TMT Middle East | Covid-19 Response Unlocking the lockdowns A data driven approach - An ICT sector point of view - Deloitte
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Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns TMT Middle East | Covid-19 Response Unlocking the lockdowns A data driven approach An ICT sector point of view 1
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns Overview COVID-19 outbreak with its profound responses have outpaced the spread with is enormous. The challenge is to move impacts on our way of life has pushed innovation driven by digital technologies rapidly in crisis mode from a data sourcing, people across the globe to think and telecoms’ consumer data sourcing. service regulating, and productizing differently, work differently and innovate These data driven use cases have been perspective in an effort to minimize the to help “unlock the lockdowns”. The implemented in a number of countries health and economic impacts. journey from flattening the curve to in the Middle East to enforce quarantine, finding smart solutions for re-opening trace COVID-19 contact and map safe Assessing how the leading cases have economies is a challenging one. First, due zones. A combination of similar use fared so far, we outline the impact and role to the asymptomatic spread; second, cases are helping nations to move out of three types of players in the Information the long incubation period of an infected from lockdowns into selective opening of and Communication Technology (ICT) person and third, the highly contagious economic sectors. sectors within the Middle East for the short nature. Therefore, the reactive solutions and long-term scenarios. While these have cannot just be limited to the scaling up This unfolds a “living lab scenario” in an immediate impact on the current stage of healthcare facilities, but also to the the digital and data driven arena of of the pandemic, they will also play a role scaling down of the outbreak coupled with possibilities. With the digital economy in the medium term on the scenarios of selective opening of economic sectors being driven by 5.2 billion unique mobile re-starting the economic activity in select to contain the impacts. Globally, nations subscribers [1], out of which 3.5 billion areas. We discuss the role of telecoms have taken a data driven approach to both are smartphone users [2], over 12 billion service providers, the ICT regulators and containing the spread and then relaxing connected devices [1], producing 2.5Q the digital ecosystem to collaborate on this the lockdowns in order to encourage Bytes of data per day [3] and over 700 data driven approach in developing the a gradual return to economic activity. billion digital payment transaction a year use cases in the Middle East region. We look at how within this period of [4] [5] – the opportunity to tackle the outbreak some of the leading national mobility and identity aspects of citizens 02
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns Figure 1: Global digital economy facts and figures 7.0B Mobile Phone Users 5.2B Unique Mobile Phone 3.5B Smartphone Users 2020 Forecast [6] Subscribers 2020 Forecast [2] 2019 Actual [1] 3.8B Internet Users 12.0B Internet of Things Q1 2.5 bytes of Data Produced Daily 2019 Actual [1] Connections 2019 Actual [3] 2019 Actual [1] 726.0B Digital Payments in an Year +1.0B Google Maps Users Every 5.0M Apps & Websites Use Google 2020 Forecast [4] [5] Month Maps Every Week 2019 Actual [7] 2019 Actual [7] 1. Q refers to Quintillion which has a value of 1018 or 106 trillion 03
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns Three categories of the use cases These data driven As we explore the data sourcing and digital Figure 2: Three categories of use cases [Non-exhaustive] technologies landscape, five key data use cases have been segments are leading the way in enabling implemented in a the use cases. These are: Category A - Enforce number of countries to • Telecoms Network Data: The subscriber quarantine: using measures to ensure that citizens are enforce quarantine, trace ID, SIM and location data from the mobile adhering to the quarantine laws which apply to them. COVID-19 contact and network • Sector Data: The electronic health data Implementation in select countries: Taiwan, Hong Kong, eventually map safe zones from the health services platforms South Korea, Singapore, China, Vietnam, Italy, Germany, Austria, to gradually open critical • Financial Transactions Data: The digital Poland, Slovakia. Degree of complexity financial transactions data from the sectors various providers and federal agencies Category B - Trace COVID-19 contact: otherwise known as • Device Data: The applicable device contact tracing, is the process features such as Bluetooth, near field of identifying those who have communications and M2M come into contact with an • Emerging Technology Data: The infected person. Implementation in select applicable emerging technologies such as countries: South Korea, Vietnam, artificial intelligence and internet of things China, Singapore. These categories of data have been applied Category C - Map safe zones: includes efforts to in several different ways to arrive at the determine individual citizens’ use cases rolled out both in the contain risk levels, as well as risk levels stage and the economic re-opening stage. of public spaces and locations around the city. Initially in the form of COVID-19 “hot spots” Implementation in select for restricting movement related impacts, countries: China, South Korea. the maturity has evolved in the way data is used and now the use cases are helping introduced, using mobile phone signals to ease the movements in a safe zone to triangulate the user’s location [8]. In environment. The data driven tracking and Hong Kong, electronic wristbands are tracing concept is taking new directions issued to all arriving passengers to monitor subject to local conditions and applicability. and enforce their mandatory two-week quarantine [9]. Technology will also drive Category A: Enforce quarantine further maturity in the way in which the Strict quarantine efforts have leveraged the social distancing scorecards will be indexed use of mobile technologies for monitoring – e.g. using phone GPS locations data with and surveillance of quarantined citizens. information of distance travelled over time. In Taiwan, “electronic fencing” has been 04
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns Category B: Trace COVID-19 contact uses Bluetooth to determine whether to medium or high risk ones. China is Contact tracing – the process of identifying users have been in close proximity to an requiring its citizens to use the Alipay individuals who were exposed to an infected person [13]. Apple and Google’s Health Code app that determines their infected person – also plays an important collaboration to design a Bluetooth based health status (green, yellow, red), then part in managing the exponential growth of framework to establish contacts with assesses if they should be quarantined or infections. Here as well, there are evolving COVID-19 positive cases is a step forward allowed into public spaces [14]. Looking use cases of data and technology. South for cross platforms solutions. However, ahead, Blockchain-enabled secure health Korea has coordinated the use of location its data sharing and gathering compliance data sharing platforms are being evaluated data from mobile phones, credit-card challenges at a national level are yet to be in order to collect anonymous health data transaction records and CCTV footage assessed. and identify safe zones with no confirmed for contact tracing. Smart city tools have infections. The data would be stored and been integrated into the use case that Category C: Map safe zones updated in real-time on Blockchain, with leverages data from 28 agencies, reduces The upcoming use cases in the near term information received from surveillance the processing time of contact tracing from will be aimed at helping nations gradually providers who use a combination of an average of 24 hours to less than 10 opening economic activity by identifying technologies including artificial intelligence minutes [11,12]. Singapore’s TraceTogether locations and communities of people and geographical information systems [15]. app, with over 1 million downloads, that are profiled at a lower risk compared Figure 3: Evolution of contact tracing over time 72hrs 48hrs 24hrs 10min Manual contact tracing Use mobile app Use of big data Use of smart city Historically, contract tracing During the Ebola outbreak At the beginning of the capabilities has involved face-to-face in 2014, a beta app was COVID-19 outbreak, contact As the COVID-19 outbreak interviews and manual data introduced to enable real tracing involved extracting progressed, the South Korean collection & processing. time transmission of data, various sources of data from government introduced a Limited by the infected standardized data the infected person’s digital smart city tool that collected person’s ability to remember, management, and automated devices, from credit-card and processed data about the delays in communication, and data processing. history transactions, and from infected person from 28 human error. CCTV to piece together a agencies in real-time. comprehensive tracing. Avg. processing time: Avg. processing time: Avg. processing time: Avg. processing time: 72 hrs [16] 48 hrs [17] 24 hrs [11,12] 10 min [11,12] 05
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns Digital identity, personal data and mobility triage In order to deliver on the identified aggregated and anonymized to generate assessed use cases reveals the applicability use cases and advance their response, general mobility patterns and map the of data sources in the prevailing scenarios. countries across the Middle East region spread of the infection. This defines In that context, GDPR impact has been are leveraging telecoms service providers, how intrusive the use cases are and, considered under its three most relevant technology platforms, and other digital consequently, the regulatory and data areas of data sensitivity that include: services companies to collect and privacy challenges they will face. anonymity of data used, receipt of user Effective analyze large amounts of data. In global consent, and the data retention period. policy examples, this data is either collected as Data sourcing and its applicability personalized data points to track and trace Mapping out the data intrusiveness and measures known infected patients, or alternatively, regulatory/data privacy constraints to the Figure 4: Optimal data sources per target user group Data source Data type Use case Intrusiveness1 Regulatory constraint SIM card • Location Geolocation through Low High Low High telecommunications companies Smart phone geolocation • Location Geolocation through mobile Low High Low High applications (Google Maps, Waze) Smart phone applications • Location Crowdsourced data from • Health status Low High Low High coronavirus mobile applications Electronic wristband • Location Electronic geo-fence using Low High Low High multiple communication signals Credit card location • Location Geolocation tracking of bank Low High Low High transactions (POS machine, ATM) Bluetooth • Proximity Proximity sensing through Low High Low High Bluetooth CCTV surveillance • Location Video surveillance for location • Proximity Low High Low High tracking and temperature • Temperature scanning Electronic health records • Health status Electronically-stored patients’ Low High Low High health information Legend Enforce quarantine Trace Covid-19 contact Map safe zones 1. Intrusiveness of the respective data sources based on the potential privacy disruption that could occur by using the different data gathering methods within defined use cases 06
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns Although the level of intrusiveness for Figure 5: Target personas each given data source can vary, it can be reduced by anonymizing the collected data or by getting people’s consent to collect it (crowdsourcing). Singapore’s voluntary TraceTogether App uses Bluetooth for proximity tracking and anonymously notifies users whenever they are in close proximity to an infected patient who has voluntarily chosen to upload their health data on the app [13]. Tech-savvy Tech-familiar University students, young professionals, and Older parent and young retirees who are heavy Aggregation of data sourced through young parents who are highly aware of the users of e-payments and some e-government multiples sources (mobile phones, credit- COVID-19 response, and want to be involved in tools. They sometimes engage on social media card transactions and CCTV footage) is mitigating the virus’ spread through the use of platforms, but have a limited use of applications. technology. a more advanced scenario where the data triage enables the decision-making ability [11]. These applications are helping Upgrading mobile phone Upgrading mobile phone selective and smart re-opening of critical Per year Per 4 years Per year Per 4 years economic sectors by establishing relatively safer zones in respective countries. Use of apps and social media platforms Use of apps and social media platforms Target user personas Low High Low High The second critical dimension to the Use of credit cards Use of credit cards data triage and use case application is the diversity of user personas. We look Low High Low High at four broad segments where digital savviness varies on the scale of maturity. The technologically savvy population may be easily tracked and traced via the use of mobile and network generated data, social media platforms and crowdsource applications, whereas the same would not hold for the segments that either lie lower on the digital inclusiveness scale or are part of the less tech savvy population. Blue collar Senior citizen The second critical Workers in manufacturing, construction, hospitality and other service industries, who may Seniors and eldery generation, who most likely have a mobile phone to remain in touch with dimension to the data till be using older generation devices, and are family, but do not use any social platforms and engaged with by means of web-apps and SMS. applications. triage and use case application is the diversity Upgrading mobile phone Upgrading mobile phone of user personas. We look Per year Per 4 years Per year Per 4 years at four broad segments Use of apps and social media platforms Use of apps and social media platforms where digital savviness varies on the scale of Low High Low High maturity. Use of credit cards Use of credit cards Low High Low High 07
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns By understanding the persona Figure 6: Optimal data sources per target user group characteristics, the telecoms operators, digital service providers and regulators can Data Source Tech-savvy Tech-familiar Blue collar Senior citizen tailor the data sourcing methods which are used to roll out the COVID-19 tracking and SIM card tracing use cases. We map the relationship between the data sources presented in Figure 4 and the identified personas in Smart phone geolocation Figure 5 to understand how the track and trace use cases could become more effective from a user perspective. Smart phone applications Electronic wristband Credit card location Bluetooth CCTV surveillance Electronic health records 08
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns Three areas of consideration in ICT ecosystem The role of a data driven approach, both in containing the pandemic spread and in enabling the reopening of the economy, is critical. The approach provides the basis for analytical decision making to minimize the impacts, both social and economic. Looking ahead, three major areas of focus could enable the ICT ecosystem to further evolve the approach in more holistic terms. Telecoms Digital services ecosystem ICT and Digital Regulators Enabling efficient data sourcing Driving data insights Developing rapid policy Telcos are now faced with the Digital services providers (digital response expectation to ramp up their data payments, digital transport Telecoms and ICT Regulatory gathering capability to be able platforms and apps, digital health bodies play the critical role to support national initiatives on providers, etc.) can enhance their to assess the effectiveness of track and trace solutions, tackling roles in the ecosystem in support the policies and regulations the crisis and enabling smart of the track and trace programs to support the deployment of re-opening. These steps could using steps focused around: track and trace solutions, for the be focused around: benefit of protecting the country’s • Collaborating with regulators population and the re-opening of • Collaborating with regulators and other ecosystem entities (i.e. sectors by: and other ecosystem entities (i.e. digital programs, startups) to health and transport industries, understand their data needs, and • Understanding the constraints digital programs, startups) to the gaps which currently exist stemming from the policies and understand their challenges, to build effective track and trace regulations in place including co-create appropriate data- solutions GDPR and similar policies gathering tools and uniquely • Ramping up the digitization • Assessing the potential of target the identified personas of healthcare data to provide new policies and regulations • Aggregating multiple sources of accurate information on the in line with the requirements data, across devices, to provide spread of the virus, and the of sustainable data gathering, more accurate track and trace healthcare system’s capacity hosting and sharing where capability • Digitization of monitoring traffic this could include work with • Repurposing available data by and mobility, to provide real- International ICT policy makers designing new Analytics or AI time actionable data to first including the ITU models which can be applied responders to assist them in • Planning and orchestrating to smart opening of safe zones track and trace efforts analytics platforms to host • Structuring the mobile network • Launching of initiatives and share cross-sectoral data data options along the data (hackathons and competitions) enabling the use cases intrusiveness scale to enable to engage the wider digital • Hosting rapid cross functional entities in rolling out the most innovation ecosystem in consultations with telecoms efficient solutions resolving the most providers in asserting • Examples: STC, Etisalat pressing challenges the policy fit stemming from • Examples: CITC, TRA the current crisis • Examples: Careem, Google 09
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns A data driven approach Short term: Responding to the current crisis Establish user requirements: Enable solution & regulation: Launch & refine: Launch fast pace SWAT Telecoms providers, Digital Operationalize the digital programs across the service providers and ICT services and applicationsand different entities involved in regulators establish data launch to the end users. Build the COVID-19 response, to gathering rules and prototype mechanisms for rapid feedback establish user requirements the use case to rollout the use cases from for track and trace solutions containing positive cases to mapping safe zones for supporting economic revival steps Long term: Thriving in the future Revamp digital governance: Prioritize platform models: Operationalize emerging tech: Orchestrate the ICT ecosystem Prioritize and launch cross Derive COVID-19 key learnings, to define and embrace sector platform infrastructures regulate for faster emerging the “new normal” in digital with plug and play capability technology deployments, build governance, enabling to leverage data sourcing and on national digital infrastructure optimized usage of telecoms access and launch cross sector use and digital data as a strategic cases asset and enabler Telecoms Digital services ecosystem ICT and Digital Regulators 10
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns Contacts Contact us to better understand how Deloitte supports CHROs, CEOs, and Boards to navigate leadership challenges in this new reality. Emmanuel Durou Hasan Iftikhar Partner | Consulting Director | Consulting Deloitte Middle East Deloitte Middle East edurou@deloitte.com hiftikhar@deloitte.com Contributors Tiago Martins Nicholas Seemungal Lea Khlat Kareen Kafity Rime Mustapha 11
Deloitte | COVID-19 | Unlocking the lockdowns References 1. T he GSM Association. “The Mobile Economy 10. “ ‘Selfie App’ to Keep Track of Quarantined 2020.” The Mobile Economy, 2020, www.gsma.com/ Poles.” France 24, 20 Mar. 2020, www.france24. mobileeconomy/. com/en/20200320-selfie-app-to-keep-track-of- quarantined-poles. 2. O ’Dea, S. “Smartphone Users Worldwide 2020.” Statista, 28 Feb. 2020, www.statista.com/ 11. “ South Korea Keeps Covid-19 at Bay without a statistics/330695/number-of-smartphone-users- Total Lockdown.” The Economist, 30 Mar. 2020, worldwide/. www.economist.com/asia/2020/03/30/south- korea-keeps-covid-19-at-bay-without-a-total- 3. M arr, Bernard. “How Much Data Do We Create lockdown. Every Day? The Mind-Blowing Stats Everyone Should Read.” Forbes, 5 Sept. 2019, www.forbes. 12. F isher, Max, and Choe Sang-hun. “How South com/sites/bernardmarr/2018/05/21/how-much- Korea Flattened the Curve.” The New York Times, data-do-we-create-every-day-the-mind-blowing- 23 Mar. 2020, www.nytimes.com/2020/03/23/ stats-everyone-should-read/#545c94cb60ba. world/asia/coronavirus-south-korea-flatten- curve.html. 4. B rowne, Ryan. “Digital Payments Expected to Hit 726 Billion by 2020 - but Cash Isn’t Going 13. B aharudin, Hariz, and Lester Wong. Anywhere Yet.” CNBC, 9 Oct. 2017, www.cnbc. “Coronavirus: Singapore Develops Smartphone com/2017/10/09/digital-payments-expected-to- App for Efficient Contact Tracing.” The Straits hit-726-billion-by-2020-study-finds.html. Times, 20 Mar. 2020, www.straitstimes.com/ singapore/coronavirus-singapore-develops- 5. “ Digital Payments Volumes Continue to Rise smartphone-app-for-efficient-contact-tracing. Globally as New Payments Ecosystem Emerges.” Capgemini Portugal, 16 Jan. 2020, www.capgemini. 14. M ozur, Paul, et al. “In Coronavirus Fight, China com/pt-en/news/digital-payments-volumes- Gives Citizens a Color Code, With Red Flags.” continue-to-rise-globally-as-new-payments- The New York Times, 2 Mar. 2020, www.nytimes. ecosystem-emerges/. com/2020/03/01/business/china-coronavirus- surveillance.html. 6. O ’Dea, S. “Forecast Number of Mobile Users Worldwide 2019-2023.” Statista, 28 Feb. 2020, 15. T ran, Sarah. “Blockchain Monitor Launched to www.statista.com/statistics/218984/number-of- Track Coronavirus-Free Safe Zones to Protect global-mobile-users-since-2010/. the Non-Infected Community During Pandemic.” Blockchain News, 19 Mar. 2020, blockchain.news/ 7. G oogle LLC. “9 Things to Know about Google’s news/blockchain-monitor-track-coronavirus- Maps Data: Beyond the Map | Google Cloud free-zones-protect-non-infected-community- Blog.” Google, 2020, cloud.google.com/blog/ pandemic products/maps-platform/9-things-know-about- googles-maps-data-beyond-map. 16. B egley, Sharon. “New Digital Tools Could Speed up Covid-19 Contact Tracing.” STAT, 2 Apr. 2020, 8. “ Coronavirus: Under Surveillance and Confined at www.statnews.com/2020/04/02/coronavirus- Home in Taiwan.” BBC News, 24 Mar. 2020, www. spreads-too-fast-for-contact-tracing-digital-tools- bbc.com/news/technology-52017993. could-help/. 9. S aiidi, Uptin. “Hong Kong Is Putting Electronic anquah, L.O., Hasham, N., MacFarlane, M. et 17. D Wristbands on Arriving Passengers to Enforce al. Use of a mobile application for Ebola contact Coronavirus Quarantine.” CNBC, 18 Mar. 2020, tracing and monitoring in northern Sierra Leone: www.cnbc.com/2020/03/18/hong-kong-uses- a proof-of-concept study. BMC Infect Dis 19, electronic-wristbands-to-enforce-coronavirus- 810, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-019- quarantine.html. 4354-z 12
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