TRUE-LUXURY GLOBAL CONSUMER INSIGHTS
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THE 7 TH TRUE-LUXURY GLOBAL CONSUMER INSIGHT EDITION CONDUCTED IN TWO FIELD MOMENTS: PRE-COVID (JANUARY 2020) AND POST-COVID (JUNE 2020) ~19M True-Luxury Consumers (out of ~435M total consumers) generating 31% of global luxury market 12,000+ €37K+ 10 Fifth Ed. 2018 Respondents Average spend2 Markets1 Powered by 12,000+ €39K+ Sixth Ed. 2019 • 2,000 in China Average spend Research Partner for • 2,000 in US the all 7 editions of the BCG Altagamma True-Luxury Global Seventh Ed. 2020 Consumer Insights Arabs market1 Pre Covid-19 (Jan 2020) +1 (UAE & KSA) Post Covid-19 (June 2020) 2000 1. BegunBCG Source: monitoring UAE /KSA Knowledge market (300 respondents) 2. Includes personal and experiential luxury, excluding cars, yachts, smartphones and smartwatches & Analysis 1
WE BRING ALTAGAMMA PARTNERS AND MEMBERS OF BCG LUXURY ECOSYSTEM TO THE TABLE TO GENERATE THE BEST CONSUMERS INSIGHTS True- luxury BCG Altagamma partners Consumer partners Insight 2020 Source: Note: ListBCG of brands Knowledge not exhaustive & Analysis 2
BCG EXPERT NETWORK READY TO DISCUSS IN EVERY LARGE MARKET THE OUTCOMES OF TRUE-LUXURY GLOBAL CONSUMER INSIGHT 2020 AMERICAS EUROPE ASIA Christine Kunal Jim Javier Filippo Sebastian Stephane Olof Jessica Crystal Vincent Barton Bhatia Brennan Anta Bianchi Boger Cairole Darpo Distler Hao Lui Thierry Pierre Nicholas Nicolas Patrick Joël Francesco Andreas Nicola Miki Veronique Chassaing Dupreelle Goad De Bellefonds Ducasse Hazan Leone Malby Pianon Tsusaka Yang Hemant Bharat Robbin Javier Stefan Stefan Diederik Kalbag Khandelwal Mitchell Seara Rasch Rohrhofer Vismans Jeffrey Mario Drake Shaddix Simon Watten Sarah Willersdorf Source: BCG Knowledge & Analysis 3
1. COVID-19 IMPACT June 2 0 2 0 2. TRUE-LUXURY CONSUMER INSIGHTS 3. NEW REALITY & IMPLICATIONS FOR BUSINESSES
SEVERE IMPACT OF COVID -19 ON LUXURY MARKET, WITH EXPERIENTIAL LUXURY FACING THE BIGGEST DROP Global Luxury Market (Personal & Experiential), % of total Pre Covid-19 Projections Personal Luxury CAGR YOY CAGR Experiential Luxury ‘13-‘19 ‘19-‘20 ‘20-‘22 36 % +3.4% 37 % +21.2% 39 % -25 42 % to -45% 64 % +5.6% +32.7% 63 % 61 % -40 58 % to -60% 2013 2019 2020 2022 Note: Numbers rounded. Personal includes leather accessories, apparel, watches and jewelry (branded and unbranded) and perfumes and cosmetics; Experiential includes furniture, food and wine, fine dining & hotel and exclusive vacations Source: BCG & Altagamma Market Model, BCG Analysis 5
THE CRISIS IMPACTED EVEN TRUE -LUXURY CONSUMERS, WITH 57% REFRAIN ING FROM MAKING PURCHASES AND INVESTMENTS THEY HAD PLANNED I will continue making the purchases and investments I had planned before % of respondents 14% 15% 12% 17% 20% 24% 20% 22% 22% 33% 28% 21% 20% 32% 16% 22% 15% 26% 18% 27% 20% 27% 61% 65% 64% 60% 67% 57% 53% 51% 56% 47% 45% Strongly Agree & Agree Neither agree nor disagree Strongly Disagree & Agree All Countries Surveyed Note: % represents share of respondents Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 6
SENTIMENT TOWARDS THE RECOVERY IS MITIGATED, WITH ONLY CHINESE EMERGING AS THE MOST CONFIDENT, AS THEY ARE AHEAD IN THE VIRUS CYCLE I believe that the recovery after the crisis will be fast % of respondents 26% 20% 23% 36% 30% 36% 31% 32% 31% 38% 18% 15% 28% 19% 18% 77% 20% 27% 28% 12% 27% 62% 62% 43% 46% 43% 50% 50% 50% 37% 41% Strongly Agree & Agree 15% Neither agree nor disagree 8% Strongly Disagree & Disagree All Countries Surveyed Europe & US extensively affected by Covid-19, Chinese express optimistic sentiment towards recovery, especially in key areas for economic development. as the country is now ahead in the virus cycle. Strict lockdown imposed to all citizens. Note: % represents share of respondents Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 7
WITHIN PERSONAL LUXURY, CASUALWEAR & COSMETICS EXPECTED TO REBOU ND IN 2 YEARS, WHILE OTHER CATEGORIES IMPACTED BY CRISIS ON THE LON G TERM 20% WINNERS Net appetite1 (2-3 years from now) 10% Cosmetics Sneakers T-shirts True-Luxury Consumers Pants/Skirts Perfumes Sportswear 0% Shirts/Topwear Formal Shoes Dress/suits Knitwear/sweaters Small leather goods Hoodies Watches Sunglasses -10% Jewelry Handbags Backpacks Down jackets Silk goods Formal coats Hard luxury -20% Beauty Casualwear Formalwear LOSERS Accessories -30% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% True-Luxury Consumers Net appetite1 (next 6 months) Question text : "How does your luxury spending over the next 6 months will compare to your luxury spending in the 6 months prior to the coronavirus outbreak (i.e. 2nd half of 2019) and in 2-3 years from now? Note: 1. Net appetite: (% of a lot more + % of a bit more) – (% of a bit less + % of a lot less) Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 8
IN EXPERIENTIAL, TRUE -LUXURY CONSUMERS ARE STILL RELUCTANT TOWAR DS HOTELS, RESORT AND CRUISE VACATIONS, PREFERRING MORE INTIMATE EXPERIENCE S 20% WINNERS Net appetite1 (2-3 years from now) 10% Home Tech True-Luxury Consumers Private Villas Super Yacht Fine Wine & Spirits 0% Exclusive Hotels Exclusive Fine Dining Lightning Exclusive Resort Vacations Wellness & SPA -10% Design Furniture Exclusive Luxury Bars & Clubs Art Goods -20% Exclusive Cruise Vacations Social Experiences Private Experiences LOSERS Experiential Products -30% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% True-Luxury Consumers Net appetite1 (next 6 months) Question text : "How does your luxury spending over the next 6 months will compare to your luxury spending in the 6 months prior to the coronavirus outbreak (i.e. 2nd half of 2019) and in 2-3 years from now? Note: 1. Net appetite: (% of a lot more + % of a bit more) – (% of a bit less + % of a lot less) Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 9
1. COVID-19 IMPACT June 2 0 2 0 2. TRUE-LUXURY CONSUMER INSIGHTS 3. NEW REALITY & IMPLICATIONS FOR BUSINESSES
8 CONSUMER TRENDS SHAPING THE NEW LUXURY REALITY, WITH 5 ACCELER ATED BY THE COVID-19 CRISIS THAT ARE HERE TO STAY Temporary trends, here today Accelerating trends, here to stay Experiential luxury & tourism: more Luxury values polarizing secluded and short-hauled between West and China Deep-dive today Deep-dive today Purpose at the heart of Sustainability 360° Chinese: from global spenders to local consumers Next generation relationship driven by Clienteling 2.0 Deep-dive today A new shopping equation: online acceleration & in-store brand experience Millennials take a hit, but are most hopeful for the future New business models reshaping ownership: rise of 2nd hand and rental 11
Temporary trends, here today EXPERIENTIAL LUXURY & TOURISM: MORE SECLUDED AND SHORT-HAULED 12
Business Travel Leisure Travel 54% Travel & 60% Of True-Luxury consumers say Tourism Of True-Luxury consumers say they plan to travel less for most affected they can't wait to travel again work compared to before by the crisis for leisure Long-term impact Temporary impact Focus of the study: experiential luxury Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) & Post-Covid (June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) within leisure 13 13
43% OF CONSUMERS WERE SHIFTING THEIR SPENDING TOWARDS EXPERIENTI AL LUXURY BEFORE PANDEMIC HIT, AND TREND IS RESISTING Compared to 2/3 years ago do you feel that you are buying fewer personal products and more leisure experiences? (Pre-Covid Survey) % of respondents No 14% 13% 13% 9% 15% 13% 12% 11% 20% 16% 18% 34% 32% Unchanged 43% 49% 48% 50% 42% 43% 46% 50% 44% 53% 57% Yes 43% 38% 39% 41% 43% 44% 34% 34% 37% ~43% HAVE SHIFTED THEIR SPENDING TO EXPERIENTIAL BEFORE COVID-19 AND 40% STILL CONFIRM THEY ARE MORE LIKELY TO DO SO AFTER COVID-19 Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 14
AMONG THOSE WHO ARE SWITCHING, ~88% ARE SHIFTING SINCE EXPERIENC ES PROVIDE GREATER SATISFACTION AND EXCLUSIVITY Compared to 2/3 years ago why do you feel that you are buying fewer personal products and more experiences? (Pre-Covid Survey) % of respondents % of respondents3 All Full wardrobe 43 33 40 52 47% Bored of personal 9 6 8 10 goods Negatives of personal goods1 Experiences bring 49 56 49 53 more satisfaction Experiences are 88% more exclusive 35 37 33 36 Spend time with Positives of 34 40 33 35 friends and family experiences2 Note: 1. Respondents who are switching because of at least 1 negative reason 2. respondents who are switching because of at l east 1 positive reason 3. multiple choice question; Sample sizes are China = 876, Top 4 EU = 1294, US = 1194; multiple choice question Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 15
AMONG EXPERIENTIAL, SOCIAL EXPERIENCES MORE NEGATIVELY IMPACTED BY COVID-19 CRISIS, WITH CONSUMER SHIFTING TOWARDS MORE INTIMATE AC TIVITIES How does your luxury spend in the future will compare to prior to the Covid-19 outbreak for the following categories? Next Next more secluded Net appetite1 6 months 2-3 years Impact Home Tech -8% 4% EXPERIENTIAL Lightning -16% -5% Less impacted by crisis as consumers enjoy more time at Design Furniture -30% -10% PRODUCTS Art Goods -32% -17% home Wine & Spirits -4% 2% Impacted in the short term but will recover faster as experiences PRIVATE Private Villas -25% 5% become more secluded; super yacht Super Yacht -27% 2% EXPERIENCES Exclusive Fine Dining -31% -5% and private villas positively affected Wellness & SPA -33% -7% Luxury Hotels -35% -5% More impacted both in the short SOCIAL Luxury Resort Vacations -37% -7% and long term as consumers are structurally shifting their preferences EXPERIENCES Luxury Bars & Clubs -41% -15% towards intimate moments Luxury Cruise Vacations -44% -21% 1. (% of a lot more + % of a bit more) – (% of a bit less + % of a lot less) Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 Source: BCG countries) Knowledge(June & Post-Covid & Analysis 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) 16
54% OF TRUE-LUXURY CONSUMERS DO NOT EXPECT TO RESUME INTERNATION AL LEISURE TRAVEL BEFORE 6 MONTHS From the moment you will be allowed to travel for leisure internationally again, when do you think you will actually start doing so? 3% 2% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1% 7% 2% 4% 100% 11% 16% 17% 17% 18% 21% 25% 24% 29% 34% 54% 23% 46% 23% 28% 24% 30% 29% 27% 28% 30% 33% 22% 65% I don’t think I will travel internationally again 57% 55% 54% 50% 46% 48% 46% After more than 1 year 34% 31% After 6 months - 1 year 28% From Immediately after to 6 months All Germany France Italy Russia UK China Brazil US South Japan nationalities Korea Average timeframe 9 6 7 7 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 (in months) On average, Europeans & Russians Non-Europeans will take a bit more time expected to resume international travel in before they travel internationally again, 6-8 months, preferring neighboring with higher share of consumers waiting countries and short-hauled trips 1 year Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 17
ONCE THE COVID-19 WILL BE UNDER CONTROL, ITALY WILL BE THE PREFE RRED LOCATION FOR EUROPEAN NEIGHBORS AND AMERICAN, BUT NOT FOR CHINESE Top Abroad Destinations Top Abroad Destinations for luxury experiences, Pre-Covid for luxury experiences, Post-Covid Era (x%) – Sum of share of respondents who ranked the country 1st, 2nd or 3rd 1 2 3 1 2 3 Italy France US Spain = (54%) = (51%) UK (42%) France Italy US Spain = (61%) = (41%) UK (35%) UK Italy US Spain = (57%) = (48%) = (45%) Germany Italy France US = (51%) = (49%) = (36%) Russia Italy France Spain = (64%) = (56%) = (52%) Nationality US Italy France Spain = (62%) = (57%) UK (44%) Brazil US Italy France = (51%) France (51%) Italy (43%) China Italy France US France (63%) Japan (52%) Italy (39%) Japan US Italy France = (62%) = (60%) = (60%) South Korea Italy US France US (51%) France (49%) Italy (44%) Note: Pre-Covid: question asked was 'How many trips of each type have you done to each destination in the last 12 months"; Post-Covid: Question was "Once the Covid-19 will be under control, which will be your 3 top international destinations (outside of your country of residence) for luxury experiences (e.g. luxury resorts, cruises, wellness)?" Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma BCG Knowledge & Analysis True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 18 countries) & Post-Covid (June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries)
Accelerating trends, here to stay LUXURY VALUES POLARIZING BETWEEN WEST AND CHINA 19
LUXURY ALWAYS CHARACTERIZED BY ALTERNATION OF GLOBAL STYLE ERAS New Emancipation Woodstock Eccentricity Eclectic Minimalism Outrageous Extravagance Elegance 60's 70's 80's 90's 00's 10's 20's Future Source: desk BCG research Knowledge & Analysis 20
THE GROWTH TRAJECTORY OF EXTRO VALUES PROGRESSES FAST IN CHINA BUT HALTS IN THE WESTERN WORLD: TWO DIVERGING DIRECTIONS +14% Preference for -18% -9% New luxury values Extro Values1 Extravagant & fun Identity statement 35% 28% 28% 29% 31% Brand visibility & patterns 26% Adorned aesthetics 21% 23% 22% 22% 19% Cool & Sexy 15% … 2014 2017 2019 2020 2014 2017 2019 2020 2014 2017 2019 2020 More significant values Timelessness Craftsmanship Brand iconic patterns compared to global average Craftsmanship Heritage An identity statement Less significant values Adorned aesthetics Brand iconic patterns Exclusivity compared to global average Craftsmanship Exclusivity Brand visibility Note: 1. % of new luxury values indicated as a response to the question "Luxury to me is…" Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 21
LUXURY WORLDS TRAVELS NOT ONLY AT TWO SPEEDS BUT ALSO TOWARDS TWO DIFFERENT DIRECTIONS Towards the Sober Era: Extra is still cool: • Preference for temperance and "slow fashion" • Chinese consumers still appreciate bold and • This preference is also linked to a general extravagant values appreciation for sustainability 360°: consumers in • Luxury items represent a way to express fun mature fashion countries increasingly thoughtful in identity statements their consumption habits Would they sober-up Would they follow extro values to appeal Westerns? to appeal Chinese consumers? Source: BCG Knowledge & Analysis 22 22
Accelerating trends, here to stay NEXT-GENERATION RELATIONSHIP DRIVEN BY CLIENTELING 2.0
A NEXT-GENERATION TYPE OF RELATIONSHIP: CLIENTELING 2.0 CLIENTELING… Establish long-term relationships with consumers leveraging data about what they like, what they purchase, how they behave… …2.0 …ensuring that the relationship is seamlessly nurtured both in store & online, combining capabilities of people and data using advanced tools (e.g. machine learning) Source: BCG Knowledge & Analysis 24 24
IN THE NEW REALITY CONSUMERS WILL HIGHLY VALUE DIGITAL CLIENTELING, WITH HIGH EXPECTATIONS ON LEVEL OF SERVICE SAY THEY WILL BE MORE TO THE POINT THEY WILL EXPECT TO 46% APPRECIATIVE OF DIGITAL PERSONALIZED CLIENTELING COMPARED TO BEFORE RECEIVE THE SAME LEVEL OF SERVICE IN BOTH ONLINE AND OFFLINE CHANNELS EVEN MORE SIGNIFICANT FOR 76% 57% Source: Proprietary BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey & Analysis in two field moments: Pre-Covid (Dec-Jan 2020; 12K+ respondents in 10 countries) Source: BCG& Post-Covid Knowledge(June 2020; ~2000 in 10 countries) & Analysis 25
THE OLD MODEL DOES NOT WORK ANYMORE, AS CLIENTS WISH TO REPLICAT E ONLINE THE OFFLINE RELATIONSHIP THEY HAVE WITH BRANDS PAST FUTURE Inspiration Purchase Clienteling Inspiration Purchase Clienteling 80% of True-Luxury Personalized consumers in-store treatment, conclude their selling ceremony, purchase in store with 1to1 PHYSICAL (of which 39% knowledge of taste CHANNELS ROPO1) and preferences Online penetration Digital clienteling 50% of True-Luxury will increase will become as consumer starts strongly up to 20% relevant as their journeys of luxury sales in physical online, searching 2022 (46% preference DIGITAL for inspiration (+ 8 pp vs 19) vs. 49% for CHANNELS physical) Note: 1. ROPO: Research Online, Purchase Offline Source: BCG Knowledge Analysis & Knowledge & Analysis 26
SOME BRANDS HAVE STARTED EXPERIMENTING NEW AND PERSONALIZED WAYS OF ENGAGING WITH CONSUMERS DURING LOCKDOWNS Galeries Lafayette has been trialing ‘Exclusive Live Shopping,’ a video service that links up individual customers at their homes with consultants and personal shoppers Gucci Live, a video service that Luxury brands in High Jewelry enables staff to communicate with shifting from events to deeper shoppers on their mobiles or laptops, personalization and intimate events offers a seamless, always accessible, (digital & offline) in the long-term personalized experience During lockdowns, consumers and brands engage ..with brands imagining the on a personalized level via digital… next-generation of relationship Source: desk BCG search, Knowledge brands' & Analysis websites 27
HOW TO BUILD A STRONG CLIENTELING 2.0 BACKBONE, THROUGH ALL CHANNELS? FROM DATA TO PEOPLE • Enable sales associates to use customer targeting and recommendation People • Move from blast campaigns to personalization – Impact on content design, creation and validation process ADVANCED TOOLS AND METHOD AI/AA • From data to action: advanced methods and tools such as machine learning to gather insights • Customer-centric mindset LEVERAGE DATA TO GET TO KNOW YOUR CLIENTS Data • Gathering of client data (socio-demo; recent purchases; browsing data; third-party) Capabilities • Build an end-to-end automated flow from customer data capture to activation Source: BCG Knowledge & Analysis 28
1. COVID-19 IMPACT June 2 0 2 0 2. TRUE-LUXURY CONSUMER INSIGHTS 3. NEW REALITY & IMPLICATIONS FOR BUSINESSES
GIVEN THE CONTEXT, SEVERAL PRIORITY INVESTMENTS FOR BRANDS TO WIN IN THE NEW LUXURY REALITY RESET & STREAMLINE MAKE SUPPLY IMPLEMENT A ZERO- CHAINS LESS RETHINK THE BASED RESET COSTLY AND MORE FASHION ORGANIZATIONAL DISTRIBUTION AGILE ADJUST P&L CALENDAR REDESIGN INVEST ADDRESS BUILD AN CHANGING ACCELERATE AI-DRIVEN BRING FRESH CONSUMER INVEST IN EMBRACE THE DIGITAL TECHNOLOGY SKILLS TO THE DEMAND INSPIRATION CLIENTELING 2.0 ECOSYSTEM BACKBONE WORKFORCE Source: BCG Knowledge & Analysis 30
ALTAGAMMA & BCG TEAM FOR THE 7TH EDITION OF THE STUDY Stefania Nicola Javier Filippo Sarah Guia Lazzaroni Pianon Seara Bianchi Willersdorf Ricci General Manager Managing Director Managing Director Managing Director Managing Director Principal Altagamma & Senior Partner & Senior Partner & Partner & Partner Source: BCG Knowledge & Analysis 31
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