The new Gas TSO of Ukraine - The first results and the future challenges of Sergii MAKOGON CEO of Gas TSO of Ukraine, LLC
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The first results and the future challenges of the new Gas TSO of Ukraine Sergii MAKOGON 25 February 2020 CEO of Gas TSO of Ukraine, LLC Ukrainian Energy Forum
New Gas TSO of Ukraine Headcount of 11,100 FTE, incl. all key staff related to transmission function and equipped with required licenses & permits UAH 3.8 bln of TSO-owned assets, incl. IT soft- & hardware, tools & equipment, transport etc. Unblocked interconnectors made it possible to arrange the backhaul operations and deliver new shor-thaul service Independent IT-environment and infrastructure, incl. go-live daily balancing platform, ERP and dispatching ~550 contracts concluded TSO/SSO inter-operator agreement TSO license and tariff 2
New Transit Deal Gas war didn’t occur. The Gas Deal is an acceptable compromise: Documents signed: 1. Interconnection agreement with booked capacities: 65 bcm/year for 2020 Gazprom and 40 bcm/year for 2021-2024 2. Agreement on organization of transit between Naftogaz and ship-or-pay clause Gazprom guaranteed transit revenues of about $7 bn 3. Interconnection agreements with neighboring TSO’s of Poland, flows measurement and commercial Hungary, Slovakia, Romania and Moldova operations in energy units 65 7 bcm 40 40 40 40 bn ~$ bcm bcm bcm bcm 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 3
TSO Strategy: Vision, Mission and Values Vision Mission To be a modern and innovative gas To ensure the development of the competitive, transmission system operator within the transparent and non-discriminatory gas integrated European gas network market and to secure reliable gas flows for Ukrainian and European consumers in the most sustainable way Reliable provision of gas transmission Sufficient and diversified capacity services in a transparent, non- for gas transmission to Ukrainian discriminatory and sustainable way and European consumers to ensure at fair price Efficiency & Security energy security and uninterrupted Reliability of supply supply in any circumstances Values Support of development of non- Market discriminatory, competitive, impact Integrity Independence, fairness and transparent and liquid natural transparency of the operator gas market aimed at ensuring ensuring customer and market fair gas pricing for consumers in trust Ukraine Responsibility High standards of social and ecological responsibility 4
TSO Strategy: key initiatives 1. To optimize and modernize the GTS 2. To become a model for corporate governance infrastructure and social responsibility in Ukraine Implementation of the GTS capacity 2.1 Introduction of OECD principles of corporate 1.1 optimization plan governance and internal controls at SOEs at the TSO Digitalization and automation based 2.2 1.2 Development of CSR key focus and strategy on Industry 4.0 principles while ensuring high level of cyber security 2.3 Ensuring high level of transparency and market trust 1.3 Operational efficiency improvement 3. To promote development of a 4. To actively pursue transformation transparent and liquid natural gas market opportunities and contribute to green energy integrated in EU energy market transition in Ukraine 3.1 Full implementation of EU market rules 4.1 Promotion of CNG usage as transition motor fuel 3.2 Development of new services Contributing to decarbonization of 4.2 Ukrainian economy 3.3 Development of a gas trading hub in Ukraine 5
10-Year Network Development Plan (TYNDP) Estimated CAPEX for 2020-2029, UAH bln excl. VAT TYNDP 2020-2029 summary 10.1 9.6 0.6 0.6 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.7 UAH 38.8 bln 6.3 5.1 5.9 0.6 0.5 Ø UAH 4 7.8 6.6 7.5 bln / year 1.0 2.7 0.5 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.7 20.0 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.2 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025-2029 yearly average 10Y total: CS Pipelines GDS Other 6
10-Year Network Development Plan (TYNDP) Estimated CAPEX for 2020-2029, UAH bln excl. VAT Compressor Stations (CS) reconstructions budget CS Yagotyn 2.2 2.3 CS Berdychiv CS Oleksandrivka 1.6 2.0 CS Bar CS Dykanka 2.5 2.3 CS Krasyliv 1.0 CS Komarno 2.3 CS Dolyna-2 2.5 CS Uzghorod 1.6 CS Bogorodychany 7
GTS optimization and operational efficiency Strategic objective: To optimize and modernize the GTS infrastructure to reflect market conditions while ensuring reliable and efficient operations Underutilized Historically, Ukrainian GTS was able to transmit ca.190 bcm (domestic and transit) but for the last few years it was structurally underutilized due to rerouting of transit volumes Number of the operational CS by transit scenario, units Oversized Total CS = 86 Taking into consideration market environment and low prospect of significant transmission volume growth Ukrainian GTS is highly oversized Underinvested 58 At the same time system is underinvested: execution of investment plans submitted to the 71 69 Regulator in 2017 was 35%, in 2018 – 32%. Moreover, 2019 investment programs were not approved by the Regulator which prevents the TSO from making any investments. As of the time of strategy preparation investment program for 2020 is under NEURC review. Inefficient spending As a result TSO incurs significant costs of maintenance of infrastructure that is not used in gas 28 transmission 15 17 70% of CS have to be decommissioned 0 bcm 30 bcm 70 bcm Uncertainty regarding transit did not allow to start decommissioning of compressor stations that Not in operation In operation do not take part in gas transportation. About 70 Compressor Station (CS) yards would not be operational in case of “0” transit, most of them would have to be decommissioned 8
Key challenges Unauthorized offtakes Preparation for the PSO cancellations Opening of the retail market Absence of a gas insurance stock Gas exchange trading 9
Ukrainian Energy Forum 2020 Thank you! Sergii MAKOGON CEO of Gas TSO of Ukraine, LLC makogon-sl@tsoua.com 10
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