The time is now for Connected TV - How the acceleration in ad-supported streaming video is fueling new growth for brands - The Trade Desk
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The time is now for Connected TV How the acceleration in ad-supported streaming video is fueling new growth for brands
Table of Contents 3 Summary 5 Stay-at-home orders usher in a new era for marketers 8 More streaming means more data-driven media 10 Pause in traditional TV industry fuels Connected TV’s momentum 12 Connected TV provides advertisers a flexible, precise solution 13 Key platform benefits of Connected TV
Summary The abrupt onset of the global Covid-19 pandemic in early 2020 sent shockwaves through almost every industry. The halt of “business as usual” threw best-laid plans to the wind, leaving even the most proven brands scrambling to pivot quickly and shift strategies. At the same time, consumer adoption of streaming and Connected TV quickly and significantly accelerated, driving a foundational shift in how — and how often — viewers interact with TV content. Today, this disruption has given way to adaptation. As brands adjust to this new normal, many are taking the opportunity to shift to a more efficient, data-driven approach to reaching audiences. Brands recognize that, as the economy starts reopening, there will be a major land-grab opportunity. And effective marketing will drive share gains. For all advertisers, that means applying data more aggressively than ever before, and prioritizing ad opportunities that are measurable and comparable. This report is meant to assist advertisers in this new era of modern marketing, with key findings and the latest recommendations for Connected TV and the broader digital advertising landscape. The time is now for Connected TV | 3
Key Takeaways Consumer media habit shifts are accelerating, as nearly two-thirds of U.S. households don’t have cable or plan CORD CUTTING to cut the cord to linear TV in 2020. Inventory With increased consumer streaming trends during the up 54% Covid-19 period, Connected TV available inventory has surged by 54 percent in April 2020 versus April 2019. YEAR-OVER-YEAR The cancellation of the upfronts and suspension of live sports are leaving a hole in potential reach for brands, spurring a LIVE SPORTS shift to more agile and on-demand Connected TV channels. Due to data-driven Connected TV, advertisers can achieve a new level of precision in TV buying, from audience level MIN MAX frequency capping to household geographic targeting. FREQUENCY Digital, including Connected TV, gives advertisers the flexibility they need now. As different regions across the U.S. ease social distancing restrictions, brands can pivot Connected TV budgets quickly, providing a new level of CONNECTED TV flexibility in TV buying during a period of great change.
Stay-at-home orders usher in a new era for marketers The sudden, widespread rise of Covid-19 has caused myriad changes to everything, from the global economy to everyday life and beyond. Consumers are spending time at home — on their devices — which is significantly accelerating the trajectory of Connected TV. This shift is driving major implications for brand advertisers. While traditional TV has been on a steady decline over the last several years, new research suggests the number of cord-cutters is growing as a result of shelter-in-place mandates. According to recent data from The Trade Desk’s survey with YouGov, 64 percent of U.S. adults have never had cable, have already cut, or are planning to cut their cable subscriptions. In the young adult segment (18- to 34-year-olds), that number grows even higher to 74 percent. 64% of U.S. consumers have never 64% had cable, are planning to cut the cord, or have already cut their cable subscriptions. CORD-CUTTERS Nearly three quarters of 18- to 34-year-old US consumers 74% have never cut the cord, are planning to cut the cord, or have already cut the cord. 18-34 YEAR OLDS The time is now for Connected TV | 5
According to eMarketer, the number of cable TV households has been declining since 2016, dropping 4.5 percent from 2019 to 2020. The Trade Desk’s survey with YouGov found that 11.5 percent of U.S. adults who still have cable plan on cutting the cord by the end of 2020, nearly 2.5 times more than eMarketer’s estimate. The number of those planning to cut the cord rises to 18 percent among 18- to 34-year-old U.S. consumers. U.S. Pay TV Viewers & % Change MILLIONS 190 0% 10.81% -2% 185 -4.0% -4.4% -4% -4.5% 175 % CHANGE VIEWERS -6.3% -6% 165 -8% 155 -11.5% -10% 145 -12% 2018 2019 2020 2021 Pay TV viewers % Change % Change eMarketer eMarketer The Trade Desk & YouGov Source: eMarketer, February 2020; The Trade Desk & YouGov survey, April 2020 In March 2020, after shelter-in-place orders were initiated, streaming minutes jumped significantly due to content availability and the convenience of online streaming services. According to The Wall Street Journal, streaming hours increased 12 percent the week of March 23rd over the previous week, while comScore reported that streaming via Connected TVs in early March was up 29 percent compared to 20191. This is having a material impact on streaming services as subscriber numbers have jumped above forecasts. Q1 2020 Subscriber & Engagement Stats Following Covid-19 TUBI PLUTO TV HULU NETFLIX DISNEY+ 25 MM 24 MM 30.7 MM 183 MM 54.5 MM subscribers2 monthly active users3 subscribers4 subscribers5 subscribers6 1 comScore, March 2020; 2 TechCrunch, February 2020; 3 Variety, April 2020 4 Business Insider, April 2020; 5 Marketwatch, April 2020; 6 The Verge, April 2020
With this surge of streaming service options, consumers’ monthly costs are beginning to add up. Concerns around the cost of video services are uniform across generations — 77 percent of U.S. adults would not spend more than $40 a month on streaming subscriptions, with 18- to 34-year-olds most cost-sensitive at 80 percent. Max Willing To Spend On Streaming Services — By Age What is the maximum amount of money you or your household are willing to spend on TV streaming services, in TOTAL per month 100% 10.81% 17.21% 21.52% 32.87% 80% 34.2% 30.2% 29.3% 60% 25.0% 40% 26.5% 35.3% 26.9% 20.9% 20% 26.1% 22.2% 21.1% 19.8% 0% 55+ (n=1008) 35-54 (n=814) 18-34 (n=786) Total (n=2608) $0, Not willing to spend on streaming $.01-$20 $20-$40 $40+ Unweighted base: US adults with at least one screen for TV content (2608) Source: The Trade Desk & YouGov Survey With limits on consumers’ willingness to pay for streaming subscriptions, lower-cost and free advertiser-supported offerings are becoming more popular. According to Integral Ad Science, 78 percent of U.S. consumers are willing to see ads in exchange for free streaming content.7 This illustrates a growing appetite for ad-funded video on-demand (AVOD) services such as Hulu, CBS All-Access, Crackle, Tubi TV, Pluto TV, and more. Take Pluto TV, for example: The Viacom-owned, free, AVOD service reported 75 percent growth in 2019 and expects 30 million monthly viewers by the end of 2020.8 These trends suggest Connected TV, and particularly AVOD streaming, will continue to see unprecedented growth in 2020, with an expanding audience that is no longer reachable on cable TV. According to the Integral Ad Science survey, 44 percent of U.S. consumers have added at least one AVOD streaming service to their viewing habits since the onset of Covid-19, while another 47 percent plan to use one in the next 12 months. These findings also indicate advertisers can reach more than 90 percent of U.S. adults with Connected TV advertising.9 7 Integral Ad Science Streaming Wars Wave 2, April 2020 8 Variety, March 2020 9 Integral Ad Science Streaming Wars Wave 2, April 2020 The time is now for Connected TV | 7
More streaming means more data-driven media Growing Connected TV viewership translates to distancing guidelines, our platform saw a 57 percent more opportunities for advertisers to stream their increase in daily average available Connected TV commercials alongside premium content. The Trade ad inventory compared to March 2019. This is not Desk data illustrates that increased viewership just a short-term fluke: April daily average available of AVOD services is having a material impact on the Connected TV inventory also rose substantially, dynamics of the marketplace. In March 2020, when up 54 percent over 2019. several states in the U.S. began to implement social 60% Increase In Daily Average Available Connected TV Inventory, YOY 50% 40% 54% 57% 30% 35% 20% 10% 2020 2019 0 February March April Source: The Trade Desk platform data
A sharp rise in daytime viewing of AVOD services such as Hulu, NBC, CBS, Pluto, and others is contributing to this rapid increase. According to data from our partner, Inscape, the number of TVs airing ad-supported streaming services during the workday increased the week of April 25th by 18 percent over the week starting March 1st. TVs Airing Ad-Supported Streaming Services, By Time of Day Sheltering with TV Mid-day time with streaming up April 19–25 +18% March 1–7 WORKDAY STREAMING 12 AM PST 6 AM 12 PM 6 PM 12 AM Source: The Trade Desk analysis, powered by Inscape data The implications of these shifts are profound for advertisers that have relied on traditional daypart- oriented campaigns. The increase in AVOD viewership and appointment-based viewing overall makes any time primetime. Modern marketers can lead with data to target specific customers on Connected TV instead of falling back on broad assumptions around daypart viewership. Smart brands are already seizing the opportunity presented from these viewer and inventory surges. One apparel retailer with plans to reach younger cord-cutting audiences switched budgets seamlessly to Connected TV. This retailer optimized its Connected TV campaigns to maximize revenue. The results were so strong that the brand will shift more budget from live events and sponsorships planned later in the year to reach critical audiences during the pandemic. The time is now for Connected TV | 9
Pause in traditional TV industry fuels Connected TV’s momentum The business of cable TV is facing headwinds. Most of the 2020 upfront season, including possible virtual replacements, were officially cancelled or postponed. Two dozen pilots were reportedly in production for the 2021 season, all of which were put on hold in March. At the time of this writing, it is uncertain when production will be permitted to resume. In addition, the cancellation of live sports is estimated to remove billions of dollars from the market. The Olympics alone accounted for $1.25 billion in revenue for NBC Universal.10 While the loss of advertising dollars for cable TV companies is problematic, the loss of live sports could substantively impact cable subscriptions overall. 60 percent of cable subscribers cite live sports as the top reason to keep their cable package.11 All of this means that advertisers are taking a more agile, data-driven approach when making media investments. Budgets originally allotted to the upfronts and live sports will either fall to one-to-one deals and scatter buys for traditional TV or migrate to the often more efficient Connected TV. The “spot market” nature and agility of Connected TV can help advertisers swiftly reach engaged audiences. With reach of more than 200 million viewers in 2020,12 Connected TV is emerging as the choice of marketers looking for better measurement ‘‘ and brand growth. “We’re advising clients to take a closer look at Connected TV as an alternative way to reach live sports audiences. Connected TV extends clients’ reach to cord-cutters, delivers with audience data for frequency and creative control, and measures with similar granularity as other programmatic channels.” — Alexandra Murray, Supervisor, Programmatic at 360i
Planning Times By Media Type (Average In Months) MEDIA TYPE PRE-COVID-19 CURRENTLY CHANGE Linear TV (Broadcast & Cable) 5.3 2.7 -2.6 OTT/Connected TV 4.5 2.4 -2.1 Digital video 3.8 2.0 -1.8 Media type average 4.2 2.3 -1.9 Means reported. Sorted by change Source: Advertiser Perceptions, The Effect of Coronavirus on Advertising Report; April 2020 According to The Effect of Coronavirus on Advertising report by Advertiser Perceptions, most advertisers reported they are planning media commitments for no more than three months out. This is a stark contrast to the “up front” annual planning nature of traditional TV before the pandemic that extended well above five months. Connected TV represents a new paradigm for advertisers and their planning cycles: addressing the need for speed, agility, and maximum flexibility with their budgets. For instance, a large US-based restaurant chain was hesitant to commit millions of dollars to the upfronts while shelter-in-place restrictions limit its day-to-day business. The brand wanted to shift its ad spend to be more flexible and more precise in reaching specific locations with appropriate messaging as restaurants slowly reopen. This agility, precision, and flexibility is simply not possible with traditional, linear advertising. Another recent example: A large technology advertiser quickly switched its advertising to boost awareness for a product that competes with a video-conferencing app. The company activated against its target audience on premium publishers at scale, and within two days, successfully delivered the reach and frequency goals of the campaign. The net: shifting to a solution like Connected TV helps advertisers reallocate budget from the upfronts and live sports to a more nimble, efficient, and measurable solution. 10 Variety, April 2020 11 The Trade Desk and YouGov, April 2020 12 eMarketer, November 2019 The time is now for Connected TV | 11
Connected TV provides advertisers a flexible, precise solution The future of TV buying has arrived. The Trade Desk platform delivers the large-scale reach and tools required by advertisers for data-driven Connected TV buying. The premium, digital supply on Connected TV allows brands to forecast, activate, and measure spend and impact at scale. According to an IAB survey in March, advertisers are now doubling down on media that allows them to target and segment by interest and device. More than one-third of media buyers will increase investment in over-the-top (OTT) and Connected TV advertising in 2020, due to the importance of efficient audience targeting. Every dollar counts right now for marketers, and many brands can no longer justify less efficient traditional channels. Audiences are already using their dollars to inform For marketers, now is the time to reorient their media companies what they want: better, on-demand strategies and budgets to align to this massive entertainment services with relevant ads. As consumers consumer shift. Past periods of uncertainty have pull back on monthly subscriptions due to economic led to incredible inventiveness and opportunity for uncertainty, free, ad-supported services will continue savvy marketers. Brands that adapt to this modern to increase in viewership, providing even more supply era of marketing, with data fueling an efficient for advertisers. These audiences will be essential for approach, will emerge in the new reality in a better brands looking to drive sales and growth following position to win the hearts and minds of consumers. the economic recovery from the pandemic.
Key platform benefits of Connected TV REACH ROBUST MEASUREMENT Connected TV is in more homes than ever before, • I ncremental reach reaching over 200 million consumers, as changing media With the rising number of cord-cutters, now habits move towards cheaper and flexible advertising brands can gather a clear picture of the supported streaming on demand. incremental, net-new audiences they are reaching on Connected TV. • This is not the inventory of last year, or even last quarter More than three-quarters of viewers are willing • I n-store foot traffic and purchases to watch ads in return for free content on their Tie Connected TV investment to real business Connected TVs. results by attributing in-store footfall and visits, and online and offline sales to commercials • By the end of 2020, cord-cutters will be the majority across linear and Connected TV. During the economic rebound, the vast majority of consumers will look for cheaper media options in order to stay entertained within budget. FREQUENCY CONTROL When buying TV ads on Connected TV with DATA-DRIVEN TARGETING The Trade Desk, advertisers can control the levers — empowering brands to decide when, where, Connected TV offers advertisers an opportunity to layer and how often their ads appear — in real time rich first- and third-party audience data on their media down to the minute, hour, day, or week. buys — including interests, demographics, contextual, content, geography, and more. PREMIUM INVENTORY • Content and contextual targeting when it’s needed With the upswell of viewership on streaming Like traditional TV, Connected TV allows advertisers providers, broadcasters and publishers are quickly to reach audiences on selected content — down shifting content where the eyeballs are moving. to particular shows, genres, and even times. Advertisers have the opportunity to run their ads • Regional targeting precision as the U.S. phases opening alongside major network and cable providers As the world reopens city by city, Connected TV can around the world. serve as the engine of growth for brands through localized targeting. For more information and tips, download The Modern TV Buyer’s Playbook DOWNLOAD The time is now for Connected TV | 13
Methodology The data highlighted in this report comes from The Trade Desk platform, publicly available data and a custom consumer survey. This survey for The Trade Desk was conducted by YouGov. Fieldwork for this survey was conducted on April 1-3, 2020. It’s a representative survey with a total sample size of 2,613 adults in the U.S. The survey was carried out online. The figures have been weighted and are representative of all U.S. adults (aged 18+). For more information, contact us today at info@thetradedesk.com. ©2020 The Trade Desk
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