediaries.
    Nevertheless, wholesalers retain a critical
    role in the UK, providing a route to market
    both in smaller scale, and independent,
    retail, but moreover in the foodservice
    channel supplying the needs of all types of
    out-of-home businesses.
    This report presents our latest annual
    statistical review of performance in the UK
    grocery and foodservice wholesaling sector.
    Providing data for the calendar year 2016,
    the analysis splits the market both in terms of
    the differentiated types of operators that
    characterise the sector, and in terms of the
    key customer groups served by them.

© IGD 2017   Source: IGD Research                                                                                                   Page 2
UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
Sector overview

    2016 – the                      2016
                                    wholesaling
                                                       Total market value reached £29,975m, a marginal
                                                       increase on 2015, against a background of
                                                       uncertain economic outlook with ongoing price
                                                       deflation. However, within the market there were
    headlines                       market growth
                                    was +0.3%
                                                       notably divergent outcomes between retail and
                                                       foodservice focused business.

                                                       The delivered foodservice segment of operators
                                    The foodservice    performed strongest in 2016, with sales increasing
                                    channel lead       by 2.1%, reflecting the buoyancy of a dynamic out-
                                                       of-home customer base. However, cash & carry
                                    growth, up by      saw a recovery versus 2015, achieving an uplift of
                                    1.9%               1.5%.

                                                       As well as facing headwinds from market-wide
                                    Retail channel     product price deflation, retail channel sales were
                                    sales were         impacted by falling tobacco sales in particular. As
                                    weaker, falling    the largest single sector category, decline here
                                                       continues to have a disproportionate effect.
                                    by 0.6%            Delivered operators fared better than cash & carry.
                                                       For most cash & carry operators non-trade
                                    Growth in PBU      customers are a tertiary group, but are a primary
                                    sales is driven    focus for Costco. With a unique mix of value and
                                    by Costco          quality, on non-food and food, Costco is rolling out
                                                       depots to new catchments, successfully growing
                                    expanding          customer numbers with each opening.

                                                       With many categories having mixed fortunes, and
                                    Chilled & fresh    some in general decline, chilled & fresh is a key
                                    grew in both       area of growth for wholesalers in both channels.
                                    foodservice and    With increased demand for fresh, healthy and
                                    retail channels    natural products in all areas, wholesalers are
                                                       focused on growing capability to serve this.

                                    The market is      Looking forward the outlook for the out-of-home
                                                       customer sector remains good, with consumer
                                    forecast to grow   demand for eating out growing, and creating
                                    at +0.9%           increased opportunities for wholesalers servicing
                                                       the foodservice channel. However, growth in the
                                    annually to 2021   retail channel is expected to remain restrained
                                                       despite returning inflation.

© IGD 2017   Source: IGD Research                                                                             Page 3
UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
Sector overview

    A £30bn market:                                                Notes:
                                                                   *Includes £80m supplied from delivered wholesalers to foodservice, catering and hospitality

    wholesale and                                                  **Includes £108m supplied from delivered foodservice into retailers
                                                                   ***PBUs = professional business users

    customer map,
    2016                                                 Routes to market

             Delivered grocery                                                                                    Delivered foodservice
                                                           Primarily cash & carry
               wholesalers                                                                                             wholesalers
                                                                 £11,486m
                 £11,287m*                                                                                              £7,202m**

        £2,878m                  £8,329m                £6,876m    £1,586m                   £3,024m                                £7,094m

                                             Independent &                                           Foodservice, catering and
  Other retail                                                              PBUs***
                                            convenience retail                                             hospitality
   £2,878m                                                                  £1,586m
                                               £15,313m**                                                   £10,198m*

                                                        Customer channels
© IGD 2017    Source: IGD Research & Horizons                                                                                                                    Page 4
UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
Sector overview

    Wholesaling                                        Sector definitions

    performance,                                       The IGD wholesale market comprises operators servicing business customers, primarily in
                                                       retail and foodservice trade, with food and drink as a major component of the sales mix.

    2016                                               The market is divided into segments defined by the wholesale operating format (i.e.
                                                       delivered or cash & carry), and /or the primary customer channel served.
                                                       Please note that all sales from cash & carry depots (including those delivered to
                                                       customers) are included in ‘primarily cash & carry’.

    Total growth in the IGD wholesale market in       Route to market                      2015                  2016              % Change
    2016 was only marginally positive on +0.3%.
    Across the routes to market, delivered
    foodservice was the sole contributor to this      Delivered grocery                 £11,298m             £11,287m                      -0.1
    uplift, significantly outperforming the average
    on +2.1%.
    Boosted by continued growth in the UK’s out-      Primarily cash &                  £11,540m             £11,486m                      -0.5
    of-home eating market, delivered foodservice      carry
    operators are benefiting from a dynamic and
    expanding corporate sector in areas like          Delivered                         £7,051m               £7,202m                      2.1
    casual dining, pub dining, coffee shops and
    food-to-go. With a growing number of              foodservice
    customer sites and increased demand for
    specialist food products, above all delivered     Total sales                      £29,889m              £29,975m                      0.3
    foodservice operators are able to provide the
    key capabilities and expertise to support
    these needs.
    In contrast, though elements of the
    wholesale retail customer base remain
    buoyant, overall it is declining in numbers.
    Over 2016 sales into the channel were also
    impacted by grocery sector-wide price
    deflation and the ongoing decline of the
    tobacco, which is a disproportionate element
    of the wholesale sales mix.
© IGD 2017   Source: IGD Research & Horizons                                                                                                      Page 5
UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
Sector overview

    Market outlook:
    forecasts to 2021

                                                     Route to market       2016       2021     % CAGR
    Over the next five years …
    Overall market growth is expected to remain      Delivered grocery   £11,287m   £11,588m    0.5
    low in the coming years, in spite of the
    potential return of inflation.
                                                     Primarily cash &    £11,486m   £11,531m    0.1
    Above all this outlook is being restrained by
    sales in the channel to independent and          carry
    convenience retail (key to delivered grocery
    and primarily cash & carry) where, despite       Delivered           £7,202m    £8,152m     2.5
    some limited areas of growth, forecast           foodservice
    progression is expected to be only fractional
    year-on-year. Increased regulation on            Total sales         £29,975m   £31,271m    0.9
    tobacco will notably impact this key category.
    Against this background, driving
    competitiveness and efficiency, while
    focusing increasingly on customer loyalty
    and retention, will become ever more
    important keys to success for wholesalers.
    In contrast more buoyant growth in the out-
    of-home channel, will offer significantly
    greater opportunity to delivered foodservice
    operators able to meet the needs of a fast
    evolving customer base.
© IGD 2017   Source: IGD Research & Horizons                                                            Page 6
UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
Customer channels           Retail

    Independent &                                     Customers comprise …

    convenience                                       Primarily independent retailers in convenience, CTN and off licence formats. This includes
                                                      both unaffiliated retailers but also significant numbers of symbol retailers, covering all the
    retail summary,                                   key symbol groups such as SPAR, Premier, Londis, Budgens, Costcutter and Nisa.
                                                      In addition delivered operators such as Palmer & Harvey and Nisa, also supply networks of
    2016                                              multiple stores in both the convenience and forecourt retailing sectors.

    2016 was another year of marginal decline        Routes to market                      2015                  2016               % Change
    for wholesale sales into the independent &
    convenience retail customer segment.
    As well as the grocery sector-wide factors       Primarily cash &                   £6,996m               £6,876m                    -1.7
    slowing growth, such as deflation, and           carry
    increasing competition, wholesale has also
    been impacted by the progressive decline in      Delivered grocery                  £8,304m               £8,329m                    0.3
    demand for tobacco. This has a
    disproportionate impact on the channel
    owing to the extensive exposure to the           Total sales                       £15,299m              £15,205m                    -0.6
    category.
    However, there was some element of
    divergence in the fortunes between the two
    routes to market, with cash & carry slowing
    markedly, while delivered operators achieved
    some marginal growth. This represents a
    modest recovery over 2015, with a number of
    delivered businesses returned to a more
    stable state after a period of corporate
    disruption and retrenchment.
    The decline of cash & carry again reflects the
    overall decline of the small store customer
    base in the UK, with the unaffiliated
    independents most susceptible.

© IGD 2017   Source: IGD Research                                                                                                                      Page 7
UK grocery & foodservice wholesaling 2017 - Sector performance & statistics - IGD.com
Customer channels                   Retail

    Sales to retailers,
    growth by category,
    2016
                     Primarily cash & carry sales to retailers                                   Delivered grocery sales to retailers
         6                                                                         12                                                  9.8
                                       3.9
         4                    2.8                                                  10
         2                                     0.9                                   8                6.6
                                                                                     6          4.7
         0
     %                                                                            % 4
         -2                                                                                                        1.5
                                                             -1.4          -1.7      2                                                         0.3
         -4   -2.1   -2.2                             -2.7                           0
         -6                                                                         -2
                                                                    -6.4                                    -1.5         -1.7   -1.6
         -8                                                                         -4   -2.8

    The overall negative trend was driven by declining sales in                   While sales fell in a number of big categories for the segment,
    tobacco, where -2.7% represents a fall of over £100m in cash                  including tobacco and ambient food, overall sales were kept
    terms. Other significant categories, such as ambient food also                marginally positive by growth primarily in BWS and chilled &
    contributed to falling sales, however, this was offset in some                fresh food. Growth in chilled & fresh remains an opportunity for
    measure by a marginal uplift in BWS, and more notable gains in                these wholesalers, and the category is the focus of ongoing
    soft drinks. Both BWS, and especially soft drinks, benefited                  development to expand ranges and increase capability in this
    from prolonged hot weather in the summer, helping to drive                    area, with investment in increased flexibility in service with
    impulse demand in small stores. Frozen food (though only                      multi-temperature vehicles. Though growth was higher still in
    small in cash terms) may also have benefited from good                        frozen food and non-food durables, this trend is off a notably
    weather, boosting ice cream sales.                                            lower base.
© IGD 2017      Source: IGD Research                                                                                                                 Page 8
Customer channels           Retail

    Estimated
    operator shares,
    retail customer
    group, 2016
                                                                                Others
    Still a broad-based competitor set                                 Costco    9%
                                                                        2%                         Booker
                                                           Parfetts
                                                             3%                                     22%
    Following its acquisition of the Musgrave GB
    operation in September 2015, Booker has             Conviviality
    become the clear overall leader in the                 3%
    customer channel to independent and              Blakemore W/S
    convenience retail. With its significantly            4%
    enhanced capability in delivered service and
    expanded symbol group portfolio, it is now
    able to provide an unrivalled multi-platform       Dhamecha
    offer to meet needs of widely varying types of        5%
    retail customer, from sole trader CTNs to
    growing multi-site operators.
                                                                                                            P&H
    The three largest operators in the channel                                                              16%
                                                           Nisa
    now account for some 53% of total sales.
                                                           9%
    However, it remains a market with a
    considerable number of smaller players that
    are still able to compete effectively with the
    national operators. While remaining
    separate corporate entities, the collaboration                     SPAR
    of these regional, and even local, businesses                       12%              Bestway
    within a number of major buying and                                                   15%
    marketing groups is key to their viability.

© IGD 2017   Source: IGD Research                                                                                 Page 9
Customer channels               Foodservice, catering & hospitality

    Foodservice,                                               Customers comprise …

    catering &                                                 All types of catering and hospitality business servicing the out-of-home market. This
                                                               includes both independent and corporate operators of all types from fast food, food-to-go
    hospitality                                                and pubs to casual and fine dining, as well as institutional and public sector catering
                                                               (schools and hospitals etc).

    summary, 2016
    The foodservice customer channel saw solid
    growth across both the routes to market,                 Routes to market                      2015                 2016              % Change
    though delivered foodservice operators saw
    the strongest uplifts.
                                                             Delivered                          £6,946m              £7,094m                   2.1
    With their expertise both in product and
    service, and a focus on innovation to support            foodservice
    the leading trends in the out-of-home sector,
    delivered foodservice operators have                     Primarily cash &                   £2,979m              £3,024m                   1.5
    continued to benefit from the growing                    carry
    demand for eating-out, and the expanding
    sectors of business developing to serve it.              Total sales                        £9,925m             £10,118m                   1.9
    Cash & carry operators have also been
    targeting this customer channel successfully,
    building capability to meet more needs, more
    effectively. However, its key customer base
    amongst independent operators is facing
    more mixed fortunes, such as the decline
    experienced in the tenanted and ‘free trade’
    pubs.
    While deflation has been a restraining factor
    for all, intensifying price competition,
    delivered foodservice wholesalers have
    continued to focus on narrowing the
    price/value gap with cash & carry, helping
    switch customers back to that segment.
© IGD 2017   Source: IGD Research & Horizons                                                                                                               Page 10
Customer channels                 Foodservice, catering & hospitality

    Sales to FC&H,
    growth by category,
    2016
                          Delivered foodservice wholesale                                      Primarily cash & carry, sales to caterers
        5                                                                           8                 7.1
                                                3.9
        4           3.0                                                             6
        3                                                                                      3.7
                            1.8                                          2.1        4                       2.7
             1.7
        2                                                                                1.5                                    1.1          1.5
                                    0.6                     0.8                     2
     % 1                                              0.0                       %
                                                                                    0
        0
       -1                                                                           -2
                                                                                    -4                            -2.0
       -2                                                                                                                -3.3
       -3                                                                           -6                                                -5.2
                                                                  -2.6

    Growth in this segment was supported by solid uplifts in all its            The uplifts across all the food categories show that cash &
    key categories, and in chilled & fresh food above all. As the               carry wholesalers are successfully meeting a growing range of
    biggest single category, the cash contribution of chilled & fresh           needs for food in the out-of-home sector. The high growth in
    to growth was over £80m, illustrating the growing importance to             frozen, though off a lower base, shows the benefit of improving
    foodservice customers of having fresh and natural products at               and expanding ranges that offer a cost effective, low wastage,
    the core of their menus. However, while processed products                  entry-level option for those aiming to extend their food menus.
    have not seen the same level of growth, the steady uplifts
    achieved by these categories indicates they remain critical to              The key drag on performance came from falling BWS sales,
    the out-of-home sector, providing important store cupboard                  where the declining number of pubs may be impacting on a
    ingredients and convenient solutions for customers.                         major customer group for the segment.
© IGD 2017    Source: IGD Research & Horizons                                                                                                  Page 11
Customer channels                Foodservice, catering & hospitality

    Estimated
    operator shares,
    FC&H customer
    group, 2016
    Leaders consolidating share
                                                                                                                      Brakes
    The merger with Fresh Direct in 2015,                                                                              18%
                                                                                Others
    consolidated Brakes’ position as the largest                                 31%
    wholesaler in the foodservice channel. Now
    part of the US giant Sysco, it will be expected
    that further acquisition may add further scale
    going forward, though its share remained
    stable in 2016.
    Meanwhile Bidvest (renamed Bidfood as of
    April 2017) has been boosted by a number of                                                                                     Booker
    strategic acquisitions to increase its regional                                                                                  16%
    presence. The latest (of Caterfood in south-
    west England) helped push its share to an
    estimated 15% in 2016, narrowing the gap to                          JJ
    its larger competitors.                                              2%
    Booker for its part continues to develop its                         Costco
    unique multi-platform capability. This                                2%
    includes its specialist delivery service, Chef                                                                        Bidvest
    Direct, enabling it to target corporate                                Reynolds                                        15%
    customers alongside its core cash & carry                                2%
    network, with its extensive customer base                                  Caterforce   Country Range   Fairway
    amongst independent operators.                                                4%             4%           6%

© IGD 2017    Source: IGD Research & Horizons                                                                                                Page 12
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© IGD 2017                                                                                                             Page 13
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